August 19, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Today is Google’s 10th birthday since the IPO.  It’s been a great investment.  Apple has rewarded its loyal investors this year with excellent returns as well.

On apples:

Besides keeping the doctor away, an apple a day could be your best protecting against heart attack.  Some time ago The Vancouver Sun reported on what was then new research indication that apples could be just as effective as statins when it comes to preventing strokes and heart attacks.  University of Oxford researchers recently concluded that roughly 8,500 deaths could be prevented each year if people in their 50s who weren’t on statins simply ate an apple each day.  It turns out that apples are high in soluble fibre, which slows the buildup of cholesterol-laden plaque in the heart’s arteries.  “While no one currently prescribed medicine should replace them for apples, we could all benefit from eating more fruit,” said Oxford researcher Adam Briggs.

Photos of the Day

Newborn giant panda triplets, which were born to giant panda Juxiao, are seen inside an incubator at the Chimelong Safari Park in Guangzhou, Guangdong province. According to local media, this is the fourth set of giant panda triplets born with the help of artificial insemination procedures in China, and the birth is seen as a miracle due to the low reproduction rate of giant pandas. Reuters

Devotees try to form a human pyramid to break a clay pot containing curd during the celebrations to mark the Hindu festival of Janmashtami in Mumbai. Janmashtami, which marks the birthday of Hindu god Krishna, is being celebrated across the country today. Shailesh Andrade/Reuters

Market Closes for August 19th, 2014    

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16919.59

 

 

 

+80.85

 

 

+0.48%

S&P 500 1981.60

 

+9.86

 

+0.50%

 
NASDAQ 4527.516

 

 

+19.203

 

+0.43%

 
TSX 15477.17 +138.70

 

+0.90%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15449.79 +127.19

 

+0.83%

 

HANG

SENG

25122.95 +167.49

 

+0.67

 

SENSEX 26420.67 +29.71

 

+0.11%

 

FTSE 100 6779.31 +38.06

 

+0.56%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.074 2.065
 
 
 
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.627 2.621
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.4015 2.3927
 

 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.2155 3.1983
 
 
 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91400 0.91846
 

 

US

$

1.09410 1.08878
 
 
     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

 

Canadian

$

 

1.45751 0.68610
US

$

 

1.33216 0.75066

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1295.57 1297.47
     
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 94.48 96.41
 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     Aug. 19 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose the most in a month, as banks and energy producers rallied amid data showing growth in the U.S. housing sector and as tensions in Ukraine and Iraq eased.

     Bellatrix Exploration Ltd. surged 10 percent after activist investor Orange Capital LLC bought a stake in the oil and gas explorer to seek board changes. Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. rose 1.4 percent after a report the convenience store operator made the short list to buy a $16 billion stake in China’s Sinopec Sales.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 138.70 points, or 0.9 percent, to 15,477.17 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark equity gauge has climbed 14 percent this year, the second-best performer among the world’s developed markets behind Denmark.

     Bellatrix advanced 10 percent to C$8.73. Orange Capital has taken a 5.3 percent stake in the company seeking board changes with an eye to exploring strategic alternatives including a sale, according to regulatory filings.

     Orange has been building its position in Bellatrix since July 2 and is the company’s largest shareholder slightly ahead of Fiera Capital Corp., which holds 5.2 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

     Lumber producer West Fraser Timber Co. increased 6.5 percent to C$53.68 and wood panel maker Norbord Inc. added 6.3 percent to C$23.43 as lumber makers rallied on U.S. housing data.

     U.S. home starts surged in July to the highest level in eight months as optimism in the residential real-estate market gains some traction.

     Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd. jumped 7.5 percent and Crew Energy Inc. rose 5.2 percent to C$9.94 as energy stocks added 1.6 percent as a group. All 10 industries in the S&P/TSX advanced today.

     Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. climbed 4.1 percent to C$124.51, the biggest gain since June 25. The company’s takeover target, Allergan Inc., approached Salix Pharmaceuticals Ltd. and at least one other company, according to the Wall Street Journal.

US

By Oliver Renick

     Aug. 19 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks are closing in on record highs, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rebounding at the fastest pace since February, as concerns over global crises give way to optimism that central banks will continue to accommodate a recovering economy.

     More than $710 billion has been restored to American equities in the past month and the S&P 500 is within 0.3 percent of an all-time high amid bets that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates near zero for longer even as economic growth shows signs of accelerating. The U.S. equity benchmark added 0.5 percent to 1,981.60 at 4 p.m. in New York today.

     Stocks rallied today as retailers led gains on better-than- projected earnings while data showed inflation pressures remain limited and housing starts jumped. The Nasdaq Composite added 0.4 percent, its fifth straight day of increases, to the highest level since 2000. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 80.85 points, or 0.5 percent, to 16,919.59, still 219 points from its record. Apple Inc. jumped 1.4 percent to close at an all-time high.

     “The market has come back strong this week in a repeat of what we’ve seen throughout the bull run, the ability to motor through geopolitical events,” Tim Rudderow, president and chief investment officer at Newtown, Pennsylvania-based Mount Lucas Management Corp., said via phone. He helps oversee $1.5 billion. “Today’s numbers were solid but not spectacular, and that’s perfect in an environment where really robust economic growth would not be positive.”

     The S&P 500 has rebounded 3.8 percent since a three-month low on Aug. 7, the best eight-day return since the period ended Feb. 18. The gauge tumbled as much as 3.9 percent from its all- time high on July 24 amid growing concern over global conflicts from Ukraine to Gaza and Iraq.                     

     The Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.4 percent today after rallying 1 percent to its highest level since March 2000 yesterday. The Dow Jones Internet Composite Index is at the highest since March after tumbling nearly 20 percent after investors sold off the best performers during the five-year bull market amid concern valuations had become too expensive.

     The Nasdaq is 13 percent above its February low. The last time the measure closed this high, on March 31, 2000, it went on to sink 46 percent through the end of that year as the dot-com bubble burst.

     The S&P 500 is trading at 17.8 times the reported earnings of its companies, near the highest level since 2010. The gauge is back above its average price for the past 50 days, after having plunged below it on July 31. The Dow closed today above its 50-day average for the first time this month.

     “Valuations are getting a little on the higher range compared on a short-term basis,” Diane Garnick, chief executive officer of New York-based Clear Alternatives LLC, said in a phone interview. “People tend to compare to only what they remember, so as a result, people are absolutely sensitive to higher valuations. If we had this level in 1998 nobody would notice.”

     Stifel Nicolaus & Co.’s Barry B. Bannister increased his year-end forecast for the S&P 500 to 2,300, giving him the highest projection among 19 strategists tracked by Bloomberg. Previously he was tied for the lowest at 1,850. Bannister’s new estimate implies a 16 percent rally by the end of December.

     Foreign investors may increase purchases of U.S. stocks because of doubts about their own economies and central-bank policies, according to the report from Stifel.

     Other strategists are predicting weaker returns. Jonathan Glionna of Barclays Plc said overseas markets are generating too little demand for the S&P 500 to end the year any higher than current levels. Gains approaching 25 percent annually will weaken to 3 percent over the next decade as profit expansion reverts to its historic rate since 1929, said Doug Ramsey, the chief investment officer at Leuthold Group Llc.

     Three rounds of Fed stimulus and better-than-estimated corporate earnings have sent the S&P 500 higher by as much as 194 percent from its bear-market low on March 2009. The gauge has not had a decline of 10 percent in almost three years.

     Stocks fell earlier this month after data showing strong economic growth and hiring stoked speculation the Fed may raise rates sooner than investors had been anticipating. The S&P 500 rallied 1.2 percent last week as data on retail sales and jobless claims showed an uneven economic recovery, fueling bets the central bank will leave rates near record lows for longer.

     The Fed will release the minutes of its last gathering tomorrow, before central bankers meet in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Fed Chair Janet Yellen and European Central Bank President Mario Draghi will be among the speakers at the annual symposium on monetary policy.

     A report today showed the cost of living in the U.S. climbed in July at the slowest pace in five months, indicating price pressures remain limited even as the economy picks up.

     Inflation continues to run below the Fed’s target as sluggish global demand limits companies’ ability to charge customers more. Restrained increases give the central bank’s policy makers room to keep interest rates low well after the projected end of their bond-buying program in October.

     “We keep hearing about Federal Reserve liquidity and how it’s going to put inflation through the roof, but inflation has been right in line,” Matt Maley, the Newton, Massachusetts- based equity strategist at Miller Tabak & Co. LLC, said via phone.

     Housing starts surged in July to the highest level in eight months, underscoring the recent pickup in builder optimism as the U.S. residential real-estate market gains some traction.

     An S&P index of homebuilders gained 2.6 percent, giving it the biggest two-day rally since May after jumping 2.1 percent yesterday on a report showing industry confidence rose in August. D.R. Horton Inc. advanced 3.3 percent and KB Home increased 2.7 percent.

     “With tame inflation data and the housing market benefiting from the drop in mortgage rates, it’s painting a pretty sanguine picture,” Russ Koesterich, chief investment strategist at New York-based BlackRock Inc., said by phone. “Housing starts were encouraging, and the housing market is one area the Fed has been concerned about being somewhat fragile.”

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, the gauge of S&P options prices known as the VIX, declined 0.9 percent to 12.21. The gauge is down 11 percent for the year.

     Retailers had the biggest advance among 24 groups in the S&P 500, climbing 1.9 percent.

     Home Depot Inc. advanced 5.6 percent to a record $88.23 after earnings topped analysts’ estimates and the company raised its forecast. Chief Executive Officer Frank Blake has focused Home Depot on boosting sales from existing locations and investing in e-commerce, rather than opening new stores.

     TJX Cos. increased 8.7 percent to $58.56. The discount apparel company that owns T.J. Maxx and Marshalls raised its profit forecast after comparable-store sales grew faster than estimated. Dick’s Sporting Good Inc. added 1.6 percent to $44.21. The company beat second-quarter earnings projections, though it said promotions and advertising will weigh on profit the rest of the year.

     The results, together with the rosy outlook from Home Depot, fueled investor optimism after a series of disappointing retail earnings reports. Wal-Mart Stores Inc., the world’s largest retailer, posted stagnant U.S. same-store sales last week, marking the sixth straight period of no growth. That followed a report from the Commerce Department that retail sales were little changed in July, hampered by a lack of wage gains.

     Aeropostale Inc. rose 19 percent, the most since 2002, to $3.87 after the struggling kids and teen apparel chain said Julian Geiger has returned as chief executive officer.

     Apple rose 1.4 percent to $100.53. The stock capped a fifth day of gains as investors look ahead to new products such as bigger-screen iPhones and a wristwatch-like device that may jump-start revenue growth. Today’s close topped the split- adjusted record of $100.30 reached Sept. 19, 2012, just before the iPhone 5 went on sale.

     Elizabeth Arden Inc. plunged 23 percent to $15.05, the lowest level since 2010, after saying a decline in sales of celebrity fragrances was steeper than anticipated in the fourth quarter. Net sales dropped 28 percent from the prior year as Justin Bieber and Taylor Swift fragrances slumped.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

Nonviolence is the greatest force at the disposal of mankind.

It is mightier than the mightiest weapon of destruction devised by the ingenuity of man.

 

Mahatma Gandhi

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Men are equal; it is not birth but virtue that makes the difference.

                                                               -Voltaire, 1694-1778

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

August 18, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

On this date in 1982, trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange topped 100 million shares in a single day for the first time ever.
The 19th amendment was ratified on this day in 1920, giving women the right to vote in the USA.

We went to a charming movie last night, The Hundred-Foot Journey.  Helen Mirren’s acting is brilliant as it always it, but the Papa played by Indian actor Omi Puri was a pleasant surprise.  He is superb.  And you end leaving the cinema feeling good.  It’s playing everywhere right now.

