May 18, 2012 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

PROVIDENCE

By Reza Mahammadi

translated by Nick Laird and Hamid Kabir

 

I am a rain that nobody wants.

Even the streets don’t understand me.

I am the past perfect tense

and deep down inside me are buried

the ghosts of anonymous travelers,

of infamous seadogs and all of the dead.

I am a certain word small children fear

and which the poets have forgotten.

I’m Buddha’s face in Bamiyan,

stolen, sold on from my homeland,

and I am a corpse, knocked down

in Stockwell, ignored by the binmen.

And on this day in…

1980 – Mount St. Helens Erupts 3 times in 24 hours
1974 – India becomes the sixth nation to detonate an atomic bomb
1951 – The UN moves its headquarters to New York City
1804 – Napoleon Bonaparte becomes Emperor of France

You were born an original … Don’t die a copy. John Mason

photos of the day

May 18, 2012

In this image made available by LOCOG Britain’s David Beckham smiles during a visit to The Experimental University School of Athens a day after the ceremonial handover of the Olympic flame to the organizers of the 2012 London Olympics.

Chris Radburn//AP

Two Yorkshire Terriers pose for photographers prior to world dog show in Salzburg, Austria. More than 30,000 dogs are expected to take part at the exhibition in Salzburg.

Kerstin Joensson/AP

Market Closes for May 18, 2012:

North American Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

12369.38 -73.11 

 

-0.59% 

 

S&P 500 1295.22 -9.64 

 

-0.74% 

 

NASDAQ 2778.79 -34.90 

 

-1.24% 

 

TSX 11280.64 -50.04 

 

-0.44% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 8611.31 -265.28 

 

-2.99% 

 

HANG 

SENG

18951.85 -249.08 

 

-1.30% 

 

SENSEX 16152.75 +82.27 

 

+0.51% 

 

FTSE 100 5267.62 -70.76 

 

-1.33% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

1.886 1.879
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

2.429 2.422
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

1.7209 1.6971
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

2.8004 2.7982

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 1.02231 1.01927 

 

US  

$

0.98445 0.98109
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.30649 0.76541
US 

$

1.27791 0.78253

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1592.20 1573.60
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 91.48 92.54
BRENT 108.24 108.78 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Joseph Ciolli

May 18 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell for the fifth time in six days, erasing an earlier gain driven by rising commodity prices, as financial shares tumbled amid increasing concerns about Europe’s debt crisis.

Royal Bank of Canada, Toronto-Dominion Bank and Bank of Nova Scotia decreased more than 0.5 percent. Industrial companies Bombardier Inc. and Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. dropped at least 1.3 percent. Golden Star Resources Ltd., which mines for gold in Ghana, plunged 17 percent after a debenture swap raised dilution concerns.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index declined 50.04 points, or 0.4 percent, to 11,280.64 in Toronto, reaching its lowest level since Oct. 4. The benchmark gauge rose as much as 0.9 percent earlier in the day.

“It was holding up quite nicely until some sellers came in and flattened it out right before the market closed,” David Cockfield, a managing director at Northland Wealth Management in Toronto, said in a telephone interview. The firm oversees about C$200 million ($200 million). “They mainly hit the banks. There’s real concern relating to any interconnections the financials may have with European problems.”

The S&P/TSX fell 3.5 percent this week for its third straight weekly decline as concerns mounted that the Greek debt crisis, European elections and a slowing Chinese economy may curb demand for commodities. Energy and raw-materials companies account for 43 percent of Canadian stocks by market value, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Financial companies decreased for a fifth straight day after German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said turmoil in the financial markets caused by Europe’s debt crisis may last another two years, as Group of Eight leaders met to discuss Greece and its impact on the global economy.

Royal Bank of Canada, the nation’s biggest lender, slipped 0.5 percent to C$51.70. Toronto-Dominion Bank, Canada’s second- largest lender, decreased 0.9 percent to C$76.94. Bank of Nova Scotia, the country’s third-largest lender, sank 1.2 percent to C$51.11.

Industrial stocks in the S&P/TSX fell for a second session as Chinese home prices fell in a record number of cities last month and car dealers posted inventory levels that foreshadowed deeper price cuts, adding to signs of slowing growth in the world’s second-largest economy.

Bombardier, a maker of trains and airplanes, fell 1.3 percent to C$3.71. Canadian Pacific Railway, the country’s second-largest railroad, slipped 3.1 percent to C$74.11.

Golden Star Resources plummeted 17 percent, the biggest decline in the S&P/TSX, to C$1.16, its lowest point since December 2008. The company said today it would complete a debenture swap, which raised dilution concerns and focused attention on its debt levels.

US

By Lu Wang

May 19 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks tumbled for a third week, pushing the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its longest losing streak since August, amid concern global economic growth is slowing and Greece may leave the euro area.

All 10 industries in the S&P 500 fell. Financial and raw- material companies dropped at least 6.5 percent as shareholders sued JPMorgan Chase & Co. over the company’s $2 billion trading loss and the Dollar Index’s longest rally ever reduced the prices of commodities. J.C. Penney Co. and Abercrombie & Fitch Co. each plunged 23 percent after reporting sales that missed analysts’ estimates. Facebook Inc. climbed 0.6 percent in its trading debut, erasing most of an 18 percent rally.

The S&P 500 tumbled 4.3 percent to 1,295.22, the biggest retreat since November. The index sank 7.7 percent over three weeks, trimming its 2012 gain to 3 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 451.22 points, or 3.5 percent, to 12,369.38, the lowest level since Jan. 6. The Nasdaq Composite Index plunged 5.3 percent, the most since September, to 2,778.79, extending its loss from a March high to 11 percent.

“We sort of hit an air pocket in terms of positive catalysts and meanwhile Europe keeps weighing on the market,”

John Kattar, chief investment officer at Eastern Investment Advisors in Boston, which manages $1.7 billion, said in a phone interview. “It was a very good earnings season, but that catalyst is behind us.”

Global equities slumped, with the MSCI BRIC Index that tracks stocks in Brazil, Russia, India and China entering a bear market, with a drop of more than 20 percent from this year’s peak. Fitch Ratings cut Greece’s credit rating on concern the country won’t be able to stay in the euro area after inconclusive elections left the country without a stable government. U.S. reports sent mixed signals, with housing starts and industrial production topping estimates while manufacturing in the Philadelphia region unexpectedly shrank.

The S&P 500’s retreat in May is almost four times worse than 2011. More than $1.14 trillion has been erased from American equity values this month, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That compares with about $299 billion in the 14 days after April 29, 2011, when the index reached its highest level in three years.

Faltering stocks, reports showing weaker economic growth and concern about the health of countries from Spain to Italy is reminding investors of 2011, one of the most volatile years on record as the S&P 500 dropped as much as 19 percent. Investors bracing for a retreat pulled $18 billion from U.S. equity mutual funds last month, the most since at least 1984, according to the Investment Company Institute.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, known as the VIX, jumped 26 percent for the week, the most since September, to 25.10. The index, which measures the cost of using options as insurance against declines in the S&P 500, has risen for six straight trading days.

“The market is struggling,” John Praveen, chief investment strategist at Prudential International Investments Advisers, a unit of Prudential Financial Inc., which manages $943 billion in assets, said in a phone interview. “Investors are extremely nervous about what’s going on in Europe.”

JPMorgan tumbled 9.4 percent, the most in the Dow, to $33.49. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon agreed to testify before a Senate committee on the bank’s loss as lawmakers debate whether to tighten rules on trading by U.S. lenders. Dimon announced the loss May 10, assailing his firm’s handling of trading in synthetic credit positions as “flawed, complex, poorly reviewed, poorly executed and poorly monitored.”

Bank of America Corp. slid 7 percent to $7.02 for an eighth consecutive weekly decline, the longest run since at least 1980.

The S&P 500 Materials Index fell for nine consecutive days, the longest losing streak since September 2000, as the Dollar Index rose for a record 14 straight sessions through May 17.

U.S. Steel Corp. plunged 17 percent to $21.56 as hedge-fund manager David Einhorn said at the Ira Sohn conference that he’s not in favor of the steelmaker. Steel prices will continue to fall because of a glut of supply, Anthony Rizzuto, an analyst with Dahlman Rose & Co., wrote in a note on May 15.

Allegheny Technologies Inc., a specialty-metals producer, declined 16 percent to $33.18.

J.C. Penney slumped 23 percent, the most since October 2008 and the biggest decline in the S&P 500, to $26.29. The department-store chain led by Apple Inc.’s former retailing chief reported a first-quarter loss and sales that fell more than analysts projected.

Abercrombie & Fitch sank 23 percent to $35.89, the lowest level since September 2010. The operator of its namesake and Hollister stores reported first-quarter revenue that missed analysts’ estimates and said same-store sales will decline this fiscal year amid weakness in Europe.

Facebook rose 0.6 percent to $38.23 in its debut on the last day of the week. That compares with Carlyle Group LP’s 0.2 percent day-one increase on May 3, and pales in contrast with Google Inc.’s 18 percent jump in its 2004 initial public offering. Underwriters bought Facebook’s stock to keep it from falling below the IPO price, people with knowledge of the matter said.

Facebook raised $16 billion in the largest IPO on record for a technology company. The offering valued the company at 107 times trailing 12-month earnings, more than every S&P 500 member except Amazon.com Inc. and Equity Residential.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. advanced 5.1 percent, the most in the Dow, to $62.43. The world’s largest retailer reported first- quarter profit that topped analysts’ estimates as its low prices increased customer traffic and boosted sales.

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!

Where does the soul go after death?  Where could the earth fall to/

Where can the soul go?  Where is it not already?

The great cornerstone of Vedantism is the recognition of Self.

Man, have faith in yourself.  The soul is the same in every one.

It is all purity and perfection and the more pure and perfect we [you] are

the more purity and perfection you will see.

Swami Vivekananda, 1863-1902

As ever,

Carolann

Life is full of obstacle illusions.

-Grant Frazier

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

May 17, 2012 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

My newsletter was sent to you last night not quite finished (sorry about that, so I included an extra picture today), but I had to leave here quickly to meet a friend for a date.  We went to see  Jamie Lee Curtis and listen to her wonderful talk for a couple of hours.  I knew her father was Tony Curtis, but I only learned last night that her mother was the actress Janet Leigh.  Anyway she was quite amazing.

I was reading recently about the life of another remarkable woman who passed away at the end of March – Jay Macpherson, a poet and professor at Victoria College.  Her obituary quoted the American literary critic Harold Bloom, who recognized her rarity from the moment the title poem of The Boatman caught his ear.   “She was a woman of the deepest literary sensibility and really very close to a kind of genius in poetry and in deep meditative thought upon the meaning and nature of poetry,” he said in an interview in which he redited several of her poems by heart.  When she told her friend George Johnston about a class trip (from McGill University) to visit the Toronto Public Library System, he insisted on writing a letter of introduction to his friend Northrop Frye at Victoria College.  After a brief encounter with Frye, Macpherson wrote that they parted “ with the offer ringing in my head that if I could get myself to Toronto he would ‘teach me Blake’ – by myself, as he wasn’t otherwise giving the course.”  She did get   herself to Toronto and Frye did teach her Blake.  He also supervised both he Masters (1955) and PhD (1964) degrees in Victorian literature.  The Boatman was dedicated to Frye and his wife, Helen, and contains a cycle about Noah and the ark.  The sequence ends with The Anagogic Man, a poem her muse was said to have given her as she watched Frye approach the entrance to Victoria College one day.  Knowingness and the affection are all there in its first two stanzas:

THE ANAGOGIC MAN

Noah walks with head bent down;

For between his nape and crown

He carries, balancing with care,

A golden bubble round and rare.

 

Its gently shimmering sides surround

All us and our worlds, and bound

Innocence and experience.

-Jay Macpherson, from The Boatman

And on this day in…

1792 – Merchants form the New York Stock Exchange at 70 Wall Street
1940 – Germany occupies Brussels and Belgium and begins the invasion of France
1954 – The U.S. Supreme Court unanimously rules for school integration in Brown v. Board of Education.
1939 – King George VI and Queen Elizabeth arrive in Québec City, to begin a month-long visit to Canada, the first by a reigning monarch.

photos of the day May 17, 2012

A man dressed as Charlie Chaplin walks on the beach in Cannes, France during the 65th Cannes Film Festival.

Eric Gaillard/Reuters

Three people walk along an avenue of trees at Lac Leman near Lausanne, Switzerland.

Jean-Christophe Bott/Keystone/AP

A H-2A rocket carrying four satellites including one from South Korea blasts off from the launching pad at Tanegashima Space Center on the Japanese southwestern island of Tanegashima, about 621 miles southwest of Tokyo.

Kyodo/Reuters

Market Closes for May 17, 2012:

North American Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

12442.49 -156.06 

 

-1.24% 

 

S&P 500 1307.00 -17.80 

 

-1.34% 

 

NASDAQ 2813.69 -60.35 

 

-2.10% 

 

TSX 11328.20 +2.12 

 

+0.02% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 8876.59 +75.42 

 

+0.86% 

 

HANG 

SENG

19200.93 -58.90 

 

-0.31% 

 

SENSEX 16070.48 +40.39 

 

+0.25% 

 

FTSE 100 5338.38 -66.87 

 

-1.24% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

1.879 1.923
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

2.422 2.454
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

1.6971 1.7603
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

2.7982 2.8989

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 1.01927 1.01240 

 

US  

$

0.98109 0.98775
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.29360 0.77303
US 

$

1.26915 0.78793

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1573.60 1538.80
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 92.54 92.81
BRENT 108.78 110.91 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Joseph Ciolli

May 17 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, breaking a four-day losing streak, as a rally in gold helped equities avoid declines seen in the U.S. and Europe.

