April 8, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Buddha’s birthday, Siddhartha, the enlightened one.

On this day in 563 B.C., the queen of Sakya, a realm situated around the present-day border of Nepal and India, gave birth to a son. His father, the king, took great pains to raise him in a style that would lead to his become king himself one day. But curiosity of the wider world seized the prince. At age 29, he set off to see the world. At 35, while sitting under a pipal tree, he achieved enlightenment. His name changed, from Siddhartha to Gautama Buddha, and he began preaching the tenets of what would become one of the world’s major religions, Buddhism. –Paul Vigna, WSJ, 4/8/14.

All that we are is the result of what we have thought. –Buddha.

There are ways for the individual investor to make money in the securities markets.  Buying value and holding long term while collecting dividends has been proven over and over again. –Robert M. Sharp, author, The Lore and Legends of Wall Street.

Photos of the day

Tulip farmers look for weeds in a field of tulips left to blossom for growing bulbs near the city of Noordwijkerhout, western Netherlands. Peter Dejong/AP


Giraffes gather in their pen at the Paris Zoological Park in the Bois de Vincennes in the east of Paris. Inaugurated in 1934, the Paris Zoo will reopen for the public on April 12, 2014 after being closed for four-years for renovation. Charles Platiau/Reuters

Market Closes for April 8th, 2014

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16256.27 +10.40

 

+0.06%

S&P 500 1852.56 +7.52

 

+0.41%

NASDAQ 4112.988 +33.235

 

+0.81%

TSX 14377.81 +107.48

 

+0.75%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 14606.88 -201.97

 

-1.36%

 

HANG

SENG

22596.97 +219.82

 

+0.98%

 

SENSEX 22343.45 -16.05

 

-0.07%

 

FTSE 100 6590.69 -32.15

 

-0.49%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.459 2.460

 

 

CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.962 2.970
U.S.

10 Year Bond

2.6772 2.6953

 

 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.5396 3.5548

 

 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91548 0.91152

 

US

$

1.09233 1.09707
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

Canadian

$

1.50707 0.66354
US

$

1.37969 0.72480

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1308.32 1297.37
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 102.56 100.44

 

BRENT 109.360 109.360

 

Market Commentary:

Canada
By Gerrit De Vynck

April 8 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, halting a three-day retreat, with commodity producers and technology companies leading gains as gold gained and BlackBerry Ltd. rallied.

HudBay Minerals Inc. and Teck Resources Inc. rose at least 4.9 percent to pace gains in the Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index. BlackBerry climbed 2.6 percent while Rogers Communications Inc., Canada’s largest wireless operator, fell 1.2 percent.

The equity benchmark added 58.06 points, or 0.4 percent, to 14,328.39 at 12:07 p.m. in Toronto. It fell 0.9 percent yesterday, its biggest loss since Feb. 3. Mining companies in the index were up 0.9 percent as a group.

“The price of both gold equities and gold bullion have started to move up a little,” said Anish Chopra, a fund manager at TD Asset Management Inc. in Toronto. He helps manage around C$218 billion with the firm.

The S&P/TSX Global Gold Index has risen 19 percent since the beginning of the year while the price of gold has risen 9 percent this year to $1,309.29.

Pretium Resources Inc. rose 4 percent to C$7.08. The Vancouver-based company is developing a gold property in northern British Columbia.

HudBay Minerals rose 5.2 percent to C$8.94, its biggest intraday jump in three weeks.

Teck Resources Inc. rose 4.9 percent to C$25.93, its biggest intraday gain in almost six months. Yesterday, Cormark Securities Inc. said the company, which mines a range of different minerals, was a “top pick.”

Rogers Communications fell 0.9 percent to C$44.64. Rogers and BCE Inc., who both own broadcasters, are facing the potential of losing revenue as only one Canadian team is set to make the National Hockey League playoffs this year, the first time since 1973. BCE fell rose 0.2 percent to C$48.16.

Titan Medical Inc. fell 11 percent to C$2.32 after it said in a statement it would sell 10.6 million shares for C$2.10. Titan, which is developing a robot for surgeries, closed at C$2.61 yesterday.

Newalta Corp. rose 4 percent to C$20.79, its highest since June 2008, after the recycling company said it hired Royal Bank of Canada to look into options for selling one of its units.

Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. fell 0.7 percent to C$129.86 for its fourth straight day of losses. Valeant is Canada’s most acquisitive and indebted company with junk-rated bonds and has fallen 11 percent so far this month after rising 110 percent in 2013.

Loblaw Cos., which owns Canada’s biggest grocery chain, fell 1.2 percent to C$46.08.

Tweed Marijuana Inc. rose 14 percent in its third day of trading. The medical marijuana grower was the most-traded stock on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

US
By Jeremy Herron and Callie Bost

April 8 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose as a recovery in technology shares helped the Nasdaq 100 Index rebound from its worst three-day drop since 2011. Oil and gold climbed as the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index slid to a five-month low.

The Nasdaq 100 Index of mostly technology stocks rose 0.9 percent after a 4.3 percent slide since April 2. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbed for the first time in four days, adding 0.4 percent to 1,851.96, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 10.4 points to 16,256.27. Gold futures advanced 0.8 percent to $1,309.10 an ounce. Oil jumped more than 2 percent before a government report forecast to show supplies fell in Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for the West Texas Intermediate crude.

Yahoo! Inc., EBay Inc., Google Inc. and Facebook Inc. jumped more than 2 percent, after a technology selloff broadened yesterday to wipe out the year’s gains in the S&P 500. Alcoa Inc. reports first-quarter earnings today. Ukraine sent additional police forces into eastern regions after pro-Russian protesters seized government buildings.

“It’s little real news, it’s more grinding around than driven by some specific items,” William Stone, chief investment officer of PNC Wealth Management in Philadelphia, which manages $128 billion, said by phone. “It doesn’t surprise me that we found a little stabilization here waiting for earnings season to start. That’s the primary kind of real data we’re going to get this week.”

The S&P 500 lost 1.1 percent yesterday, extending its three-day drop to 2.4 percent, the most since January. The Nasdaq 100 gauge fell 4.3 percent in the period, the most since 2011, while the Russell 2000 Index of small companies sank 1.5 percent to a two-month low yesterday as its three-day loss worsened to 4.8 percent. The Russell 2000 advanced 0.8 percent today.

The selloff came as valuations in technology stocks soared while the broader market has touched all-time highs. The Nasdaq 100 surged 257 percent from its low in March 2009 through a 13- year high on March 5. That beat the 177 percent increase for the S&P 500 in the period. The S&P 500 closed at a record on April 2.    “Biotech and tech companies were trading at lofty valuations and they finally succumbed to the gravitational pull,” Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Philadelphia-based Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, which oversees $63 billion in assets, said by phone. “A lot of these growth stocks had been taken down 10 to 20 percent, but usually that loss finds a bottom.”

Alcoa rose 0.5 percent to $12.53. The largest U.S. aluminum producer will post first-quarter earnings after today’s market close. JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. are among S&P 500 companies reporting earnings this week.

Profit for members of the index probably climbed 1 percent in the first quarter, analysts now forecast, after projecting a 6.6 percent rise in January. Sales rose 2.9 percent on average, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

Gold for June delivery advanced to the highest level in almost two weeks and has gained about 9 percent this year, rebounding from the biggest annual drop in more than three decades. Silver rose 0.7 percent to $20.01 an ounce.

“Gold is finding support from geopolitical tension as the Ukraine situation is heating up again,” Dan Denbow, a portfolio manager at the $1 billion USAA Precious Metals & Minerals Fund in San Antonio, said in a telephone interview. “The dollar weakness is also helping gold. We are seeing interest in overall commodities.”

West Texas Intermediate oil climbed 2.1 percent to a one- month high of $102.56 a barrel. Crude also rebounded amid speculation that gasoline supplies dropped for a seventh week in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer.

Brent for May settlement advanced $1.85, or 1.7 percent, to $107.67 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange in London.  Russia called on Ukraine to halt all military preparations in the east “immediately” or risk civil war. The U.S. has said there is evidence that some protesters may be paid provocateurs.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index added 0.6 percent for a third day of gains and reached the highest level of the year.  Developing nations face new risks and Russia’s takeover of Crimea last month injects geopolitical tension that’s “casting a pall” on the region, the International Monetary Fund said in a report today. The fund urged emerging markets to prepare for flows of capital back to advanced economies.

Stronger U.S. growth this year and next will help the world economy withstand weaker recoveries in emerging markets including Brazil and Russia, the IMF said.

Russian stocks reversed earlier losses, with the Micex Index adding 0.2 percent. Russian companies should consider delisting their shares from foreign stock exchanges and trade in Moscow to boost security amid the standoff over Ukraine, according to Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov.

“Companies and their boards of directors should consider the need for further trading of shares on foreign exchanges,” Shuvalov told reporters after a government meeting near Moscow today. “This is a question of economic security.”

Price swings in currency markets have tumbled to a six-year low as central banks from the U.S. to Japan seek to boost growth with cheap cash and record-low interest rates, encouraging investors to seek higher-yielding assets.

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which tracks the greenback against 10 major currencies, fell 0.6 percent to 1,008.56, the lowest level since October. The yen advanced 1.4 percent to 101.71 per dollar and the euro gained 0.4 percent to $1.3796.

The JPMorgan Global FX Volatility Index was little changed at 7 percent, after ending at 6.98 percent yesterday, the lowest since July 2007.

“There certainly has been more interest again in emerging markets, suggesting that many investors are again looking out for yield,” said Jane Foley, senior foreign-exchange strategist at Rabobank International in London. “That’s clearly a risk-on scenario that is dollar-negative.”

The Stoxx Europe 600 index pared earlier losses of 1 percent to close 0.3 percent lower after falling from a six-year high yesterday. The index trades at 14.1 times estimated 12- month earnings, compared with an average multiple of 11.4 times over the past five years.

“Ukraine worries, coupled with stock valuations which are high, are taking their toll on European markets,” Stephane Ekolo, chief European strategist at Markit Securities in London, wrote in an e-mail. “We are seeing an aggravation in the situation in Ukraine with some eastern provinces trying to declare independence and turning towards Russia.”

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

We cross the infinite with every step, and encounter the eternal with every second.

Rabindranath Tagore,1861-1901


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Always bear in mind that your own resolution to succeed is

more important than any other.

-Abraham Lincoln, 1809-1865


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor


Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

April 7, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

I read the full page obituary of  Holocaust survivor Chana Szpilman Wallace in the Globe & Mail from this past Saturday and was inspired by this extraordinary woman who died at the age of 106.  She radiated optimism and wisdom and was an inspiration to all she knew, despite the horrors visited upon her in her life.  Asked once about a message for future generations, Mrs. Wallace squared up and answered:  “To have a will to live.  To go a straight way.  To be gentle with people.  To be happy.  That’s all I have to say.”

Photos of the day

A musician plays a piano designed by car manufacturer Peugeot for Pleyel piano maker, displayed at the Milan Design Fair, in Milan, Italy. The Milan furniture and design week fair, showcasing the latest in furniture and design from countries around the world. Antonio Calanni/AP

A young goat jumps over marsh marigolds during warm and sunny weather at Gut Aiderbichl in Henndorf in the Austrian province of Salzburg. Gut Aiderbichl is a place of mercy for rescued animals. Kerstin Joensson/AP

Market Closes for April 7th, 2014

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16245.87 -166.84

 

-1.02%

S&P 500 1845.04 -20.05

 

-1.08%

NASDAQ 4079.753 -47.973

 

-1.16%

TSX 14270.33 -122.77

 

-0.85%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 14808.85 -254.92

 

-1.69%

 

HANG

SENG

22377.15 -132.93

 

-0.59%

 

SENSEX 22343.45 -16.05

 

-0.07%

 

FTSE 100 6622.84 -72.71

 

-1.09%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.460 2.493
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.970 2.999
U.S.

10 Year Bond

2.6953 2.7225
U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.5548 3.5854

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91152 0.91067

 

US

$

1.09707 1.09810

 

 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

Canadian

$

1.50770 0.66326
US

$

1.37430 0.72765

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1297.37 1303.53
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 100.44 101.24
BRENT 109.360 109.360

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Gerrit De Vynck

April 7 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell the most in two months as investors sold off some of the past year’s biggest gainers, including Redknee Solutions Inc., ATS Automation Tooling Systems Inc. and Avigilon Corp.

All three stocks fell more than 4 percent and are up at least 50 percent in the past 12 months. Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. lost 4.5 percent after a joint venture with Swedish drugmaker Meda AB ended. Tweed Marijuana Inc. increased 40 percent on its second day of trading.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index slipped 122.77 points, or 0.9 percent, to 14,270.33 at the close in Toronto, the biggest intraday loss since Feb. 3. The benchmark index is up 4.8 percent for the year.

“This seems like a bit of profit-taking to me,” said Ian Nakamoto, director of research with MacDougall, MacDougall & MacTier Inc. in Toronto. The firm manages about C$4.7 billion ($4.3 billion). “Stocks that have done relatively well seem to be hit harder than those stocks that haven’t done so well.”

Oil and gas producing companies in the S&P/TSX fell 1.1 percent as a group. Brent crude fell for the first time in three days after Libyan rebels surrendered control of two oil ports to the government, enabling the OPEC country to increase exports. New York-traded oil for May delivery also snapped a two-day advance, losing 0.7 percent to $100.44 a barrel.