Photos of the Day

Tuk the macaw sits on the shoulder of a guest in front of a 1956 Rolls-Royce Phantom IV H.J. Mulliner Saloon during the Concours d’Elegance at the Pebble Beach Golf Links in Pebble Beach, California. Michael Fiala/Reuters


Workers hang outside the clock face as they clean the face of the clocktower popularly known as Big Ben at the Houses of Parliament in London, as they undertake essential maintenance and cleaning of the four faces of the clock. Sang Tan/AP

Market Closes for August 18th, 2014    

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16838.74

 

 

 

+175.83

 

 

+1.06%

S&P 500 1971.74

 

+16.68

 

+0.85%

 
NASDAQ 4508.313

 

 

+43.386

 

+0.97%

 
TSX 15338.47 +34.23

 

+0.22%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15322.60 +4.26

 

+0.03%

 

HANG

SENG

24955.46 +0.52

 

 

SENSEX 26390.96 +287.73

 

+1.10%
 
 
FTSE 100 6741.25 +52.17
 
 
+0.78%
 
 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.065 2.018
 
 
 
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.621 2.584
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.3927 2.3397
 

 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.1983 3.1323
 

 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91846 0.91780
 

 

US

$

1.08878 1.08957
 
 
     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

 

Canadian

$

 

1.45484 0.68736
US

$

 

1.33620 0.74839

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1297.47 1304.86
     
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 96.41 97.35
 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     Aug. 18 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose a third day, extending a two-week high, as global equities on signs that tension from Ukraine to Iraq had eased.

     Royal Bank of Canada rose 0.7 percent before the lender reports earnings later this week. Air Canada jumped 5.9 percent as crude oil fell. Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. lost 2.2 percent after extending its hostile bid for Allergan Inc.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 34.23 points, or 0.2 percent, to 15,338.47 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark equity gauge has climbed 13 percent this year, the second-best performer among the world’s developed markets behind Denmark.

     The MSCI All-Country World Index added 0.7 percent for a two-week high. Ukraine and Russia made some progress in “difficult” talks in Berlin, according to German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier, while his Russian counterpart said the meeting is yet to produce a resolution. Kurdish forces retook control of Iraq’s largest dam, while Israel and Palestinian militants agreed to extend their truce, media on both sides of the conflict reported.

     Seven of 10 industries in the S&P/TSX advanced on trading volume 31 percent below the 30-day average. Materials producers gained 0.6 percent as silver and copper advanced.

     Royal Bank climbed 0.7 percent to C$80.41 and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce added 0.4 percent to C$101.76 as financial stocks increased 0.4 percent as a group. Royal Bank, the second-largest lender by assets in Canada, is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings Aug. 22.

     Air Canada jumped 5.9 percent to C$8.48, snapping a five- day losing streak. U.S. crude oil sank 1 percent to $96.41 a barrel as tension in Iraq eased, while Brent crude dropped to a 14-month low.

     Valeant Pharmaceuticals International dropped 2.2 percent to C$119.59 after extending its offer to purchase Allergan until the end of the year. The conditions of the offer remain unchanged.

USA

By Oliver Renick

     Aug. 18 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, extending the biggest weekly gain since July for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, as tensions eased over global conflicts and Dollar General Corp. rallied on merger activity.

     Dollar General surged 12 percent after offering $9.7 billion for Family Dollar, which rallied 4.9 percent. Southwest Airlines Co. and Delta Air Lines Inc. led gains among industrial companies as oil prices fell. Homebuilders rose as confidence in the industry climbed to the highest level in seven months. Internet and biotechnology stocks rallied, continuing to pare losses from earlier this year.

     The S&P 500 increased 0.9 percent to 1,971.74 at 4 p.m. in New York, within 0.8 percent of an all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 175.83 points, or 1.1 percent, to 16,838.74. The Nasdaq Composite Index jumped 1 percent to the highest level since 2000. About 5.1 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges today, 12 percent below the three-month average.

     “People that were concerned about the possibility of a serious deterioration of the Russia-Ukraine situation and had no idea what was going to happen over the weekend came in this morning with a different perspective,” Marshall Front, chief investment officer at Chicago-based Front Barnett Associates LLC, said via phone. His firm manages $800 million. “The market opened up higher and we’ve been creeping up since then with some positive housing sentiment figures.”

     Ukrainian Foreign Minister Pavlo Klimkin met his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov for more than five hours of talks in Berlin, as they sought to ease tension after officials in Kiev said troops had partially destroyed an armed convoy from Russia. Klimkin said the talks had brought “moderate progress,” though he called on Russia to follow words with actions.

     Iraqi and Kurdish forces retook control of the Mosul Dam, Iraqiya television reported, citing military spokesman Qassem Ata. The U.S. widened its airstrikes in Iraq at the weekend to help secure the dam near Mosul, Iraq’s largest northern city, after it was seized by Islamist militants. Iraq is OPEC’s second-biggest oil producer.

     Israel and Palestinian militants agreed to extend their truce, media on both sides of the conflict reported, providing more time for negotiations on a long-term accord to end violence that has devastated Gaza.

     “We’ve seen very good earnings, and geopolitical tensions are not as elevated at the moment,” Patrick Spencer, head of U.S. equity sales at Robert W. Baird & Co., said by phone. “There’s been a lot of talk about a correction for equities, but markets are already a couple of points off their highs.”

     The S&P 500 fell as much as 3.9 percent from a record reached on July 24 amid growing concern over global conflicts from Ukraine to Gaza and Iraq. The benchmark index gained 1.2 percent last week as signs of a slowing economy stoked bets central banks will leave interest rates near record lows for longer.

     Reports showed the euro area’s recovery stalled in the second quarter, spurring speculation the European Central Bank will boost stimulus measures. In the U.S., July retail sales registered the worst performance in six months, jobless claims rose more than forecast and consumer sentiment slipped.

     The Federal Reserve is watching economic data to help gauge adjustments to monetary stimulus. The central bank remains on pace to wind down its monthly bond purchases in October. Fed Chair Janet Yellen has said officials will keep its benchmark interest rate low for a “considerable time” after the bond buying ends. The central bank releases minutes from its July meeting on Aug. 20.                         

     The following day, the Fed Bank of Kansas City begins its annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where leading economists and central bankers will discuss the outlook for the economy and monetary policy. Yellen and ECB President Mario Draghi are among the speakers at the conference, this year titled “Re-Evaluating Labor Market Dynamics.”

     Previous conferences there have foreshadowed some of the Fed’s biggest policy shifts since the financial crisis. In 2010 and 2012, then-Chairman Ben S. Bernanke signaled new bond buying that has pumped up the Fed’s balance sheet to a record $4.43 trillion.

     “Ever since the Bernanke comments made a few years back that’s one of the things you have to keep an eye on,” Joe Saluzzi, co-head of equity trading at Chatham, New Jersey-based Themis Trading LLC, said via phone. “When the Fed gathers, you have to watch it. We all know what moves markets now, and it’s the Fed.”

     Clothing retailer Urban Outfitters Inc. reported earnings today that beat analysts’ estimates. Of the S&P 500 companies that have reported quarterly results this season, 76 percent have topped earnings estimates, while 65 percent exceeded sales projections, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, the gauge of S&P 500 options prices known as the VIX, declined 6.3 percent to 12.32.

     Dollar General jumped 12 percent, the most in the S&P 500, to a record $64.14. The company proposed to pay $78.50 a share in cash for Family Dollar, challenging Dollar Tree Inc.’s takeover bid of $74.50 a share in cash and stock. Dollar General forecast synergies of as much as $600 million on an annual basis, three years after completion of the deal.

     Family Dollar shares added 4.9 percent to $79.81, while Dollar Tree fell 2.4 percent to $54.26.

     Eight of 10 main groups in the S&P 500 advanced. Industrial stocks had the largest increase, surging 1.5 percent as airline shares climbed amid falling oil prices.

     Delta Air gained 2.5 percent to $39.51, while Southwest Airlines added 3.6 percent to $30.82. Brent crude slid 1.8 percent to a 14-month low.

     An S&P index of homebuilders gained 2.1 percent to the highest in three weeks as a report showed confidence rose in August, indicating the industry is making more headway after weakness earlier this year. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo sentiment measure climbed to 55 from 53 in July, the highest level in seven months.

     Lennar Corp. increased 1.7 percent to $37.55 and D.R. Horton Inc. jumped 1.4 percent to $21.13.

     Yahoo! Inc. rallied 2.5 percent to $37.38, helping to send the Dow Jones Internet Composite Index to the highest since March. The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index jumped 1 percent to the highest closing level in five months. Both indexes have recovered most of their losses from March and April, when investors sold off the best performers during the five-year bull market amid concern valuations had become too expensive.

     Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc. advanced 3.1 percent to $9.54, extending gains for a seventh straight session. The biopharmaceutical company was raised to “buy” from “hold” by Deutsche Bank analyst Alethia Young.

     Monster Beverage Corp. lost 5.4 percent, the most in the S&P 500, to $88.44 after Jefferies Group LLC downgraded the stock to hold from buy, saying it is fully valued. Monster Beverage surged 30 percent on Aug. 15 after Coca Cola Co. agreed to buy a stake, pushing its valuation to 36.1 times estimated earnings. That compares with a five-year average multiple of 24.7.

 

Have  a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

However much I may sympathize with and admire worthy motives,

I am an uncompromising opponent of violent methods even to serve the noblest of causes.

Mahatma Gandhi, 1869-1948

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Our attitude towards others determines their attitude towards us.

                                                 -Earl Nightingale, 1921-1989

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

August 15, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Caught the first Canadian concert for Tom Petty and the Heartbreakers current tour in Vancouver last night.  They were playing at Roger’s Arena and  confirmed their status as Rock n’ Roll royalty playing for an enthusiastic crowd. 

Their new album Hypnotic Eye which has already gone platinum.  They played most of the tunes on that album and one in particular entitled American Dream Plan B offers great lyrics.  Stevie Winwood is the opening act, so pretty impressive lineup of musicians.  I just checked their tour dates; they’re in Washington state tonight, then return to Canada to play in Edmonton, Calgary, etc. – all in all, around 35 more scheduled concerts in North America before they wind up the tour with the second of two concerts in LA on October 11th.  Try to get to one if you’re  a fan – you won’t be disappointed.

Photos of the Day

Students of Shaolin Tagou Martial Arts School are suspended in mid-air as they practise in a dress rehearsal for a stunt performance which is part of the opening ceremony of the 2014 Nanjing Youth Olympic Games, at a stadium in Nanjing, Jiangsu province, China. A total of 520 students took part in the performance named ‘Building the dream’, which will be performed during the opening ceremony of the Youth Olympic Games. Reuters


Vessels anchor in the sea as storm clouds gather over the east coast of Singapore. Edgar Su/Reuters

Market Closes for August 15th, 2014    

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16662.91

 

 

 

-50.67
 
 
 

-0.30%

S&P 500 1955.07

 

-0.11

 

-0.01%

 
NASDAQ 4464.926

 

 

+11.924

 

+0.27%

 
TSX 15303.74 +12.56

 

+0.08%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15318.34 +3.77

 

+0.02%

 

HANG

SENG

24954.94 +153.58
 
 
+0.62%

 

SENSEX 26103.23 +184.28

 

+0.71%
 
 
FTSE 100 6689.08 +3.82

 

+0.06%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.018 2.060
 
 
 
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.584 2.623
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.3397 2.4015
 

 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.1323 3.1917
 
 
 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91780 0.91685

 

US

$

1.08957 1.09069
     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

 

Canadian

$

 

1.46001 0.68493
US

$

 

1.33999 0.74628

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1304.86 1313.38
     
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 97.35 95.58
 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     Aug. 15 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, extending a two-week high, as corrected data that showed the economy added more jobs in July than initially reported and crude prices jumped the most in a month on tension in Ukraine.

     Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. jumped 5 percent after reporting rising production and lower costs. Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd. and Suncor Energy Inc. rallied at least 2.4 percent as oil producers snapped a three-day loss. Alacer Gold Corp. and B2Gold Corp. lost at least 1 percent as the price of gold dropped the most this month.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 13.03 points, or 0.1 percent, to 15,304.21 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark equity gauge has climbed 12 percent this year, the second-best performer among the world’s developed markets behind Denmark.

