November 9, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
On Nov. 9, 1989, East Germany lifted restrictions on emigration or travel to the West, and within hours tens of thousands of East and West Berliners swarmed across the infamous Berlin Wall
for a boisterous celebration.  Go to article »

1938: Kristallnacht,  “Crystal Night” pogrom against Jews in Germany.
1989: Berlin Wall opened.
1965: East Coast blackout.

Gorgeous and ghostly photos of the Beaver blood moon total lunar eclipse: On Tuesday, Nov. 8, the final total lunar eclipse until 2025 unfolded high in the sky over Earth.  The eclipse — also known as a blood moon, for the rusty, reddish hue that the moon takes on after fully entering into Earth’s shadow — was visible throughout East Asia, Australia, the Pacific and North America for several hours. Photographers around the world took to the streets, eager to catch the night sky spectacle.  Full Story: Live Science (11/8)

Italy hails ‘exceptional’ discovery of ancient bronze statues in Tuscany:  Archaeologists have uncovered beautifully preserved bronze statues dating back to ancient Roman times. Take a look at the photos.

Sleep deprivation affects nearly half of American adults, study finds: Are you having trouble falling or staying asleep? If so, you’re not alone. Check out these expert tips on achieving better rest.

‘The Whale’ trailer previews Brendan Fraser’s buzz-worthy performance: The actor’s portrayal of a reclusive, obese teacher has already been touted as Oscar-worthy. Watch the film’s new trailer here.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Chiang Mai, Thailand
People release krathong, small lotus-shaped boats traditionally made from banana leaves, during Yi Peng, a celebration held on the evening of the 12th month’s full moon
Photograph: Guillaume Payen/SOPA Images/Rex/Shutterstock

Great Ayton, UK
Knitted poppies arranged around the war memorial outside Christ church before Remembrance Day
Photograph: Ian Forsyth/Getty Images

Kyiv, Ukraine
Volodymyr Zelenskiy meets the Hollywood actor and philanthropist Sean Penn. Penn gave Zelenskiy one of his Oscar statuettes, saying: ‘When you win, bring it back to Malibu’
Photograph: UPI/Rex/Shutterstock
Market Closes for November 9th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
32513.94 -646.89
-1.95%
S&P 500 3748.57 -79.54
-2.08%
NASDAQ  10353.18 -263.02
-2.48%
TSX 19344.25 -316.06
-1.61%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 27716.43 -155.68
-0.56%
HANG
SENG
16358.52 -198.79
-1.20%
SENSEX 61033.55 -151.60
-0.25%
FTSE 100* 7296.25 -9.89
-0.14%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
3.396 3.483
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.468 3.520
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.0986 4.1318
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.2761 4.2738

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7390 0.7447
US
$
1.3531 1.3428
 
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3545 0.7383
US 
1.0012 0.9988

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1678.65 1678.95
Oil    
WTI Crude Future  85.83 88.91

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1731, Benjamin Banneker, the brilliant African-American mathematician and inventor, was born on a farm in Ellicott’s Mills, Md. In 1752 he built what is believed to have been the first clock made entirely in America. Banneker later published an authoritative annual almanac and helped conduct the land survey that laid out the boundaries of Washington, D.C.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite fell 1.6% at 19,344.25 in Toronto.

The move was the biggest since falling 2% on Oct. 11 and follows the previous session’s increase of 0.6%.
Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 5.3%.

Converge Technology Solutions Corp. had the largest drop, falling 13.4%.
Today, 196 of 236 shares fell, while 39 rose; 10 of 11 sectors were lower, led by energy stocks.

Insights
* In the past year, the index had a similar or greater loss 15 times. The next day, it declined 12 times for an average 0.7% and advanced three times for an average 0.3%
* This year, the index fell 8.9%, heading for the worst year since 2018
* The index declined 10% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 21% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 12.9% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 8.2% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 0.3% in the past 5 days and rose 4.1% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.9 on a trailing basis and 12.1 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.3% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.13t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 20.64% compared with 20.52% in the previous session and the average of 22.49% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Energy | -103.3921| -2.7| 2/36
Financials | -75.7491| -1.3| 6/23
Materials | -57.8686| -2.5| 4/47
Industrials | -33.8866| -1.3| 3/24
Information Technology| -22.4175| -2.2| 4/10
Utilities | -6.1371| -0.7| 5/11
Consumer Staples | -6.0113| -0.7| 4/7
Consumer Discretionary| -5.4365| -0.8| 2/12
Real Estate | -4.3985| -0.9| 4/18
Health Care | -2.1096| -2.6| 1/5
Communication Services| 1.3643| 0.1| 4/3
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points| | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move |% Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Shopify | -18.9500| -5.3| -20.1| -76.0
Suncor Energy | -15.9600| -3.5| 8.7| 47.4
Cenovus Energy | -14.8400| -5.4| -6.5| 74.6
Open Text | 1.2250| 1.8| 8.3| -37.8
Rogers Communications| 2.1960| 1.6| 45.4| -4.1
TC Energy | 10.4500| 2.5| -17.4| 4.8

US
By Stephen Kirkland
(Bloomberg) — US stocks declined as renewed selling in cryptocurrencies and disappointing earnings weighed on risk sentiment ahead of a key inflation report.

The dollar gained for the first time in four days.
The S&P 500 put paid to a three-day rally, with all 11 major industry groups in the red.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 dropped the most among benchmarks, closing down 2.4%.
Walt Disney Co. and News Corp. tumbled after posting results that fell short of expectations.
Bitcoin dropped below $16,000 to a level not seen since 2020 amid a deepening selloff in cryptocurrencies as Binance walked away from its planned takeover of FTX.com.
After midterm elections failed to deliver a Republican sweep, attention shifted toward the closely watched inflation report due Thursday for clues on the path of Federal Reserve policy tightening.
“Elections matter, but other factors matter more for markets and the economy,” Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer at Truist Wealth, said in a note. “The path of inflation, interest rates, monetary policy, the economy, and earnings will continue to exert the greatest influence on markets over the next year.”
US inflation probably moderated slightly in October, with the consumer price index and the core measure that excludes food and energy both seen cooling on an annual basis.

But with the overall annual inflation rate exceeding forecasts in six of the prior seven months, another upside surprise could dash hopes of a Fed downshift after four jumbo rate hikes.
On the election front, investors had eyed prospects of a Republican comeback in Congress, with GOP taking control of both the House of Representatives and Senate.

But US voters delivered a mixed verdict, with Republicans heading for control of the House by smaller margins than forecast and the race for Senate still wide open. 

More commentary
* “Portfolios will assess and adjust their risk now that the ‘uncertainty’ of the U.S. mid-term elections fading,” wrote Craig Johnson, chief market technician at Piper Sandler. “Soon enough, their focus will shift back to this week’s corporate earnings results and the upcoming October CPI data.”
* “The market is still going to fixate on inflation, which is going to stay high and sticky at least over the next couple of quarters,” Luke Barrs, global head of fundamental equity client portfolio management at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, said on Bloomberg TV.

Key events this week:
* US CPI, US initial jobless claims, Thursday
* Fed officials Lorie Logan, Esther George, Loretta Mester speak at events, Thursday
* US University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 2.1% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 2.4%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.9%
* The MSCI World index fell 1.6%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.6%
* The euro fell 0.6% to $1.0011
* The British pound fell 1.7% to $1.1349
* The Japanese yen fell 0.6% to 146.52 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin fell 13% to $16,216.08
* Ether fell 13% to $1,163.86

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined two basis points to 4.11%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined 11 basis points to 2.17%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined 10 basis points to 3.46%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 3.7% to $85.58 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.5% to $1,707.80 an ounce
–With assistance from Vildana Hajric, Muyao Shen, Tassia Sipahutar, Srinivasan Sivabalan and Isabelle Lee.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

The secret to success is to do common things uncommonly well. – John D. Rockefeller Sr., 1839-1937.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

November 8,2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Full moon tonight.
November 8, 1971: The album “Led Zeppelin IV,” which included the song “Stairway to Heaven,” was released.  Go to article »
November 8, 1989: Ernest Coveley who used a cucumber wrapped in a bin liner as a pretend shotgun in 14 robberies, was imprisoned for seven years.  Police stated that Coveley destroyed the evidence by making cucumber sandwiches.
1519: Cortes conquers Mexico.
1929: MOMA opens to the public.

Edmund Halley, astronomer, b. 1656
Margaret Mitchell, writer, b. 1900
Bonnie Raitt, musician, b. 1949

Stanley Tucci has five rules for making perfect pasta.
What would you bid for a T. rex skull?

Stone Age child may have been buried with a wolf:  A Stone Age burial in Finland holds the remains of a child, as well as an assortment of grave goods, bird feathers, canine hairs and plant fibers, giving archaeologists insight into burial practices from that time period.
First discovered in 1991 in Majoonsuo, an archaeological site near the town of Outokumpu in eastern Finland, the grave contains the teeth of a child, who, based on a dental analysis, died between the ages of 3 and 10.
Full Story: Live Science (11/7)

In a 1st, two people receive transfusions of lab-grown blood cells: Two people in the U.K. are the first ever to receive transfusions of lab-grown red blood cells.  The pair are healthy volunteers in the “Recovery and survival of stem cell originated red cells” (RESTORE) trial, a one-of-a-kind clinical trial taking place at Addenbrooke’s Hospital in Cambridge. The trial will ultimately include at least 10 participants, each of whom will receive a tiny transfusion of about one to two teaspoons-worth of lab-grown red blood cells.  Full Story: Live Science (11/8)

Gas cloud 20 times bigger than the Milky Way may have been left by a cosmic intruder, study reveals: Scientists have discovered a gigantic trail of gas drifting out from a quintet of warring galaxies.
The mysterious gas cloud — the largest ever seen around a group of galaxies — may have been left behind by a “cosmic intruder,” a new study reveals.  Full Story: Live Science (11/7)
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A composite image of the total lunar eclipse, in which the moon is completely covered by the Earth’s shadow, seen from the city of Gwangju, south-west South Korea
Photograph: Yonhap/EPA

The blood-red moon passes over the Empire State Building in New York City
Photograph: Gary Hershorn/Getty Images

The eclipse is visible in Kolkata, India
Photograph: Piyal Adhikary/EPA
Market Closes for November 8th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33160.83 +333.83
+1.02%
S&P 500 3828.11 +21.31
+0.56%
NASDAQ  10616.20 +51.68
+0.49%
TSX 19660.31 +114.40
+0.59%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 27872.11 +344.47
+1.25%
HANG
SENG
16557.31 -38.60
-0.23%
SENSEX 61185.15 +234.79
+0.39%
FTSE 100* 7306.14 +6.15
+0.08%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
3.483 3.601
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.520 3.621
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.1318 4.2135
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.2738 4.3190

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7447 0.7411
US
$
1.3428 1.3493
 
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3529 0.7392
US 
1.0075 0.9926

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1678.95 1674.40
Oil    
WTI Crude Future  88.91 91.79

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1887, the Johannesburg Stock Exchange was founded in Johannesburg, South Africa.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose for the third day, climbing 0.6%, or 114.4 to 19,660.31 in Toronto.

