March 24, 2011 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Another thought on spring…

Now the green blade riseth, from the buried grain,

Wheat that in dark earth many days has lain;

Love lives again, that with the dead has been:

Love is come again, like wheat that springeth green.

– J.M.C. Crum

photos of the day

March 24, 2011

People cross Tai Ping Bridge as they participate in the ‘bridge-treading’ event in

Jushui town of Mianyang, Sichuan province, China. Participants throw old clothes and coins from the 200-year-old bridge into the water during the traditional annual event to seek happiness and health. Reuters

 

 

With the Washington Monument in the background, cherry blossom trees began to bloom despite cold temperatures in Washington.

Jacquelyn Martin/AP

 

 

 

 

Members of The Household Cavalry Mounted Regiment ride along The Mall in central London. Toby Melville/Reuters

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Matt Walcoff

March 24 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks dropped as energy shares fell on a U.K. plan to raise oil-extraction taxes and a smaller decline in U.S. natural gas inventories than most analysts had forecast, while gold retreated from a record high.

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd., the country’s second- largest energy company by market value, slipped 1.2 percent.

Goldcorp Inc., the world’s second-biggest gold producer by market value, lost 2.4 percent. Imax Corp., the maker of giant- screen movie-projection systems, advanced 12 percent on plans to open 75 more theaters in China.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index decreased 57.81 points, or 0.4 percent, to 14,029.37.

“Why it’s put a little bit of pressure on energy companies is you can see some government copycat legislation,” said Youssef Zohny, who helps oversee about C$50 million ($51 million) as a money manager at Van Arbor Asset Management Ltd. in Vancouver. “Governments around the world are essentially looking to raise revenue. There’s some concern globally that commodity producers are being targeted.”

The S&P/TSX gained 4.2 percent from March 16 to yesterday, narrowing its monthly decline to 0.4 percent, as oil and precious-metal prices rebounded. The equity benchmark gauge has not had a monthly drop since June.

Oil and gas producers dropped a day after U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne raised the supplementary charge on North Sea oil profits to 32 percent from 20 percent. Greg Pardy, an analyst at Royal Bank of Canada, cut his share-price estimates for Canadian Natural and Nexen Inc., citing the U.K. tax in a note to clients.

Today, the U.S. Energy Department said natural gas inventories fell by 6 billion cubic feet, compared with the median analyst forecast of 8 billion cubic feet. The fuel slid as much as 2.8 percent.

Canadian Natural declined 1.2 percent to C$47.76. Nexen lost 1.2 percent to C$23.89 after plunging 7.9 percent yesterday. Imperial Oil Ltd., the country’s second-largest oil and gas producer by revenue, decreased 1.4 percent to C$49.28.

Emerge Oil & Gas Inc., which produces oil in western Canada, slumped 9.4 percent to C$3.08 after reporting a 2010 loss that exceeded the average of six analyst estimates by 29 percent, excluding certain items. The shares’ tumble was their biggest in a day since the company began trading in January 2010.

Gold futures retreated for the first time in seven days as technical indicators led traders to sell the precious metal.

Technical analysts study charts of trading patterns and prices to predict changes in a security, commodity, currency or index.

Goldcorp fell 2.4 percent to C$47.65. Barrick Gold Corp., the world’s largest gold producer, dropped 1.4 percent to C$50.32. Silver reseller Silver Wheaton Corp. declined 3.6 percent to C$42.45, ending a five-day streak of gains.

Diamond producer Harry Winston Diamond Corp. lost 4.2 percent in Toronto Stock Exchange trading to C$14.05 after Kinross Gold Corp. said it sold its 7.1 million Harry Winston shares for about C$100 million ($102 million). Harry Winston had gained 27 percent this year through yesterday.

Imax jumped 12 percent to a 10-year high of C$29.21 after saying it will open 75 more cinemas in China with Wanda Cinema Line Corp. by the end of 2014. In an interview, Imax Chief Executive Officer Richard Gelfond said China will replace the U.S. as its biggest market.

BlackBerry maker Research In Motion Ltd. advanced 2.6 percent to C$62.49 before the release of its fourth-quarter financial results.

“We expect another very solid quarter, with guidance that is much higher than Street estimates,” Tim Long, an analyst at Bank of Montreal, wrote in a note to clients. “Our checks indicate that RIMM is seeing strength in all regions outside North America, despite a lack of new products.”

Teck Resources Ltd., Canada’s largest base-metals and coal producer, climbed for the first time in five days, increasing 2.9 percent to C$53.39.

Vector Aerospace Corp., which repairs aircraft engines, soared 11 percent to a record C$11.13 after European Aeronautic Defence & Space Co. said it is in acquisition talks with the Toronto-based company.

US

By Rita Nazareth and Jennifer A. Johnson

March 24 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks advanced, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index higher for a second day, after corporate profit topped analysts’ estimates and a government report showed a decline in jobless claims.

Micron Technology Inc., the biggest U.S. producer of computer-memory chips, rose 8.4 percent and Linux-software maker Red Hat Inc. surged 18 percent after earnings beat analysts’ estimates. GameStop Corp. jumped 2.9 percent as the largest video-game retailer forecast profit above analyst’s projections.

Amazon.com Inc. gained 3.5 percent after William Blair & Co. raised its rating for the world’s biggest online retailer.

The S&P 500 advanced 0.9 percent to 1,309.66 at 4 p.m. in New York, the highest level in two weeks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 84.54 points, or 0.7 percent, to 12,170.56. The benchmark measure of U.S. stock options completed its biggest six-day drop since November 2008.

“There’s no shortage of cheap stocks,” Leon Cooperman, chairman of hedge fund Omega Advisors Inc. said in an interview today with Bloomberg Television at the Strategas Global Macro Conference in New York. “You have good profits and good economic growth. You have good valuations and conservative posture.”

The S&P 500 has advanced 4.1 percent in 2011, extending last year’s 13 percent rally, amid government stimulus measures and as companies reported earnings that topped analysts’ estimates for the eighth straight quarter. The benchmark index is trading at 15.4 times reported earnings, compared with the average ratio of 19.7 at bull-market peaks.

Fewer Americans filed applications for unemployment benefits last week, signaling the labor market is mending.

Jobless claims declined by 5,000 to 382,000, Labor Department figures showed, in line with the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The total number of people receiving benefits dropped to the lowest level in almost three years.

“The economy is improving and this is a good environment for corporate profits,” said David Kelly, who helps oversee $450 billion as chief market strategist at JPMorgan Funds in New York. “The latest numbers suggest an advance in the U.S. economy. Investors are buying the idea that even though there are many headwinds, if you believe the economy will grow, then stocks are cheap.”

Global stocks rose for a sixth day, the longest rally for the MSCI World Index since September, amid speculation the need for European Union bailouts may end with Portugal. European leaders meet in Brussels today after Portugal’s parliament rejected budget-cutting measures, pushing the country closer to needing an EU rescue.

The VIX, as the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index is known, fell 6.1 percent to 18, extending its drop since March 16 to 39 percent. That’s the biggest drop over the same number of days in 28 months. The VIX needed to fall below 17.53 to beat the six-day record set two months after Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.’s September 2008 bankruptcy sent stocks plunging.

Micron Technology jumped 8.4 percent to $11.50. Second- quarter sales and profit beat analysts’ estimates on increasing demand for chips used to store data on mobile phones and tablets. Revenue climbed 15 percent to $2.26 billion in the period that ended March 3. That compared with $2.1 billion, the average of predictions compiled by Bloomberg.

Red Hat gained 18 percent, the most in the S&P 500, to $47.26. The largest seller of the Linux operating system posted a profit of 26 cents a share excluding some items, beating the 22 cent average of 22 estimates in a Bloomberg survey, as customers updating data centers to take advantage of cloud computing boosted billings.

GameStop rose 2.9 percent to $21.73. The world’s largest video-game retailer forecast first-quarter profit excluding some items of at least 53 cents a share, beating the average analyst estimate of 52 cents in a Bloomberg survey.

Amazon.com added 3.5 percent to $171.10 after being raised to “outperform” from “market perform” at William Blair by equity analyst Mark Miller.

Bank of America Corp. sank 1.3 percent to $13.48. The biggest U.S. lender was cut to “market perform” from “outperform” at FBR Capital Markets. The bank may not have the earnings power to be in compliance with the new capital requirements, analyst Paul Miller said in a note.

Trading in U.S. stocks, which fell to the slowest pace this year, is poised to contract because Citigroup Inc.’s reverse stock split may take out about one-tenth of the volume, according to Birinyi Associates Inc. New York Stock Exchange volume declined to 3.75 billion shares on March 22 and 3.97 billion shares yesterday, the second and the sixth-slowest trading days this year, respectively, Bloomberg data show.

“We won’t be surprised when we read in a few weeks that volume is declining and how this is a negative signal for equities,” Jeffrey Yale Rubin, Birinyi’s director of research, wrote in a note yesterday. “Just be aware that it’s because of a structural change and not a ‘real’ decline in volume.”

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone. Be magnificent!

To live completely, fully, in the moment is to live with what is, the actual, without any sense of condemnation or justification – then you understand it so totally that you are finished with it. When you see clearly the problem is solved. -Krishnamurti, 1895-1986

As ever,

Carolann

 

Discretion in speech is more than eloquence. -Sir Francis Bacon, 1561-1626

March 23, 2011 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Of interest in today’s Globe & Mail:

March is International Listening Awareness Month….By some estimates, people only retain about 50 per cent of  what they hear immediately after they hear it, and only 20 per cent beyond that.  Travis Bradberry, author of Emotional Intelligence 2.0, offers tips on how to be a better listener:

  • Don’t take notes at meetings.  Try watching who’s speaking instead – pay attention to what you miss while you’re usually looking down at your notebook.
  • Clear your mind. Focus when you’re talking to others.   Pay attention to what you’re thinking when they’re speaking: if you’re planning out a response rather than listening to them, you need to work on your focus.
  • Ask questions or ask for specific examples if you still  want clarification.
  • Don’t argue, understand.  Having a tough conversation?  Don’t just plan your rebuttal – really listen, then start with where you agree and move the discussion toward a solution by asking them to help you understand their point.

photos of the day

March 23, 2011

Flowers and a portrait adorn Elizabeth Taylor’s star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame in Los Angeles. Taylor died early Wednesday. Reed Saxon/AP

 

 

 

 

An advertisement for one of Elizabeth Taylor’s signature fragrances. Her alluring violet eyes are the stuff of Hollywood legend.

PRNewsFoto/File

 

 

A robin is silhouetted against a waning moon as it sits in a tree in Overland Park, Kan.

Charlie Riedel/AP

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Cecile Vannucci and Nikolaj Gammeltoft

March 23 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks gained as gold producers advanced after unrest in Libya and the Middle East and Europe’s lingering debt crisis spurred demand for alternative investments.

Barrick Gold Corp. and Goldcorp Inc., the world’s two largest producers of the metal, rose at least 1.1 percent today as gold futures advanced near a record. Kinross Gold Corp., Canada’s third-largest producer, gained 3.5 percent.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index gained 87.18 points, or 0.6 percent, to 14,087.18 in Toronto.

“Commodities are doing well and the real strength today is in the gold producers, which makes sense when you look at everything that’s going on in the world,” said Thomas Caldwell, chairman and chief executive officer of Caldwell Securities Ltd., a C$1 billion ($1 billion) money management firm in Toronto.

The S&P/TSX fell 0.1 percent yesterday for its first decline in four days. It had gained 3.6 percent from March 16 through March 21 for the biggest three-day advance in more than 10 months as raw-material producers in the index rebounded.

Those companies had tumbled 7.8 percent from March 4 to March 16, as some investors sold metals to raise cash following declines in world equity markets.

Gold futures for April delivery rose $10.40, or 0.7 percent, to settle at $1,438 at 1:34 p.m. on the Comex in New York.

Barrick Gold climbed 3.7 percent to C$51.05, while Goldcorp rose 1.1 percent to C$47.64 and Kinross Gold increased 3.5 percent to C$16.09.

Equinox Minerals Ltd., a Perth, Australia-based copper mining company with operations in Africa, surged 6.8 percent to C$5.34. The Globe & Mail reported Chief Executive Officer Craig Williams said Inmet Mining Corp.’s rival bid for Lundin Mining Corp. appears to be “dead.”

Equinox bid C$4.8 billion ($4.9 billion) for Lundin, which rallied 3.8 percent to C$7.38. Inmet, which offered about C$3.2 billion, rose 2 percent to C$64.44.

Mercator Minerals Ltd., a copper and molybdenum producer in Arizona, surged 7.6 percent, the most in the Canadian benchmark, to C$3.83 after two shareholders said they want to reconstitute the board because of its “failings.”

Teck Resources Ltd. declined 0.3 percent to C$51.90 after saying labor disruption and difficult weather conditions have slowed production in the first quarter. The Vancouver-based company cut its 2011 coal sales forecast to between 23.5 million tons and 24.5 million tons because of difficult winter weather conditions, according to a regulatory filing.

Energy companies in the S&P/TSX Index dropped 0.7 percent, the most in the Canadian index as a group, after U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne raised the supplementary tax on North Sea oil profits to 32 percent from 20 percent. Nexen Inc., operator of the Buzzard field in the North Sea, had the biggest decline in the gauge, tumbling 7.9 percent to C$24.19.

US

By Rita Nazareth

March 23 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, paring yesterday’s drop, as higher metal prices lifted commodity producers and Wells Fargo & Co. said government data showing a record low pace in new-home sales will likely be revised higher.