     Painted Pony added 3.3 percent to C$12.40 and Suncor rose 2.4 percent to C$42.95, the most since June 12, as energy stocks climbed 0.9 percent as a group. Four of 10 industries in the S&P/TSX advanced on trading volume 4.9 percent below the 30-day average.

     West Texas Intermediate crude for September delivery jumped 1.9 percent to settle at $97.35 a barrel in New York, the biggest gain since July 17.

     Ukraine said its troops attacked and partially destroyed a column of armed vehicles that had crossed the border from Russian territory, while Russia said it was concerned about an attack on another convoy carrying aid.                         

     Alacer Gold lost 2.5 percent to C$2.36 and B2Gold slipped 1 percent to C$2.89. Gold for December delivery retreated 0.7 percent to $1,306.20 an ounce in New York, the biggest drop since July 31.

     Canadian employment rose by 41,700 in July, Statistics Canada said today, after it retracted incorrect figures from a week ago that showed a gain of 200 positions.

     The jobs report revisions reduced the full-time job loss to 18,100 from 59,700 and raised the employment gain in the province of Ontario to 39,500 from 15,100. Staff failed to run a program that is part of a scheduled update to the survey, leaving uncounted workers who should have been classified as full-time employees, Statistics Canada said in the report.

     Imperial Metals Corp. rallied 16 percent to C$10.11 after disclosing a plan to raise C$100 million by selling convertible bonds to help pay for the cleanup at its Mount Polley mine, the scene of the worst waste spill in Canada in at least two decades.

     British Columbia officials are investigating the Aug. 4 failure of a dam at the waste pond at Mount Polley. The resulting torrent of waste poured into local waterways, leaving local people without drinking water. The stock has slumped 40 percent since the accident.

US

By Joseph Ciolli

     Aug. 15 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks erased losses as increasing violence in Ukraine sent oil prices to the biggest increase in a month and spurred a rally in energy producers.

     Anadarko Petroleum Corp., Cimarex Energy Co. and Kinder Morgan Inc. led a measure of oil and natural gas producers in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to a 0.5 percent advance, the most among 10 main industries. Nordstrom Inc. sank 5.2 percent after reporting sales that missed analysts’ estimates. Monster Beverage Corp. soared 30 percent after Coca-Cola Co. agreed to buy a stake in the company.

     The S&P 500 pared declines in the late afternoon, ending the day little changed at 1,955.06 as 4 p.m. in New York. It earlier fell as much as 0.7 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 50.67 points, or 0.3 percent, to 16,662.91. About 6 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges today, 5.7 percent above the three-month average.

     “Investors are trying to weed through what exactly is going on in Ukraine, and the market is drifting back,” Stephen Carl, principal and head equity trader at New York-based Williams Capital Group LP, said in a phone interview. “We have a geopolitical situation that needs to be addressed, and that’s overshadowing everything else in the market.”

     Ukrainian government troops attacked an armed convoy that had crossed the border from Russian territory, Andriy Lysenko, a spokesman for the country’s military, told reporters in Kiev. Ukrainian soldiers continue to come under shelling, including rounds fired from Russia, he said.                          

     The Russian Foreign Ministry said in a statement that Ukraine is attempting to disrupt an aid convoy, and called for a cease-fire to allow delivery of supplies. The government in Kiev has for months said that separatist rebels in its easternmost regions are receiving support from Russia, which backs them with artillery fire. Russia has repeatedly denied any involvement in the Ukrainian unrest.

     The turmoil pushed energy prices higher, with West Texas Intermediate crude rising 1.9 percent to $97.35 a barrel. Kinder Morgan Inc. rallied 3.9 percent, bringing gains for the week to 15 percent after Houston billionaire Richard Kinder made a move to consolidate his pipeline empire. Cimarex and Anadarko climbed more than 2 percent.

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which usually moves in the opposite direction to the S&P 500, jumped 5.9 percent to 13.15, halting five days of declines. The gauge lost 17 percent for the week.

     The S&P 500 rose 1.2 percent this week as signs of a slowing economy stoked bets central banks will leave interest rates near record lows for longer, overshadowing escalating tensions in Ukraine.

     Economic data today showed industrial production advanced 0.4 percent in July, while the New York Fed Empire Manufacturing gauge fell more than estimated and consumer confidence unexpectedly declined to its lowest level of the year.

     Nineteen S&P 500 companies, including Home Depot Inc. and Hewlett Packard Co., are scheduled to release earnings next week. About 76 percent of those that have reported so far this season have beaten analyst estimates for earnings, while 65 percent have exceeded sales projections, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

     Nordstrom slid 5.2 percent to $65.11, the lowest since May.  The largest U.S. luxury department-store chain reported same- store sales that missed estimates in the most recent quarter.

     Monster Beverage soared 30 percent to a record $93.49.  Coca-Cola agreed to swap some brands and buy a 17 percent stake in the company for about $2.15 billion, increasing its exposure to the growing energy-drink market. Coca-Cola added 1.7 percent to $40.88 for the biggest gain in the Dow.

     Applied Materials Inc. jumped 6.3 percent to $22.48 after forecasting sales that may top analysts’ estimates. The largest maker of semiconductor-manufacturing equipment forecast fiscal fourth-quarter sales that may top estimates as it steals orders from rivals demand rises for machines that make displays.

     Vringo Inc. plummeted 72 percent to 88 cents. The patent licensing firm, which reported $1.1 million in revenue last year, fell after Google Inc. won its bid to overturn a $30.5 million patent-infringement verdict. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit in Washington determined that the Vringo patents in the case were invalid, according to an opinion on the court’s website.

 

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

I am asking whether it is possible for a human being living psychologically in any society

to clear violence from himself inwardly.

If it is, the very process will produce a different way of living in this world.

 

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

It is never too late to be what your might have been.

                                    -George Eliot, 1819-1880

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

August 14, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Carolann is out of the office this afternoon, I will be writing the newsletter on her behalf.

Photos of the Day The Iberian Peninsula at night, showing Spain and Portugal, is seen in an undated NASA handout picture taken from the International Space Station. Madrid is the bright spot just above the center. The clarity of the night image is possible thanks to the European Space Agency’s NightPod, installed on the station in 2012, according to a NASA news release. It incorporates a motorized tripod that compensates for the station’s speed of approximately 17,500 mph and the motion of the Earth below. NASA/Reuters

The finished giant turkish flower carpet is seen at Brussels’ Grand Place in Blegium. Yves Herman/Reuters

Market Closes for August 14th, 2014    

Market Index Close Change
Dow Jones 16713.58       +61.78  

 

  +0.37%

 

S&P 500 1955.18   +8.46  

 

+0.43%

 
NASDAQ 4453.004     +18.878  

 

+0.43%

 
TSX 15291.18 +28.45  

 

+0.19%    

 

International Markets

Market Index Close Change
NIKKEI 15314.57 +100.94  

 

+0.66%  

 

HANG SENG 24801.36 -88.98  

 

-0.36%  

 

SENSEX 26103.23 +184.28  

 

+0.71%  

 

FTSE 100 6685.26 +28.58  

 

+0.43%  

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 10 Year Bond 2.060 2.074      

 

CND. 30 Year Bond 2.623 2.642

 

U.S.    10 Year Bond 2.4015 2.4166    

 

U.S. 30 Year Bond 3.1917 3.2432    

 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91685 0.91613  

 

US $ 1.09069 1.09155  

 

     
Euro Rate 1 Euro=   Inverse  
Canadian $   1.45741 0.68615

 

US $   1.33624 0.74837

 

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold Fix 1313.38 1312.90

 

     
Oil Close Previous  
WTI Crude Future 95.58 97.59  

 

Canada By Eric Lam

     Aug. 14 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose for the fourth day out of five, joining gains in global markets amid signs of easing tensions in Ukraine after Russian President Vladimir Putin said he will work to end the conflict.

     Badger Daylighting Ltd., a construction services company, rallied 6.4 percent after slumping the most in 18 years yesterday on lower margins. Element Financial Corp., a transportation leasing business, added 4.2 percent for a second day of gains after reporting rising revenue. Royal Bank of Canada advanced 0.8 percent to pace gains among the nation’s largest lenders.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 28.45 points, or 0.2 percent, to 15,291.18 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark equity gauge has climbed 12 percent this year, the second-best performer among the world’s developed markets behind Denmark.

     The MSCI World Index added 0.4 percent as Putin, visiting Crimea today, pledged to work to halt the conflict that’s flared for months between pro-Russian separatists and government forces, killing more than 1,500 people.

     Eight of 10 industries in the S&P/TSX advanced on trading volume 7.4 percent lower compared with the 30-day average.

     Financial stocks, which account for the biggest weighting in the broader index, added 0.6 percent. Element Financial climbed 4.2 percent to C$14.83, a four-month high. Royal Bank, the second-largest lender by assets, rose 0.8 percent to C$80.18 for a fourth day of gains. Royal Bank is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings on Aug. 22.

     First Quantum Minerals Ltd. lost 2 percent to C$23.97, the lowest in six weeks, as copper prices fell to a seven-week low in New York. Output in China rose to the highest since November.

     The Bloomberg Commodity Index of 22 raw materials dropped 0.5 percent, erasing gains for the year. Lean hogs, Brent crude and gasoline fell at least 1.6 percent.

     Penn West Petroleum Ltd. dropped 4.2 percent to C$7.75. Crude futures for September delivery in New York slid 2.1 percent amid speculation U.S. oil demand is slowing after a government report showed weekly inventories expanded for the first time since June.

USA By Elena Popina

     Aug. 14 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to a two-week high, as speculation the crisis in Ukraine won’t escalate overshadowed weaker-than- estimated economic employment data.

     Kohl’s Corp. added 3.3 percent to a four-month high after quarterly results beat estimates. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. gained 0.5 percent after reporting stagnant same-store sales and lowering its profit forecast, while Cisco Systems Inc. declined 2.6 percent after forecasting little to no sales growth. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s Class A shares traded above $200,000 for the first time.

     The S&P 500 added 0.4 percent to 1,955.18 at 4 p.m. in New York, the highest since July 30. The index has advanced 1.2 percent this week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 61.78 points, or 0.4 percent, to 16,713.58. About 4.8 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, the slowest day since July 3.

     “The market is ebbing and flowing off of geopolitical news, it’s been all quiet in the past 24 hours, and that has given a positive push to the market today,” Chad Morganlander, a money manager at St. Louis-based Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., which oversees about $160 billion, said in a phone interview. “The overall jobs market in the U.S. remains bullish, but there is somewhat cautious tone on the European economy.”

     Equity futures and European stocks erased earlier losses after President Vladimir Putin said Russia will do everything it can to stop the conflict in eastern Ukraine. Stocks had slumped after data showed the euro area’s recovery unexpectedly stalled in the second quarter after its three biggest economies

     Prospects of the euro-region’s economy slipping back into recession have fueled speculation the European Central Bank may boost stimulus measures, while U.S. economic strength has created concern that the Federal Reserve may be forced to act on rates sooner than anticipated.

     The U.S. central bank remains on pace to wind down its monthly bond purchases in October. Fed Chair Janet Yellen has said officials will keep the benchmark rate low for a “considerable time” after the bond buying ends.

     The S&P 500 reached a record on July 24 before sliding as much as 3.9 percent as President Barack Obama authorized air strikes against militants in Iraq and concern grew that fighting in Ukraine would disrupt world trade. The gauge closed 1.7 percent below its all-time high.

     Data today showed applications for unemployment benefits in the U.S. rose more than forecast last week, interrupting a steady decline to pre-recession lows. Jobless claims climbed by 21,000 to 311,000 in the period ended Aug. 9, the highest in six weeks, a Labor Department report said.

