June 4, 2012 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Went to a restaurant in Kitsilano on the weekend on a recommendation, and I’ll pass that recommendation along.  It is one of Vancouver’s hottest restaurants right now, so book well ahead.  We could only get  a table at 5:30 PM.  The name is La Quercia  and it is located at 3689 West 4th.  It is run by an Italian family (La Quercia means the oak in Italian).  We opted for the kitchen menu of seven courses, which means you don’t know what you’re getting – the chef decides.   Anyway, worth checking out.

And on this day in…

1989 – Tiananmen Square Massacre, China

1911 – Gold is discovered in Alaska’s Indian Creek

1944 – The U-505 becomes the first enemy submarine captured by the U.S. Navy
1942 – The Battle of Midway begins
1896 – Henry Ford test-drives his “Quadricycle”
470 BC – Socrates was born.

Children today are tyrants.  They contradict their parents, gobble their food, and tyrannize their teachers. –Socrates

Love is the emblem of eternity; it confounds all notion of time; effaces all memory of a beginning, all fear of an end. Madame de Stael, 1766-1817.

photos of the day June 4, 2012

Peter Jack holds the Olympic torch aloft at the Giant’s Causeway in county Antrim, Northern Ireland. The Olympic Torch is continuing its relay journey around the country, and is scheduled to arrive at the opening ceremony of the London 2012 Olympic Games.

Peter Morrison/AP

Fireworks are seen at the Wat Phra Dhammakaya temple during Vesak Day, an annual celebration of Buddha’s birth, enlightenment and death in Pathum Thani province, on the outskirts of Bangkok. This year marks the 2600th anniversary of Buddha’s enlightenment.

Sukree Sukplang/Reuters

Market Closes for June 4, 2012:

North American Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

12101.46 -17.11

 

-0.14%

 

S&P 500 1278.18 +0.14

 

+0.01%

 

NASDAQ 2760.01 +12.53

 

+0.46%

 

TSX 11335.77 -2.43

 

-0.22%

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 8295.63 -144.62

 

-1.71%

 

HANG 

SENG

18785.59 -372.75

 

-0.38%

 

SENSEX 15988.40 +23.24

 

-0.15%

 

FTSE 100 5260.19 CLOSED FOR JUBILEE

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

1.679 1.629
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

2.229 2.211
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

1.5239 1.4570
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

2.5652 2.5257

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 1.03968 1.04087

 

US  

$

0.96184 0.96073
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.29889 0.76989
US 

$

1.24932 0.80044

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1619.68 1623.95
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 83.98 83.23
BRENT 99.97 99.68

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Steve Chambers

June 4 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks declined as financial shares fell to a five-month low and a rebound in commodity producers failed to erase the Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index’s retreat.

Royal Bank of Canada slumped 0.8 percent as financial shares in the S&P/TSX declined 0.7 percent. Research In Motion Ltd. tumbled 6.1 percent, dropping to the lowest level since 2003. Suncor Energy Inc., the nation’s largest energy provider, advanced 0.9 percent after tumbling as much as 1.5 percent.

Commodity companies rebounded as the S&P GSCI Index of raw materials rallied 0.6 percent, reversing a 1.6 percent loss that had driven the measure to a level last seen in 2010.

The S&P/TSX fell 25.43 points, or 0.2 percent, to 11,335.77. The index dropped as much as 1.3 percent intraday.

“The problem with the Canadian market is very simple: the more worries there are about a global economic slowdown, the more problems for countries like ours and Australia that are so tied to commodities,” Sebastian van Berkom, a money manager at Van Berkom & Associates in Montreal, said in a telephone interview. The firm oversees C$1.8 billion ($1.7 billion).

“When commodities go down, we go down more than elsewhere, and when they rally our market is good again.”

The S&P/TSX dropped 1.3 percent on the final day of last week after U.S. job growth slowed to a one-year low.

US

By Rita Nazareth

June 4 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks reversed losses as the cheapest price-to-earnings valuation for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index in six months overshadowed a drop in factory orders.

Amazon.com Inc. and Starbucks Corp. advanced at least 3 percent to pace gains in consumer discretionary companies.