Barrick Gold Corp., Goldcorp Inc. and Yamana Gold Inc. increased more than 4.5 percent. Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. climbed 1.5 percent. China Gold International Resources Corp. gained 7.1 percent after a Bloomberg News survey showed that China’s economic growth is likely to accelerate in the third quarter. Royal Bank of Canada and Toronto-Dominion Bank fell at least 1.6 percent.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index advanced 4.60 points, or less than 0.1 percent, to 11,330.68 Toronto time, trimming an earlier gain of as much as 0.9 percent. The index slumped 3.5 percent during the previous four days, and had declined in 10 out of the past 11 sessions.

“This is a weak bounce-back day,” Todd Johnson, a money manager at BCV Asset Management in Winnipeg, Manitoba, said in a telephone interview. The firm oversees C$340 million ($335 million). “Markets don’t do straight down forever. Maybe investors are getting a little exhausted from all the negative Spanish and European news.”

Equities fell in the U.S. and Europe as Spain’s borrowing costs rose at an auction, stoking concern that the region’s financial contagion is spreading from Greece. After the close of regular trading, Moody’s Investors Service downgraded the credit ratings of Spanish banks.

The S&P/TSX is heading for its third straight weekly decline as concerns mount that the Greek debt crisis, European elections and a slowing Chinese economy may curb demand for commodities. Energy and raw-material companies account for 44 percent of Canadian stocks by market value, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Materials stocks in the S&P/TSX rose for a second straight day as gold rallied for the first time in five sessions. The metal jumped the most since October as speculation that the Federal Reserve will announce more stimulus for the U.S. economy boosted demand for the precious metal.

Barrick Gold, the world’s largest producer of the metal, rose 6.9 percent to C$38.16. Goldcorp, the second-largest producer of the metal, gained 6.9 percent to C$35.48. Yamana Gold Inc., Canada’s third-largest company in the industry by market value, increased 4.6 percent to C$13.79.

China Gold, which explores and develops projects throughout Asia, gained 7.1 percent to C$3.30. China’s third-quarter economic growth will rebound to 8.3 percent from 7.9 percent this quarter, the first increase in seven periods, according to the median estimate of 21 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

Financial companies in the benchmark index tumbled after the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s general economic index decreased to minus 5.8 in May, indicating an unexpected contraction in manufacturing. Economists forecast the gauge would rise to 10.

Royal Bank of Canada, the nation’s biggest lender, slipped 2 percent to C$51.96. Toronto-Dominion Bank, Canada’s second- largest lender, decreased 1.6 percent to C$77.65.

US

By Rita Nazareth

May 17 (Bloomberg) — The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index tumbled to a four-month low on disappointing economic data and concern that credit ratings for Spanish banks would be cut.

Nine out of 10 S&P 500 groups fell amid weaker-than- forecast data on manufacturing in the Philadelphia region and U.S. leading indicators. Caterpillar Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. slid at least 4.3 percent to pace losses in the largest companies. Apple Inc. sank 2.9 percent, sending its market value below $500 billion. Facebook Inc. raised $16 billion in the biggest initial public offering by a technology company in history, pricing shares at the top end of an increased range.

The S&P 500 fell 1.5 percent to 1,304.86 at 4 p.m. New York time. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 156.06 points, or 1.2 percent, to 12,442.49. The Nasdaq-100 Index sank 2.1 percent to 2,509.05, falling for an eighth day in the longest slump since 2010. The Russell 2000 Index of small companies slipped 2.3 percent to 754.33. About 8.3 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, or 24 percent above the three-month average.

“Investors are de-risking,” said Tim Hoyle, the director of research at Radnor, Pennsylvania-based Haverford Trust Co., which manages about $6.5 billion. “They look at a global situation that appears to be degrading, not improving.”

Concern about a world economic slowdown drove the S&P 500 down 3.9 percent in five days. Banco Santander SA was among 16 Spanish banks whose credit ratings were cut by Moody’s Investors Service, which cited economic weakness and the government’s mounting budget strain. The announcement came after the market close, confirming investor speculation.

Both Russia’s Micex Index and Brazil’s Bovespa index fell more than 20 percent from their previous peaks, entering a bear market. The S&P 500 has fallen 8.1 percent from an almost four- year high on April 2. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which measures the cost of using options as insurance against S&P 500 losses, soared 10 percent to 24.49, the highest since Dec. 19.

Consumer discretionary, financial and raw material shares had the biggest losses in the S&P 500 among 10 groups. The Morgan Stanley Cyclical Index of companies most-tied to the economy slumped 2.3 percent. The Dow Jones Transportation Average sank 3.2 percent. The KBW Bank Index fell 1.7 percent. A measure of homebuilders in S&P indexes tumbled 6 percent. The Bloomberg U.S. Airlines Index slipped 5.6 percent.

Caterpillar, the world’s largest maker of construction equipment, sank 4.4 percent to $87.80. JPMorgan retreated 4.3 percent to $33.93.

Apple lost 2.9 percent to $530.12, sending its market value to $495.7 billion. The company’s market capitalization had topped $500 billion for the first time in February, cementing its lead as the world’s most valuable business and reaching heights not seen by any company since the last recession.

SAC Capital Advisors LP and Viking Global Investors LP were among hedge funds that sold a net 6.1 million shares of Apple last quarter, taking advantage of the 48 percent jump in the iPhone maker’s stock. The stock has fallen 17 percent from its peak in April.

Hedge funds accounted for more than a third of the 15.2 million net Apple shares that were sold by endowments, banks, insurance companies and other investors during the first quarter, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, which was aggregated from regulatory filings. Even so, Apple remains hedge funds’ most valuable holding. As a group they controlled 37.8 million shares as of March 31.

“Apple has always been a hedge-fund favorite,” said Michael Binger, a senior portfolio manager at Gradient Investments LLC in Shoreview, Minnesota, which oversees about $225 million. “You’re seeing some locking in of profits.”

Facebook sold 421.2 million shares at $38 each, a statement today shows. That values the social network at $104.2 billion, making it the largest company to go public in the U.S. by market capitalization, according to data compiled by Bloomberg and Dealogic. Facebook, led by 28-year-old Mark Zuckerberg, this week expanded the IPO to meet demand, allowing investors Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Accel Partners to reap more gains.

“My feeling is they could have gone higher, but they wanted to leave some room for upside tomorrow,” said Arvind Bhatia, an analyst with Sterne, Agee & Leach Inc. in Dallas.

“The demand was obviously quite strong so I think it’s the right move.”

American International Group Inc. retreated 6.5 percent, the biggest decline since Oct. 3, to $28.47. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York postponed the sale of assets acquired in the company’s rescue.

Limited Brands Inc. lost 4.4 percent to $45.86. The owner of the Victoria’s Secret lingerie chain forecast earnings for the second quarter and full year that trailed estimates.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. rallied 4.2 percent, the most since 2009, to $61.68. The world’s largest retailer reported first- quarter profit that topped analysts’ estimates as its low prices increased customer traffic and boosted sales.

Sears Holdings Corp. gained 3.1 percent to $52.42. The retailer controlled by Edward Lampert reported first-quarter net income of $189 million after selling stores and said it would partially spin off its Canadian operations.

Gold producers rallied after the precious metal jumped the most since October as speculation that the Federal Reserve will announce more stimulus boosted demand. Newmont Mining Corp., the largest U.S. gold producer, added 4 percent to $45.26.

Hewlett-Packard Co. advanced 0.1 percent to $22.06, after falling as much as 1 percent. The company is considering cutting as many as 25,000 jobs, or 8 percent of its work force, to reduce costs and help the company contend with ebbing demand for computers and services, people briefed on the plans said.

A long-term peak in the S&P 500 is developing as the gauge diverges from other equity measures, meaning stocks are likely to decline next year, according to RBC Capital Markets.

While the S&P 500 surpassed its 2011 peak last month, other stock measures including the Russell 2000 Index of small U.S. companies and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index failed to reach last year’s levels, sending a warning sign, according to a May 15 report from RBC’s Robert Sluymer.

“The MSCI and Russell didn’t confirm the S&P’s new cycle highs,” Sluymer, a technical analyst at RBC in New York, said during a phone interview yesterday. “These are the types of divergences you start to get as market tops develop.”

At the same time, the index may rebound in the next few weeks after reaching its “support band” of 1,300 to 1,330, Sluymer said in the May 15 report.

Cyclical companies are showing no signs of a reversal even though they appear “oversold,” Sluymer said. Caterpillar and Joy Global Inc. are two examples of economic-sensitive companies that have shown no evidence of bottoming, he said.

“We’re working through a much bigger top here,” he said in the interview. “We’re already seeing the market rotating away from cyclical leadership towards defensive themes.”

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

Be magnificent!

As long as there is division in any form

there must be conflict.

You are responsible, not only to your children,

but to the rest of humanity.

Unless you deeply understand this, not through words or ideas or the intellect,

but feel this in your blood, in your way of looking at life, in your actions,

you are supporting organized murder which is called war.

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986

As ever,

Carolann

 

Many live in the ivory tower called reality; they never

venture on the open sea of thought.

-Francois Gautier, 1959-

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

May 16, 2012 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

And on this day in,

1919 – Liberace, pianist, was born

1929 – The first Academy Awards are held in Hollywood

1920 – Joan of Arc is canonized in Rome
1868 – President Andrew Johnson is acquitted of high crimes and misdemeanors impeachment, by one vote
1770 – King Louis XVI marries Marie Antoinette

True wisdom comes to each of us when we realize how little we understand about life, ourselves, & the world around us. -Socrates

Market Closes for May 16, 2012:

North American Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

12598.55 -33.45 

 

-0.26% 

 

S&P 500 1324.80 -5.86 

 

-0.44% 

 

NASDAQ 2874.04 -19.72 

 

-0.68% 

 

TSX 11326.08 -16.97 

 

-0.15% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 8801.17 -99.57 

 

-1.12% 

 

HANG 

SENG

19259.83 -634.48

 

-3.19% 

 

SENSEX 16030.09 -298.16 

 

-1.83% 

 

FTSE 100 5405.25 -32.37 

 

-0.60% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

1.923 1.937
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

2.454 2.458
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

1.7603 1.7671
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

2.8989 2.9168

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 1.01240 1.00319 

 

US  

$

.98775 0.99682
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.28724 0.77686
US 

$

1.27148 0.78648

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1538.80 1543.40
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 92.81 93.98
BRENT 110.91 112.40 

 

Canada

By Joseph Ciolli

May 16 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell a fourth straight day as concern the Greek financial crisis is intensifying drove energy and financial shares lower, overshadowing optimism the U.S. Federal Reserve may be more inclined to boost stimulus measures.

Manulife Financial Corp. and Crescent Point Energy Corp. slumped more than 2.4 percent, helping lead declines in the S&P/TSX. Alacer Gold Corp. retreated 11 percent after sinking 9.1 percent in Australia. Oil-sands producer Cenovus Energy Inc. fell 1 percent. Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. and First Quantum Minerals Ltd. advanced at least 3.2 percent.

The S&P/TSX Composite fell 34.35 points, or 0.3 percent, to 11,308.70 at 2:19 p.m. Toronto time. The index had risen as much as 1.2 percent earlier. It briefly erased losses after minutes from their last meeting showed several Fed policy makers said a loss of momentum in growth or increased risks to their economic outlook could warrant additional action.

European Central Bank President Mario Draghi acknowledged that Greece could leave the euro area and signaled policy makers won’t compromise on their key principles to prevent an exit. Greeks will vote again on June 17 after talks on forming a government failed, Democratic Left leader Fotis Kouvelis said.

The S&P/TSX is heading for its third straight weekly decline as concerns mount that the Greek debt crisis, European elections and a weakening Chinese economy may curb demand for commodities. Energy and raw-material companies account for 44 percent of Canadian stocks by market value, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

US

By Rita Nazareth

May 16 (Bloomberg) — The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropped a fourth day, the longest decline in a month, as concern Greece’s debt crisis is worsening offset better-than-estimated reports on U.S. housing starts and industrial production.

Financial stocks fell the most in the S&P 500 among 10 groups as Bank of America Corp. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. sank at least 2.1 percent. Alcoa Inc. slid 2.5 percent as commodities retreated after the Dollar Index rose for a record 13th straight day. J.C. Penney Co. tumbled 20 percent, the biggest drop ever, on disappointing results. General Motors Co. rose 2.3 percent as Berkshire Hathaway Inc. disclosed a stake in the automaker.

The S&P 500 retreated 0.4 percent to 1,324.80 at 4 p.m. New York time, reversing an earlier advance of as much as 0.8 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased 33.45 points, or 0.3 percent, to 12,598.55, the lowest level since Jan. 18. About 7.6 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges today, or 15 percent above the three-month average.

“The situation in Europe is extremely precarious,” said Barry Knapp, the New York-based head of U.S. equity strategy at Barclays Plc. “More needs to be done. You can’t have a lot of confidence that assets will stabilize.”

Concern about Europe’s crisis drove the S&P 500 down 2.4 percent in four days and trimmed this year’s gain in the gauge to 5.3 percent. The European Central Bank said it will temporarily stop lending to some Greek banks to limit its risk as President Mario Draghi signaled the ECB won’t compromise on key principles to keep Greece in the euro area.

Equities rose earlier today as economic data bolstered optimism the U.S. could withstand fallout from Europe. Several Federal Reserve policy makers said a loss of momentum in growth or increased risks to their economic outlook could warrant additional action to keep the recovery going, minutes of their last meeting showed.

“Several Fed members are now saying more action may be needed, but they are not taking action,” said Peter Jankovskis, who helps manage about $2.9 billion at Oakbrook Investments in Lisle, Illinois. “Certainly the situation in Greece is troublesome. It’s getting to a point where it gets harder and harder to envision Greece staying within the euro.”