     “The jobless claims data may shake things up in the market a little bit, but we have to factor in some volatility in the summer jobless claims numbers,” John Manley, who helps oversee about $233 billion as chief equity strategist for Wells Fargo Funds Management in New York, said in a phone interview. “Even if the jobless claims numbers are higher than expected, this negativity can be overshadowed by the fact that rates will remain lower.”

     A report yesterday showed retail sales were little changed in July, the worst performance in six months, as car demand slowed and tepid wage growth restrained U.S. consumers. Home Depot Inc. to Target Corp. and Gap Inc. are among retailers in the S&P 500 that report earnings in the next week.

     Wal-Mart gained 0.5 percent to $74.39. The world’s largest retailer said sales at stores open at least a year were stagnant in the last quarter. The company cut its 2014 profit forecast because of higher health-care costs and slow traffic at its supercenters.

     Kohl’s advanced 3.3 percent to $56.91, the highest since April. The department-store chain posted second-quarter profit of $1.13 per share, more than the $1.07 projected by analysts.

     Cisco slipped 2.6 percent to $24.54 for the biggest drop in the Dow. The world’s largest networking-equipment maker forecast adjusted earnings of 51 cents to 53 cents a share, compared with the 53-cent average analyst projection. Cisco will also take a charge of as much as $700 million to cut 6,000 jobs.

     About 75 percent of the S&P 500-listed companies that have posted results this season have beaten analysts’ estimates, while 65 percent have exceeded sales projections, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

     Profit for members of the equity benchmark probably climbed 9.7 percent in the second quarter, while sales increased 4.3 percent, according to analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The S&P 500 trades at 16.3 times the projected earnings of its members, down from a multiple of 16.7 in July.

     The equities benchmark has been trading below its 50-day moving average of 1,956.8 for the past 11 periods. Since early 2013, it has dipped below that measure while remaining above its 200-day average on six occasions, Terry Sandven, chief equity strategist at Minneapolis-based U.S. Bank Wealth Management, which oversees $124 billion, said in a note to clients. Each time, the gauge rebounded to continue its upward ascent, Sandven wrote.

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which usually moves in the opposite direction to the S&P 500, slid 3.7 percent to 12.42 today in its fifth day of declines, the longest losing streak since May. The gauge has lost 25 percent during the slump.

     Nine of the 10 main S&P 500 groups advanced today, with health-care and utilities stocks rising at least 0.9 percent for the best performances.

     Perrigo Co., a maker of generic drugs, added 7.3 percent for the biggest advance in the S&P 500 after it reported adjusted fourth-quarter earnings that topped estimates.

     Avago Technologies Ltd. jumped 2.6 percent to $73.84. The company agreed to sell its Axxia networking business to Intel Corp. for $650 million.

     Berkshire Hathaway Class A shares advanced 1.6 percent to $202,850, an all-time high. The stock traded above $200,000 for the first time, further validating Buffett’s vision for building wealth at the company he’s run for almost five decades.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone. 

 

Be magnificent!

“Life is a song – sing it. Life is a game – play it. Life is a challenge – meet it. Life is a dream – realize it. Life is a sacrifice – offer it. Life is love – enjoy it.”

Sai Baba

As ever,

 

Karen

 

“The privilege of a lifetime is being who you are.” –  Joseph Campbell

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

August 13, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

On this day in 1961, the Brandenburg Gate was closed separating East and West Berlin and construction of the Berlin Wall began.

Exciting story reported today, this from the Guardian newspaper:

Archaeologists uncover vast ancient tomb in Greece

Site dates to end of Alexander the Great’s reign in 4th century BC and may be grave of a prominent Macedonian, say officials

Reuters,The Guardian, Wednesday 13 August 2014
Archaeologists have unearthed a vast ancient tomb in Greece, distinguished by two sphinxes and frescoed walls and dating to 300-325BC, the government announced on Tuesday.

The tomb, in the country’s north-eastern Macedonia region, which has been gradually unearthed over the past two years, marks a significant discovery from the early Hellenistic era. A culture ministry official said that there was no evidence yet to suggest a link to Alexander the Great – who died in 323BC after an unprecedented military campaign through the Middle East, Asia and northeast Africa – or his family.

The official said the Amphipolis site, about 65 miles north-east of Greece’s second-biggest city, Thessaloniki, appeared to be the largest ancient tomb to have been discovered in Greece.

Archaeologists began excavating the site in 2012 and expect to enter the tomb by the end of the month to determine who was buried there.

“It looks like the tomb of a prominent Macedonian of that era,” said a second culture ministry official. Alexander the Great died in Babylonia, in modern Iraq, and his actual burial place is not known.

Archaeologists have found two sphinxes, thought to have guarded the tomb’s entrance, and a 4.5-metre-wide road leading into it, with walls on both sides covered by frescoes. It is circled by a 497-metre marble outer wall.

Experts believe a five-metre-tall lion sculpture previously discovered nearby once stood atop the tomb.

“It is certain that we stand before an especially significant finding. The land of Macedonia continues to move and surprise us, revealing its unique treasures,” the prime minister, Antonis Samaras, said on Tuesday during a visit to the site.

Photos of the DayA meteor streaks over the sky during the Perseid meteor shower at the Maculje archaeological site near Novi Travnik. According to NASA, the annual Perseid meteor shower reaches its peak on August 12 and 13 in Europe. The fireballs from the meteorites are fast and plentiful, although a nearly full moon (Supermoon) makes it difficult to view them this year, the agency adds. Dado Ruvic/Reuters

A visitor tries Sony’s ‘Project Morpheus’ virtual reality headset at an exhibition stand during the Gamescom 2014 fair in Cologne. The Gamescom convention, Europe’s largest video games trade fair, runs from August 13 to August 17. Ina Fassbender/Reuters

Market Closes for August 13th, 2014    

MarketIndex Close Change
DowJones 16651.80 +91.26

 

+0.55% 
S&P 500 1946.72 +12.97 

+0.67%

NASDAQ 4434.125 +44.874 

+1.02%

TSX 15262.73 -11.50 
-0.08%

 

International Markets

MarketIndex Close Change
NIKKEI 15213.63 +52.32

 

+0.35%

 

HANGSENG 24890.34 +200.93

 

+0.81%

 

SENSEX 25918.95 +38.18

 

+0.15%

 

FTSE 100 6656.68 +24.26

 

+0.37% 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.10 Year Bond 2.074 2.114
CND.30 YearBond 2.642 2.670
U.S.   10 Year Bond 2.4166 2.4491
U.S.30 Year Bond 3.2432 3.2765

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91613 0.91513

 

US$ 1.09155 1.09274 
Euro Rate1 Euro= Inverse 
Canadian$  1.45873 0.68553

 

US$  1.33639 0.74829

 

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London GoldFix 1312.90 1308.56
 
Oil Close Previous
WTI Crude Future 97.59 97.37

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Jacob Barach

Aug. 13 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks ended a three-day rally as raw-material companies dropped after China’s industrial production trailed analyst estimates.

Badger Daylighting Ltd., an excavation company, fell 24 percent after it reported lower profit margins on slower activity in North America and wet weather in Saskatchewan. Black Diamond Group Ltd. slid 3.7 percent after its earnings fell short of analyst estimates. Secure Energy Services Inc. rose 13 percent on better-than-forecast profit.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index dropped 11.50 points, or 0.1 percent, to 15,262.73 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The equity gauge is up 12 percent this year, and had advanced 1 percent over the previous three days.

Teck Resources Ltd., Canada’s largest diversified mine operator, slid 0.3 percent. Copper fell 1.3 percent amid concern about the outlook for demand in China, the biggest consumer of the metal. Zinc and aluminum slid in London.

China’s industrial output expanded 9 percent in July, less than the 9.2 percent estimate from economists in a Bloomberg survey, government statistics showed today. The country’s broadest measure of credit slumped to the lowest since the global financial crisis.

Badger Daylighting plunged 24 percent to C$27.25. Adjusted Ebitda margins were 25 percent for the second quarter, compared with 29 percent a year ago, the company said.

Black Diamond fell 3.7 percent to C$28.67. The provider of temporary work space reported earnings excluding some items of 23 cents a share, compared with the 31-cent average analyst estimate, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Yesterday, the stock was reduced to market perform, the equivalent of hold, from outperform at BMO Capital Markets.

Secure Energy Services gained 13 percent to C$27.18. The company, which sells services to the oil and gas industry, had earnings of 5 cents a share, compared with the average analyst estimate of 4 cents. It also agreed to buy Predator Midstream Ltd., according to a statement from the company yesterday.

USA

By Elena Popina

Aug. 13 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, pushing the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to a two-week high, as a slowdown in retail sales boosted speculation the Federal Reserve won’t be forced to raise rates sooner than anticipated.

Amazon.com Inc. climbed 2.2 percent after ChannelAdvisor Corp. said the retailer’s same-store sales rose 40 percent in July. Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. jumped 3.9 percent to lead gains among health-care stocks. King Digital Entertainment Plc plummeted 23 percent trading after posting worse-than-forecast sales and cutting its 2014 outlook. Macy’s Inc. lost 5.5 percent after profit fell short of estimates.

The S&P 500 gained 0.7 percent to 1,946.72 at 4 p.m. in New York, the highest since July 30. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 91.26 points, or 0.6 percent, to 16,651.80, also the highest in two weeks. About 5.1 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 11 percent below the three-month average.

“There is some feeling that events overseas are beginning to cool down a little bit but also the retail numbers might suggest that the Fed is not going to be so aggressive in raising rates any time soon,” Bruce Bittles, chief investment strategist at Milwaukee-based RW Baird & Co., which oversees $110 billion, said in a phone interview. “That has been the backbone of the market for the past five years.”

Retail sales were little changed in July, the worst performance in six months, as car demand slowed and tepid wage growth restrained U.S. consumers. The slowdown in purchases followed a 0.2 percent advance in June, the Commerce Department reported today in Washington.

Recent data have shown U.S. gross domestic product expanded at a 4 percent annual pace in the second quarter, confirming the Fed’s view that a first-quarter contraction was transitory. Employers in the U.S. added more than 200,000 jobs for a sixth straight month in July, the longest such period since 1997.

The economic strength had created concern that the Fed may be forced to act on rates sooner than anticipated, as the central bank remains on pace to wind down its monthly bond purchases in October. Fed Chair Janet Yellen has said officials will keep its benchmark low for a “considerable time” after the bond buying ends.

Three-rounds of bond purchases and record-low interest rates have helped push stocks higher by as much as 194 percent from a bear-market low in 2009.

The S&P 500 last closed at a record on July 24 before tumbling 3.9 percent on concerns that geopolitical crises from Ukraine to Israel and Iraq could derail the global economy. The gauge closed today 2.1 percent below its all-time high.

In Iraq, Kurdish forces fought to retake positions overrun last week by Islamic State fighters in the northern part of the country, while a political standoff between President Fouad Masoum and Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki continued.

Ukrainian officials said today they’d refuse entry to a truck convoy that Russia says is loaded with humanitarian assistance for rebel-held eastern areas, while pledging to send their own aid to the embattled region.

“The many geopolitical issues are a little quieter or on the back burner at the moment,” Richard Sichel, chief investment officer at Philadelphia Trust Co., which oversees $2 billion, said in a phone interview. “It’s given investors an opportunity to take a look and see if they want to add to positions, and it looks like that’s what they’re doing today.”

Four companies, including Macy’s and Cisco Systems Inc. report earnings today. About 75 percent of those that have posted results this season have beaten analyst estimates, while 64 percent have exceeded sales projections, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which usually moves in the opposite direction to the S&P 500, slid 8.7 percent to 12.90 today.

All 10 main S&P 500 groups advanced today, with health-care and information technology stocks advancing at least 1.1 percent for the best performances. Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. added 3.9 percent for the biggest advance in the S&P 500 while Intel Corp. jumped 2.9 percent to lead gains in the Dow.

Health Care REIT Inc. added 2.3 percent to $64.95 as it agreed to buy HealthLease Properties Real Estate Investment Trust and formed a partnership for additional properties to expand in senior care.

