Dear Friends,
Tangents: Happy Friday!
On Aug. 9, 1945, the United States exploded a nuclear device over Nagasaki, Japan, instantly killing an estimated 39,000 people. The explosion came three days after the atomic bombing of Hiroshima. Go to article »
Two days later, Japan surrendered. My brother-in-law, Tsuyoshi Hasegawa, is Japanese and is a professor at the University of California in Santa Barbara. He is an expert on Russo-Japanese relations and spent many years living in Russia (he is fluent in Japanese, Russian and English). He has written many books, mostly historical in nature about Japan and about Russia. In one of his books, which The New York Times described as “a brilliant and definitive study of American, Soviet, and Japanese records of the last weeks of the war”, Racing the Enemy: Stalin, Truman, and the Surrender of Japan (Harvard University Press), he contends that the American A-bombs were not the primary cause of Japanese surrender. Examining in detail the deliberations of the Japanese leadership immersed in squabbling over how to end the war with the emperor system intact, he argues that only when the Soviets, jockeying with the United States for post-war influence in Asia, declared war and invaded Japanese-held Manchuria, did the Japanese leadership capitulate in order to prevent their falling under Soviet dominance. He asserts that the Americans misunderstood the Japanese value system. “The American assumption was that if you dropped the bomb on Japan, Japanese leaders would immediately surrender because that’s what American leaders would do in that situation. But not everyone has the same value system. However sad or tragic, Japanese leaders were more concerned with maintenance of the Japanese emperor system than with the lives of ordinary citizens.” Even though the Soviets had let the Japanese know in April 1945 of their intention to abrogate the neutrality pact when it expired one year later, they “lulled the Japanese to sleep,” as Soviet premier Josef Stalin put it, by leading the Japanese to believe that the neutrality pact was still in force. But secretly, the Soviets were sending troops, tanks, artillery, and equipment to prepare for the war against the Japanese. When the Japanese ambassador met with the Soviets in Moscow on August 8th, 1945, he got some unexpected news. The Soviets declared war on Japan and within one hour, invaded Manchuria. Several hours later, the U.S. dropped a second atomic bomb on Nagasaki. Again, the Japanese authorities were not swayed. Despite the destruction visited upon a second Japanese city, it was the invasion by the Soviet Union that got Japanese attention.
Finally, on August 10th, with the Soviets gobbling up Manchuria, the Japanese, extremely fearful of falling under the influence of the Communists, tendered their unconditional surrender.
Tsuyoshi asserts that the Japanese should have exited the war by accepting the Potsdam ultimatum. Had the Japanese government had the foresight to do so, there would have been neither the atomic bombs nor the Soviet entry into the war. He also raises the question of the Emperor’s responsibility. He thinks that the Emperor should have abdicated after the war.
“After all , the war was fought in his name. If he was crucial in Japan’s decision to end the war, he was also responsible for prolonging the war until August.” This view has provoked debate among the Japanese many of who believe that the emperor, in his intervention in the decision to surrender, saved Japan.
PHOTOS OF THE DAY
A Chinese blacksmith throws molten metal against a cold stone wall to create sparks during a summer carnival at Beijing World Park in Beijing, China.
CREDIT: ZHAO JUN/CHINA NEWES SERVICE/VCG VIA GETTY IMAGES
Muslim pilgrims perform morning prayers at the Grand Mosque in Saudi Arabia’s holy city of Mecca, prior to the start of the annual Hajj pilgrimage in the holy city. Muslims from across the world gather in Mecca in Saudi Arabia for the annual six-day pilgrimage, one of the five pillars of Islam, an act all Muslims must perform at least once in their lifetime if they have the means to travel to Saudi Arabi.
CREDUT: ABDEL CHANI BASHIR/AFP/GETTY IMAGES
Marking the 50th anniversary of the iconic Beatles zebra crossing images outside Abbey Road recording studios. Look-a-like band ‘ Fab Gear’, arrive in a replica of John Lennon’s psychedelic Rolls Royce, to lead everyone across the famous crossing 50 years to the minute since the Beatles. London, UK.
CREDIT: MARTYN WHEATLEY / I-IMAGES
Market Closes for August 9th, 2019
Market Index |
Close | Change |
Dow Jones |
26287.44 | -90.75
-0.34% |
S&P 500 | 2918.65 | -19.44
-0.66% |
NASDAQ | 7959.141 | -80.015
-1.00% |
TSX | 16341.34 | -63.19 |
-0.39% |
International Markets
Market Index |
Close | Change |
NIKKEI | 20684.82 | +91.47 |
+0.44% | ||
HANG SENG |
25939.30 | -181.47 |
-0.69% | ||
SENSEX | 37581.91 | +254.55 |
+0.68% | ||
FTSE 100* | 7253.85 | -32.05 |
-0.44% |
Bonds
Bonds | % Yield | Previous % Yield | |||
CND. 10 Year Bond |
1.273 | 1.243 | |||
CND. 30 Year Bond |
1.521 | 1.492 | |||
U.S. 10 Year Bond |
1.7429 | 1.7172 | |||
U.S. 30 Year Bond |
2.2594 | 2.2243 | |||
Currencies
BOC Close | Today | Previous |
Canadian $ | 0.75669 | 0.75560 |
US $ |
1.32155 | 1.32345 |
Euro Rate 1 Euro= |
Inverse | |
Canadian $ | 1.48031 | 0.67553 |
US $ |
1.12021 | 0.89269 |
Commodities
Gold | Close | Previous |
London Gold Fix |
1495.75 | 1506.05 |
Oil | ||
WTI Crude Future | 54.50 | 52.54 |
Market Commentary:
On this day in 1995, the internet stock sector was born when 16-month-old Netscape Communications issued its initial public offering on the Nasdaq at an initial price of $28 per share. Because none of the initial buyers were willing to sell, lead underwriter Morgan Stanley had to raise the opening price all the way to $71 before public trading could begin.