Eight out of 10 groups in the S&P 500 retreated today as financial and raw material indexes lost at least 1.1 percent. The Morgan Stanley Cyclical Index of companies most-tied to the economy fell 1 percent. Alcoa, the largest U.S. aluminum producer, sank 2.5 percent to $8.49. Bank of America decreased 2.6 percent to $7.11. JPMorgan slid 2.2 percent to $35.46.

JPMorgan’s shareholders sued the bank and Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon in two separate cases over the company’s $2 billion trading loss. The bank continues to employ Bruno Iksil, the trader known as the London Whale whose positions may have distorted prices in some derivatives markets. Brian Marchiony, a spokesman for the New York-based firm, confirmed Iksil’s status. The New York Times reported earlier that Iksil is leaving JPMorgan by the end of this year.

J.C. Penney slumped 20 percent, the most in the S&P 500, to $26.75. The department-store chain led by Apple Inc.’s former retailing chief reported a first-quarter loss and sales that fell more than analysts projected.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. dropped 13 percent to $39.50, the lowest level since October 2010. The operator of namesake and Hollister stores reported first-quarter revenue that missed analysts’ estimates and said same-store sales will decline this fiscal year amid weakness in Europe.

Staples Inc. decreased 5.7 percent to $13.91. The largest office-supply retailer reported first-quarter sales of $6.1 billion, missing the average analyst estimate of $6.19 billion.

Some car companies and auto-parts suppliers gained as Warren Buffett’s firm said it had 10 million shares of GM on March 31 and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said the industry has “significant” potential to gain from volume and margin growth. GM rose 2.3 percent to $21.91. Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co., the biggest U.S. tiremaker, added 4.9 percent to $10.69.

General Electric Co. climbed 3.3 percent to $19. Its finance unit will resume payouts to the parent company that were suspended in 2009 during a freeze in credit markets. Restarting the dividend is a milestone in GE Capital’s recovery from the financial crisis, when the unit suffered $32 billion of credit losses and received capital infusions from the parent.

Legg Mason Inc. jumped 7.5 percent, the biggest gain in the S&P 500, to $24.05. The money manager with 18 straight quarters of net redemptions plans to issue debt to help repurchase $1.25 billion of bonds from private-equity firm KKR & Co.

Facebook Inc. investors such as Accel Partners and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. increased the number of shares they’re selling in the social network’s initial public offering, boosting the sale to as much as $16 billion.

Existing holders will offer 241.2 million shares, bringing the total on offer to 421.2 million, a regulatory filing today shows. Accel, the biggest seller in the IPO, raised the amount it’s selling by 28 percent, while Goldman Sachs more than doubled its shares on offer.

Facebook, girding for the largest-ever IPO of a technology company, yesterday boosted the offering’s price range to as much as $38 a share, indicating a market value as high as $104 billion. While the expanded IPO may mean the appetite for shares is strong, insiders’ decision to pare holdings further may heighten some investors’ concern over Facebook’s earnings growth, said Greenwood Capital’s Walter Todd.

“If the demand wasn’t there, they wouldn’t have upsized the deal,” said Todd, who oversees about $940 million as chief investment officer at the Greenwood, South Carolina-based firm. “On the other hand, when you see insiders unloading their stakes, you start to wonder why. I could see it turning some institutional investors off.”

Investors will be able to avoid losses in the broader equity market this year by buying stocks with larger-than- average dividends, said David Kostin, chief U.S. equity strategist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

“The scarcest commodity in the world is yield,” the New York-based strategist said in a radio interview today on “Bloomberg Surveillance” with Tom Keene and Ken Prewitt. “You have negligible returns” in most asset classes. “Where are you getting any income? You are going to get it in the form of dividends.”

Kostin has a year-end projection for the equities gauge of 1,250, according to a weekly survey by Bloomberg News. The S&P 500 has a dividend yield of 2.13 percent, according to Bloomberg data. Ten-year Treasuries yield 1.76 percent.

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

Be magnificent!

When you believe that the truth is living, moving, that it does not have one home or rest in any temple,

mosque, or church, in any religion, master or philosopher – in short, that nothing can lead you to it-

you will see also that you are this living thing in every respect;

it is your anger, your brutality, your violence, your despair,

It is the agony and the pain that you live through.  The truth is in the comprehension of all of this;

you cannot comprehend it unless you are determined to see it in your life.

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986

As ever,

Carolann

Acquire inner peace and a multitude will find

their salvation near you.

-Catherine de Hueck Doherty, 1896-1985

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

May 15, 2012 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Another reason to get moving:

“[There is an] easy-to-achieve, scientifically proven way to make ourselves smarter,” writes Gretchen Reynolds in the New York Times Magazine.  Go for a walk or a swim. For more than a decade, neuroscientists and physiologists have been gathering evidence of the beneficial relationship between exercise and brainpower.  But the newest findings make it clear that this isn’t just a relationship; it is the relationship.  Using sophisticated technologies to examine the workings of individual neurons – the makeup of brain matter itself – scientists in just the past few months have discovered that exercise appears to build a brain that resists physical shrinkage and enhances cognitive flexibility.  Exercise, the latest neuroscience suggests, does more to bolster thinking than thinking does.”

And on this day, in,

1940 – the first McDonald’s opened

1988 – Soviet forces begin their withdrawal from Afghanistan

1958 – Sputnik III is launched by the Soviet Union
1942 – The U.S. begins rationing gasoline in seventeen states
1973 – Nolan Ryan pitches his first n0-hitter
1885 – Louis Riel surrenders to Middleton’s troops – the 100 day North West Rebellion ends

And as we let our own light shine, we unconsciously give other people permission to do the same. As we are liberated from our fear, our presence automatically liberates others. – Marianne Williamson

photos of the day May 15, 2012

Sheep rest in front of furnaces in Duisburg, Germany. Germany’s economy grew 0.5 percent in the first quarter of 2012.

Frank Augstein/AP

New French President Francois Hollande, looks out the sunroof of his car as he rides up the Avenue des Champs-Élysées after the presidential handover ceremony in Paris.

Michel Euler/AP

Market Closes for May 15, 2012:

North American Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

12632.00 -63.35

 

-0.50%

 

S&P 500 1330.66 -7.69

 

-0.57%

 

NASDAQ 2893.76 -8.82

 

-0.30%

 

TSX 11343.05 -145.48

 

-1.27%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 8900.74 -73.10

 

-0.81%

 

HANG

SENG

19894.31 +159.27

 

0.81%

 

SENSEX 16328.25 +112.41

 

+0.69%

 

FTSE 100 5437.62 -27.90

 

-0.51%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.937 1.938
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.458 2.445
U.S.

10 Year Bond

1.7671 1.7637
U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.9168 2.9199

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 1.00659

 

1.00319
US

$

0.99346 0.99682
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

Inverse

Canadian

$

1.28195 0.78006
US

$

1.27350 0.78524

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1543.40 1556.85
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 93.98 94.78
BRENT 112.40 111.60

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Joseph Ciolli

May 15 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell to a seven-month low as energy and raw-material shares declined after Greek Pasok party leader Evangelos Venizelos said new elections will be held after attempts to form a government failed.

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd., the country’s third- biggest energy company, decreased 2.7 percent. Bankers Petroleum Ltd. slid 7.4 percent, extending yesterday’s 34 percent slump following lower-than-estimated earnings. Barrick Gold Corp., the world’s largest producer of the metal, slipped 3.9 percent.

Research In Motion Ltd. dropped 5.7 percent to its lowest price since December 2003.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 145.48 points, or 1.3 percent, to 11,343.05 in Toronto, the lowest level since Oct. 4.

“The Canadian market has been particularly hit in materials and energy, the two big sectors that affect the market,” Sebastian van Berkom, a money manager at Van Berkom & Associates in Montreal, said in a telephone interview. The firm oversees about C$1.8 billion ($1.8 billion). “These two major sectors are affected by global headwinds that are affecting the outcome for commodities.”

The benchmark gauge on May 11 completed a second straight weekly decline as concerns mounted that the Greek debt crisis and a weakening Chinese economy may curb demand for commodities.

Energy and mining shares account for 43 percent of Canadian stocks by market value.

Energy companies fell as oil prices slumped to their lowest since December after the euro fell against the dollar on Greece’s failure to form a government. The U.S. Dollar Index, a gauge of the currency against six major peers, climbed for a 12th day in its longest rally ever.

Suncor Energy Inc., Canada’s largest oil and gas producer, fell 1.1 percent to C$27.67. Talisman Energy Inc., an oil and gas producer with operations in North America, the North Sea and Indonesia, declined 3.2 percent to C$9.98.

Canadian Natural Resources decreased 2.7 percent to C$29.44.

Bankers Petroleum, which operates in Albania, slid 7.4 percent to C$2.12 a day after missing first-quarter earnings estimates. The two-day loss of 39 percent is the company’s biggest since December 2008.

Materials stocks in the S&P/TSX declined as gold fell to a 19-week low and copper decreased for a third day as the dollar’s rise curbed demand for the metals as alternative investments.

Barrick slipped 3.9 percent to C$35.23. Eldorado Gold Corp., a Vancouver-based mining company, fell 5 percent to C$10.38.

Teck Resources Ltd., the country’s biggest base-metals producer, sank 4.1 percent to C$30.40. Ivanhoe Mines Ltd., Rio Tinto Group’s partner in the Oyu Tolgoi Mongolian gold and copper mine, fell 5.3 percent to C$8.70.

Financial shares decreased for a second day. Toronto- Dominion Bank, the country’s second largest lender, declined 1 percent to C$79.13. Sun Life Financial Inc., Canada’s third- biggest insurance company, slipped 2.4 percent to C$22.34.

“Given that Greece is now more at risk, the impact on the banking system with the current European environment is obviously exacerbating the outlook for banks,” Van Berkom said.

“They’ve been trying to recapitalize themselves. They can’t really absorb bad loans.”

Research In Motion, the maker of the BlackBerry smartphone, slid 5.7 percent to C$11.18.

US

By Rita Nazareth

May 15 (Bloomberg) — The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell to an almost four-month low as Greece’s failure to form a new government offset better-than-estimated American economic data.

Commodity shares tumbled as the Dollar Index extended its longest rally ever, reducing the appeal of raw materials. Avon Products Inc. slumped 11 percent as Coty Inc. withdrew its $10.7 billion offer for the biggest door-to-door cosmetics seller.

Home Depot Inc., the largest U.S. home-improvement retailer, slid 2.4 percent as it forecast slowing sales gains. Lennar Corp. and D.R. Horton Inc. jumped at least 2.5 percent as homebuilder confidence climbed to the highest level since 2007.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.6 percent to 1,330.66 at 4 p.m. New York time, dropping 2 percent in three days. The Dow lost 63.35 points, or 0.5 percent, to 12,632, the lowest since Jan. 19. About 7.3 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, or 9 percent above the three-month average.

“It’s fear of European drama,” said Paul Zemsky, the New York-based head of asset allocation for ING Investment Management. His firm oversees $160 billion. “It seems obvious that leaving the euro would be a disaster for Greece and very costly to its economy. Yet they seem to be on a path where that could happen. We’ve had some good U.S. economic data, but people are afraid to hold equities. It’s extremely frustrating.”

Stocks fell for a third day and the euro tumbled to a four- month low amid concern Greece will leave the shared currency.

The European country will hold new elections after President Karolos Papoulias failed to broker a governing coalition following an inconclusive May 6 vote. The impasse offset American reports showing that manufacturing in the New York region and homebuilder confidence grew more than forecast.

Investors’ demand for safety pushed up the Dollar Index, a gauge of the currency against six major peers, for the 12th straight day. The dollar gain helped send copper, gold and oil lower. Gauges of energy and raw material shares in the S&P 500 slumped at least 1.4 percent. Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. dropped 4.8 percent to $32.65. Alcoa Inc. slid 2.4 percent to $8.71.

Pacific Investment Management Co., which manages the world’s largest bond fund, doesn’t see the European currency union surviving in its present form. The most probable outcome is that the 17-nation euro area will evolve into a smaller union centered on France, Germany, Italy and Spain, and underpinned by much stronger coordination and financing, he said.

“The status quo is no longer an option for Europe over the three to five year horizon,” Pimco Chief Executive Officer Mohamed El-Erian wrote in a report outlining the Newport Beach, California-based company’s medium-term economic outlook.

Avon tumbled 11 percent, the most in the S&P 500, to $18.71. Coty, the maker of perfumes by Beyonce Knowles and Heidi Klum, said attempts to speak to Avon board members, including Chairman Andrea Jung and Chief Executive Officer Sheri McCoy, failed after it received a two-sentence e-mail requesting a deadline extension. Coty had given yesterday as a cutoff date for a response when it made its $24.75-a-share bid last week.

Home Depot retreated 2.4 percent to $48.67 after forecasting sales this year will slow from the first quarter because warm weather pulled forward purchases of plants and gardening equipment.

A measure of homebuilders in S&P indexes rallied 2.2 percent on signals of an improving outlook for construction.

Lennar increased 2.8 percent to $29.16. D.R. Horton advanced 2.5 percent to $17.33.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. rebounded from the biggest two-day drop since 2009, climbing 1.3 percent to $36.24. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon, responding to shareholders at the annual meeting after disclosing a $2 billion trading loss last week, said he sees no reason the bank’s dividend would be affected.

Groupon Inc. rose 3.7 percent to $12.17, after soaring as much as 27 percent earlier. The largest daily-deal website reported first-quarter profit that topped estimates, helped by lower marketing costs and expanded international sales.

TJX Cos. rose the most in the S&P 500, climbing 6.9 percent to $42.45. The owner of the T.J. Maxx and Marshalls retail chains reported first-quarter profit that beat analysts’ estimates, driven by demand in Europe. Sales rose 11 percent to $5.8 billion from $5.22 billion a year earlier, matching analysts’ estimates.