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. rose 5 percent, while Alcoa Inc. added 3 percent, as copper paced gains in commodities amid a surge in stockpile orders for the metal. Walt Disney Co. added 1.9 percent as investors re-elected Apple Inc. Chief Executive Officer Steve Jobs to the board of the entertainment company. Jabil Circuit Inc. jumped 11 percent for the top gain in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index after the electronics manufacturer’s earnings forecast topped analysts’ estimates.

The S&P 500 rose 0.3 percent to 1,297.54 at 4 p.m. in New York after slumping as much as 0.8 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 67.39 points, or 0.6 percent, to 12,086.02. Crude oil advanced 0.7 percent to $105.75 a barrel.

“Investors are looking for some good news,” said Richard Sichel, who oversees $1.5 billion as chief investment officer at Philadelphia Trust Co. “Earlier today, we had the disappointing home sales data adding up to all the international uncertainties out there.  Later, you have the Wells Fargo statement attributed to turning the market around. What people need to understand is that we can have a pickup in different parts of the economy and housing will fully rebound later. There’s growth in this country and elsewhere. There is economic momentum.”

The S&P 500 fell yesterday, halting a three-day rally, as oil rose amid fighting in Libya and concern grew that Europe won’t find an immediate solution to its debt crisis. Bonds of Europe’s most-indebted countries sank.

The Portuguese parliament today rejected the government’s deficit-cutting plan in a vote that raises the chances of a bailout and which Prime Minister Jose Socrates has said threatens to push the country toward early elections. Lawmakers backed resolutions against the government’s stability and growth program, Jaime Gama, the parliament’s president, said in Lisbon.

Stocks extended losses in the first hour of trading after purchases of new U.S. homes unexpectedly declined in February to the slowest pace on record and prices dropped to the lowest level since December 2003. Sales decreased 16.9 percent to a 250,000 annual pace, figures from the Commerce Department showed. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News projected a gain to a 290,000 rate, according to the median estimate. The median price fell 8.9 percent from the same month in 2010.

A gauge of homebuilders in S&P indexes added 0.5 percent, erasing an earlier decline of 0.9 percent. Wells Fargo analyst Carl Reichardt said the February home sales data may be revised up and didn’t reflect the market “reality” as bad weather hurt the market. PulteGroup Inc. climbed 3.6 percent to $7.40 after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. added the homebuilder’s shares to its “Conviction Buy” list.

“We need to get good reports that remind everyone that the global economy is still doing OK,” said James Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Minneapolis-based Wells Capital Management, which oversees about $340 billion. “News out of Europe raises concern that their crisis won’t go away anytime soon. In addition, you’ve got the Middle East burning and keeping energy prices elevated.”

A gauge of raw-materials producers gained 1.4 percent, the biggest gain among 10 S&P 500 industries. Freeport added 5 percent to $54.88. Alcoa rallied 3 percent to $16.95.

Copper climbed for a second day in New York as orders to draw metal from inventories jumped the most in 11 months, feeding speculation that demand will outpace supply in 2011.

Canceled warrants, as the orders are known, surged 45 percent, the most since April 21, to 15,525 metric tons, daily London Metal Exchange figures showed today. LME inventories of copper shrank for the first time in six sessions. Prices also gained as figures showed that euro-area industrial orders increased for a fourth month in January.

Walt Disney gained 1.9 percent to $42.24. Investors re- elected Apple’s Jobs to the board of the entertainment company, rejecting the views of proxy advisers who say health issues may impair his ability to serve. Jobs was re-elected with 12 other nominees at the shareholder meeting today in Salt Lake City, with 74 percent of the votes cast backing the group, according to a preliminary count. The Apple executive, absent from the meeting, owns 7.3 percent of Disney and is the largest shareholder.

Jabil Circuit advanced 11 percent to $20.99. The St. Petersburg, Florida-based electronics manufacturer forecast third-quarter earnings excluding some items of at least 55 cents a share, beating the average analyst estimate of 53 cents in a Bloomberg survey.

Discover Financial Services rose 5.4 percent to $23.44. The payments network whose stock has outperformed three larger rivals posted record profit and boosted its dividend. Earnings and sales beat the averages of analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

AOL Inc. rose 4.7 percent to $19.86. The Internet company that agreed to buy the Huffington Post was raised to a “buy” from “neutral” by UBS AG, which said advertising growth may accelerate in the second half of the year.

Bank of America Corp. fell 1.7 percent to $13.65 after saying the Federal Reserve objected to its planned dividend increase. The lender “will continue to work with the Fed and intends to seek permission for a modest increase in its common dividend for the second half of 2011, through the submission of a revised comprehensive capital plan,” Bank of America said in a regulatory filing.

Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America is the only U.S. lender among the largest four that didn’t announce a higher payout after the Fed finished a review of the companies’ financial health and capital plans last week. Lenders including Bank of America, which had a 64-cent quarterly payout until 2008, slashed dividends during the financial crisis to conserve capital as loan losses piled up.

Adobe Corp. slumped 3.7 percent to $31.68. The largest maker of graphic-design programs forecast second-quarter profit of 47 to 54 cents a share, missing the 56-cent average of analysts’ projections compiled by Bloomberg.

The benchmark index for U.S. stock options fell for a fifth day, losing 35 percent for the biggest five-day slide since May, and declined below its level before the Japan earthquake as stocks rallied around the world. The VIX, as the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index is known, fell 5.2 percent to 19.17. The index measures the cost of using options as insurance against declines in the S&P 500.

“All the signs are that the economy is not only stable, but it’s picking up momentum,” said Dan Veru, chief investment officer at Palisade Capital Management LLC in Fort Lee, New Jersey, which oversees $3.8 billion. “All these problems are going to gradually diminish and that means we’re going to have gradually higher stock prices.”

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.  Be magnificent!

 

Contemplation is seeing the here and now. -Swami Prajnanpad,1891-1974

 

As ever,

Carolann

One’s destination is never a place but rather a new way of looking at things. -Henry Miller, 1891-1980

March 22nd, 2011 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Today is the United Nations’ World Day for Water – meant to give us pause to reflect on the importance of this precious resource to our lives.   We are so fortunate to have such abundance and yet our vulnerability was laid bare this week as we watched the nuclear reactors under siege on the Japanese shores of the Pacific Ocean causing inestimable damage.  Today, we learn of a cargo ship which ran aground in the South Atlantic Ocean….the second photo below gives a glimpse of the impact that shipwreck is having.

photos of the day

March 22, 2011

A girl smiles as she carries water from the Ravi river on the outskirts of Lahore. The United Nations’ World Water Day is held on March 22 every year to increase people’s awareness of water’s importance in environment, agriculture, health and trade. Mohsin Raza/Reuters

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Three oiled rock hopper penguins on the island chain of Tristan da Cunha. Thousands of endangered penguins have been coated with oil after a cargo ship ran aground and broke up on a remote British South Atlantic territory. The shipwreck also threatens the lobster fishery that provides a livelihood to one of the world’s most isolated communities. Trevor Glass/AP

The Elemental World, a Taxonomy

WATER

Nymph Queen, Landscape Queen: maintain the nature temple

Nymphs, Well Nymphs, and Pasture Nymphs: give individuality to a river, lake, meadow; develop their place into a source of blessing and healing

Nixies: enliven rivers, springs, lakes, and marshes

Undines: energize the sea

Watermen: maintain yang pole

Spirits of Balance: look after balance inside Earth’s crust.

~Marko Pogacnik, from Nature Spirits & Elemental Beings: Working with the Intelligence in Nature

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Cecile Vannucci and Nikolaj Gammeltoft

March 22 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell for the first time in four days as energy producers retreated and Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. declined after forecasting earnings below analyst estimates.

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd., Canada’s second-largest energy company by market value, dropped 0.6 percent as energy shares slipped for the first time in five days. Canadian Oil Sands Ltd. lost 1.7 percent. Canadian Pacific, the country’s second-largest railroad, tumbled 2.8 percent. Auto parts supplier Magna International Inc. fell 1.2 percent after Canada reported a decline in retail sales.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index declined 13.70 points, or 0.1 percent, to 14,000 in Toronto.

“What we’re seeing right now is a little bit of pull-back from the last two days,” said Sadiq Adatia, who oversees C$12 billion ($12.2 billion) of assets as Toronto-based chief investment officer at Russell Investments Canada. “We’re due a bit of a pull-back in our economy, and you’re seeing that a in some of the numbers.”

The S&P/TSX gained 3.6 percent from March 16 through yesterday for the biggest three-day advance in more than 10 months, as oil rebounded from its decline following the earthquake and tsunami in Japan. Energy companies make up 28 percent of Canadian stocks by market value, the most among 10 industries.

Crude rose on speculation Japanese rebuilding efforts will bolster fuel consumption and as unrest spread in the Middle East and North Africa. Oil rose 1.6 percent after climbing as much as 2.2 percent.

A group of energy companies fell 0.3 percent. Canadian Oil Sands Ltd., the largest owner of the Syncrude project, dropped 1.7 percent to C$31.49 after rising 2.6 percent the previous session. Canadian Natural Resources lost 0.6 percent to C$48.44 after jumping 1.9 percent yesterday.

Canadian retail sales declined for a second month in January, led by a slump in demand for automobiles, while the country’s leading indicators index rose the most in nine months in February.

Sales fell 0.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted C$37.1 billion ($38.1 billion), following December’s 0.2 percent drop, Statistics Canada said today in Ottawa. Sales were forecast to grow 1 percent in the month, according to the median of 23 estimates to a Bloomberg News survey.

Magna International Inc., the country’s biggest auto parts supplier, fell 1.2 percent to C$48.52. Shoppers Drug Mart Corp., Canada’s biggest pharmacy chain, lost 1.4 percent to C$40.12.

Canadian Pacific Railway, the country’s second-largest railroad, fell 2.8 percent to C$62.71 after forecasting first- quarter earnings of as little as 12 Canadian cents a share, below the 74 Canadian cents per-share analyst forecast.

New Flyer Industries Inc. slid 13 percent to C$10.40, after dropping as much as 14 percent, the most intraday since November 2008. The bus maker reported fourth-quarter sales of C$204.8 million, missing the average of analyst estimates in a Bloomberg survey by 11 percent.

Financial companies gained 0.3 percent as a group. Bank of Nova Scotia, Canada’s third-biggest bank, rose 1 percent to C$59.21. Toronto-Dominion Bank, the Canadian bank that agreed to buy auto lender Chrysler Financial Corp., advanced 0.7 percent to C$84.55.

“They’re a safer play,” said Brian Klock, an analyst at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods. “It’s less of an impact of all the volatility that these global events have on capital market businesses.”

Rare Element Resources Ltd. surged 23 percent, the most since December, to C$12.56 after losing 6.8 percent last week.

Molycorp Inc., a Greenwood Village, Colorado-based producer, said yesterday that rare earth prices were “significantly higher” than anticipated.

Research In Motion Ltd., which said its BlackBerry PlayBook tablet computer will go on sale in the U.S. on April 19, gained 0.3 percent to C$61.14.

US

By Rita Nazareth and Lu Wang

March 22 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lower for the first time in four days, as oil rose amid unrest in Libya and concern grew that Europe won’t find an immediate solution to its debt crisis.

Walgreen Co., the largest U.S. drugstore chain, sank 6.6 percent as profit margin fell short of analyst estimates.

Carnival Corp., the world’s biggest cruise-line operator, lost 4.5 percent after forecasting profit that missed analyst projections. Sprint Nextel Corp. rose 2.5 percent after Raymond James & Associates raised its rating. Netflix Inc. added 4 percent as Credit Suisse Group AG lifted its recommendation.

The S&P 500 retreated 0.4 percent to 1,293.77 at 4 p.m. in New York. The gauge had rallied 3.3 percent over the previous three sessions. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 17.90 points, or 0.2 percent, to 12,018.63 today.

“We had a number of black swan crises back to back, and that’s always very disconcerting,” Barton Biggs, who helps oversee $1.4 billion as managing partner of Traxis Partners LP, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart with Carol Massar and Matt Miller.” “There’s still a couple black swans flapping around out there, but unless you come up with a dire scenario I think we’ll extend the rally.”

Biggs said the U.S. stock market will probably rise back to its 2011 peak from February after the S&P 500 lost as much as

6.4 percent following Japan’s biggest earthquake and as Libya’s Muammar Qaddafi attacked rebels seeking to end his 41 years as the country’s ruler. U.S. stocks rallied yesterday as concern eased that Japan will suffer a nuclear meltdown and after AT&T Inc. agreed to buy T-Mobile USA Inc. for $39 billion.

The S&P 500 today snapped a three-day winning streak, the longest in about a month, as Irish notes slid and oil rose 1.6 percent to $104 a barrel. The slump in Irish notes came after EU finance chiefs settled yesterday on how to enable a permanent rescue fund to lend 500 billion euros ($712 billion) as of 2013, while remaining divided over how to get the current stopgap fund to its full capacity.

“The market is trading on the headlines,” said Tom Wirth, senior investment officer for Chemung Canal Trust Co., which manages $1.6 billion in Elmira, New York. “Things can change from minute to minute. Whenever you get things that are unknown, you start to price in higher risk. Of course, you want to buy at the bottom when the fear is so prevalent in the market. The economic recovery is strong. It’s just that there are too many unknowns right now.”

Global markets are signaling that sustained economic growth will more than make up for Japan’s worst disaster since World War II, rising commodity prices and uprisings throughout the Middle East and northern Africa. Interest-rate derivatives, bond sales by the riskiest borrowers and rebounding benchmark stock indexes all show increasing confidence in the economy.

This year markets have contended with the ouster of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, battles between forces loyal to Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi and rebels, protests in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Yemen, oil above $100 a barrel, record-high food costs and a magnitude 9.0 earthquake in Japan that killed more than 8,000 people and crippled a nuclear power plant.