The index advanced to the highest closing level since Sept. 14.
Nutrien Ltd. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 5.9%.

Maple Leaf Foods Inc. had the largest increase, rising 12.4%.
Today, 151 of 236 shares rose, while 82 fell; 7 of 11 sectors were higher, led by materials stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index fell 7.4%, heading for the worst year since 2018
* The index declined 8.8% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 20% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 11.5% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 10% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 0.7% in the past 5 days and rose 5.8% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.9 on a trailing basis and 12.3 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.2% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.12t
* 30-day price volatility little changed to 20.52% compared with 20.52% in the previous session and the average of 22.57% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Materials | 102.6095| 4.7| 45/6
Utilities | 10.4343| 1.2| 13/2
Financials | 10.3285| 0.2| 15/14
Information Technology | 7.8521| 0.8| 10/4
Industrials | 6.0320| 0.2| 17/10
Real Estate | 2.0116| 0.4| 16/6
Consumer Staples | 1.7829| 0.2| 6/5
Health Care | -0.6872| -0.8| 3/4
Communication Services | -3.0028| -0.3| 2/4
Consumer Discretionary | -4.4929| -0.6| 8/6
Energy | -18.4691| -0.5| 16/21
================================================================
| | |Volume VS | YTD
| Index | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Nutrien | 21.6300| 5.9| 18.2| 9.9
Barrick Gold | 16.3300| 6.8| 64.0| -12.8
Franco-Nevada | 13.6500| 6.1| 77.7| 2.9
Power of Canada | -3.9670| -3.1| 3.3| -23.2
Suncor Energy | -4.4660| -1.0| -21.6| 52.7
Canadian Natural Resources | -6.6530| -1.0| -55.8| 55.9

US
By Stephen Kirkland and Emily Graffeo
(Bloomberg) — US stocks rose for a third day as investors awaited midterm election results and monitored the selloff in crypto tokens that wiped out more than 10% from the price of Bitcoin.

The dollar fell with Treasury yields.
The S&P 500 closed higher, after earlier wiping out gains that had topped 1%.

Sentiment was dented after Bitcoin plunged as the owner of the largest crypto exchange swooped in to buy a smaller rival that ran into liquidity trouble.
The yield on two-year Treasuries, more sensitive to Federal Reserve policy changes, shed 6 basis points, while a gauge of the dollar dropped for a third day.
In postmarket trading, shares in Walt Disney Co. declined after the company reported sales and profit that fell below Wall Street expectations.
Equities gained in the regular session as investors eyed potential gridlock from midterm results.

Still, any final outcome may not be known for days or even weeks if races are as close as polls suggest and if losers challenge results.
In an unexpected development, billionaire Changpeng “CZ” Zhao consolidated his position atop the crypto world on Tuesday with a move to take over FTX.com.

Terms of the emergency buyout were scant, helping to send prices of cryptocurrencies tumbling after a brief rebound.
“The mini crash in Bitcoin/crypto did destabilize the stock market and cause a sharp drop,” Jay Hatfield of Infrastructure Capital said. “Investors don’t like to see any disruptions or mini crashes in any risk asset.”          ‘
A history of robust performance following midterm results has helped buoy optimism about the outlook for equity markets.
While polls suggest Republicans could make gains, thereby placing a check on Democratic policies, there are multiple scenarios.

The best outcome for Treasuries could be a Republican control of both the House of Representatives and Senate, while the dollar could find support should Democrats keep both chambers.

For many the biggest headwind for markets is the Fed’s monetary tightening with Thursday’s consumer-price-index data the next event risk coming on the heels of core consumer prices rising more than forecast to a 40-year high in September.
Even if prices begin to moderate, the CPI is far above the Fed’s comfort zone.
Going forward there may be a silver lining in gridlock for policy makers, according to Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Wealth.
“Divided government, particularly leading into a presidential election, will most likely create a standstill where very little gets done,” Hogan wrote. “That’s probably a good thing for the Fed because various stimuli have not made
their work easier.”

More commentary
* “The more and more you just get polls or even some slight acknowledgements from places that the Republicans are probably going to take up at least one chamber of Congress, I think the market is actually seeing that as a good outcome,” Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade, said in an interview.  “They actually want a little bit of gridlock out of Washington.”
* “The inflation statistics are going to be more important than the election,” Michael Darda, chief economist at MKM Partners, said on Bloomberg TV. “Inflation will tend to lag the cycle so if you have the Fed chasing down lagging indicators with a very rapid succession of interest rate increases and quantitative tightening, there is a very significant risk that the Fed significantly overshoots neutral.”
* “The gridlock rally is a bit overdone, as we were already there,” said Victoria Greene, G Squared Private Wealth CIO.  “Investors will need to temper expectations on results coming in this evening. Many contested races it might be weeks, or god forbid, months before we know results. Politics matters personally, less so to the markets.”

Treasuries gained across the board Tuesday, with the benchmark 10-year rate dropping as much as 9 basis points.
Meanwhile, traders shaved bets on rate hikes, with swap markets still leaning toward a 50 basis-point Fed hike in December.
More notable moves were further out, with the peak reaching just above 5% in the first half of 2023.
Nvidia Corp. climbed as it began producing a processor for China.

Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. fell after reducing its forecast for net bookings.
Europe’s Stoxx 600 rallied, after a weak open.

Chinese equities halted a rally as traders considered a jump in virus infections and official comments defending Covid Zero.
Oil fell as China’s renewed commitment to strict Covid-19 policies overshadowed a global market backdrop of shrinking fuel inventories.
Key events this week:
* US midterm elections, Tuesday
* EIA oil inventory report, Wednesday
* China aggregate financing, PPI, CPI, money supply, new yuan loans, Wednesday
* US wholesale inventories, MBA mortgage applications, Wednesday
* Fed officials John Williams, Tom Barkin speak at events, Wednesday
* US CPI, US initial jobless claims, Thursday
* Fed officials Lorie Logan, Esther George, Loretta Mester speak at events, Thursday
* US University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.6% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.8%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1%
* The MSCI World index rose 0.8%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.4%
* The euro rose 0.5% to $1.0071
* The British pound rose 0.2% to $1.1536
* The Japanese yen rose 0.7% to 145.63 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin fell 12% to $18,172.17
* Ether fell 17% to $1,310.88

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined seven basis points to 4.14%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined six basis points to 2.28%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined nine basis points to 3.55%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 2.8% to $89.18 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 2.1% to $1,715.10 an ounce
–With assistance from Jan-Patrick Barnert, Haidi Lun, Brett Miller, Srinivasan Sivabalan, Isabelle Lee, Natalia Kniazhevich and Vildana Hajric.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

Most of the important things in the world have been accomplished by people
who have kept on trying when there seemed to be no hope at all. –Dale Carnegie, 1888-1955.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

November 7, 2022 Newsletter

Anchor
Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Monday.

On Nov. 7, 1917, Russia’s Bolshevik Revolution took place as forces led by Vladimir Ilyich Lenin overthrew the provisional government of Alexander Kerensky.  Go to article »

Marie Curie, physicist, b. 1867
Albert Camus, French existentialist writer, b. 1913
Billy Graham, evangelist, b. 1918
Joni Mitchell, musician, b. 1943

Houston Astros won the World Series.  In a thrilling Game 6, the Houston Astros defeated the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday 4-1. See the World Series in pictures here

Last total lunar eclipse until 2025 rises on Tuesday, Nov. 8. Here’s how to watch. On Tuesday, Nov. 8, the full Beaver Moon will pass into the darkest part of Earth’s shadow for nearly 90 minutes in the final lunar eclipse of 2022 — and the last total lunar eclipse until 2025, according to NASA.  At least part of the lunar eclipse will be visible throughout East Asia, Australia, the Pacific and North America. Viewers in the United States and Canada will need to rise bright and early to catch the show, as the first phase of the eclipse will begin at 4:09 a.m. EST (0900 GMT).  Full Story: Live Science (11/5)

Scientists are working on an official ‘alien contact protocol’ for when ET phones Earth: If extraterrestrial life sent us a message tomorrow, how would humanity respond? According to researchers, we don’t know yet — and that’s a problem.  That’s why, for the first time in 35 years, a team of policy experts and scientists have united to establish a set of alien-contact protocols for the entire world to follow in the event of a sudden encounter with E.T.
Full Story: Live Science (11/5)

Meta’s new AI just predicted the shape of 600 million proteins in 2 weeks:  Scientists at Meta, the parent company of Facebook and Instagram, have used an artificial intelligence (AI) language model to predict the unknown structures of more than 600 million proteins belonging to viruses, bacteria and other microbes. The program, called ESMFold, used a model that was originally designed for decoding human languages to make accurate predictions of the twists and turns taken by proteins that determine their 3D structure.  Full Story: Live Science (11/5)
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

San Sebastián, Spain
A man watches the waves in the early morning next to part of the Eduardo Chillida’s artwork El Peine del Viento
Photograph: Javier Etxezarreta/EPA

Bad Tölz, Germany
People from the farming community dressed in traditional Bavarian clothing drink schnapps in a wooden carriage during the Leonhardi Ritt procession, on the way to pray to St Leonhard, the patron saint of animals
Photograph: Lukas Barth/Reuters

New York, US
The full moon rises behind the EdgeNYC observation deck in Hudson Yards, as seen from Hoboken, New Jersey
Photograph: Lokman Vural Elibol/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
Market Closes for November 7th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
32827.00 +423.78
+1.31%
S&P 500 3806.80 +36.25
+0.96%
NASDAQ  10564.52 +89.27
+0.85%
TSX 19545.91 +96.10
+0.49%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 27527.64 +327.90
+1.21%
HANG
SENG
16595.91 +434.77
+2.69%
SENSEX 61185.15 +234.79
+0.39%
FTSE 100* 7299.99 -34.85
-0.48%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
3.601 3.504
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.621 3.505
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.2135 4.1563
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.3190 4.2496

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7411 0.7419
US
$
1.3493 1.3479
 
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3517 0.7398
US 
1.0018 0.9982

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1674.40 1628.75
Oil    
WTI Crude Future  91.79 92.61

Market Commentary:
🗠 On this day in 1929, the stock market endured volatile trading as 2.4 million shares changed hands in the first half hour, one of the heaviest openings yet on record. By lunchtime, the market had slumped 6%. Then J.P. Morgan & Co. stepped in publicly and began to buy stocks for its own account. By day’s end, the Dow managed to squeeze out a small gain.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose for the second day, climbing 0.5%, or 96.1 to 19,545.91 in Toronto.

The index advanced to the highest closing level since Sept. 19.
Brookfield Asset Management Inc. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.0%.