InterMune Inc. jumped 14 percent to $52.06, the most since October 2000, after reports the company had received takeover bids from some of Europe’s biggest drugmakers, including Sanofi and Roche Holding AG.

Amazon.com climbed 2.2 percent to $326.28. ChannelAdvisor said the company’s rate of sales growth has increased each month this year.

EBay Inc. slipped 0.9 percent to $52.94. Its July sales grew by 9.7 percent, down from a 12 percent gain in June, according to ChannelAdvisor.

Macy’s sank 5.5 percent to $56.47 for its biggest slide in two years. The second-largest U.S. department-store company’s earnings missed estimates after discounts meant to lure shoppers eroded profit margins. The Cincinnati-based company, which operates about 840 stores, cut its full-year forecast for comparable-sales growth.

Macy’s led clothing and accessories retailers lower. Fossil Group Inc. tumbled 5.6 percent for the biggest drop in the S&P 500. Tiffany & Co., Kohl’s Corp. and TJX Cos. dropped at least

1.5 percent.

FleetCor Technologies Inc. added 9.8 percent to $142.10. The provider of fuel cards agreed to buy Comdata Inc. for $3.45 billion.

King Digital tumbled 23 percent to $13.99. The maker of the Candy Crush Saga video game said yesterday that gross bookings — the value of virtual merchandise sold — will fall in the third quarter. It also reported second-quarter adjusted revenue that missed analysts’ projections.

SeaWorld Entertainment Inc. dropped 33 percent to $18.90, the lowest since its debut in April 2013. Third-quarter earnings missed estimates as controversy over treatment of captive whales in its theme-park shows hurt attendance, the company said.

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

An eye for an eye only ends up making the whole world blind.

Mahatma Gandhi, 1869-1948

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Beauty is power; a smile is its sword.

-Charles Reid, 1814-1884

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

August 12, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Perseid meteor shower peaks tonight.

Do you think God gets stoned? I think so….look at the platypus. –Robin Williams.

Photos of the DayFlowers decorate the late Robin Williams’s star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame in Los Angeles, Calif. Comedians, politicians, and several generations of fans collectively mourned the death of Robin Williams, the actor famous for his fast-paced and freewheeling comedy, whose apparent suicide at age 63 prompted an outpouring of tributes. Lucy Nicholson/Reuters

Fireworks explode over the Grand Palace to mark the birthday of Thailand’s Queen Sirikit in Bangkok. Athit Perawongmetha/Reuters

Market Closes for August 12th, 2014    

MarketIndex Close Change
DowJones 16560.54  -9.44

 

-0.06% 
S&P 500 1933.75 -3.17 

-0.16%

NASDAQ 4389.250 -12.081 

-0.27%

TSX 15274.23 +12.59

 

+0.08%

 

International Markets

MarketIndex Close Change 
NIKKEI 15161.31 +30.79

 

+0.20%

 

HANGSENG 24689.41 +43.39

 

+0.18%

 

SENSEX 25880.77 +361.53

 

+1.42%

 

FTSE 100 6632.42 -0.40

 

-0.01%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.10 Year Bond 2.114 2.071 
CND.30 YearBond 2.670 2.635

 

U.S.   10 Year Bond 2.4491 2.4203 
U.S.30 Year Bond 3.2765 3.2351 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91513 0.91122

 

US$ 1.09274 1.09743 
Euro Rate1 Euro= Inverse 
Canadian$  1.46084 0.68454

 

US$  1.33686 0.74802

 

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London GoldFix 1308.56 1308.63
 
Oil Close Previous
WTI Crude Future 97.37 98.08

By Eric Lam

Aug. 12 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose a third day as gold miners advanced to pace gains among raw-materials stocks while crude slipped to send energy producers lower.

Pretium Resources Inc. and Torex Gold Resources Inc. rallied at least 4.2 percent. Legacy Oil & Gas Inc. retreated 3.4 percent as Brent crude fell to a 13-month low. Teck Resources Ltd. dropped 2.5 percent after analysts at Goldman Sachs & Co. cut their rating for the stock.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 12.59 points, or 0.1 percent, to 15,274.23 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark equity gauge has climbed 12 percent this year, the second-best performer among the world’s developed markets behind Denmark.

Six of the 10 main industries in the S&P/TSX advanced on trading volume 5.8 percent lower than the 30-day average.

Raw-materials producers jumped 0.9 percent for the biggest advance, as gold fluctuated around $1,310 an ounce in New York. Gold has rallied 9 percent this year amid concern crises in Ukraine and Iraq could disrupt global growth.

Pretium advanced 4.2 percent to C$7.89, the highest in three weeks, and Torex increased 6.6 percent to C$1.62.

A Russian humanitarian mission was headed toward eastern Ukraine after the U.S. warned President Vladimir Putin not to use aid as a cover to send in troops.

Iraq’s political crisis deepened as embattled Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki refused to hand power to designated successor Haidar al-Abadi, and soldiers and militiamen fanned out across the capital, Baghdad.

Energy shares slipped 0.3 percent, as Brent oil slumped after the International Energy Agency said a supply glut was shielding the market against threats in the Middle East.

Legacy Oil dropped 3.4 percent to C$7.87, and Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd. retreated 5.6 percent to C$11.63.

US

By Elena Popina and Callie Bost

Aug. 12 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks declined, after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index produced its biggest two-day gain since April, as investors watched geopolitical developments and energy shares sank after Brent crude fell to a 13-month low.

Nuance Communications Inc. tumbled 9 percent after posting third-quarter revenue that missed analysts’ estimates. Consol Energy Inc. slipped 2.4 percent to pace losses among energy shares. Intercept Pharmaceuticals Inc. soared 17 percent after a clinical trial met its primary goal. Newmont Mining Corp. jumped 2 percent to the highest since November after an eighth day of gains.

The S&P 500 fell 0.2 percent to 1,933.75 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 9.44 points, or 0.1 percent, to 16,560.54. The Russell 2000 Index of small stocks retreated 0.8 percent. About 4.9 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, the slowest day in a month.

“We’re in a zone of ambivalence with investors maintaining a cautious bias,” Terry Sandven, chief equity strategist at Minneapolis-based U.S. Bank Wealth Management, which oversees $124 billion, said by phone. “Equities appear to be navigating the dog days of summer with markets being driven more by geopolitical events than economic and company fundamentals.”

The S&P 500 climbed 1.4 percent in the previous two trading days amid speculation that tension in Ukraine would lessen. The S&P 500 had fallen as much as 3.9 percent from its record of 1,987.98 on July 24 on concern that conflicts from Iraq to Israel and Ukraine could slow global economic growth.

Data today from Germany reignited those concerns, after investor confidence reported by the ZEW Center dropped for an eighth month as the crisis in Ukraine and a sluggish euro-area recovery damped the outlook for Europe’s largest economy.

A Russian humanitarian mission was headed toward eastern Ukraine after the U.S. warned President Vladimir Putin not to use aid as a cover to send in troops. Ukraine said it won’t let the convoy enter in its current form because it argues the mission doesn’t adhere to international rules.

Equities pared declines after Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov called on Germany to assist with the aid mission. Lavrov spoke by phone with German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier today, the Russian Foreign Ministry website said.

In the Middle East, wide gaps remain between Israel and the Palestinians in reaching a long-term deal on the Gaza Strip, an Israeli official said, as Hamas warned there would be no more truces beyond the one due to end at midnight tomorrow.

Iraq’s Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki chaired a meeting of military officers in the latest sign that he won’t hand power to designated successor Haidar al-Abadi.

“We have some bad news on German investor confidence, and bad news from the euro zone in the long term impact the U.S.,” Walter Todd, who oversees more than $1 billion as chief investment officer for Greenwood, South Carolina-based Greenwood Capital Associates LLC, said in a phone interview. “The economic data from the U.S. is very good, but if the economic situation in Europe continues to deteriorate, we’re not going be immune from that forever.”

Recent reports have shown U.S. gross domestic product expanded at a 4 percent annual pace in the second quarter, confirming the Fed’s view that a first-quarter contraction was transitory. Employers in the U.S. added more than 200,000 jobs for a sixth straight month in July, the longest such period since 1997.

A government report today showed job openings rose in June to the highest level in more than 13 years, firming up the U.S. labor market picture for the second half of the year. The figures are among those on Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen’s labor-market “dashboard,” which she uses to help guide monetary policy.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which usually moves in the opposite direction to the S&P 500, slid 0.7 percent to 14.13 today.

Seven of the 10 main groups in the S&P 500 declined, with energy companies dropping 0.7 percent to lead the slide as Brent crude settled at the lowest level since July 2013. The International Energy Agency said a supply glut was shielding the market against threats in the Middle East.

Consol Energy lost 2.4 percent, while Kinder Morgan Inc. fell 1.6 percent after yesterday rallying 9 percent. Pioneer Natural Resources Co. slid 2 percent.

Nuance Communications dropped 9 percent to $16.47 after the maker of speech-recognition software reported adjusted third- quarter revenue of $486.8 million, missing the average analyst projection of $498.5 million.

Intercept Pharmaceuticals surged 17 percent to $276.52. The company said a treatment based on bile acid met the primary goal in a test of 219 patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

Newmont Mining rose 2 percent to $27.06 for the biggest gain in the S&P 500 and its highest level since November 2013. The gold miner’s eight-day rally is its longest in three years.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

Facts are not frightening.

But if you try to avoid them, turn your back and run, then that is frightening.

 

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986

 

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

If people never did silly things, nothing intelligent would ever get done.

-Ludwig Wittgenstein, 1889-1951

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

August 11, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Hope you caught a glimpse of the supermoon last night – it was beautiful – blazing white! The Perseid meteteor showers begins tonight, and we will be dazzled with shooting stars for the next few nights. There will be plenty of meteors to view tonight but the shower is set to peak tomorrow night, i.e., Tuesday night.

The American Meteor Society has a handy night sky guide to find the constellation Perseus, the area where Perseid meteoroids look like they are coming from, and tips on when to view the Perseids. “Anytime from midnight to dawn will be the best time to see the most activity. I would suggest facing away from the moon and concentrate your view at approximately one-half the way up in the sky. Most of the faint Perseids will be obscured by the bright moonlight,” said AMS’ Robert Lunsford.

Photos of the DayThe supermoon is pictured behind the Christ the Redeemer statue in Rio de Janeiro. Occurring when a full moon or new moon coincides with the closest approach the moon makes to the Earth, the supermoon results in a larger-than-usual appearance of the lunar disk. Pilar Olivares/Reuters

Chinese artist Zhou Jie takes a nap on a wire bed, one of her sculpture works, at Beijing Now Art Gallery, in Beijin. The bed is part of her installation ’36 days,’ in which she lives in the gallery space. Jason Lee/Reuters

Market Closes for August 11th, 2014    

MarketIndex Close Change
DowJones 16569.98  +16.05

 

+0.10%

 

S&P 500 1936.89 +5.30

 

+0.27%

NASDAQ 4401.32 +30.434

 

+0.70%

TSX 15260.75 +64.44

 

+0.42%

 

International Markets

MarketIndex Close Change
NIKKEI 15130.52 +352.15

 

+2.38%

 

HANGSENG 24646.02 +314.61

 

+1.29%

 

SENSEX 25519.24 +190.10

 

+0.75%

 

FTSE 100 6632.82 +65.46

 

+1.00%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.10 Year Bond 2.071 2.064

 

CND.30 YearBond 2.635 2.624

 

U.S.   10 Year Bond 2.4203 2.4221

 

U.S.30 Year Bond 3.2351 3.2343

 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91543 0.91122

 

US$ 1.09238 1.09743

 

Euro Rate1 Euro= Inverse 
Canadian$  1.46203 0.68398

 

US$  1.33839 0.74717

 

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London GoldFix 1308.63 1311.29
 
Oil Close Previous
WTI Crude Future 98.08 97.51

Market Commentary:

Canada
By Eric Lam

Aug. 11 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose a second day as data showed housing starts beat economists’ estimates and tensions eased in the Middle East and Europe.