Industrial companies fell 1.6 percent, paced by declines in the country’s two major railroad stocks.

Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. fell 2.5 percent to C$162.57.  Canadian National Railway Co. fell 1.6 percent to C$60.47.  Canadian Pacific is up 30 percent in the last year while Canadian National is up 23 percent.

Hudson’s Bay, a retailer that is Canada’s oldest company, fell 4 percent to C$17.08. The shares lost 5.1 percent on Apr. 3 after the company forecast lower earnings than analysts had predicted. Avigilon fell 4.8 percent to C$28.00. The company makes digital cameras for surveillance and has risen 149 percent over the last year. Redknee Solutions Inc. fell 4.1 percent to C$5.16. The software company is up 73 percent in the last year.

ATS, which makes machines used for manufacturing, fell 4.6 percent to C$14.60. The Cambridge, Ontario-based company has risen 50 percent over the last year. Badger Daylighting fell 1.7 percent to C$41.36. The Calgary-based excavation company is up 210 percent in the last year.

Valeant fell 4.5 percent to C$130.83. Meda said in a statement the joint-venture between the two companies would end in the second quarter because Meda had established its own affiliates in countries where it had up to now partnered with Valeant.

Tweed Marijuana jumped 40 percent to C$3.62. Based in a former chocolate factory in Smiths Falls, Ontario, Tweed grows medical marijuana as part of a government plan to replace a system where individual users have permits to grow their own cannabis.

Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan fell 1.9 percent to C$37.11 after the fertilizer miner said Bill Doyle, who has served as chief executive officer for almost 15 years, would leave the post in July.

US

By Callie Bost

April 7 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, pushing the Nasdaq 100 Index to its biggest three-day retreat since 2011 and erasing the year’s gains in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, as technology shares extended last week’s selloff.

Pfizer Inc. and American Express Co. tumbled more than 3 percent for the largest drops in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Yahoo! Inc. and Apple Inc. lost at least 1.6 percent to pace declines in technology shares. An index of homebuilders plunged 2.3 percent as D.R. Horton Inc. and KB Home fell more than 2.4 percent.

The S&P 500 dropped 1.1 percent to 1,845.04 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow slipped 166.84 points, or 1 percent, to 16,245.87. The Nasdaq 100 gauge of the biggest technology stocks fell 0.9 percent, bringing its three-day drop to 4.3 percent. The Russell 2000 Index of small companies sank 1.5 percent to an almost two-month low. About 7.6 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 9.3 percent above the three-month average.

“If you take a closer look under the hood, things have been deteriorating for a while now,” Ryan Detrick, senior technical strategist at Schaeffer’s Investment Research in Cincinnati, wrote in an e-mail. “Small caps and tech have been breaking down all over the place the past month, with the big blue chips holding tough. Well, now it looks like the last place bulls were hiding is finally starting to crack.”

The S&P 500 rose to a record last week before trimming its weekly gain to 0.4 percent in the last two days, as the selloff in technology shares overshadowed optimism on Federal Reserve monetary stimulus. The Dow reached an intraday record on April 4 before sinking to the day lower.

Technology shares were hit as traders dumped the biggest winners of the bull market amid concern valuations have advanced too far. The Nasdaq 100 fell the most in two years on April 4 with declines in all but four stocks. The gauge sank 0.9 percent for the week after surging 35 percent in 2013.

The Nasdaq Composite Index, which slid the most in two months on April 4, dropped 1.2 percent today. It trades at 31.5 times reported earnings of the companies in the index. That’s almost twice the ratio for the S&P 500, which trades at 17 times earnings.

“It’s just a continuation of momentum,” Kevin Caron, a Florham Park, New Jersey-based market strategist at Stifel Nicolaus & Co., which manages about $160 billion, said by phone. “The market, having had a very sharp rally last year, is set to consolidate some of those gains and that’s what we’re seeing here. It’s going to be a tug of war between valuations and the data from here on out.”

The selling in the Nasdaq 100 Index has sent anxiety among options traders to the highest levels since the flash crash four years ago. More than 1 million put options on an exchange-traded fund tracking the Nasdaq index changed hands on April 4 as investors sought protection during a 2.7 percent drop in the gauge. That’s the most trading in bearish contracts since May 7, 2010, the day after $862 billion was erased from the value of U.S. stocks in a matter of minutes.

Hedge funds that invested heavily in technology shares took a beating in the first quarter as popular holdings such as Chinese Internet company Baidu Inc. fell 14 percent and online retailer Amazon.com Inc. tumbled 15 percent.

Paul Tudor Jones, Michael Novogratz and Louis Bacon, hedge- fund managers that profited last year from bets on macroeconomic trends, posted losses in the period as some of those trades turned against them. The losses for macro managers have caused them to cut some of their bigger bets, Anthony Lawler, a money manager at he $120 billion Swiss firm GAM, wrote in a report last week.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange NDX Volatility Index, tracking contracts on the Nasdaq 100, gained 6.7 percent to 20.05 today. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, a gauge for U.S. stock volatility known as the VIX, rose 12 percent to 15.57.

The Morgan Stanley Cyclical Index tumbled 1.7 percent and the Dow Jones Transportation Index slid 1.4 percent. An S&P gauge of homebuilders slipped 2.3 percent, as D.R. Horton lost 2.4 percent to $21.77 and KB Home erased 4.4 percent to $16.81.

Consumer discretionary shares dropped 1.9 percent, the most among the 10 main S&P 500 groups, after sliding 1.7 percent on April 4. The industry has lost 5.9 percent since a record close on March 6.

Retailers in the S&P 500 have slipped 7.8 percent this year after soaring 44 percent in 2013. The S&P 500 Retailing Index trades at 24.5 times earnings, more than seven points higher than the ratio for the benchmark gauge.

Amazon.com, which trades at 562 times reported earnings, fell 1.6 percent to $317.76. Best Buy Co., the company with the third-largest gain in the S&P 500 last year at 237 percent, slipped 1.8 percent to $27.19 today, extending losses for 2014 to 32 percent.

Financial stocks declined 1.5 percent as all 24 members of the KBW Bank Index fell. MetLife Inc. tumbled 2.8 percent to $51.37 and Morgan Stanley slid 2.8 percent to $29.52.

Visa Inc. decreased 2.1 percent to $203.41. Pfizer fell 3 percent to $31.20 and American Express retreated 2.9 percent to $86.60, pacing losses in the Dow.

Technology shares fell 0.8 percent as a group in the S&P 500, while the Dow Jones Internet Composite Index lost 1.3 percent. Yahoo dropped 3.5 percent to $33.07 and Apple slid 1.6 percent to $523.47. Groupon Inc. tumbled 5 percent to $7.45.

The technology group saw the second-biggest outflows among industry exchange-traded funds in the past five days, losing $173.4 million, while investors withdrew $223 million from real- estate ETFs over the past week.

Mark Mobius, who oversees about $50 billion at Templeton Emerging Markets Group, said he’s buying technology stocks after a global rout left companies such as Tencent Holdings Ltd. trading at “reasonable” valuations.

“If you look at Tencent for example, it’s come down about 20 percent and that’s a pretty good correction,” Mobius, whose Templeton Asian Growth Fund outperformed 88 percent of peers this year, said in an interview in Bloomberg’s Hong Kong office, declining to name specific stocks he’s buying.

Some of the older names in technology had the best performances today. International Business Machines Corp., which had its initial public offering in 1915, added 1.4 percent to $194.52 for the biggest advance in the Dow. Intel Corp., which started trading in 1971, jumped 1.2 percent to $26.49 for the second-largest gain. Cisco Systems Inc. increased 0.6 percent to $22.85.

“People decided that Nasdaq stocks, the high flyers, are too richly valued,” Donald Selkin, who helps manage about $3 billion as chief market strategist at National Securities Corp. in New York, said by phone. “What’s more bizarre to me is the retro tech stocks, the Mad Men — like we’re back in the 1960s – – are up. People are going into those old-timers, the retros, because of more reasonable valuations.”

The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index rose 0.5 percent today. The gauge has fallen six straight weeks, the longest streak since 1998, after rising 79 percent in the year through Feb. 28.

Alcoa Inc., the largest U.S. aluminum producer, unofficially kicks off the U.S. quarterly earnings season when it releases financial results after the close of trading tomorrow. JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. are also among the S&P 500-listed companies reporting this week.

Profit for members of the gauge probably climbed 1 percent in the period, analysts now forecast, after anticipating a 6.6 percent rise in January. Sales rose 2.9 percent on average, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Analysts bet industrial companies will continue to deliver the fastest profit growth amid a weather-related slowdown.

“It will be an interesting few weeks with the earnings season kicking off tomorrow,” Heinz-Gerd Sonnenschein, an equity market strategist at Deutsche Postbank AG, said by phone from Bonn, Germany. “Everybody expects a weaker quarter given the headwinds that corporates faced earlier this year. The U.S. market is still strong, not far from a record, but we really need more profit growth to support valuations.”

Data last week boosted optimism that the economy is shaking off its winter doldrums and building momentum into the second quarter. Growth in manufacturing accelerated in March, driven by gains in production and orders. The government’s jobs report showed employers boosted payrolls last month and the unemployment rate held at 6.7 percent.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!


The important question for me is,

is the body a source for creating, for realizing yourself,

for realizing what life is all about?  You ask this question

and you go where it takes you and then you ask another question

and then again you follow.  So this understanding of the body, of the unity within the body

and the innumerable areas which it reveals to you is what I call realization.

Chandralekha, 1929-2006


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Never be afraid to sit awhile and think.

-Lorraine Hansberry, 1930-1965


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor


Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

April 4, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

This weekend at the Oak Bay Beach Hotel marks the last weekend of the Dinner Theatre – Tribute to Nashville.  It’s from 5:30-8 in the David Foster Theatre and admission is $89.00. Join them for a very unique opportunity to bring a different Nashville star to the stage every weekend. A Tribute To Nashville dinner theatre will bring audiences a little taste of what it is to live, work and play in the recording capital of the world. Buddy Greene himself has selected some of Nashville’s most renowned recording artists to join with him on our stage.  Having been to Dinner Theatres in the past, I highly recommend checking one out!

The best and most beautiful things in the world cannot be seen or even touched – they must be felt with the heart

Helen Keller

Photos of the day

A contrail is seen as India’s Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle (PSLV-C24), carrying the second navigation satellite of the Indian Regional Navigation Satellite System IRNSS-1B, lifts off from the Satish Dhawan Space Center in Sriharikota, about 100 km (62 miles) north of the southern Indian city of Chennai, India. Babu/Reuters


Skydivers form a missing man formation in Eloy, Arizona, April 3. A German skydiver, who was among 222 people trying to set a world record with a group-formation jump was killed in the Arizona desert when her main parachute malfunctioned, police and a spokeswoman for the skydiving facility said. Henry Wiggers/Reuters

Market Closes for April 4th, 2014

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16412.71 -159.84

 

-0.96%

S&P 500 1865.09 -23.68

 

-1.25%

NASDAQ 4127.727 -110.013

 

-2.60%

TSX 14393.10 -9.11

 

-0.06%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15063.77 -8.11

 

-0.05%

 

HANG

SENG

22510.08 -55.00

 

-0.24%

 

SENSEX 22359.50 -149.57

 

-0.66%

 

FTSE 100 6695.55 +46.41

 

+0.70%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.493 2.546
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.999 3.034
U.S.

10 Year Bond

2.7225 2.7972
U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.5854 3.6291

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91067 0.90613
US

$

1.09810 1.10359
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

Canadian

$

1.50466 0.66460
US

$

1.37025 0.72979

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1303.53 1286.69
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 101.24 100.29
BRENT 109.360 109.360

Market Commentary:

Canada
By Gerrit De Vynck

April 4 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell for a second day, erasing gains in the afternoon as a selloff in U.S. technology shares dragged down BlackBerry Ltd., overshadowing better-than-expected jobs data.

BlackBerry slumped 2.7 percent, closing at a three-month low. Hydrogenics Corp. dropped 11 percent after reporting first-
quarter revenue that missed estimates because of the timing of deliveries. Air Canada jumped 27 percent after raising its
first-quarter forecast.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index slipped 9.11 points, or 0.1 percent, to 14,393.10 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The
benchmark index has rallied 0.9 percent this week, and is up 5.7 percent for the year.

Stocks rose earlier in the day as data showed that employment rose by 42,900, the most in seven months. The jobless
rate fell to 6.9 percent from 7.0 percent, Statistics Canada said today in Ottawa.

“I don’t read this through to a stronger Canadian economy, I think it’s decent,” said Kevin Headland, a fund manager with
Manulife Asset Management Ltd, by phone. Manulife manages about C$250 billion ($227.8 million). “As long as we see positive news, things are getting better, improving slowly but surely.”

BlackBerry retreated 3.3 percent to C$8.77, the lowest close since Jan. 6, as information technology shares sank 1.1
percent as a group. Five of 10 industries in the S&P/TSX fell on trading volume 6 percent lower compared with the 30-day average.

Air Canada rose 27 percent to C$7.29. The airline increased its outlook for first-quarter earnings. The company has risen
124 percent over the last year.

Hydrogenics, which makes hydrogen fuel cells, fell 11 percent to C$26 after saying first-quarter revenue would miss estimates.

DHX Media Ltd. rose 8 percent to C$5.23, the biggest increase since December, as analysts at the Royal Bank of Canada
said the company’s purchase of Epitome Pictures Inc. could add about 10 percent to DHX’s earnings in 2015.