Summit Industrial Income REIT had the largest increase, rising 25.5%.
Today, 149 of 236 shares rose, while 84 fell; 10 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index fell 7.9%, heading for the worst year since 2018
* The index declined 8.9% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 20% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 12% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 9.4% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 0.6% in the past 5 days and rose 5.2% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13 on a trailing basis and 12.2 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.2% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.1t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 20.52% compared with 20.74% in the previous session and the average of 22.63% over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Financials | 35.1750| 0.6| 20/9
Industrials | 24.4021| 1.0| 19/8
Real Estate | 15.6647| 3.3| 20/2
Information Technology | 13.2531| 1.3| 9/5
Energy | 7.0861| 0.2| 25/11
Consumer Staples | 6.3910| 0.8| 8/3
Materials | 1.3914| 0.1| 28/23
Communication Services | 1.0485| 0.1| 5/2
Consumer Discretionary | 0.4990| 0.1| 9/5
Health Care | 0.4287| 0.5| 3/4
Utilities | -9.2467| -1.0| 3/12
================================================================
| | | | YTD
|Index Points| | Volume VS | Change
Top Contributors | Move |% Change |20D AVG (%)| (%)
================================================================
Brookfield Asset Management | 10.8200| 2.0| -31.9| -27.2
Canadian Pacific | 10.6300| 1.6| 27.9| 14.2
RBC | 8.5450| 0.7| -29.2| -4.5
Fortis | -2.5050| -1.4| -3.3| -13.8
Enbridge | -4.7400| -0.6| 109.8| 8.9
Ritchie Bros | -11.3800| -17.7| 1,049.3| -10.7

US
By Stephen Kirkland and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — US shares rose in a broad-based rally that swept up small caps as well as blue-chip stocks, ahead of midterm elections and inflation data later this week.

The dollar fell with Treasuries.
The S&P 500 closed near session highs, with all but three of the 11 industry groups advancing.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 also caught bids, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average outperformed, rising as much as 1.5% with health-care names topping the leaderboard.
The Russell 2000 rallied, reversing losses in afternoon trading.
Stocks gained for a second day ahead of US midterms.

Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson said polls pointing to Republicans winning at least one chamber of Congress provide a potential catalyst for lower bond yields and higher equity prices.
“Has the stock market been voting early?” said Ed Yardeni, founder of his namesake research firm, referring to the S&P 500 bounce back from an October low. “Tomorrow’s midterm elections may further boost stock prices in coming months if history is a guide. Our soft-landing economic outlook, if it pans out (60% subjective odds), may be another wind at the stock market’s back.”

Optimism, for the moment, is outweighing concerns over the Federal Reserve’s resolute campaign against price surges, signs of stress in US corporate performance and China’s announcement it will “unswervingly” adhere to current Covid Zero policy.
Meanwhile, Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc. rallied on plans to cut jobs.
Tesla Inc. was the biggest drag on the S&P 500 as the stock continued to sell off in the wake of Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk’s purchase of Twitter Inc.
Apple Inc. bounced back from earlier losses triggered by a report saying it expected to produce at least three million fewer iPhone 14 handsets than originally anticipated this year.
Lyft Inc. fell in postmarket trading after the ride-hailing giant reported weaker-than-expected rider growth, overshadowing better profits from higher fares.
Stocks rose on Friday after data showed strong hiring and wage increases along with higher unemployment.

That offered a mixed picture for Fed officials debating how long to extend their campaign to curb elevated inflation.
Swaps markets are leaning toward a 50 basis-point Fed rate increase in December, after a fourth consecutive jumbo hike to a target range of 3.75% to 4% at last week’s meeting.

Rates are expected to peak slightly above 5% around mid-2023.
The latest US inflation reading due Thursday will be closely watched after the core consumer price index rose more than forecast to a 40-year high in September.

Even if prices begin to moderate, the CPI is far above the Fed’s comfort zone.
“Since we might not know the answer to what the makeup of Congress will be this week, Thursday’s CPI number will be very important once again,” Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak + Co., said in a note. “Even if we get a better-than-expected CPI number later this week, the odds that it will only create a very short-term bounce are high. Before long, the stock market should roll-over once again.”
In the corporate debt market, Oracle Corp.’s long-awaited acquisition financing is leading 15 US high-grade issuers looking to get ahead of consumer price index data on Thursday and a bond market holiday on Friday.
Meanwhile, Chinese stocks listed in the US fell Monday after health authorities repeated their strict adherence to the country’s Covid Zero policies.

The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index slid more than 2%, halting a four-day rally.
Key events this week:
* Euro-zone retail sales, Tuesday
* US midterm elections, Tuesday
* EIA oil inventory report, Wednesday
* China aggregate financing, PPI, CPI, money supply, new yuan loans, Wednesday
* US wholesale inventories, MBA mortgage applications, Wednesday
* Fed officials John Williams, Tom Barkin speak at events, Wednesday
* US CPI, US initial jobless claims, Thursday
* Fed officials Lorie Logan, Esther George, Loretta Mester speak at events, Thursday
* US University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 1% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 1.1%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.3%
* The MSCI World index rose 1.1%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.4%
* The euro rose 0.6% to $1.0021
* The British pound rose 1.2% to $1.1514
* The Japanese yen was little changed at 146.60 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin fell 1.6% to $20,794.56
* Ether fell 0.2% to $1,600.58

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced six basis points to4.22%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced five basis points to 2.34%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced 10 basis points to 3.64%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.7% to $91.99 a barrel
* Gold futures were little changed
–With assistance from Michael G. Wilson, Tassia Sipahutar, Srinivasan Sivabalan and Isabelle Lee.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

Nobody cares how much you know, until they know how much you care. -Theodore Roosevelt, 1858-1919.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

November 4, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday.
November 4, 1922: British archaeologist Howard Carter discovers the tomb of the Egyptian pharaoh Tutankhamen, the best preserved pharaonic tomb ever found in the Valley of the Kings.
1946: UNESCO  founded.
November 4, 1960: Jane Goodall observes a chimp making tools.
November 4, 1979: The Iranian hostage crisis began as militants stormed the U.S. Embassy in Tehran. Go to article »

Iranian artist’s paintings of women take on a new sense of urgency.  These symbol-laden paintings are charged with emotion and allude to issues that have recently sparked protests across Iran.

Most UFOs are ‘Chinese surveillance’ drones and ‘airborne clutter,’ Pentagon officials reveal:  Intelligence agencies in the U.S. have spent the last few years analyzing footage of hundreds of recent UFO encounters, and they want the American people to know: It’s still not aliens.  According to several U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) officials who spoke anonymously to The New York Times last week, many recent sightings of UFOs — or unidentified aerial phenomena (UAPs), as the government prefers to call them — are likely just observations of foreign surveillance operations or airborne clutter, such as weather balloons.  Full Story: Live Science (11/3)

Ghostly neutrino particles are blasting out of a nearby galaxy, and scientists aren’t sure why:  A nearby spiral galaxy is pumping out ghostly neutrinos — mysterious particles that barely interact with the matter around them, scientists have found.  The elusive particles are coming from a hotspot of neutrino production in the heart of the spiral galaxy Messier 77, which is anchored by a black hole. Full Story: Live Science (11/3)
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

New York, US
A heart is created by 500 drones over the skyline of lower Manhattan and One World Trade Center, as seen from New Jersey, during an advertising promotion for the 10th anniversary of the video game Candy Crush Saga
Photograph: Gary Hershorn/Getty Images

Alpaquera
At an altitude of more than 5,000 metres (17,000 feet) in the Andes of southern Peru, Alina Surquislla Gomez, a third-generation alpaquera, cradles a baby alpaca on her way to the pastures where her family’s herd of 300 graze in summer. Shrinking glaciers and increased drought have forced the herders – who are mostly women – to search for new grazing grounds over difficult terrain. Peru’s alpacas, prized for their wool, are a major source of income and important to the local culture.
Photograph: Alessandro Cinque
Belgium
The marches of Entre-Sambre-et-Meuse are on the Unesco list of intangible cultural heritage. They take place primarily in the countryside, from the village centre to the Poucet chapel. The marchers dress in a traditional costume comprised of a blue smock, white pants and a red scarf.
Photograph: Alain Schroeder
Market Closes for November 4th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
32403.22 +401.97
+1.26%
S&P 500 3770.55 +50.66
+1.36%
NASDAQ  10475.25 +132.31
+1.28%
TSX 19449.81 +208.59
+1.08%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 27199.74 -463.65
-1.68%
HANG
SENG
16161.14 +821.65
+5.36%
SENSEX 60950.36 +113.95
+0.19%
FTSE 100* 7334.84 +146.21
+2.03%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
3.504 3.416
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.505 3.407
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.1563 4.1406
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.2496 4.1790

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7419 0.7276
US
$
1.3479 1.3744
 
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3437 0.7442
US 
0.9969 1.0031

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1628.75 1649.55
Oil    
WTI Crude Future  92.61 88.17

Market Commentary:
📉 On this day in 1929, in an attempt to calm panicking investors, the New York Stock Exchange said that it would be open for trading only three hours a day that week. The investing public took no comfort, trading an astounding 6 million shares in just 180 minutes—more than twice the level of a normal full day’s trading just weeks earlier.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose 1.1% at 19,449.81 in Toronto.

The move was the biggest since rising 1.5% on Oct. 21 and follows the previous session’s decrease of 0.2%.
Today, materials stocks led the market higher, as 10 of 11 sectors gained; 166 of 236 shares rose, while 65 fell.
Royal Bank of Canada contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 1.5%. Yamana Gold Inc. had the largest increase, rising 18.1%.

Insights
* This year, the index fell 8.4%, heading for the worst year since 2018
* So far this week, the index was little changed
* The index declined 8.9% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 21% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 12.4% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 8.8% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.9 on a trailing basis and 12.1 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.2% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.07t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 20.74% compared with 22.35% in the previous session and the average of 22.53% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Materials | 121.4379| 5.9| 49/2
Financials | 108.6205| 1.8| 28/1
Energy | 5.9731| 0.2| 21/16
Communication Services | 5.8052| 0.6| 3/3
Real Estate | 3.9256| 0.8| 17/3
Utilities | 3.6214| 0.4| 10/6
Consumer Staples | 2.5941| 0.3| 7/4
Consumer Discretionary | 2.3834| 0.3| 11/3
Industrials | 2.0469| 0.1| 16/11
Health Care | 0.0130| 0.0| 3/4
Information Technology | -47.8462| -4.5| 1/12
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points| | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move |% Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
RBC | 18.1500| 1.5| -52.0| -5.2
TD Bank | 14.9300| 1.4| -38.3| -9.3
First Quantum Minerals | 14.5400| 14.8| 14.9| -3.2
Waste Connections | -11.0300| -3.3| 30.7| 6.7
Constellation Software | -13.9700| -5.3| 66.0| -21.8
Shopify | -24.9100| -6.6| 28.0| -75.1

US
By Rita Nazareth
(Bloomberg) — Stocks rose, with traders weighing mixed jobs figures and awaiting next week’s inflation data for more clues on when the Federal Reserve would be able slow down its pace of rate hikes.
The S&P 500 halted a four-day slide.

