October 6, 2023, Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday.

October 6th, 1973: Egypt and Syria launch a surprise attack on Israel, starting the  Yom Kippur War.

2nd-century Alexander the Great statue with lion’s-mane hairstyle unearthed in Turkey
The discovery shows the popularity of the ancient ruler hundreds of years after his death.  Read More.

700-year-old coin depicting Jesus and medieval king discovered in Bulgaria. Archaeologists in Bulgaria have discovered a medieval silver coin that features a Serbian king and a saint on one side and Jesus on the other.  Full Story: Live Science (10/4)

Earth’s solid inner core is ‘surprisingly soft’ thanks to hyperactive atoms jostling around
Atoms within the enormous ball of iron in Earth’s inner core may move around much more than previously thought, which could explain recent findings about the core’s surprising softness.  Read More.

James Webb Space Telescope spots dozens of physics-breaking rogue objects floating through space in pairs
Astronomers spotted Jupiter-mass binary objects (JUMBOs) in the Orion constellation, and they don’t know how the objects formed.  Read More.

US government issues 1st-ever space junk fine, charging satellite TV company whopping $150k
The FCC issued its first-ever fine for a space debris violation, slapping the DISH satellite TV company with a $150,000 penalty. Read More.

Ultra-exclusive private golf course opens in South Florida — with $1 million membership fee.
You can enjoy this world-class golf course, so long as you have a spare million dollars lying around.

Growing up in an Italian castle
This young woman’s family inherited a 900-year-old Italian castle. Here’s what it’s like living there.

Tom Brady’s last game jersey is headed to auction
The jersey Tom Brady wore in the last NFL game of his 23-season career is heading to auction, where it could fetch as much as $2.5 million.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

New York City, US
People hold umbrellas as cars move along Brooklyn Bridge after heavy rains. Flash flooding swept over parts of the New York City region last week as residents reeled from powerful downpours and surging waters.  Photograph: Andrés Kudacki/AP

Reinfjord, Norway
A Sami woman feeds her son while watching their herd of reindeer in Reinfjord. A horde of white, brown or greying reindeer cross fjords, climb mountains and swim between glaciers before arriving at their destination, after a great migration to their winter pasture, in the Norwegian far north.  Photograph: Olivier Morin/AFP/Getty Images.

Scoresby Fjord, Greenland
Water flows from a melting iceberg in Scoresby Fjord. The French national centre for scientific research is undertaking an expedition to explore Greenland’s isolated fjords, the planet’s largest fjord system, which remains vastly understudied.  Photograph: Olivier Morin/AFP/Getty Images.
Market Closes for October 6th, 2023

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33407.58 +288.01
+0.87%
S&P 500 4308.50 +50.31
+1.18%
NASDAQ  13431.34 +211.51
+1.60%
TSX 19246.07 +108.26
+0.57%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 30994.67 -80.69
-0.26%
HANG
SENG
17485.98 +272.11
+1.58%
SENSEX 65995.63 +364.06
+0.55%
FTSE 100* 7494.58 +43.04
+0.58%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
4.156 4.133
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.901 3.909
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.8009 4.7185
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.9676 4.8901

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7316 0.7296
US
$
1.3669 1.3706

 

Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse   
Canadian $ 1.4482 0.6905
US
$
1.0595 0.9438

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1819.45 1818.95
Oil
WTI Crude Future  82.79 82.31

Market Commentary:
📈 On this day in 1979, then-Fed Chair Paul Volcker set off the “Saturday Night Massacre” when he said the central bank would raise interest rates by a full percentage point amid spiraling inflation. The decision sparked a dramatic bond selloff.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose for the third day, climbing 0.6%, or 108.26 to 19,246.07 in Toronto.

The move was the biggest since rising 0.8% on Sept. 28.
Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.5%.

Lithium Americas Argentina Corp. had the  largest increase, rising 7.0%.
Today, 176 of 228 shares rose, while 50 fell; 8 of 11 sectors were higher, led by energy stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index fell 0.7%, heading for the worst year since 2022
* So far this week, the index fell 1.5%
* The index advanced 1.4% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 14% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 7.7% below its 52-week high on Feb. 2, 2023 and 7.7% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.5 on a trailing basis and 13.8 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.5% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.04t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 14.32% compared with 14.23% in the previous session and the average of 12.96% over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Energy | 28.7481| 0.8| 36/4
Materials | 27.5964| 1.3| 45/7
Financials | 23.4889| 0.4| 21/7
Information Technology | 22.2528| 1.5| 8/3
Industrials | 6.8727| 0.3| 20/6
Real Estate | 2.7424| 0.6| 18/2
Consumer Discretionary | 0.9231| 0.1| 11/3
Utilities | 0.7349| 0.1| 11/5
Health Care | -1.0433| -1.7| 0/4
Communication Services | -1.9356| -0.3| 2/3
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Shopify | 14.7000| 2.5|n/a | 55.9
Canadian Natural Resources | 8.0890| 1.3|n/a | 11.7
Brookfield Corp | 6.5060| 1.6|n/a | -1.9
RBC | -1.6580| -0.2|n/a | -9.7
Bank of Nova Scotia| -2.3440| -0.5|n/a | -10.4
Restaurant Brands | -4.6250| -2.4|n/a | -1.7

US
By Emily Graffeo and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — US stock benchmarks rebounded after a tense week while the retreat in Treasuries extended as Wall Street debated the odds the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates again this year.
The S&P 500 advanced 1.2% Friday with the benchmark snapping its four-week losing streak after a last minute deal with the autoworkers union helped buoy sentiment.

The Nasdaq 100 jumped 1.7% with large-cap tech names, including Microsoft Corp., Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp., powering the index higher.
Yields on 10-year and 30-year Treasuries calmed after touching 2007 highs near 4.9% and 5.1%, respectively as global bonds sold off for a fifth straight week.

An unexpected surge in hiring left swaps traders pricing in a roughly 50/50 chance of a rate hike by December.
The nonfarm payrolls report showed employers quickened the pace of hiring, with 336,000 jobs being added in September — more than double economists’ estimates.

The unemployment rate held steady at 3.8%, data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed Friday.
“The overall picture is rather ‘goldilocks’-like, with strong jobs growth coming alongside continued disinflation,” according to the economics desk at ABN Amro, which cautioned against relying too much on a single month’s data.  “We continue to think the fed funds rate has peaked and that July was the last hike of the cycle,” they added. “If anything, the recent jump in bond yields adds to our conviction that the Fed will refrain from further hikes, as the rise in yields represents a major additional tightening of financial conditions.”
Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, came to a different conclusion after the data. “The economy is almost too hot to handle and the Fed will need to respond with more rate hikes, it reinforces the higher-for-longer narrative that has been spooking bond markets for the past few weeks,” she said.
The bond selloff has been hammering risk assets from stocks to corporate credit on concerns that central banks will keep interest rates elevated longer than expected.
Mohamed El-Erian, the chief economic adviser at Allianz SE, sees more pain ahead.
“Something is likely to break,” he said on Bloomberg Television.

The Bloomberg Opinion columnist said Friday’s job numbers were consistent with his call for a possible recession.
Markets gyrated on conflicting US labor data this week: job-openings overshot estimates, while a measure of private employment from ADP was weaker than forecast.
Traders bet big on volatility ahead of Friday’s payrolls number, though the wager hasn’t really paid off yet.

They also have record sums riding on the outcome of November’s Fed meeting as investors and policymakers debate the likelihood of a further rate increase this year.
In commodities, oil posted its biggest weekly drop since March while gold slumped for the second week in a row.
Next week, all eyes will be on Thursday’s consumer pricing data as well as earnings reports from some of Wall Street’s biggest banks, including JPMorgan Chase & Co., Wells Fargo & Co. and Citigroup Inc.

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 1.2% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 1.7%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.9%
* The MSCI World index rose 1.1%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.2%
* The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0589
* The British pound rose 0.4% to $1.2242
* The Japanese yen fell 0.6% to 149.33 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin rose 1.8% to $27,977
* Ether rose 1.9% to $1,647.22

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced eight basis points to 4.79%
* Germany’s 10-year yield was little changed at 2.88%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced three basis points to 4.57%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.6% to $82.80 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 0.7% to $1,844.30 an ounce
This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.
–With assistance from Cecile Gutscher, Carter Johnson, Sagarika Jaisinghani, Richard Henderson and John Viljoen.

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann
The enemy is fear.  We think it is hate; but it is fear. Gandhi-1869-1948.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 5, 2023, Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday Eve.

October 5th, 2011 Apple founder Steve Jobs died at age 56.  Go to article >>
1877: Chief Joseph surrender.

Tecumseh, Shawnee chief, d.1813.
Kate Winslet, actress, b. 1975.

‘Exceptional’ 1,800-year-old sarcophagus unearthed in France held woman of ‘special status’
Archaeologists excavating an ancient necropolis have unearthed a Roman-era sarcophagus containing the remains of a second-century woman. Read More.

1,400-year-old gold figures depicting Norse gods discovered at former pagan temple
Archaeologists have discovered 35 miniature gold-foil depictions of Norse gods tucked inside the remnants of a pagan temple in Norway. Read More.

Norwegian family finds 1,200-year-old Viking treasure while searching for a lost earring in their yard .
The discovery includes two roughly 1,200-year-old brooches, made from bronze and once gilded with gold, that may have belonged to an aristocratic woman.
Full Story: Live Science (10/4)

Nobel Prize in chemistry awarded to trio who discovered bizarre quantum dots
Three scientists will share the Nobel Prize in Chemistry for their discovery of strange nanoparticles that change color according to their size. Read More.

New Halloween lawn decoration creates a stir on social media
Over the past few years, a 12-foot skeleton has been the hottest Halloween decoration. Now, fans are obsessed with this item that’s selling out in stores.

Pleasant surprise greets scientists opening asteroid sample dropped from space
The asteroid sample recently collected by NASA will be unveiled in a live broadcast next week. Here’s what scientists have observed so far.

Simone Biles and US team win 7th consecutive world title
The American gymnast played a key role in a historic victory for the US in the women’s team final on Wednesday.

Comedy Wildlife Photo Award 2023 finalists revealed
The shortlist includes photos of mischievous monkeys, a startled leopard, and a very happy turtle. View some of the chucklesome finalists for the Comedy Wildlife Photo Award 2023.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY
These images from the early 20th century have been revitalised with the latest colour technology:

Bathers at Siouville-Hague in Normandy, France, photographed by Gustave Gain, 1921
The Colors of Life shows us a new way of seeing the past. This world is a familiar one, and this is where the fascination lies within this collection of images. There is a striking sense of clarity to these photos, an enhanced realism, and the majority of them look as though they were shot only yesterday.

