September 09th, 2025, Newsletter

Tangents: Happy Tuesday.

September 9, 490 BC: Battle of Marathon.
September 9, 1562:  The 1562 map of the Americas, created by Spanish cartographer Diego Gutiérrez, which applied the name California for the first time.
September 9, 1850 California became the 31st state of the union. Go to article
September 9, 1947: The first recorded computer bug is logged when a moth is found in  Harvard’s Mark II relay, giving birth to the term still used in computing.

Leo Tolstoy, writer, b. 1828.
Hugh Grant, actor, b. 1960.
Adam Sandler, actor, b. 1966.
Rachel Hunter, actress, b. 1966.

William the Conqueror, d. 1087.

Photos: Blood moon captivates skywatchers
Photographers recently captured the splendor of a total lunar eclipse, which turned the full moon a reddish hue. View CNN’s photo gallery here.

Video: Man attempts to break beer-carrying record
It wasn’t what he hoped for, but still impressive. Ale’s well that ends well.

China’s Labubus are the must-have toy of the year. So are the fakes
Chinese authorities have removed more than 1.8 million counterfeit Labubu dolls from the market. Yet the dolls and their fakes continue to be sold in large quantities both domestically and overseas.

New photos of interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS reveal its tail growing before our eyes

New images reveal interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS beginning to grow a signature tail as it zooms closer to the sun ahead of a close encounter with Earth this fall. Read More.

‘Extraordinary’ Roman helmet from war-ending battle found in the sea off Sicily

Archaeologists recovered the “Montefortino”-style helmet in an underwater excavation in the Aegadian Islands off the coast of Sicily. Read More.

‘Blood moon’ gallery: Stunning snaps from last night’s total lunar eclipse

A “blood moon” hovered above parts of the globe last night. And while North America missed out, we’ve rounded up some of the best photographs of September 2025’s total lunar eclipse. Read More.

Do you think we should stop the progress of AI before it becomes a threat to our species?

Many believe that the risks of an evolving artificial intelligence far outweigh the benefits. Do you think we should halt development in case it’s too dangerous for humanity to handle? Read More.

A scalding hot ‘sand battery’ is now heating a small Finnish town

Engineers created a sand battery that they say will slash the carbon emissions in Pornainen, Finland, by 70% — it uses renewables to heat the sand to more than 1,000 degrees Fahrenheit. Read More.
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

New Banksy Museum opens in Madrid

A museum dedicated to the British urban artist Banksy has opened in Madrid, Spain, featuring 170 life-sized reproductions of his works
Pablo Cuadra/Getty Images

Top 10 most-sighted butterflies in 2025’s Big Butterfly Count

Gatekeepers took the number one spot in the count last year. While the number of Gatekeepers spotted this year has remained similar to last year, the population has suffered a decline of around a quarter over the past 15 years. Gatekeepers are so named as they are often spotted around gates and hedgerows where there is an abundance of flowers.
Photograph: William Cave/Guardian Community

Anglesey, Wales

‘As part of Amlwch Viking festival, about 200 re-enactors paraded down the hill with fire lanterns, calling out to Odin as 1,000 spectators cheered them on from the other side of the harbour.’
Photograph: Ian ‘Yan’ Rees
Market Closes for September 9th, 2025

Market
Index 
Close  Change 
Dow
Jones
45711.34 +196.39
+0.43%
S&P 500  6512.61 +17.46
+0.27%
NASDAQ  21879.49 +80.79
+0.37%
TSX  29063.01 +35.28
+0.12%

International Markets

Market
Index 
Close  Change 
NIKKEI  43459.29 -184.52
-0.42%
HANG
SENG
25938.13 +304.22
+1.19%
SENSEX  81101.32 +314.02
+0.39%
FTSE 100* 9242.53 +21.09
+0.23%

Bonds

Bonds  % Yield  Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond 
3.229 3.209
CND.
30 Year
Bond 
3.677 3.660
U.S.
10 Year Bond
4.0875 4.0398
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.7311 4.6922

Currencies

BOC Close  Today  Previous  
Canadian $   0.7222 0.7246
US
$
1.3846 1.3800

 

Euro Rate
1 Euro= 
  Inverse   
Canadian $   1.6212 0.6168
US
$
1.1709 0.8540

Commodities

Gold Close  Previous  
London Gold
Fix
3632.65 3594.55
Oil
WTI Crude Future 62.63 62.26

Market Commentary:
All the good things of life are available to us in the spiritual garden which is our own thoughts.  Whatever we plant and encourage will grow and manifest
itself in our lives. –Sir John Temopleton, July 1984.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose 0.1% at 29,063.01 in Toronto.
The move follows the previous session’s decrease of 0.1%.
Teck Resources Ltd. contributed the most to the index gain and had the largest move, increasing 11.5%.
Today, 99 of 210 shares rose, while 107 fell; 4 of 11 sectors were higher, led by energy stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index rose 18%, heading for the best year since 2024
* This quarter, the index rose 8.2%
* The index advanced 26% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 20% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is at its 52-week high and 30.8% above its low on April 7, 2025
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 1.6% in the past 5 days and rose 4.7% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.6 on a trailing basis and 18.2 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.5% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$4.64t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 9.71% compared with 9.83% in the previous session and the average of 9.80% over the past month