The dollar slumped the most since March 2020.
Two-year US yields, which are more sensitive to imminent policy moves, reversed course and came down.
Fed fund futures are leaning toward pricing a 50-basis-point hike in December, with the peak around 5.1% next year.
Officials this week raised rates by 75 basis points for the fourth straight time, lifting their benchmark to a target range of 3.75% to 4%.
Wall Street’s fear gauge is well below the panic levels seen during the pandemic or the 2008 crisis, but volatility is very much a feature of 2022.
The S&P 500 has already seen five monthly moves this year in excess of 7%, either to the upside or downside.

Beyond the tumult of the 2008 global financial crisis, one must go back to 1933 — the days of the Great Depression — to see more swings of such magnitude in a single year.
“This week is a reminder that the intense volatility and emotional trading experience through much of the year is likely to continue,” said Mark Hackett, chief of investment research at Nationwide. “Bottoming processes are rarely clean, and even if bulls are gaining control, pockets of weakness are inevitable.”
Markets will watch the latest US inflation reading on Thursday after the core consumer price index rose more than forecast to a 40-year high in September.

Even if prices begin to moderate, the CPI is far above the Fed’s comfort zone.

Reaction to Jobs:
Chris Senyek at Wolfe Research:
“This report does nothing to change the Fed’s ‘higher for longer’ narrative. We probably won’t see really weak jobs numbers until the US economy is already in a relatively deep recession.”
Jason Pride at Glenmede: “This jobs report likely does not push the Fed off its path for a 50-75 bp rate hike in December. However, the next big economic report that could move the needle for the Fed is next week’s CPI report.”
Peter Essele at Commonwealth Financial Network: “If labor growth remains strong and earnings growth slows, it’ll be a win-win for investors since there will be less pressure on the Fed to raise rates. The result could be a soft landing in the economy as opposed to a hard one.”
Mike Loewengart at Morgan Stanley Global Investment Office: “While the number may be disappointing for investors hoping for a dovish Fed sooner rather than later, keep in mind it was the lowest reading in nearly two years, so there could be signs that the market is slowing.”
Charlie Ripley at Allianz Investment Management: “The most notable signal from today’s employment data is not that the data came in better than expected, but rather that some subtle signs of the economy slowing are starting to show up. Investors are looking for any signs that the Fed will pull back the reigns on policy tightening.”
Investors are fleeing to the safety of cash funds as the Fed remains firmly hawkish, according to strategists at Bank of America Corp.
The asset class had inflows of $62.1 billion in the week through Nov. 2, according to a note from the bank citing EPFR Global data. That’s contributed to $194 billion of inflows into cash from the start of October — the fastest start to a quarter since 2020.
In corporate news, US-listed Chinese stocks jumped amid fresh optimism over an easing of Covid restrictions. DoorDash Inc. reported revenue that beat estimates, a sign that customers are still ordering pricey takeout despite a squeeze from higher inflation.
Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 1.4% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 1.6%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.3%
* The MSCI World index rose 1.9%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 1.7%
* The euro rose 2.2% to $0.9960
* The British pound rose 1.9% to $1.1373
* The Japanese yen rose 1.1% to 146.70 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin rose 4.2% to $21,087.44
* Ether rose 6.8% to $1,645.86

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced two basis points to 4.17%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced five basis points to 2.30%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to 3.54%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 5.1% to $92.64 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 3.3% to $1,684.10 an ounce
* Gold futures rose 3.2% to $1,683.60 an ounce
–With assistance from Emily Graffeo, Isabelle Lee, Vildana Hajric and Cecile Gutscher

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

Civilizations die from suicide, not by murder. –Arnold Toynbee, 1889-1975.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

November 3, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday Eve.
Natural Culture Day, Japan.

November 3, 1956: The film, The Wizard of Oz (1939), aired on television for the first time and was seen by an estimated 45 million viewers.
November 3, 1911: The Chevrolet Motor Car Co. was founded in Detroit by Louis Chevrolet and William C. Durant. Go to article »
On this day in 1957, the Soviet Union launched Sputnik 2, which carried a dog, the first living creature to orbit Earth. The dog’s name was Laika.

A huge tunnel has opened below Niagara Falls.  Tourists can now walk out onto a platform to view Niagara Falls. Take a look at the attraction that was previously off-limits to visitors.

This is the new world’s best cheese.  After narrowing it down to some brie-lliant finalists, this beloved cheese ended up beating more than 4,400 competitors.

Metal detectorist stumbles across Viking treasure hoard in Norway:  Many people dream of finding buried treasure, but very few people actually do.  For one man in central Norway that dream became a reality just before Christmas last year, when he took his metal detector for a stroll in a field near his home and unearthed a hoard of silver fragments from the Viking Age.  Full Story: Live Science (11/2)

Photo: Celebrating the Day of the Dead, 2022

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Havana, Cuba
Dancers of the National Ballet of Cuba participate in the Alicia Alonso international ballet festival
Photograph: Ernesto Mastrascusa/EPA

Troms
ø, Norway The Northern lights appear over the city
Photograph: Rune Stoltz Bertinussen/NTB/AFP/Getty Images

Taipei, Taiwan
Portraits of dictators are displayed during the Oslo Freedom Forum, a conference series produced by the Human Rights Foundation that brings together human rights advocates, journalists, artists, and tech entrepreneurs
Photograph: Sam Yeh/AFP/Getty Images
Market Closes for November 3rd, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
32001.25 -146.51
-0.46%
S&P 500 3719.89 -39.80
-1.06%
NASDAQ  10342.94 -181.86
-1.73%
TSX 19241.22 -35.79
-0.19%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI MARKET CLOSE N.A
HANG
SENG
15339.49 -487.68
-3.08%
SENSEX 60836.41 -69.68
-0.11%
FTSE 100* 7188.63 +44.49
+0.62%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
3.416 3.332
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.407 3.344
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.1406 4.1005
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.1790 4.1405

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7276 0.7288
US
$
1.3744 1.3721
 
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3397 0.7464
US 
0.9748 1.0259

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1649.55 1645.25
Oil    
WTI Crude Future  88.17 90.00

Market Commentary:
🗳️ On this day in 1948, the day after Harry S. Truman defeated Thomas E. Dewey in the U.S. presidential election, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped by 4%. By Nov. 10 the Dow had lost 9.4%.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite fell for the second day, dropping 0.2%, or 35.79 to 19,241.22 in Toronto.

The index dropped to the lowest closing level since Oct. 25.
Nutrien Ltd. contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 14.0%.

Lightspeed Commerce Inc. had the largest drop, falling 18.6%.
Today, 129 of 236 shares fell, while 106 rose; 7 of 11 sectors were lower, led by materials stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index fell 9.3%, heading for the worst year since 2018
* So far this week, the index fell 1.2%
* The index declined 9.5% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 21% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 13.4% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 7.7% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 0.6% in the past 5 days and rose 1.9% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13 on a trailing basis and 12 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.3% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.07t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 22.35% compared with 22.54% in the previous session and the average of 22.47% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Materials | -84.7400| -3.9| 25/26
Financials | -24.7858| -0.4| 9/20
Utilities | -8.0459| -0.9| 4/12
Information Technology | -5.3172| -0.5| 2/12
Real Estate | -4.6252| -1.0| 2/20
Communication Services | -1.7236| -0.2| 2/5
Consumer Staples | -0.9877| -0.1| 1/10
Health Care | 1.5291| 1.9| 4/3
Consumer Discretionary | 3.5705| 0.5| 8/6
Industrials | 27.8247| 1.1| 15/12
Energy | 61.4889| 1.7| 34/3
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Nutrien | -58.9900| -14.0| 224.4| 3.0
Barrick Gold | -19.7500| -8.3| 283.1| -25.2
Bank of Nova Scotia| -5.9950| -1.1| -32.3| -27.6
Cenovus Energy | 9.3810| 3.5| -14.5| 85.8
Suncor Energy | 17.2000| 3.9| 7.8| 53.1
Waste Connections | 21.4800| 6.8| 99.8| 10.3

US
By Rita Nazareth
(Bloomberg) — Stocks sank before Friday’s jobs data amid concern that a deeper recession could be in store with the Federal Reserve expected to hold rates at a higher level for longer to tame inflation.
The S&P 500 saw its fourth straight decline, dragged down by big tech as Treasury yields climbed.

Apple Inc. tumbled over 4% and Amazon.com Inc. suffered its longest slide since 2019.
A key segment of the Treasury curve reached new extremes of inversion, touching a level not seen since the 1980s when the Fed was aggressively tightening.
Curve inversions have a track record of preceding economic downturns.
Swaps that reference future Fed meetings indicate an expected peak rate above 5.1% around mid-2023.

Estimates briefly dropped below 5% on Wednesday.
The benchmark rate currently sits in a range of 3.75% to 4%.
“Remember, ‘lower for longer’ in 2021 in terms of the interest rate environment?,” wrote Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak + Co. “Well, now we have ‘higher for longer’… as well as ‘slower but higher.’

A rise in short-term rates might take longer to play out, but they’re headed for a higher level than the markets have been thinking.”
While projections show October payroll growth moderated to 198,000, such an increase would still be higher than a monthly pace shy of 100,000 that economists reckon is neither too strong nor too weak for the economy over the longer term.

Applications for unemployment insurance hovered around historically low levels, reinforcing what Fed Chair Jerome Powell described as an “overheated” jobs market.
Markets are rightly more concerned with the ultimate level of rates rather than the pace of tightening, according to Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management — who doesn’t believe the conditions are in place for a sustained stock rally.
“The Fed, along with other major central banks, looks likely to keep tightening rates until the first quarter of 2023,” Haefele noted. “Economic growth will likely continue to slow into the start of the new year, and global financial
markets are vulnerable to stress while monetary policy continues to tighten. Such headwinds have yet to be fully reflected in earnings estimates or equity valuations.”
The pound slumped as the Bank of England told investors to rein in expectations for hikes.
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde warned that a “mild recession” is possible, but that it wouldn’t be sufficient in itself to stem soaring prices.

The comments are part of a raft of public appearances by ECB officials, as investors and analysts ponder the twin challenges of record price growth and a likely economic downturn, due largely to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
In corporate news, Peloton Interactive Inc. delivered a weaker estimate for the current quarter than Wall Street was predicting, even as management declared that it was beating its own timeline for turning around the fitness company.

Moderna Inc. earnings offered a preview into the future of Covid-19 vaccine sales, and so far it doesn’t look pretty.
Qualcomm Inc., the biggest maker of smartphone processors, gave a weaker forecast than expected.

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 1.1% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 2%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5%
* The MSCI World index fell 1.3%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.6%
* The euro fell 0.7% to $0.9750
* The British pound fell 2% to $1.1163
* The Japanese yen fell 0.2% to 148.23 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin rose 0.4% to $20,259.51
* Ether rose 2.1% to $1,543.45

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced four basis points to 4.14%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced 10 basis points to 2.25%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced 12 basis points to 3.52%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 2.1% to $88.09 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 1% to $1,633.40 an ounce
–With assistance from Vildana Hajric and Isabelle Lee.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

A watch is the most essential part of a lecture.  -Willa Cather, 1873-1947.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

November 2, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
Day of the Dead, Mexico.
All Souls Day, Roman Catholic calendar.