Facebook Inc. boosted the price range on its initial public offering to seek as much as $12.8 billion, signaling that Chief Executive Officer Mark Zuckerberg expects demand for the social network to withstand recent market turmoil.

The new range is $34 to $38 a share, a regulatory filing today shows, indicating a market value of as much as $104.2 billion. That would make Facebook, co-founded in 2004 by Zuckerberg, worth more than Citigroup Inc. and McDonald’s Corp.

Facebook, which has spent more than a week pitching the IPO to investors across the U.S., raised the range even after the S&P 500 yesterday slumped to the lowest level since February.

That may spell disappointment for investors if the slump persists, said Bruce McCain, chief investment strategist at the private-banking unit of KeyCorp.

“They get more money upfront if they can make it go, but if the enthusiasm is weak out of the gate, it makes it that much more difficult for the company going forward,” said McCain, who helps oversee more than $20 billion for the Cleveland-based bank. “You would think they would be a little more cautious.”

The S&P 500 took longer than usual to fall 5 percent from its peak this year, a sign that any further retreat in U.S. stocks will be “contained,” according to Sam Stovall of S&P.

The benchmark gauge reached the threshold yesterday after spending 28 days without losing 5 percent from its April high.

Since 1950, it has taken an average 19 days to fall 5 percent, based on a study by Stovall, S&P’s New York-based chief equity strategist.

Among those that took 28 days or longer to occur, only 25 percent eventually turned into corrections, or retreats of more than 10 percent, the data show. Stovall said in an e-mail that he views losses of less than 5 percent as “noise” and those of between 5 percent and 10 percent as pullbacks.

“The duration of this ‘noise’ likely indicates that the ultimate decline will be contained, unless new worries emerge or existing concerns become increasingly intensified in the coming weeks or months,” Stovall wrote yesterday. “The market will eventually bottom in a ‘pullback’ mode.”

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

Be magnificent!

 

We should never try to follow another’s path for that is his way, not yours.

When that path is found, you have nothing to do but fold your arms

and the tide will carry you to freedom.

Therefore when you find it, never swerve from it.

Your way is the best for you,

but that is no sign it is the best for another.

Swami Vivekananda, 1863-1902

 

As ever,

Carolann

We evolve into the images we carry

in our minds.  We become what

we see.

-Jerry Mander, 1936-

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

 

May 14, 2012 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

I went to the Canada Economic Summit in Toronto last week, which featured a full marathon of interesting leaders from business and government.  One of the business leaders who spoke was William A. Ackman, who has been in the media a lot lately as he gears up for a showdown with the board and management of Canadian Pacific Railway.  The vote is set for May 17th, so it will be interesting to see if his persistence wins over shareholders.  He said there still exists a clubbiness  on Bay Street that is long since passé on Wall Street – enhancing shareholder value is the name of the game south of the boarder.  One of the most impressive speakers, who gave a cogent view of the current geopolitical situation and opined intelligently on the future was former Prime Minister Paul Martin.  Melanie L. Aitkin, Commissioner of Competition, Competition Bureau of Canada, gave a  presentation that was also very interesting.

I made it to New York for the weekend – it’s only an hour away and one of my friends who lives in Toronto accompanied me.  We got our quota of art and theater for awhile, During the day, we went to the High Line, the Frick and the Met.  There is a fantastic exhibit at the Metropolitan Museum of Art, The Steins Collect.   It is on until June 30th, so if you are going there, it is really worthwhile to visit.

About the exhibition, from the Met website:

“Gertrude Stein, her brothers Leo and Michael, and Michael’s wife Sarah were important patrons of modern art in Paris during the first decades of the twentieth century. This exhibition unites some two hundred works of art to demonstrate the significant impact the Steins’ patronage had on the artists of their day and the way in which the family disseminated a new standard of taste for modern art. The Steins’ Saturday evening salons introduced a generation of visitors to recent developments in art, particularly the work of their close friends Henri Matisse and Pablo Picasso, long before it was on view in museums.

Beginning with the art that Leo Stein collected when he arrived in Paris in 1903—including paintings and prints by Paul Cézanne, Edgar Degas, Paul Gauguin, Henri de Toulouse-Lautrec, Édouard Manet, and Auguste Renoir—the exhibition traces the evolution of the Steins’ taste and examines the close relationships formed between individual members of the family and their artist friends. While focusing on works by Matisse and Picasso, the exhibition also includes paintings, sculpture, and works on paper by Pierre Bonnard, Maurice Denis, Juan Gris, Marie Laurencin, Jacques Lipchitz, Henri Manguin, André Masson, Elie Nadelman, Francis Picabia, and others.”

At night, we were able to take in a couple of shows.  One was the new musical, Once, which is probably the best I’ve ever seen.  It is worth the trip just to see it.  On our last night, we saw Death of a Salesman, and it is something I don’t think anyone in the audience will ever forget.  Philip Seymour Hoffman is the best Willy Loman ever and Andrew Garfield plays Biff Loman’s character so convincingly, you are transported to the reality Arthur Miller envisioned.

And on this day in,

1897 – Guglielmo Marconi sends first communication by wireless telegraph.
1973 – The U.S. Space Station Skylab is launched
1940 – Holland Surrenders to Germany
1948 – Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion establishes the State of Israel
1961 – A bus carrying black and white civil rights activists is bombed and burned in Alabama

photos of the day

May 14, 2012

A worker sets up a giant 65th Cannes Film Festival official poster showing Marilyn Monroe on the Cannes Festival Palace in France. The Festival will start on Wednesday.

Lionel Cironneau/AP

Madame Tussauds employee Lisa Burton poses with a paintbrush on a new figure of Britain’s Queen Elizabeth, produced in honor of her Diamond Jubilee in London.

Suzanne Plunkett/Reuters

Market Closes for May 14, 2012:

North American Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

12695.35 -125.25 

 

-0.98% 

 

S&P 500 1338.35 -15.04 

 

-1.11% 

 

NASDAQ 2902.58 -31.24 

 

-1.06% 

 

TSX 11488.53 -206.14 

 

-1.76% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 8973.84 +20.53 

 

+0.23% 

 

HANG 

SENG

19735.04 -229.59 

 

-1.15% 

 

SENSEX 16215.84 -77.14 

 

-0.47% 

 

FTSE 100 5465.52 -110.00 

 

-1.97% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

1.938 1.970
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

2.445 2.467
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

1.7637 1.8376
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

2.9199 3.0127

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.99682 1.00027 

 

US  

$

1.00319 0.99973
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.28657 0.77726
US 

$

1.28240 0.77979

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1556.85 1579.73
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 94.78 96.13
BRENT 111.60 112.38 

 

Market  Commentary:

Canada

By Joseph Ciolli

May 14 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell for the eighth time in nine days after oil producers and banks declined as Greece struggled to form a government amid growing speculation the nation may leave the euro region.

Suncor Energy Inc., Canada’s largest oil and gas producer, decreased 2.6 percent. Bankers Petroleum Ltd. plunged 34 percent after earnings missed analysts’ projections. Royal Bank of Canada, the nation’s biggest lender, slipped 1.4 percent.

Goldcorp Inc., the second-largest producer of the metal, slipped 3.7 percent.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 206.14 points, or 1.8 percent, to 11,488.53, extending its retreat since May 1 to 6.9 percent.

“The Canadian market is so resource-driven that any time you have global growth uncertainty it seems to knock down commodity prices,” Jennifer Radman, a money manager at Caldwell Investment Management Ltd. in Toronto, said in a telephone interview. The firm oversees about C$1 billion ($1 billion).

“Any news that shakes up peoples’ beliefs at the current moment can have a pretty big impact on our market.”

The benchmark gauge on May 11 completed a second straight weekly decline as concerns mounted that the Greek debt crisis and a weakening Chinese economy may curb demand for commodities.

Energy and mining shares account for 43 percent of Canadian stocks by market value.

Energy companies declined as oil fell to its lowest price in almost five months after Greece failed to agree on a unity government and European officials considered its possible exit from the euro. Saudi Arabia Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said that crude prices should decline further.

Suncor Energy decreased 2.6 percent to C$27.99. Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. dropped 2.4 percent to C$30.25. Oil-sands producer Cenovus Energy Inc. sank 2.6 percent to C$32.10.

Bankers Petroleum slumped 34 percent to C$2.29.

Banks in the S&P/TSX fell to the lowest on a closing basis since January on concern over Greece.

Sumit Malhotra, an analyst at Macquarie Group Ltd., cut his 2012 and 2013 earnings per share estimates for Canadian banks by 1 percent today before second-quarter earnings reports are scheduled to start on May 23. He cited “macro headwinds” and slowing consumer loan growth.

Royal Bank of Canada slipped 1.4 percent to C$53.22.

Toronto-Dominion Bank, Canada’s second-largest lender, decreased 0.7 percent to C$79.93. Bank of Nova Scotia, the country’s third-largest lender, fell 1 percent to C$52.50.

Materials shares dropped as gold erased its gains for the year as concern that Europe’s debt crisis is deepening strengthened the dollar and cut the metal’s appeal as an alternative asset.

Goldcorp slipped 3.7 percent to C$33.62. Eldorado Gold Corp., a Vancouver-based mining company, sank 4.9 percent to C$10.93.

Potash producers declined as soybeans fell to the lowest in more than six weeks on speculation that Europe’s worsening debt crisis and slowing Chinese economy will curb demand for food, feed and fuel made from the oilseed.

Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc., the biggest fertilizer company, dropped 1.8 percent to C$40.28. Agrium Inc., a fertilizer producer and farm retailer, decreased 3 percent to C$81.05.

US

By Rita Nazareth

May 14 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks declined, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average to the lowest level since January, as Greece struggled to form a new government amid growing speculation the nation may leave the European currency.

Financial and energy shares fell the most among 10 groups in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Bank of America Corp. sank at least 2.6 percent as European lenders slumped. Alcoa Inc. and Schlumberger Ltd. slid more than

1.5 percent to pace declines in commodity producers. Symantec Corp., the biggest seller of security software, retreated 1.4 percent after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. cut its recommendation.

The S&P 500 slid 1.1 percent to 1,338.35 at 4 p.m. New York time, the lowest since Feb. 2. The Dow fell 125.25 points, or 1 percent, to 12,695.35. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which measures the cost of using options as insurance against S&P 500 losses, rose 10 percent to an almost four-month high of 21.87. About 6.6 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, in line with the three-month average.

“The fear factor is definitely higher,” said Madelynn Matlock, who helps oversee about $14.7 billion at Huntington Asset Advisors in Cincinnati. “The whole European political situation is really the focus at this point. Nobody really knows what’s going to happen next and the market hates uncertainty.”

Global stocks fell as Greece’s political deadlock went into a second week after President Karolos Papoulias failed to secure agreement on a unity government. Alexis Tsipras, leader of Greece’s Syriza party, said Europe must reexamine its policy of austerity and that his party wants Greece to stay in the euro.

Concern about Europe’s crisis grew as the cost of insuring against a Spanish default jumped to an all-time high. Chancellor Angela Merkel’s party was defeated in Germany’s most populous state in an election that helped the Social Democrats tighten their grip on the country’s regional governments. The result may embolden the Social Democrats as they align with French President-elect Francois Hollande in an anti-austerity front.

“We certainly have a lot to worry about,” said John Manley, chief equity strategist for Wells Fargo Advantage Funds in New York. His firm oversees $207 billion. “The odds of Greece leaving the euro are higher. It’s an enormous game of chicken that they are playing with each other. To the degree it does represent the democratic process in Greece, it makes it more likely they default and the Europeans have to do something.”

American banks slumped as a measure of European lenders tumbled 2.8 percent. JPMorgan, which plunged 9.3 percent on May 11, lost 3.2 percent to $35.79. Bank of America fell 2.7 percent to $7.35. Citigroup Inc. retreated 4.1 percent to $28.14.

Fitch Ratings lowered JPMorgan’s credit grade by one level to A+ from AA- on May 11, saying the $2 billion loss “raises questions regarding JPM’s risk appetite, risk management framework, practices and oversight.”

Residential Capital LLC, the unprofitable mortgage company whose parent Ally Financial Inc. is trying to repay a U.S.

government bailout, filed for bankruptcy.     Energy and raw material producers sank as the S&P GSCI gauge of 24 commodities dropped 1.1 percent. Schlumberger lost 2.3 percent. Alcoa fell 1.6 percent to $8.92.

Symantec slid 1.4 percent to $15.24. Goldman Sachs cut its rating to sell from neutral, citing worsening margins and cash flows. The share-price estimate was lowered to $14 from $16.

Best Buy Co. rose 1.5 percent to $19.56. Founder Richard Schulze will step down as chairman after a probe found he failed to tell the board about allegations that then-Chief Executive Officer Brian Dunn was having an inappropriate relationship with a female employee.

Chesapeake Energy Corp. surged 4.8 percent to $15.52. The company reached a $3 billion loan agreement with a unit of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and affiliates of Jefferies Group Inc.

to help ease a cash shortfall that threatens to curtail its development of oil and natural-gas wells.

Avon Products Inc. rallied 3.8 percent to $20.96 as the company said it will respond within a week to Coty Inc., the perfume-maker that last week boosted its takeover offer for Avon to $10.7 billion.

Yahoo! Inc. rose 2 percent to $15.50. Chief Executive Officer Scott Thompson is stepping down after failing to correct errors in his credentials and the company is revamping its board, handing a victory to activist investor Daniel Loeb, who had pushed for the overhaul.

Ross Levinsohn, Yahoo’s head of global media, was named interim CEO, and director Fred Amoroso will become chairman.

Facebook Inc. plans to stop taking orders for its initial public offering tomorrow, two days ahead of schedule, according to a person with knowledge of the transaction.