Index Points
Energy | 45.0160| 1.0| 31/9
Financials | 33.2243| 0.4| 16/8
Materials | 3.2766| 0.1| 13/34
Utilities | 1.9218| 0.2| 10/3
Health Care | -0.2392| -0.3| 1/2
Consumer Discretionary | -1.2739| -0.1| 4/5
Communication Services | -1.5330| -0.2| 0/4
Real Estate | -1.7000| -0.3| 6/13
Consumer Staples | -2.8148| -0.3| 4/5
Industrials | -15.1000| -0.4| 10/18
Information Technology | -25.4791| -0.8| 4/6
Teck Resources | 17.2700| 11.5| 461.1| -7.2
TD Bank | 14.5900| 1.2| 21.1| 36.5
Canadian Natural |Resources | 14.0700| 2.3| 147.5| -3.5
Canadian National | -8.9800| -1.8| 49.1| -11.5
Canadian Pacific | Kansas | -9.7650| -1.4| 5.4| -0.5
Shopify | -26.1700| -1.5| -6.3| 30.0

US
By Rita Nazareth
(Bloomberg) — Stocks hit all-time highs on hopes the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to curb a jobs downturn, with traders gearing up for inflation data that will test the market’s conviction.
While most shares in the S&P 500 fell, the gauge rose amid gains in all big techs but Apple Inc. – which sank 1.5% after introducing its iPhone 17, including an already expected skinnier model.
In late hours, Oracle Corp. surged after posting a huge jump in bookings.
A slide in bonds halted a four-day rally.
Oil climbed after an Israeli attack in Qatar revived fears of an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East.
In the wake of more data showing labor-market cooling, investors geared up forkey inflation figures due in the next couple of days.
The reports will help set the tone for next week’s Fed meeting as well as the scope of easing through the end of 2025.
And that will certainly determine whether Wall Street can extend this month’s gains.
With money markets almost fully projecting three Fed cuts this year, the bar is high for both the producer and the consumer price indexes.
A worse-than-expected inflation increase would complicate policy decisions at a time when pressure is mounting to provide economic relief through lower rates, according to Stephen Kates at Bankrate.
“It is clear the economy is caught between a rock and a hard place – or more accurately, between a labor shock and a hot pace,” he said.
To Chris Zaccarelli at Northlight Asset Management, while a deteriorating jobs picture should make it easier for the Fed to cut rates, it could also throw some cold water on the recent market rally.
“Worse still, if the CPI shows a worsening trend of higher inflation on Thursday, then the market will begin worrying about ‘stagflation’.”
The most relevant question now becomes the extent to which the August inflation data will reshape the market’s expectations for the Fed’s decision next week, according to Ian Lyngen and Vail Hartman at BMO Capital Markets.
“The Fed is cutting 25 basis points – barring a far more dramatic downshift in the trajectory of realized inflation, in which case a half-point cut could be on the table,” they said.
“We’re solidly in the quarter-point camp and view the August inflation update as more meaningful for the conversations about where the Fed cutting cycle ends, not how it begins.”
In the run-up to the inflation reports, government data showed US job growth was far less robust in the year through March than previously reported.
The number of workers o payrolls will likely be revised down by a record 911,000, or 0.6%, according to the preliminary benchmark revision out Tuesday.
The final figures are due early next year.
US INSIGHT: Jobs Revised Down by 911,000 — In One Chart Jamie Dimon said the record revision to US payrolls data is further proof that the US economy is battling a slowdown.
“The economy is weakening,” the JPMorgan Chase & Co. chief executive officer said in an interview with CNBC Tuesday.
“Whether that is on the way to recession or just weakening, I don’t know.”
A deteriorating labor market will allow the Fed to highlight the need to ease rates, said Jeff Roach at LPL Financial, who says investors should expect the Fed to officially resume its rate-cutting campaign at the next meeting.
“For now, we assume a modest net dovish impact: firming some the likelihood of three successive cuts in September, October and December without making this anything close to a lock,” said Krishna Guha at Evercore.
To Gary Schlossberg at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, weakening job growth, underscored by Tuesday’s report, should be viewed against support from ample market liquidity, the rally in stocks and the Fed’s prospective rate cuts in pointing toward an
economic “soft patch” rather than a sustained economic slowdown.
“The shallow growth slowdown that we are anticipating is fully consistent with our recommended tilt toward more liquid, large-cap stocks and other higher-quality sectors of the financial market, as the economy navigates a period of slowing growth ahead of a forecasted recovery in 2026,” he said.
A quarter-point interest-rate cut by the Fed next week would be the most-favorable scenario for financial assets, with a deeper reduction running the risk of alarming investors, according to Charles Schwab Corp.’s Omar Aguilar.
If policymakers keep borrowing costs unchanged, Wall Street will likely react “fairly negatively” given a rate reduction is all but priced in, the CEO and CIO of Schwab Asset Management said at the Future Proof conference in Huntington Beach, California.
If the Fed goes big — cutting interest rates by 50 basis points — investors could perceive that as a sign the economy is in trouble.
US PREVIEW: PPI to Show Accelerating Airfares, Stock Rally The government will release its latest consumer price index ahead of the Fed’s Sept. 16-17 policy meeting.
Core CPI, a measure of underlying inflation excluding food and fuel, probably rose 0.3% in August for a second month, according to the Bloomberg survey median estimate.
Economists will parse the extent to which higher US import duties are filtering through to consumers.
So far, many companies have made an effort to refrain from hiking prices in order to maintain sales.
Options traders are betting the S&P 500 will post a modest swing on Thursday following the CPI report, with a projected move of nearly 0.6% in either direction, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
That’s well below an average realized move of 1% over the past year.
“Given the recent softness in the labor market data, even if we were to see elevated inflation data this week, we still think the Fed would cut rates next week,” said Chris Kampitsis at Barnum Financial Group.
The Fed is likely more focused on the employment market rather than inflation at this time.”