November 2, 1936: The British Broadcasting Corporation begins the BBC Television Service, the world’s first regular “high definition” channel.  We now know it as BBC1, as it was named in 1964.
November 2, 1947: Howard Hughes piloted his huge wooden airplane, the Spruce Goose, on its only flight, which lasted about a minute over Long Beach Harbor in California.  Go to article »

Marie Antoinette, Queen Consort of Louis XVI of France, b.1755.
Daniel Boone, frontiersman, b. 1734.

This dashcam video is cracking up cops.  A man’s unusual behavior during a traffic stop has officers comparing him to Forrest Gump. Watch the video here.

Five women help doctors crack the mystery of long Covid.

$50,000 Japanese turntable is what your vinyl’s been waiting for.

Wreck of 17th-century warship discovered in Sweden: The wreck of a 17th-century Swedish warship called Äpplet — a sister ship of the famous Vasa, which sank only an hour into its maiden voyage in 1628 — has been discovered in the intricate waterways that lead to Stockholm, where it was deliberately sunk to protect the city from seaborne attacks in 1659.  The wreck is near the island of Vaxholm, but its exact location and depth are being kept secret; access to the site is controlled by the Swedish navy because the wreck is in a militarily sensitive area near the Swedish capital. Full Story: Live Science (10/31)

Enormous river discovered beneath Antarctica is nearly 300 miles long:  A river longer than England’s Thames flows beneath the Antarctic ice sheet, draining an area the size of France and Germany combined, new research reveals.  This under-ice river was discovered using ice-penetrating radar mounted on aircraft. In a series of aerial surveys, researchers discovered a river system snaking 285 miles (460 kilometers) and draining into the Weddell Sea.
Full Story: Live Science (11/2)
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Paris, France
Two costumed participants at France’s largest video game fair, Paris Games Week, which was held after the cancellation of two editions due to the pandemic
Photograph: Emmanuel Dunand/AFP/Getty Images

New York, US
Dancers of the Paul Taylor dance company perform Scrudorama during a rehearsal at the Lincoln Center’s David H Koch Theater
Photograph: Sarah Yenesel/EPA

Michoac
án, MexicoA Day of the Dead celebration held by the Purépecha indigenous community of Cucuchucho, on the shores of Lake Pátzcuaro. People adorn the tombs of the dead and remain in the pantheon throughout the night waiting for their relatives. Tradition says that on the night of 1 November, the souls of the dead return to the world of the living
Photograph: Enrique Castro/AFP/Getty Images
Market Closes for November 2nd, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
32147.76 -505.44
-1.55%
S&P 500 3759.69 -96.41
-2.50%
NASDAQ  10524.80 -366.05
-3.36%
TSX 19277.01 -240.70
-1.23%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 27663.39 -15.53
-0.06%
HANG
SENG
15827.17 +371.90
+2.41%
SENSEX 60906.09 -215.26
-0.35%
FTSE 100* 7144.14 -42.02
-0.58%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
3.332 3.242
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.344 3.251
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.1005 4.0502
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.1405 4.1066

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7288 0.7335
US
$
1.3721 1.3633
 
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3464 0.7427
US 
0.9813 1.0191

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1645.25 1639.00
Oil    
WTI Crude Future  90.00 88.37

Market Commentary:
📻 On this day in 1920, the first widespread commercial radio broadcast hit the air as station KDKA in Pittsburgh sent out bulletins on the Presidential election to an audience of hundreds of ham radio operators. The broadcast was made by Leo Rosenberg, speaking through a retooled telephone mouthpiece from a wooden shack on the roof of a Westinghouse factory. His first words were, “We shall now broadcast the election returns.”
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite fell 1.2% at 19,277.01 in Toronto.

The move was the biggest since falling 1.5% on Oct. 14 and follows the previous session’s increase of 0.5%.
Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 7.1%.

Ero Copper Corp. had the largest drop, falling 17.8%.
Today, 194 of 236 shares fell, while 39 rose; all sectors were lower, led by materials stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index fell 9.2%, heading for the worst year since 2018
* The index declined 8.9% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 20% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 13.2% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 7.9% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is unchanged in the past 5 days and rose 4.5% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13 on a trailing basis and 12 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.3% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.11t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 22.54% compared with 22.40% in the previous session and the average of 22.47% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Materials | -95.3828| -4.3| 3/47
Financials | -47.8755| -0.8| 3/25
Industrials | -30.6109| -1.2| 1/26
Information Technology | -26.7662| -2.5| 0/14
Consumer Discretionary | -12.1748| -1.7| 4/10
Energy | -10.6066| -0.3| 14/24
Consumer Staples | -7.0651| -0.9| 1/10
Real Estate | -4.0936| -0.9| 7/14
Health Care | -3.5446| -4.2| 0/7
Communication Services | -1.5290| -0.2| 1/6
Utilities | -1.0474| -0.1| 5/11
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Agnico Eagle Mines | -13.9100| -7.1| 105.3| -13.8
Brookfield Asset Management | -13.5700| -2.5| 26.8| -30.4
Barrick Gold | -11.9500| -4.8| 170.5| -18.5
Pembina Pipeline | 1.3380| 0.8| 33.1| 17.0
Tourmaline Oil | 2.2830| 1.4| -12.3| 107.8
TC Energy | 5.1550| 1.2| -6.7| 2.6

US
By Rita Nazareth
(Bloomberg) — Stocks sold off as Jerome Powell continued to sound unequivocally hawkish as the Federal Reserve pushes ahead with it most-aggressive tightening campaign since the 1980s to thwart inflation.
In a session of several ups and downs, the S&P 500 suffered its worst rout on a Fed decision day since January 2021.

Stocks moved decidedly lower after Powell said the Fed still has “some ways to go” in its policy cycle, adding that it’s premature to think about a pause as rates could peak at higher levels than previously thought.
Equities briefly rose when he said that a slower pace of hikes could come as soon as December.
Mega cap tech bore the brunt of the selling, with giants like Apple Inc. and Tesla Inc. tumbling more than 3.5%.

In late trading, Qualcomm Inc., the biggest maker of smartphone processors, slumped on a weak forecast.
Two-year US yields — which are more sensitive to imminent Fed moves – reversed course and pushed higher. T
the dollar gained.
“When Powell made his comments regarding nothing pivot-related, or no shot of that, I think that was the ‘dagger’ for the market,” said Alon Rosin, head of institutional equity derivatives at Oppenheimer & Co.
The Federal Open Market Committee said that “ongoing increases” will still likely be needed to bring rates to a level that are “sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2% over time,” in fresh language added to their statement.
Officials unanimously decided to lift the target for the benchmark rate by another 75 basis points to a range of 3.75% to 4%, its highest level since 2008.

Comments:
Ronald Temple, head of US equity at Lazard Asset Management: “This is not an environment in which the Fed will pivot or signal a pivot. To do so would be malpractice, and the Fed knows that. In December, the Fed will have two more inflation reports and two more jobs reports. Then, perhaps, the FOMC can signal a deceleration in tightening, but not before.”
Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery, strategists at BMO Capital Markets: “One thing is obvious from the Fed’s tone; ‘Santa Pause’ ain’t coming to town.”
Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda: “Stocks might struggle here as the risk of the Fed taking rates above 5.00% are clearly still on the table.”
Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA: “Of course data will largely determine the policy path going forward. Our best guess is that the Fed continues to take the more hawkish path.”
Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial: “Factoring in the bond market’s assessment, markets are becoming increasingly convinced that the path towards the terminal rate will include a recession.”

Data Wednesday showed hiring at US companies rose in October by more than forecast, underscoring resilient labor demand despite the Fed’s efforts to cool the economy.
A strong job market has fueled fast wage growth, contributing to rapid inflation and putting pressure on the Fed to aggressively tighten monetary policy.
The Treasury halted the longest string of cutbacks to its quarterly sales of longer-term debt in about eight years, showcasing the end of a period of historic reduction in the fiscal deficit.
In corporate news, Boeing Co.’s chief said the plane maker could generate $10 billion in cash annually by mid-decade, once it turns around its operations after years of setbacks and miscues.

China has ordered a seven-day lockdown of the area around Foxconn Technology Group’s main plant in Zhengzhou, a move that will severely curtail shipments in and out of the world’s largest iPhone factory.
Key events this week:
* Bank of England rate decision, Thursday
* US factory orders, durable goods, trade, initial jobless claims, ISM services index, Thursday
* ECB President Christine Lagarde speaks, Thursday
* US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks

* The S&P 500 fell 2.5% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 3.4%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.6%
* The MSCI World index fell 1.7%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.3%
* The euro fell 0.5% to $0.9830
* The British pound fell 0.8% to $1.1395
* The Japanese yen rose 0.3% to 147.77 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin fell 1.1% to $20,245.42
* Ether fell 2.5% to $1,536.43

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced four basis points to 4.08%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced one basis point to 2.14%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined seven basis points to 3.40%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1% to $89.23 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.6% to $1,640 an ounce

–With assistance from Lu Wang, Vildana Hajric and Emily Graffeo.
Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

Never does a person portray his own character more vividly than in his manner of portraying another.  -Jean Paul Richter, 1763-1825.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

November 1, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
All Saints Day, Christian calendar.

November 1, 1348: The Black Death pandemic reaches London, and goes on to kill approximately one third of the world’s population.
November 1, 1993: European Union established.
On Nov. 1, 1952, the United States exploded the first hydrogen bomb, in a test at Eniwetok in the Marshall Islands.  Go to article »

Astronomers spotted a ‘planet killer’ asteroid hiding in the sun’s glare.  While it may sound like a new movie plot, a massive near-Earth asteroid has actually been lurking undetected within the glare of the sun.

Actress Julia Roberts reveals Martin Luther King Jr. and Coretta Scott King paid the hospital bill for her birth.  Find out why the civil rights leaders paid for the birth of the woman who would become an international star.