Canada
By Michael Bellusci
(Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks dipped after two days of gains, following U.S. equities lower as President Donald Trump fanned trade-war flames anew.
The S&P/TSX Composite Index retreated 0.4% to 16,341. Materials were the worst-performing stocks while consumer discretionary shares were also weak after Linamar’s second- quarter sales missed estimates. Pot stocks also dropped.
Meanwhile, Inter Pipeline Ltd. confirmed reports that it had received an unsolicited takeover proposal but said it is not currently in negotiations regarding a potential buyout.
In other moves:
Stocks
* CannTrust rallied 33.8%
* MediPharm Labs jumped 13.3%
* Enerplus gained 8% after raising production outlook
* Auxly Cannabis Group lost 16.5%
* Canopy Rivers fell 13.9%
* New Gold lost 10% after a bought deal
* Ivanhoe Mines slid 7%
Ratings
* Black Diamond Upgraded to Outperform at National Bank; PT C$3
* Cervus Equipment Cut to Sector Perform at National Bank
* CES Energy Downgraded to Market Perform at BMO; PT C$2
* CES Energy Upgraded to Strong Buy at Raymond James; PT C$4.50
* CES Energy Upgraded to Buy at GMP; PT C$3.25
* Crombie REIT Downgraded to Hold at Canaccord; PT C$15.75
* Medical Facilities Cut to Hold at Industrial Alliance; PT C$8.50
* Iamgold Cut to Market Perform at Cormark Securities; PT C$5.50
* Recipe Unlimited Corp Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT C$29
* TransAlta Renewables Downgraded to Sell at Veritas; PT C$12.50
* SmartCentres REIT Upgraded to Buy at Canaccord; PT C$36
* Stantec Downgraded to Hold at Canaccord; PT C$31
Commodities
* Western Canada Select crude oil traded at a $12.35 discount to WTI
* Gold spot price about flat at $1509.50 an ounce
FX/Bonds
* The Canadian dollar gained 0.1% to C$1.3207 per U.S. dollar
* The Canada 10-year government bond yield rose to 1.29%
US
By Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks slipped after President Donald Trump fanned trade-war flames anew. Treasuries edged lower while the dollar held steady.
The S&P 500 Index sank as much as 1.3% after Trump warned that talks scheduled for next month could be canceled, but pared about half that drop after a White House aide reportedly walked back comments that suggested the U.S. wouldn’t do business with key Chinese telecommunications firm Huawei.
The 10-year Treasury yield inched up to 1.74%. Chipmakers were among the worst performers as the benchmark stock gauge halted a three-day rally and closed the week down 0.5%. It got off to a rough start Monday, when China’s currency devaluation sparked the biggest rout of the year. As the protectionist showdown between the U.S. and China drags on, investors are struggling to gauge the likely outcome and potential impact on asset prices. That’s driving up market volatility as traders try to predict the road ahead for corporate profits, interest rates and economic growth.
“The market is very sensitive of the comings and goings and narratives around trade,” said Arthur Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities Corp. “There’s a lot of volatility, it’s scary, it’s headline-driven.”
Elsewhere, the offshore yuan weakened and the yen gained. Oil jumped and gold held near $1,500 per ounce. Italian bonds tumbled as the government coalition teetered, raising the prospect of snap elections. The Stoxx Europe 600 fell, capping a second weekly decline. The pound weakened after data showed the U.K. economy shrank for the first time in more than six years.
Asian stocks were broadly higher, though Shanghai equities finished lower for the seventh time in eight sessions and Hong Kong shares also fell.
Here are the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 Index fell 0.7% at the close of trading in New York.
* The Stoxx Europe 600 Index declined 0.8%.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index increased 0.2%.
* Italy’s FTSE MIB Index declined 2.5%.
Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed.
* The onshore yuan declined 0.2% to 7.0623 per dollar.
* The euro advanced 0.2% to $1.1203.
* The Japanese yen climbed 0.4% to 105.61 per dollar.
* Britain’s pound fell 0.9% to $1.2028.
Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose two basis points to 1.74%.
* Italy’s 10-year yield surged 27 basis points to 1.8%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to -0.58%.
Commodities
* Gold slipped 0.2% to $1,498.07 an ounce.
* West Texas crude gained 3.5% to $54.39 a barrel.
* Copper fell 0.5% to $2.594 a pound.
–With assistance from Cormac Mullen, Adam Haigh, Todd White and Luke Kawa.
Have a wonderful weekend everyone.
Be magnificent!
As ever,
Carolann
Our scientific power has outrun our spiritual power.
We have guided missiles and misguided men.
-Martin Luther King Jr., 1929-1968
Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor
Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7
Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com