Tekmira Pharmaceuticals Corp., which is developing an experimental Ebola treatment, jumped 12 percent as the World Health Organization holds a panel today discussing the drugs for the ongoing outbreak in West Africa. Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd. and Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp. added at least 2.2 percent to pace gains among oil producers.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 65.33 points, or 0.4 percent, to 15,261.64 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark equity gauge has climbed 12 percent this year, the second-best performer among the world’s developed markets behind Denmark.

Toronto-Dominion Bank, the country’s largest lender by assets, increased 1.6 percent to C$56.48, the most since May, and Brookfield Asset Management Inc. added 3.4 percent to C$50.97. The S&P/TSX Financials Index rose 0.7 percent. Canada’s housing starts rose 0.7 percent in July to a seasonally-adjusted annual pace of 200,098 units, the fastest since October. Economists had forecast a decline to 193,000.

Tekmira, surged 12 percent to C$25.84, highest since March 26. The drug developer has rallied 76 percent in the past three days as U.S. regulators said the company could possibly give its experimental Ebola drug to people infected with the deadly disease.

Painted Pony added 2.7 percent to C$12.32 and Pacific Rubiales increased 2.2 percent to C$21.82.

Israeli and Palestinian negotiators are resuming talks for a long-term agreement on the Gaza Strip after the two sides agreed yesterday to a 72-hour truce brokered by Egypt. Using fighter jets and drones, the U.S. destroyed several armed trucks and a mortar position held by Iraqi militants, the U.S. Central Command in Tampa, Florida, said yesterday.

Imperial Metals Corp. rallied 1.5 percent to C$10.52 for a second day of gains after the company said it doesn’t see any signs that a burst dam at its Mount Polley copper-and-gold mine will delay the start-up of another mine it’s developing elsewhere in the province.

The dam at Mount Polley, which had been holding mine waste, unleashed about 10 million cubic meters (2.64 billion gallons) of water and 4.5 million cubic meters of ground-up rock when it spilled on Aug. 4. Imperial Metals plunged 39 percent on Aug. 5.

Avigilon Corp. tumbled 7.7 percent to C$20.38, the lowest since May 28, for a third day of declines. The surveillance equipment maker reported worse-than-forecast second-quarter earnings on Aug. 7.

US
By Elena Popina

Aug. 11 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, giving the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index its first back-to-back gains in two weeks, on optimism that tension between Russia and Ukraine will ease and American airstrikes will push back militants in Iraq.

MannKind Corp. advanced 4.9 percent after Sanofi agreed to pay the drugmaker as much as $925 million for rights to the world’s only available inhaled insulin. Kinder Morgan Inc. rallied 9 percent after announcing plans to consolidate its energy businesses. Priceline Group Inc. rose 2.2 percent after reporting better-than-forecast second-quarter bookings. Dean Foods Co. fell 3.9 percent after withdrawing its full-year profit forecast amid a volatile dairy market.

The S&P 500 gained 0.3 percent to 1,936.92 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 16.05 points, or 0.1 percent, to 16,569.98, trimming earlier gains of 0.5 percent. The Russell 2000 Index of small stocks rallied 0.9 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index added 0.7 percent. About 5.1 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 10 percent below the three-month average.

“There is some sense that geopolitical risk out there is waning, or at least the situation is better than the belligerent talk that was coming out in middle of last week,” Bill Schultz, who oversees $1.2 billion as chief investment officer at McQueen, Ball & Associates in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, said in a phone interview. “We’re at lower levels than we were two weeks ago, so there’s a better entry point if you look to add stocks to your portfolio.”

The S&P 500 advanced 1.2 percent on Aug. 8 to erase declines in the previous four sessions, after reports indicated Russia intended to de-escalate the conflict in Ukraine and had ended military exercises held since Aug. 4 near its border with the country.

Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko said today there would be an international humanitarian mission to the city of Luhansk under the auspices of the Red Cross, involving the U.S., the European Union and Russia. Earlier today, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said agreement had been reached with the Ukrainian government on providing aid.

In the Middle East, U.S. jets and drone aircraft hit Islamic State fighters in multiple attacks in Iraq, while Israeli and Palestinian negotiators staked out positions for a long-term agreement on the Gaza Strip amid a new Egyptian- brokered truce.

The S&P 500 had fallen 3.9 percent from its record of 1,987.98 on July 24 on concern that conflicts from Iraq to Israel and Ukraine could slow global economic growth.

The equities benchmark has gone without a 10 percent correction since 2011. It trades at 17.5 times the reported earnings of its companies, after reaching a four-year high of 18.3 in June.

U.S. equities advanced today as technical analysts said stocks will likely extend last week’s rebound. A “tradeable bounce” may be in progress, wrote Jonathan Krinsky at MKM Partners LLC in a note, citing 1,965 as a key level for the S&P 500. About 50 percent of shares in the S&P 500 are oversold, according to Katie Stockton of BTIG LLC.

The index on Aug. 7 came within 60 points of wiping out its gains for 2014 and closed below its 100-day moving average for the first time since April before rallying the following day.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which usually moves in the opposite direction to the S&P 500, tumbled 9.8 percent to 14.23 today.

Seven out of 10 of the main S&P 500 groups advanced, with producers of consumer staples and information technology companies rallying at least 0.6 percent for the biggest gains.

Sysco Corp. added 3.2 percent to $37.44. The food- distribution company reported fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of $12.3 billion, topping the $12.2-billion average estimate of eight analysts compiled by Bloomberg.

Intel Corp. jumped 1.3 percent, the most in the Dow, while Micron Technology Inc. rose 2.3 percent to lead semiconductor shares higher.

MannKind advanced 4.9 percent to $8.53. Sanofi will take 65 percent of any profit or loss related to sales of the drug — Afrezza — while MannKind will get 35 percent, the two companies said in a statement today. Paris-based Sanofi will also advance MannKind as much as $175 million in expenses.

Kinder climbed 9 percent to $39.37, for the biggest gain in the S&P 500. The company will acquire all of Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP, Kinder Morgan Management LLC and El Paso Pipeline Partners LP in a series of transactions valued at about $44 billion, according to a statement yesterday. Kinder Morgan Management jumped 24 percent to $95.42.

Priceline added 2.2 percent to $1,309.28 to lead a rally in discretionary shares. Bookings in the recent period rose 34 percent to $13.5 billion, the Norwalk, Connecticut-based company said today in a statement. That topped Priceline’s May projection for a 32 percent gain. Rival Expedia Inc. climbed 1.4 percent to $83.94. The shares earlier today reached $85.89, the highest on record.

Tesla Motors Inc. added 4.5 percent to $259.32 to close at a record high. Deutsche Bank AG lifted its rating on the Palo Alto, California-based electric carmaker to buy from hold.

Dean Foods lost 3.9 percent to $15.20. The largest U.S. dairy processor said it is operating in the most difficult environment in its history as it battles higher prices for raw milk.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

He who seeks to understand violence belongs to no country, no religion, no political party, no particular system.

What matters to him is the complete understanding of humanity.

According to one school violence is found inside a man;

according to another, it is the result of his social and cultural heritage.

Neither of these viewpoints interests us:

they have no importance; what is important is the way that we are violent,

not the reason for it.

 

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Imagination is the highest kite one can fly.

-Lauren Bacall, 1924-

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

August 8, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Sneak Some Zucchini Onto Your Neighbor’s Porch Night.

Celebrate this fun holiday on August 8!

Established by Pennsylvanian Tom Roy, this day encourages sharing. “Due to the overzealous planting of zucchini, citizens are asked to drop off baskets of the squash on neighbors’ doorsteps.” –Chase’s Calendar of Events.

I believe in pink.
I believe that laughing is the best calorie burner.
I believe in kissing, kissing a lot.
I believe in being strong when everything seems to be going wrong.
I believe that happy girls are the prettiest girls.
I believe that tomorrow is another day and I believe in miracles.

-Audrey Hepburn, 1929-1993

Photos of the Day

Hot air balloons lift off during a mass ascent at the 36th International Balloon Fiesta at Ashton Court Estate near Bristol, England. Ben Birchall/PA/AP


A couple wearing kimonos pose for wedding photos in Hamarikyu Gardens in Tokyo. Eugene Hoshiko/AP

Six sculptures of animated character Shaun the Sheep stand on display during a photocall near the Houses of Parliament in London. The ‘Shaun in the City’ sculptures, decorated by different artists and celebrities, will be auctioned to raise money for sick children. Matt Dunham/AP

Market Closes for August 8th, 2014    

MarketIndex Close Change
DowJones 16553.93  +185.66

 

+1.13%

 

S&P 500 1931.17 +21.60

 

+1.13%

NASDAQ 4371.148 +36.182

 

+0.83%

TSX 15195.69 +77.26

 

+0.51%

 

International Markets

MarketIndex Close Change
NIKKEI 14778.37 -454.00

 

-2.98%

 

HANGSENG 24331.41 -56.15

 

-0.23%

 

SENSEX 25329.14 -259.87

 

-1.02%

 

FTSE 100 6567.36 -30.01

 

-0.45%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.10 Year Bond 2.064 2.073 
CND.30 YearBond 2.624 2.621

 

U.S.   10 Year Bond 2.4221 2.4114

 

U.S.30 Year Bond 3.2343 3.2239

 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91122 0.91478

 

US$ 1.09743 1.09316

 

Euro Rate1 Euro= Inverse 
Canadian$  1.47158 0.67954

 

US$  1.34093 0.74575

 

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London GoldFix 1311.29 1311.89

 

 
Oil Close Previous
WTI Crude Future 97.51 97.34

 


Market Commentary:

Canada
By Eric Lam and Callie Bost

Aug. 8 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, trimming a second weekly decline, as signs that tensions are easing in Ukraine outweighed concern over crises in the Middle East and data showing national employers added fewer jobs than forecast.

Magna International Inc. rallied 6.5 percent, the most in more than two years, after boosting its sales outlook. SNC- Lavalin Group Inc. dropped 2.8 percent after second-quarter profit missed analysts’ estimates on declining revenue. Enerflex Ltd., an oilfield services company, jumped 10 percent as more bookings helped it report better-than-expected profit.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 77.88 points, or 0.5 percent, to 15,196.31 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark slipped 0.1 percent this week.

Stock gains accelerated in afternoon trading as Russia’s Defense Ministry said warplanes had ended drills in the region near Ukraine while RIA Novosti earlier reported that Russia offered to mediate between the government in Ukraine and the separatists that it’s battling.

U.S. President Barack Obama approved airstrikes in Iraq, and rocket attacks marked the end of a cease-fire between Israel and Hamas. Investors have been watching developments in geopolitical crises for signs of slowing global economic growth.

Canada added 200 jobs after a decline of 9,400 in May, while the country’s unemployment rate fell to 7.0 percent as people left the labor market, Statistics Canada said today in Ottawa. Economists had projected a 20,000 job increase according to median forecasts. The economy has alternated monthly jobs gains and losses for nine straight months.

Magna rose 6.5 percent to C$122.24 after reporting higher profit and sales than analysts had forecast. The auto parts maker also increased its 2014 sales guidance to $35.6 billion to $37.3 billion, from $34.9 billion to $36.6 billion.

Linamar Corp. rallied 5.2 percent to C$64.23 and Martinrea International Inc. added 5.6 percent to C$14.09 to pace gains among consumer discretionary stocks. Six of 10 industries in the S&P/TSX advanced.

Avigilon Corp., a security solutions provider, sank 11 percent to C$22.07, the worst decline in three months. The company reported earnings that fell short of estimates and expenses for sales, marketing and research and development expenses increased.

US
By Elena Popina

Aug. 8 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbing the most in five months to erase a weekly loss, as signs that tensions are easing in Ukraine outweighed concern over crises in the Middle East.

Gap Inc. advanced 5.9 percent as the retailer’s earnings and revenue topped estimates. Coach Inc. added 5.4 percent to lead a rally in apparel companies. Zynga Inc. tumbled 1.4 percent after cutting its full-year outlook. News Corp. slid 1.6 percent after fourth-quarter earnings missed estimates as the company struggled in its transition from print to digital.