Archaeologists in Sweden have unearthed two Viking swords in neighboring graves that were buried upright, as if they were standing on their points.  Whoever installed the iron swords perpendicular to the surface about 1,200 years ago clearly did so on purpose, as it would have taken a lot of effort — possibly involving a rock or hammer — to wedge the weapons roughly 16 inches (40 centimeters) into the ground, archaeologists told Live Science.
Full Story: Live Science (10/31)
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Srinagar, India
People walk through the maple trees at Nishat Garden
Photograph: Tauseef Mustafa/AFP/Getty Images

London, England
Harbour of Dieppe: Changement de Domicile and Cologne, and The Arrival of a Packet-Boat: Evening, on view at the National Gallery as part of the Turner on Tour exhibition
Photograph: Guy Bell/REX/Shutterstock

San Cristobal de las Casas, Mexico
Women dressed as Catrinas parade through the city to celebrate the traditional Day of the Dead and Halloween
Photograph: Carlos López/EPA
Market Closes for November 1st, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
32653.20 -79.75
-0.24%
S&P 500 3856.10 -15.88
-0.41%
NASDAQ  10890.85 -97.30
-0.89%
TSX 19517.71 +91.57
+0.47%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 27678.92 +91.46
+0.33%
HANG
SENG
15455.27 +768.25
+5.23%
SENSEX 61121.35 +374.76
+0.62%
FTSE 100* 7186.16 +91.63
+1.29%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
3.242 3.252
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.251 3.287
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.0502 4.0478
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.1066 4.1596

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7335 0.7340
US
$
1.3633 1.3624
 
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3472 0.7423
US 
0.9881 1.0120

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1639.00 1648.05
Oil    
WTI Crude Future  88.37 86.53

Market Commentary:
🔀 On this day in 1999, shortly after its 103rd birthday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average replaced four old companies—Chevron (a Dow member since 1984), Goodyear (a member since 1930), Sears (since 1924) and Union Carbide (since 1928) with four hot growth stocks—Home Depot, Intel, Microsoft and SBC Communications.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose 0.5% at 19,517.71 in Toronto.

The index advanced to the highest closing level since Sept. 19 after the previous session’s decrease of 0.2%.
First Quantum Minerals Ltd. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 9.0%.

Hudbay Minerals Inc. had the largest increase, rising 12.0%.
Today, 156 of 236 shares rose, while 78 fell; 7 of 11 sectors were higher, led by materials stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index fell 8%, heading for the worst year since 2018
* The index declined 8.1% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 18% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 12.1% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 9.2% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 2.2% in the past 5 days and rose 5.8% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.2 on a trailing basis and 12.3 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.2% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.11t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 22.40% compared with 22.56% in the previous session and the average of 22.47% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Materials | 52.7926| 2.4| 46/5
Energy | 22.3719| 0.6| 27/11
Financials | 14.1184| 0.2| 16/13
Consumer Staples | 7.6040| 0.9| 9/2
Information Technology | 7.5653| 0.7| 8/6
Communication Services | 4.2693| 0.5| 6/1
Real Estate | 1.4996| 0.3| 17/5
Health Care | -1.2814| -1.5| 1/5
Consumer Discretionary | -1.7224| -0.2| 7/7
Utilities | -4.8180| -0.5| 4/11
Industrials | -10.8513| -0.4| 15/12
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
First Quantum Minerals | 8.2940| 9.0| -6.2| -13.5
Suncor Energy | 8.2660| 1.9| 10.3| 50.8
Agnico Eagle Mines | 7.5690| 4.0| -10.7| -7.2
WSP Global | -2.4420| -1.8| -16.8| -10.5
Canadian National | -2.7140| -0.4| -46.2| 3.5
Thomson Reuters | -5.0400| -3.2| 107.3| -7.3

US
By Rita Nazareth
(Bloomberg) — Stocks finished lower as data showing a solid US labor market bolstered speculation that Federal Reserve policy could remain aggressively tight even with the threat of a recession.
At a time when good news is considered bad news when it comes to policy conjectures, the S&P 500 wiped out a rally as the figures highlighted an unexpected rebound in US job openings, which may keep the pressure on the Fed.

It was the 26th time in 2022 that the equity gauge erased a gain or loss of at least 1% in one session — the most for any year since the financial crisis.
“Hopes for a Fed dovish pivot are misplaced if today’s job openings are any guide,” said Ronald Temple, head of US equity at Lazard Asset Management. “Despite other signs of economic deceleration, the job openings data taken together with nonfarm payroll growth indicate the Fed is far from the point where it can declare victory over inflation and lift its foot off the economic brake.”
Friday’s jobs report is currently forecast to show US employers added about 196,000 workers to payrolls in October.
Economists are expecting the unemployment rate to edge up to 3.6%, and for average hourly earnings to post another solid advance.
After the closing bell, Advanced Micro Devices Inc. topped earnings estimates, but gave a downbeat forecast for the current period.

Airbnb Inc. slumped as demand weakened for pricey pandemic-era bookings.
Electronic Arts Inc., the video game publisher behind franchises such as Madden NFL, cut its forecast for net bookings, citing the strength of the US dollar.
Big tech weighed on equities Tuesday, with Apple Inc. down almost 2% and Amazon.com Inc. hitting its lowest since 2020.
Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc. jumped.

After notching its best month in 46 years, the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded near a resistance level that saw the index halt a few rally attempts in the past few months.
Two-year US yields, which are more sensitive to imminent Fed moves, rose.
Also weighing on market sentiment was a separate report showing US manufacturing neared stagnation in October as orders contracted for the fourth time in five months, while an index of prices paid fell to a more than two-year low. The figures added to evidence of recession concerns as central banks step up the fight to get inflation under control.
To Matt Maley at Miller Tabak + Co., a lot of what will take place in markets over the next few weeks will hinge upon Powell’s signals on Wednesday as well as the subsequent Fedspeak.

Tom Porcelli at RBC Capital Markets says that if the Fed’s boss really wants to transition to shallower hikes, he should maintain some element of hawkishness as there’s a “decent risk of creating confusion.”
“As we have not yet reached the peak for Fed rate hikes, it’s highly unlikely that we’ve already seen the bottom of this bear market, especially given the history of Fed rate hikes peaking before the market troughs,” noted Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management.

She anticipates the market floor for this cycle will most likely be reached in the first or second quarters of 2023.
For now, Shah sees both market and inflation volatility persisting alongside further Fed rate hikes in the last few months of 2002 and into early next year.
Lauren Goodwin at New York Life Investments says she believes the Fed may pause its rate hikes soon even amid strong inflation.

Financial conditions have tightened substantially, and recession should be considered a base case, she added.
“Let me be clear — a Fed pause is not the same as a pivot,” Goodwin added. “Certainly, deteriorating economic and credit conditions could cause the Fed to pivot modestly at some point, but a full pivot into accommodative territory is highly unlikely in the next year.”

Earlier in the day, speculation that China is preparing to gradually exit the stringent Covid Zero stance helped boost equities.
A gauge of the nation’s stocks listed in Hong Kong surged almost 7% intraday.
Shares pared gains after Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian said he’s “not aware” of a committee on ending the policy.

Key events this week:
* EIA crude oil inventory report, Wednesday
* Federal Reserve rate decision, Wednesday
* US MBA mortgage applications, ADP employment, Wednesday
* Bank of England rate decision, Thursday
* US factory orders, durable goods, trade, initial jobless claims, ISM services index, Thursday
* ECB President Christine Lagarde speaks, Thursday
* US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment, Friday
Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 0.4% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 1%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.3%
* The MSCI World index rose 0.2%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.2%
* The euro was little changed at $0.9878
* The British pound rose 0.1% to $1.1483
* The Japanese yen rose 0.3% to 148.19 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin rose 0.2% to $20,445.94
* Ether rose 0.7% to $1,576.28

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 4.05%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined one basis point to 2.13%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined five basis points to 3.47%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 2% to $88.27 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 0.6% to $1,651.30 an ounce
–With assistance from Vildana Hajric, Elaine Chen, Isabelle Lee and Emily Graffeo.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

The great enemy of the truth is very often not he lie – deliberate, contrived and dishonest, but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.
Belief in myths allows the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought.  – John F. Kennedy, 1917-1963.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 31, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Halloween!

According to the National Confectioners Association, sweets-makers reap 8% of their annual sales during Halloween, making it candy’s biggest holiday – $10.14 billion, up from $8.05 billion in 2020.

Boy’s family transforms wheelchair into creative Halloween costume.  If you’re in the mood for wholesome content, watch this family transform their 5-year-old boy’s wheelchair into an epic costume.

October 31, 2011: The global population of humans reaches seven billion.  This day is now recognized by the United Nations as the Day of Seven Billion.
On Oct. 31, 1984, Indian Prime Minister Indira Gandhi was assassinated near her residence by two Sikh security guards.  Go to article »

John Keats, poet, b. 1795.
Harry Houdini, magician, b. 1926.
Dan Rather, TV journalist, b.1931.

Officials say the ivory-billed woodpecker is extinct…But one man has made it his life’s mission to prove the bird is still alive. Check out this interactive story on his efforts.

The 100 best horror movies of all time.

Egyptians helped discover King Tut’s tomb. Now, they’re finally being recognized. British archaeologist Howard Carter is often credited with finding Tutankhamun’s tomb, but the names and identities of the Egyptians who did much of the work are largely unknown.  Now, in the exhibition “Tutankhamun: Excavating the Archive” at the University of Oxford’s Bodleian libraries, which runs through Feb. 5, 2023, photos of the Egyptians who uncovered King Tutankhamun’s tomb are displayed in an attempt to recognize them.  Full Story: Live Science (10/31)

The Day of the Dead isn’t Halloween. Here are its roots, from Aztec goddess worship to modern Mexican celebration: The Day of the Dead might sound like a solemn affair, but Mexico’s famous holiday is actually a lively commemoration of the departed.  The nationwide festivities, which include a massive parade in Mexico City, typically begin the night of Oct. 31 with families sitting vigil at grave sites. Mexican tradition holds that on Nov. 1 and 2, the dead awaken to reconnect and celebrate with their living family and friends. Given the timing, it may be tempting to equate Day of the Dead with Halloween, a ghost-themed U.S. holiday. But the two holidays express fundamentally different beliefs.  Full Story: Live Science (10/30)
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Seoul, South Korea
A memorial in front of City Hall for victims of the Halloween celebration crush in the Itaewon district in which at least 153 people died
Photograph: Chung Sung-Jun/Getty

Noida, India
Hindus perform rituals to the Sun god in the Yamuna during Chhath Parva festival on the outskirts of Delhi
Photograph: Anadolu Agency/Getty

Mangroves & Landscape – Winner | Walakiri Dancing Trees by Loïc Dupuis, Indonesia
The sun rises along the peaceful beaches of East Sumba in Indonesia. “I wanted to capture the beauty and fragility of this unique wonder. We need to protect and visit places like this with great care, so future generations can also enjoy them.”
Photograph: Loïc Dupuis/Mangrove Photographer of the Year
Market Closes for October 31, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
32732.95 -128.85
-0.39%
S&P 500 3871.98 -29.08
-0.75%
NASDAQ  10988.14 -114.31
-1.03%
TSX 19426.14 -45.05
-0.23%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 27587.46 +482.26
+1.78%
HANG
SENG
14687.02 -176.04
-1.18%
SENSEX 60746.59 +786.74
+1.31%
FTSE 100* 7094.53 +46.86
+0.66%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
3.252 3.234
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.287 3.317
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.0478 4.0081
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.1596 4.1351

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7340 0.7338
US
$
1.3624 1.3628
 
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3463 0.7428
US 
0.9883 1.0118

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1648.05 1659.75
Oil    
WTI Crude Future  86.53 87.90

Market Commentary:
🎃 On this day in 1933, in one of Wall Street’s nastiest Halloween surprises, Albert H. Wiggin, former president of the Chase National Bank, testified that his personal investment companies had borrowed money from Chase to short-sell $8 million worth of Chase’s own stock as it crumbled in the Crash of 1929. The revelation inspired Congress to add a provision to the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 banning corporate officers from short-selling their own shares.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite fell 0.2% at 19,426.14 in Toronto.