Suncor Energy Inc. rose 0.8 percent to C$39.52. The company’s shares have underperformed this year compared with
other oil companies despite its “extremely strong” balance sheet, according to a research report from Canaccord Genuity
Corp.

Eldorado Gold Corp. rose 2.7 percent to C$6.55 after Canaccord analyst Tony Lesiak said in a note to clients the
company was “now worth the risk” after the shares recently underperformed. Lesiak raised his recommendation on the stock to
buy from hold.

US
By Joseph Ciolli, Callie Bost and Lu Wang

U.S. stocks tumbled, with the Nasdaq Composite Index falling the most in two
months, as investorscontinued a selloff of the bull market’s biggest winners. Treasuries rallied as jobs data boosted speculation the Federal
Reserve will remain accommodative on rates.

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.6 percent at 4 p.m. in New York as technology shares slumped. The Standard & Poor’s 500
Index fell 1.3 percent after rallying as much as 0.5 percent to a record earlier in the day. The yield on five-year Treasury
notes dropped nine basis points, the most in two months, to 1.70 percent. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.6 percent, advancing
for a ninth day. The dollar slid for the first time in seven days against the yen.
Gold jumped 1.5 percent.

Employers hired more workers last month and the unemployment rate held at 6.7 percent, Labor Department figures
showed today. Europe’s central bank signaled yesterday it may use quantitative easing to ward off deflation. The value of
global stocks rose to a record $63.2 trillion this week as Fed Chair Janet Yellen said accommodative policies will be needed
for “some time.”

“There’s a little bit of nervousness about some of the high multiples in the biotech area and computer and Internet-
related stocks,” John Carey, a fund manager at Pioneer Investment Management Inc., a Boston-based firm that manages about $220 billion worldwide, said in a phone interview.
“You’re having another wave of selling in that very high- momentum group.”

The S&P 500 erased gains after climbing to a record 1,897.28 earlier in the day. The gauge trimmed its advance for
the week to 0.4 percent, and is up 0.9 percent for the year. The gauge trades at 17.2 times reported earnings, the highest level
since 2010, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average touched an intraday record of 16,631.63, briefly erasing losses for the year, before
retreating. It gained 0.6 percent this week.

Large technology stocks from Google Inc. to Yahoo Inc. plunged as investors resumed a selloff of the bull market’s
biggest winners. Google Class A shares sank 4.6 percent.
Facebook Inc. lost 4.6 percent, bringing its two-day slide to 9.5 percent. Yahoo declined 4.2 percent to the lowest since
November.

“This has been in the making for a few weeks,” Rick Fier, director of equity trading at Conifer Securities LLC in New
York, said a phone interview. “Managers were positioned very heavily last year with the winners. They killed in 2013 and
money started to pour in them. Today is kind of like the panic day that they couldn’t stand it any more and now they’re just
puking these names.”

The Nasdaq Composite has fallen 0.7 percent in the past five days after losing 2.8 percent last week. The gauge is down
1.2 percent in 2014. It rose 38 percent last year.

Isolated lurches in the Nasdaq 100 have become more common in the last two months as investors reassessed equities that
have posted annual gains of 25 percent since 2009. The gauge twice tumbled more than 1.8 percent over two-day stretches last
week and lost 2.1 percent on March 13 and 14.

All but nine of the 121 stocks in the Nasdaq Biotechnology Index dropped. The gauge plunged 7 percent last week after
rallying 79 percent in the 12 months through Feb. 28. Netflix Inc. sank 4.9 percent today for a third straight decline. The
stock nearly quadrupled in 2013.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, a gauge for U.S. stock volatility known as VIX, rose 4.4 percent
to 13.96.  Five- and seven-year notes led gains among Treasuries after the government’s March jobs report.

Payrolls rose 192,000 last month after a 197,000 gain in February that was larger than first estimated, the Labor
Department reported today in Washington. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey projected a 200,000 gain. Private employment,
which excludes government jobs, surpassed the pre-recession peak for the first time.

Employment in January and February was revised higher, showing the effect on the labor market from inclement winter
weather was less severe than previously thought.

“We like this number because it is not too high,” David Roda, the Miami-based regional chief investment officer for
Wells Fargo Private Bank, said in a phone interview. His firm manages $170 billion. “If this number were too big and
unemployment was declining faster than expected, we would have anticipated faster Fed moves, partially in short-term rates.’

U.S. debt had declined this week on speculation the central bank would further cut its debt-purchase stimulus and raise
interest rates next year. The Fed has reduced its monthly bond purchases to $55 billion, citing an improving economy. Yellen
signaled during a press conference last month that a rate increase may come six month after the central bank completes its
bond buying.

The Fed uses the jobs report to help determine the timing and pace of further cuts to its monthly bond-buying program. The
central bank also looks to the unemployment rate as a factor in deciding when to raise its benchmark interest rate.

Pacific Investment Management Co.’s Bill Gross said the pace of employment growth in the U.S. means the Federal Reserve
will continue to wind down bond purchases and then consider raising interest rates.

‘‘Two-hundred thousand jobs plus or minus is probably reflective of 2.5 percent growth in the short term,” said Gross
said in a radio interview on “Bloomberg Surveillance” with Tom Keene and Michael McKee. The Fed’s quantitative easing should
“end at the end of October or November. Then, as Janet Yellen has suggested, six months plus or minus, we can begin to talk
about higher policy rates.”

Yields on 10-year Treasuries dropped seven basis points to 2.73 percent. The rate on seven-year notes lost 10 points to 2.29 percent.

The Stoxx 600 rallied to the highest level since 2008. Almost three shares advanced for every one that declined, with trading volumes 8.7 percent lower than the 30-day average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The gauge increased 1.6 percent this week, a third straight weekly gain.

European bond yields from Ireland to Italy fell to records on speculation that inflation at a four-year low will push the European Central Bank to expand stimulus measures. President Mario Draghi said yesterday officials have discussed further
options, including asset purchases, or quantitative easing.

Italy’s 10-year yield tumbled as much as 11 basis points to 3.15 percent, dropping below the previous record of 3.196
percent set in 2005. The yield on Spain’s two-year note declined
as much as six basis points to a record-low 0.59 percent. Ireland’s 10-year yield dropped to 2.91 percent, the least on
record.

The Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the performance of a basket of 10 leading global currencies against
the dollar, slipped 0.3 percent, snapping a three-day rally.

The U.S. currency fell 0.7 percent to 103.24 yen, trimming a third weekly gain to 0.4 percent. The dollar rose 0.1 percent
to $1.3701 per euro after climbing to $1.3673, the strongest since Feb. 27. It advanced for a third week, the longest since
the period ended July 5. The euro weakened 0.8 percent to 141.46 yen today.

The S&P GSCI gauge of 24 commodities climbed 0.4 percent. Gold jumped 1.5 percent, the most in three weeks, after the jobs
report triggered concern the economy may not be expanding as fast as forecast, boosting demand for bullion as a store of
value.

West Texas Intermediate oil added 0.8 percent to $101.14 a barrel, trimming a weekly decline to 0.5 percent.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index added 0.2 percent, extending its third weekly gain
to 1.7 percent.

The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.7 percent as benchmark moneymarket rates declined. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of mainland
companies listed in Hong Kong added 0.2 percent.

Have a wonderful weekend everyone!


Be magnificent!


Happiness is not something ready made. It comes from your own actions.

Dalai Lama

 

As ever,

 

Amanda Parnham

Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff

Queensbury Securities

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8X 3Y7

 

April 3, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Clear blue skies, comfortable temperatures (typically 50º to 60º F), and fall foliage make March and April two of the best months to walk the paths less traveled in Australia’s smallest state. Tasmania’s walking routes range from easy strolls along Cornelian Bay in the capital city of Hobart, to challenging bushwalks in remote Southwest National Park, part of the 3.46-million-acre Tasmanian Wilderness World Heritage Area. “Expect stunning scenery in every direction,” says Hobart-based writer Tania Horne. “Whether you choose to walk the countless pristine coastline tracks, across mountains of wilderness sprinkled liberally with dense rain forests, or through the breathtaking patchwork of rural countryside, you’ll be assured of a kaleidoscope of riotous color.”  National Post names Tasmania one of the 10 best spots to visit in the spring time!

Health is the greatest gift, contentment the greatest wealth, faithfulness the best relationship”

Buddha

Photos of the day

Raindrops on a car window reflect a man walking past a stock index board in Tokyo. Toru Hanai/Reuters

Two strollers and a dog walk past blooming cherry trees during nice and sunny spring weather in Cologne, Germany. Federico Gambarini/dpa/AP

Market Closes for April 3rd, 2014

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

16572.55 -0.45 

 

S&P 500 1888.77 -2.13 

 

-0.11%

NASDAQ 4237.738 -38.717 

 

-0.91%

TSX 14402.21 -56.90 

 

-0.39% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15071.88 +125.56 

 

+0.84% 

 

HANG 

SENG

22565.08 +41.14 

 

+0.18% 

 

SENSEX 22509.07 -42.42 

 

-0.19% 

 

FTSE 100 6649.14 -9.90 

 

-0.15% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.546 2.550
CND. 

30 Year

Bond

3.034 3.040
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.7972 2.8045
U.S. 

30 Year Bond

3.6291 3.6473

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.90613 0.90649 

 

US 

$

1.10359 1.10315
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian 

$

1.51385 0.66057
US 

$

1.37174 0.72900

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold 

Fix

1286.69 1290.60
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 100.29 99.62
BRENT 109.360 109.360 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada
By Gerrit De Vynck

Canadian stocks fell, snapping a four-day rally, as raw-material shares paced declines amid losses in copper and gold while Hudson’s Bay Co. said its Lord & Taylor stores’ sales didn’t rebound as expected.

Hudson’s Bay retreated 5.1 percent after reporting that Lord & Taylor’s same-store sales declined 1.3 percent in the latest quarter. UrtheCast Corp. added 4.9 percent after the space imaging company released its first picture from a new camera on the International Space Station.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index lost 56.90 points, or 0.4 percent, to 14,402.21 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The drop ended a four-day rally that moved the index up 2 percent, including a 0.6 percent advance yesterday.

“We had a very strong day yesterday in the markets, particularly in Canada where you saw the resource sector rally,” said Brian Huen, managing partner at Red Sky Capital Management Ltd. in Toronto. He helps manage about C$225 million ($204 million). “People are not seeing the follow-through from yesterday so they’re taking some money off the table.”

Materials companies fell 0.9 percent as eight of 10 industries in the benchmark index retreated. Phone companies lost 1.3 percent as a group after CIBC World Markets cut its rating on the Canadian cable and telecommunications industry to the equivalent of a sell from the equivalent of a hold, saying government hearings may bring new regulation to the industry.

Richmont Mines Inc. tumbled 6.8 percent to C$1.51 after the gold miner said it would issue 7 million new shares for C$1.45 each, a 10 percent discount to yesterday’s closing price of C$1.62.

Hudson’s Bay declined 5.1 percent, the most since Dec. 11, to C$17.86 after reporting its fourth-quarter results and saying the Lord & Taylor stores didn’t rebound as the company expected. The retailer also forecast lower earnings than analyst had predicted.

UrtheCast rose 4.9 percent to C$2.15 after posting its first image from a camera mounted on the International Space Station to its website. The company also said that it was not affected by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s decision to cut ties with the Russian space agency.

Rogers Communications Inc., Canada’s largest wireless company, fell 0.9 percent to C$45 after the industry downgrade from CIBC. Telus Corp. fell 2.7 percent to C$38.10 while Shaw Communications Inc. fell 2.9 percent to C$25.94. Phone companies have gained 12 percent as a group since the beginning of August 2013.

Goldcorp Inc. fell 1.7 percent to C$27.14 after the company said it was pushing back the expiry date of its hostile offer to buy Osisko Mining Corp. to April 15. Yesterday, Yamana Gold Inc. offered to buy half of Osisko for C$1.47 billion, out-pricing Goldcorp’s bid.

West Fraser Timber Co. rose 1.3 percent to C$52.04 as Statistics Canada said the country’s trade balance swung to a surplus in February. Three-quarters of Canada’s 2013 exports went to the U.S.

US
By Joseph Ciolli and Sofia Horta e Costa

U.S. stocks fell, after benchmark indexes climbed to records, while Treasuries rose before the government releases its monthly jobs report. The euro weakened as the region’s central bank said it’s prepared to take action to head off deflation.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slipped 0.1 percent to 1,888.77 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was little changed, closing within five points of its record after reaching an intraday high. Treasury 10-year yields slid for the first time in three days. The euro weakened against 10 of its 16 major peers. Italy’s 10-year yield fell to an eight- year low and Spain’s rate dropped 4 basis points. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index added 0.1 percent. An index of developing- nation shares dropped 0.6 percent, ending the longest run of gains since January 2013.

Initial jobless claims rose more than forecast last week, according to the Labor Department, before the monthly payrolls data due tomorrow. A separate report today showed service industries in the U.S. expanded at a faster pace in March. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said the ECB would use unconventional policy if required, after leaving the main refinancing rate at an all-time low of 0.25 percent today.

“The market still wants to be positive and has this feeling of goodwill, but at times it runs into a little bit of resistance,” Robert Pavlik, chief market strategist at Banyan Partners LLC, which manages $4.5 billion, said in a phone interview. “People are a little bit more cautious. As we get closer to the payroll report, we’ll be in wait-and-see mode.”