“These events are not going to derail the global expansion,” said Hank Smith, chief investment officer at Haverford Trust Co., which manages about $6.5 billion in Radnor, Pennsylvania. “I’m not sure the risk is over, but the fear of it escalating and getting much worse is subsiding. The big picture remains slightly in favor of equity investors. That is, the economy is expanding, not contracting.”

Manufacturing strength from the U.S. to Germany and China is giving economists more confidence that the recovery from the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression will continue.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. forecasts a global expansion of 4.8 percent this year, while JPMorgan calls for 4.4 percent. The average over the past two decades is 3.4 percent.

Walgreen slumped 6.6 percent to $39.21. Gross margin, or the percentage of sales left after the cost of goods sold, was little changed at 28.8 percent in the second quarter, Walgreen said. Analysts at Barclays Plc and Citigroup Inc. estimated gross margin would widen at the chain, which operates about 7,700 locations across the U.S. and filled one in five retail prescriptions last quarter.

Carnival fell 4.5 percent to $39.16. The world’s biggest cruise-line operator said it will have fiscal second-quarter profit of 20 cents to 24 cents a share. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg had estimated 33 cents on average.

Sprint rallied 2.5 percent to $4.47. The third-largest U.S. mobile-phone carrier was raised to “strong buy” from “outperform” at Raymond James.

Netflix gained 4 percent to $221.39. The mail-order and online movie-rental service was raised to “outperform” from “neutral” at Credit Suisse. The share-price estimate is $280.

BJ’s Wholesale Club Inc. rose 5 percent, the most since Feb. 3, to $48.84. Shareholder Leonard Green & Partners said it’s examining an offer for the U.S. membership warehouse chain, reviving its overtures after BJ’s began looking for suitors.

Molycorp Inc. surged 18 percent, the most since Dec. 6, to $52.57. The owner of the world’s largest rare-earth deposit outside China rose as mineral prices increased and concern about the impact of Japan’s earthquake abated. Chief Executive Officer Mark Smith said yesterday that rare earth prices were “significantly higher” than anticipated.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

Be magnificent!

Such awareness is like living with a snake in the room; you watch its every movement, you are very, very sensitive to the slightest sound it makes.

Such a state of attention is total energy; in such awareness the totality of yourself is revealed in an instant. -Krishnamurti, 1895-1986

As ever,

Carolann

The test of first-rate intelligence is the ability to hold two opposed ideas in mind at the same time and still retain the ability to function.

-F. Scott Fitzgerald, 1896-1940

March 21st, 2011 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Spring has officially arrived!

 

SPRING -Gerard Manley Hopkins

 

NOTHING is so beautiful as spring—

When weeds, in wheels, shoot long and lovely and lush;

Thrush’s eggs look little low heavens, and thrush

Through the echoing timber does so rinse and wring

The ear, it strikes like lightnings to hear him sing;

The glassy peartree leaves and blooms, they brush

The descending blue; that blue is all in a rush

ith richness; the racing lambs too have fair their fling…

March 21, 2011

Photo’s of the Day

The ancient Acropolis hill is lit by the sun on a heavily overcast day in central Athens. Petros Giannakouris/AP

 

 

 

 

An elephant dances with volunteers wearing costumes to raise money for victims of the recent Japan earthquake and tsunami in Khao San Road, a backpacker area in Bangkok. The donation drive was part of Thailand’s efforts to aid earthquake-hit Japan. Chaiwat Subprasom/Reuters

 

The 67-story-high ‘The Masterpiece,’ one of Hong Kong’s most luxurious high-rise residential buildings, is seen during foggy conditions under the influence of a warm maritime airstream at sunset in Hong Kong. Tyrone Siu/Reuters

 

Market Commentary:

 

Canada

By Matt Walcoff and Jennifer A. Johnson

March 21 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose for a third day as energy shares rallied after air strikes in Libya threatened to prolong a supply disruption and Japan reported progress in solving its nuclear crisis.

Suncor Energy Inc., Canada’s largest oil and gas producer, increased 3.6 percent as crude climbed above $102 a barrel.

Cameco Corp., the world’s second-biggest uranium producer, surged 7.4 percent. Royal Bank of Canada, the country’s largest bank, increased 1.5 percent as financial companies advanced.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 224.07 points, or 1.6 percent, to close at 14,013.70 in Toronto.

“The media has panicked everyone over the situation in Japan and shook the tree real hard and unnecessarily so,” said Gerry Brockelsby, who helps oversee C$200 million ($205 million) as a money manager at Marquest Asset Management Inc. in Toronto.

“We’re seeing the reality is not as scary as the media has been portraying it.”

The S&P/TSX has gained 3.6 percent since March 16 for the biggest three-day advance in more than 10 months as oil has rebounded after dropping following the earthquake and tsunami in Japan. Energy companies make up 28 percent of Canadian stocks by market value, the most among 10 industries.

Crude futures increased as much as 2.3 percent today after allied countries began enforcing a no-fly zone over Libya to stop Muammar Qaddafi’s troops from overwhelming rebel forces.

Suncor rallied 3.6 percent to C$44.63. Canadian Natural Resources Ltd., the country’s second-largest energy company by market value, climbed 1.9 percent to C$48.71. Cenovus Energy Inc., the No. 5 Canadian energy company by revenue, increased 3.7 percent to C$37.53.

Uranium producers surged after Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan and Tokyo Electric Power Co. said progress has been made toward restoring power to the Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear plant.

Cameco advanced 7.4 percent to C$31.09 after dropping 20 percent last week. Uranium One Inc., the mining company controlled by Moscow-based ARMZ Uranium Holding, jumped 13 percent to C$4.48. Denison Mines Corp. soared 9.3 percent to C$2.81.

Mantra Resources Ltd. surged 24 percent to C$6.60 after ARMZ reduced its bid for the Perth, Australia-based company  to A$6.87 a share from A$8 a share. Mantra, which is developing uranium projects in Africa, sank 31 percent last week as ARMZ said it wanted to renegotiate the deal reached in December.

Canada’s five largest banks and all S&P/TSX insurers gained. The events in Japan and the Arab world have made investors less wary of interest-rate increases, Camilla Sutton, a currency strategist at Bank of Nova Scotia, said in a note to clients.

Royal Bank rose 1.5 percent to C$60.04. Scotiabank, Canada’s third-biggest bank, advanced 1.2 percent to C$58.60.

Manulife Financial Corp., North America’s fourth-largest insurer, increased 2.3 percent to C$17.25.

Precious-metals producers climbed as gold and silver rallied as investors sought a haven from the potential spread of unrest in the Middle East and North Africa.

Silver reseller Silver Wheaton Corp. rose 5.3 percent to C$41.31 as the metal gained 2.7 percent. First Majestic Silver Corp. advanced 7.8 percent to C$18.11, extending its four-day rally to 21 percent. Semafo Inc., which mines gold in Africa, increased 9.5 percent to C$9.67.

Teck Resources Ltd., Canada’s largest base-metals and coal producer, fell 0.9 percent to C$52.87 after workers at its Elkview coal mine in British Columbia rejected a new contract. About 750 employees have been on strike since Jan. 31.

Copper producer Taseko Mines Ltd. dropped 3.4 percent to C$5.68 after Alex Terentiew, an analyst at Credit Suisse Group AG, cut his rating on the shares to “underperform” from “neutral.” In a note to clients, Terentiew said Quadra FNX Mining Ltd. is “more compelling” than Taseko due to forecasts of faster production growth and lower costs.

Kinross Gold Corp. added 3.7 percent to C$15.04. The company’s shares have fallen so low compared to other gold mining companies that the Toronto, Ontario-based company may be a takeover target, the Globe and Mail reported. Kinross has fallen 21 percent this year. Barrick Gold Corp., the world’s largest gold mining company, dropped 7.2 percent during the same period.

 

US

By Rita Nazareth and Lu Wang

March 21 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rallied, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index higher for a third day, as concern eased that Japan will suffer a nuclear meltdown and after AT&T Inc. agreed to buy T-Mobile USA for $39 billion.

AT&T added 1.2 percent after agreeing to buy Deutsche Telekom AG’s U.S. wireless unit. OptionsXpress Holdings Inc. soared 17 percent after Charles Schwab Corp. agreed to buy the company for $1 billion in stock. American International Group Inc. and Hartford Financial Services Group Inc. rallied at least 3.9 percent as Japan made progress in restoring power to two reactors. Energy shares advanced as crude oil gained.

The S&P 500 rose 1.5 percent to 1,298.38 at 4 p.m. and has rallied 3.3 percent in three days, the longest winning streak in about a month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 178.01 points, or 1.5 percent, to 12,036.53. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which measures the cost of using options as insurance against declines in the S&P 500, slumped 16 percent, the biggest decline since May, to 20.61.

“We ought to be overweight equities,” said Hayes Miller, the Boston-based head of asset allocation in North America at Baring Asset Management Inc., which oversees $51.6 billion. “I don’t think that anything that’s happening in Japan or Libya changes the attractiveness of stocks. On top of that, companies have cash and they need to deploy it somehow if they can find accretive deals. The AT&T buyout looks very interesting.

Investors are also looking at dividends and buybacks.”

U.S. stocks fell last week, sending the S&P 500 down 1.9 percent, amid concern that Japan’s nuclear crisis and violence in Libya and Bahrain may curb the economic recovery. The gauge rose on March 18 as the Federal Reserve cleared the way for lenders to boost dividends, Libya announced a cease-fire and central banks worked to support Japan’s economy.

Global stocks rose today after Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan said progress is being made in restoring power to two reactors at the Fukushima Dai-Ichi plant, which was damaged by the March 11 temblor and ensuing tsunami. In Libya, allied officials said air and missile strikes have effectively grounded Muammar Qaddafi’s air force.

Billionaire investor Warren Buffett said Japan’s record earthquake is a buying opportunity and he won’t sell his shares in the country. Buffett canceled a trip this week to Japan to visit a factory owned by Iscar Metalworking Cos.’s Tungaloy Corp. in Fukushima prefecture, the site of the worst nuclear disaster in 25 years. Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. owns 80 percent of Iscar, a maker of cutting tools.

“If I owned Japanese stocks, I would certainly not be selling them because of the events of the past 10 days or so,” said Buffett, speaking to reporters in the South Korean city of Daegu, where he arrived yesterday to attend a ceremony for a new factory being built by TaeguTec Ltd. “Something out of the blue like this, an extraordinary event, really creates a buying opportunity.”

AT&T gained 1.2 percent to $28.26. The phone company agreed to buy T-Mobile USA from Deutsche Telekom for about $39 billion in cash and stock to create America’s largest mobile- phone company, trumping Sprint Nextel Corp.’s effort to acquire the business. The deal would allow AT&T, now the second-largest U.S. wireless operator, to add about 34 million customers and surpass Verizon Wireless. AT&T was raised to “buy” from “hold” at Citigroup.

Sprint tumbled 14 percent to $4.36.

OptionsXpress soared 17 percent to $17.90. Charles Schwab agreed to buy the Chicago-based company for $1 billion in stock, adding the 10-year-old retail options broker to its equity and mutual fund offerings. The largest independent brokerage by client asset will exchange 1.02 shares for each share of OptionsXpress. Charles Schwab added 0.5 percent to $17.65.

AIG rose 6 percent to $37.03 even after the insurer bailed out by U.S. taxpayers said first-quarter catastrophes including the earthquake in Japan will cost the company about $1 billion this quarter.

Hartford added 3.9 percent to $26.49.

An index of energy shares rallied 2.9 percent, the most in the S&P 500 within 10 industries. Oil rose as allied air strikes in Libya threatened to prolong a supply disruption in Africa’s third-biggest producer and on concern that escalating turmoil may curtail Middle East shipments.

Exxon Mobil Corp. gained 2.5 percent to $82.84.

ConocoPhillips climbed 2.9 percent to $77.55.

CBS Corp. gained 5.5 percent to $24.51. Ratings from the NCAA basketball tournament have been up 11 percent from the same period last year, David Joyce, analyst at Miller Tabak & Co., said in a note today. There has been strong demand for advertising and the tournament should be “the second-largest sports ad revenue event after the Super Bowl,” he wrote.

Tiffany & Co. climbed 5.1 percent to $60.22. The world’s second-largest luxury jewelry retailer reported a 29 percent gain in fourth-quarter profit as sales exceeded analyst estimates during the holiday season.

Citigroup Inc. lost 1.5 percent to $4.43 after reporting a 1-for-10 reverse split of its common stock. Citigroup also reported that it intends to reinstate a quarterly dividend of 1 cent per common share in the second quarter of 2011, following the effective date of the reverse stock split.

U.S. stocks maintained gains even after the National Association of Realtors said that sales of U.S. previously owned homes dropped more than forecast in February and the median purchase price declined to the lowest since April 2002.

Purchases decreased 9.6 percent to a 4.88 million annual rate, less than the 5.13 million median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

“Those things are all part of uncertainties we deal with on a day-by-day basis,” said Joseph Keating, chief investment officer at CenterState Wealth Management, who manages $1 billion in Birmingham, Alabama. “When you do the calculus, it comes down to saying, ‘the U.S. economy looks like it’s on solid footing and earnings will continue to grow. This is a buying opportunity.”

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.  Be magnificent!

 

It is only when we give complete attention to a problem, and solve it immediately – never carrying it over to the next day, the next minute – that there is solitude.To have inward solitude and space is very important because it implies freedom to be, to go, to function, to fly.