Casserole vendor on Rue Peyrolières (then Rue des Chaudrons) in Toulouse, France, photographed by Georges Chevalier, 18 April, 1916
Humphryes uses an algorithm to average out the difference between adjacent pixels in an image, which smooths and blends the individual spots of colour into a more coherent image that can be enlarged without it breaking up into constituent coloured dots.

​​​​​​​The original Moulin Rouge in Paris, France, the year before it burned down, photographed by Stéphane Passet, 24 June, 1914
We know that these people and places existed – the evidence is there in front of our eyes – but somehow, they seem less real; mere ghostly faces from a time and place long since vanished. These are people with different values, different fashion and different lifestyles than us. We cannot fully understand them because we don’t fully see them as they were in reality.
Market Closes for October 5th, 2023

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33119.57 -9.98
-0.03%
S&P 500 4258.19 -5.56
-0.13%
NASDAQ  13219.83 -16.17
-0.12%
TSX 19137.81 +103.00
+0.54%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 31075.36 +548.48
+1.80%
HANG
SENG
17213.87 +18.03
+0.10%
SENSEX 65631.57 +405.53
+0.62%
FTSE 100* 7451.54 +39.09
+0.53%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
4.133 4.152
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.909 3.918
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.7185 4.7329
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.8901 4.8584

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7296 0.7277
US
$
1.3706 1.3742

 

Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse   
Canadian $ 1.4456 0.6918
US
$
1.0550 0.9479

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1818.95 1822.45
Oil
WTI Crude Future  82.31 84.22

Market Commentary:

📈 On this day in 1993, Daimler-Benz became the first German company to list on the New York Stock Exchange.

Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose for the second day, climbing 0.5%, or 103 to 19,137.81 in Toronto.
Royal Bank of Canada contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 0.8%.

TransAlta Corp. had the largest increase, rising 7.0%.
Today, 165 of 228 shares rose, while 61 fell; 9 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index fell 1.3%, heading for the worst year since 2022
* So far this week, the index fell 2.1%
* The index declined 0.5% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 12% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 8.2% below its 52-week high on Feb. 2, 2023 and 7.1% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 2.3% in the past 5 days and fell 6.3% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.4 on a trailing basis and 13.2 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.5% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.02t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 14.23% compared with 14.13% in the previous session and the average of 12.86% over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Financials | 27.6804| 0.5| 23/5
Energy | 20.1889| 0.6| 28/12
Materials | 19.2393| 0.9| 36/14
Utilities | 15.3131| 2.0| 16/0
Communication Services | 14.1651| 2.0| 5/0
Real Estate | 4.0467| 0.9| 20/1
Industrials | 3.3519| 0.1| 15/11
Consumer Staples | 0.8317| 0.1| 6/5
Health Care | 0.1032| 0.2| 3/1
Consumer Discretionary | -0.2851| 0.0| 5/9
Information Technology | -1.6251| -0.1| 8/3
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
RBC | 8.5830| 0.8|n/a | -9.6
BCE | 6.8190| 2.1|n/a | -13.9
Enbridge | 5.9020| 0.9|n/a | -17.8
Canadian Pacific Kansas | -4.4250| -0.7|n/a | -1.2
Brookfield Corp | -5.4900| -1.3|n/a | -3.5
Shopify | -6.0140| -1.0|n/a | 52.1

US
By Cristin Flanagan and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — Stocks and bonds have backed away from the worst of this week’s slump, though key data Friday threatens to spur a fresh slide.
US equity benchmarks ended the day pointing lower Thursday after the latest data showed weekly unemployment claims holding near historical lows.

The S&P 500 has been hovering above a key support level that — should it fall below — technical analysts warn could drive a steeper drop. With the gauge already down roughly 8% from July highs, a too-healthy number from Friday’s monthly non-farm payrolls could push yields back up and stocks down.
“Tomorrow’s jobs report may be the most important one of the year,” according to Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader.  If the report is too hot and the yield on the US 10-year bond moves close to 5%, “we could easily see the S&P 500 fall through the 200-day moving average and at that point we could see an acceleration of the declines in stocks,” Essaye wrote in his The Sevens Report newsletter.
The yield on the US 10-year drifted down to 4.72% after touching a 16-year high around 4.88% this week.

The 30-year, which recently hit the 5% level, advanced toward 4.9% in Thursday’s session.
Wall Street has been keyed in on rising borrowing costs and saw 5% as a likely target for longer-term US government bonds, now some money managers are saying 6% is on the table.
With the US benchmark rate at a 22-year high Fed speakers reinforced the higher-for-longer message and said data would be key ahead of the November meeting.

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, who does not vote this year, said the market is seeing a return to a more normal rate seen in prior years.
The head of the San Francisco Fed Mary Daly — also a non-voting member — said that the central bank could hold rates steady if jobs and pricing showed signs of slowing.
“The markets are finally coming to grips with higher long-term rates, and I think we’re seeing more of that reflected in the markets,” said Chris Gaffney, president of world markets at EverBank. “In the past, the Fed seems like they have always adjusted to the markets, but this go around, I think the markets have had to adjust to the Fed.”
Thursday’s report showed a slight rise in the number of people filing for unemployment benefits compared with the previous week.

Claims ticked up to 207,000 in the week ending Sept. 30, according to Labor Department data.
Earlier this week, the unexpected rise in August job openings spurred the rout in Treasuries.
The selloff paused after private payrolls data showed US companies added the fewest number of jobs since the start of 2021 last month.
While markets have stabilized from the recent rout, investor sentiment remains fragile. Investors are keen to see if Friday’s labor data cements bets on a November pause from the Federal Reserve.

Currently, swaps are pricing a one-in-four chance of a Fed move higher next month.
“Friday’s payrolls data, and next week’s inflation number will decide whether the 10-year Treasury yield goes up to 5% or down to 4.5%,” Societe Generale strategist Kenneth Broux said. A higher-than-forecast jobs number could trigger “another wave of dollar-buying and bond-selling,” he added.
In the monthly employment report, economists surveyed by Bloomberg predict the US economy added 170,000 workers in September, slightly less than the previous month.
Even with markets showing signs of calm, strategists’ reports highlight deep concern about the long-term economic toll of higher-for-longer interest rates.

Barclays Plc analysts wrote in a note that global bonds are doomed to keep falling unless a sustained slump in equities revives the appeal of fixed-income assets.
“There is no magic level of yields that, when reached, will automatically draw in enough buyers to spark a sustained bond rally,” analysts led by Ajay Rajadhyaksha said. “In the short term, we can think of one scenario where bonds rally materially.  If risk assets fall sharply in the coming weeks.”
Oil extended a retreat, with WTI crude reaching below $83 per barrel for the first time since late-August.

Key events this week: 
* China has week-long holiday
* Germany factory orders, Friday
* US unemployment rate, nonfarm payrolls, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 0.1% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.4%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average was little changed
* The MSCI World index rose 0.3%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.2%
* The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0551
* The British pound rose 0.5% to $1.2194
* The Japanese yen rose 0.4% to 148.46 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin fell 0.6% to $27,498.5
* Ether fell 1.5% to $1,617.56

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined two basis points to 4.71%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined four basis points to 2.88%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined four basis points to 4.54%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 2.1% to $82.45 a barrel
* Gold futures were little changed
This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.
–With assistance from Sujata Rao, Chiranjivi Chakraborty and Richard Henderson.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann
Loneliness is the way by which destiny endeavors to lead man to himself. -Hermann Hesse, 1877-1962.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 4, 2023, Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
On Oct. 4, 1957, the Space Age began as the Soviet Union launched Sputnik, the first man-made satellite, into orbit.  Go to article >>

St. Franci of Assis, b. 1181.
Susan Sarandon, b.1946.

Starbucks scientists are developing climate-proof coffee:  The coffee chain is testing new varieties of beans as climate change threatens to impact its supply. Arabica coffee, the only variety used by Starbucks, is especially at risk.

Japan implements tourist tax at famous attraction:  The popular Itsukushima Shrine, one of the most recognizable attractions in Japan, is now slightly more expensive to visit.

‘Priscilla’ trailer features big hair, young love and zero music by Elvis:  Premiering in theaters in November, the film “Priscilla” takes the focus off the King of Rock ‘n’ Roll and shines a light on his iconic wife Priscilla Presley. Watch the new trailer here — which curiously does not feature Elvis’ music.

100-year-old origin theory of Stonehenge’s iconic Altar Stone could be wrong, scientists say
Scientists are challenging the longstanding theory of the origin of Stonehenge’s bluestones, which make up its inner circle, using geochemical analysis. Read More.

Nobel Prize in Physics awarded to three scientists who glimpsed the inner world of atoms with tiny light pulses. The trio devised methods for creating the tiniest slices of light.
Full Story: Live Science (10/3)

2,300-year-old grave contains remains of Greek courtesan who may have accompanied Alexander the Great’s army
Human remains buried with a 2,300-year-old bronze mirror in Israel may be the first ever found of an ancient Greek courtesan who accompanied the Hellenistic armies on their campaigns. Read More.

James Webb telescope’s observations of ‘impossible’ galaxies at the dawn of time may finally have an explanation
A new set of simulations suggests that the unusual brightness of early galaxies discovered by the James Webb telescope could be because of a strange, rapid-burst mode
of star formation. Read More.

Giant never-before-seen long-necked ‘titan’ dinosaur unearthed in Europe
The newly identified titanosaur, Garumbatitan morellensis, roamed what is now Spain around 122 million years ago. The unusual shape of some of its bones could hold clues about the evolutionary history of a unique group of sauropods.  Read More.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Tokyo, Japan
A visitor takes photographs of goldfish swimming in reflected tanks at the Art Aquarium Museum Ginza.  Photograph: Franck Robichon/EPA.

Hangzhou, China
Chinese diver Chang Yani competes in the finals of the women’s 3m springboard event during the Asian Games.  Photograph: Manan Vatsyayana/AFP/Getty.

Gazipur, Bangladesh
A man shelters under an umbrella while fishing for swamp barb fish in the Belai Beel wetlands.  Photograph: Syed Mahabubul Kader/Zuma Press Wire/Shutterstock.
Market Closes for October 4th, 2023

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33129.55 +127.17
+0.39%
S&P 500 4263.75 +34.30
+0.81%
NASDAQ  13236.01 +176.54
+1.35%
TSX 19034.81 +13.89
+0.07%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 30526.88 -711.06
-2.28%
HANG
SENG
17195.84 -135.38
-0.78%
SENSEX 65226.04 -286.06
-0.44%
FTSE 100* 7412.45 -57.71
-0.77%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
4.152 4.243
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.918 3.997
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.7329 4.7934
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.8584 4.9208

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7277 0.7296
US
$
1.3742 1.3706

 

Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse   
Canadian $ 1.4437 0.6927
US
$
1.0507 0.9517

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1822.45 1833.05
Oil
WTI Crude Future  84.22 89.23

Market Commentary:
📈 On this day in 1957, the USSR launched the Sputnik, the world’s first orbiting satellite, setting off panic that the U.S. was falling behind in the space race. In the next 12 trading days, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 9.1% of its value.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite advanced slightly to 19,034.81 in Toronto.