The S&P 500 index rose 0.3 percent yesterday to close at a record. The gauge has climbed 2.2 percent this year, with utilities gaining the most among 10 industry groups. The index now trades at 17.4 times reported earnings. That’s the highest level since 2010 and 11 percent above its five-year average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The Institute for Supply Management’s U.S. non- manufacturing index increased to 53.1 in March from 51.6 a month earlier, the Tempe, Arizona-based group said today. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of 77 economists called for a gain to 53.5.

Jobless claims increased 16,000 in the period ended March 29 to a five-week high of 326,000, the Labor Department said. A revised 310,000 applications were filed in the previous week, the fewest since Sept. 7. The median forecast of 52 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for 319,000 claims.

The government’s monthly jobs report due tomorrow will show that hiring increased in March, according to forecasts compiled by Bloomberg.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen said last week that “considerable slack” in the labor market is evidence that the central bank’s unprecedented accommodation will be needed for “some time” to put Americans back to work.

Reports from hiring to factory output had shown weakness this year as freezing temperatures and mountains of snow kept shoppers indoors, grounded flights and made it harder for shippers to fill product orders.

Investors have added $1.7 billion to U.S. equity exchange- traded funds in the past five days and put $984 million in bond ETFs, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Health-care stocks saw the most money added among industry ETFs, increasing $571 million during the past week. Industrial ETFs took in $459 million in the period.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, a gauge for U.S. stock volatility known as the VIX, rose 2.1 percent to 13.37 today. The gauge closed yesterday at its lowest since January after five straight declines.

Google Inc. Class C shares rose 0.5 percent to $569.74 while the Class A shares added 0.6 percent to $571.50. The company issued 330 million nonvoting C class shares as part of a move that cements control for founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page. The A shares carry one vote, while non-trading B shares, mostly owned by the founders, have 10 votes.

Treasuries rose, pushing 10-year yields down from almost the highest levels since January, before tomorrow’s jobs report. The U.S. 10-year yield fell one basis point to 2.79 percent.

Italy’s 10-year yield dropped five basis points to 3.25 percent. It touched 3.249 percent, the lowest since September 2005. The yield on 10-year German bunds fell one basis point to 1.60 percent and the Spanish 10-year yield declined four basis points to 3.22 percent.

Draghi said policy makers debated large-scale asset purchases among a range of measures to head off the threat of deflation in the euro region. ECB officials are discussing a new departure as inflation slows to a level that’s just a quarter of their 2 percent goal. With a rising euro and stubbornly high unemployment also threatening the region’s recovery, other options include further rate cuts, which would take the deposit rate into negative territory.

“Draghi tends to speak vaguely and just reiterate earlier speeches but he was more specific and aggressive this time round,” Steven Santos, a broker at X-Trade Brokers DM SA, said by phone from Lisbon. “It looks like the ECB is increasingly pondering cutting the main interest rate and that the central bank might even come up with new measures soon. Markets clearly want more intervention from Draghi.”

The euro weakened for a second day against the dollar, and dropped for the first time in five days versus the yen. The 18- nation currency slipped 0.4 percent to $1.3719 and lost 0.3 percent to 142.57 yen. The dollar was little changed at 103.92 yen.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index advanced for an eighth day, extending its longest winning streak since October. The equity benchmark has gained 4 percent since March 24.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index, which rallied 6.8 percent in the previous nine days, lost 0.5 percent amid concern that the crisis in Ukraine will escalate after NATO leaders warned Russia has troops on a high state of readiness on its neighbor’s border.

The ruble lost 0.4 percent against the dollar, and the Micex Index of Russian stocks slid 0.5 percent. Russia ratcheted up pressure on Ukraine with a 26 percent increase in the price of natural gas after Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said NATO shouldn’t expand its presence in eastern Europe.

NATO leaders warned yesterday that they haven’t seen signs of a significant reduction in Russian military forces along Ukraine’s border and any incursion would be a “historic mistake.”

The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of mainland companies listed in Hong Kong gained 0.7 percent, while the Shanghai Composite Index dropped 0.7 percent. China outlined a package of measures including tax relief to support the economy and create jobs after a slowdown endangered Premier Li Keqiang’s target of 7.5 percent growth this year.

“We are starting to see more positive talk from officials in terms of the potential for stimulus” in China, said Angus Gluskie, managing director at White Funds Management in Sydney, who helps oversee about $550 million.

U.S. natural gas jumped 2.4 percent as an unusually cold start to spring sent stockpiles to an 11-year low. The Energy Information Administration said stockpiles fell 74 billion cubic feet in the week ended March 28 to 822 billion, the least since 2003. Analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg showed an expected withdrawal of 75 billion.

Gold fell for the sixth time in seven session as signs of quickening U.S. economic growth bolster forecasts for the Fed to increase interest rates, crimping demand for the metal as a store of value. Futures declined 0.5 percent to $1,284.60.

Brent crude rose the most in a month amid concern that talks between the Libyan government and rebels won’t restore oil exports. Brent gained 1.3 percent to $106.15 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude climbed 0.7 percent to $100.29 a barrel.

The rebels’ Executive Office for Barqa, representing the region of Cyrenaica, denied a report that the group will cede one of the four ports that have been under its control since July to the government in a few days. Libya’s oil output dropped to 250,000 barrels a day in March from 1.4 million a year earlier, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.


Be magnificent!

 

Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts

Winston Churchill

As ever,

 

Amanda Parnham

Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff

Queensbury Securities

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8X 3Y7

 

April 2, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

A friend sent this to me today 🙂

Subject: Important Study Results

Johns Hopkins Weight Study

The National  Institutes of Health has just released the results of a $200 million research study completed under a grant to Johns Hopkins.
The new study has found that women who carry a little extra weight live longer than the men who mention it.

Photos of the day

‘Trash People,’ an art exhibit of life-size figures made from 20 tons of recycled iron, glass, computer parts, cans and industrial waste, stands on Hiriya landfill near Tel Aviv, Israel. The exhibit, by German artist HA Schult, has been traveling for 18 years around the world, with stops in Paris La Defense, Moscow’s Red Square, the Great Wall of China, Egypt’s Giza Pyramids, Rome’s Piazza del Popolo and Antarctica. Ariel Schalit/AP


A pelican playfully pecks a smaller pelican in St. James’s Park in London. Six pelicans live in the park, three of whom were a gift from the City of Prague in 2013. Kirsty Wigglesworth/AP

Market Closes for April 2nd, 2014

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

16573.00 +40.39 

 

+0.24%

S&P 500 1890.90 +5.38 

 

+0.29%

NASDAQ 4276.457 +8.417 

 

+0.20%

TSX 14459.11 +78.56 

 

+0.55% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 14946.32 +154.33 

 

+1.04% 

 

HANG 

SENG

22523.94 +75.40 

 

+0.34% 

 

SENSEX 22551.49 +105.05 

 

+0.47% 

 

FTSE 100 6659.04 +6.43 

 

+0.10% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.550 2.496
CND. 

30 Year

Bond

3.040 3.009
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.8045 2.7516
U.S. 

30 Year Bond

3.6473 3.6051

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.90649 0.90683 

 

US 

$

1.10315 1.10275
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian 

$

1.51867 0.65847
US 

$

1.37666 0.72640

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold 

Fix

1290.60 1279.33
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 99.62 99.74
BRENT 109.360 109.360 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada
By Gerrit De Vynck

April 2 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, sending the benchmark index to the highest level since 2008, as materials shares rallied after Osisko Mining Corp. agreed to sell a stake to Yamana Gold Inc. in a bid to block a separate hostile offer.

Osisko Mining climbed 7.3 percent after Yamana agreed to acquire mining and exploration assets in a cash and stock deal for C$929.6 million ($842.6 million). Goldcorp Inc., which had made a hostile offer for Osisko, advanced 2 percent. Agrium Inc. retreated 1.4 percent after its first-quarter earnings forecast missed analyst estimates.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Index rose 78.56 points, or 0.6 percent, to 14,459.11 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, the highest level since June 2008. The gauge has rallied 2 percent in the past four days.

“The economy is growing slowly but surely,” said Irwin Michael, a fund manager with ABC Funds in Toronto, which manages about C$850 million. U.S. employment numbers released today by the ADP Research Institute didn’t meet economist estimates, but are still encouraging, Michael said by phone. “It’s close enough for us.”

Companies added 191,000 new jobs in March, the biggest increase in three months, said ADP, which is based in Roseland, New Jersey. The median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg was for an advance of 195,000. Canada and the U.S. separately will release monthly employment data on April 4.

Raw-materials shares rallied 1.4 percent for the second- biggest gain among the 10 industries in the S&P/TSX. Technology stocks, which make up a smaller slice of the index, rose 1.7 percent.

Osisko Mining gained 7.3 percent to C$7.38. The deal with Yamana values Osisko at C$7.60 a share. Goldcorp’s hostile bid, announced in January, is worth about C$6.34 a share. Goldcorp increased 2 percent to C$27.61 while Yamana lost 2.2 percent to C$9.50.

Agrium retreated 1.4 percent to C$106.09 after saying first-quarter earnings will be just above break-even. Analysts had estimated earnings of 54 cents a share. The potash miner said its operations were hit by a squeeze on railway availability and a shutdown for repairs at one of its plants.

Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. slipped 1.4 percent to C$38.40 after Alta Corp. downgraded the stock to underperform, the equivalent of a sell, from sector perform, the equivalent of a hold.

Ballard Power Systems Inc. advanced 7.9 percent to C$5.36 after the company said four buses powered by its fuel cells had been delivered. The stock has risen 233 percent this year on signs the technology is a viable source of power.

US
By Joseph Ciolli and Callie Bost

April 2 (Bloomberg) — The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index extended its all-time high and Treasuries fell as a report showed U.S. companies added to payrolls last month. The dollar strengthened with copper and gold.

The S&P 500 gained 0.3 percent to 1,890.90 at 4 p.m. in New York, after reaching a record yesterday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.2 percent, briefly erasing its loss for the year. The yield on 10-year Treasuries increased five basis points to 2.80 percent. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index added 0.2 percent. The dollar climbed to a two-month high against the yen. Copper advanced 0.2 percent following an earthquake in Chile and gold jumped for the first time in six days. Crude futures pared earlier losses.

Companies in the U.S. added 191,000 jobs in March, less than the 195,000 median estimate in a Bloomberg survey, figures from the ADP Research Institute showed before the government’s employment report on Friday. The value of equities worldwide climbed to an all-time high of $63.09 trillion yesterday as reports showed a pickup in American manufacturing and vehicle sales. Mining companies reported no damage after the 8.2- magnitude earthquake in Chile that killed six people.

“The positive tone from yesterday is most likely to continue into the jobs report, absent some big macro piece of data that comes out between now and then,” Michael James, a Los Angeles-based managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities Inc., said in a phone interview. “Longer-term investors are still of the opinion that the U.S. equity market remains one of the best places to be invested for this year.”

The S&P 500 rose 0.7 percent yesterday as consumer and technology stocks pushed the gauge to a record and an index of manufacturing boosted optimism the economy withstood the severe winter weather.

Federal Reserve stimulus has helped propel the S&P 500 higher by as much as 180 percent from its bear-market low in March 2009. The equity gauge climbed 1.3 percent in the first three months of 2014, its fifth consecutive quarterly advance.

The equities benchmark trades at 17.5 times reported earnings, the highest level since 2010 and 11 percent above its five-year average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Treasuries fell amid speculation the U.S. economy is improving enough for the Fed to raise interest rates next year.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen said last month the central bank may end the bond-buying program it uses to support the economy this fall and increase borrowing costs six months after that. She said this week that “considerable slack” in labor markets showed that the central bank’s accommodative policies will be needed for “some time.”

The central bank has kept its target for federal funds, the rate banks charge each other on overnight loans, in a range of zero to 0.25 percent since 2008.

Fed Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said in a Bloomberg Radio interview today that a further slowing of inflation could prompt policy makers to suspend tapering of bond purchases, though he doesn’t expect that to happen.

Central bank policy should remain accommodative “for quite some time” given “considerable amount” of economic slack that remains, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart said in a speech in Miami.

Reports from hiring to factory output had shown weakness this year as freezing temperatures and mountains of snow kept shoppers indoors, grounded flights and made it harder for shippers to fill product orders.

A release from the Commerce Department today showed factory orders rose 1.6 percent in February, topping economists’ estimates for a 1.2 percent advance.

Investors have removed $3.7 billion from U.S. equity exchange-traded funds in the past five days and added $1.3 billion to bond ETFs, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Financial stocks saw the most money removed among industry ETFs, losing $489.2 million during the past week.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, a gauge for U.S. stock volatility known as the VIX, dropped 0.1 percent to 13.09, falling for a fifth straight day.

The Stoxx 600 climbed for a seventh straight day, the longest streak since October. Deutsche Post AG added 4.6 percent after Europe’s largest mail service predicted operating profit will rise. Deutsche Boerse AG lost 2.2 percent after saying U.S. regulators are probing its Clearstream Banking unit.

German 10-year bonds led most euro-area sovereign debt lower as investors bet the European Central Bank will refrain from adding new stimulus to tackle slowing inflation. The yield climbed 4 basis points to 1.62 percent after ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio said yesterday the euro area will probably avoid outright deflation. Germany sold 2.4 billion euros ($3.3billion) of five-year notes today.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index increased 0.3 percent, gaining for a ninth straight day. The Shanghai Composite Index climbed 0.6 percent to the highest level in a week as developers rallied on speculation the government will relax housing curbs. Brazil’s Ibovespa rallied 2.8 percent, erasing this year’s drop.

