January 10, 2019 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
On this day, 2000 America Online agreed to buy Time-Warner for $165 billion. (Time-Warner decided to spin off AOL in 2009.) Go to article »

Mark Knopfler has a new album, called Down the Road Wherever.    We downloaded it and listened to it  last night – and I think it’s terrific.  It’s an album of varied complexity, some jazz-like tracks, some Celtic laments, and his incredible voice and laconic guitar licks shine through every track – a nostalgic reflection of the old Dire Straits.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Attendees take photographs of a curved electronic display wall at the entrance to the LG Electronics Inc. booth at the 2019 Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S. Credit: Patrick T. Fallon/Bloomberg

A combination of pictures showing Vietnamese motorists riding under the rain along a street in Hanoi, Vietnam. Credit: Manan Vatsyayana/AFP/Getty Images

A swan transforms into an unusual shape while cleaning itself near Wimpole, Cambridgeshire. Credit: John Brackenbury/Solent News & Photo Agency
Market Closes for January 10^th, 2019

International Markets

Bonds

Currencies

Commodities

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1870, John D. Rockefeller founded Standard Oil with $1 million in capital and control of a tenth of the nation’s oil refining.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
     (Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose for the fifth day, climbing 0.7 percent, or 98.76 to 14,903.49 in Toronto. The index advanced to the highest closing level since Dec. 6. Royal Bank of Canada contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 0.9 percent. Canopy Growth Corp. had the largest increase, rising 12.0 percent.
     Today, 146 of 240 shares rose, while 91 fell; 10 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.
================================================================
Top Contributors |Index Points Move| % Change
================================================================
Royal Bank of Canada | 9.0240| 0.9
TD Bank | 8.6140| 1.0
Canopy Growth | 8.1740| 12.0
First Quantum Minerals | -1.4230| -2.6
Agnico Eagle Mines | -1.6020| -1.8
Bausch Health | -2.2560| -3.3
================================================================
Biggest Gainers | % Change |Index Points Move
================================================================
Canopy Growth | 12.0| 8.1740
Aurora Cannabis | 9.9| 5.0350
Pason Systems | 4.3| 0.4390
================================================================
Biggest Losers | % Change | Index Points Move
================================================================
New Gold | -6.8| -0.4530
Pretium Resources | -6.8| -0.9140
Eldorado Gold | -5.9| -0.2830
* The Canadian dollar rose 0.21 percent to 1.3237 against the U.S. dollar
* The benchmark 10-year bond rose and the yield fell 0.1 basis points to 1.976 percent
* The S&P 500 Index advanced 0.5 percent
US
By Sarah Ponczek and Reade Pickert
     (Bloomberg) — Stocks rose Thursday after dipping briefly following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks about shrinking the central bank’s balance sheet. Treasury yields
advanced with the dollar, and West Texas crude continued its bull market surge past $52 a barrel.
     The S&P 500 Index rallied as gains in utilities, industrials and real estate shares overwhelmed weakness in retailers sparked by concerns about a sales slowdown and fears about the potential consequences of the ongoing partial government shutdown. Alcohol distributor Constellation Brands Inc. rebounded from Wednesday’s decline to lead the benchmark on positive comments from analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Guggenheim Securities. Macy’s Inc. plunged 18 percent, making it the biggest decliner, after reporting disappointing seasonal sales and earnings.
     “The stronger retailers keep winning, the weaker retailers not so much,” said Hank Smith, co-chief investment officer at Haverford Trust. “I do not think it is a reflection on the consumer. The consumer is strong right now. We’ve had the best wage growth in this cycle, unemployment trends continue to be positive, just look at weekly jobless claims.”
     But to equity investors, Powell’s cryptic comments at the Economic Club of Washington, D.C. about returning the Fed’s balance sheet to a normal level — which were taken to mean that the central bank will be reducing it aggressively in the near future — were the attention grabber.
     “When asked where the Fed’s balance sheet should go from here, he said it should be ‘substantially smaller’ than it is now,” Peter Boockvar, the chief investment officer of Bleakley Financial Group, wrote in an email. “I guess we’ll then wait for his next speech so everyone can then ask him what ‘substantially smaller’ means.”
     With the S&P 500 having gained more than 5 percent in a week following dovish comments on interest rates from the Fed, the lack of any concrete details from trade discussions between China and the U.S. has left few catalysts to drive equity benchmarks significantly higher. And as the fight continues over the proposal to build a wall along the Mexican border, which President Donald Trump visited Thursday to rally support for his plan, worries about the impact of a prolonged government shutdown in America are starting to take hold.
     “In the beginning, we hadn’t gotten much investors calling us or talking about this as a risk,” Mandy Xu, Credit Suisse’s chief equity derivatives strategist, said on Bloomberg Television. “But now as it drags on, definitely we’re seeing more concern.”
     How Bank of America Figures Out What’s Driving the Stock Market The Stoxx Europe 600 Index and U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index rose slightly after Jaguar Land Rover said it plans to slash 4,500 jobs worldwide in response to a sales slowdown caused by Brexit.
     The euro struggled for traction after underwhelming economic data from France. Japanese stocks paced declines across many Asian markets, although the MSCI Asia Pacific Index declined as China inflation figures showed slowing growth. The offshore yuan climbed to the strongest since August.
     Elsewhere, the pound weakened as British Prime Minister Theresa May mulled options for a Brexit “Plan B.”
Here are some events investors may focus on this week:
* Britain’s Parliament this week resumes a debate on the Brexit withdrawal bill, with Prime Minister Theresa May seeking to avoid defeat in a vote set for the week of Jan. 14.
These are the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 Index climbed 0.5 percent to 2,596.49.
* The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.1 percent.
* The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index added 0.3 percent.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 0.2 percent, the first retreat in more than a week.
* The MSCI Emerging Market Index jumped 0.4 percent to the highest in five weeks.
Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.3 percent.
* The euro dipped 0.4 percent to $1.1499.
* The British pound declined 0.3 percent to $1.2745.
* The Japanese yen fell 0.3 percent to 108.47 per dollar.
Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose two basis point to 2.7314 percent.
* Germany’s 10-year yield slid two basis points to 0.255 percent, the first retreat in a week and the biggest decrease in more than a week.
* Britain’s 10-year yield climbed one basis points to 1.274 percent.
Commodities
* The Bloomberg Commodity Index dropped 0.5 percent.
* West Texas Intermediate crude increased 0.3 percent to $52.54 a barrel after entering a bull market on Wednesday.
* Gold fell 0.6 percent to $1,286.30 an ounce.
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Samuel Potter and Richard Frost.

Have a great night!

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

Friendship multiplies the good of life and divides the evil.
                                  -Balthasar Gracian, 1601-1658

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com