The move follows the previous session’s decrease of 0.8%.
Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.5%.

NorthWest Healthcare Properties Real Estate Investment Trust had the largest increase, rising 8.2%.
Today, 128 of 228 shares rose, while 98 fell; 9 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index fell 1.8%, heading for the worst year since 2022
* The index declined 1.7% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 11% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 8.7% below its 52-week high on Feb. 2, 2023 and 6.5% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 2.1% in the past 5 days and fell 7.4% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.4 on a trailing basis and 13.6 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.5% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.02t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 14.13% compared with 14.50% in the previous session and the average of 12.79% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Financials | 38.9149| 0.7| 23/5
Information Technology| 24.0640| 1.7| 10/1
Utilities | 15.7923| 2.1| 13/3
Industrials | 12.7456| 0.5| 19/7
Communication Services| 9.7132| 1.4| 3/2
Real Estate | 8.4620| 1.9| 21/0
Consumer Staples | 8.0068| 1.0| 11/0
Consumer Discretionary| 5.9280| 0.8| 8/6
Health Care | 0.5611| 0.9| 3/0
Materials | -21.4241| -1.0| 15/36
Energy | -101.9305| -2.9| 2/38
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Shopify | 14.9500| 2.5|n/a | 53.6
RBC | 10.2400| 0.9|n/a | -10.3
Bank of Nova Scotia| 8.1190| 1.7|n/a | -10.9
Cenovus Energy | -10.4400| -4.1|n/a | 0.2
Suncor Energy | -20.1300| -4.8|n/a | 1.9
Canadian Natural Resources | -30.7600| -4.7|n/a | 10.0

US
By Cristin Flanagan
(Bloomberg) — The selloff in stocks and bonds got a reprieve Wednesday as traders parsed US data and increased bets that the Federal Reserve can refrain from further interest rate increases.
Equity benchmarks touched session highs in the final  minutes of trading with the Nasdaq 100 rising 1.4% and the S&P 500 0.8% higher after a final run-up in the tech sector.

Tesla Inc. was at the forefront of the advance in large-cap tech names that also included Microsoft Corp. and Amazon.com Inc.
The S&P 500 closed above a key technical level.
Ten-year Treasury yields were lower on the day after the rate on the benchmark touched a high of 4.88% during Asian trading hours.

Traders are now pricing a less than one-in-five chance of an increase in November, down from one-in-three previously.
Wednesday’s rebound was bolstered by data showing US companies added the fewest number of jobs since the start of 2021 in September, suggesting labor demand in several industries is slowing.

A separate report showed the services sector also pulled back modestly last month to the lowest level this year.
The latest leg of the selloff had been fueled by Tuesday’s better-than-expected US job data, as well as a slew of hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials.

As conviction grew that US interest rates could rise further from current 22-year highs, 30-year yields touched 5% for the first time since 2007.
Wall Street has been saying longer term bonds at 5% yields are likely in the near-term.

One-time bond king Bill Gross weighed in saying that the US 10-year at 5% would provide “decent” but not “great value” as inflation remains high.
Volatility could make another appearance when Friday’s payrolls numbers hit as traders search for signs that the economy is cooling and the Fed can pull back from its higher-for-longer messaging.
“Stock investors have been hoping the labor market will loosen up and give the Fed enough breathing room to dial down its hawkishness,” said Mike Loewengart, head of model portfolio construction at the Morgan Stanley Global Investment Office.  “ADP isn’t necessarily a reliable predictor of the government’s monthly jobs data, but if Friday’s report also shows the labor market is cooling, stock investors may worry a little less about indefinitely higher interest rates.”
In commodities, crude futures dropped and gold slid.

“Recent developments support our view that markets had become overly confident in pricing a rapid easing of the Fed’s monetary policy,” wrote Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer Americas at UBS Global Wealth Management. “While we expect equity and bond market conditions to improve, we forecast choppy and rangebound trading in equity markets in the near term.”
Key events this week: 
* China has week-long holiday
* France industrial production, Thursday
* BOE Deputy Governor Ben Broadbent, Riksbank First Deputy Governor Anna Breman participate at panel discussion, Thursday
* US trade, initial jobless claims, Thursday
* San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speaks at the Economic Club of New York, Thursday
* Germany factory orders, Friday
* US unemployment rate, nonfarm payrolls, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.8% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 1.4%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4%
* The MSCI World index rose 0.3%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.2%
* The euro rose 0.5% to $1.0515
* The British pound rose 0.6% to $1.2150
* The Japanese yen was little changed at 149.04 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin rose 0.8% to $27,617.31
* Ether fell 0.9% to $1,642.44

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined seven basis points to 4.72%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined five basis points to 2.92%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to 4.58%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 5% to $84.73 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.2% to $1,838.50 an ounce
This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.
–With assistance from Cecile Gutscher, Macarena Muñoz, Sujata Rao, Michael Msika and Tatiana Darie.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann
I hated every minute of training, but I said, ‘Don’t quit.  Suffer now and live the rest of your life as a champion.’ –Muhammad Ali, 1942-2016.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 3, 2023, Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

On Oct. 3, 1990, West Germany and East Germany ended 45 years of postwar division, declaring the creation of a new unified country.  Go to article >>

Gore Vidal, writer, b. 1925.
Stevie Ray Vaughan, b. 1954.

Apple confirms some new iPhone models are overheating:
The tech giant said some iPhones are overheating because third-party apps, including Instagram and Uber, are “overloading the system.”

Nobel Prize winners announced:
This year’s Nobel Prize in medicine has been awarded to two pioneering scientists for their work on mRNA vaccines, a crucial tool in curtailing the spread of Covid-19. The Nobel Prize in physics goes to a remarkable trio for their research into electrons in flashes of light.

How to see the last ‘ring of fire’ eclipse until 2046:
Here’s what you should know about the exciting celestial event coming soon.

‘Like building skyscrapers in Central Park’: Tokyo redevelopment plan sparks protests
A revamp of one of Tokyo’s most beloved parks is fueling anger in the capital. View the renderings of the controversial project.

Turkish film festival canceled amid ‘censorship’ controversy:
One of Turkey’s most prestigious film festivals was canceled after a political documentary provoked the ire of the government.

8 pre-Inca mummies and artifacts unearthed just beneath the streets of Lima, Peru
While installing new gas lines in Peru, workers unearthed nearly a dozen pre-Inca mummies buried alongside a variety of artifacts.  Read More.

Watch Chinese astronauts light a spherical fire in risky open-flame experiment on Tiangong space station
Chinese astronauts lit a match while filming a lecture aboard the Tiangong Space Station, creating a spherical open flame that would be forbidden
aboard the ISS. Read More.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Stockholm, Sweden
Journalists wait for the announcement of the winners of the 2023 Nobel prize in physics, at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The prize was jointly awarded to Pierre Agostini, Ferenc Krausz and Anne L’Huillier for ‘experimental methods that generate attosecond pulses of light for the study of electron dynamics in matter’, the academy announced.  Photograph: Anders Wiklund/EPA

Munich, Germany
Bavarians in traditional costumes fire their muzzle loaders on the last day of the Oktoberfest beer festival.  Photograph: Matthias Schräder/AP.

​​​​​​​London, UK
A person stands with a group of swans on the bank of the River Thames with the City of London financial district in the distance.
Photograph: Henry Nicholls/AFP/Getty Images
Market Closes for October 3rd, 2023

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33002.38 -430.97
-1.29%
S&P 500 4229.45 -58.94
-1.37%
NASDAQ  13059.46 -248.31
-1.87%
TSX 19020.92 -156.26
-0.81%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 31237.94 -521.94
-1.64%
HANG
SENG
17331.22 -478.44
-2.69%
SENSEX 65512.10 -316.31
-0.48%
FTSE 100* 7470.16 -40.56
-0.54%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
4.243 N.A.
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.997 N.A.
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.7934 4.6827
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.9208 4.7903

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7296 0.7366
US
$
1.3706 1.3576

 

Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse   
Canadian $ 1.4346 0.6971
US
$
1.0467 0.9554

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1833.05 1870.50
Oil
WTI Crude Future  89.23 88.82

Market Commentary:
📈 On this day in 2008, amid the depths of the financial crisis, President George W. Bush signed into law an unprecedented $700 billion plan to rescue the U.S. financial system. The move established the Troubled Asset Relief Program, known as TARP, a rescue package that saved a swath of U.S. companies but never won widespread public support.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite fell for the third day, dropping 0.8%, or 156.26 to 19,020.92 in Toronto.

The index dropped to the lowest closing level since Oct. 24, 2022.
Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 4.6%.

Lundin Mining Corp. had the largest drop, falling 5.3%.
Today, 158 of 227 shares fell, while 65 rose; 8 of 11 sectors were lower, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index fell 1.9%, heading for the worst year since 2022
* The index advanced 0.7% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 14% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 8.7% below its 52-week high on Feb. 2, 2023 and 6.4% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 2.7% in the past 5 days and fell 7.4% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.9 on a trailing basis and 14.1 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.5% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.05t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 14.50% compared with 14.39% in the previous session and the average of 12.73% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Financials | -85.5038| -1.5| 3/25
Information Technology | -32.8298| -2.3| 1/10
Materials | -18.7053| -0.8| 23/27
Real Estate | -8.4998| -1.9| 1/20
Consumer Discretionary | -8.3075| -1.2| 2/12
Energy | -4.7548| -0.1| 18/20
Utilities | -3.1936| -0.4| 6/9
Health Care | -0.6762| -1.1| 0/4
Communication Services | 0.1868| 0.0| 3/2
Industrials | 0.9846| 0.0| 3/23
Consumer Staples | 5.0314| 0.6| 5/6
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Shopify | -28.4000| -4.6|n/a | 49.8
RBC | -27.4100| -2.4|n/a | -11.1
Nutrien | -11.9500| -4.2|n/a | -20.7
Canadian Natural Resources | 3.3580| 0.5|n/a | 15.3
Couche-Tard | 4.7200| 1.3|n/a | 19.4
Canadian Pacific Kansas | 6.8320| 1.1|n/a | -0.2

US
By Cristin Flanagan
(Bloomberg) — Stocks sank while Treasury yields hit new multi-year highs after jobs data bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates elevated.
The S&P 500 fell 1.4% to a four-month low while the Nasdaq 100 index dropped 1.8% after a too hot readout on August job openings.