The S&P 500 jumped 1.2 percent to 1,931.59 at 4 p.m. in New York, the most since March 4. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 185.66 points, or 1.1 percent, to 16,553.93. About 5.6 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 2.6 percent below the three-month average.

“For the most part the market has been pretty resilient over the last week or so,” Michael James, a Los Angeles-based managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities Inc., said in an interview. “It has been able to shrug off a lot of negatives and not go lower than it had.”

The S&P 500’s rally erased declines in the previous four sessions and left the index 0.3 percent higher for the week. The gauge yesterday came within 60 points of wiping out its gains for 2014 as it closed below its 100-day moving average for the first time since April. The Dow bounced back after touching its average price in the past 200 days.

Stocks jumped after RIA Novosti reported that Russia seeks a de-escalation of the conflict in Ukraine. Equities extended gains as Interfax, citing Russia’s Defense Ministry, said military exercises held since Aug. 4 near the Ukraine border are over and forces are returning to areas of permanent deployment.

The S&P 500 had dropped 3.9 percent from a record on July 24 through yesterday as Russia amassed troops along Ukraine’s border and as conflict escalated between Israel and Hamas. Equity futures retreated early today as President Barack Obama approved air strikes in Iraq, and rocket attacks marked the end of a cease-fire between Israel and Hamas.

“When you see the geopolitical news in Russia and the Middle East, it’s horrible from a humanitarian point of view for U.S. equities, but how bad is it for U.S. economic fundamentals?” Michael Purves, chief global strategist and head of equity derivatives research at Weeden & Co. in Greenwich, Connecticut, said in a phone interview. “It’s pretty distant. We’ve had a big selloff since the highs in July and in my estimations, this has been a pretty orderly retreat spurred by overstretched market conditions.”

U.S. stocks climbed amid speculation that recent declines had been excessive. Almost 80 percent of stocks in the S&P 500 closed yesterday below their average price of the past 50 days, the most since 2012, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. All but one of the 10 main industries in the index was oversold, a report from Bespoke Investment Group LLC showed.

The S&P 500 has gone without a 10 percent correction since 2011. It trades at 17.5 times the reported earnings of its companies, after reaching a four-year high of 18.3 in June.

Data today showed the productivity of U.S. workers rose more than projected in the second quarter, rebounding from the biggest drop in more than three decades and helping to restrain labor costs.

Reports last week showed U.S. gross domestic product expanded at a 4 percent annual pace in the second quarter, confirming the Fed’s view that a first-quarter contraction was transitory. Employers in the U.S. added more than 200,000 jobs for a sixth straight month in July, the longest such period since 1997.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, known as the VIX, fell 5.3 percent to 15.77, extending a weekly decline to 7.4 percent.

All 10 major industries in the S&P 500 advanced. Utilities climbed 2 percent for the largest gain.

Consumer-discretionary shares added 1.6 percent, as Gap rallied 5.9 percent, the most since November. The biggest apparel-focused retailer in the U.S. reported preliminary second-quarter earnings and revenue that beat estimates.

Coach added 5.4 percent to lead a 1.9 percent jump in apparel makers.

Nvidia Corp. gained 8.8 percent after the maker of mobile- phone chips posted second-quarter adjusted earnings of 30 cents a share. Analysts on average had predicted 26 cents.

Monster Beverage Corp. advanced 6.7 percent after reporting quarterly earnings of 81 cents a share. That beat the 75-cent average estimate of analysts in a Bloomberg survey.

Zynga dropped 1.4 percent after the online game company posted second-quarter results at the low end of its forecast and cut its full-year outlook after deciding to delay new games.

News Corp., which split from billionaire Rupert Murdoch’s entertainment business last year, retreated 1.6 percent. Chief Executive Officer Robert Thomson is working to transform the company’s print properties into a digital business as well as expand around the globe. The news division, which publishes the Wall Street Journal and the New York Post, continued to face difficulty at a time when advertising is fleeing print in favor of digital destinations. Of the S&P 500 companies that have reported quarterly results so far this season, 75 percent beat analysts’ estimates for profit, while 64 percent exceeded sales projections.

 

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

When you call yourself an Indian or a Muslim, or a Christian, or a European, or anything else,

you are being violent. Do you see why? Because you are separating yourself from the rest of mankind.

When you separate yourself by belief, by nationality, by tradition it breeds violence.

 

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986

 

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

…greatness comes when you are really tested, when you take some knocks, some disappointments,

when sadness comes, because only if you have been in the deepest valley can you ever know how

magnificent it is to be on the highest mountain.

-Richard Nixon, 1913-1994

from his resignation speech

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

August 7, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

The first photos of Earth from Space were seen on this day, August 7th in 1959.  Here are a couple of them:


The U.S. satellite Explorer VI transmitted the first picture of Earth from space.  For the first time we had a likeness of our planet based on more than projections and conjectures.  But it would take years for the general public to see the pictures.  Stewart Brand, founder, Whole Earth Catalog, conceived an idea in 1966 to sell buttons which read, “Why Haven’t We Seen A Photograph of the Whole Earth Yet?”  The photographs of Earth that were made by NASA’s Apollo program were made public in 1969.  The first Earth Day was in 1970.  The ecology movement really took off after the photos were released.

Photos of the Day

Australian Ballet dancer Kismet Bourne climbs out of an empty oceanside pool in Sydney after she and three other dancers took advantage of the empty pool to promote their February 2015 production of Swan Lake. Jason Reed/Reuters


Women paint paper replicas of soldier’s hats for the Vu Lan Festival at Dong Ho village, outside Hanoi, Vietnam. Vietnam is celebrating the month-long festival of the hungry ghosts. Many Taoists and Buddhists believe that the living are supposed to please the ghosts by offering them food and burning paper effigies of daily items for spirits to use in the afterlife. Kham/Reuters

Market Closes for August 7th, 2014

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16368.27

 

 

 

-75.07
 

-0.46%

S&P 500 1909.57

 

-10.67

 

-0.56%

NASDAQ 4334.969

 

 

-20.083

 

-0.46%

TSX 15118.43 -83.66

 

-0.55%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15232.37 +72.58

 

+0.48%

 

HANG

SENG

24387.56 -196.57

 

-0.80%

 

SENSEX 25589.01 -76.26

 

-0.30%

 

FTSE 100 6597.37 -38.79

 

-0.58%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.073 2.110
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.621 2.649
U.S.

10 Year Bond

2.4114 2.4672
U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.2239 3.2692

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91478 0.91631
US

$

1.09316 1.09134
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

Canadian

$

1.46049 0.68470
US

$

1.33603 0.74849

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1311.89 1306.59
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 97.34 96.92

 

Market Commentary:

Canada
By Jacob Barach

Aug. 7 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell to a three-week low as the conflict over Ukraine worsened and earnings from Air Canada and Trinidad Drilling Corp. disappointed investors.

Air Canada, the country’s biggest carrier, dropped 8.1 percent after saying yields would continue to decline this year as it packs fuller planes. Trinidad Drilling sank 4.4 percent after earnings fell short of analyst estimates. Lightstream Resources Ltd., an oil exploration company, lost 8 percent after production fell.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 83.32 points, or 0.6 percent, to 15,118.77 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. Health-care shares led declines among the main industries in the equity gauge, falling 2 percent.

Russia slapped import bans on an array of food goods from the U.S. and Europe and threatened to target the automotive, shipping and aerospace industries, striking back at sanctions over the conflict in Ukraine. The curbs target nations that sanctioned or supported punitive measures against Russia and also include Canada, Australia and Norway.

Air Canada dropped for a sixth day, the longest streak since 2011. The shares fell 8.1 percent to C$8.51. Yield, or average fare per mile, declined 2.1 percent in the second quarter, the company said today. Chief Executive Officer Calin Rovinescu said yields will continue to fall this year as the airline adds more economy class seats and operates longer flights with a view to boosting profit.

Trinidad Drilling slipped 4.4 percent to C$9.99. The company reported lower-than-estimated revenue and results were affected by re-activitating rigs to meet additional demand, leading to additional costs.

Lightstream Resources slumped 8 percent to C$6.31. The company cited reduced field activity for the drop in second- quarter production.

Semafo Inc. rose 10 percent to C$5.32. The gold producer said that it sees output reaching the upper-end of its estimates for the year. The company also beat analyst’s earnings estimates.

Pason Systems Inc., which rents oilfield equipment, jumped 11 percent to C$31.68. The company boosted its dividend and reported higher earnings from the previous year.

US
By Lu Wang and Elena Popina

Aug. 7 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average to the lowest level since April, as concern that the Ukraine conflict is escalating offset better- than-estimated earnings and a drop in American jobless claims.

Health-care companies tumbled 1.2 percent as Aetna Inc. dropped 4 percent. Tyson Foods Inc. slid 2 percent after Russia banned billions of dollars of food imports from the U.S. and other nations in retaliation for sanctions. 21st Century Fox Inc. climbed 5 percent as “X-Men: Days of Future Past” and “Rio 2” led to a jump in income at its film business.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.6 percent to 1,909.57 at 4 p.m. in New York, closing below its average price for the past 100 days for the first time since April. The Dow dropped 75.07 points, or 0.5 percent, to 16,368.27, close to its 200-day moving average. About 6.2 billion shares traded hands on U.S. exchanges, 6.8 percent above the three-month average.

“The uncertainty over the situation in Ukraine has overshadowed the positive economic data we saw earlier today,” John Manley, who helps oversee about $233 billion as chief equity strategist for Wells Fargo Funds Management in New York said in a phone interview. “The market has adapted to the positive data, but when it comes to geopolitical tensions, it’s hard to adapt. Tensions rise and we’re reaching the last level before the situation spins out of control.”

The S&P 500 has lost 3.9 percent since reaching a record of 1,987.98 on July 24, and is about 60 points away from wiping out its gains for 2014. The U.S. equities benchmark extended losses in afternoon trading, with the gauge falling below 1,905 for the first time in more than two months.

Equities stemmed their declines as e-mini S&P 500 futures recovered after briefly falling below 1,900 and the Dow managed to hold above its average price in the past 200 days.

The S&P 500 fell below its 100-day moving average of 1,913.72 after NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen urged Russia to “step back from the brink” by pulling back troops and halting aid for rebels.

Russia has massed troops along its border with Ukraine, prompting the U.S. to say there’s a risk of an invasion.  President Putin retaliated yesterday against European Union and U.S. sanctions by ordering restrictions on food imports from countries that seek to punish Russia.

European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said the risks to the recovery from conflicts including that in Ukraine are increasing. Headwinds facing the 18-nation euro area’s recovery are intensifying after Italy slipped back into recession and the standoff between Russia and the U.S. and its allies escalated into the worst such conflict since the Cold War.

Draghi has said large-scale asset purchases are an option for dealing with a severe economic shock, leaving investors seeking clarification on what the trigger could be.

In the U.S., data showed fewer Americans filed applications for unemployment benefits last week, sending the average over the past month to an eight-year low, a sign the labor market continues to gain momentum.

The government’s employment report last week showed companies in the U.S. added more than 200,000 jobs for a sixth straight month in July, the longest such period since 1997. U.S. gross domestic product expanded at a 4 percent annual pace in the second quarter, confirming the Fed’s view that a first- quarter contraction was transitory.

News Corp. and CBS Corp. are among 17 S&P 500 members that report their financial results today, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. About 75 percent of companies to have posted earnings this season beat analysts’ estimates for profit, while 65 percent exceeded sales projections.

Profit probably rose 9.4 percent in the second quarter, while sales gained 4.2 percent, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

“You just have some geopolitical fear out there that investors always place some risk premium on,” Greg Woodard, a strategist in Fairport, New York, at Manning & Napier Inc., which has about $54 billion under management, said in a phone interview. “If you have underlying fundamentals improving, you have individual companies doing well, and you get some volatility as a result of macroeconomic worries, we’d view that as an opportunity to selectively buy.”