Chesapeake Energy Corp. rallied 6 percent on plans to replace almost half its board under pressure from billionaire investor Carl Icahn. Caterpillar Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. retreated more than 2.6 percent. Facebook Inc. declined 3 percent to the lowest price since the stock began trading at $38 last month.

The S&P 500 rose less than 0.1 percent to 1,278.18 at 4 p.m. New York time, after dropping as much as 0.9 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average retreated 17.11 points, 0.1 percent, to 12,101.46. About 7.1 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, or 5 percent above the three-month average.

“It’s very easy to get depressed,” said Frances Hudson, global thematic strategist who helps manage $256.6 billion at Standard Life Investments in Edinburgh. She spoke in a phone interview. “We’ve been having mixed data signals. If your time horizon is longer, you’re in a better position to work these things out. Then you can step back from the noises.”

The S&P 500 started the session trading at 12.9 times its companies’ reported earnings, the lowest valuation since November. It dropped 9.9 percent from a four-year high on April 2 through last week amid concern Europe’s debt crisis was worsening and global economic growth was slowing.

Earlier losses in U.S. stocks today extended the S&P 500’s drop from its peak to more than 10 percent as government data showed factory orders fell 0.6 percent in April, pointing to a deceleration in manufacturing. China’s non-manufacturing industries expanded at the slowest pace in more than a year.

“It’s a function of things having gotten oversold and due for a rally at some point,” said Michael James, a managing director at Wedbush Securities Inc. in Los Angeles.

Seven out of 10 groups in the S&P 500 advanced as phone, consumer discretionary and technology shares had the biggest gains. Amazon.com, the world’s largest Internet retailer, jumped 3.1 percent to $214.57. Starbucks, the world’s largest coffee- shop chain, added 3.4 percent to $53.90.

Chesapeake Energy rallied 6 percent to $16.52. Four of the company’s eight non-executive directors will be replaced with nominees of the largest shareholders, Southeastern Asset Management Inc. and Icahn. Icahn triggered the overhaul by acquiring a 7.6 percent stake last month to rein in what he saw as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Aubrey McClendon’s risk- taking and overspending that led to a $22 billion cash crunch and eroded the share price.

An intensifying financial crisis in Spain or elsewhere in Europe has the potential to drive U.S. stocks into a bear market, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s chief U.S. equity strategist said. While David Kostin’s mid-year forecast for the S&P 500 calls for a 3.7 percent gain from last week’s close to 1,325, the measure may fall to 1,125 should the situation in Europe worsen. That would give the S&P 500 a more-than 20 percent loss since its 2012 closing peak of 1,419.04.

The June 1 report from Goldman Sachs said the most likely scenario is Greek elections resulting in the nation remaining in the euro zone. Concern it will leave has helped drag the S&P 500 down since April 2, including the biggest monthly decline since September. “Financial contagion or crisis in Spain” could prompt a bear market, according to the report.

Caterpillar, the largest maker of construction and mining equipment, dropped 2.6 percent to $83.26. JPMorgan fell 2.9 percent to $31. Morgan Stanley tumbled 2.9 percent to $12.36, the lowest since 2008.

Facebook slumped 3 percent to $26.90 and went as low as $26.44, after tumbling 13 percent last week. The world’s biggest social network dropped after Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. initiated coverage with an underperform rating and a $25 share- price estimate.

“It is difficult to argue for owning the stock today,” said Carlos Kirjner, an analyst at Bernstein in New York, in a research report today.

The Bloomberg U.S. Airlines Index tumbled 7.5 percent as Delta Air Lines Inc. sank 12 percent to $10.18. The company missed a revenue projection as competitors cut fares just before the start of the peak season for U.S. vacation travel.

Regions Financial Corp. slid 5.6 percent to $5.55, the lowest since February. The Birmingham, Alabama-based bank was downgraded to hold from buy at Deutsche Bank AG on June 1. The 12-month share-price estimate is $6.50 per share.

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!

 

Find the Unique and possess the Whole.

This truly is our highest, most sublime privilege.

It is in the law of this unity that is, as long as we understand it,

our immutable force.  Its living principle is the force that resides in truth –

Truth is one.

Swami Prajnanpad, 1891-1974

As ever,

Carolann

 

Business opportunities are like buses;

there’s always another one coming.

-Richard Branson,  1950-

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7