Wall Street’s fear gauge, the CBOE Volatility Index or VIX, rose above 20 intraday — a key level signaling mercurial spirits are afoot — the highest such reading since May.
The ICE BofA MOVE Index, which tracks expected bond volatility, started the week at the highest since Aug. 21.
Among Tuesday’s biggest losers were travel names including Airbnb Inc. and cruise ship operator Carnival Corp. while McCormick & Co. slid after the spice distributor’s sales missed estimates, hurt by a slow economic recovery in China.
Markets tumbled across the board after the number of available positions rose to 9.61 million from less than 9 million in July, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’
Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS.

The report drove swaps traders to increase wagers on the Federal Reserve raising rates in December to better than a 50-50 odds.
Investors have yet to fully embrace the Fed’s higher-for-longer narrative and are instead following “fickle market momentum,” according to Luke Templeman, an analyst at Deutsche Bank. “Small catalysts are causing an outsized number to attempt to preempt market moves.”
“The dominant market theme, therefore, is one that many developed-market investors have not had to deal with since the ‘08-’09 crisis: volatility,” he added.
The next datapoint for the labor market will be a monthly payrolls print on Friday where traders will looking for any signs of cooling.
“Unless, the NFP report comes in lower than expected, Wall Street will likely start to fully price in at least one more Fed rate hike before the end of the year,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst for the Americas at Oanda.
Yields on the US 10- and 30-year traded to the highest level since 2007, with the longer-term bond reaching above 4.9%.
Wall Street has been speculating that rates on longer dated bonds will hit 5%.

The climb in yields was also stoking anxiety in the credit market where at least two issuers called off sales Tuesday.
“The strength of the headline is impressive and certainly bodes well for the ongoing strength in the US labor market,“ Ian Lyngen, head of US rates strategy at BMO Capital Markets, wrote.
While the JOLTs numbers are from August, “investors are nonetheless interpreting this as yet further confirmation that the US economy can withstand higher real borrowing costs.”
Wall Street strategists are warning about the impact that elevated interest rates have on equities, with Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase & Co. saying there’s a risk of further stock-market declines.
This week’s Treasury selloff came after US lawmakers managed to avert a government shutdown, prompting traders to increase bets that the Fed will raise rates this year. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic beat the “higher-for-longer” drum Tuesday saying the central bank needed to keep rates elevated “for a long time.”

He forecast a single rate cut for 2024, toward the end of the year.
Comments from other Fed policymakers were more hawkish, with Cleveland Fed president Loretta Mester saying on Monday that one more rate hike was likely needed and Governor Michelle Bowman urging multiple increases.
West Texas Intermediate crude recovered from an early drop to head back toward $90 a barrel while the dollar index reached a 10-month high.

The rally in the greenback drove the yen to its weakest level in a year as the Japanese currency touched 150 per dollar before reversing. 
Key events this week: 
* China has week-long holiday
* New Zealand rate decision, Wednesday
* Eurozone services and composite PMIs, Wednesday
* ECB President Christine Lagarde gives welcome address at conference, Wednesday
* US ISM services index, Wednesday
* France industrial production, Thursday
* BOE Deputy Governor Ben Broadbent, Riksbank First Deputy Governor Anna Breman participate at panel discussion, Thursday
* US trade, initial jobless claims, Thursday
* San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speaks at the Economic Club of New York, Thursday
* Germany factory orders, Friday
* US unemployment rate, nonfarm payrolls, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 1.4% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 1.8%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.3%
* The MSCI World index fell 1.4%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2%
* The euro was little changed at $1.0471
* The British pound was little changed at $1.2078
* The Japanese yen rose 0.7% to 148.77 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin fell 2% to $27,278
* Ether fell 0.9% to $1,650.68

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced 12 basis points to 4.80%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced five basis points to 2.97%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced three basis points to 4.60%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.8% to $89.56 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.4% to $1,840.10 an ounce
This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.
–With assistance from Edward Bolingbroke, Sujata Rao, Julien Ponthus, Jason Scott and Tassia Sipahutar.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann
Experience does not err; it is only your judgement that errs in expecting from her what is not in her power. –Leonardo da Vinci, 1452-1519.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 2, 2023, Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Monday.

1908: Henry Ford introduced the Model T automobile to the market; each car cost $825.  Go to article >>.

Mahatma Gandhi, b.1869.
Groucho Marx, b.1890.
Sting, b. 1951.
1968: Redwood National Park established.
1950: Peanuts comic strip debuts.

On October 2, 1869: Political and spiritual leader Mohandas K. Gandhi was born in Porbandar, India. In the image above, Gandhi, center, is surrounded by workers from his law office in Johannesburg, South Africa, 1902.  A look at what else happened in history on October 2.

Jimmy Carter celebrates 99th birthday
Former President Jimmy Carter made a surprise appearance in his hometown of Plains, Georgia, to celebrate his 99th birthday on Sunday. See his life in pictures here.

CNN got invited inside the new Las Vegas Sphere
The $2.3 billion dollar Las Vegas venue debuted this weekend with concerts by U2 — but does it live up to the hype? A CNN editor was there, and here’s what he thought.

Europe holds off late USA comeback to regain Ryder Cup
Europe’s golf pros survived a Sunday scare to regain the Ryder Cup, holding off a late US fightback in Rome.

A host of animals from camels to crocodiles were paraded through a New York cathedral to receive blessings on Sunday. Click here to view the pictures.

Mysterious and ‘beautifully carved’ life-size camel carvings discovered in Saudi Arabian desert
Life-size carvings of camels have been found in the Saudi Arabian desert, but archaeologists aren’t sure who created them and when.  Read More.

Why are rare earth elements so rare?
There are 17 rare earth elements on the periodic table, but a better name for them would be the “troublesome earths.” Here’s why.  Read More.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Barcelona, Spain
A huge heart sculpture at Barcelona University’s faculty of medicine. The art piece by Jaume Plensa was made to raise awareness of heart-related diseases.
Photograph: Ahmed Adnan/Quds Net News/ZUMA Press/Shutterstock

Kiental, Switzerland
Rico Luginbuehl leads 77 alpacas and llamas during the Alpabzug (cow parade), from the Griesalp alpine pastures to lower ground ahead of the winter.
Photograph: Peter Schneider/EPA

Florianópolis, Brazil
A stranded sperm whale is seen on Morro das Pedras beach.  Photograph: Anderson Coelho/AFP/Getty Images.
Market Closes for October 2nd, 2023

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33433.35 -74.15
-0.22%
S&P 500 4288.39 +0.34
+0.01%
NASDAQ  13307.77 +88.45
+0.67%
TSX 19177.18 -364.09
-1.86%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 31759.88 -97.74
-0.31%
HANG
SENG
Market
Closed
N.A.
SENSEX Market
Closed
N.A.
FTSE 100* 7510.72 -97.36
-1.28%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
N.A. 4.026
CND.
30 Year
Bond
N.A. 3.809
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.6827 4.5711
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.7903 4.6992

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7366 0.7365
US
$
1.3576 1.3577

 

Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse   
Canadian $ 1.4372 0.6958
US
$
1.0586 0.9446

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1870.50 1873.55
Oil
WTI Crude Future  88.82 90.79

Market Commentary:
📈 On this day in 1839, the Bank of the United States of Pennsylvania suspended specie payments, meaning that it stopped paying depositors in gold and silver. The move by the overextended lender triggered a financial panic. In turn, that produced a deep recession remembered as the crisis of 1839.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite fell for the second day, dropping 1.9%, or 364.09 to 19,177.18 in Toronto.

The move was the biggest since falling 2.1% on Sept. 21.
Today, financials stocks led the market lower, as 10 of 11 sectors lost; 208 of 227 shares fell, while 19 rose.
Royal Bank of Canada contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 2.3%.

Innergex Renewable Energy Inc. had the largest drop, falling 7.8%.
Insights
* In the past year, the index had a similar or greater loss four times. The next day, it declined after all four occasions
* This year, the index fell 1.1%, heading for the worst year since 2022
* The index advanced 4% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 19% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 8% below its 52-week high on Feb. 2, 2023 and 7.3% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 3.1% in the past 5 days and fell 6.7% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.6 on a trailing basis and 13.8 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.5% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.1t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 14.39% compared with 13.30% in the previous session and the average of 12.64% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Financials | -108.4393| -1.8| 2/26
Energy | -92.9561| -2.5| 0/40
Materials | -62.4562| -2.8| 1/50
Industrials | -30.2302| -1.1| 3/23
Utilities | -29.4188| -3.7| 0/16
Communication Services| -24.2079| -3.3| 0/5
Information Technology| -6.7208| -0.5| 4/7
Consumer Discretionary| -6.5621| -0.9| 1/13
Health Care | -1.4609| -2.4| 0/4
Real Estate | 0.0000| -0.1| 1/20
Consumer Staples | 6.7161| 0.8| 7/4
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
RBC | -26.8200| -2.3|n/a | -8.9
Enbridge | -19.0300| -2.9|n/a | -17.3
TD Bank | -18.2100| -1.7|n/a | -8.3
Loblaw | 0.7490| 0.6|n/a | -3.0
Fairfax Financial | 5.0520| 2.9|n/a | 42.3
Couche-Tard | 6.0160| 1.7|n/a | 17.9

US
By Cristin Flanagan and Emily Graffeo
(Bloomberg) — The rout in Treasuries intensified and US stocks lost ground as traders digested messaging that the Federal Reserve needs to leave borrowing costs high to rein in inflation.
Yields on five-year to 30-year Treasuries rose 10 basis points on the day.

The rate on the 10-year benchmark bond hit the highest since 2007, reaching 4.7%, while the 30-year topped 4.81%, the highest since 2010.
Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr said Monday, the biggest question before central bankers was how long to leave interest rates elevated while Michelle Bowman, a known FOMC hawk, reiterated her call for multiple hikes.

On Friday, New York Fed boss John Williams had suggested interest rates should stay high for some time.
The S&P 500 ended the day little changed with NextEra Energy Partners LP dragging on the US stocks benchmark after a downgrade.

Energy stocks sold off erasing the gains for the year in the S&P/Toronto Stock Exchange Composite Index.
The Nasdaq 100 ended the session up 0.8% buoyed by the nation’s largest technology firms including Microsoft Corp., Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp.
An early sigh of relief for stocks after a weekend deal to avoid a government shutdown was short-lived as the focus in markets quickly shifted back to interest rates.
“It’s a pretty bearish signal that the S&P 500 is down today given the fact that Congress came in and averted a risk that was on everyone’s radar as far as the government shutdown,” said Mike Harris, president of Quest Partners. “The fact that we’re not seeing a more significant rally is meaningful, and once again this move up in interest rates in large part is the market finally waking up to this reality of higher rates for longer.”
The selloff in global bonds has gathered momentum as the US shutdown reprieve prompted traders to raise bets on a November rate hike from the Fed.