Facebook will likely finish taking orders for the IPO after U.S. markets close May 15, said the person, who declined to be identified as the plans are private. The offer of 337.4 million shares at $28 to $35 each has been oversubscribed, people with knowledge of the matter said. Jonathan Thaw, a spokesman for Facebook, declined to comment.

“They’re swamped with the orders that are in,” said Jon Merriman, chief executive officer at investment firm Merriman Holdings Inc. in San Francisco. “They just need time to determine the price. They can send the message — the books are closing, send in your orders now.”

As individuals bail out of U.S. stocks at the fastest rate in three decades, professional speculators have cut bearish bets by the most since 2008.

Money managers are net short 19,375 contracts on the S&P 500, down 82 percent from a four-year high in September even after the figure jumped from 3,584 last week, data compiled by Bloomberg and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission show.

U.S. equity mutual funds recorded $18 billion of outflows in April, the most since at least 1984, according to preliminary data from the Investment Company Institute.

Hedge funds and other institutions are speculating the index will extend its 23 percent rally since October after 69 percent of S&P 500 companies beat first-quarter earnings estimates and economists projected accelerating U.S. growth this year. Bears say last week’s addition to bets on declines show short sellers have completed almost all of the buying they are likely to do, depleting demand for equities.

“For the professional side, stocks look pretty compelling,” David Goerz, chief investment officer at Highmark Capital Management Inc., said in a telephone interview from San Francisco on May 9. His firm oversees about $17 billion.

“Underlying economic strength is much more resilient than anybody expected it to be this year.”

Have  a wonderful evening everyone.

Be magnificent!

Truth has no path, and that is the beauty of truth, it is living.

-Krishnamurti, 1895-1986

As ever,

Carolann

Friends may come and go, but enemies accumulate.

-Thomas Jones, 1892-1969

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

 

May 11, 2012 Newsletter

Hello All,

Tangents:

Happy Friday everyone! Hope you are all enjoying some good weather like we are here in Victoria. And what better way to enjoy the sun then with a good book. If you find yourself in Victoria this weekend and in need of said good book, look no further then the Times Colonist Book Sale. Located in the Victoria Curling Club, hundreds of thousands of books will be on sale this weekend.

The Book Sale is also a big draw for collectors, with some dealers lining up at 3:30 am to get to the rare books first. This year one of the big ticket items that many collectors are sure to be after is William Henry Bartlett’s Canadian Scenery, which dates back to 1842. The two-volume tome is selling for $200. Last year a 200-year-old Bible was donated and went for almost $800.

You can read more here: http://www.timescolonist.com/news/Head+cage+turn+page+history+treasured+tomes/6605093/story.html

To all those not in Victoria, here’s hoping you get some nice weather too! Have a great weekend and a happy Mother’s Day!

photos of the day May 11, 2012

Traditional straw shoes, or jipsin, hang from the bags of students in traditional scholars’ costume outside a lecture hall at a Confucian shrine at Sungkyunkwan University in Seoul, South Korea. The high school students are taking part in a re-enactment of the traditional state examinations, Gwageo.- Lee Jae-Won/Reuters

Baboons climb on a Hyundai i30 hatchback at Knowsley Safari Park during a promotional event by the manufacturer to test the car’s durability, in Preston, Merseyside, England, on May 1, 2012.- M&C Saatchi/handout/Reuters

Market Closes for May 11, 2012:

North American Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

12820.60 -34.44 

 

-0.27% 

 

S&P 500 1353.39 -4.60 

 

-0.34% 

 

NASDAQ 2933.82 +0.18 

 

+0.01% 

 

TSX 11694.67 -41.50 

 

-0.35% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 8953.31 -56.34 

 

-0.63% 

 

HANG 

SENG

19964.63 -262.65 

 

-1.30% 

 

SENSEX 16292.98 -127.07 

 

-0.36% 

 

FTSE 100 5543.95 +13.90 

 

-0.77% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

1.970 1.985
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

2.467 2.497
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

1.8376 1.8670
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.0127 3.0407

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian 

$

1.00027 1.00329 

 

US  

$

0.99973 0.99672
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.29204 0.77397
US 

$

1.29181 0.77410

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1579.73 1593.67
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 96.13 97.08
BRENT 112.38 

 

112.64

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Whitney Kisling

May 11 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell, completing a second straight weekly decline, as energy and materials producers slipped on concern that a weakening Chinese economy may curb demand for commodities.

Barrick Gold Corp. and Suncor Energy Inc. declined 1.9 percent each as oil and gold futures slumped. Osisko Mining Corp. sank 13 percent after RBC Capital Markets cut its rating. Sun Life Financial Inc., the country’s third-largest insurer, rose 3.3 percent, as financial shares rose on stronger-than- forecast employment figures. Savanna Energy Services Corp. gained 4.1 percent after RBC recommended the shares.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 41.50 points, or 0.4 percent, to 11,694.67 today for a 1.5 percent weekly decline. The index has retreated 8.2 percent since the 2012 high in February.

“It’s a bit of a mixed day, with Chinese industrial production a little lower than last month, showing signs of slowing,” Todd Johnson, a money manager at BCV Asset Management in Winnipeg, Manitoba, said in a telephone interview. The firm oversees C$349 million ($350 million). The Canadian jobs number “was very good and helps propel the market higher, given domestic jobs here are pretty robust.”

The benchmark gauge fell 3 percent last week as a U.S. industry report showed employers added fewer jobs than forecast in April and commodity prices dropped. Energy and mining shares account for 43 percent of Canadian stocks by market value.

Chinese industrial production rose the least since 2009 in April, while retail sales and new lending gained less than estimated and inflation was below target, figures showed today.

The value of Chinese house sales slumped, adding to signs the world’s second-largest economy is weakening. Oil fell 1 percent, to $96.13 a barrel, the lowest settlement since Dec. 19.

Suncor Energy, Canada’s largest oil and gas producer, lost 1.9 percent to C$28.75.

Materials shares had the biggest decline in the S&P/TSX today, falling 1.5 percent as a group as gold futures plunged to a four-month low, capping the biggest weekly drop since March.

Copper also declined. The group had the worst performance of the week, down 5 percent.

Osisko Mining Corp. fell 13 percent to C$7.40, the company’s biggest retreat since February 2009, after RBC lowered the stock to sector perform from outperform. The rating means the stock is expected to trade in line with the sector average over 12 months. The company said yesterday it would shut its ore-processing mill at the Canadian Malartic mine for as long as three weeks after a fire.

Barrick Gold slipped 1.9 percent to C$37.09, while Eldorado Gold Corp. fell 2.9 percent to C$11.49.

Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. dropped 5.1 percent to C$9.48. The Vancouver-based miner appointed David Klingner as chairman and said construction of phase one at its Oyu Tolgoi gold and copper project in Mongolia was 82 percent complete at the end of April.

A report today showed Canadian employment rose almost six times faster than economists forecast in April, led by private- sector and full-time positions. Employment rose by 58,200 following a March jump of 82,300, Statistics Canada said today in Ottawa, for the largest two-month increase in more than 30 years.

An index of banks in the S&P/TSX rose 0.2 percent, after falling as much as 0.7 percent earlier today following JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s disclosure of a $2 billion trading loss. Toronto- Dominion Bank, Canada’s second-biggest lender, rose 0.4 percent to C$80.51.

A gauge of insurers added 1.2 percent. Sun Life climbed 3.3 percent to C$23.30, while Manulife Financial Corp., Canada’s largest insurer, added 2.4 percent to C$12.36.

Savanna Energy Services gained 4.1 percent to C$7.70 after RBC raised the stock to outperform from sector perform.

US

By Rita Nazareth and Elizabeth Campbell

May 11 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, extending a weekly decline, as banks tumbled after JPMorgan Chase & Co. disclosed a $2 billion trading loss. Treasuries capped the longest run of weekly gains since 1998, while commodities fell for an eighth day to extend the longest slump in more than three years.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 0.3 percent to close at 1,353.39 at 4 p.m. in New York, sending it down 1.2 percent in the week. The S&P GSCI Index of 24 commodities lost 0.8 percent to extend this week’s slump to 1.7 percent and erase its gain for the year. The advance in 10-year Treasuries sent yields down two basis points to 1.84 percent as the benchmark note completed an eighth weekly increase.

Financial shares led losses as JPMorgan Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon blamed an “egregious” failure in trading of synthetic credit securities for the trading loss, distracting investors’ attention from an unexpected increase in the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment to a four-year high. Commodities fell as China’s industrial production grew the least since 2009 in April, spurring concern demand for raw materials may wane.

“The U.S. economy is doing OK, corporate earnings continue to impress, but there’s a lot of headline risk in financials,” Stephen Wood, the New York-based chief market strategist for Russell Investments, said in a telephone interview. His firm oversees $140.8 billion. “There will be volatility.”

The S&P 500 fell for a second straight week and extended its drop from a four-year high last month to 4.6 percent.

JPMorgan plunged 9.3 percent, the most since August. The bank’s chief investment office, run by Ina Drew, took flawed positions on synthetic credit securities that remain volatile and may cost the lender an additional $1 billion this quarter or next, Dimon said yesterday in a conference call with analysts. Fitch Ratings cut the company’s long-term debt rating one level to A+ after markets closed in New York Federal Reserve officials are gathering more information about the trading position at the bank, according to a person familiar with the matter. Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Mary Shapiro said the agency is monitoring the bank.U.S. Senator Bob Corker, a senior Republican on the Banking Committee, asked the panel’s chairman today to hold a hearing on the trades. JPMorgan led losses in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which slipped 34.44 points to 12,820.60, with Bank of America Corp. losing 2 percent for the second-biggest drop. Financial shares in the S&P 500 fell 1.2 percent as a group.

Nvidia Corp. jumped 6.4 percent, the most since October, as its sales forecast topped estimates amid demand for graphics and cell-phone chips. S&P 500 technology companies slipped 0.1 percent after leading the market higher earlier.

Derivatives traders seeking to profit on speculation JPMorgan is unwinding positions tied to its trading loss are driving up a vintage credit-default swaps index to the highest in more than three months.

The 10-year Markit CDX North America Investment Grade Index Series 9, created in 2007, reached as high as 139.4 basis points today before easing to 134.1 as of 12:41 p.m. in New York, according to data provider CMA, which is owned by CME Group Inc. and compiles prices quoted by dealers in the privately negotiated market. The index ended yesterday at 126.7.

Ten-year Treasury yields approached three-month low after German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble suggested the euro area could handle Greece dropping out. Thirty-year bonds gained as wholesale inflation declined last month before the Federal Reserve buys as much as $2 billion of longer-term securities.

Average estimates for 10-year Treasury yields three months from now are at 1.99 percent, 24 basis points lower than expectations in April, according to a survey from Citigroup Inc, published yesterday.

All but three of 24 commodities tracked by the S&P GSCI retreated. Cotton tumbled as much as 5.7 percent to an almost two-year low to lead losses following a U.S. forecast for rising inventories. Gold declined to a four-month low, losing 0.7 percent to $1,584 an ounce. Copper fell 1.2 percent to $3.648 a pound, capping a second weekly drop, following slower-than- forecast growth in industrial production in China, the biggest consumer of the metal. Oil fell 1 percent to $96.13 a barrel.

“The optimism we had at the end of 2011 that created a firm footing for a lot of commodities has slowly eroded,” said Jonathan Barratt, chief executive of Barratt’s Bulletin, a commodity-markets newsletter in Sydney. “The outlook remains mixed to negative.”

The Dollar Index, a gauge of the currency against six major peers, rose 0.2 percent to 80.282 as it climbed for a 10th straight day in the longest rally since August 2008. The dollar strengthened against 14 of 16 major peers. The euro slipped 0.1 percent to $1.2919, the lowest level since January.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.4 percent, erasing a loss of as much as 1.2 percent. The regional benchmark fell 0.4 percent this week as Greece’s struggles to form a government revived concern about the nation’s debt crisis. The euro was little changed at $1.2931 after earlier touching the weakest level since January.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index lost 1.2 percent, extending declines from this year’s March 2 high to 10 percent, the level that some investors consider to signal a correction. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index slumped 1.4 percent. India’s Sensex Index slipped 0.8 percent as production at factories, utilities and mines declined in March.

Germany’s 10-year bund yield fell two basis points to a record low of 1.52 percent, while the yield on Greece’s 10-year note advanced 57 basis points, climbing for the ninth straight day. Greek political leaders go into a fifth day of talks today with Evangelos Venizelos, the socialist Pasok leader, set to press for a unity government that would avert a new election. Antonis Samaras, head of the New Democracy party, said today his sole condition for supporting a coalition government is that it guarantees Greece’s membership of the euro area.

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

Kindest Regards,

 

Ellora Howie

Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8X 3Y7

 

May 10, 2012 Newsletter

Hello All,

Tangents:

As I have previously stated, we listen to a lot of National Public Radio here at Queensbury Securities. While it is mainly an American station reporting American news interspersed with smooth jazz covers of the “Mickey Mouse Song”, it is also a local Seattle station.  So aside from hearing about the American election, you also get interesting little Seattle factoids like the Space Needle turning 50.  And how does Seattle choose to celebrate this milestone? By sending a member of the general public to space!

That’s right, in what is being called the Space Race 2012 Gregory Schneider, a recent law-school grad from Tucson, Arizona, beat out over 50,000 applicants to win a trip to space.

The trip is run by the private company Space Adventures and comes with a hefty price-tag of $110,000 and offers a zero-gravity experience and stunning views of the Earth.

But don’t get it wrong, Gregory Schneider didn’t have it easy. Finalists had to first win a lottery to enter the contest, then bring in enough votes from supporters online. Finally, they had to compete against each other at tasks such as maneuvering robots and doing some climbing on the exterior of Space Needle.