The move was the biggest since falling 0.5% on Oct. 20 and follows the previous session’s increase of 0.6%.
Brookfield Asset Management Inc. contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 1.4%.

NFI Group Inc. had the largest drop, falling 8.6%.
Today, 153 of 236 shares fell, while 82 rose; 8 of 11 sectors were lower, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index fell 8.5%, heading for the worst year since 2018
* This month, the index rose 5.3%, heading for the biggest advance since November 2020
* The index declined 7.7% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 17% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 12.5% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 8.7% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 2.7% in the past 5 days and rose 5.3% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.1 on a trailing basis and 12.2 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.2% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.12t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 22.56% compared with 22.72% in the previous session and the average of 22.25% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Financials | -25.9432| -0.4| 9/20
Materials | -19.8724| -0.9| 11/40
Information Technology | -12.0887| -1.1| 4/10
Consumer Staples | -9.0615| -1.1| 1/10
Real Estate | -6.1691| -1.3| 2/20
Consumer Discretionary | -5.4169| -0.8| 5/9
Communication Services | -3.6953| -0.4| 1/6
Utilities | -3.1478| -0.3| 6/10
Industrials | 2.3150| 0.1| 12/15
Health Care | 3.5008| 4.3| 3/4
Energy | 34.5227| 0.9| 28/9
================================================================
| | |Volume VS | YTD
| Index | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Brookfield Asset Management | -7.2760| -1.4| 29.8| -29.4
Constellation Software | -6.7340| -2.5| 17.2| -16.1
TD Bank | -6.4680| -0.6| -39.4| -10.1
Canadian Pacific | 6.5940| 1.0| 79.2| 11.6
Suncor Energy | 9.5010| 2.2| 31.1| 48.1
Nutrien | 11.2000| 2.7| 36.8| 21.1

US
By Rita Nazareth
(Bloomberg) — Stocks pared their monthly surge as bond yields climbed, with investors awaiting Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision for clues on whether officials will dial back the pace of rate hikes as early as December.
Big tech weighed heavily on the S&P 500, while energy shares whipsawed on news that President Joe Biden will call on Congress to consider tax penalties for producers accruing record profits.

Equities may also have come under pressure as pension funds that rebalance on a monthly basis potentially dumped shares amid an 8% rally for the US benchmark gauge in October.
A selloff in bonds across the curve sent two-year US yields to around 4.5%. Swap markets are pricing in a 75-basis-point hike this week amid the Fed’s most-aggressive tightening campaign in four decades.

The outlook for the following meetings is less certain, with traders seeing a “coin toss” between an increase of that size and a 50-basis-point boost in the final month of 2022.
“This week will be loaded with scary stuff, from the Fed meeting and press conference to employment data on Friday,” wrote Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Investment Management. “Market expectations are for the Fed to begin signaling that their very aggressive rate hiking cycle will begin slowing down.”
JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s Marko Kolanovic is joining strategists who believe the aggressive hiking is nearing an end.
The US will likely raise rates by 50 basis points in December and pause after one more 25-basis-point hike in the first quarter, he said. Indicators such as the inversion of the yield curve between 10-year and three-month Treasuries “all support a Fed pivot sooner rather than later,” wrote Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson.
Although October can evoke fear on Wall Street following stock market crashes in 1929, 1987 and 2008, it’s living up to its reputation as the best month in US midterm election years.
Now traders are holding out hope this October will follow a historical pattern of being a “bear-market killer” following a turbulent year for equities.
When it comes to elections, the fourth quarter of midterm years and the following first quarter historically have been the two strongest of the 16-quarter presidential cycle, delivering average gains of 6.4% and 6.9% respectively for the S&P 500, according to investment research firm CFRA.
November has historically been one of the strongest months of the year for US stocks, said Bespoke Investment Group.

The S&P 500 has experienced an average gain of 0.82% with positive returns 69% of the time, according to data going back to 1983.
Over the last 10 years, the gauge saw a median advance of 1.26% and gains nine out of 10 times.
To Jason Draho at UBS Global Wealth Management, while the recent rally in stocks didn’t really look sustainable, that doesn’t mean markets can’t keep grinding higher in coming weeks, “provided that the Fed and labor and inflation data don’t disappoint.”
Global economic reports didn’t help sentiment on Monday.
Euro-area inflation surged to a fresh all-time high, while the bloc’s economy lost momentum — reinforcing fears that a recession is now all-but unavoidable.

China’s factory and services activity contracted in October, with signs that things could worsen in the coming months.
Wheat prices soared after Russia suspended a deal guaranteeing safe passage of Ukrainian exports, with Moscow warning that shipments become “much riskier” without its participation even as new vessels loaded with crops set sail
from Ukraine. 

Key events this week:
* Reserve Bank of Australia policy decision, Tuesday
* US construction spending, ISM manufacturing index, Tuesday
* EIA crude oil inventory report, Wednesday
* Federal Reserve rate decision, Wednesday
* US MBA mortgage applications, ADP employment, Wednesday
* Bank of England rate decision, Thursday
* US factory orders, durable goods, trade, initial jobless claims, ISM services index, Thursday
* ECB President Christine Lagarde speaks, Thursday
* US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 0.7% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 1.2%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4%
* The MSCI World index fell 0.4%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.7%
* The euro fell 0.8% to $0.9883
* The British pound fell 1.3% to $1.1468
* The Japanese yen fell 0.7% to 148.68 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin fell 1.5% to $20,374.98
* Ether fell 2% to $1,563.92

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced three basis points to 4.05%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced four basis points to 2.14%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced four basis points to 3.52%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 2% to $86.16 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.5% to $1,636.40 an ounce
–With assistance from Vildana Hajric and Isabelle Lee.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

Singleness of purpose is one of the chief essentials for success in life, no matter what may be one’s aim. –John D. Rockefeller Sr., 1839-1937.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 28, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday.
St Jude’s Day

October 28,1636: Harvard University founded.

On Oct. 28, 1886, the Statue of Liberty, a gift from the people of France, was dedicated in New York Harbor by President Grover Cleveland.  Go to article »

Erasmus, writer, b. 1467
Bill Gates, founder of Microsoft, b. 1955.
Julia Roberts, actress, b. 1967.

8-year-old boy is over halfway to reaching the summit of El Capitan.  The Colorado boy who set out this week to become the youngest person to climb one of the most difficult rock formations in the world is more than halfway to reaching the summit.

Photo of coal miner dad goes viral.  We have another contender for father of the year! This coal miner didn’t want to miss his son’s first basketball experience, so he rushed straight from work to the game — covered in black coal dust. See the photo here.

Brain scans can now reveal what your dog is staring at.  Does your dog really love you? Or does it only behave because it wants food and treats? Watch this short video to see what researchers are saying.

Game 1 of the World Series is today.  The Philadelphia Phillies and Houston Astros will face off today for a place in MLB history. Here’s how to watch.

This Piet Mondrian panting has been hanging upside down for 75 years.

If the truth is out there, America’s space experts may soon find it. On Monday (Oct. 24), NASA officially launched an independent study into UFOs — or unidentified aerial phenomena (UAPs) — the agency announced in a statement.

UFOs are finally getting the big NASA study they deserve: The study will run for the next nine months, with a team of 16 leading experts — including astrophysicists, aerospace industry executives and former astronauts — digging into as much data as possible about reported UAP sightings.  Full Story: Live Science (10/28)

Gigantic radiation storms have been pummeling Earth for at least 10,000 years and could strike again, tree ring analysis reveals: A series of sudden and colossal spikes in radiation levels across Earth’s history could have come from a series of unknown, unpredictable and potentially catastrophic cosmic events, a new study has revealed.
Named Miyake events after the lead author of the first study to describe them, the spikes occur roughly once every 1,000 years or so and are recorded as sudden increases in the radiocarbon levels of ancient tree rings.
Full Story: Live Science (10/27)

Meet the very richest families in the world.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

New York City, US
A man walks on the Coney Island boardwalk during a foggy morning in the Brooklyn borough of New York City
Photograph: Shannon Stapleton/Reuters

Vaila, Shetland
There is an 18th century watchtower on the Isle of Vaila from which the new owner can survey their small empire and keep an eye out for any intruders. Sir John Betjeman was a big fan of this islet in the west of Shetland now used as an organic farm. As well as 306 hectares (757 acres), it comes with a 17th century castellated mansion with six bedrooms, a farmhouse, a caretaker’s cottage and 57 hectares (142 acres) suitable for grazing. In total it has 6.5 miles of craggy coastline with sheltered bays and hidden caves.
Photograph: Savills
A tractor ploughing a field in Kars, Turkey, is surrounded by a flock of birds
Photograph: Ismail Kaplan/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
Market Closes for October 28, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
32861.80 +828.52
+2.59%
S&P 500 3901.06 +93.76
+2.46%
NASDAQ  11102.45 +309.78
+2.87%
TSX 19471.19 +119.08
+0.62%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 27105.20 -240.04
-0.88%
HANG
SENG
14863.06 -564.88
-3.66%
SENSEX 59959.85 +203.01
+0.34%
FTSE 100* 7047.67 -26.02
-0.37%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
3.234 3.192
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.317 3.321
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.0081 3.9105
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.1351 4.0759

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7338 0.7370
US
$
1.3628 1.3569
 
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3578 0.7365
US 
0.9962 1.0038

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1659.75 1666.75
Oil    
WTI Crude Future  87.90 89.08

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1929, on what would forever be called “Black Monday,” the Great Crash began in earnest. Packard Motor Car plunged 50.7%, RCA dropped 31.3% and Montgomery Ward lost 20.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 13.5%, then a record loss. In a single day, more than an eighth of the U.S. stock market’s value was erased
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose for the sixth day, climbing 0.6%, or 119.08 to 19,471.19 in Toronto.

The index advanced to the highest closing level since Sept. 19.
Canadian National Railway Co. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 1.3%.