Copper advanced for a second day, climbing to a three-week high. Chile is the biggest producer of the metal. Santiago-based Codelco, the largest miner of copper, KGHM Polska Miedz SA and Pan Pacific Copper Co. said their projects and mines escaped damage from the earthquake.

Aluminum climbed 1.9 percent to the highest since Dec. 30 after trading above the 200-day moving average for the first time since October. Brazilian aluminum companies, producing at the lowest level in 12 years amid high power costs and metal- price declines, expect authorities to ration supply as a drought curbs hydroelectric generation in the country.

Brent crude dropped below $105 a barrel for the first time since November after rebels in eastern Libya said they were close to a deal to reopen ports.

West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.1 percent to $99.62 a barrel, paring an earlier drop of 0.9 percent. A government report showed that U.S. crude inventories decreased 2.38 million barrels to 380.1 million last week. Stockpiles were projected to climb 2.5 million barrels, according to the median of analyst responses in a Bloomberg survey.

U.S. natural gas jumped 2.1 percent, erasing an earlier loss and snapping a three-day decline, on speculation that an unusually cold start to spring will reduce supplies already at an 11-year low.

Gold rose 0.8 percent to $1,290.90 an ounce, ending the longest slump since November, on speculation that demand for bars and jewelry will increase in China after futures touched a seven-week low. Gold slipped 2.9 percent in March, partly on the outlook for reduced stimulus in the U.S.

The dollar rose against most of its 16 major peers. The U.S. currency strengthened 0.2 percent to 103.86 yen after touching 103.94, the highest since Jan. 23. It jumped 1 percent to 85.54 cents per New Zealand dollar. The euro fell 0.2 percent to $1.3765.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!


Self is not something as opposed to something else,

it is sunya: we are also all things;

the self represented in all forms, good or bad,

not exclusively or exhaustively in any.

Ramchandra Gandhi, 1937-2007


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Life is a succession of moments.  To live each one

is to succeed.

-Corita Kent, 1918-1986

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor


Queensbury Securities,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

April 1, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

APRIL is the cruelest month, breeding
Lilacs out of the dead land, mixing
Memory and desire, stirring
Dull roots with spring rain.
Winter kept us warm, covering
Earth in forgetful snow, feeding
A little life with dried tubers.
Summer surprised us, coming over the Starnbergersee
With a shower of rain; we stopped in the colonnade,
And went on in sunlight, into the Hofgarten,
And drank coffee, and talked for an hour.
Bin gar keine Russin, stamm’ aus Litauen, echt deutsch.
And when we were children, staying at the archduke’s,
My cousin’s, he took me out on a sled,
And I was frightened. He said, Marie,
Marie, hold on tight. And down we went.
In the mountains, there you feel free.
I read, much of the night, and go south in the winter.
What are the roots that clutch, what branches grow
Out of this stony rubbish? Son of man,
You cannot say, or guess, for you know only
A heap of broken images, where the sun beats,
And the dead tree gives no shelter, the cricket no relief,
And the dry stone no sound of water. Only
There is shadow under this red rock,
(Come in under the shadow of this red rock),
And I will show you something different from either
Your shadow at morning striding behind you
Or your shadow at evening rising to meet you;
I will show you fear in a handful of dust.
Frisch weht der Wind
Der Heimat zu,
Mein Irisch Kind,
Wo weilest du?
“You gave me hyacinths first a year ago;
They called me the hyacinth girl.”
—Yet when we came back, late, from the Hyacinth garden,
Your arms full, and your hair wet, I could not
Speak, and my eyes failed, I was neither
Living nor dead, and I knew nothing,
Looking into the heart of light, the silence.
Öd’ und leer das Meer.”

-T.S. Eliot

Photos of the day

Two drake Mallard ducks fly over Lake Erie near the Cleveland shoreline. Warming temperatures have brought a variety of waterfowl to the area as they stage for the northern migration. Mark Duncan/AP

Visitors take pictures of illuminated cherry blossoms in full bloom along the Chidorigafuchi moats in Tokyo. Yuya Shino/Reuters

Market Closes for April 1st, 2014

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16532.61 +74.95

 

+0.46%

S&P 500 1885.52 +13.18

 

+0.70%

NASDAQ 4268.039 +69.045

 

+1.64%

TSX 14380.55 +45.24

 

+0.32%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 14791.99 -35.84

 

-0.24%

 

HANG

SENG

22448.54 +297.48

 

+1.34%

 

SENSEX 22446.44 +60.17

 

+0.27%

 

FTSE 100 6652.61 +54.24

 

+0.82%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.496 2.447
CND.

30 Year

Bond

3.009 2.945
U.S.

10 Year Bond

2.7516 2.7208
U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.6051 3.5473

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.90683 0.90404

 

US

$

1.10275 1.10614
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

Canadian

$

1.52094 0.65749
US

$

1.37923 0.72504

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1279.33 1295.38
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 99.74 101.67
BRENT 109.360 109.360

 

Market Commentary:

Canada
By Gerrit De Vynck

April 1 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, after the benchmark index posted its third straight quarterly advance, as health-care and consumer companies led gains.

Longview Oil Corp. added 5.1 percent after Surge Energy Inc. agreed to buy the Calgary-based company. Amaya Gaming Group Inc. dropped 15 percent as fourth-quarter earnings and revenue missed analyst estimates.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Index rose 45.24 points, or 0.3 percent, to 14,380.55 at the close in Toronto, gaining for a third straight day. The gauge jumped 5.2 percent in the first quarter, increasing 0.9 percent in March after a 3.8 percent rally in February.

The market is starting to recover after the rally slowed in March, said John Kinsey, a fund manager at Caldwell Securities Ltd. in Toronto. He helps manage about C$1 billion ($907.4 million).

“It looks like it’s starting to claw its way back up again,” he said in a phone interview.  Economic data today showed manufacturing in the U.S. expanded at a faster pace in March as gains in production and orders showed the industry was mending at the close of a winter- depressed first quarter. Growth in euro-area manufacturing stayed close to the highest level in almost three years in March. Manufacturing indexes pointed to weakness in China’s economy as leaders contemplate whether to add stimulus.

Consumer-discretionary stocks led gains among the main industries in the benchmark index, adding 1.3 percent. Six of the 10 groups advanced, with raw-materials companies falling the most.

Longview Oil added 5.1 percent to C$5.77 after Surge Energy agreed to buy the company for C$429 million.

Amaya Gaming dropped 15 percent to C$6.30 after reporting fourth-quarter earnings and sales that fell below analyst predictions.

Kinross Gold Corp. increased 0.4 percent to C$4.59 after it released a new feasibility study for its Tasiast mine expansion project in Mauritania.

“The project has a strong probability of proceeding,” Tony Lesiak, a Toronto-based analyst with Canaccord Genuity Corp., wrote in a note to clients. Lesiak has a buy rating on the stock.

Dynasty Metals & Mining Inc. rose 7.3 percent to C$1.47 after the company said it had started production at its Zaruma gold mine in Ecuador.

Athabasca Minerals Inc. fell 4.5 percent to C$1.71 after reporting lower per-share earnings for the year ended Nov. 30 compared with the previous year.

US
By Callie Bost and Joseph Ciolli

April 1 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, as consumer and technology shares pushed the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to an all-time high, after an increase in a manufacturing index boosted optimism the economy withstood severe winter weather.

Cisco Systems Inc. jumped 3.9 percent, the most since May, to lead technology shares higher. Celgene Corp. rallied 5 percent to pace gains among biotechnology stocks after entering a cooperation with a cancer-drug research firm. MGM Resorts International added 2.6 percent to lead casino stocks higher after Macau gambling revenue increased last month. Ford Motor Co. climbed the most since 2012 after March sales topped estimates.

The S&P 500 gained 0.7 percent to 1,885.52 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 74.95 points, or 0.5 percent, to 16,532.61, the highest close this year. The Nasdaq Composite Index jumped 1.6 percent for a third day of gains. About 6.5 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 6 percent lower than the three-month average.

“As we head into April and new highs potentially on the horizon, it is looking like the bulls once again are taking control,” Ryan Detrick, senior technical strategist at Schaeffer’s Investment Research in Cincinnati, wrote in an e- mail. “March was a tale of two markets, as the S&P 500 held up well, but areas like tech and small caps were hit very hard.  After a very rough March, those areas are seeing well-deserved, oversold bounces.”

Today marks the fifth time in the past month the S&P 500 climbed above 1,880. The gauge was unable to maintain that level by the end of the session in the prior four times. The index reached its previous closing high of 1,878.04 on March 7.

Eight of 10 main industries in the S&P 500 advanced today, with consumer-discretionary shares adding 1.4 percent to lead gains.

TripAdvisor Inc. and Expedia Inc. rallied more than 4.7 percent. Priceline.com, which changed its name today to Priceline Group, jumped 5 percent.

The iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology exchange-traded fund jumped 2.2 percent, adding to a 3.1 percent rally yesterday. The fund had surged 89 percent to a record in the 12 months ended Feb. 25 before sinking 5.1 percent through March 28.

The Russell 2000 Index of small companies added 1.3 percent after a 1.8 percent rally yesterday. The gauge sank 3.5 percent last week and lost 0.8 percent in March.

The Nasdaq Composite Index’s rally comes after the gauge of technology stocks plunged 2.5 percent in March for its worst month since October 2012.

The Institute for Supply Management’s index increased to 53.7 in March from 53.2 a month earlier, showing the industry was mending at the close of a winter-depressed first quarter, according to a report today.

Reports from hiring to factory output had shown weakness this year as freezing temperatures and mountains of snow kept shoppers indoors, grounded flights and made it harder for shippers to fill product orders.

The signs of economic improvement come as Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen yesterday signaled the central bank’s unprecedented monetary stimulus would be needed for “some time” because of “considerable slack” in the labor market. She cited large numbers of partly unemployed workers, stagnant wages, lower labor-force participation and longer periods of joblessness.

The S&P 500 rose 0.8 percent yesterday on Yellen’s remarks, capping a 1.3 percent gain in the first three months of 2014 for a fifth straight quarterly advance. The government’s monthly jobs report for March is due April 4.

“People are looking for confirmation that the weakness we saw earlier in the year was, in fact, weather-related,” Walter Todd, who oversees about $990 million as chief investment officer of Greenwood Capital Associates LLC in Greenwood, South Carolina, said by phone. “Seeing better data confirms that it was a temporary slowdown in the economy and we should see a pickup.”

Equities began the day higher as data from China and Europe boosted optimism about growth prospects. In China, a purchasing managers’ manufacturing index by HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics fell to its lowest level since July. The weakness in the world’s second-biggest economy could prompt the Communist Party leadership to roll out additional support measures.

Growth in euro-area manufacturing stayed near a three-year high in March, according to another report.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, a gauge for U.S. stock volatility known as VIX, retreated 5.6 percent to 13.10. The index has fallen four straight days and closed at the lowest level since January.

Casino stocks advanced after a report indicated that revenue from Macau’s gambling industry rose 13.1 percent last month, topping estimates.

MGM Resorts added 2.6 percent to $26.53, while Las Vegas Sands Corp. advanced 2.4 percent to $82.75 and Wynn Resorts Ltd. climbed 2.3 percent to $227.18.

Celgene gained 5 percent to $146.60. The pharmaceutical company announced a 3.5-year strategic collaboration with Forma Therapeutics Inc., according to a statement today.

Intuitive Surgical Inc. soared 13 percent to $493.60 for the biggest gain in the S&P 500. The maker of surgery tools said the Food and Drug Administration cleared a new system for use in the U.S.

Ford jumped 4.6 percent to $16.32, the highest since January. The second-largest U.S. carmaker said deliveries rose 3.3 percent to 243,417 cars and light trucks last month. Ford’s F-Series pickups gained 5.1 percent to 70,940, while Fusion sales rose 8.8 percent to 32,963.

General Motors Co. fell 0.2 percent to $34.34 after losing 16 percent in the first quarter. The automaker yesterday announced a new recall of 1.5 million vehicles for faulty power steering, doubling recall-related charges to $750 million.

Chief Executive Officer Mary Barra testified today before the U.S. House today in hearings focused on the automaker’s faulty ignition switches that led to a recall of 2.6 million vehicles linked to the deaths of 13 people. She said the company has retained Kenneth Feinberg as a consultant to explore options for families of accident victims.

GM March U.S. sales rose 4.1 percent, topping the 0.8 percent increase estimated by analysts. The company had earlier delayed the release because of a systems issue.

United Continental Holdings Inc. added 5.1 percent to $46.90. UBS raised its rating on the carrier to buy from neutral, predicting a benchmark measure for revenue will grow at a faster pace, starting in the second quarter of this year.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!


I have always fought not to project but to be myself.

To retain my own scale, which is a dot, but a vibrating dot. A pulsating dot that is what I’d like to be.

I would like to remain that pulsating dot which can reach out to the whole world, to the universe.

Chandralekha, 1929-2006


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Even the gods love jokes.

-Plato, 424 BC-348 BC


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor


Queensbury Securities,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

March 28, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

On March 28th, 1941, Virginia Woolf put on her overcoat, filled its pockets with stones, walked into the River Ouse near her home and drowned herself.