~Krishnamurti, 1895-1986

 

As ever,

Carolann

How wonderful it is that nobody need wait a single moment before starting to improve the world.     -Anne Frank, 1929-1945

March 18th, 2011 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

A wonderful weekend is upon us….and for those lucky enough to be in San Juan, this is the weekend that the swallows return to the Capistrano mission in California, as they have done every March 19th for centuries.  They left California at the end of October and have just spent the winter in Goya, Argentina – 6,000 miles away! They will be greeted by throngs of visitors from around the world, a parade, and a fiesta.  Unfazed by their celebrity, they begin immediately to rebuild their mud nests on the ruins of the mission (its rebuilt Serra Chapel is the oldest building in California still in use) and throughout the valley.  The mission is located near two rivers and is an ideal spot for the swallows to nest because of the (once) abundance of the insects on which they feed.  Though their great numbers have dwindled over the years because development in the Capistrano Valley has reduced the insect population, the swallows, driven by instinct and destiny, continue to connect us to the mystique and the comforting rhythm of migration.

Indian girls buy powdered colors from a wayside vendor ahead of the Holi festival, in Allahabad, India. Holi, the Hindu festival of colors, is traditionally celebrated by people throwing colored powder and colored water at each other and will be marked across the country on March 20. Rajesh Kumar Singh/AP

 

 

The US Coast Guard Barque Eagle makes its way up Delaware River, in view of the Walt Whitman Bridge in Philadelphia on the first stop of a world tour to celebrate its 75th anniversary. Scheduled tour stops will include London, Reykjavik, Iceland, and Hamburg, Germany, where the ship was built in 1936. It was later acquired by the US through war reparations. AP

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Horses jump a fence in The Grand Annual Steeple Chase Challenge Cup during the Cheltenham Festival horse racing meet in Gloucestershire, western England. Eddie Keogh/Reuters

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Jennifer A. Johnson

March 18 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, capping a weekly gain, as mining shares increased with precious metal prices after the Group of Seven nations agreed to intervene in currency markets following last week’s earthquake in Japan.

Barrick Gold Corp., the world’s biggest producer of the precious metal, advanced 2.3 percent, as gold rallied for the third day on investor demand for an alternative to gyrating currencies. Goldcorp Inc. gained 2.1 percent. Kinross Gold Corp. added 1.2 percent. Suncor Energy Inc. fell 2 percent  after oil declined on a cease-fire in Libya.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index advanced 43.48 points, or 0.3 percent, to close at 13,789.63 in Toronto for a 0.8 percent weekly gain.

“We had the shock come in that sent markets down,” said Sadiq Adatia, who oversees C$12 billion ($12.2 billion) of assets as Toronto-based chief investment officer at Russell Investments Canada. “You notice very quickly how people are starting to grab up names again and jump back in the market.

It’s more of a buying opportunity.”

A subgroup of raw materials producers in the benchmark Canadian equity index slumped 7.8 percent from March 4 through March 16 as commodity prices fell. Gold and silver declined as investors sold precious metals to raise cash as equity markets fell after the March 11 earthquake.

Japan’s central bank repeated its pledge to pursue “powerful monetary easing” as policy makers sought to reduce the threat of the world’s third-largest economy sinking into a recession. Japan began the effort, with Europe’s central banks following up in their markets, sending the yen down the most against the dollar since 2008.

Gold climbed for a third day, rising 0.8 percent to $1,416.10 an ounce in New York. Silver advanced 2.3 percent to $35.058 an ounce.

Barrick rallied 2.3 percent to C$48.87. Goldcorp advanced 2.1 percent to C$46.76. Kinross added 1.2 percent to C$14.51. Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd. rose 1.8 percent to C$65.55.

Silver Wheaton Corp. added 2.4 percent to C$39.25. Greystar Resources Ltd. slumped 1.9 percent to C$2.75.

Colombia plans to reject Greystar’s proposed $1 billion gold and silver mine, which lacked “viability” because of environmental concerns, Colombia’s Mines and Energy Minister Carlos Rodado said. The company said today in a statement it will meet with regulators next week to discuss “alternative options.”

Vancouver-based Greystar withdrew its permit applications yesterday for the Angostura deposit in northeastern Colombia, according to Rodado.

Oil fell after Libya said it will cease military operations against rebels and begin talks aimed at resolving the dispute that has curtailed crude production and exports.

Crude oil for April delivery dropped 35 cents to settle at $101.07 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Futures were up as much as 2.2 percent intraday before the Libyan announcement.

Suncor Energy slumped 2 percent to C$43.09. Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. dropped 0.9 percent to C$47.81. Encana Corp. rose 1.7 percent to C$33.65, the highest price since July.

Talisman Energy Inc. advanced 1.5 percent to C$23.64.

Uranium One Inc. was the biggest gainer in the Canadian benchmark equity index, paring its weekly decline to 34 percent. The shares rose 14 percent to C$3.93 today.

US

By Rita Nazareth

March 18 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks advanced, paring a weekly decline, as the Federal Reserve cleared the way for lenders to boost dividends, Libya announced a cease-fire and central banks worked to support Japan’s economy.

The KBW Bank Index of 24 companies rallied 1.1 percent as the Fed said some of the largest banks are strong enough to restart or increase dividend payments, buy back shares or repay government capital. Caterpillar Inc. rose 1.9 percent after saying that retail machine sales jumped 59 percent worldwide.

Nike Inc. fell 9.2 percent as the world’s largest sporting goods company reported profit that missed analysts’ estimates.

The S&P 500 advanced 0.4 percent to 1,279.21 at 4 p.m. in New York, rallying for a second day. The gauge pared its weekly decline to 1.9 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 83.93 points, or 0.7 percent, to 11,858.52 today.

“It’s a return to normalization,” said Philip Orlando, the New York-based chief equity market strategist at Federated Investors Inc., which manages $341.3 billion. “The Fed is saying what investors want to hear. It’s allowing banks to create value to shareholders. In addition to that, we have positive news on the international front,” he said. “People will be moving back aggressively into stocks as soon as we get more clarity about Japan’s nuclear situation and the geopolitical unrest.”

The S&P 500 has fallen 4.8 percent from its 32-month high in February on concern Japan’s worst earthquake and surging oil prices will hurt the global economic recovery. The index had a three-day slump through March 16, sending the S&P 500 to the lowest valuation since November at 14.7 reported earnings, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The S&P 500 Financials Index gained 1.1 percent, the biggest rally among 10 industries, as 68 of its 81 stocks rose.

The Fed said some of the 19 largest U.S. banks will be able to restart dividend payments, buy back shares or repay government capital after “significant improvement” in their capital positions and the economy.

JPMorgan Chase & Co., the second-largest U.S. bank by assets, raised its quarterly payout to 25 cents a share from 5 cents and authorized a $15 billion stock buyback. Wells Fargo & Co. authorized the repurchase of 200 million shares and a special dividend of 7 cents a share, which will raise the first- quarter payout to 12 cents.

U.S. Bancorp, Minnesota’s largest lender, raised its quarterly dividend to 12.5 cents a share from 5 cents. The bank authorized the purchase of 50 million shares through December.

BB&T Corp., the ninth-largest U.S. bank by deposits, said it will increase its dividend to 16 cents a share from 15 cents.

SunTrust Banks Inc. said it will sell $1 billion in common stock and $1 billion in debt as it seeks to repay $4.85 billion in U.S. bailout funds.

KeyCorp., Ohio’s second-biggest bank, said it is selling $625 million in stock and also issuing debt to help repay a U.S. bailout. State Street Corp. raised its quarterly dividend to 18 cents a share from 1 cent a share. Citigroup Inc. said it expects to be able to return capital to shareholders next year.

JPMorgan rallied 2.7 percent to $45.74. Wells Fargo added 1.5 percent to $31.83. U.S. Bancorp advanced 1.1 percent to $26.65. BB&T rose 0.5 percent to $27.01. SunTrust climbed 4.7 percent to $29.59. KeyCorp jumped 0.8 percent to $8.92. State Street rose 2.2 percent to $44.37. Citigroup gained 1.1 percent to $4.50.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. rose 2.7 percent to $159.96. The fifth-biggest U.S. bank by assets will buy back $5 billion of preferred stock sold to Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. at the height of the 2008 financial crisis and won approval from the Fed for a dividend increase and buyback.

Berkshire Hathaway Class B shares rallied 0.9 percent to $83.48.

Crude oil fell as Libya said it’s ceasing all military action and will start talks with the opposition, bolstering chances of a resolution to the conflict that has cut shipments from the country. Libyan Foreign Minister Moussa Koussa made the announcement in a televised news conference carried by Al Arabiya TV.

In Japan, the Nikkei 225 Stock Average rallied 2.7 percent, paring its worst weekly performance since 2008. The Group of Seven nations jointly intervened in the foreign exchange market for the first time in more than a decade after Japan’s currency soared, threatening its recovery from the March 11 earthquake.

G-7 finance chiefs said in a joint statement after a conference call they will “provide any needed cooperation” with Japan.

“We’ve put some money to work,” said Michael Mullaney, who manages $9.5 billion at Fiduciary Trust Co. in Boston.

“There’s good news coming out of Libya because, of course, you don’t want to see a United States intervention. It’s also nice to see the coordination among the G-7 nations because a stronger yen is not in the best interest of the Japanese as they are restarting their economy.”

Caterpillar rose 1.9 percent to $105.06. The largest maker of construction equipment said February retail sales of machines jumped 59 percent worldwide for the three-month rolling period compared with the same months the prior year. The information was disclosed in a regulatory filing.

Cisco Systems Inc. rallied 0.8 percent to $17.14. The largest maker of networking equipment said its first cash dividend ever will be 6 cents a share, aiming to give a boost to investors after the shares fell 35 percent in the past year. The dividend will be paid April 20 to shareholders of record on March 31.

Nike retreated 9.2 percent to $77.59. The world’s largest sporting goods company reported profit that missed analysts’ estimates for the first time in 19 straight quarters, amid higher costs. Net income rose to $1.08 a share in the third quarter ended Feb. 28, the company said yesterday in a statement. That compared with the $1.12 average of estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

Investors who were optimistic before the crisis at Japan’s nuclear plant should stick with their outlook and buy U.S. equities as earnings expand, even after the biggest surge in volatility since May, according to UBS AG.

“Market volatility should come down,” Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist at UBS, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “In the Loop with Betty Liu.” “If you were optimistic before, looking at the fact that employment’s getting better, manufacturing’s getting better and the stock market is cheaper, I’d be a buyer at the current level.”

The VIX, as the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index is known, soared as much as 46 percent at the beginning of this week for the biggest three-day gain since May. It fell 7.3 percent to 24.44 today. Golub said the volatility jump isn’t a reason to change investment outlooks because fundamentals remain intact.

 

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!

There is no weapon more powerful in achieving the truth than acceptance of oneself.

-Swami Prajnanpad, 1891-1974

 

As ever,

Carolann

Hope is the thing with feathers, that perches in the soul, and sings the tune without words, and never stops at all. -Emily Dickinson, 1830-1886

March 17th, 2011 Newsletter

Dear Friends,  HAPPY SAINT PATRICK’S DAY!

I wanted to mention a wonderful Irish musician whom we heard for the first time a couple of weeks ago.  Her name is Lisa O’Neill and she is a youthful and energetic twenty-something-year-old, living in Dublin.  We had tickets to the David Gray concert for the Friday night on March 4th, who, by the way  was incredible – one of the best musicians I’ve ever heard, one of the best bands I’ve ever heard and certainly one of the best concerts I’ve been to in awhile on many levels.  Gary commented afterward that it was an evening of pure art, and on reflection, I agree.  Anyway, when the concert was slated to begin, David Gray appeared from behind the curtain, and said he wanted to introduce to the audience a talented musician from Ireland named Lisa O’Neill, who has produced a CD, of which she wrote all music and lyrics.  She sang for about an hour, played guitar and harmonica – and yes, she is fun to listen to and talented.  When she finished her performance, she announced that there would be a half hour intermission and she would be in the lobby autographing her CD.  I stood in line to get one and the name of it is lisa o’neill has an album.  It has some great tunes including one entitled I painted my nails so pretty and a wonderful song about Bob Dylan entitled bobby d,  both of which she sang at the concert.  You can find her at www.myspace.com/lisaconeill.

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Matt Walcoff

March 17 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose for the first time in four days as oil prices advanced with continuing unrest in the Middle East and northern Africa and economic data from Canada and the U.S. showed a strengthening recovery.

Suncor Energy Inc., the country’s biggest oil and gas producer, gained 4.5 percent as crude climbed above $101 a barrel. Teck Resources Ltd., the country’s biggest base-metals and coal producer, rallied 5.1 percent as copper and zinc gained. Sino-Forest Corp., which produces lumber in China, surged 7.1 percent as forestry companies rose on the prospect of rebuilding in Japan.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index advanced 221.33 points, or 1.6 percent, the most since Nov. 18, to 13,746.15. It fell to a six-week low yesterday.

Oil prices “have stabilized at the elevated levels,” said Greg Eckel, who helps oversee about C$1 billion ($1 billion) as a money manager at Morgan Meighen & Associates Ltd. in Toronto.

“If there are pipeline disruptions and production disruptions, it obviously reduces supply.”

The index had lost 4.3 percent this month through yesterday after eight months of gains. Oil companies dropped as crude prices retreated from the peak touched at the outbreak of the Libyan civil war, while mining and insurance stocks declined after the March 11 earthquake and tsunami in Japan.

Crude oil futures rallied 3.5 percent as fighting intensified in Libya. Natural gas jumped the most in eight months after the U.S. Energy Department said stockpiles declined more than 21 of 22 analysts in a Bloomberg survey had forecast.

The S&P/TSX Energy Index climbed 3.1 percent, the most since May 27. The Thomson Reuters/Jefferies CRB Commodity Price Index, which includes 19 items, soared the most in 19 months.