The date of the voyage has yet to be determined, but you have to admit that is a pretty awesome prize!

photos of the day May 10, 2012

Cuban-American artist Jose Parla workson a creation on a building wall in Havana, Cuba, for the upcoming 11th Havana Biennial contemporary art exhibition. The project, titled ‘Wrinkles Of The City,’ involves combining French artist J.R’s pictures of Cuban elderly people in the neighborhood with Parla’s calligraphic messages, and then pasting them on walls around the city.- Desmond Boylan/Reuters

Filipino fishermen unload fish from a boat in Masinloc, Zambales, Philippines. Masinloc is the nearest land, about 128 nautical miles away, from the disputed Scarborough Shoal. China warned its citizens in Manila to stay off the streets and take precautions during planned anti-Chinese protests on Friday, a sign of mounting tensions during a standoff in the resource-rich South China Sea.- Erik De Castro/Reuters

Market Closes for May 10, 2012:

North American Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

12855.04 +19.98
-+0.16% 

 

S&P 500 1357.99 +3.41% 

 

-+0.25% 

 

NASDAQ 2933.64 -1.07%
-0.04% 

 

TSX 11736.17 +61.16
+0.52% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 9009.65 -35.41
-0.39% 

 

HANG 

SENG

20227.28 -103.36
-0.51%
SENSEX 16420.05 -59.53
-0.36% 

 

FTSE 100 5543.95 +13.90
-0.25% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

1.985 1.984
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

2.497 2.511
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

1.8670 1.8227
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.0407 3.0249

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 1.00329 1.00247
US  

$

0.99672 0.99743
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.29743 0.77075
US 

$

1.29318 0.77329

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1593.67 1589.34
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 97.08 96.81
BRENT 112.64 113.01

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Joseph Ciolli

May 10 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rebounded from a six- day skid, led by banks and energy producers, as Greece attempted to form a new government and the U.S. reported a decline in jobless claims.

Suncor Energy Inc., Canada’s largest oil and gas producer, climbed 0.8 percent. Canadian Natural Resources Ltd., the country’s third-biggest energy company, increased 1.5 percent. Royal Bank of Canada, the nation’s biggest lender, rose 1.1 percent. Teck Resources Ltd., the country’s biggest base-metals producer, rose 0.5 percent as copper prices increased.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 61.16 points, or 0.5 percent, to 11,736.17 in Toronto.

“You’ve had six straight days of negativity and the market was bound to bounce back,” Irwin Michael, a portfolio manager at ABC Funds in Toronto, said in a telephone interview. Michael’s firm oversees C$1 billion ($1 billion). “It’s a bit of a relief rally. Investors are taking a pause and looking ahead.”

The benchmark gauge declined 5.3 percent during the six-day slump and is heading for a second straight weekly decline. Last week it fell as a U.S. report showed employers added fewer jobs than forecast in April and commodity prices dropped. Energy and mining shares account for 43 percent of Canadian stocks by market value.

Canadian energy companies gained today as U.S. first-time claims for jobless benefits fell last week to a one-month low. Suncor Energy climbed 0.8 percent to C$29.30. Canadian Natural Resources increased 1.5 percent to C$31.15. Crescent Point Energy Corp., a western Canadian oil and gas producer, rose 3.6 percent to C$42.38.

Financial companies in the S&P/TSX increased as former Greece Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos attempted to form a government that will ensure the nation remains in the euro area. Global stocks slumped yesterday amid the political impasse as concern grew that Greece’s debt crisis is worsening.

Royal Bank of Canada rose 1.1 percent to C$53.95. Toronto- Dominion Bank, Canada’s second-largest lender, increased 0.7 percent to C$80.19. Bank of Nova Scotia, the country’s third- largest lender, gained 0.5 percent to C$52.80.

The S&P/TSX Diversified Metals and Mining index rose as copper advanced for the first time in three days after the news from Greece eased concerns that the country will default on loans, boosting the outlook for global economic growth and commodity demand.

Teck Resources rose 0.5 percent to C$33.42. Ivanhoe Mines Ltd., Rio Tinto Group’s partner in the Oyu Tolgoi Mongolian gold and copper mine, gained 1.7 percent to C$9.99.

Linamar Corp., Canada’s second-largest auto-parts maker, surged 12 percent to C$20.89 after reporting first-quarter earnings excluding some items of 59 Canadian cents, exceeding the average analyst estimate of 53 Canadian cents.

Magna International Inc. rose 2.3 percent to C$43.64. North America’s largest auto-parts supplier reported that first- quarter profit rose 6.5 percent and raised its full-year sales forecast.

US

By Rita Nazareth

May 10 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stock futures fell as investors assessed a disclosure by JPMorgan Chase & Co., the biggest U.S. bank by assets, that it had a $2 billion trading loss after positions in credit securities proved riskier than expected.

JPMorgan tumbled 6.6 percent after the close of regular trading as Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon said the bank made egregious mistakes and that trading losses were “self inflicted.” Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc., Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley lost at least 2.2 percent.

Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures expiring in June slumped 0.7 percent to 1,348 at 6:26 p.m. New York time. Financial companies in the S&P 500 had the biggest gain among 10 groups in 2012, surging 15 percent, or almost double the benchmark measure’s advance. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 78 points, or 0.6 percent, to 12,756.

“JPMorgan has held to a higher standard among the banks,” Walter Todd, who oversees about $950 million as chief investment officer at Greenwood Capital in Greenwood, South Carolina, said in a telephone interview. “If this happens to them, it raises the question: if they have these issues, who else does?”

JPMorgan led a slump in financial shares after the close of regular trading. The group comprises 15 percent of the S&P 500 for the second-biggest weighting among 10 industries. The bank’s shares retreated 6.6 percent to $38.05. It gained 0.3 percent in regular trading, paring a rally of as much as 1.9 percent.

Bank of America shares lost 2.7 percent to $7.50. Citigroup retreated 3.7 percent to $29.52. Goldman Sachs sank 2.2 percent to $103.94. Morgan Stanley slumped 2.6 percent to $15.20. Wells Fargo & Co. lost 1.6 percent to $32.66.

The cost of protecting debt of JPMorgan from default rose to the highest level in a month. Credit-default swaps on the bank climbed to 118.5 basis points as of 5:42 p.m. in New York, according to prices from data provider CMA, which is owned by CME Group Inc. The contracts were at about 111 basis points before the announcement.

Dimon said JPMorgan lost about $2 billion after a failure in its chief investment office, which the bank says focuses on hedging. The office has been transformed in recent years under Dimon into a unit that makes bigger and riskier speculative bets with the bank’s money, according to five former employees, Bloomberg News reported April 13.

“We’re accountable, and what happened violates our own standards and principles about how we want to operate the company,” Dimon said in a conference call today. “This is not how we want to run a business.”

On April 13, JPMorgan reported a 3.1 percent drop in earnings, a smaller decline than analysts estimated as mortgage revenue surged and trading almost doubled from the fourth quarter. The bank benefited from gains in mortgage lending as low interest rates and federal incentive programs encouraged homeowners to refinance.

Earnings at financial companies in the S&P 500 grew 12 percent in the first quarter, for the second-biggest increase among 10 industries, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s almost double the growth of profits of S&P 500 companies in the period. On average, 66 percent of financial companies in the benchmark gauge beat analysts’ estimates in the period.

Warren Buffett, whose Berkshire Hathaway Inc. has more than $20 billion invested in U.S. banks, said on May 5 the nation’s lenders have “liquidity coming out of their ears” and are in better shape than European rivals.

“I would put European banks and American banks in two very different categories,” Buffett, Berkshire’s chief executive officer, said at the firm’s annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska.

“The American banking system is in fine shape. The European system was gasping for air a few months back” until getting assistance from the European Central Bank, he said.

Wall Street firms including JPMorgan and Bank of America, emboldened after raising capital levels ahead of stricter international guidelines, are contesting efforts by U.S. policy makers to limit trading and risk.

Banks had the biggest gain in the S&P 500 among 24 groups in regular trading today, adding 1.5 percent, as European lenders rallied. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the U.S. banking system is stronger and more resilient while still facing challenges on credit quality and liquidity.

“Banks still have more to do to restore their health and adapt to the post-crisis regulatory and economic environment,” Bernanke said today in a speech at the Chicago Fed’s annual conference on banks.

The S&P 500 rebounded in regular trading, advancing 0.3 percent, as Greece attempted to form a new government and a decline in American jobless claims helped allay concern of a labor market setback.

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

Kindest Regards,

Ellora Howie

Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8X 3Y7

 

May 9, 2012 Newsletter

Hello All,

Tangents:

As you might have noticed from today’s Google Doodle, today would have been famous Egyptologist Howard Carter’s 138 birthday. Carter is of course best known for discovering the tomb of  the boy king Tutankhamen in 1922.  King Tut’s tomb remains the most intact  pharaoh’s tomb ever to be found in modern archaeology. Years after, the New York Times had this to say of the historical find: “The splendor of the tomb and its rich furnishings within it revealed a Golden Age of arts and crafts equal to any other period of ancient times.”

After finding King Tut’s tomb, the high point of his career, Carter retired from archeology and worked as an agent for museums and collectors.

The discovery of King Tut’s tomb has also long been shrouded in mystery. After the excavation, several members of Carter’s team died, including his benefactor Lord Carnarvon. While this spooky coincidence may have perpetuated the myth of cursed tombs and mummies, a 2002 study found that their death rate was statistically normal.

Photos of the day May 9, 2012

 

A couple dances in Gorky Park in Moscow.- Denis Sinyakov/Reuters

Astana’s riders cycle to third place during the team time trial 33.2-km fourth stage of the Giro d’Italia in Verona, Italy.- Alessandro Garofalo/Reuters

Market Closes for May 9, 2012:

North American Markets

Market Index Close Change
Dow Jones 12835.06 -97.03  
-0.75%  
S&P 500 1354.58 -9.14  
-0.67%  
NASDAQ 2934.71 -11.56  
-0.39%  
TSX 11675.01 -29.73  
-0.25%  

International Markets

Market Index Close Change
NIKKEI 9045.06 -136.59  
-1.49%  
HANG SENG 20330.64 -154.11  
0.75%  
SENSEX 16479.58 -66.60  
-0.40%  
FTSE 100 5530.05 -24.50  
-0.44%  

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.  10 Year Bond 1.984 1.973
CND.   30 Year Bond 2.511 2.504
U.S.   10 Year Bond 1.8227 1.8402
U.S.   30 Year Bond 3.0249 3.0336

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 1.00247 1.00093
US $ 0.99743 0.99907
     
Euro Rate 1 Euro=   Inverse  
Canadian $   1.29652 0.77130
US $   1.29321 0.77327

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold Fix 1589.34 1605.00
     
Oil Close Previous
WTI Crude Future 96.81 97.01
BRENT 113.01   113.36

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Joseph Ciolli

May 9 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell for a sixth day after financials and energy producers declined amid concern Europe’s debt crisis may worsen, potentially curbing demand, following an inconclusive Greek election.

Royal Bank of Canada, the nation’s biggest lender, slipped 1.3 percent. Toronto-Dominion Bank, Canada’s second-largest lender, dropped 1 percent. Barrick Gold Corp., the world’s largest producer of the metal, increased 2.6 percent. Avion Gold Corp., which explores for the metal in Mali, plunged 31 percent after suspending a project in the country.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 29.73 points, or 0.3 percent, to 11,675.01 in Toronto.

“Europe continues to dominate the headlines,” Brian Huen, a managing partner at Red Sky Capital Management Ltd. in Toronto, said in a telephone interview. The firm oversees about C$55 million ($55 million). “The question is whether the global growth forecasts that people have are in jeopardy again because of what’s going on there.”

Canadian stocks are extending their slump following a decline last week, when a U.S. industry report showed employers added fewer jobs than forecast last month and commodity prices dropped. Energy and mining shares account for 44 percent of Canadian stocks by market value, compared with 20 percent in the U.S.

Financial companies fell as Greece’s political impasse intensified concern that the European sovereign-debt crisis is worsening. Spanish default risk climbed to a record, while Alexis Tsipras of Greece’s Syriza party squared off with political leaders before talks on forming a coalition. Greece has 436 million euros (C$566 million) of debt coming due on May 15.

Royal Bank of Canada decreased 1.3 percent to C$53.37. Toronto-Dominion Bank slipped 1 percent to C$79.61. Bank of Nova Scotia, the country’s third-largest lender, fell 0.9 percent to C$52.56.

Materials companies gained today as gold rebounded from its lowest intraday level since Jan. 3. The metal reached $1,578.50 an ounce on the Comex in New York before recovering to settle at $1,594.20.

Barrick Gold increased 2.6 percent to C$37.65. Goldcorp Inc., the second-largest producer of the metal, climbed 3.5 percent to C$35.60. Eldorado Gold Corp., a Vancouver-based mining company, rose 2.1 percent to C$11.91.

Avion Gold plunged 31 percent to 59 Canadian cents after saying in a statement that it temporarily suspended its Tabakoto mill expansion project because of disruption associated with the military coup in Mali.

US

By Stephen Kirkland and Rita Nazareth

May 9 (Bloomberg) — Stocks fell, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to a two-month low, while the euro extended its longest slump since 2008 as Greece struggled to form a government and concern grew hat Spanish banks are underfunded.

The S&P 500 slipped 0.7 percent to 1,354.58 at 4 p.m. in New York, trimming an earlier tumble of as much as 1.5 percent as developments in Europe whipsawed markets. The euro depreciated 0.5 percent to $1.2940, weakening for an eighth day and reaching the lowest level since January. Spain’s benchmark IBEX 35 Index sank 2.8 percent to an eight-year low and costs to protect the nation’s government debt rose to a record. The S&P GSCI Index of 24 commodities lost 0.1 percent as wheat and corn led declines and oil fell for a sixth consecutive day.