They now see a roughly one-in-three chance of a November move, up from the 25% likelihood priced on Friday.
Bank of England policy maker Catherine Mann called herself a hawk on interest rate policy while warning that inflation shocks were likely to be more frequent.

Gilts underperformed in global bonds.

The dollar rose versus its Group-of-10 peers, after enjoying its best quarter in a year.
Against the yen, it touched a year-to-date high, after the Bank of Japan said it would conduct an additional buying operation.
Gold prices slipped to seven-month lows, extending last week’s 4% slide, under pressure from surging bond yields.
After crude’s biggest quarterly gain since March 2022, oil was in retreat with West Texas Intermediate dropping below $90 a barrel. 

History suggests the US needs to brace for a recession, Bloomberg economists warned.
A major auto strike, the resumption of student-loan repayments and the still-looming prospect of an eventual government shutdown menace recent market gains.

Key events this week: 
* China has week-long holiday
* New York Fed President John Williams moderates discussion on climate risk, Monday
* Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester speaks on economic outlook, Monday
* US ISM manufacturing index, Monday
* Australia rate decision, Tuesday
* Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speaks on economic outlook and inflation, Tuesday
* August US JOLTS report, Tuesday
* Eurozone services and composite PMIs, Wednesday
* ECB President Christine Lagarde gives welcome address at conference, Wednesday
* US ISM services index, Wednesday
* France industrial production, Thursday
* BOE Deputy Governor Ben Broadbent, Riksbank First Deputy Governor Anna Breman participate at panel discussion, Thursday
* San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speaks at the Economic Club of New York, Thursday
* Germany factory orders, Friday
* September US nonfarm payrolls, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 was little changed as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.8%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.2%
* The MSCI World index fell 0.5%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.7%
* The euro fell 0.9% to $1.0482
* The British pound fell 0.9% to $1.2093
* The Japanese yen fell 0.3% to 149.82 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin rose 3.1% to $27,955.22
* Ether was little changed at $1,673.03

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced 12 basis points to 4.69%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced eight basis points to 2.92%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced 13 basis points to 4.56%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 2.2% to $88.76 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 1.1% to $1,846 an ounce
This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

–With assistance from Sujata Rao, Matthew Burgess, Joanna Ossinger, Tassia Sipahutar and Elizabeth Stanton.
Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann
Strategy without tactics is he slowest router to victory.  Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat. -Sun Tzu, 544 BC-496 BC.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

September 29, 2023 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday!
Carolann is away from the office for conference, I will be writing the newsletter on her behalf.

‘Very rare’ Iron Age arrow with quartzite tip uncovered from melting ice after 3,500 years
Glacial archaeologists in Norway have found an arrow with its quartzite tip still attached after spending up to 3,000 years in the snow and ice.
September’s full harvest moon is the last supermoon of the year. The full harvest moon shined in the early morning hours of September 29, also marking the fourth and final supermoon of 2023. September’s full moon reached peak illumination around 5:58 a.m. ET Friday, but it is expected to appear entirely illuminated through Saturday morning, according to NASA.
Scientists just proved that ‘monster’ black hole M87 is spinning, confirming Einstein’s relativity yet again
Astronomers have spotted two huge jets fired off by the ‘monster’ black hole M87 wobbling on an 11-year cycle, proving for the first time that black holes spin.

Alien life may evolve from radically different elements than human life did.
Radioactive metals and even certain gases may be capable of the kinds of reactions needed to spur life, new research suggests. Self-sustaining chemical reactions that could support biology radically different from life as we know it might exist on many different planets using a variety of elements beyond the carbon upon which Earth’s life is based, a new study finds. Read more.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Dortmund, Germany
People watch a preview of Destination Cosmos, a digital exhibition showing the history of space exploration at the former Phoenix gas plant
Photograph: Martin Meissner/AP

The week in wildlife
A Townsend’s warbler foraging in an oak tree for insects and their larvae in Pacific Grove, California, US
Photograph: Rory Merry/Zuma Press Wire/Shutterstock

​​​​​​​Hadrian’s Wall Sycamore Gap tree
The tree on a glorious summer’s day
Photograph: Joana Kruse/Alamy
Market Closes for September 29th, 2023

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33507.50 -158.84
-0.47%
S&P 500 4288.05 -11.65
-0.27%
NASDAQ  13219.32 +18.04
+0.14%
TSX 19541.27 -49.47
-0.25%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 31857.62 -14.90
-0.05%
HANG
SENG
17809.66 +436.63
+2.51%
SENSEX 65828.41 +320.09
+0.49%
FTSE 100* 7608.08 +6.23
+0.08%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
4.026 4.071
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.809 3.862
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.5711 4.5727
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.6992 4.7044

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7365 0.7417
US
$
1.3577 1.3483

 

Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse   
Canadian $ 1.4368 0.6960
US
$
1.0582 0.9450

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1873.55 1887.30
Oil
WTI Crude Future  90.79 91.71

Market Commentary:
📈 On this day in 2008, at the height of the global financial crisis, Citigroup agreed to acquire most of Wachovia for about $2 billion in a government-engineered takeover. Ultimately, though, the deal was torpedoed by a rival bid from Wells Fargo.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite fell 0.3% at 19,541.27 in Toronto.

The move follows the previous session’s increase of 0.8%.
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 3.3%.

Orla Mining Ltd. had the largest drop, falling 5.9%.
Today, 129 of 227 shares fell, while 92 rose; 6 of 11 sectors were lower, led by energy stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index rose 0.8%, heading for the best year since 2021
* This quarter, the index fell 3%, heading for the biggest decline since the second quarter of 2022
* This month, the index fell 3.7%
* So far this week, the index fell 1.2%
* The index advanced 6% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 17% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 6.2% below its 52-week high on Feb. 2, 2023 and 9.3% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.9 on a trailing basis and 14.1 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.4% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.11t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 13.30% compared with 13.29% in the previous session and the average of 12.36% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Energy | -34.3694| -0.9| 7/30
Financials | -30.3870| -0.5| 6/22
Consumer Staples | -13.4528| -1.6| 3/7
Utilities | -7.5858| -1.0| 3/13
Industrials | -6.3169| -0.2| 10/15
Real Estate | -0.5802| -0.1| 7/13
Health Care | 0.5485| 0.9| 3/1
Communication Services | 2.1752| 0.3| 3/2
Consumer Discretionary | 2.6882| 0.4| 12/2
Materials | 12.4040| 0.5| 29/22
Information Technology | 25.4047| 1.8| 9/2
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Couche-Tard | -12.1400| -3.3|n/a | 15.9
Canadian Natural | | | |
Resources | -10.8400| -1.6|n/a | 16.8
Brookfield Corp | -8.2350| -1.9|n/a | -0.3
Teck Resources | 3.6370| 2.0|n/a | 15.4
First Quantum | | | |
Minerals | 4.7460| 3.9|n/a | 13.4
Shopify | 19.7100| 3.3|n/a | 57.7

US
By Cristin Flanagan
(Bloomberg) — Optimism in the markets faded as traders were left to contend with the prospect of a government shutdown and interest rates staying put at their highest in decades.
US stock gauges and Treasury bonds notched their worst quarters since September, 2022, while the dollar logged its best as traders came to terms with the message from Federal Reserve
officials: get used to higher rates.
Bond market angst saw yields on the benchmark 10-year hit the highest since 2007 this week while the 30-year peaked near 2010 levels.

A hawkish call from New York Fed President John Williams signaled interest rate hikes may be done, but the central bank will need to keep rates elevated to bring inflation back to the its 2% goal.
His commentary did little to offer relief for yields, according to Krishna Guha, Evercore ISI’s head of central bank strategy.
“Williams’ comments overall confirm our view that the Fed is being pragmatic on the here-and-now decision as to whether a further hike is needed – and will end up dropping it – even as it adopts a tough posture on the outlook for rates in ‘24,” Guha wrote in a note.
Further cutting into optimism for the world’s largest economy is the prospect of a prolonged government shutdown and labor disruptions after the United Auto Workers extended plans for walkouts to more Ford Motor Co. and General Motors Co. plants.
Globally, bonds had their worst monthly selloff since February.

High interest rates across the board made the July- September quarter the worst for MSCI’s all-country index since September, 2022 as surging oil prices fanned fears over inflation and economic growth.
While rates may have reached their peaks, central banks are being hard-pressed to walk a fine line between reining in rising prices and skirting a recession.
Pershing Square Capital’s Bill Ackman sounded a note of caution on longer-dated Treasuries.

The yield on the 30-year has risen around 82 basis points since the end of June and touched about 4.81% Thursday, the highest since 2010.
 “Looking ahead, regardless of whether the landing is ultimately hard or soft, we think US and global economic activity is set to slow over the next year,” said Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer Americas at UBS Global Wealth Management. She remains bullish on bonds maturing in five to ten years. “Falling inflation should bolster the real return on fixed income, despite the recent rebound in energy prices,” she added.
Crude logged its biggest quarterly gain since March 2022.

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 0.3% as of 4:01 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 was little changed
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5%
* The MSCI World index was little changed

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
* The euro was little changed at $1.0571
* The British pound was little changed at $1.2201
* The Japanese yen was little changed at 149.43 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin fell 0.6% to $26,929.3
* Ether rose 0.6% to $1,665.78

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 4.57%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined nine basis points to 2.84%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined five basis points to 4.44%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.9% to $90.90 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.7% to $1,865.60 an ounce
This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.
–With assistance from Vildana Hajric, Julia Fanzeres, Rob Verdonck, Abhishek Vishnoi, Tassia Sipahutar and Sujata Rao.

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!
As ever,
 
Shabnam
“The mind is everything. What you think you become.” —Buddha

Shabnam Mohammadpourmarzbali
Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff
Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

September 28, 2023 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
Carolann is away from the office for conference, I will be writing the newsletter on her behalf.

Astronaut returns to Earth after 371 days in space. NASA’s Frank Rubio broke the record for the longest stay in space by a US astronaut. Now, he’s finally back home.
The crew’s arrival marked the end of a long — and unexpected — journey for Rubio, who had been slated to spend only six months aboard the International Space Station. He instead logged a total of 371 days in space following the discovery of a coolant leak coming from his original ride while docked to the orbiting outpost.