Suncor advanced 4.5 percent to C$43.96 after being named a “key call” by George Toriola, an analyst at UBS AG. Canadian Natural Resources Ltd., the country’s second-largest energy company by market value, rose 5 percent to C$48.23. Petrobank Energy & Resources Ltd., a western Canadian oil and gas producer, gained 5.3 percent to C$20.03. Oilfield-services provider Precision Drilling Corp. jumped 8.3 percent to C$11.92.

Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp., which produces oil and gas in Colombia, surged 7.2 percent to C$27.94 after releasing details of its contract with Ecopetrol SA to develop the Quifa Block. The shares sank to a six-month low on March 14 on concern the contract may lead to a smaller participation interest in the project for Pacific Rubiales than previously thought.

Wholesale sales increased 1.5 percent in January, Statistics Canada said today. The figure exceeded nine of 11 economists’ estimates in a Bloomberg survey.

In the U.S., first-time unemployment claims fell to 385,000 last week from a revised 401,000 the previous week, the Labor Department said in Washington. Economists had forecast a total of 388,000 claims, according to the median of 44 estimates in a Bloomberg survey.

An index of S&P/TSX base-metals and coal producers advanced the most in three months as all major base metals gained on the London Metal Exchange.

Teck rose 5.1 percent, the most since Sept. 1, to C$53.72.

First Quantum Minerals Ltd., Canada’s second-largest publicly traded copper producer, gained 5.6 percent to C$121.20. Mercator Minerals Ltd., which mines copper and molybdenum, increased 9.1 percent to C$3.82.

Minera Andes Inc., which explores for precious and base metals in Argentina, surged 20 percent to C$2.69 after announcing plans to spin off its Los Azules copper project into a new company.

Cameco Corp., the world’s second-largest uranium producer, decreased 5.8 percent to C$27.73. The shares have plunged 24 percent this week as the Japanese nuclear crisis has jeopardized a renaissance in nuclear power.

Forestry companies rallied as lumber jumped the most allowed in a day on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

Sino-Forest advanced 7.1 percent to C$23.21. Canfor Corp., which derived 38 percent of its revenue from Asia last quarter, soared 7.8 percent to C$14. Western Forest Products Inc., which also exports forest products to Asia, surged 24 percent to C$1.18, extending its five-day gain to 90 percent.

Martinrea International Inc., Canada’s second-largest auto- parts maker, increased 8.6 percent to C$9.74. Analysts at Paradigm Capital Inc., Canaccord Financial Inc. and Clarus Securities Inc. raised 12-month share-price estimates on the company two days after it reported fourth-quarter profit that topped the average analyst estimate.

 

US

By Rita Nazareth

March 17 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rallied, breaking a three-day losing streak for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, amid investor speculation that Japan will contain a nuclear crisis and as FedEx Corp.’s profit forecast beat estimates.

The iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund tracking 323 securities rose 4.6 percent, following a 14 percent slump over the previous five days. FedEx, which runs the biggest cargo airline and is considered a proxy for economic growth, gained 3.1 percent.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Bank of America Corp. added at least 1.7 percent as a person familiar with the matter said the Federal Reserve will tell some of the largest U.S. banks tomorrow whether they can raise their dividends or buybacks.

The S&P 500 advanced 1.3 percent to 1,273.72 at 4 p.m. in New York. The gauge, which had declined 3.6 percent over the last three days, yesterday traded at 14.7 times reported earnings, the lowest valuation since November, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 161.29 points, or 1.4 percent, to 11,774.59 today.

“The market is oversold,” said Mike Ryan, the New York- based head of wealth management research for the Americas at UBS Financial Services Inc., which oversees $741 billion. “The major focus is on whether or not Japan will be able to get any kind of containment on the nuclear reactors. The G-7 meeting is constructive as they are probably going to talk about what type of aid they may provide. There’s also the unrest in northern Africa and the Middle East. The corporate outlook will help, but it’s still going to be about headline and geopolitical risks.”

The S&P 500 had tumbled 6.4 percent from its 32-month high in February through yesterday amid concern Japan’s worst earthquake on record and uprisings in the Middle East and northern Africa will derail the global economic recovery. The yen strengthened to a post-World War II high as Group of Seven officials prepare to meet tomorrow to discuss the threat to the world’s third-largest economy from a worsening nuclear crisis.

Tokyo Electric Power Co. said efforts to use water cannons and helicopters to cool its damaged Fukushima nuclear plant may have had some success as workers try to stop radioactive pollution spreading. A bid to spray water onto the No. 3 reactor may have worked, a Tokyo Electric official said at a briefing. The company is trying to connect a power cable to the plant.

The International Atomic Energy Agency said the situation at three loaded reactor cores in Japan’s Fukushima nuclear complex has been “relatively stable” in the last 24 hours. All of the units are damaged and don’t have cooling, IAEA Director Graham Andrew said today at a press briefing in Vienna. The situation remains “very serious,” he said.

Pacific Investment Management Co., the world’s biggest manager of bond funds, hasn’t seen redemptions from Asia investors following last week’s earthquake in Japan, Chief Executive Officer Mohamed El-Erian said.

“It’s too early,” as the immediate effect is to worry about the human consequences first, El-Erian said on Bloomberg Television’s “InBusiness” in an interview with Margaret Brennan. “There is a period of shock until people fully understand the enormity of what happened.”

In Japan, the Nikkei 225 Stock Average slid 1.4 percent after losing as much as 5 percent. The iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund gained 4.6 percent to $10.10 in U.S. trading, after yesterday dropping to the lowest level since September.

The slide in stocks has left both developed and emerging market equities “mildly oversold,” according to Citigroup Inc. global strategist Robert Buckland.

“Perhaps ongoing fears will provide the impetus for global equities to get even more oversold,” he wrote. “Unless these events have a meaningful impact upon the economy, then a further sell-off would offer an opportunity to get more bullish. The best time to take risk on is when others want to take it off.”

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which measures the cost of using options as insurance against declines in the S&P 500, slumped 10 percent to 26.37. The VIX jumped 21 percent to 29.40 yesterday for its highest close since July.

The VIX benchmark index for U.S. stock options will average 18.50 this year, below its historic average, as the continuing economic recovery reduces stock-market swings, Susquehanna Financial Group LLLP said. S&P 500 fluctuations are likely to decrease as the Federal Reserve keeps interest rates near record lows to boost economic growth, according to a report from Trevor Mottl, the firm’s head of derivative strategy.

“Improving U.S. economic conditions, accommodative monetary policy, and increased real financial activity will act to collectively stabilize risk-asset prices, supporting our forecast of lower realized S&P 500 volatility,” Mottl wrote.

The Morgan Stanley Cyclical Index of companies most-tied to economic activity advanced 1.4 percent as 26 of its 30 stocks gained. The Dow Jones Transportation Average of 20 stocks rallied 1.4 percent.

FedEx rose 3.1 percent to $87.89. Per-share earnings for the fiscal fourth quarter ending May 31 will be $1.66 to $1.83 a share, the company said today. Analysts had projected $1.66, the average of 22 estimates in a Bloomberg survey.

The KBW Bank Index gained 1.4 percent as 23 of its 24 stocks rallied. JPMorgan rose 1.7 percent to $44.56. Bank of America added 2.1 percent to $13.98.

Qualcomm Inc. added 3.6 percent to $52.32. The largest producer of mobile-phone chips said it expects last week’s Japanese earthquake and tsunami to have a limited effect on its supplies.

Hewlett-Packard Co. rallied 3.2 percent to $41.43, while Apple Inc. gained 1.4 percent to $334.64. Credit Suisse rated the stocks “outperform” and the hardware industry “overweight,” citing the outlook for growth in demand.

Energy producers had the biggest gain in the S&P 500 within 10 industries, rising 3.1 percent. Crude oil climbed the most in three weeks on concern that unrest in North Africa and the Middle East will spread, reducing shipments from the region. Oil advanced 3.5 percent to $101.42 a barrel.

Schlumberger Ltd., the world’s largest oilfield services provider, gained 4.8 percent to $87.05. ConocoPhillips added 4 percent to $76.72.

The S&P 500 will fall to 1,232 by March 31, marking the bottom of a “modest correction,” according to Birinyi Associates Inc., which cited data measuring average drops of at least 5 percent since 1945.

The decrease would represent a 2 percent retreat from yesterday’s close of 1,256.88. When the S&P 500 loses 5 percent during a rallying period, the decline lasts an average of 41 days and extends to 8.3 percent, according to a report today by Cleve Rueckert, an analyst at Birinyi Associates.

“History suggests that the current decline will be short- lived, and most likely presents a buying opportunity,” the Westport, Connecticut-based research and money-management firm said in a report today.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

Be magnificent!

Not only must we be aware of the nature and structure of the problem and see it completely, but meet it as it arises and resolve it immediately, so that it does not take root in the mind. If one allows a problem to endure for a month or a day, or even for a few minutes, it distorts the mind. -Krishanmurti, 1895-1986

As ever, Carolann

You’ve got to do your own growing, no matter how tall your grandfather was. -Irish Proverb

 

March 16th, 2011 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

The devastation in Japan has  captured the world’s attention and benefitted Gadaffi as his well-equipped military repels and brutalizes their own countrymen.  There is a full page debate in today’s National Post on whether or not Obama should use force against Libya.  On the yes side, Paul Wolfowitz in Washington argues that “The rebels want international freedom.  We should give it to them.”    On the no side, Richard N. Haas in New York City puts forth the opinion that “The last thing we need is another vaguely defined intervention in a place where U.S. interests are not vital.”

Uncannily, last night I came across an anniversary tribute to the Op-Ed section of The New York Times from last year which I had saved, and which contained certain op-ed pieces that appeared over the years on various topics and were reprinted in this special anniversary edition.  The Op-Ed section was an innovative idea when it was conceived –  a full page devoted every week to readers where they could send in their views  on virtually any topic.  The following is a piece that was appeared in the Op-Ed section on August 4, 1993.  It was written by Joseph Brodsky. Brodsky was a poet who received the Nobel Prize in Literature in 1987.  He died in 1996.

AUG 4, 1993

Balkan Excuses

AS AMERICA LIES in its state-induced moral stupor, lots of people die violent deaths all over the place, particularly in the Balkans.  When it comes to externalizing evil, few things can rival geography or, for that matter, history.

What’s happening now in the Balkans is very simple:  It is a bloodbath.  Terms such as “Serbs,” “Croats,” “Bosnians” mean absolutely nothing.  Any other combination of vowels and consonants will amount to the same thing:  killing people.  Neither religious distinctions – Orthodox, Catholic, Muslim – nor ethnic ones are of any consequence.

Evocations of history here are nonsense.  Whenever one pulls the trigger to rectify history’s mistake, one lies.  For history makes no mistakes, since it has no purpose.  One quotes history to avoid responsibility or pangs of conscience.

Besides, the Balkan bloodshed is essentially a short-term project.  Set in motion by the local heads of state, its main purpose is to keep them in power for as long as possible.  For want of any binding issue (economic or ideological), it is prosecuted under the banner of a retroactive utopia called nationalism.

All this needn’t have happened.  Once it began, it could have been stopped.  The fact that it hasn’t been stopped means that its continuation is to somebody’s advantage.  We may ask, to whose?  After all, ethical as we are, we are also a country of the bottom line.  If somebody who can stop a bloodbath doesn’t do it, it means that he profits from it.

photos of the day

March 16, 2011

A woman in Seoul, Korea, walks away from a message wall after writing a note to the victims of last week’s earthquake and tsunami in Japan. Truth Leem/Reuters

 

 

 

A six-day-old female chimpanzee clings to her mother, Uschi, at the Bratislava Zoo in Slovakia. The young chimpanzee is the first chimpanzee born in the zoo since 1990. Radovan Stoklasa/Reuters

 

Ultra-Orthodox Jewish children dressed in costumes walk through the religious Mea Shearim neighborhood in Jerusalem ahead of the upcoming Purim holiday. The Jewish holiday of Purim celebrates the Jews’ salvation from genocide in ancient Persia, as recounted in the Scroll of Esther. Sebastian Scheiner/AP

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Matt Walcoff

March 16 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell for a third day, led by banks and uranium producers, after the U.S. reported housing starts declined to the least since April 2009 and the Japanese nuclear crisis continued.

Royal Bank of Canada, the country’s largest lender by assets, dropped 0.9 percent after U.S. building permits slumped to a record low in February. Cameco Corp., the world’s second- largest uranium producer, lost 8.2 percent after the International Atomic Energy Agency said four nuclear units in Japan have core damage. Silver reseller Silver Wheaton Corp. retreated 2.4 percent as precious-metals producers fell.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index decreased 22.14 points, or 0.2 percent, to 13,524.82. The index had jumped as much as 1 percent and declined as much as 0.9 percent earlier.

“The market really doesn’t like uncertainty,” said Jeff Bradacs, a Toronto-based senior investment analyst for a team at Manulife Asset Management that oversees C$1.7 billion ($1.7 billion). “Until we have clarity on Japan, I would expect the volatility to remain.”

The S&P/TSX had fallen 5 percent from March 4 to yesterday as the Thomson Reuters/Jefferies CRB Commodity Price Index dropped 6.8 percent. Crude oil retreated after surging to a 29- month high as civil war broke out in Libya. Gold and silver dropped as investors sold precious metals to raise cash as equity markets dipped after the March 11 earthquake in Japan.

“Front and center is the devastation and uncertainty in Japan, but you’ve also got ongoing instability in the Middle East; you’ve got continued issues with sovereign credit in Europe,” said Murray Leith, who helps manage about C$6.5 billion as a money manager at Odlum Brown Ltd. in Vancouver.

“There’s some nervousness, some jumpiness.”

