June 9, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Sadly we didn’t get a triple-crown winner at Belmont Stakes Saturday.  California Chrome tied at 4th place.

The cartoon Donald Duck was born on this day in 1934.

Prime Numbers:

1: Rank of the boy’s name Noah and girl’s name Sophia in their popularity for infants born in the US last year.  Noah displaced Jacob, the most popular for 14 years.  Sophia has been No. 1 for three years.

7: Number of hurricanes predicted in the Atlantic Basin this summer, including two major ones that will make landfall.  That would make it a below- average season.

103: Estimated age of what is considered to be the world’s oldest killer whale.  The female, officially known as J2, is referred to as “Granny.”

500: Number of London police officers who will wear video cameras on their uniforms as part of a year long trial.

6 Million: Estimated number of surveillance cameras now deployed in London.

CNN launched a series on May 29th on “the 60’s”.  We’ve caught a few of the series and it is really well done.  The series executive producer is Tom Hanks, and he is also one of many celebrities who reflect on the era’s lasting influence.  There are 10-parts, so you might be interested in watching the remaining parts in the series, really worth checking out.

Photos of the day

Tonalist, left, with Joel Rosario up edges out Commissioner with Javier Castellano up to win the 146th running of the Belmont Stakes horse race, Saturday, in Elmont, N.Y. Matt Slocum/AP


Amateur sailors set out for London on final leg in the Clipper 2013-14 Round the World Yacht Race in New York Harbor, Saturday. At 40,000 miles and 11 months long, the Clipper Race is the world’s longest ocean race and the only event of its kind for amateur sailors. Only the skippers are professionals. Darren Ornitz/Reuters

Market Closes for June 9th, 2014

Market  

Index

Close Change
Dow  

Jones

16943.10 

 

 

 

+18.82
+0.11%
S&P 500 1951.27 

 

+1.83 

 

+0.09%

NASDAQ 4336.242 

 

 

+14.843 

 

+0.34%

TSX 14871.21 +32.31 

 

+0.22% 

 

International Markets

Market  

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15124.00 +46.76 

 

+0.31% 

 

HANG  

SENG

23117.47 +166.47 

 

+0.73% 

 

SENSEX 25580.21 +183.75 

 

+0.72% 

 

FTSE 100 6875.00 +16.79 

 

+0.24% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.  

10 Year Bond

2.324 2.321
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

2.843 2.841
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.6095 2.5932
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.4447 3.4388

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91683 0.91486 

 

US  

$

1.09072 1.09306
Euro Rate  

1 Euro=

Inverse  

Canadian  

$

1.48240 0.67458
US  

$

1.35910 0.73578

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1253.12 1253.44
Oil Close Previous  

 

WTI Crude Future 104.41 102.66
BRENT 109.360 109.360 

Market Commentary:

Canada
By Eric Lam

June 9 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose a seventh day, the longest streak since February, as commodity prices climbed and real-estate shares advanced after housing starts rose more than expected in May.

Semafo Inc. increased 1.3 percent as gold traded higher for the second time in three sessions. Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp. and NuVista Energy Ltd. rallied at least 2.2 percent as crude rose to a three-month high. Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers Inc. added 4 percent after analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald LP raised the stock’s rating on rising auction proceeds. Home Capital Group Inc. rose 1.3 percent to pace gains among financial stocks.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index increased 32.31 points, or 0.2 percent, to 14,871.21 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark equity gauge is 1.4 percent away from its record closing high of 15,073.13 on June 18, 2008. The price-to- earnings ratio for the benchmark equity gauge is 19.9, the highest since 2011.

Home Capital Group increased 1.3 percent to C$50.56, a record. Canadian housing starts were 198,324 units at a seasonally adjusted annual pace in May, Ottawa-based Canada Mortgage & Housing Corp. said on its website. Economists had forecast a 185,000 advance.

Ritchie Bros. jumped 4 percent to C$26.26, the most since December. Eight of 10 industries in the S&P/TSX advanced.

Peter Prattas, analyst at Cantor Fitzgerald, boosted Ritchie Bros. to a buy from a hold after the equipment auctioneering company on June 6 reported a 30 percent increase in May gross auction proceeds to $299 million, compared with $230 million a year ago.

“Momentum is building in auction proceeds providing us greater confidence that Ritchie Bros. can achieve the higher end of its 2014 guidance,” Prattas said in a note today.

US
By Oliver Renick and Callie Bost

June 9 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, with benchmark indexes extending records, as small-cap shares rallied and Family Dollar Stores Inc. advanced with Analog Devices Inc. amid deals activity.

Family Dollar jumped 13 percent as a filing showed Carl Icahn has amassed a 9.4 percent stake. Analog Devices jumped 5 percent after agreeing to buy a chipmaker for about $2 billion. Idenix Pharmaceuticals Inc. more than tripled after Merck & Co. agreed to buy the drugmaker for $3.9 billion. Tyson Foods Inc. fell 6.5 percent after the company said it made a binding offer for Hillshire Brands Co. Apple Inc. traded at $93.70, reflecting a seven-for-one stock split.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index added 0.1 percent to 1,951.27 at 4 p.m. in New York, capping its seventh record close in the past eight sessions. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 18.82 points, or 0.1 percent, to a record 16,943.10. The Russell 2000 Index of small companies climbed 0.9 percent for a fourth day of gains. About 5.3 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges today, 15 percent below the three-month average.