How to see the Harvest Moon, the final supermoon of 2023.
The famous Harvest Moon (the final supermoon of 2023) will be the first full moon of autumn when it rises on Sept. 29. The most popular name for September’s full moon is the Harvest Moon because it rises close to sunset for a few evenings in a row and gives farmers extra moonlight to help them bring in the harvest.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Manacapuru, Brazil
A boat travels through a section of the Amazon River affected by severe drought in the state of Amazonas
Photograph: Edmar Barros/AP

​​​​​​​The tree would have witnessed many shooting stars during its life
Photograph: Chris Lishman/Alamy

Bangkok, Thailand
Water pools on top of a water lily leaf after rain at Benchakitti forest park
Photograph: Jorge Silva/Reuters
Market Closes for September 28th, 2023

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33666.34 +116.07
+0.35%
S&P 500 4299.70 +25.19
+0.59%
NASDAQ  13201.28 +108.43
+0.83%
TSX 19590.74 +154.76
+0.80%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 31872.52 -499.38
-1.54%
HANG
SENG
17373.03 -238.84
-1.36%
SENSEX 65508.32 -610.37
-0.92%
FTSE 100* 7601.85 +8.63
+0.11%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
4.071 4.093
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.862 3.879
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.5727 4.6075
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.7044 4.7190

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7417 0.7408
US
$
1.3483 1.3499

 

Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse   
Canadian $ 1.4247 0.7019
US
$
1.0568 0.9463

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1887.30 1907.05
Oil
WTI Crude Future  91.71 93.68

Market Commentary:
📈 On this day in 1987, Fortune magazine’s cover asked, “Are Stocks Too High?” Hedge-fund manager George Soros told the publication, “While the market is already unstable and overvalued, it has not yet reached the point of collapse.” Fourteen trading days later, the stock market fell 23%.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose 0.8% at 19,590.74 in Toronto.

The move was the biggest since rising 1.4% on Sept. 14 and follows the previous session’s decrease of 0.6%.
Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.5%.

Lithium Americas Corp. had the largest increase, rising 5.2%.
Today, 180 of 227 shares rose, while 46 fell; 8 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index rose 1.1%, heading for the best year since 2021
* This quarter, the index fell 2.8%, heading for the biggest decline since the second quarter of 2022
* This month, the index fell 3.5%
* So far this week, the index fell 1%
* The index advanced 5.1% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 15% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 6% below its 52-week high on Feb. 2, 2023 and 9.6% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 1% in the past 5 days and fell 2.2% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.8 on a trailing basis and 14 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.4% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.09t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 13.29% compared with 13.08% in the previous session and the average of 12.26% over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Financials | 64.8944| 1.1| 25/3
Materials | 26.8388| 1.2| 44/7
Information Technology | 22.7320| 1.6| 8/3
Industrials | 22.5259| 0.9| 23/3
Consumer Staples | 11.6252| 1.4| 8/3
Consumer Discretionary | 9.7952| 1.4| 14/0
Real Estate | 2.5732| 0.6| 17/4
Communication Services | 1.9895| 0.3| 5/0
Health Care | -0.3745| -0.6| 2/2
Utilities | -0.4281| -0.1| 8/8
Energy | -7.4194| -0.2| 26/13
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Shopify | 14.5300| 2.5|n/a | 52.7
RBC | 14.2400| 1.2|n/a | -6.7
TD Bank | 9.3620| 0.9|n/a | -6.5
Algonquin Power | -1.5400| -3.8|n/a | -7.4
Enbridge | -2.0660| -0.3|n/a | -14.5
Brookfield | | | |
Renewable Partners | -2.3450| -4.8|n/a | -10.4

US
By Cristin Flanagan and Cecile Gutscher
(Bloomberg) — US stocks ended the day higher and Treasury yields fell Thursday.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sidestepped investor concerns over the outlook for rates at an event.
Tech behemoths, including Nvidia Corp., Meta Platforms Inc. and Tesla Inc., drove the Nasdaq 100 higher, shaking off a choppy morning session.

Equities also got a boost from Ford Motor Co. and General Motors Co. after the United Auto Workers was said to dial back the wage increases the union was seeking for workers.
Dovish-leaning comments from one policymaker and weak consumer spending data helped stoke hope for some easing of the Federal Reserve’s messaging ahead of Powell’s comments.
September is still shaping up to be the worst month in 2023 for the US stock benchmarks after the central bank left interest rates at the highest in 22 years at its last meeting.

Even, if the US enters a recession it should be able to skirt a more severe downturn, according to Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin.
It’s still too early to know if another rate increase will be needed, Barkin told Bloomberg Television.

Earlier, the Chicago Fed’s Austan Goolsbee said policymakers were at risk of overshooting on interest rates by putting too much emphasis on the idea that steep job losses are needed to quell inflation.
Personal consumption, the main driver of the US economy, rose an annualized 0.8% in the April-to-June period, the weakest advance in over a year.

Other data showed GDP rose at an unrevised 2.1% rate during the period while weekly jobless claims came in lighter than estimates.
“Many investors are revising their view around what the longer-run interest rate that is appropriate for the main western economies is,” Joseph Little, global chief strategist at HSBC Asset Management, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. “All the while in the stock market you have this combination of equity investors raising up expectations for 2024 profits,” he added. “It is the consensus view: rising bond yields, you have an equity market trading on higher multiples. It is getting worse and worse. Many challenges at this point.”
The selloff in US Treasuries had cooled ahead of Powell’s speech.

In the UK, benchmark government bond yields climbed as much as 20 basis points, the largest daily increase in almost a year on a closing basis.
Global bonds are on track for the weakest since February.
The rally in oil paused Thursday after WTI crude traded above $94 a barrel earlier in the week.

The dollar and gold both slid.
Key events this week:
* Fed Chair Jerome Powell town hall meeting with educators while Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin speaks Thursday
* Eurozone CPI, Friday
* Japan unemployment, industrial production, retail sales, Tokyo CPI, Friday
* US consumer spending, wholesale inventories, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday
* ECB President Christine Lagarde speaks, Friday
* New York Fed President John Williams speaks, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.6% as of 4:01 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.8%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3%
* The MSCI World index rose 0.5%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.4%
* The euro rose 0.6% to $1.0564
* The British pound rose 0.5% to $1.2199
* The Japanese yen rose 0.3% to 149.24 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin rose 3.3% to $27,115.65
* Ether rose 4.1% to $1,658.93

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined three basis points to 4.57%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced nine basis points to 2.93%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced 13 basis points to 4.48%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 2.1% to $91.73 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.4% to $1,883.80 an ounce
This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.
–With assistance from Alice Atkins and Boris Korby.

Have a wonderful day everyone.

Be magnificent!
As ever,
 
Shabnam
“Life isn’t about finding yourself. Life is about creating yourself.” —George Bernard Shaw

Shabnam Mohammadpourmarzbali
Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff
Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

September 27, 2023 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
Carolann is away from the office for conference, I will be writing the newsletter on her behalf.

125 million-year-old dinosaur feathers were remarkably similar to modern bird feathers, analysis reveals.

Stunningly perfect ‘Einstein ring’ snapped by James Webb telescope is most distant gravitationally lensed object ever seen. Photos snapped by the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) have revealed the farthest-ever example of an “Einstein ring.” The record-breaking halo of warped light, which is a whopping 21 billion light-years away, is unusually perfect and surrounds a mysteriously dense galaxy. Read more.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Woodstock, UK
A flock of Canada Geese fly against the sunset over Blenheim Palace and Estate in Oxfordshire
Photograph: Pete Seaward

Rajasthan, India
Owls resting on a tree branch on the outskirts of Ajmer
Photograph: Abaca/Shutterstock

​​​​​​​Crowd – people gather at Summit One Vanderbilt in New York City
Photograph: Michael Kemter
Market Closes for September 27th, 2023

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33550.27 -68.61
-0.20%
S&P 500 4274.51 +0.98
+0.02%
NASDAQ  13092.85 +29.24
+0.22%
TSX 19435.98 -120.17
-0.61%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 32371.90 +56.85
+0.18%
HANG
SENG
17611.87 +144.97
+0.83%
SENSEX 66118.69 +173.22
+0.26%
FTSE 100* 7593.22 -32.50
-0.43%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
4.093 4.028
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.879 3.814
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.6075 4.5499
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.7190 4.6855

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7408 0.7398
US
$
1.3499 1.3517

 

Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse   
Canadian $ 1.4179 0.7053
US
$
1.0504 0.9520

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1907.05 1924.85
Oil
WTI Crude Future  93.68 90.39

Market Commentary:
📈 On this day in 1985, Philip Morris agreed to buy General Foods for $120 per share, or $5.75 billion, in the largest takeover outside the oil industry at that time.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite fell for the second day, dropping 0.6%, or 120.17 to 19,435.98 in Toronto.

The index dropped to the lowest closing level since June 23.
Today, financials stocks led the market lower, as 9 of 11 sectors lost; 146 of 227 shares fell, while 80 rose.
Royal Bank of Canada contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 1.3%.

Africa Oil Corp. had the largest drop, falling 9.5%.
Insights
* This year, the index rose 0.3%, heading for the best year since 2021
* This quarter, the index fell 3.6%, heading for the biggest decline since the second quarter of 2022
* This month, the index fell 4.2%
* The index advanced 6.2% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 17% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 6.8% below its 52-week high on Feb. 2, 2023 and 8.7% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 3.9% in the past 5 days and fell 2% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.7 on a trailing basis and 13.9 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.4% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.11t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 13.08% compared with 12.98% in the previous session and the average of 12.22% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Financials | -71.6841| -1.2| 2/25
Materials | -39.5747| -1.7| 13/38
Utilities | -25.7514| -3.1| 0/16
Industrials | -19.7952| -0.8| 12/14
Communication Services | -10.0667| -1.4| 0/5
Real Estate | -6.0333| -1.3| 3/18
Consumer Staples | -2.0817| -0.3| 3/8
Consumer Discretionary | -1.5313| -0.2| 8/6
Health Care | -0.0613| -0.1| 1/3
Information Technology | 5.6630| 0.4| 6/5
Energy | 50.7615| 1.4| 32/8
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
RBC | -15.2100| -1.3|n/a | -7.9
Canadian National | -11.2900| -1.8|n/a | -8.8
Barrick Gold | -9.4420| -3.8|n/a | -14.8
Cenovus Energy | 7.7130| 3.0|n/a | 7.8
Suncor Energy | 11.5300| 2.7|n/a | 10.5
Canadian Natural | | | |
Resources | 15.1900| 2.3|n/a | 18.5

US
By Cristin Flanagan
(Bloomberg) — Treasuries sold off while equities churned as investors contemplated the prospect of higher interest rates and rising oil prices as crude hit a one-year high.

The dollar extended its climb for a sixth day.
The yield on the 10-year traded above 4.6%, the highest since 2007, amid concerns about dwindling crude stockpiles and pressures on consumers.

The ICE BofA MOVE Index — which tracks expected bond volatility — hit the highest in a month this week.
Stock indexes erased a midday dip after President Joe Biden touted the promise artificial intelligence in a meeting with advisers.