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which usually moves in the opposite direction to the S&P 500, rose 1.8 percent to 16.66 today. The VIX soared 34 percent last week, the most since January.

Eight out of 10 major industries in the S&P 500 declined.  Phone, health-care  and raw-materials companies lost more than 0.9 percent for the biggest losses. Utilities climbed 1.1 percent.

Aetna paced declines among health-care companies, sliding 4 percent as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. cut its rating on the company to neutral from buy. Humana Inc. slumped 3.4 percent and WellPoint Inc. lost 3.6 percent.

Tyson Foods, the largest meat producer in the U.S., slipped 2 percent. While Russia is the second-biggest market for U.S. chicken, its share of export volume has fallen to 7 percent from 40 percent in the mid-1990s, according to a joint statement yesterday from the U.S.-based National Chicken Council and USDA Poultry & Egg Export Council.

“As a result, we do not expect that a Russian ban on U.S.poultry imports will have a great impact on our industry,” the groups said. “Free and fair trade –- particularly with food -– should never be used as a political bargaining chip.”

Scripps Networks Interactive Inc. declined 5.7 percent. The owner of HGTV and the Travel Channel reported second-quarter revenue that missed analyst estimates.

Harman International Industries Inc., which makes technology for auto-navigation systems, slid 4 percent as it forecast 2015 earnings below projections.

Fox rose 5 percent. Fourth-quarter profit topped analysts’ estimates one day after the company dropped its $75 billion bid for Time Warner Inc. Box-office sales from “X-Men: Days of Future Past” and “Rio 2,” along with the addition of the YES Network, helped overcome a tough climate for cable ads and Fox Broadcasting’s struggle to develop hits to succeed the fading “American Idol.”

Symantec Corp. climbed 1 percent. The biggest computer- security software maker is getting a boost as demand picks up for anti-hacking tools, with revenue and profit topping estimates in the fiscal first quarter.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

Nations cohere because there is mutual regard among

individuals composing them.

Some day we must extend the national law

to the universe,

even as we have extended the family law

to form nations – a larger family.

-Mahatma Gandhi, 1869-1948


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

The best time to make friends is before you need them.

-Ethel Barrymore,  1879-1959


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor


Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

August 6, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

August 6, 1945 – Atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima.

If I had only known, I would have been a locksmith. –Albert Einstein.

Photos of the Day

A girl prepares to release paper lanterns with messages of peace on them into the Motoyasu River near the Atomic Bomb Dome in Hiroshima, western Japan, on the 69th anniversary of the atomic bombing. Kyodo News/AP

The sun shines through a sunflower on a field near Zossen, eastern Germany. Tim Brakemeier/dpa/AP

Market Closes for August 6th, 2014

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16443.34

 

 

 

+13.87

 

 

+0.08%

S&P 500 1920.23

 

+0.02

 

NASDAQ 4355.051

 

 

+2.215

 

+0.05%

TSX 15202.09 +14.38

 

+0.09%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15159.79 -160.52

 

-1.05%

 

HANG

SENG

24584.13 -64.13

 

-0.26%

 

SENSEX 25665.27 -242.74

 

-0.94%

 

FTSE 100 6636.16 -46.32

 

-0.69%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.110 2.112
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.649 2.653
U.S.

10 Year Bond

2.4672 2.4844
U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.2692 3.2831

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91631 0.91233

 

US

$

1.09134 1.09609
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

Canadian

$

1.46038 0.68475
US

$

1.33816 0.74730

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1306.59 1288.66
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 96.92 97.38

 

Market Commentary:

Canada
By Eric Lam

Aug. 6 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose for the first time in four days, rebounding from a three-week low, as gold prices rallied amid rising tension in Ukraine and Tim Hortons Inc. jumped after sales surged.

Tim Hortons added 7.4 percent after reporting the highest same-store sales growth in the U.S. in two years. Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. climbed 3 percent as gold advanced the most in six weeks. Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. sank 8.9 percent as earnings fell short of estimates. National Bank of Canada added 0.5 percent as lenders snapped a three-day losing streak.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index added 14.38 points, or 0.1 percent, to 15,202.09 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark Canadian equity gauge closed at a record on July 30 and is the second-best performer among developed markets in the world this year with a 12 percent gain.

Materials producers jumped 0.9 percent as gold surged amid rising tension in Ukraine. NATO said there’s a risk of Russia sending troops into Ukraine under the “pretext” of a humanitarian or peacekeeping mission after President Vladimir Putin massed soldiers on his country’s western border.

Canada reported the largest merchandise trade surplus in more than two years in June as exports reached a record C$45.2 billion on gains in crude oil and metals. The surplus was C$1.86 billion, the highest since December 2011, Statistics Canada said in Ottawa. Economists forecast the trade account would be balanced.

Tim Hortons rallied 7.4 percent to C$64.52, a record, as sales of frozen hot chocolate and crispy chicken sandwiches boosted profit and revenue ahead of estimates in the second quarter. U.S. same-store sales rose 5.9 percent, the most since the first quarter of 2012, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Canaccord Genuity slumped 8.9 percent to C$11.36, the biggest decline since April 2013. Excluding some items, Canaccord reported a 24 percent increase in expenses in the fiscal first quarter.

National Bank added 0.5 percent to C$48.38 and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce rose 0.4 percent to C$100.20 as the S&P/TSX Banks Index rallied 0.1 percent to erase earlier losses and snap a three-day slide.

US
By Elena Popina and Joseph Ciolli

Aug. 6 (Bloomberg) — The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was little changed, after U.S. equities slipped to a two-month low yesterday, as declines in Sprint Corp. and Time Warner Inc. on failed deals offset gains in consumer-staples shares.

Sprint slid 19 percent after a deal to merge with T-Mobile US Inc. collapsed. Time Warner tumbled 13 percent after Rupert Murdoch’s 21st Century Fox Inc. withdrew its unsolicited takeover bid. Molson Coors Brewing Co. and Kellogg Co. paced gains in consumer-staples shares.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose less than 1 point to 1,920.24 at 4 p.m. in New York. The gauge erased an earlier loss after dropping below its average level for the past 100 days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 13.87 points, or less than 0.1 percent, to 16,443.34. About 6.5 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges today, 12 percent above the three-month average.

“There’s going to be a lot of noise intraday going forward, but we still see the fundamental trend moving higher,” Sam Turner, a fund manager with Richmond, Virginia-based Riverfront Investment Group LLC, said in a phone interview. His firm oversees $4.6 billion. “We might slip back to flush out the remaining weak hands, but we’re recommending buying this dip.”

The S&P 500 slid 1 percent yesterday to the lowest level since May as tensions escalated over Ukraine. The benchmark gauge has lost 3.4 percent since reaching a record of 1,987.98 on July 24. It tumbled the most since June 2012 last week as companies around the globe posted disappointing results, Argentina defaulted and Banco Espirito Santo SA was ordered to raise capital.

Russian President Vladimir Putin is showing no sign of backing down over Ukraine. He ordered restrictions on food imports to strike back at the U.S. and other countries that have imposed sanctions on Russia over the turmoil in Ukraine. Putin’s decree bans or limits food and agricultural imports for one year from countries that have imposed or supported sanctions, according to the Kremlin website.

NATO Deputy Secretary General Alexander Vershbow said that Russia has amassed about 20,000 troops along its border with eastern Ukraine.

Stocks have also been weighed down by concerns that the improving economy may force the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates sooner than expected. Data last week showed U.S. gross domestic product expanded at a 4 percent annual pace in the second quarter, confirming the Fed’s view that a first- quarter contraction was transitory.

The S&P 500 has soared 184 percent since the start of the bull market in March 2009, boosted by three rounds of central bank stimulus and better-than-forecast corporate earnings. The benchmark equity gauge has gone without a 10 percent correction since 2011. It trades at 17.4 times the reported earnings of its companies, after reaching the highest level since 2010 in June.

Keurig Green Mountain Inc. and Prudential Financial Inc. are among 25 S&P 500 companies reporting earnings today. About 75 percent of those that have posted results this season have beaten analysts’ estimates for profit, while 64 percent exceeded sales projections, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Profit probably rose 9.4 percent in the second quarter, while sales gained 4.2 percent, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which usually moves in the opposite direction to the S&P 500, fell 3 percent to 16.37 today. The VIX soared 34 percent last week, the most since January.

Four out of 10 major industries in the S&P 500 advanced. Consumer-staples companies added 0.9 percent. Phone and utility shares dropped 1.3 percent.

Sprint slid 19 percent, the most ever. Regulatory concerns outweighed the potential benefits of a merger with T-Mobile US that would combine the third and fourth-largest U.S. wireless carriers, a person familiar with the talks said. Sprint also named Marcelo Claure, the founder of mobile-phone distributor Brightstar Corp., as its new chief executive officer.

T-Mobile retreated 8.4 percent.

Time Warner dropped 13 percent, the most since 2008, as Murdoch’s Fox withdrew its $75 billion offer. The billionaire chairman of Fox gave up after Time Warner’s board refused to engage in talks and Fox’s stock price slid 11 percent since the offer became public. Time Warner also reported earnings that beat estimates and said it plans to buy back $5 billion of its shares.

Fox climbed 3.3 percent as it authorized a $6 billion buyback plan. The company also reported after the close of regular trading that fourth-quarter profit beat analysts’ estimates.

Walgreen Co. retreated 14 percent for its worst performance since 2007. The biggest U.S. drugstore chain said it will pay about $15.3 billion for the shares in Alliance Boots it doesn’t already hold, and won’t use the deal to move its tax address abroad.

Walgreen, which considered redomiciling in Switzerland to lower its tax rate, has come under political pressure not to do a so-called tax inversion. U.S.-based companies, including drugmakers AbbVie Inc. and Pfizer Inc., have struck or attempted deals to cut their own rates by establishing their tax headquarters abroad.

Groupon Inc. slumped 13 percent. The company forecast third-quarter earnings of no more than 2 cents a share, excluding some items, compared with the average analyst estimate of 3 cents a share.

Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp. tumbled 13 percent, the most in more than two years. The provider of outsourcing services lowered its annual revenue forecast as tech-service deals took longer to close amid weakness in certain U.S. and U.K.-based customers.

Bank of America Corp. gained 1.3 percent. The second- biggest U.S. lender raised its quarterly dividend to 5 cents a share and dropped plans to buy back stock after the Fed approved its resubmitted capital plan for 2014.

The dividend increase, from 1 cent per share, was postponed in April after the Charlotte, North Carolina-based company said it made an error in its original Fed submission. The central bank said today it didn’t object to the company’s revised plan.

Molson Coors gained 5.8 percent, the most in the S&P 500, as it reported second-quarter earnings and revenue that surpassed analysts’ projections.

Kellogg advanced 2.3 percent as Sky News reported, without saying where it got the information, that the cereal company appointed Barclays Plc. to assess an offer for United Biscuits Holding Ltd.

Valero Energy Corp. and Marathon Oil Corp. added more than 1.2 percent as energy shares rebounded. Energy companies in the S&P 500 fell 2.1 percent yesterday and plunged 4.1 percent last week, the most since June 2012.

Activision Blizzard Inc. advanced 2.6 percent. The largest U.S. video-game maker posted second-quarter results that beat analysts’ estimates, citing online sales of World of Warcraft and Diablo titles. The company also raised its full-year forecast.

Pandora Media Inc. added 1.6 percent as it reached a partnership agreement with Merlin, the rights agency that represents independent record companies, in its first direct deal with music labels. Pandora will create customized channels for artists, letting them communicate with fans, according to a statement today.

AOL Inc. rose 7.5 percent after revenue topped forecasts.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!


Give with faith, and never without faith.

Give with dignity.  Give with humility.  Give with joy.

And give with the understanding of the effects of your gift.

Taittiriya Upanishad


As ever,

Carolann

 

We are not interested in possibilities of defeat.

-Queen Victoria, 1819-1901

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor


Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7