“There’s a fair amount of skepticism over if we are at peak valuations,” Michael Arone, the Boston-based chief investment strategist at State Street Global Advisors’ U.S. Intermediary Business, said by phone. State Street Corp. oversees $2.4 trillion in assets. “My view is the Goldilocks economy is back — not too cold, not too hot, but just right. What we’re starting to see is companies starting to do capital expenditures and M&A to invest in their businesses.”

The S&P 500 advanced 1.3 percent to a record 1,949.44 last week as the European Central Bank lowered interest rates and a report showed that the U.S. economy created more jobs than expected. The index has continued to climb to records even as the U.S. economy contracted for the first time in three years during the first quarter.

Federal Reserve officials are watching the labor market as they move to complete their bond-purchase program late this year and start considering the timing of the first interest-rate increase since 2006. Central-bank stimulus has helped propel the S&P 500 higher by as much as 188 percent from its bear-market low in March 2009.

The ECB’s stimulus sent European bond yields to all-time lows and helped boost the region’s equities to near the highest in six years.

The U.S. stocks benchmark has rebounded 7.5 percent since a selloff in small-cap and Internet shares spread to the broader market, dragging the index to a two-month low in April. The measure trades at 16.5 times the projected earnings of its members, up from a multiple of 14.8 at the start of February.

The Russell 2000 has advanced 4.4 percent in the past four sessions to the highest since April 3. The gauge has rallied 7.5 percent from a February low and is now up 1 percent in 2014.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index climbed 3.9 percent to 11.15. The gauge, known as the VIX, fell 5.9 percent last week to 10.73, the lowest level since February 2007.

“Growth is slow, GDP is slow, we have rate cuts all around, and we’re banking that all-time highs are going to get better,” Keith Rosendahl, chief investment strategist at Venice, Florida-based research firm Interactive Portfolio, LLC, said in a phone interview. “With the merger activity, I think people are trying to buy growth.”

Six of the 10 main S&P 500 groups advanced today, with industrial shares adding 0.6 percent to pace gains. Utility stocks lost 0.7 percent.

Family Dollar jumped 13 percent to $68.62, the highest this year. Icahn and his affiliates bought 10.7 million shares and options for about $265.8 million, according to a June 6 regulatory filing. The billionaire may push for operating changes and ask the company to explore strategic alternatives, as well as potentially seeking board seats, according to the filing.

Dollar General Corp. rallied 7.4 percent to $62.25. Jefferies Group LLC raised its rating on the stock to buy from hold after Icahn’s purchase of Family Dollar shares. The move may lead to a merger with Dollar General, Jefferies said. Dollar Tree Inc. gained 0.7 percent to $55.50, a seventh straight gain that is the longest streak since November.

Hillshire jumped 5.3 percent to $62.06, while Tyson slid 6.5 percent to $37.50. Tyson has made a unilaterally binding offer of $63 a share for the maker of Jimmy Dean sausages and Ball Park hot dogs, it said in a statement. Pilgrim’s Pride Corp. dropped 6.7 percent to $24.51 after saying it withdrew a competing proposal.

Idenix Pharmaceuticals soared 229 percent to $23.79 after Merck said it has agreed to acquire the maker of experimental Hepatitis C drugs for $24.50 a share in cash, or about $3.85 billion. Merck, the second-biggest U.S. drugmaker, gained 0.2 percent to $57.94.

Gilead Science Inc., the developer of Sovaldi, a competing hepatitis C treatment, fell 4.1 percent to $79.01.

Analog Devices rose 5 percent to $55.31. The semiconductor manufacturer agreed to acquire Hittite Microwave Corp. for about $2 billion. The purchase price of $78 a share is 29 percent more than Hittite’s closing price on June 6. Hittite rose 29 percent to $77.90.

Morgan Stanley added 0.1 percent to $31.98. The bank agreed to sell its stake in oil-transportation company TransMontaigne Inc. to NGL Energy Partners LP for $200 million as part of the bank’s effort to reduce capital used by the commodities business. NGL added 2.2 percent to $42.86.

Apple shares climbed 1.6 percent to $93.70. The shares closed Friday at $645.57. Apple said on April 23 it was doing the split so shares would be available to a wider pool of investors.

NeuStar Inc. sank 8.4 percent to $24.43. An e-mail marked confidential that was posted briefly on June 6 on the Federal Communications Commission website indicated the agency may transfer a contract with Neustar to Ericsson AB. The FCC has yet to award the new five-year contract for telephone-number switching, a service that NeuStar has handled since 1997.

Wynn Resorts Ltd. fell 2.9 percent to $199.05. Wynn Macau Ltd., a resort owned by the Las Vegas-based company and traded on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, was downgraded to hold from buy at Deutsche.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!


The infinite oneness of the Soul is the eternal sanction of all morality.

You and I are not only brothers – every literature voicing man’s struggle towards freedom

has preached that – but you and I are really one.

This is the dictate of Indian philosophy.

This oneness is the rationale of all ethics and all spirituality.

Swami Vivekananda, 1863-1902


As ever,

 

Carolann


To be surprised, to wonder, is to begin to understand.

-José Ortega Y Gasset, 1883-1955


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,


St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7