Concern that Greece will be forced out of the euro zone grew after weekend elections resulted in a parliament divided over whether to implement austerity measures needed to qualify for rescue funds. The nation’s political turmoil was set to enter a fourth day with coalition talks deadlocked, raising the possibility that another election will have to be held.

“There’s something to worry about here,” said James Dunigan, who helps oversee $112 billion as chief investment officer in Philadelphia for PNC Wealth Management. “We expected there would be flare-ups again in Europe. People were scratching their heads why they didn’t show up a little sooner. Certainly as a result of the elections in Greece, the odds of a default and an exit from the euro have increased.”

U.S. equities extended losses earlier as the Wall Street Journal reported that European nations were debating whether to delay Greece’s next aid payment. Stocks trimmed declines as the European Financial Stability Facility’s Board of Directors confirmed the release of a 5.2 billion euro ($6.7 billion) tranche of aid to Greece, saying 4.2 billion euros will be disbursed May 10 and the remaining 1 billion euros will be released depending on the nation’s financing needs.

The S&P 500 extended its retreat from a four-year high last month to more than 4.5 percent. Gauges of industrial and financial shares fell more than 1 percent to lead declines among all of the 10 main industry groups in the index. United Technologies Corp., Boeing Co. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. lost at least 1.8 percent for the biggest declines in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which fell for a sixth straight day in its longest slump since August.

Macy’s Inc., the owner of its namesake and Bloomingdale’s department stores, slid 3.7 percent after keeping its forecast for profit this year lower than analysts’ estimates.

Ten-year Treasury yields were little changed at 1.83 percent as the U.S. sold $24 billion of 10-year notes at a record low yield of 1.855 percent, lingering near the lowest level since January. Pacific Investment Management Co.’s Bill Gross and Jan Hatzius at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. say investors should prepare for additional bond purchases by the Federal Reserve to combat a slowing U.S. economy.

A decision to buy more debt is “getting closer,” Gross, who runs Pimco’s Total Return Fund, the world’s largest mutual fund, wrote on Twitter yesterday. Hatzius, the chief economist at New York-based Goldman Sachs, predicted in a report the same day that the Fed will announce additional monetary easing when it meets in June.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index lost 0.3 percent after sliding as much as 1.4 percent. Banks fell 1.7 percent as a group for the biggest decline among 19 industries.

Spain’s IBEX led losses among European national benchmarks. The nation’s seven biggest banks need 68 billion euros of additional capital as a buffer against bad loans and to meet regulatory requirements, Royal Bank of Scotland analysts said. Bankia SA slumped 5.8 percent as JPMorgan Chase & Co. cut the shares to underweight, the equivalent of sell, and said the Spanish lender risks becoming a “zombie bank” that has to rely on the European Central Bank for funding.

Mediaset SpA sank 11 percent as the broadcaster controlled by former Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi said first- quarter profit dropped 85 percent on lower advertising sales. Bekaert NV, the world’s largest maker of steel cord for tires, surged 9.9 percent in Brussels after reporting sales that beat some analysts’ estimates.

The euro weakened 0.7 percent versus the yen, falling for the fourth straight day, as the shared European currency slid against 12 of 16 major peers. The Dollar Index, which tracks the U.S. currency against those of six trading partners, rose for the eighth day, the longest run of gains since September 2008.

The yen strengthened against all 16 major peers, gaining 0.2 percent to 79.68 per dollar. The Japanese currency will end the year at 83 versus the dollar, according to the median of 49 estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Toyota Motor Corp., which forecast profit will more than double in the year ending March 2013, is basing the outlook on an exchange rate of 80 yen to the dollar and 105 yen to the euro.

The yield on the Spanish 10-year bond climbed 23 basis points to 6.08 percent, driving its premium to benchmark German bunds to the highest since November. The yield on the German 10- year bund, Europe’s benchmark government debt security, slid to a record 1.497 percent as the nation sold 4.03 billion euros of five-year notes.

“Until it becomes clearer that an accident in Greece can again be avoided, risk appetite is unlikely to recover,” Christoph Rieger, head of interest-rate strategy at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt, wrote in a note today.

Evangelos Venizelos, the socialist Pasok leader and former finance minister, said he’ll try to form a new Greek government when he receives a three-day mandate from President Karolos Papoulias tomorrow. Pasok today rejected terms for a government set by Alexis Tsipras of Greece’s anti-bailout Syriza party which then gave up its bid to build a coalition.

Fifteen of 24 commodities in the S&P GSCI Index retreated, led by declines of more than 2.4 percent in wheat and corn and losses of at least 0.6 percent in silver, gold, lead, nickel and zinc.

Oil in New York dropped 20 cents to $96.81 a barrel as U.S. Energy Department data showed stockpiles climbed 3.65 million barrels to 379.5 million, the most since August 1990. Inventories were forecast to advance 2 million barrels, according to the median of 12 analyst estimates in a Bloomberg survey. The six-day decline is the longest since July 2010.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index sank 1.3 percent to the lowest level since Jan. 19, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average retreating 1.5 percent. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index declined 1.5 percent to the lowest level in almost four months. Benchmark gauges in China and Indonesia lost more than 1 percent and South Korea’s Kospi Index slipped 0.9 percent.

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

Kindest Regards,

Ellora Howie

Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8X 3Y7

May 8, 2012 Newsletter

Hello All,

 

Tangents:

 

The phrase “This car practically drives itself!” has never been more apt. The Nevada Department of Motor Vehicles approved on Monday the nation’s first autonomous vehicle licence. While this might seem like an odd thing for the DMV to okay, Google has already developed its own self-driving car.

According to Google, the car navigates through video cameras, radar sensors, lasers and a database of information collected from manually driven cars. The modified Toyota Prius has already been spotted test driving officials on state highways, in Carson City neighbourhoods, and along the famous Las Vegas Strip.

You can read more about the “car of the future” here: http://life.nationalpost.com/2012/05/08/google-gets-first-self-driven-car-licence-in-nevada/

 

photos of the day

May 8, 2012

A man jumps into a pond from the top of a building to cool himself off on a hot afternoon in New Delhi.- Kevin Frayer/AP

A South Korean worker attaches a devotee’s name tag with their wishes on a lantern in preparation for the birthday celebration of Buddha, which falls on May 28, at Jogye temple in Seoul, South Korea. About one-third of South Korea’s 48 million people are Buddhists.- Lee Jin-man/AP

 

Market Closes for May 8, 2012:

North American Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

12932.09 -76.44

 

-.59%

 

S&P 500 1363.72 -5.86

 

-.43%

 

NASDAQ 2946.27 -11.49

 

-.39%

 

TSX 11704.74 -155.92

 

-1.31%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 9181.65 +62.51

 

+69%

 

HANG

SENG

20484.75 -51.90

 

-.25%

 

SENSEX 16912.71 +81.63

 

+.49%

 

FTSE 100 5554.55 -100.51

 

-1.78%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.973 2.020
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.504 2.542
U.S.

10 Year Bond

1.8402 1.8716
U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.0336 3.0598

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 1.00093 1.00717
US

$

0.99907 0.99288
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

Canadian

$

1.29898 0.76992
US

$

1.30019 0.76921

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1605.00 1638.60
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 97.01 97.94
BRENT 113.36 113.61

 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Joseph Ciolli

May 8 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell for a fifth day after material and energy producers declined as Greece’s political leaders struggled to form a government, fueling concern that austerity efforts in Europe will be derailed.

Goldcorp Inc., the world’s second-biggest producer of the metal, decreased 4.3 percent, while larger rival Barrick Gold Corp. lost 2.6 percent, as the U.S. dollar strengthened. Teck Resources Ltd., the country’s biggest base metals producer, sank 2.4 percent. Canadian Natural Resources Ltd., the country’s third-largest energy company, declined 3 percent.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index decreased 155.81 points, or 1.3 percent, to 11,704.85 in Toronto, its lowest closing level since Dec. 19.

“The uncertainty in Europe has reared its ugly head,” David Cockfield, a managing director at Northland Wealth Management in Toronto, said in a telephone interview. The firm oversees about C$200 million ($200 million). “It will continue to upset markets until we get a clearer picture of just what the European Union plans to do.”

Canadian stocks retreated last week after two straight weekly gains as Spain entered a recession, a U.S. industry report showed employers added fewer jobs than forecast last month and commodity prices dropped. Energy and mining shares account for 44 percent of Canadian stocks by market value, compared with 20 percent in the U.S.

Materials companies fell today with metals as gold tumbled below $1,600 an ounce for the first time since January after Alexis Tsipras, the head of the Greek Syriza party, received a mandate to form a government, boosting worries over austerity. Tsipras has said he will seek to form a coalition with other parties that favor reversing a 130 billion-euro bailout.

The U.S. dollar gained, lowering demand for gold as an alternative for investors and sending the S&P/TSX Gold Index to its lowest level since May 2009.

Barrick Gold lost 2.6 percent to C$36.71. Goldcorp decreased 4.3 percent to C$34.40. Eldorado Gold Corp., a Vancouver-based mining company, declined 8.5 percent to C$11.66.

Jaguar Mining Inc., which explores for gold in Brazil, plummeted 36 percent, the most since January 2003, to C$1.42 after saying China’s Shandong Gold Group Co. won’t proceed with a takeover of the company.

Copper fell the most in almost five weeks on concern over the elections in Greece and France. Teck Resources sank 2.4 percent to C$33.53. Ivanhoe Mines Ltd., Rio Tinto Group’s partner in the Oyu Tolgoi Mongolian gold and copper mine, dropped 4.4 percent to C$9.90.

Oil fell for a fifth day as Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said prices are too high and the euro weakened against the dollar.

Canadian Natural Resources, the country’s third-biggest energy company, declined 3 percent to C$30.69. Suncor Energy Inc., Canada’s largest oil and gas producer, fell 1.5 percent to C$29.77. Nexen Inc. dropped 2.6 percent to C$16.82.

Avalon Rare Metals Inc., a company developing a rare-earth deposit in Canada’s Northwest Territory, plunged 23 percent to C$1.67, its lowest price since July 2009, after delaying the target date for its first production.

Second Wave Petroleum Inc., the Calgary-based oil and natural-gas producer that announced in February it was seeking a buyer, dropped 31 percent, its biggest drop since December 2006, to C$1.84 after ending the search without a satisfactory offer.

US

By Stephen Kirkland and Rita Nazareth

May 8 (Bloomberg) — Stocks and commodities slid, while the euro extended its longest slump since 2008, as concern that new Greek political leaders will back out of bailout agreements sent the nation’s benchmark equity index to an almost 20-year low.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slipped 0.4 percent to close at 1,363.72 at 4 p.m. in New York. The index pared a loss of as much as 1.6 percent after holding for most of the day above 1,350, a technical level watched by traders. Greece’s ASE index plunged 3.6 percent to close at the lowest level since November 1992. Copper and oil lost at least 1 percent as the S&P GSCI Index of commodities wiped out most of its 2012 gain. The euro fell a seventh day, losing 0.3 percent to $1.3013. Ten-year Treasury yields fell to a three-month low.

Speculation that Greece’s new government will reject terms of its financial rescue grew as New Democracy leader Antonis Samaras said he failed to form a coalition following the weekend elections, passing the opportunity to Alexis Tsipras’s Syriza party. Tsipras said he plans to form a government of left-wing parties that would nationalize banks, repeal recent labor reforms and cancel the bailout accords.

“The situation in Europe could get worse before it gets better,” said James McDonald, chief investment strategist at Northern Trust Corp. in Chicago. His firm manages $715 billion.

“The concern is about the potential that Greece does not carry through on their agreements and they default and leave the euro. While investors have known Greece is going to be challenged to handle their debt load, it’s another thing to watch unfold.”

The S&P 500 dropped for the fourth time in five days, extending its retreat from a four-year high last month to 3.9 percent. Consumer-discretionary, financial and commodity companies led losses among eight of the 10 main industry groups today.

Hewlett-Packard Co. and Bank of America Corp. dropped more than 2 percent to lead the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 76.44 points to 12,932.09, paring losses after sliding as much as 198 points. The S&P 500 dipped below 1,350, a so-called support level being watched by traders, for only about 15 minutes this morning.

“We found support for the S&P 500 at 1,350 where you would have expected it to be,” said Michael Shaoul, chairman of Marketfield Asset Management in New York, which oversees more than $1.6 billion. “Once that held you’ve seen a willingness to buy the dip in the U.S. market in names that people have become comfortable with.”

McDonald’s Corp. retreated 2.1 percent after April sales trailed analysts’ projections. Electronic Arts Inc., the second- largest U.S. video-game publisher, declined 4.3 percent as its forecasts fell short of estimates. Fossil Inc., owner of the namesake watch brand, plunged 38 percent after the company reduced its full-year earnings forecast amid weakness in Europe.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield fell for the third straight day, losing three basis points to 1.84 percent after dipping as low as 1.81 percent, the lowest level since February 3. The government sold $32 billion of three-year notes to day, the first of three sales this week totaling $72 billion.

Investors in Treasuries reduced bets the securities will advance and raised neutral positions to the highest in a month, according to a weekly survey by JPMorgan Chase & Co.

The proportion of “net longs” was cut to zero from six percentage points last week as the level of outright longs dropped to equal the level of outright shorts, which was unchanged at 17 percent. A long position is a bet that an asset will increase in value, while a short is a wager it will decrease.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index slid 1.7 percent, erasing yesterday’s gain, as six shares fell for each that gained. Automakers, mining and financial-services companies led the retreat. National Bank of Greece tumbled 8.4 percent. Bankia SA slid 4.8 percent in Madrid as El Confidencial said the Spanish government will nationalize the lender. Royal KPN NV rallied 17 percent as America Movil SAB offered 2.6 billion euros ($3.4 billion) to increase its stake.