A pledge of executive action on AI in the fall helped the Nasdaq 100 end the day up 0.2% with AI-favorite Nvidia Corp. pulling the tech-heavy gauge higher.
The largest US memory-chip maker, Micron Technology Inc., slipped in post-market trading after forecasting a worse-than-expected quarterly loss.
The S&P 500 ended the day little changed while the MSCI All Country World Index notched its ninth-straight decline, the global benchmark’s longest losing streak in a dozen years.
A potential shutdown that risks up to $1.9 billion a day in lost or delayed revenue and an autoworkers’ strike are worrying traders who are searching for signs that Federal Reserve officials may soften their hawkish message.
“If these downside scenarios hit the US economy, we might then have to do less with our monetary policy to bring inflation back down to 2% because the government shutdown or the auto strike may slow the economy for us,” Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said in an interview on CNN.
Evercore ISI’s Krishna Guha said some tempering of the central bank’s messaging may be possible but an about-face is unlikely.
“Investors are looking ahead to upcoming speaking events as potentially providing an opportunity for the Fed leadership to dial it back with a view to curtailing the tightening in financial conditions,” said the firm’s vice chairman. “We do not think there is any realistic prospect of any early U-turn absent a further dramatic surge in yields.”
Traders will be honing in on speeches from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and a slew of other central bank officials later this week.

Friday data on the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the personal consumption expenditures price index, will also be closely watched.
Marko Kolanovic, the chief market strategist at JPMorgan Chase & Co., issued a warning Wednesday that there could be more volatility ahead, calling this summer’s lower levels in the VIX — Wall Street’s fear gauge — a “technical aberration.”
Meanwhile, consumer confidence has taken a knock from higher costs at the pump and the spreading impact of aggressive rate hikes.

West Texas Intermediate briefly topped $94 a barrel while gold plunged for the third day.
Appetite for the dollar continued to climb as a gauge of greenback strength rose for a sixth-day, its longest winning streak in a year.
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s measure of how much bond investors are compensated for holding long-term debt turned positive for the first time since June 2021, suggesting traders are betting on elevated policy rates.
“We are at an inflexion point in the economy and the bond market,” Bob Michele, CIO for fixed income at JPMorgan Asset Management, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. “The last 15 years were not normal, we got to a structural low and now we are going to revert to something that is more normal.”
Later this week, a large options position held by a JPMorgan Chase & Co. equity fund has the potential to add fuel to the US stock selloff when tens of thousands of protective put contracts expire Friday at a strike price not far below the current level of the S&P 500.

Key events this week:
* Eurozone economic confidence, consumer confidence, Thursday
* US initial jobless claims, GDP, Thursday
* Fed Chair Jerome Powell town hall meeting with educators while Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee make speeches, Thursday
* Eurozone CPI, Friday
* Japan unemployment, industrial production, retail sales, Tokyo CPI, Friday
* US consumer spending, wholesale inventories, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday
* ECB President Christine Lagarde speaks, Friday
* New York Fed President John Williams speaks, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 was little changed as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.2%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.2%
* The MSCI World index fell 0.2%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.4%
* The euro fell 0.6% to $1.0506
* The British pound fell 0.2% to $1.2139
* The Japanese yen fell 0.3% to 149.59 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin rose 0.4% to $26,248
* Ether rose 0.6% to $1,596.6

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced seven basis points to 4.61%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced four basis points to 2.84%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced three basis points to 4.36%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 3.6% to $93.64 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 1.4% to $1,893.70 an ounce
This story was produced with the assistance of BloombergAutomation.
–With assistance from Cecile Gutscher, Alice Atkins, Sagarika Jaisinghani and Sujata Rao.

 

Have a wonderful day everyone.

Be magnificent!
As ever,
 
Shabnam
“Keep your face always toward the sunshine, and shadows will fall behind you.” —Walt Whitman

Shabnam Mohammadpourmarzbali
Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff
Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

September 26, 2023, Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
Carolann is away from the office for conference, I will be writing the newsletter on her behalf.

See the ‘amazing’ facial reconstruction of a Bronze Age woman discovered crouching in a 4,200-year-old grave
The skeletal remains of the ‘Upper Largie Woman’ were found in a quarry in Scotland. Now, scientists have reconstructed the Bronze Age woman’s face.

NASA’s OSIRIS-REx capsule returns to Earth with a sample from the ‘potentially hazardous’ asteroid Bennu
A capsule containing 2 ounces of rocky material from the “potentially hazardous” asteroid Bennu has landed safely in the Utah desert after a seven-year mission in space.

‘Spooky’ octopus spotted during a deep-sea expedition
Researchers spotted a rare Dumbo Octopus while exploring the sea floor off the coast of Hawaii. Watch the video here.

Now you can speak to ChatGPT — and it will talk back
The artificial intelligence tool ChatGPT can now hear, see and speak after OpenAI gave the chatbot its most humanlike update yet. 

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Seoul, South Korea
Military academy personnel take part in a parade to celebrate South Korea’s 75th Armed Forces Day
Photograph: Anthony Wallace/AFP/Getty Images

Florence, Italy
Eleonora Pucci, a restorer, cleans dust and debris from Michelangelo’s statue of David at the Galleria dell’Accademia. The process takes place every two months
Photograph: Vandeville Eric/ABACA/Shutterstock

London, England
A hummingbird hawk moth feeds on nectar in a garden in London. The moths are an increasingly regular migrant moth usually seen in July and August, though warming weather has seen a growing number that are able to overwinter in the UK
Photograph: Dan Kitwood/Getty Images
Market Closes for September 26th, 2023

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33618.88 -388.00
-1.14%
S&P 500 4273.53 -63.91
-1.47%
NASDAQ  13063.61 -207.71
-1.57%
TSX 19556.15 -244.46
-1.23%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 32315.05 -363.57
-1.11%
HANG
SENG
17466.90 -262.39
-1.48%
SENSEX 65945.47 -78.22
-0.12%
FTSE 100* 7625.72 +1.73
+0.02%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
4.028 4.026
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.814 3.808
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.5499 4.5314
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.6855 4.6511

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7398 0.7433
US
$
1.3517 1.3454

 

Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse   
Canadian $ 1.4289 0.6998
US
$
1.0571 0.9460

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1924.85 1927.35
Oil
WTI Crude Future  90.39 90.68

Market Commentary:
📈 On this day in 1955, President Dwight D. Eisenhower suffered a heart attack, sparking a 6.62% drop in the Dow. The fall remains one of the index’s worst daily losses of the past 100 years.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite fell 1.2% at 19,556.15 in Toronto.

The index dropped to the lowest closing level since June 23 after the previous session’s increase of 0.1%.
Today, financials stocks led the market lower, as all sectors lost; 197 of 227 shares fell, while 28 rose.
Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 3.4%.

Westshore Terminals Investment Corp. had the largest drop, falling 10.0%.
Insights
* In the past year, the index had a similar or greater loss 18 times. The next day, it declined 12 times for an average 0.7% and advanced six times for an average 1.1%
* This year, the index rose 0.9%, heading for the best year since 2021
* This quarter, the index fell 3%, heading for the biggest decline since the second quarter of 2022
* This month, the index fell 3.6%
* The index advanced 6.7% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 16% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 6.2% below its 52-week high on Feb. 2, 2023 and 9.4% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 3.3% in the past 5 days and fell 1.4% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.8 on a trailing basis and 14 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.4% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.14t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 12.98% compared with 13.72% in the previous session and the average of 12.17% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Financials | -68.8823| -1.1| 1/27
Materials | -44.9442| -1.9| 6/45
Industrials | -42.2744| -1.6| 1/25
Information Technology | -24.8430| -1.7| 3/8
Utilities | -16.1255| -1.9| 3/13
Communication Services | -13.2641| -1.8| 0/5
Consumer Discretionary | -11.1590| -1.6| 0/13
Real Estate | -10.9298| -2.3| 0/21
Energy | -8.0420| -0.2| 12/28
Consumer Staples | -2.5239| -0.3| 2/8
Health Care | -1.4683| -2.3| 0/4
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Shopify | -20.6300| -3.4|n/a | 48.1
Canadian Pacific | | | |
Kansas | -17.8900| -2.7|n/a | -0.2
RBC | -15.2100| -1.3|n/a | -6.6
MEG Energy | 2.0150| 4.1|n/a | 36.3
Cenovus Energy | 3.0100| 1.2|n/a | 4.7
Canadian Natural | | | |
Resources | 15.3400| 2.4|n/a | 15.9

US
By Vildana Hajric and Isabelle Lee
(Bloomberg) — US stocks sank Tuesday as confidence in the economy waned and investors contemplated a protracted period of high interest rates.

The dollar extended its winning streak for a fifth day.
An equity selloff deepened in the afternoon session with the S&P 500 Index falling 1.5% and the Nasdaq 100 sliding 1.5%.
The equities benchmarks fell to the lowest since early June after a report showed consumer confidence in the world’s biggest economy stalled this month, dropping to 103 from a revised 108.7 in August, and missing the median estimate of 105.5 in a Bloomberg survey of economists.

Wall Street’s fear gauge — the Cboe Volatility Index or VIX — ratcheted higher closing at the highest since May.
“The market is in the hands of the bears right now,” said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial. “It’s a wall of worry, uncertainty hovering over the market. You wouldn’t say that the selloffs have been tremendously dramatic —in fact, they’ve been kind of orderly. But there’s still that uncertainty.”
Separate reports also showed purchases of new homes fell to a five-month low while home prices in the US rose to a record high over the summer as buyers battled over a tight supply of listings.

Investors will be looking for other signs that consumers may be feeling pinched when the warehouse club, Costco Wholesale Corp., reports after the bell.
“Consumer attitudes in recent months appear even more sensitive than normal to inflation generally and gasoline prices specifically,” Stephen Stanley, chief US economist at Santander, wrote. “While the Fed is focused mainly on core, the average consumer is spending a substantial portion of their budget on food and energy and are unwilling to ignore those prices.”
Yields on Treasuries drifted back up after reaching decade highs on Monday.

A $48 billion Treasury auction of two-year notes was awarded at 5.085%, the highest since 2006.
The Bloomberg dollar index advanced, setting a fresh 2023 peak in its strongest close since early December.
Oil resumed its climb, moving back above $90 a barrel.
Tech giants, namely Apple Inc., Microsoft Corp., Amazon.com Inc. and Google-parent Alphabet Inc. dragged on the US stock gauges. The threat of tight policy is undoing some of the market’s biggest gains this year in high-flying tech stocks. These growth companies are prized for their long-term prospects but hold less appeal when future profits get discounted at higher rates. That’s reflected in growing short positions against the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index.
Positioning in the Nasdaq 100 is now one-sided net short at $8.1 billion, with all long positions unwound, according to Citigroup Inc. strategists.
One Fed speaker after another in the past week has delivered emphatic messages that they will keep policy tighter for longer if the economy is stronger than expected.

Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said he expects the US central bank will need to raise interest rates one more time this year.
“Investors are beginning to realize that a ‘higher for longer’ interest rate environment is a likely outcome and are slowly adjusting to the ‘new normal,’” Paul Nolte, a senior wealth manager at Murphy & Sylvest Wealth Management, wrote in a note. “Higher-for-longer has been the mantra of the Fed for a few months. It is only recently that the markets have been taking them at their word.”
Jamie Dimon, chairman and chief executive of JPMorgan Chase & Co., floated the idea US interest rates could reach 7%, a worst-case scenario that could catch consumers and businesses off-guard.

Meanwhile, a warning that a US government shutdown would reflect poorly on America’s credit rating from Moody’s Investors Service kept traders focused on an end-of-month deadline. 
Key events this week:
* ECB’s Philip Lane speaks on monetary policy, Tuesday
* China industrial profits, Wednesday
* US durable goods, Wednesday
* Eurozone economic confidence, consumer confidence, Thursday
* US initial jobless claims, GDP, Thursday
* Fed Chair Jerome Powell town hall meeting with educators while Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee make speeches, Thursday
* Eurozone CPI, Friday
* Japan unemployment, industrial production, retail sales, Tokyo CPI, Friday
* US consumer spending, wholesale inventories, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday
* ECB President Christine Lagarde speaks, Friday
* New York Fed President John Williams speaks, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 1.5% as of 4:01 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 1.5%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.1%
* The MSCI World index fell 1.2%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.3%
* The euro fell 0.2% to $1.0571
* The British pound fell 0.5% to $1.2156
* The Japanese yen fell 0.1% to 149.05 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin fell 0.2% to $26,243.75
* Ether rose 0.1% to $1,589.06

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced two basis points to 4.55%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced one basis point to 2.81%
* Britain’s 10-year yield was little changed at 4.33%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1% to $90.58 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.9% to $1,918.50 an ounce

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.
–With assistance from Alice Atkins, Richard Henderson, Alex Nicholson and Cecile Gutscher.

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

Be magnificent!
As ever,
 
Shabnam
“The only limit to our realization of tomorrow will be our doubts of today.” —Franklin D. Roosevelt

Shabnam Mohammadpourmarzbali
Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff
Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

September 25, 2023, Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:  Happy Monday!
Carolann is away from the office for a conference, I will be writing the newsletter on her behalf.

15 places on Earth that look like alien planets
These stunning locations feel out of this world, but are actually right here on Earth.

This is the oldest fish in an aquarium in the world
You will never guess the age of this Australian lungfish at Steinhart Aquarium in San Francisco.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Ningbo, China
Cho Won-woo of South Korea leads others in the men’s RS:X class at Ningbo Xiangshan sailing centre at the 19th Asian Games
Photograph: Eugene Hoshiko/AP

Lima, Peru
An interior view of an underground cemetery, located under the Church of San Francisco, which contains the remains of thousands of people who were buried between the 16th and 19th centuries. The catacombs of the cemetery contain a collection of skulls and bones, providing a different perspective on mortality and society’s connection to death
Photograph: Klebher Vasquez/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

Hangzhou, China
Li Yujuan competes in the women’s park skateboarding event during the Hangzhou Asian Games in China’s eastern Zhejiang province
Photograph: Adek Berry/AFP/Getty Images
Market Closes for September 25th, 2023

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
34006.88 +43.04
+0.13%
S&P 500 4337.44 +17.38
+0.40%
NASDAQ  13271.32 +59.51
+0.45%
TSX 19800.61 +20.64
+0.10%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 32678.62 +276.21
+0.85%
HANG
SENG
17729.29 -328.16
-1.82%
SENSEX 66023.69 +14.54
+0.02%
FTSE 100* 7623.99 -59.92
-0.78%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
4.026 3.914
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.808 3.691
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
4.5314 4.4377
U.S.
30 Year Bond
4.6511 4.5296

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7433 0.7419
US
$
1.3454 1.3479

 

Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse   
Canadian $ 1.4253 0.7016
US
$
1.0594 0.9439

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix 
1927.35 1915.00
Oil
WTI Crude Future  90.68 91.13

Market Commentary:
📈 On this day in 1928, engineers and brothers Paul and Joseph Galvin incorporated the Galvin Manufacturing Corp. in Chicago, after taking over the bankrupt Stewart Storage Battery and its design for a battery eliminator, which allowed home radios to run on ordinary household current. Later the Galvins rechristened their firm with a racy name combining “motion” and “radio”: Motorola
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose 0.1% at 19,800.61 in Toronto.

The move was the biggest since rising 0.3% on Sept. 15 and follows the previous session’s decrease of 0.1%.
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.4%.

Energy Fuels Inc/Canada had the largest increase, rising 8.5%.
Today, 87 of 227 shares rose, while 133 fell; 5 of 11 sectors were higher, led by energy stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index rose 2.1%, heading for the best year since 2021
* This quarter, the index fell 1.8%
* This month, the index fell 2.4%
* The index advanced 7.1% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 17% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 5% below its 52-week high on Feb. 2, 2023 and 10.8% above its low on Oct. 13, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 3.4% in the past 5 days and was little changed in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15 on a trailing basis and 14.2 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.3% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.14t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 13.72% compared with 13.78% in the previous session and the average of 12.06% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Energy | 47.1178| 1.3| 35/4
Industrials | 9.7171| 0.4| 13/13
Information Technology | 5.1754| 0.4| 4/6
Consumer Discretionary | 2.4553| 0.3| 7/7
Health Care | 1.0783| 1.7| 2/2
Utilities | -1.6103| -0.2| 6/9
Consumer Staples | -4.7675| -0.6| 1/10
Real Estate | -6.6710| -1.4| 2/18
Communication Services | -7.9470| -1.1| 0/5
Financials | -8.5582| -0.1| 7/20
Materials | -15.3537| -0.7| 10/39
================================================================
| | |Volume VS | YTD
| Index | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Canadian Natural | | | |
Resources | 15.0300| 2.4|n/a | 13.2
TD Bank | 8.4640| 0.8|n/a | -6.0
Canadian National | 6.5120| 1.1|n/a | -6.7
Barrick Gold | -4.4150| -1.7|n/a | -9.8
Franco-Nevada | -5.2190| -2.1|n/a | 0.7
Bank of Nova Scotia | -6.3610| -1.2|n/a | -5.7

US
By Isabelle Lee and Cristin Flanagan
(Bloomberg) — Government bonds fell while stocks ended the day higher as traders speculated central banks will keep interest rates elevated to quell inflation.
A gauge of dollar strength hit its highest level this year.
A bond selloff extended into a fourth week as the US Treasury 10-year yield climbed 11 basis points above 4.54%, a level last seen in 2007.
Bloomberg’s Dollar Spot Index rose for a fourth day, reaching the highest since December.
The S&P 500 snapped a four-day slide, rising 0.4% as traders returned to their desks following the worst weekly selloff on Wall Street since March.
The Nasdaq 100 ended the day 0.5% higher, with Amazon.com Inc. gaining 1.7% — the head of its cloud unit told Bloomberg Television he was seeing “huge demand” for chips used in AI.
Netflix Inc. led film and TV producers higher after striking Hollywood screenwriters reached a tentative new labor agreement.
Jefferies downgrades weighed on Foot Locker Inc. and Nike Inc. with the broker pointing to looming consumer headwinds.
After the salvo of central bank decisions last week, traders are increasingly concerned that rising oil prices risk fanning inflation, which will make it difficult for policymakers to reduce rates anytime soon.
Hedge funds boosted exposure to oil on bets tightening supplies will stoke demand.
West Texas Intermediate oil traded below $90 a barrel in the afternoon session.
“There are several reasons to believe that the full impact from tighter monetary policy is still yet to take effect,” said Henry Allen, a strategist with Deutsche Bank. “As such, it will be some months before we can sound the all clear for the economy, not least given longer-term interest rates are still reaching new highs even now.”
Fed Bank of Chicago head Austan Goolsbee said it’s still possible for the US to avoid a recession. “I’ve been calling that the golden path and I think it’s possible, but there are a lot of risks and the path is long and winding,” he said in a CNBC interview.
Two Fed officials last week said at least one more rate hike is possible and that borrowing costs may need to stay higher for longer for the central bank to ease inflation back to its 2% target.
While Boston Fed President Susan Collins said further tightening “is certainly not off the table,” Governor Michelle Bowman signaled that more than one increase will probably be required.
Markets are having to contend with “the reality of regime change,” according to Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. “Thus far, fixed income investors have paid the steepest price, but expensive stocks with valuations premised on low rates may be increasingly vulnerable,” she wrote in a note to clients. “Unlike other periods, when the rising tide of falling rates lifted all boats, adjusting to higher rates is likely to be an idiosyncratic affair favoring stock selection.”
A surge in oil prices and massive fiscal deficit are spurring losses in government debt, sending Treasury yields across the maturity curve to the highest levels in more than a decade.
The Treasury 10-year yield may rise to 4.75% before softer risk sentiment and tighter financial conditions push it lower into year-end, according to strategists at Bank of America Corp.
A warning that a US government shutdown would reflect poorly on America’s credit rating from Moody’s Investors Service did little to shift market sentiment Monday.
Meanwhile, fresh signs of concern for China’s property developers were highlighted after China Evergrande Group missed a debt payment and former executives were detained, adding to fears about its debt pile.
That’s compounding concern that global growth will stall as the economic engine of China sputters.

Key events this week:
* Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari in Q&A, Monday
* US new home sales, Conference Board consumer confidence, Tuesday
* ECB’s Philip Lane speaks on monetary policy, Tuesday
* China industrial profits, Wednesday
* US durable goods, Wednesday
* Eurozone economic confidence, consumer confidence, Thursday
* US initial jobless claims, GDP, Thursday
* Fed Chair Jerome Powell town hall meeting with educators while Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee make speeches, Thursday
* Eurozone CPI, Friday
* Japan unemployment, industrial production, retail sales, Tokyo CPI, Friday
* US consumer spending, wholesale inventories, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday
* ECB President Christine Lagarde speaks, Friday
* New York Fed President John Williams speaks, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.4% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.5%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.1%
* The MSCI World index was little changed
Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.4%
* The euro fell 0.6% to $1.0593
* The British pound fell 0.2% to $1.2212
* The Japanese yen fell 0.3% to 148.82 per dollar
Cryptocurrencies
* Bitcoin fell 0.6% to $26,337
* Ether was little changed at $1,591.89
Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced 11 basis points to 4.54%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced six basis points to 2.80%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced seven basis points to 4.32%
Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.1% to $89.92 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.6% to $1,934.80 an ounce
This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.
–With assistance from Cecile Gutscher and Denitsa Tsekova.

Have a wonderful day everyone.

Be magnificent!
As ever,
 
Shabnam
Nothing is impossible. The word itself says, ‘I’m possible!'” —Audrey Hepburn

Shabnam Mohammadpourmarzbali
Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff
Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com