Her note to her husband Leonard Woolf:

Dearest, I feel certain that I am going mad again. I feel we can’t go through another of those terrible times. And I shan’t recover this time. I begin to hear voices, and I can’t concentrate. So I am doing what seems the best thing to do. You have given me the greatest possible happiness. You have been in every way all that anyone could be. I don’t think two people could have been happier ’til this terrible disease came. I can’t fight any longer. I know that I am spoiling your life, that without me you could work. And you will I know. You see I can’t even write this properly. I can’t read. What I want to say is I owe all the happiness of my life to you. You have been entirely patient with me and incredibly good. I want to say that—everybody knows it. If anybody could have saved me it would have been you. Everything has gone from me but the certainty of your goodness. I can’t go on spoiling your life any longer. I don’t think two people could have been happier than we have been. V.

Virginia Woolf, British novelist, essayist, critic, feminist, socialist, pacifist, and one of the leaders in the modernist movement, she was a significant figure in London literary society and a central figure in the influential Bloomsbury Group of intellectuals.  She is the author of Mrs. Dalloway (1925), To the Lighthouse (1921), Orlando (1928) and A Room of One’s Own (1929).

She was an ardent admirer of Vita Sackville-West; the following letter was written to Vita in 1927.

Look Here Vita – throw over your man, and we’ll go to Hampton Court and dine on the river together and walk in the garden in the moonlight and come home late and have a bottle of wine and get tipsy, and I’ll tell you all the things I have in my head, millions, myriads –They won’t stir by day, only by dark on the river.  Think of that.  Throw over your man, I say, and come.  –from The 50 Greatest Love Letters of All Time, edited by David H. Lowenherz, Random House, 2002.

Photos of the day

An Egyptian Goose shelters its young under its wings at Kew Gardens in London. Kirsty Wigglesworth/AP

People cross the Japanese bridge at the waterlily pond at the Claude Monet museum in Giverny, north west of Paris. A new exhibit at Normandy’s Impressionism Museum tells for the first time the little-known story of American Impressionism from where it all began – at the picturesque water lily-filled Giverny gardens of Claude Monet that Americans colonized for three decades. Michel Euler/AP

Market Closes for March 28th, 2014

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16323.06 +58.83

 

+0.36%

S&P 500 1857.62 +8.58

 

+0.46%

NASDAQ 4155.758 +4.525

 

+0.11%

TSX 14260.72 +81.88

 

+0.58%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 14696.03 +73.14

 

+0.50%

 

HANG

SENG

22065.56 +231.08

 

+1.06%

 

SENSEX 22339.97 +125.60

 

+0.57%

 

FTSE 100 6615.58 +27.26

 

+0.41%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.447 2.435
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.945 2.934
U.S.

10 Year Bond

2.7208 2.6810
U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.5473 3.5271

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.90404 0.90632

 

US

$

1.10614 1.10336
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

Canadian

$

1.52102 0.65745
US

$

1.37507 0.72724

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1295.38 1291.00
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 101.67 101.28

 

BRENT 109.360 109.360

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

March 28 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose for the first time in three days as raw-materials producers rallied after crude and copper prices advanced to weekly gains.

Teck Resources Ltd., Canada’s largest diversified mining company, added 1.9 percent as copper posted the biggest weekly advance in six months. Kinross Gold Corp. jumped 4.7 percent after analysts at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised their rating for the stock. BlackBerry Ltd. slumped 6.6 percent for a fourth day of losses after reporting weaker-than-forecast revenue.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 81.88 points, or 0.6 percent, to 14,260.72 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The equity benchmark fell 0.5 percent this week.

“It’s a pretty broad-based gain, oil and gas are rising and the materials are looking strong,” said Bruce Campbell, fund manager at StoneCastle Investment Management Inc. in Kelowna, British Columbia. The firm manages about C$100 million ($91 million). “Looking at the past week, the first four days have been risk-off and people were tentative. Now people are buying on the dips and jumping back in.”

Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said in a statement the country has policies in reserve to deal with any economic volatility this year and can’t ignore “difficulties and risks” from a slowdown in the economy. Gross domestic product is forecast to increase 7.4 percent this year, the lowest since 1990, according to the median estimate of 56 economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

American economic data is also improving, Campbell said.

Consumer spending in the U.S. rose 0.3 percent in February, the most in three months, as income increased.

Silvercorp Metals Inc. gained 2.8 percent to C$2.20 and Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. increased 2.5 percent to C$4.10 as raw-materials stocks rallied 1.3 percent as a group. Seven of 10 industries in the S&P/TSX advanced on trading volume 7.1 percent lower compared with the 30-day average.

Silver for May delivery rose 0.4 percent to $19.79 an ounce in New York, snapping a nine-day slump.

Kinross Gold jumped 4.7 percent to C$4.67, snapping five days of losses. Andrew Quail, analyst at Goldman Sachs, raised his rating for the stock to neutral, the equivalent of a hold, from sell due to the company’s recent share price decline. The stock has 12 buys, 14 holds and one sell, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

“We see greater downside potential elsewhere,” Quail said in a note to clients. Kinross had slumped 17 percent in the past five days.

Crew Energy Inc. climbed 4.5 percent to C$8.90 and Bankers Petroleum Ltd. added 0.8 percent to C$5.28 as crude prices rose to a three-week high, increasing 2.2 percent this week, amid shrinking U.S. stockpiles. Suncor Energy Inc., the nation’s largest oil producer, rallied 2.6 percent to C$38.19, the highest in almost three years.

Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. increased 4.3 percent to C$5.36 after posting a 41 percent increase in funds from operations in the fourth quarter amid rising natural gas prices. The stock has risen for the past 11 days, a record streak.

Teck Resources gained 1.9 percent to C$23.85 and First Quantum Minerals Ltd. increased 2.3 percent to C$20.56 as copper rose 1.6 percent in New York. The price gained 3.1 percent this week, the most since September.

BlackBerry, the Waterloo, Ontario-based smartphone maker, slumped 6.6 percent to C$9.31, the worst decline since November, erasing earlier gains of as much as 6.8 percent to extend a losing streak to four days. BlackBerry posted sales of $976 million in the quarter, a 64 percent slump compared with year- ago figures.

The company also reported an adjusted loss of 8 cents a share, ahead of the 57-cent loss forecast in a Bloomberg survey of analysts.

John Chen, who took over as chief executive officer in November, is working to eliminate a third of the company’s workforce and signed a deal with Foxconn Technology Group to outsource some of its handset production, distribution and design. Last week, BlackBerry agreed to sell most of its real estate in Canada, which could fetch more than $500 million.

US

By Lu Wang and Callie Bost

March 28 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks climbed after a two-day slide, as consumer shares rebounded amid data showing household purchases rose the most in three months. Biotechnology shares extended losses, weighing on the Nasdaq Composite Index.

H&R Block Inc. and GameStop Corp. climbed at least 6.2 percent, leading gains among consumer shares. Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp. rallied 4.4 percent after Morgan Stanley raised its recommendation on the stock. The Nasdaq Composite almost erased a 1.3 percent rally as Gilead Sciences Inc. and Biogen Idec Inc. tumbled more than 4 percent, capping the week’s sell-off in riskier assets.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index added 0.5 percent to 1,857.62 at 4 p.m. in New York, trimming its loss for the week to 0.5 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 58.83 points, or 0.4 percent, to 16,323.06 today. The Nasdaq Composite increased 0.1 percent to 4,155.759, completing the week with a 2.8 percent drop.

“It’s been a choppy market,” Mike McGarr, a portfolio manager at Becker Capital Management Inc. in Portland, Oregon, said by phone. The firm oversees $2.8 billion. “There has been a very noticeable change this month, away from those sorts of high flyers, and back toward value. It’s nice to see the market coming back to more fundamentally real stories.”

Investors have been selling the bull market’s biggest winners, locking in gains as they assess how much of the recent economic weakness is weather-related and if the situation in Ukraine will worsen.

The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index slumped 2.8 percent today, pushing its loss this week to 7 percent. The gauge rallied 79 percent in the 12 months through February. The Russell 2000 Index fell all but one day this week for a 3.5 percent decline.

The measure for smaller companies is down 1 percent this quarter, poised to snap a six-quarter streak of gains, the longest stretch since 1996.

Gilead, the world’s largest maker of HIV medicines, sank 4 percent today to $68.55. Biogen Idec Inc., maker of the multiple sclerosis drugs, tumbled 5.1 percent to $294.12.

Money is flowing to large companies with stable earnings.

Microsoft Corp. surged 2.4 percent today to $40.30 for the biggest gain in the Dow. Energy shares climbed 1.2 percent while Exxon Mobil Corp. added 1.5 percent to $97.70.

Consumer-discretionary shares rallied 0.8 today as data showed household spending in the U.S. rose in February by the most in three months as incomes increased.

Americans were shaking off the effects of the coldest winter in four years as they ventured out to shop, supported by a job market that’s also picking up speed.

Separate data indicated consumer confidence fell less than previously estimated in March.

“If consumers go back in and are confident enough to start spending again, that supports earnings and will certainly support the equity market,” Chris Gaffney, senior market strategist at EverBank Financial in St. Louis, said by phone.  “I feel like we’re forming a base that we can move high now.”

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, a gauge for U.S. stock volatility known as VIX, retreated 1.4 percent to 14.41. About 6 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 12 percent below the three-month average.

Consumer stocks in the S&P 500 rebounded from a five-day slide. H&R Block, the biggest U.S. tax preparer, climbed 6.2 percent to $30.36 while GameStop, a video-game retailer, advanced 8.8 percent to $40.62.

Restoration Hardware Holdings Inc. surged 13 percent to $71.93. The home-furnishings retailer forecast that adjusted profit will be between 9 cents a share and 11 cents in the first quarter, compared with analysts’ estimates for 6 cents. It said annual profit will be as much as $2.22 a share, beating the average projection for $2.18.

Cognizant gained 4.4 percent to $49.69. The provider of consulting and outsourcing services was boosted to overweight, an equivalent of buy, by Morgan Stanley. The company’s growth potential may have been under-estimated, analyst Katy Huberty wrote in a note.

PG&E Corp. fell 4 percent to $41.89. Charges to be filed by the U.S. Attorney’s office will accuse the company of violating the federal Pipeline Safety Act, leading to the explosion and deaths, according to a company statement. PG&E didn’t say when it expects the charges to be filed, and said it believes they aren’t merited.

Red Hat Inc. slipped 7 percent to $52.23. The largest seller of Linux operating-system software said it expects to earn $1.56 a share this year. That trailed the average analyst estimate of $1.62 in a Bloomberg survey.

BlackBerry Ltd. dropped 7.1 percent to $8.41. The smartphone maker said sales won’t grow until the fiscal year that begins next March, even after cost-cutting helped the company post a smaller quarterly loss than analysts estimated.

 

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

I see these things with an intense joy,

and while I observe, there is no observer, only a beauty almost like love.

For an instant, I am absent, myself and my problems, my anxieties, my troubles: nothing but this wonder exists.

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986


As ever,

 

Carolann


The question isn’t who is going to let me; it’s who is going to stop me.

-Ayn Rand, 1905-1982


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor


Queensbury Securities,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

March 27, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

From Dorothy Wordsworth’s Journal, March 27th, 1802:

A divine morning.  At breakfast William wrote part of an ode.  Mr Oliff sent the dung and William went to work in the garden.  We sat all day in the orchard.

The ode referred to became “Intimations of Immortality,” of which Gerard Manley Hopkins said: “For my part I should think St George and St Thomas of Canterbury wore roses in heaven for England’s sake on the day that ode, not without their intercession, was penned.

Dove Cottage, Grasmere, the Wordsworths’ Lakeland home.

Photos of the day

A Panamanian golden frog is held up at the aquarium in Vancouver, British Columbia. The aquarium has successfully bred the frogs, thought to be extinct in the wild, as part of a worldwide effort to preserve the species. They are native to the mountainous, higher-altitude regions of western-central Panama. Darryl Dyck/The Canadian Press/AP

Visitors walk under umbrellas symbolizing the earth’s environment in Seoul, South Korea. Lee Jin-man/AP

Market Closes for March 27th, 2014

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

16264.23 -4.76 

 

-0.03%

S&P 500 1849.04 -3.52 

 

-0.19%

NASDAQ 4151.234 -22.344 

 

-0.54%

TSX 14178.84 -5.26 

 

-0.04% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 14622.89 +145.73 

 

+1.01% 

 

HANG 

SENG

21834.45 -53.30 

 

-0.24% 

 

SENSEX 22214.37 +119.07 

 

+0.54% 

 

FTSE 100 6558.32 -16.98 

 

-0.26% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.435 2.443
CND. 

30 Year

Bond

2.934 2.960
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.6810 2.6901
U.S. 

30 Year Bond

3.5271 3.5406

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.90632 0.90065 

 

US 

$

1.10336 1.11031
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian 

$

1.51629 0.65950
US 

$

1.37424 0.72767

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold 

Fix

1291.00 1303.57
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 101.28 100.26
BRENT 109.360 109.360 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada
By Gerrit De Vynck

March 27 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell to a one-month low, led by gold miners, as U.S. congressional leaders passed bills imposing more sanctions on Russia.

Kinross Gold Corp. retreated 4.9 percent for the biggest loss in the Standard & Poor’s/TSX Index. BlackBerry dropped 1.8 percent after Societe Generale SA analysts recommended selling the stock. Africa Oil fell 13 percent after a well in Kenya failed to find viable crude deposits.