The five largest Canadian banks declined after the U.S. Commerce Department said housing starts retreated 23 percent to a 479,000 annual rate. Economists had forecast a figure of 566,000, according to the median of 74 estimates in a Bloomberg survey.

Royal Bank lost 0.9 percent to C$59.06. Toronto-Dominion Bank, the parent of Portland, Maine-based TD Bank NA and Cherry Hill, New Jersey-based Commerce Bancorp Inc., decreased 0.7 percent to C$82.72. Bank of Nova Scotia, Canada’s No. 3 lender by assets, slipped 1.1 percent to C$57.61.

Uranium-mining companies fell for a third day as the nuclear crisis in Japan jeopardized a renaissance in nuclear power. Gregory B. Jaczko, the chairman of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, told a Congressional committee that no water remains in the spent-fuel pool at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant.

Cameco Corp., the world’s second-largest uranium producer, declined 8.2 percent to C$29.43 to extend its weekly drop to 19 percent. Uranium One Inc., a mining company controlled by Moscow-based ARMZ Uranium Holding, slumped 5.4 percent to C$3.52 for a 41 percent plunge on the week.

Mantra Resources Ltd., a uranium producer based in Perth, Australia, tumbled 33 percent to C$4.70 after ARMZ said it wants to renegotiate its A$1.2 billion ($1.18 billion) deal to buy the company.

Westshore Terminals Investment Corp., which owns a coal- storage and loading facility on the Pacific Ocean, slumped 6.3 percent, the most since July 2009, to C$22.56. Japan is the largest buyer of Canadian coal exports, according to Statistics Canada.

Precious-metals producers declined as gold and silver retreated in electronic trading after market close in New York.

Silver Wheaton decreased 2.4 percent to C$38.12. Kinross Gold Corp., Canada’s third-largest gold producer, slipped 1.6 percent to a 27-month low of C$14.29. Eastern Platinum Ltd., which mines in South Africa, sank 7.8 percent to a six-month low of C$1.31 as the metal extended its monthly decline to 6.4 percent.

Semafo Inc., which mines gold in Africa, rose 5.5 percent from a seven-month low to C$8.52. The company is scheduled to release fourth-quarter financial results today.

Most S&P/TSX energy companies advanced as oil climbed on speculation the unrest in Bahrain may spread to Saudi Arabia.

Imperial Oil Ltd., Canada’s second-largest energy company, increased 2.1 percent to C$50.05 for its first gain in eight days. EnCana Corp., the country’s biggest natural gas producer, climbed 2.2 percent to C$32.13. Oilfield-services provider Pason Systems Inc. surged 6 percent to C$14.75.

Insurance holding company Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. gained 2.4 percent to C$360.01 after Moody’s Investors Service raised its senior unsecured debt rating to Baa3 from Ba1.

 

US

By Rita Nazareth

March 16 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks retreated, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to the lowest level since December, amid concern that Japan’s nuclear crisis will worsen.

The iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund tracking 323 securities slumped 3.7 percent. KB Home and D.R. Horton Inc. slid more than 2.2 percent, pacing declines in homebuilders, as housing starts plunged to the lowest level in almost a year. International Business Machines Corp. fell 3.8 percent as Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. cut its rating on the shares. Apple Inc. sank 4.5 percent after JMP Securities LLC downgraded the maker of iPads.

The S&P 500 fell 2 percent to 1,256.88 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 242.12 points, or 2 percent, to 11,613.30, the biggest drop since August. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which measures the cost of using options as insurance against declines in the S&P 500, rose 21 percent to 29.40, the highest level since July.

“The risks have risen and you have to be mindful of them,” said David Joy, chief market strategist at Columbia Management in Boston, which oversees $350 billion. “It’s difficult to nail down what’s accurate information coming out of Japan and what isn’t. There’s concern that the problems at the nuclear plants are far more serious than the problems associated with the earthquake. In addition to that, there’s ongoing housing weakness in the U.S. and a fear premium built into the oil market. That’s why you have to hedge your bets.”

The United Nations’ nuclear agency will call an emergency meeting to discuss the crisis in Japan as a breach at the stricken Fukushima Dai-Ichi plant increased the risk of a radioactive leak. IAEA Chief Yukiya Amano is flying to Tokyo to talk with authorities today and will return for the meeting as soon as possible, he told reporters in Vienna. It will be the first extraordinary meeting of the agency’s 35-member board since his election to succeed Mohamed ElBaradei two years ago.

The S&P 500 pared its retreat after the Associated Press reported Tokyo Electric Power Co. says a power line that may solve the nuclear crisis at its facility is almost ready. Tokyo Electric Power has not determined the timing for when a new power line can restore electricity to a tsunami-crippled nuclear power plant, Sakio Iwamoto, a spokesman, told Bloomberg News.

Iwamoto said he couldn’t confirm how much progress has been made in installing the new power line.

The S&P 500 has slumped 3.6 percent over the last three days after a 9-magnitude earthquake, the biggest in Japan’s history, struck the northeast part of the country on March 11.

“Investors have priced in an Armageddon scenario,” said Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Philadelphia-based Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, which manages $53 billion. “If we find that there’s stabilization coming into those nuclear facilities in Japan, investors will turn around and look at the alternatives. People are wary, but at the same time there’s a notion that the economic basis continues to show strength.”

Japan’s earthquake should have a “limited” impact on U.S. growth, said Alec Phillips, a Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economist based in Washington. Disruptions to Japanese output could shift demand to U.S. products, according to Phillips.

The iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund declined 3.7 percent to $9.66 in U.S. trading, dropping to the lowest level since September. Qualcomm Inc., the biggest maker of mobile-phone chips, and Coach Inc., the largest U.S. maker of luxury leather handbags, slumped at least 2.6 percent amid concern Japanese sales will suffer.

Earlier today, equity futures fell after the Commerce Department said housing starts dropped 22.5 percent to a 479,000 annual rate. The decline from January was the biggest since March 1984. The median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey called for a 566,000 rate. Building permits, a proxy for future construction, fell 8.2 percent to a 517,000 annual pace.

The producer-price index climbed 1.6 percent from the prior month, the most since June 2009, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington. The median projection in a Bloomberg News survey was for a 0.7 percent gain. The so-called core measure, which excludes volatile food and energy costs increased 0.2 percent, matching forecasts.

A gauge of homebuilders in S&P indexes declined 2.3 percent, as 11 of the 12 stocks retreated. KB Home slumped 3.8 percent to $12.71. D.R. Horton sank 2.3 percent to $11.70.

IBM declined 3.8 percent to $153. The computer services company was cut to “market perform” from “outperform” at Sanford C. Bernstein. IBM, which makes up 10 percent of the gauge, contributed 45.60 points to the index’s slump.

Apple fell 4.5 percent, the most since June, to $330.01.

The world’s most valuable technology company was cut to “market perform’’ from “market outperform” at JMP Securities. Alex Gauna, an analyst at the brokerage, citing risks related to manufacturing partner Foxconn Technology Corp.

Pessimism on U.S. stocks rose for the third straight week, according to Investor Intelligence’s analysis of investment newsletters between March 9 and yesterday. About 22 percent of writers were bearish on U.S. stocks, up from 21 percent last week, according to the New Rochelle, New York-based firm, which has examined forecasts in newsletters since 1963. About 52 percent of investors were bullish, while 26 percent anticipate a correction, or 10 percent decline, in the market.

Barclays Plc’s Barry Knapp forecast that the U.S. stock market will dip in the third to fourth quarter this year, once the Federal Reserve starts to unwind its stimulus program.

The Fed is “likely to keep the balance sheet static after they stop expanding in June,” said Knapp, head of U.S. equity strategy at Barclays Capital, in an interview today on “Bloomberg Surveillance” with Tom Keene. “In the September to November time frame, they’ll allow it start contracting, and that will be the necessary condition to trigger an equity market correction.”

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone,

 

Be magnificent!

All the responsibility of good and evil is on you.  This is the great hope.

What I have done, that I can undo. -Swami Vivekananda, 1863-1902


As ever,

Carolann

The greatest of faults, I should say, is to be conscious of none.

-Thomas Carlyle, 1795-1881

March 15th, 2011 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

As we look at the devastation caused by the massive earthquake in Japan, the grace under pressure shown by the Japanese people continues to draw praise.  This is a culture whose industrial philosophy is summed up by the word “kaizen” – continuous improvement.  Rebuilding will give Japan a 21st century infrastructure.  It will  also give Japan a massive economic stimulus program certain to pull it out of the doldrums it has been in for the past two decades.  The past has shown the Japanese remarkably able to rise from the ashes.

And of course we remember this as the day – the ides of March – that Julius Caesar died in 44 BC. So why not a small tribute to that great writer of a most famous speech from one of the more remarkable plays ever written:

Friends, Romans, countrymen, lend me your ears;  I come to bury Caesar, not to praise him.  The evil that men do lives after them.  The good is oft interred with their bones…

-William Shakespeare

By the way, I was reading in the paper the other day, that the playhouse where Shakespeare’s plays were performed, in Stratford-Upon-Avon, has been completely renovated.   Queen Elizabeth officially opened the new playhouse last week.  Something to remember for your next trip to England.

photos of the day

March 15, 2011

Former Olympic champions, American track and field athlete Carl Lewis and Romanian gymnast Nadia Comaneci, pose for the cameras in front of London’s Tower Bridge as they take part in a media event to launch 500 days until the start of the London 2012 Olympic games and the beginning of the sale of 6.6 million tickets for the games in London. Alastair Grant/AP

 

The Mudyug icebreaker, (l.), leads a ship named the Federal Danube as men fish in the frozen Gulf of Finland, 25 miles west of St. Petersburg, Russia. Icebreakers have been called in to free dozens of ships that have been trapped. The eastern Gulf of Finland has not seen such thick ice since 1992, according to the federal agency. Dmitry Lovetsky/AP

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Matt Walcoff

March 15 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell for a second day, led by precious-metal producers, as some investors sold metals to raise cash following declines in world equity markets.

Barrick Gold Corp., the world’s largest producer, dropped 2.4 percent as the metal dropped the most since Jan. 4. Teck Resources Ltd., Canada’s biggest base-metal and coal producer, rose 4.3 percent after the U.S. Federal Reserve said the recovery is gaining strength. Manulife Financial Corp., which had 120 life insurance sales offices in Japan on Dec. 31, lost 4.2 percent as the costs of the country’s earthquake mounted.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index declined 72.23 points, or 0.5 percent, to 13,546.96, the lowest level since Jan 31. The S&P/TSX has retreated 4.2 percent this month after eight months of gains.

“People are uncertain about what’s going to happen in Japan,” said David Baskin, president of Toronto-based money manager Baskin Financial Services Inc., which manages about C$400 million ($406 million). “They’re worried, so they’re fleeing to safety. They’re buying U.S. dollars, U.S. Treasury bills and selling pretty much everything else.”

The Canadian stock benchmark fell 4.1 percent last week as the U.S. reported an increase in initial jobless claims and oil dropped from a post-2008 high. The index sank as much as 2.8 percent in the first five minutes of trading today on concern the earthquake, tsunami and nuclear emergency in Japan will cripple Canada’s fourth-biggest export market.

Shoppers grabbed water, food and batteries from store shelves in Tokyo as the death count from last week’s events climbed to 2,734. A third explosion occurred at the nuclear power plant north of the city where the cooling system failed after the March 11 earthquake and tsunami.

The Thomson Reuters/Jefferies CRB Commodity Price Index declined the most in four months. Gold dropped 2.3 percent to $1,392.80 an ounce in New York.

Barrick slipped 2.4 percent to C$48.45. Semafo Inc., which mines gold in Africa, declined 5.4 percent to C$8.08 a day before it is to release fourth-quarter financial results. Silver reseller Silver Wheaton Corp. lost 3.7 percent to C$39.06 as that metal decreased 4.8 percent.

Alamos Gold Inc., which mines in Mexico, retreated 6.3 percent to C$15.86 after saying it crushed less ore in January and February than it had planned. This should lead to a smaller profit than previously forecast for the first quarter, Anita Soni, an analyst at Credit Suisse Group AG, wrote in a note to clients.

Uranium One Inc., a mining company controlled by Moscow- based ARMZ Uranium Holding, fell 14 percent to C$3.72 as the Japanese crisis jeopardized a renaissance in nuclear power. The shares have plunged 37 percent this week.

Producers of other raw materials rebounded after the Fed’s Open Market Committee, for the first time since September, issued a statement that did not call the recovery “disappointingly slow.”

Teck gained 4.3 percent from a three-month low to C$51.71.

First Quantum Minerals Ltd., Canada’s second-largest publicly traded copper producer, advanced 2.3 percent to C$113.71 before the scheduled release of its fourth-quarter financial results.

Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc., the world’s biggest fertilizer producer by market value, climbed 2.7 percent to C$53.14 after touching a 2011 intraday low.

“The market’s saying the selloff has been overdone; agricultural fundamentals remain strong,” Edlain Rodriguez, a New York-based analyst with Gleacher & Co., said today in a telephone interview. “We’ve seen sell-offs like this before, and then the rebound as people come to their senses.”

Thirty-five of 43 stocks in the S&P/TSX Financials Index declined. The Bank of Japan has injected 23 trillion yen ($284 billion) into money markets this week to try to contain investors’ panic.

Manulife, North America’s fourth-largest insurer, lost 4.2 percent to C$16.04 even after saying it doesn’t expect property and casualty reinsurance claims related to the earthquake and tsunami to be material to full-year results.

Royal Bank of Canada, the country’s largest lender by assets, decreased 0.8 percent to C$59.58. Thomson Reuters Corp., the financial news and information provider, retreated 2.6 percent to C$37.86.