Corporate Highlights:
* Nvidia Corp., whose chips and systems are at the heart of the artificial intelligence computing boom, said it plans to offer a new product designed to handle demanding tasks such as video generation and software creation.
* Alphabet Inc.’s Google cloud computing division has up to $106 billion in commitments from existing customer contracts that it has yet to fulfill, according to the division’s Chief Executive Officer, Thomas Kurian.
* JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s third-quarter trading revenue could climb by a percentage in the “high teens” from a year earlier, well ahead of the 8.2% jump analysts currently expect.
* Boeing Co. delivered 57 commercial aircraft in August, its best performance for the month since 2018, in the latest sign of steadying factory operations as the US plane maker targets faster production rates.
* United Airlines Holdings Inc. said corporate travel has bounced back from a dip earlier in the year, with signs that the trend will continue through the rest of 2025.
* UnitedHealth Group Inc. said it expects most of its Medicare Advantage members to be in highly rated plans that earn bonus payments next year, a boon for its health insurance business.
* Humana Inc. shares dropped after reports suggested that criteria for Medicare health plans to earn bonus payments appeared to get more challenging.
* Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc. said it’s suspending store remodels as the restaurant chain continues to walk back planned changes such as a new logo that hurt the shares.
* Goldman Sachs Group Inc. won a $40 billion mandate from Shell Plc to oversee pension assets for the energy company, in one of the biggest outsourced deals of its kind.
* Nebius Group NV shares soared on Tuesday after signing an artificial intelligence infrastructure deal worth as much as $19.4 billion with Microsoft Corp.
* Anglo American Plc has agreed to acquire Canada’s Teck Resources Ltd., creating a more than $50 billion company in one of the biggest mining deals in over a decade.
* American Express Co. grew its global merchant acceptance rate by more than 16% in the 12 months through June as it continues to invest in the domestic and international network of places that accept its credit cards.
* Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp. are bullish on China’s future appetite for liquefied natural gas even if Russia succeeds in adding another pipeline to the Asian nation.
* Lazard Inc. is aiming to station half a dozen bankers in its newly opened office in Abu Dhabi as part of Chief Executive Officer Peter Orszag’s yearslong plan to double the firm’s revenue.
* Airbus SE can achieve its aircraft delivery target for the year, though handing over 820 planes depends on receiving engines that remain difficult to source, Chief Executive Officer Guillaume Faury said.
* Novartis AG agreed to buy Tourmaline Bio Inc. in a deal valued at about $1.4 billion as the Swiss drugmaker continues to pursue bolt-on deals to boost its drug pipeline.
* Kering SA’s incoming chief executive officer vowed to slash debt and cut costs in a bid to revive the struggling luxury mowner of Gucci.
What Bloomberg Strategists say…
“While equities have held steady on rising hopes for rate cuts, such support can only go so far in obscuring the deteriorating underlying reality.
This time, rate cuts have the whiff of unease rather than relief.”
—Tatiana Darie, Macro Strategist, Markets Live

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.3% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.3%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4%
* The MSCI World Index rose 0.2%
* Bloomberg Magnificent 7 Total Return Index rose 0.8%
* The Russell 2000 Index fell 0.5%
* Apple fell 1.5%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2%
* The euro fell 0.5% to $1.1707
* The British pound fell 0.2% to $1.3519
* The Japanese yen was little changed at 147.45 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin fell 0.6% to $111,325.45
* Ether was little changed at $4,294.59

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced four basis points to 4.08%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to 2.66%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to 4.62%
* The yield on 2-year Treasuries advanced six basis points to 3.55%
* The yield on 30-year Treasuries advanced three basis points to 4.72%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.6% to $62.65 a barrel
* Spot gold fell 0.2% to $3,629.94 an ounce

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann
If knowledge is treasure, wisdom is the treasurer.  He that hath too much knowledge without judgement is made more for another man’s use
than his own. –William Penn, 1644-1718.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801 (Text Only)
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com