The euro fell 0.4 percent versus the yen. The Dollar Index, which tracks the U.S. currency against those of six trading partners, climbed 0.3 percent, advancing for the seventh consecutive day in its longest rally since 2010. The so-called Aussie weakened against 12 of its 16 major peers after the nation reported a larger-than-estimated trade deficit.

Greece will probably leave the euro as soon as next month as the government runs out of cash and European institutions fail to lend more to the nation, according to John Taylor of hedge fund FX Concepts LLC.

“This summer I think is very likely,” Taylor, founder and chief executive officer of FX Concepts in New York, said today in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “Inside Track” with Erik Schatzker. “The Europeans aren’t going to give them the money, the International Monetary Fund’s not going to give them an OK. They will be out of money in June.”

Tsipras told his pro-bailout counterparts they must renounce support for the European Union-led rescue if there is to be any chance of forging a coalition. Tsipras said he expected Antonis Samaras of New Democracy and Evangelos Venizelos, the former finance minister who leads the Pasok party, to send a letter to the EU revoking pledges to implement austerity measures by the time he meets with them tomorrow. Samaras said he would not do so, and would support a minority government if necessary.

Greece’s Parliament is split down the middle on the bailout deals negotiated with the EU and IMF.

“We’ve de-stabilized Greece politically and now we’re all surprised they can’t take the decisions to do what we want them to do,” Carl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics, told Bloomberg Television. “If Greece falls out of compliance with the IMF program and goes into a hard default, that will raise questions about the capital base of the ECB, put a burden on the other governments of Europe, and that will trigger a series of events that I think won’t have a very happy ending.”

Oil in New York declined 1 percent to $97.01 a barrel in New York, falling for a fifth day in its longest slump in three months, after Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said prices are too high. Copper sank 2.5 percent to $3.6775 a pound as 17 of 24 commodities tracked by the S&P GSCI declined, sending the gauge down 0.6 percent and trimming its 2012 advance to 0.6 percent.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index sank 1 percent as benchmark indexes in Mexico, India and Brazil lost at least 1.4 percent. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong slid 0.5 percent as residential land sales dropped 92 percent in major Chinese cities.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Kindest Regards,

 

Ellora Howie

Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8X 3Y7

 

May 7, 2012 Newletter

Tangents:

Would you set sail on a ship whose name and legacy is synonymous with tragedy and failure? Well an Australian billionaire is sure betting people will! Clive Palmer announced last Monday that he has signed a memorandum of understanding with state-owned Chinese company CSC Jinling Shipyard to build the Titanic II.

Mr. Palmer didn’t give any estimates about how much the project is going to cost, but he did state that “it will be every bit as luxurious as the original Titanic, but … will have state-of-the-art 21st-century technology and the latest navigation and safety systems.”

Titanic II’s maiden voyage is scheduled sometime in late 2016, so you too can set sail on “a tribute to the spirit of the men and women who worked on the original Titanic.”

However, I bet if you do end up going, there is going to be a huge lineup at the prow of the ship of people waiting to shout “I’m king of the world!” a la Jack and Rose from James Cameron’s 1997 film!

You can read more about it here: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/titanic-ii-australian-billionaire-says-replica-ship-will-set-sail-in-2016/article2417552/?utm_medium=Feeds%3A+RSS%2FAtom&utm_source=World&utm_content=2417552&fb_ref=homepage

photos of the day May 7, 2012

A full moon rises over the skyline of Lower Manhattan and One World Trade Center (l.) in New York.- Gary Hershorn/Reuters

A traditional dance group celebrates the Palm and Flowers Festival through the streets of Panchimalco, El Salvador.- Ulises Rodriguez/Reuters

Market Closes for May 7, 2012:

North American Markets

Market Index Close Change
Dow Jones 13008.53 -29.74 


-.23% 


S&P 500 1369.58 +.48 

 

+.04% 

NASDAQ 2957.76 +1.42 

 

+.05% 

 

TSX 11860.66 -10.57 

 

-.09% 


International Markets

MarketIndex Close Change
NIKKEI 9119.14 -261.11 


-2.78% 


HANGSENG 20536.65 -549.35 


-2.61% 


SENSEX 16912.71 +81.63 


+.49% 


FTSE 100 5655.06 -111.49 


-1.93% 


Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.10 Year Bond 2.020 2.020 


CND. 30 Year Bond 2.542 2.543 


U.S. 10 Year Bond 1.8716 1.8786 


U.S. 30 Year Bond 3.0598 3.0709 


Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 1.00717 1.00375 


US $ 0.99288 0.99626 


Euro Rate 1 Euro= Inverse
Canadian $ 1.29655 0.77128 


US $ 1.30591 0.76575 


Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold Fix 1638.60 1642.23 


Oil Close Previous
WTI Crude Future 97.94 98.49 


BRENT 113.61 113.61 


Market Commentary:

Canada

By Joseph Ciolli

May 7 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell for a fourth day as energy and materials shares dropped after European elections stoked speculation that austerity efforts will be derailed, escalating the debt crisis.

Oil and gas explorer Nexen Inc. declined 2.9 percent after saying it would abandon an unsuccessful deepwater well in the Gulf of Mexico. Penn West Petroleum Ltd. dropped 3.5 percent after reporting lower-than-forecast first-quarter sales.

Goldcorp Inc., the world’s second-biggest producer of the metal, declined 1.4 percent. Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc., the biggest fertilizer company, fell 1 percent.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index decreased 10.57 points, or 0.1 percent, to 11,860.66 in Toronto.

“People are shocked about the election results, so confidence about trying to solve the debt crisis has fallen,” Sebastian van Berkom, a money manager at Van Berkom & Associates in Montreal, said in a telephone interview. The firm oversees about C$1.8 billion ($1.8 billion).

Canadian stocks retreated last week after two straight weekly gains as Spain entered a recession, a U.S. industry report showed employers added fewer jobs than forecast last month and commodity prices dropped. Energy and mining shares account for 44 percent of Canadian stocks by market value, compared with 20 percent in the U.S.

Energy companies declined as oil fell to a three month low after France elected Francois Hollande president and Greek voters picked anti-bailout parties. Hollande, who will become the first Socialist in 17 years to control Europe’s second- biggest economy, pledged to push for less austerity and more growth.

Nexen fell 2.9 percent to C$17.26. The energy producer with operations on five continents said it didn’t find hydrocarbons at the deepwater exploration well, which is being plugged and abandoned.

Penn West Petroleum, a western Canadian oil and gas company, dropped 3.5 percent to C$15.06 after reporting first- quarter sales of C$728 million, falling short of the average analyst estimate of C$841 million.

Africa Oil Corp. surged 35 percent to C$7.82, its highest price in more than 15 years. The Vancouver-based exploration company found additional oil in Kenya.

Materials stocks in the S&P/TSX decreased as gold futures dropped after election results in France and Greece eroded prospects for European debt reduction, curbing demand for the metal as an alternative for investors shifting out of the euro and into dollar assets perceived as safer.

Goldcorp declined 1.4 percent to C$35.93. Yamana Gold Inc., Canada’s third-largest company in the industry by market value, dropped 2.6 percent to C$13.73.

Potash Corp. fell 1 percent to C$41.89. Agrium Inc., a fertilizer producer and farm retailer, decreased 0.7 percent to C$84.25.

Molybdenum producer Thompson Creek Metals Co. plunged 16 percent, the most since November 2008, to C$4.61. The company said it intends to offer senior notes and tangible equity units, raising money to fund the construction of its Mt. Milligan copper-gold mine.

Contract driller Ensign Energy Services Inc. climbed 1.7 percent to C$13.90 after reporting first-quarter earnings excluding some items of 69 Canadian cents per share, exceeding the average analyst estimate of 54 Canadian cents.

US

By Michael P. Regan and Rita Nazareth

May 7 (Bloomberg) — Most U.S. stocks rose, led by banks, after billionaire investor Warren Buffett said American lenders are in “fine shape.” The euro slid for a sixth day and commodities fell after French Socialist Francois Hollande was elected president and Greek voters picked anti-bailout parties.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index added less than 0.1 percent to 1,369.58 at 4 p.m. in New York as six stocks gained for every five that fell on U.S. exchanges. The euro lost 0.3 percent to $1.3051 as the shared currency extended its longest losing streak since September. Ten-year French yields slipped three points to 2.80 percent and the CAC-40 Index of stocks rallied 1.7 percent. The S&P GSCI Index of commodities fell for a fourth day, declining 0.2 percent. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields were little changed at 1.88 percent.

Financial shares rose 0.7 percent as a group to lead gains among the 10 main industries in the S&P 500 after Buffett said U.S. lenders have “liquidity coming out of their ears.”

Speculation that European austerity measures will be curbed grew after Hollande’s victory made him the first Socialist to take the helm of Europe’s second-biggest economy in 17 years. The Greek parliament will have three new anti-bailout parties represented.

“Every time Buffett gives the seal of approval, it helps certain stocks or segments of stocks,” Bruce McCain, who helps oversee more than $20 billion as chief investment strategist at the private-banking unit of KeyCorp in Cleveland, said in a telephone interview. “As for Europe, we’ve priced in some of what’s happened. Yet investors are not really quite sure of what to make of those trends.”

U.S. stocks rebounded from early losses, including a 1.5 percent drop in S&P 500 futures before exchanges opened in New York. The S&P 500 halted a three-day slump. The index tumbled 2.4 percent last week, its biggest drop of the year, as data on American and European labor markets boosted concern the global economy is weakening. The benchmark gauge of U.S. stocks has retreated 3.5 percent from an almost four-year high on April 2.

Walt Disney Co. rallied 2.1 percent after “Marvel’s The Avengers” set box-office records with $200.3 million in ticket sales over the weekend. Fifth Third Bancorp and Bank of America Corp. rose almost 3 percent each, pacing gains in financial shares, after Buffett said U.S. lenders have “liquidity coming out of their ears.”

“I would put European banks and American banks in two very different categories,” Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s chairman and chief executive officer, said May 5 at the firm’s annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska. “The American banking system is in fine shape. The European system was gasping for air a few months back” before getting assistance from the European Central Bank.

Hewlett-Packard Co. and Caterpillar Inc. lost more than 1.2 percent to lead the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 29.74 points to 13,008.53. The Dow and S&P 500 drifted between gains and losses for much for much of the day. American International Group Inc. dropped 3 percent as the U.S. Treasury Department agreed to sell $5 billion of shares, with the bailed-out insurer buying $2 billion of the total.

Risk perceptions among U.S. equity and credit investors are diverging by the most since 2009 as signs of an economic slowdown spur bigger increases in prices to protect against losses in bonds than stocks. The VIX, the benchmark gauge of U.S. equity derivatives that usually rises when shares fall, closed last week at 0.032 times the level of the Markit CDX North America High Yield Index, which increases when confidence in debt issuers deteriorates, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s near the 2 1/2-year low of 0.027 times reached in March.

European stocks rose the most in more than a week as German Chancellor Angela Merkel said she will receive French president- elect Hollande with “open arms” as they work together to tackle the debt crisis. Hollande’s platform calls for policies Merkel opposes, including increased spending and a delayed deficit-reduction effort

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index reversed early losses to climb 0.7 percent, even as Greece’s ASE Index plunged 6.7 percent in its worst drop since November. National Bank of Greece SA tumbled 8.3 percent. Roche Holding AG fell 3.5 percent, the most since November, after abandoning development of an experimental cholesterol drug. CSM NV, the world’s biggest maker of bakery ingredients, jumped 19 percent after saying it will sell its U.S. and European bakery-supply units.

Benchmark stock indexes in Italy and Spain led gains, rallying more than 2.5 percent each. Among European bond markets, Italy’s 10-year yield lost three basis points to 5.40 percent and Spain’s increased two points to 5.76 percent.

The euro weakened against 14 of 16 major peers. The shared pared losses after dipping below $1.30 for the first time since April 16, and slid 0.5 percent versus the pound. The Dollar Index, which tracks the U.S. currency against those of six trading partners, advanced 0.1 percent, rising for a sixth day in the longest streak since September “Incumbents took a beating across Europe this weekend in what has been widely interpreted as a backlash against austerity,” Michala Marcussen, global head of economics at Societe Generale SA in Paris, wrote in a report today. “Failure to secure a political majority to meet the terms of the second Greek program could see the country inch towards euro exit. This would in our opinion be seen as a negative event, even beyond Greece’s borders.”

The euro is confounding bears who predicted a meltdown as it gets an unexpected boost from the economic and political turmoil gripping Europe. The 17-nation currency has risen about 1 percent against nine peers from this year’s low on Jan. 16, while the dollar slid 2.3 percent, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Futures traders are trimming bets that it will fall against the dollar, while options show investors are less bearish.

In other European elections, Merkel’s party had its worst election result in more than half a century in the state of Schleswig-Holstein. Austerity measures aimed at stemming Europe’s turmoil have driven economies from the Netherlands to Spain back into recession, emboldening politicians campaigning for growth.

A reduction in austerity could put more pressure on the European Central Bank to act, according to David R. Kotok, Cumberland Advisors’ chairman and chief investment officer.

“Political momentum moves toward more monetary ease,” Kotok wrote in a note to clients. “We expect some form of balance sheet expansion before the end of this year. We expect credit spreads of weaker sovereigns to widen until the ECB enters the market or discusses that it may do so.”

Cotton, silver and soybeans dropped at least 0.9 percent to lead the S&P GSCI index lower. Crude oil slipped 0.6 percent to $97.94 a barrel, the lowest settlement price in three months.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Kindest Regards,

 

Ellora Howie

Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8X 3Y7