The S&P/TSX fell 5.26 points, or less than 0.1 percent, to 14,178.84 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, extending yesterday’s 0.8 percent decline that was the biggest since Feb. 3.

“It’s a tug of war,” Paul Gardner, a portfolio manager at Avenue Investment Management, said in a phone interview from Toronto. He helps manage about C$300 million ($272.2 million).

“You’re always dealing with the political risk coming out of Russia and the Ukraine and on the other side you have positive economic numbers coming out of the U.S.”

The Senate bill, passed on a voice vote, includes about $1 billion in loan guarantees and authorizes $150 million in direct assistance to Ukraine. The House legislation would impose additional asset freezes and visa bans on senior Russian officials and corporations.

U.S. gross domestic product grew at a 2.6 percent annualized rate in the last quarter of 2013, faster than previously estimated but slower than the 2.7 percent median forecast of 79 economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

BlackBerry fell 1.8 percent to C$9.97 as Societe General analyst Andy Perkins cut his recommendation on the company’s shares to sell from hold.

Kinross lost 4.9 percent to C$4.46 for a fifth day of losses. The stock has fallen 22 percent in the past two weeks to the lowest since January 2002.

Silver futures posted the longest slump in 13 years and gold dropped to a six-week low as signs of an improving U.S. economy cut demand for haven assets.

Africa Oil fell 13 percent to C$7.50 after saying it plugged and abandoned an oil well that failed to find viable crude reserves at its Emong-1 property in Kenya. The company said it will move the rig to search a different area.

Southern Pacific Resources Corp. rose 23 percent to 33 Canadian cents after Raymond James Ltd. upgraded the oil and gas explorer and said it was a likely takeover target.

ProMetic Life Sciences Inc. rose 3.6 percent to C$1.14 after the pharmaceutical company said it would spend more time developing its products before entering commercial partnerships, allowing it to hold on to more of the profits.

US
By Lu Wang and Callie Bost

March 27 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell for the fourth time in five days, led by banks and technology companies, as investors resumed a rotation out of the bull market’s biggest winners.

Citigroup Inc. dropped the most since 2012 after its capital plan failed Federal Reserve stress tests. Accenture Plc fell 5 percent after saying it anticipates a continued “challenging” environment for its business. GameStop Corp. lost 4 percent after its earnings forecast trailed analysts’ estimates. Baxter International Inc. jumped 3.9 percent after announcing plans to split into two companies. Alcoa Inc. rallied 6.2 percent to the highest since 2011.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index declined 0.2 percent to 1,849.04 at 4 p.m. in New York, trimming a loss of as much as0.6 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 4.76 points, or less than 0.1 percent, to 16,264.23. The Nasdaq Composite Index sank 0.5 percent to the lowest since Feb. 10.

“People are reducing their risk portfolios a little bit,”John Fox, director of research at Fenimore Asset Management in Cobleskill, New York, said by phone. The firm oversees about $1.9 billion. “Some of the speculative parts of the market have been selling off. If you own a stock and the reason you own it is it’s going up and it stops going up, there’s no reason to own it.”

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, a gauge for U.S. stock volatility also known as VIX, slid 2.1 percent to 14.62. About 7.2 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 6 percent more than the three-month average.

Today’s drop left the S&P 500 unchanged for the year. Losses this month have been steepest in U.S. stocks that led the five-year-old bull market, with consumer discretionary companies falling 4.3 percent after quadrupling since March 2009.

The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index, up 304 percent in the last five years, has fallen 11 percent since the end of February, while the Russell 2000 gauge of smaller companies has slipped 2.7 percent after rallying more than 230 percent.

Some of the biggest losses have occurred in technology companies that sold shares to the public in the last few years.  Facebook Inc. has slipped 11 percent in March, while Yelp Inc. decreased 17 percent, Twitter Inc. declined 16 percent and Pandora Inc. dropped 20 percent. The Dow Jones Internet Composite Index of 40 companies has lost 8.5 percent this month.

Since reaching a 13-year high on March 5, the Nasdaq Composite has fallen 4.7 percent. Illumina Inc., Netflix Inc., Tesla Motors Inc. and TripAdvisor Inc. are all down at least 15 percent over that period.

The S&P 500 yesterday slid 0.7 percent after President Barack Obama warned that the crisis in Ukraine may escalate. The U.S. Senate and House passed separate bills today imposing additional sanctions on Russian officials for the nation’s annexation of Crimea.

Applications for unemployment benefits unexpectedly declined last week to an almost four-month low, a sign companies are confident in the outlook for demand, data today showed.

Gross domestic product grew at a 2.6 percent annualized rate from October through December, less than the 2.7 percent median forecast of 79 economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

Contracts to purchase previously owned U.S. homes unexpectedly fell in February for an eighth straight month, a sign of further weakness in the industry.

“The numbers were neutral from an investors’ standpoint,” Cameron Hinds, the Lincoln, Nebraska-based regional chief investment officer for Wells Fargo Private Bank, which has about $170 billion under management, said by phone. “There was no huge, market-moving information. GDP was slightly below, while claims numbers were a little bit more of a positive. It looks like we’re trending in the right direction from an economic standpoint.”

Investors have removed $6 billion from U.S. equity exchange-traded funds in the past five days and added $555 million to bond ETFs, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Health- care stocks saw the most money removed among industry ETFs, losing $991 million during the past week.

Financial companies fell 0.6 percent for the second-worst performance among 10 S&P 500 industries after technology stocks.

The KBW Bank Index declined 1.3 percent even as lenders announced more than $60 billion of dividends and share buybacks after the Fed approved capital plans for 25 of the 30 banks in its annual stress tests.

Citigroup lost 5.4 percent to $47.45. The bank failed to win approval to raise its dividend to 5 cents a share and put in place a $6.4 billion buyback. The Fed expressed concern about the lender’s ability to project losses in parts of its global operations and to reflect all business exposures in its internal stress test.

Accenture slumped 5 percent, the most since June, to $78.80. The world’s second-largest technology consulting company said eastern Europe adds to uncertainty even as it raised its full-year earnings projections.

GameStop dropped 4 percent to $37.33. The video-game retailer forecast full-year profit that trailed analysts’ estimates and said it will cut the number of its video-game stores by about 2 percent after last quarter’s sales fell short.

Baxter International jumped 3.9 percent to $72.80. The maker of hemophilia treatments will split into two companies, one focused on developing biotechnology and pharmaceutical medicines and one that sells medical products.

Alcoa surged 6.2 percent to $12.59, the highest since 2011.  A U.K. ruling against London Metal Exchange’s pending warehousing changes is positive for the largest U.S. aluminum producer, according to Sterne, Agee & Leach Inc.

Verizon Communications Inc. and AT&T Inc. rose at least 1 percent to lead an index of phone stocks to the biggest gain in the S&P 500.

Exxon Mobil Corp. jumped 1.6 percent to $96.24 for the steepest climb in the Dow as oil rose to a two-week high on supply concerns.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.


Be magnificent!


One must become poor inwardly

for then there is no seeking, no asking,

no desire – nothing!

It is inward poverty

that can see the truth of a life in which

there is not conflict at all.

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Never let the fear of striking out get in your way.

-Babe Ruth, 1895-1948


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor


Queensbury Securities,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

 

March 26, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Birthday today: Robert Frost, b. 1874

Happiness makes up in height for what it lacks in length. –Robert Frost.

This is for Stephen in Ottawa, with whom I spoke yesterday ~ it was snowing yesterday in Ottawa 🙂!

Dust of Snow

Robert Frost

The way a crow
Shook down on me
The dust of snow
From a hemlock tree

Has given my heart
A change of mood
And saved some part
Of a day I had rued.

Photos of the day

A newly discovered planet-like object, dubbed ‘Sedna’ is seen in this artist’s concept released by NASA. Astronomers have found a small icy body far beyond Pluto and the Kuiper Belt, a discovery that calls into question exactly what was going on during the early days of the solar system. JPL-Caltech/NASA/JPL/Reuters


A woman dressed as a model in the painting poses in front of ‘Revolution at Giverny: A Return To Women in Nature’ by Israeli artist Yigal Ozeri, during the Paris Art Fair, in Paris. Art Paris Art Fair, which runs from the 27th to the 30th of March 2014, brings together some 140 galleries from 20 countries under the dome of the Grand Palais. Thibault Camus/AP

Market Closes for March 26th, 2014

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

16268.99 -98.89 

 

-0.60%

S&P 500 1852.56 -13.06 

 

-0.70%

NASDAQ 4173.578 -60.689 

 

-1.43%

TSX 14184.10 -115.39 

 

-0.81% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 14477.16 +53.97 

 

+0.37% 

 

HANG 

SENG

21887.75 +155.43 

 

+0.72% 

 

SENSEX 22095.30 +40.09 

 

+0.18% 

 

FTSE 100 6605.30 +0.41 

 

+0.01% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.443 2.479
CND. 

30 Year

Bond

2.960 2.979
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.6901 2.7480
U.S. 

30 Year Bond

3.5406 3.5914

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.90065 0.89554

 

US 

$

1.11031 1.11665
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian 

$

1.53055 0.65336
US 

$

1.37849 0.72543

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold 

Fix

1303.57 1311.36
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 100.26 99.54
BRENT 109.360 109.360 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada
By Gerrit De Vynck

March 26 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks dropped the most in almost two months, led by a decline in raw-materials producers, as comments by U.S. President Barack Obama raised concern the situation in Ukraine may escalate.

NovaGold Resources Inc. dropped 7.8 percent as the price of gold retreated. Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd. lost 1.6 percent after copper prices slid. AGF Management Ltd. added 2.2 percent after the investment-management firm’s quarterly revenue topped estimates.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Index fell 115.39 points, or 0.8 percent, to 14,184.10 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, for the biggest drop since Feb. 3. The gauge has fallen 0.2 percent this month, paring its gain for the quarter to 4.1 percent.

“Investors around the world have been waiting to see what kind of reaction the United States and the EU would really take regarding Russia’s annexation of Crimea beyond sanctions,”  Frederic Dickson, chief investment strategist who helps oversee $44.5 billion at D.A. Davidson & Co. in Lake Oswego, Oregon, said in a telephone interview. “Any hints of escalation in terms of rhetoric or action would probably trigger investors to stand back and take recent profits.”

Stocks declined as Obama warned that there were consequences for being complacent on the situation in Ukraine. Speaking in Brussels, Obama said Russia can’t run “roughshod” over its neighbors and its incursion into Crimea must be met with condemnation.

Seven of 10 main industries in the equities benchmark retreated today. Materials producers sank 2.9 percent to lead losses.

All 23 members of a gold-miner index declined, as the precious metal’s price slid to a five-week low. NovaGold Resources fell 7.8 percent to C$3.93 and Semafo Inc. lost 8.9 percent to C$3.67.

Turquoise Hill declined 1.6 percent to C$3.76. Copper fell from a two week-high in New York as inventories climbed and the dollar strengthened, reducing the metal’s appeal as an alternative asset.

Capstone Mining Corp. rose 4.7 percent to C$2.87. The company said results of a study indicate its Pinto Valley copper mine in Arizona will produce to 2026, eight years longer than previously estimated.

Bombardier Inc. fell 2.2 percent to C$4.05, pacing declines among industrial shares. The company delayed the first flight of its Learjet 85. Spokeswoman Annie Cossette said the delay was because of a “systems issue” and the company couldn’t say when the plane will fly.

Oculus VisionTech Inc. surged as much as 152 percent after Facebook Inc. paid $2 billion to buy a similarly named company. Trading in Oculus VisionTech, which makes technology for digital media and is based in Vancouver, was temporarily halted and the company said in a statement it was not associated with the Facebook deal. The social-media company acquired Oculus VR Inc., which makes a virtual-reality headset.

Oculus VisionTech closed 19 percent higher at 16 Canadian cents.

AGF Management added 2.2 percent to C$12.66. The firm reported revenue of C$116.9 million while analysts’ estimated C$114 million.

US
By Lu Wang and Callie Bost

March 26 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, erasing gains that sent the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to within three points of a record, on concern the situation in Ukraine may escalate after President Barack Obama said the international order is being tested.

Facebook Inc. sank the most since September 2012 after buying virtual-reality headset maker Oculus VR Inc. King Digital Entertainment Plc, the maker of the “Candy Crush” smartphone game, slumped 16 percent on the first day of trading. Citigroup Inc. lost 5.4 percent in extended trading after the Federal Reserve said the bank’s capital plan failed its stress tests.

The S&P 500 fell 0.7 percent to 1,852.56 at 4 p.m. in New York, with declines accelerating in the final hour of trading. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 98.89 points, or 0.6 percent, to 16,268.99. The Russell 2000 Index sank 1.9 percent for its biggest drop in almost two months. About 7.2 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 6.8 percent more than the three-month average.

“Investors around the world have been waiting to see what kind of reaction the United States and the EU would really take regarding Russia’s annexation of Crimea beyond sanctions,”  Frederic Dickson, chief investment strategist who helps oversee $44.5 billion at D.A. Davidson & Co. in Lake Oswego, Oregon, said in a telephone interview. “Any hints of escalation in terms of rhetoric or action would probably trigger investors to stand back and take recent profits.”

The equities benchmark closed at its session low, erasing nine points in the final hour of trading. Today’s drop trimmed the index’s gain this year to 0.2 percent. It remains on course for a fifth consecutive quarterly gain, a feat it has accomplished just seven times since its creation in 1957.