Aerospace and defense contractor MacDonald, Dettwiler & Associates Ltd. surged 7.5 percent, the most since Oct. 28, to C$52.63 after winning an agreement the parties valued at more than $280 million to service Intelsat SA satellites.

US

By Rita Nazareth

March 15 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks escaped the brunt of a global selloff that sent Tokyo shares to their worst two-day decline since 1987, paring losses as Japanese officials made progress in stabilizing damaged nuclear reactors and the Federal Reserve said the American economy is improving.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 1.1 percent at 4 p.m.

New York time, rebounding from a 2.7 percent slump, even as the MSCI All-Country World Index of shares in 45 nations lost 2.3 percent. The benchmark measure for U.S. equities retreated to its lowest level of the day six minutes after trading began.

Raw-material, energy and industrial shares in the S&P 500 advanced more than 2.2 percent from that point.

“The more positive tone of the Fed brought some relief especially on a jittery day like this one,” said Richard Sichel, who oversees $1.5 billion as chief investment officer at Philadelphia Trust Co. “Still, there’s an overhang from exogenous factors. Yes, we’ve had a big drop, but I wouldn’t jump in right away. I would wait until the market calms down to take a fresher look at some stocks and industries.”

The S&P 500 closed at 1,281.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 137.74 points, or 1.2 percent, to 11,855.42 after plunging 296.91 points. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average fell 11 percent today and is down 16 percent this week, the biggest two- day drop since the October 1987 stock market crash.

General Electric Co., which is in talks to sell reactors to India, fell 1.6 percent. Dow Chemical Co. and Anadarko Petroleum Corp. slumped at least 1.7 percent. Intel Corp. slid 3.2 percent, the most in the Dow, after Nomura Holdings Inc. cut its rating for the chipmaker. Aflac Inc., the insurance company which gets most of its revenue in Japan, sank 5.6 percent.

U.S. stocks pared losses as radiation readings fell below harmful levels at reactors in Japan and as the Fed said the American economy is on “firmer footing,” while reaffirming plans to buy $600 billion of Treasuries through June. Thomas Lee, U.S. equity strategist at JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Mary Ann Bartels of Bank of America Corp. both said the slide in the S&P 500 may be a buying opportunity.

The iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund tracking 323 securities fell 0.2 percent to $10.03, paring an earlier drop of 8.1 percent. That compares with the 9.1 percent plunge in the MSCI Japan Index earlier, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

“We’re getting black-swan events almost every week now,” said Jeffrey Saut, chief investment strategist at Raymond James & Associates in St. Petersburg, Florida, who helps manage $252 billion. “The risks stemming from the Japanese nuclear disaster to the Middle East turmoil are unquantifiable. What happens if we have a meltdown?,” he said. Volatility is on the rise.’’

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX, which measures the cost of using options as insurance against declines in the S&P 500, surged 15 percent to 24.32, the highest level since Aug. 31. The index’s 2011 closing low was 15.46 on Jan. 14, as the S&P 500 advanced to its highest level in two years.

The S&P 500 has fallen 4.6 percent since rising to this year’s high on Feb. 18 amid unrest in Libya and the Middle East and concern about the aftermath of Japan’s worst earthquake. The decline pared the gain in 2011 to 1.9 percent. Still, the measure has risen 89 percent from its March 2009 low amid government stimulus measures and as corporate earnings beat analysts’ estimates for eight straight quarters.

GE sank 1.6 percent to $19.61. The Fukushima plant consists of six reactors based on GE designs, three of which were built by the company, according to its website. Energy and raw-materials producers in the S&P 500 declined.

The S&P’s GSCI spot index of 24 commodities dropped 3.8 percent, falling for a fourth day, the longest losing streak since Aug. 24. Oil tumbled the most in almost five months, closing at $97.18 a barrel.

Dow Chemical, the largest U.S. chemical maker, declined 1.8 percent to $35.96. Anadarko fell 1.7 percent to $75.87.

Intel retreated 3.2 percent to $20.18. The world’s largest chipmaker was cut to “neutral” from “buy” at Nomura, which cited weak personal-computer demand.

Aflac led declines among the 22 companies in the S&P 500 Insurance Index. Aflac declined 5.6 percent to $50.89. Hartford Financial Services Group Inc. dropped 4.6 percent to $25.60.

Stock-index futures maintained losses before exchanges opened even as a report showed that manufacturing in the New York region accelerated in March at the fastest rate in nine months. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s general economic index rose to 17.5 from 15.4. Economists projected an increase to 16.1, based on the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey. Readings greater than zero signal expansion in the so- called Empire State Index.

Separately, the Labor Department said that prices of goods imported into the U.S. rose more than forecast in February, led by gains in crude oil and food. The 1.4 percent increase in the import-price index exceeded the 0.9 percent median forecast in a survey and followed a 1.3 percent rise in January. Prices excluding fuel rose 0.3 percent. Food costs over the past 12 months posted the biggest gain since records began in 1977.

Have a wonderful evening everyone. Be magnificent!

Live your own life. That is to say, where you are, as you are, with what you are, and with who you are… Accept the situation in which you find yourself and try, at the same time, to adapt to it.

You cannot escape from it. -Swami Prajnanpad, 1891-1974

As ever,

Carolann

 

If you are not criticized, you may not be doing much. -Donald H. Rumsfeld, 1932-

March 14th, 2011 Newsletter

Dear Friends,  It is truly impressive how dignified and civil the Japanese behave in this monumental tragedy…

Don Quixote turned out to be an amazing opera.  The Seattle production had Quixote ride on a live horse and Sancho on a live mule – the choreography was spectacular.  The music is very beautiful and the opera is one of the very few sung in French.  It is not an opera that is performed very frequently, so if you ever have a chance to see it, do.

Today is Albert Einstein’s birthday, who was born on March 14, 1879 in Ulm, Germany, an only child of a featherbed salesman and his wife.  As a personality, Einstein was noted for his kindness and amiability.  Quirky and practical, he minimized his wardrobe – buying identical sets of clothing – so that he wouldn’t have to think about what to wear.  Though he had been an early advocate of nuclear energy, on April 5th, 1955, he signed a letter to protest nuclear tests and bombs.   Days later, he died in his sleep on April 18, 1955.

Some famous Einstein words:

It would be possible to describe everything scientifically, but it would make no sense; it would be without meaning, as if you described a Beethoven symphony as a variation of wave pressure.

My religion consists of a humble admiration of the illimitable superior spirit who reveals himself in the slight details we are able to perceive with our frail and feeble mind.

Common sense is the collection of prejudices acquired by age 18.

I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.

A family rests in a shelter in the city of Soma, Fukushima Prefecture, Japan, three days after a massive earthquake and tsunami struck the country’s northeast coast. On top of the losses of family, friends, and property, evacuees in the area are now faced with the fears of radiation contamination from nearby damaged nuclear facilities. Wally Santana/AP

 

 

 

People in Bern, Switzerland, light candles during a vigil for victims of the earthquake and tsunami in Japan.

Pascal Lauener/Reuters

 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Matt Walcoff

March 14 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell, led by producers of uranium and other raw materials, as a new stimulus package from the Bank of Japan failed to stem the impact of the March 11 earthquake on global equity markets.

Cameco Corp., the world’s second-largest uranium producer, sank 13 percent as Japan struggled to contain a disaster at a nuclear-power plant. Manulife Financial Corp., which had 120 life insurance sales offices in Japan as of Dec. 31, dropped 3.5 percent. West Fraser Timber Co., Canada’s largest lumber producer, rose 4.7 percent as forestry stocks jumped on the prospect of rebuilding in Japan.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index declined 55.06 points, or 0.4 percent, to a six-week low of 13,619.19.

The nuclear crisis “is affecting how people in the U.S. are thinking about their fledgling nuclear expansion,” said Doug Davis, vice chairman of Toronto-based money manager Davis- Rea Ltd., which manages C$425 million ($436 million). “Who are you going to sell your uranium to if the Americans don’t expand nuclear power plants and the Japanese don’t need it for a while?”

The S&P/TSX sank 4.1 percent last week, the most since July, as U.S. jobless claims increased, Moody’s Investors Service cut Spain’s debt rating and oil retreated from a post-2008 high. The Canadian benchmark has climbed 1.3 percent this year, less than half of the gain of the S&P 500.

The count of deaths from the 8.9-magnitude earthquake and subsequent tsunami reached 1,823, with 2,369 missing, Japan’s National Police Agency said today. A second explosion occurred at the Fukushima power plant north of Tokyo, where military staff members tried to prevent a meltdown.

Japan’s central bank deployed 15 trillion yen ($183 billion) into money markets to assure financial stability. The Nikkei-223 Stock Average tumbled 6.2 percent, the most since December 2008.

Japan is the fourth-biggest buyer of Canadian exports behind the U.S., U.K. and China, according to Statistics Canada.

The nuclear crisis may cause delays in plant construction, especially in earthquake-prone areas like China, Greg Barnes, a Toronto-Dominion Bank analyst, wrote in a note to clients today.

Japan accounts for about 12 percent of global demand for uranium, a nuclear fuel.

Cameco Corp. fell 13 percent, the most since October 2008, to C$31.70 after Barnes cut his rating on the shares to “hold” from “buy.”

Uranium One Inc., a mining company controlled by Moscow- based ARMZ Uranium Holding, slumped 28 percent to C$4.31.

Denison Mines Corp., which produces the metal in the U.S. and Canada, tumbled 22 percent to C$2.48.

Most S&P/TSX financial stocks fell after AIR Worldwide, a disaster modeler, said Japanese insurers and global reinsurance companies that backstop their policies may face as much as 2.8 trillion yen in claims related to the earthquake.

Manulife, which derived 18 percent of its revenue from Asia in the 12 months ending Sept. 30, declined 3.5 percent to C$16.74. Great-West Lifeco Inc., Canada’s second-largest insurer, dropped for a sixth day, slipping 1.4 percent to C$25.49. Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. lost 1.4 percent to a 19-month low of C$348.70.

EnCana Corp., Canada’s biggest natural gas producer, climbed 4.2 percent to C$31.07. Natural gas futures gained 0.7 percent on speculation Japan will need more of the fuel with nuclear-power production reduced.

Forestry companies surged. In a note dated March 11, Richard A. Kelertas, an analyst at Dundee Securities Ltd., told clients the rebuilding effort in Japan “should have a positive impact on most of the North American timber, lumber and building-materials stocks.”

West Fraser Timber gained 4.7 percent to C$53.22 after Kelertas raised his rating on the stock to “buy” from “neutral.” Canfor Corp., another lumber producer upgraded by Kelertas, advanced 3.3 percent to $13.50. Sino-Forest Corp., Canada’s largest forestry company by market value, increased 2.6 percent to C$21.32.

Teck Resources Ltd., Canada’s largest base-metals and coal producer, lost 2.7 percent to C$49.56 after saying weather conditions will lead to below-average first-quarter coal sales.

Equinox Minerals Ltd., which mines copper in Africa, slid 7.1 percent to C$4.84. The shares have plunged 23 percent since Feb. 27, the day before Equinox said it would bid C$4.8 billion for Lundin Mining Corp.

Petrobank Energy & Resources Ltd., a western Canadian energy producer, retreated 5.3 percent to C$19.64 after Philip R. Skolnick, an analyst at Canaccord Financial Inc., cut his rating on the company to “speculative buy” from “buy.” Petrobakken Energy Ltd., in which Petrobank has a majority stake, fell for a ninth day, decreasing 5.8 percent to a record- low C$17.75.

Gabriel Resources Ltd., which is developing a gold mine in Romania, tumbled 12 percent, the most since August 2009, to C$7.14. In a telephone interview, Chief Executive Officer Jonathan Henry attributed the decline to the removal of the stock from the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners exchange-traded fund. The Van Eck Securities Corp. fund owned 10.7 million Gabriel Resources shares as of March 11.

US

By Rita Nazareth

March 14 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lower for a third time in four days, as investors struggled to assess how much damage Japan’s worst earthquake on record will do to the global economy.

General Electric Co. slumped 2.2 percent as Japan worked to contain radiation at a damaged nuclear plant, compelling other nations to review atomic energy plans. Coach Inc. and Tiffany & Co. sank at least 5.2 percent on concern Japan sales will suffer. Las Vegas Sands Corp., the casino company with most of its business in Asia, lost 3.6 percent as Jefferies & Co. cut its rating on the stock. MEMC Electronic Materials Inc. surged 11 percent on bets demand for alternative energy will grow.

The S&P 500 slid 0.6 percent to 1,296.39 at 4 p.m. in New York, paring an earlier drop of as much as 1.4 percent as oil settled little changed at $101.19 a barrel. The Dow Jones Industrial Average sank 51.24 points, or 0.4 percent, to 11,993.16. The iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund, a U.S. exchange- traded fund, tumbled 7 percent, the most since 2008.

“The market is pricing in a better understanding of the enormity and complexity of the natural disasters that struck Japan,” said Mohamed El-Erian, chief executive officer at Newport Beach, California-based Pacific Investment Management Co. “The immediate impact will be felt through lower global aggregate demand, disrupted supply chains, and funds flows into Japan.”

U.S. stocks fell last week, sending the S&P 500 down 1.3 percent, after American and Chinese reports damped optimism about the global economy. The benchmark gauge of U.S. stocks is down 3.5 percent from its 32-month high in February, while still more than 90 percent above its bear-market low in 2009.

The selloff in Japan spread to Europe and the Americas as workers battled to contain radiation at a damaged nuclear plant north of Tokyo following a second blast. No large release of radiation was detected after the explosion, which didn’t breach the reactor and followed a build-up of hydrogen gas, Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano told reporters in Tokyo today. The risk of a large leak is very small, he said.