Imperial Oil Ltd. had the largest increase, rising 9.1%.
Today, 151 of 236 shares rose, while 85 fell; 10 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index fell 8.3%, heading for the worst year since 2018
* This month, the index rose 5.6%, heading for the biggest advance since November 2020
* So far this week, the index rose 3.2%, heading for the biggest advance since the week ended July 29
* The index declined 8.1% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 17% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 12.3% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 8.9% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.2 on a trailing basis and 12.2 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.2% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.09t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 22.72% compared with 22.80% in the previous session and the average of 21.83% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Financials | 57.7638| 1.0| 26/3
Industrials | 23.1641| 0.9| 20/7
Information Technology | 19.5404| 1.8| 12/2
Consumer Staples | 12.1253| 1.5| 9/2
Consumer Discretionary | 10.9827| 1.6| 12/2
Utilities | 9.7114| 1.1| 13/3
Communication Services | 3.4595| 0.4| 5/2
Health Care | 1.0959| 1.4| 5/2
Real Estate | 0.9275| 0.2| 16/6
Energy | 0.4874| 0.0| 16/22
Materials | -20.1845| -0.9| 17/34
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points| | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move |% Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Canadian National | 8.6090| 1.3| -45.7| 4.3
RBC | 8.3530| 0.7| -48.1| -6.5
Imperial Oil | 8.3030| 9.1| 126.9| 61.4
TC Energy | -5.0160| -1.2| -52.5| 1.2
Shaw Communications | -7.1000| -6.3| 118.4| -11.6
Teck Resources | -11.4100| -7.8| 93.4| 17.5

US
By Isabelle Lee and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — US stocks ended a turbulent week with a sizable gain as Apple Inc.’s earnings report buoyed technology shares and a smattering of economic data suggested a modicum of progress is being made in the Federal Reserve’s battle against inflation.
The S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 notched their longest weekly rising streaks since August.

Gains in big-tech companies including Microsoft Corp. and Google parent Alphabet Inc. helped both indexes snap a two-day decline.
Treasuries turned weaker on Friday, breaking a three-day rally after hopes of a Fed pivot fizzled.

The dollar rose for the second straight session.
Stocks, bonds and the dollar whipsawed this week as investors attempted to make sense of conflicting earnings reports and economic data.
Quarterly reports from mega-cap technology firms underscored the impact of the Fed’s tightening regime, and consequently the surging dollar.

But overall, earnings still largely beat estimates, with Caterpillar Inc., which is considered a bellwether firm, highlighting strong buyer demand.
Meanwhile, a core gauge of US inflation accelerated in September, bolstering the Fed’s case for another jumbo rate hike next week.

But a contraction in manufacturing and services, and lower-than-expected US home sales, indicated that the Fed’s actions are already hitting the economy.
Gross domestic product data, which came in on Thursday, briefly assuaged concerns of an imminent recession.
Economists are still expecting the Fed to raise rates by three-quarters of a percentage point for the fourth time in a row next week.

Rates are projected to rise another half point in December, then by quarter points the following two meetings.
“It is too early to expect the Fed to signal a more dovish stance,” said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management. “We maintain our view for economic growth to bottom out in the middle of 2023 and for the Fed to stop hiking in 1Q23.”

US investors also closely watched the actions of other central banks.
While the European Central Bank delivered a second straight 75 basis-point hike on Thursday, it dropped a prior reference to rate increases continuing for “several meetings,” an outcome that was considered dovish.
On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada announced a smaller-than-expected rate hike, which briefly stoked speculation that the Fed could follow suit.
The Bank of Japan, meanwhile, stood by its ultra-low interest rates at the end of a two-day long policy meeting on Friday.

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 2.5% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 3.2%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.6%
* The MSCI World index fell 0.3%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2%
* The euro was little changed at $0.9965
* The British pound rose 0.4% to $1.1617
* The Japanese yen fell 0.8% to 147.44 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin rose 1.1% to $20,620.71
* Ether rose 2% to $1,558.63

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced seven basis points to 3.99%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced 14 basis points to 2.10%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced eight basis points to 3.48%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 1.1% to $88.13 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 1% to $1,648.40 an ounce
–With assistance from Cecile Gutscher, Reade Pickert and Tassia Sipahutar.

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

All men age, as all men die. The thing is not to die too soon, Se҄ῇora, and to live wisely.  To live a long time is nothing,
to live a long time wisely is something. –Louis L’Amour, 1908-1988.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 27, 2022 Newsletter

Anchor
Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday Eve.

October 27, 1904: The first underground New York City Subway line opens, later designated as the IRT Broadway–Seventh Avenue Line.  While London boasts the world’s oldest underground train network (opened in 1863) and Boston built the first subway in the United States in 1897, the New York City subway soon became the largest American system.
2005: Surgeons in France performed the world’s first partial face transplant on a woman who was mauled by a dog.  Go to article »
1787: Federalist Papers published.
Theodore Roosevelt, 26th president, b. 1858.
Dylan Thomas, poet, b. 1914.
Sylvia Plath, poet, b.1932

Why haunted houses and horror movies make us happy.

Welcome to the age of cacio e pepe. (h/t Mike Nizza)

Blue jeans from the 1800s found in an abandoned mine shaft.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

London, UK
Maya Renard, six, gives a poppy to the 98-year-old D-day veteran Bernard Morgan, whose story is among those featured on a wall of poppies, at the launch of the Royal British Legion’s 2022 poppy appeal
Photograph: Victoria Jones/PA

Sydney, Australia
Oleksii Kniazkov and Vladyslava Ihnatenko of the United Ukrainian Ballet perform during rehearsals of Swan Lake at the ICC Sydney theatre
Photograph: Don Arnold/WireImage
Skye high
‘A break in the weather looking down the Trotternish Ridge, Isle of Skye, from the Quiraing.’
Photograph: Mike Williamson
Market Closes for October 27, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
32033.28 +194.17
+0.61%
S&P 500 3807.30 -23.30
-0.61%
NASDAQ  10792.68 -178.31
-1.63%
TSX 19352.11 +72.35
+0.38%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 27345.24 -86.60
-0.32%
HANG
SENG
15427.94 +110.27
+0.72%
SENSEX 59756.84 +212.88
+0.36%
FTSE 100* 7073.69 +17.62
+0.25%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
3.192 3.277
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.321 3.421
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
3.9105 4.0090
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.0759 4.1476

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7370 0.7379
US
$
1.3569 1.3552
 
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3518 0.7398
US 
0.9964 1.0036

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1666.75 1659.25
Oil    
WTI Crude Future  89.08 87.91

Market Commentary:
🐂 On this day in 1923, the greatest bull market of the 20th century began after the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed the day at 85.76. It lasted nearly 6 years and lifted stocks by 344.5% until the Dow hit 381.17. Then, beginning in 1929, the Great Crash pulled stocks down by 89%, erasing nearly all those gains.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose for the fifth day, climbing 0.4%, or 72.35 to 19,352.11 in Toronto.

The index advanced to the highest closing level since Oct. 4.
Today, information technology stocks led the market higher, as 6 of 11 sectors gained; 106 of 236 shares rose, while 126 fell.
Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index gain and had the largest move, increasing 17.1%.

Insights
* This year, the index fell 8.8%, heading for the worst year since 2018
* This month, the index rose 4.9%, heading for the biggest advance since November 2020
* So far this week, the index rose 2.6%
* The index declined 7.6% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 18% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 12.9% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 8.3% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 4.2% in the past 5 days and rose 5.7% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.1 on a trailing basis and 12.1 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.2% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.08t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 22.80% compared with 22.89% in the previous session and the average of 21.55% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Information Technology | 54.1296| 5.3| 6/8
Financials | 29.2102| 0.5| 22/7
Energy | 5.0075| 0.1| 15/21
Communication Services | 4.4565| 0.5| 4/3
Utilities | 4.0357| 0.5| 13/3
Consumer Staples | 0.6347| 0.1| 4/6
Industrials | -0.1665| 0.0| 19/8
Consumer Discretionary | -0.3938| -0.1| 5/9
Health Care | -3.0238| -3.6| 0/7
Real Estate | -5.5575| -1.1| 9/13
Materials | -15.9689| -0.7| 9/41

================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Shopify | 55.2100| 17.1| 87.9| -73.5
TC Energy | 8.6380| 2.1| -33.9| 2.4
Enbridge | 7.2480| 1.0| -49.3| 7.2
Teck Resources | -7.9590| -5.1| 107.8| 27.4
Suncor Energy | -8.1710| -1.9| -18.4| 43.4
Canadian National | -8.3550| -1.2| 19.3| 3.0

US
By Isabelle Lee and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — Wall Street contended with another volatile session as investors mulled the Federal Reserve’s path of interest-rate hikes while assessing mixed economic data and a slew of earnings reports.
Amazon.com Inc. plunged after hours as its sales forecast trailed estimates.

Shares of Apple Inc. also fell post market despite largely beating expectations.
The S&P 500 closed lower, after swinging between gains and losses for most of the session

The Nasdaq 100 fell more than 1%. Lackluster earnings from several mega-cap firms this week dampened sentiment and underscored the impact of the Fed’s tightening regime.
Meta Platforms Inc. suffered its worst one-day drop since February on Thursday, triggered by burgeoning metaverse costs and a decline in revenue.
Markets were also mixed on US gross domestic product data.
The report showed the US economy rebounded after two quarterly contractions, which briefly assuaged concerns of an imminent recession.

But it also highlighted that consumer spending remains under pressure because of inflation.
Treasuries gained, with the 10-year yield pushing below 4% on speculation of a Fed pivot.
The dollar snapped a two-day drop.
The stock and currency markets digested the GDP data differently because it’s difficult to tell what the Fed is planning to do next, said Fiona Cincotta, senior financial markets analyst at City Index.
“The US dollar is reading into this that perhaps it’s going to keep the Fed on that hawkish path for longer,” Cincotta said by phone. “Whereas the stock market seems to be reading it completely differently, almost as if it’s expecting the Fed to be sort of moving toward that less hawkish stuff.”

Economists still expect the Fed to hike by three-quarters of a percentage point for the fourth time in a row when it meets next week.
But with recent data highlighting the effects of the Fed’s sharp rate hikes on the economy, investors expect the central bank to slow its pace of tightening after November’s meeting.
“It’s not about a pivot and cutting interest rates,” Alec Young, chief investment strategist at MAPsignals, said in an interview. “It’s just about the Fed becoming more data-dependent and acknowledging there’s already a lot of tightening in the pipeline from all the rate hikes they’ve put through so far.”
Earlier, the European Central Bank lifted its policy rate by 75 basis points — in line with expectations — and signaled more tightening ahead.

But ECB officials weren’t unanimous about the size of the interest-rate hike and sought to avoid giving a specific signal on their next move in December, according to people familiar with the matter.
Key events this week:
* Bank of Japan policy decision, Friday
* US personal income, personal spending, pending home sales, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 0.6% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 1.9%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.6%
* The MSCI World index was little changed

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.4%
* The euro fell 1.1% to $0.9971
* The British pound fell 0.4% to $1.1575
* The Japanese yen rose 0.1% to 146.20 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin fell 0.6% to $20,630.98
* Ether rose 0.6% to $1,562.65

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined seven basis points to 3.93%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined 15 basis points to 1.96%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined 17 basis points to 3.40%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.3% to $89.01 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.2% to $1,665.50 an ounce
–With assistance from Elaine Chen, Emily Graffeo and Peyton Forte.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

Never give in – never, never, never, never, in nothing great or small, large or petty,
never give in except to convictions of honour and good sense.  Never yield to force;
never yield to the apparently overwhelming might of the enemy. -Winston Churchill, 1874-1965.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com