Investors continued to sell riskier assets, as gauges of Internet and biotechnology shares sank, while the Russell small- cap index slid to the lowest since Feb. 19.

The Nasdaq Internet index retreated 2.5 percent for a sixth day of losses and is down 11 percent since a high on March 6 amid concern that some social-media and web stocks may have been risen too far too fast. The iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology exchange-traded fund lost 1.8 percent to the lowest level since Jan. 9.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, a gauge for U.S. stock volatility known as VIX, rose 6.5 percent to 14.93 today.

Obama, speaking in Brussels, warned of consequences of complacency in Ukraine and said Russia’s actions must be met with condemnation. Ukraine and the International Monetary Fund are nearing the end of bailout talks today as the U.S. and its European allies warned they’ll further penalize Russia if it intensifies the crisis after annexing Crimea.

Earlier gains in the S&P 500 followed economic data that showed the economy is expanding at a rate that investors speculated won’t spur faster interest rate increases.

Three rounds of bond purchases from the Fed have helped fuel economic growth, sending the S&P 500 up as much as 178 percent from its 2009 low. The rally has pushed the index’s price-earnings ratio to 17.2. While the multiple is near the highest level in four years, it’s close to the average since 1937, according to data compiled by Bloomberg and S&P.

Fed Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said today policy makers haven’t committed to a specific month to end the bond purchases even as it would take a significant shift in the outlook to alter the path of tapering. Fed Chair Janet Yellen said on March 19 that the central bank’s stimulus program could end this fall and benchmark interest rates may rise about six months later.

American factories received fewer orders for machinery, communications gear and computers in February, signaling business investment is slowing after an unusually harsh winter put a damper on sales, data from the Commerce Department showed today. The S&P 500 rose 0.4 percent yesterday after data showed confidence among American consumers at a six-year high.

“It’s been a mixed picture here, further complicated by severe weather,” Richard Golinski, chief investment officer of San Francisco-based Bingham, Osborn & Scarborough, said in a phone interview. The firm oversees $3.3 billion. “While the market is a little choppy this year, the general sense is that investors are still optimistic. Investors have developed a confidence that the Fed can come to rescue and the environment is relatively safe.”

Nine of the 10 main S&P 500 groups dropped. Raw-materials producers and technology shares fell the most, with each losing at least 1.3 percent.

The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 1.4 percent today and has fallen 3.1 percent since Yellen’s remarks.

Facebook slid 6.9 percent to $60.39. The world’s largest social network said yesterday that it will spend $2 billion to buy Oculus, expanding into wearable hardware for the first time.  Facebook shares rallied 158 percent in the past 12 months through yesterday.

Zynga Inc., a developer of games for smartphones and tablets, dropped 4.1 percent to $4.64. The stock surged 33 percent in the first two months of this year.

King Digital tumbled 16 percent to $19. The company yesterday raised $500 million in its initial public offering, pricing the shares in the middle of the marketed range.

Peabody Energy Corp. fell 2.7 percent to $15.80. UBS AG cut coal stocks including Peabody to neutral from buy, saying it expects “more financial distress” in the industry over the next one or two years amid an oversupply.

Citigroup dropped 5.4 percent to $47.45 as of 4:45 p.m. in New York after ending the regular session lower by 0.3 percent.  The lender was among five banks that failed Fed stress tests, while Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Bank of America Corp. passed only after reducing their requests for buybacks and dividends.

Citigroup, as well as U.S. units of Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, HSBC Holdings Plc and Banco Santander SA, failed because of qualitative concerns about their processes, the Fed said today in a statement. Zions Bancorporation was rejected as its capital fell below the minimum required. The central bank approved plans for 25 banks.

Health-care companies were the only group among 10 to advance in the S&P 500 today.

Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings climbed 4.2 percent to $98.64 while Quest Diagnostics Inc. increased 5.6 percent to $57.99. The companies will benefit after the House of Representatives last night released a bill that included an adjustment to clinical lab payment rates, Michael Cherny, an analyst with International Strategy & Investment Group LLC, said in a note.

DirecTV jumped 5.7 percent to $77.34. Dish Network Corp.  Chairman Charlie Ergen recently contacted DirecTV Chief Executive Officer Mike White to discuss a merger of the two satellite television companies, according to several people with knowledge of the matter. Dish rose 8.5 percent to $63.38.

PVH Corp. rose 3.6 percent to $121.43. The maker of apparel and footwear said it earned $1.43 a share in the fourth quarter, higher than the $1.40 projected earlier.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!


We ask ourselves is it possible to break through this heavy conditioning of centuries immediately

and not enter into another conditioning  – to be free,

so that the mind can be altogether new, sensitive,

alive, aware, intense, capable?

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

The art of living is more like wrestling than dancing.

-Marcus Aurelius, 121-180 AD


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®,CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor


Queensbury Securities,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

March 25, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Gloria Steinem turns 80 years old today – hard to believe.  I read an interview with her in the New York Times on Sunday.  She is spending her 80th birthday riding elephants in Botswana – isn’t that amazing!

Elton John’s birthday today and Aretha Franklin’s too.

Ode on the Spring

Lo! where the rosy-bosomed hours,
Fair Venus’ train, appear,
Disclose the long-expecting flowers,
And wake the purple year!
The Attic warbler-pours her throat,
Responsive to the cuckoo’s note,
The untaught harmony of spring:
While whispering pleasure as they fly,
Cool zephyrs through the clear blue sky
Their gathered fragrance fling…

-Thomas Gray

Photos of the day

A visitor photographs the cherry blossoms in Ueno Park in Tokyo. Tens of thousands of admirers are expected to show up at the park to enjoy the white and pink blossoms. Eugene Hoshiko/AP


Visitors look at a sound and light show as part of the exhibition ‘Klimt and Vienna, a Century of Gold and Colors’, projected on the walls of the ‘Carrieres de Lumieres’ site (Quarries of Lights) in Les Baux-de-Provence, France. Jean-Paul Pelissier/Reuters

Market Closes for March 25th, 2014

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

16367.88 +91.19 

 

+0.56%

S&P 500 1865.62 +8.18 

 

+0.44%

NASDAQ 4234.270 +7.884 

 

+0.19%

TSX 14299.49 +20.94 

 

+0.15% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 14423.19 -52.11 

 

-0.36% 

 

HANG 

SENG

21732.32 -114.13 

 

-0.52% 

 

SENSEX 22055.21 -0.27 

 

— 

 

FTSE 100 6604.89 +84.50 

 

+1.30% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.479 2.459
CND. 

30 Year

Bond

2.979 2.940
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.7480 2.7281
U.S. 

30 Year Bond

3.5914 3.5617

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.89554 0.89323 

 

US 

$

1.11665 1.11953
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian 

$

1.54383 0.64774
US 

$

1.38256 0.72330

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold 

Fix

1311.36 1309.25
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 99.54 100.10
BRENT 109.360 109.360 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada
By Gerrit De Vynck

March 25 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose as raw- materials shares rallied with copper prices and U.S. data showed consumer confidence climbed to a six-year high.

Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd. rallied 3.5 percent as copper futures jumped 2 percent in New York. Agrium Inc. rose 1.8 percent after a report said the fertilizer company may consider selling assets. Legumex Walker Inc. dropped 9.8 percent after the bean and pea processor reported a quarterly loss.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index gained 20.94 points, or 0.2 percent, to 14,299.49 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The gauge has risen 5 percent this year.

“Materials have rebounded from a really, really bad day so people are trying to look for value and pick your pockets of opportunity and put a little bit of money to work,” said Brian Huen, managing director at Red Sky Capital Management Ltd. in Toronto. He helps manage about C$225 million ($201 million).

U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly climbed in March to the highest level in six years, propelled by improved optimism about the economy’s prospects. The report from the Conference Board overshadowed separate data showing American home sales dropped in February.

Materials stocks added 0.9 percent after dropping 2.8 percent yesterday. Copper advanced in New York after Anglo American Plc halted work at a mine in Chile, sparking concern supply might be disrupted.

Turquoise Hill climbed 3.5 percent to C$3.82. SouthGobi Resources Ltd., which is 56 percent-owned by Turquoise Hill, rebounded 25 percent to 66 Canadian cents after tumbling 27 percent yesterday when it said falling coal prices may force it to default on debt. SouthGobi is seeking financing to avoid a default.

Agrium increased 1.8 percent to C$106.62 after a Globe & Mail report said the fertilizer company may consider selling assets, including its phosphate business. Agrium mines potash, which is used as a root-strengthening crop nutrient.

Legumex Walker dropped 9.8 percent to C$4.49 as the bean and pea processor reported a quarterly loss of 44 Canadian cents a share after the markets closed yesterday. The Winnipeg, Manitoba-based company said it had to use trucks to gets some of its products to market because of a shortage of rail cars.

Copper Mining Mountain Corp. added 8.9 percent to C$2.20 after saying in a statement that construction was moving forward on a new secondary ore crusher at its mine in British Columbia.

US
By Lu Wang and Callie Bost

March 25 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks advanced for the first time in three days as commodity and health-care shares rallied and economic data showed consumer confidence at a six-year high.

International Business Machines Corp., Cisco Systems Inc. and Johnson & Johnson rallied more than 2.2 percent, leading gains in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Health-care companies rose 0.8 percent as biotechnology stocks halted a four-day slump. Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. rose 1.5 percent as copper prices increased. Carnival Corp. slid 5 percent after it narrowed its full-year profit forecast.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index added 0.4 percent to 1,865.62 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow average increased 91.19 points, or 0.6 percent, to 16,367.88. The Russell 2000 Index was little changed.

“Things don’t look spectacular here, but they look OK,” Curtis Holden, a senior investment officer at Tanglewood Wealth Management in Houston, said by phone. The firm oversees about $800 million. “The U.S. economy seemed to have cooled off from the pace it’s on toward the end of last year. There may be a little relief recently that things may be stable here.”

Large companies led the market’s gain as investors opted for less volatile stocks. IBM, the world’s largest computer- services provider, advanced 3.6 percent to $195.04. Cisco, the world’s biggest maker of network routers and switches, gained 3.6 percent to $22.34. J&J, a health-care products company, rose 2.3 percent to $97.38.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, a gauge for U.S. stock volatility also known as VIX, fell 7.1 percent to 14.02 today. About 6.6 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, in line with the three-month average.

Three rounds of bond purchases from the Federal Reserve have helped fuel economic growth, sending the S&P 500 surging as much as 178 percent from its 2009 low. Fed Chair Janet Yellen said on March 19 that the central bank’s stimulus program could end this fall and benchmark interest rates may rise about six months later.

Fed Bank of Philadelphia President Charles Plosser said in an interview on CNBC today that the central bank wants to get back to normal policy, and that he doesn’t think the Fed changed its position on a rate rise.

The Conference Board’s index of U.S. consumer confidence rose to 82.3 in March from 78.3 a month earlier, the New York- based private research group said today. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of 76 economists called for a reading of 78.5 this month.

Another report showed purchases of new homes in the U.S. fell in February to the lowest level in five months, a sign the industry may take time to pick up after inclement weather damped demand earlier in the year.

Residential real-estate prices climbed at a slower pace in the year through January than a month earlier. The S&P/Case- Shiller index of property values in 20 cities increased 13.2 percent from January 2013, the smallest gain since August, after rising 13.4 percent in the 12 months through December.

“There is no doubt that the market is discounting the first quarter,” Tom Wirth, a senior investment officer for Chemung Canal Trust Co. in Elmira, New York, said in a telephone interview. The firm oversees $1.8 billion. “They know the weather is going to materially impact first-quarter GDP. It’s just wait and see until we see if there is truly accelerating strength in the economy.”

Investors have added $8.4 billion to U.S. equity exchange- traded funds in the past five days and $1 billion to bond ETFs, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Financial stocks absorbed the most money among industry ETFs, taking in $1 billion during the past week.

Industrials rose 0.9 percent for the best performance in the S&P 500, as nine out of 10 groups advanced. Shares of energy and health care stocks climbed 0.8 percent. The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index added 0.1 percent, ending a four-day, 8.7 percent drop.

Raw-material producers in the S&P 500 rose 0.5 percent as a group. Copper rose the most in 15 weeks in New York on speculation that demand will improve as China, the world’s largest metals consumer, takes steps to bolster economic growth. Freeport-McMoRan, the largest publicly traded copper producer, climbed 1.5 percent to $32.08.

Walgreen Co. climbed 3.3 percent to $66.42. The owner of pharmacies said it plans to close 76 drugstores in the second half of fiscal 2014. Synergies from its Alliance Boots business will be higher than previously estimated, the company said.

Sonic Corp. rallied 11 percent to $23.23, the highest level since April 2008. The company’s second-quarter adjusted profit of 7 cents a share beat the average analyst projection of 6 cents.

McCormick & Co. advanced 5.5 percent to $71.20, the highest level since August. The maker of spices and other flavored products reported first-quarter profit and sales that exceeded analysts’ estimates.

Carnival declined 5 percent to $38.02. The world’s largest cruise line operator has been facing lower ticket prices and higher costs to attract customers hesitant about past incidents, including onboard illnesses and a fire on a Triumph cruise.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!


My country and your country,

my God and God – all that is the fragmentation of thought.

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Kindness is always fashionable.

-Amelia Barr, 1831-1919


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor


Queensbury Securities,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7