The Bank of Japan poured a record amount of cash into the financial system and doubled the size of its asset-purchase plan. The central bank pumped 15 trillion yen ($183 billion) into money markets today. Governor Masaaki Shirakawa and his board enlarged a program buying assets from government bonds to exchange-traded funds by 5 trillion yen, about one-tenth the size of the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing.

“The Japanese earthquake has the potential to prompt further weakness in stock prices,” said David Sowerby, a Bloomfield Hills, Michigan-based money manager at Loomis Sayles & Co., which oversees $150 billion. “While you’ll see the Bank of Japan provide intense liquidity and economic activity increase due to rebuilding, there’s a lot of uncertainty. Still, if we have a 3 percent to 5 percent correction in stocks, we’d likely look at what’s attractively priced.”

General Electric declined 2.2 percent, the most in the Dow average, to $19.92.

The potential meltdown at a nuclear plant struck by Japan’s record temblor may be “a big dampener” on India’s program, Shreyans Kumar Jain, chairman of the Nuclear Power Corp. of India, said in Mumbai. The accident may become a factor in the drafting of China’s energy plans, Xie Zhenhua, vice chairman of the National Development and Reform Commission, said in Beijing.

Germany will suspend a planned extension of the lifespan of nuclear plants pending the outcome of an inquiry into their safety, Chancellor Angela Merkel said.

GE, which is in talks to sell reactors to India, won’t change its plans for the country after the Japan accident, Chief Executive Officer Jeffrey Immelt said today. Immelt expects the company’s Indian operations to grow 30 percent this year.

Uranium stocks slumped on concern demand will slow after the Japan accidents. U.S. shares of Canada’s Denison Mines Corp. plunged 22 percent to $2.55. Entergy Corp. declined 4.9 percent to $70.09. The operator of nuclear power plants was cut to “market perform” from “outperform” by BMO Capital Markets.

Las Vegas Sands slid 3.6 percent to $38.62 after Jefferies cut its recommendation for the shares to “hold” from “buy.” The 12-month share-price estimate is $45.

Solar stocks rallied amid investors’ expectations that the companies may benefit as demand for alternative energy grows.

MEMC Electronic Materials, the maker of wafers for the semiconductor and solar industries, advanced 11 percent to $13.37, the biggest gain in the S&P 500. First Solar Inc. increased 5.1 percent to $146.91.

Consol Energy Inc. gained 4.7 percent to $50.87. The coal and natural gas producer led other U.S. coal companies higher on expectations that the shutdown of Japanese nuclear reactors will lead to more coal use.

Lubrizol Corp. soared 28 percent to $134.68. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. agreed to buy the largest producer of lubricant additives for about $9 billion in the company’s second-biggest acquisition in the past five years.

Caterpillar Inc. added 2.1 percent to $102.10 for the biggest gain in the Dow. The world’s largest construction equipment maker may be among the U.S. companies to benefit as Japan rebuilds after the world’s strongest earthquake since 2004 hit last week, according to analysts at Susquehanna Financial Group and Sterne Agee & Leach Inc.

Pfizer Inc. rose 1.8 percent to $19.81. The world’s biggest drugmaker is reviewing the sale or spinoff of business units that may shrink the company’s revenue by almost half, said Tim Anderson, an analyst with Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. Pfizer would split off four non-pharmaceutical businesses as well as other units to reduce annual revenue to $35 billion to $40 billion from $67 billion, Anderson said in a research report today, citing a meeting with Chief Executive Officer Ian Read.

U.S. industrial production probably rose in February for a third month in the last four, indicating manufacturing remains a stalwart of the expansion, economists said before a report this week. Output at factories, mines and utilities climbed 0.6 percent after a 0.1 percent decrease in January, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey ahead of Federal Reserve figures on March 17. Other data may show less home construction and contained inflation excluding food and fuel.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

Be magnificent!

 

Man has accepted conflict as an innate part of daily existence because he has accepted competition, jealously, greed, acquisitiveness and aggression as a natural way of life. -Krishnamurti, 1895-1986

 

As ever,

Carolann

 

God may be subtle, but He isn’t plain mean. -Albert Einstein, 1879-1955

March 11th, 2011 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

It was a subdued day today with the news of the earthquake in Japan; a potent reminder of how fragile this existence is, and how we have to cherish every moment we have.  Tomorrow is the birthday of Jack Kerouac, who was born on March 12th, 1922.  This passage is from his iconic On the Road:

…the only people for me are the mad ones, the ones who are mad to live, mad to talk, and to be saved, desirous of everything at the same time, the ones who never yawn or say a common-place thing, but burn, burn, burn, like fabulous yellow roman candles exploding like spiders across the stars and in the middle you see the blue center-light pop and everybody goes “Awww!”

-from Motivation:

What is the feeling when you’re driving away from people, and they recede on the plain till you see their specks dispersing?  It’s the too huge world vaulting us, and it’s good-bye.  But we lean forward to the next crazy adventure beneath the skies.

We’re off to Seattle tomorrow to the opera – hard to believe it’s the second to last one of the season.  It’s Don Quixote and it has been getting excellent reviews so I’m so looking forward to it.  When I called the float plane dispatch this morning to confirm our flight times, I was reminded to change the time Saturday night so we wouldn’t miss our flight back on Sunday – yes, we “spring ahead” one hour this weekend.  I don’t know about you, but I just wish they would just leave the time alone, so away with daylight savings.

Japan’s 8.9 earthquake

March 11, 2011

Traffic is jammed on a road in Sendai city, Japan, after a powerful earthquake –

the largest in Japan’s recorded history – slammed the eastern coast on March 11.

Kyodo News/AP

 

 

 

 

 

Houses burn in Natori, Japan, on March 11 after Japan was struck by a strong earthquake off its northeastern coast earlier in the day.

Kyodo News/AP

 

 

With a tsunami warning in effect for northern California, two men watch the waves at San Francisco’s Ocean Beach on March 11. The tsunami warnings came after a 8.9-magnitude earthquake struck Japan.

Noah Berger/AP/File

 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Jennifer A. Johnson

March 11 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose for the first time in five days, as gains by Teck Resources Ltd. and Barrick Gold Corp. helped the market pare its worst weekly decline in eight months.

Teck, Canada’s biggest base-metals and coal producer, advanced 2.5 percent as copper advanced 0.2 percent. Barrick added 0.6 percent as gold climbed. Insurer Manulife Financial Corp. slipped 1.1 percent on concern the 8.9-magnitude earthquake that struck Japan will boost claims. Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp. fell 9.1 percent after reporting earnings that missed the average analyst estimate.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index advanced 35.67 points, or 0.3 percent, to close at 13,674.25 in Toronto. The Canadian equity benchmark fell 4.1 percent in the week after oil prices surged on unrest in northern Africa and the Middle East, spurring concern the economy will falter. Copper fell 6.2 percent during the same period. Energy and material producers make up 49 percent of Canadian stocks by market value.

“The volatility has picked up a great deal,” said Danielle Park, a partner at Venable Park Investment Counsel Inc.

in Barrie, Ontario, which manages at least C$1 million ($1.02

million) each for more than 250 families. “The trend has certainly been down. Canada as a market is correcting with the commodities story.”

Potash Corp. has declined 11 percent this week, even after today’s 0.3 percent advance to C$52.65. Barrick Gold gained 0.5 percent to C$49.40, paring its weekly loss to 3.9 percent. Teck Resources Ltd., the country’s biggest base metals producer, fell

5.9 percent for the week, after rising 2.5 percent today to C$50.93.

Manulife dropped 1.1 percent to C$17.35, after the seven- meter-high tsunami hit Japan. Sun Life Financial Inc. fell 0.8 percent to C$30.30. Great-West Lifeco Inc. dropped 0.5 percent to C$25.84.

Pacific Rubiales declined 9.1 percent to C$28.54, the biggest decline in the S&P/TSX Index. The energy producer reported fourth-quarter earnings of 44 cents a share on an adjusted basis, missing the average analyst estimate by 3.1 percent, Bloomberg data show.

West Fraser Timber Co. advanced 6.7 percent to C$50.83, after Dundee Securities said North American lumber producers may benefit as Japan recovers from a tsunami and its strongest earthquake on record. International Forest Products Ltd. soared

15 percent to C$6.00.

 

US

By Lu Wang and Rita Nazareth

March 11 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks advanced, trimming the weekly loss in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, as gains in fuel, metal and industrial companies helped the market overcome a global slump following Japan’s worst earthquake on record.

Steel Dynamics Inc. climbed 3.9 percent after forecasting more profit than analysts estimated. Valero Energy Corp. surged

6.3 percent as the largest U.S. oil refiner agreed to buy Chevron Corp.’s U.K. refinery and 1,000 retail stores. Pall Corp. drove industrial stocks higher as the supplier of filters for drugmakers boosted its earnings forecast. The iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund, an exchange-traded fund, fell 1.7 percent.

The S&P 500 gained 0.7 percent to 1,304.28 at 4 p.m. in New York, paring its weekly decline to 1.3 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 59.79 points, or 0.5 percent, to 12,044.40. Oil slid 1.5 percent as refineries were shut in Japan, cutting demand in the third-largest oil-consuming nation.

“The good U.S. economic signals are winning over external shocks,” said Alan Gayle, senior investment strategist at RidgeWorth Capital Management in Richmond, Virginia, which oversees $52.5 billion. “Companies are reporting strong earnings, M&A activity is moving forward, the economy is in decent shape. We had a recent selloff triggered by all sorts of external uncertainties. It may be time for investors to look at the internal strength.”

The benchmark gauge for American equities had fallen 2 percent over the prior two days as oil surged amid unrest in Libya and the Middle East. Energy and raw-materials companies in the S&P 500 posted declines of at least 3.6 percent in the period, the most within 10 industries, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

U.S. stocks fell earlier today, following a global equity slump, after Japan’s earthquake. The 8.9-magnitude quake unleashed a tsunami as high as 10 meters, engulfing towns along the northern coast and killed hundreds. The temblor hit 130 kilometers off the coast of Sendai, north of Tokyo, at a depth of 24 kilometers, the U.S. Geological Survey said. A 7.1- magnitude aftershock followed, it said.

Stock-index futures pared declines before the open of exchanges as a report showed that U.S. retail sales increased in February by the most in four months as Americans took advantage of more seasonable weather to buy cars, clothes and electronics.

Purchases climbed 1 percent after a revised 0.7 percent rise in January that was more than double the previous estimate, Commerce Department figures showed. February sales matched the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey.

“The outlook is pretty decent,” said Madelynn Matlock, who helps oversee $14.5 billion at Huntington Asset Advisors in Cincinnati. “The valuation isn’t ridiculous and earnings look like they will continue to grow. The question would be how much these risk factors influence the overall valuation on these earnings. Right now, we think it’s pretty balanced.”

The S&P 500 has rallied 3.7 percent this year, building on a 13 percent advance in 2010, amid government stimulus measures and as corporate profits beat estimates for eight straight quarters. The benchmark gauge is trading at 15.3 times reported earnings, compared with the average ratio of 19.7 at bull-market peaks, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Gauges of raw-materials and energy producers had the two biggest gains in the S&P 500 within 10 industries, adding at least 1.3 percent.

Steel Dynamics rose 3.9 percent to $18.55. The Fort Wayne, Indiana-based producer of the metal forecast first-quarter earnings may be as high as 42 cents a share, compared with the 38-cent average of analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

AK Steel Holding Corp. advanced 5.8 percent to $15.46. U.S.

Steel Corp. gained 4.5 percent to $55.14.

Valero advanced 6.3 percent to $27.98. The largest U.S. oil refiner agreed to buy Chevron Corp.’s U.K. refinery and 1,000 retail outlets for about $1.73 billion in cash, gaining its first European plant. The Pembroke refinery will add 26 cents a share to annual profit based on 2010 market prices, Valero said.

Industrial companies had the third-biggest gain in the S&P 500 among 10 industries, rallying 1.2 percent.

Pall gained 6.2 percent to $57.02. The supplier of filters for drugmakers and refineries increased its full-year forecast, saying it expects to earn $2.80 a share at least, excluding some items. Analysts, on average, estimated $2.62, according to a Bloomberg survey.

Caterpillar Inc. climbed 1.7 percent to $100.02. The world’s largest maker of construction equipment will outperform the industry over the next 30 days, Morgan Stanley said in a note, picking the stock as a “research tactical idea.”

“The recent selloff created an opportunity to buy beaten-up companies,” said Mark Bronzo, who helps manage over $25 billion at Irvington, New York-based Security Global Investors. “There had been so much fear lately. Obviously, the news out of Japan is very bad. However, we have a couple of things to support the market. We’ve got good earnings reports. Oil is down. There’s not much too say about the Middle East crisis today. Overall, people do believe the global economy is getting better.”

U.S. shares of Toyota Motor Corp., which halted auto production at its plant in Miyagi, northern Japan, after the earthquake, dropped 2.1 percent to $85.65. Sony Corp., which was forced to suspend operations at six factories, declined 2.4 percent to $33.45.

Starbucks Corp. dropped 3.7 percent, the biggest decline in the S&P 500, to $36.56. Shares of the Seattle-based coffee chain already “fully reflected” the company’s global growth potential from an agreement to put its coffee in Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. single serve brewing systems, BMO Capital Markets wrote in a note. Starbucks surged 9.9 percent yesterday.

 

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!

 

The whole universe is bound by the law of causation. There cannot be anything, any fact – either in the internal or in the external world – that does not have a cause; and every cause must produce an effect.

-Swami Vivekananda, 1863-1902

As ever,

Carolann

Mistakes are the portals of discovery. -James Joyce, 1882-1941