October 22, 2021 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday.

On Oct. 22, 1962, President John F. Kennedy announced an air and naval blockade of Cuba, following the discovery of Soviet missile bases on the island.  Go to article »

5 expert tips to stress less this fall.  Print them out. Recite them. Get them tattooed. Whatever helps

Here’s a good cookie recipe.
 
More evidence for new fundamental physics from CERN. 

Scientists nearly achieve absolute zero, at which light becomes liquid (!!!). (h/t Mike Smedley)

The super-rich have a new club.

The hot new thing is buying property in Italy.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Waves crash on the shore at sunrise at St Mary’s lighthouse in Tyne and Wear on the north-east coast
CREDIT: Owen Humphreys/PA
Youngsters grapple with a large pumpkin at Tulleys farm in Crawley. The farm’s annual ‘pick your own pumpkins’ event takes place throughout October, with approximately 450,000 pumpkins available
CREDIT: Dan Kitwood/Getty Images
The Syrian artist Khaled Dawwa works on a clay sculpture depicting a street in Syria, destroyed by government forces and their allies
CREDIT: Joel Saget/AFP/Getty Images
A member of Sotheby’s staff wears a pair of Mughal spectacles with diamond lenses, in diamond-mounted frames. The spectacles are part of the forthcoming Arts of the Islamic World and India auction and are estimated to fetch £1.5-2.5m
CREDIT: Alberto Pezzali/AP

Market Closes for October 22nd, 2021

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
35677.02 +73.94
+0.21%
S&P 500 4544.90 -4.88
-0.11%
NASDAQ 15090.20 -125.50

-0.82%

TSX 21216.15 +3.76
+0.02%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28804.85 +96.27
+0.34%
HANG
SENG
26126.93 +109.40
+0.42%
SENSEX 60821.62 -101.88
-0.17%
FTSE 100* 7204.55 +14.25

+0.20%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.651 1.696
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.045 2.090
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.6324 1.7011
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  2.0683   2.1474

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.8088 0.8085
US
$
1.2364 1.2368
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4403 0.6943
US
$
1.1649 0.8584

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1779.30 1778.00
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 84.61 83.25

Market Commentary:
     On this day in 1929, Yale professor Irving Fisher, one of the nation’s foremost economists, wrote in the New York Herald Tribune, “The breaks of the past few days have driven stocks down to hard rock. I believe that we will have a ragged market for a few weeks and then the beginning of a mild bull movement that will gain momentum next year.” Prof. Fisher was half-right: The market was “ragged,” losing a quarter of its value by the end of the year. Then it stayed ragged for years.
Canada
By Natasha Abellard
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities are gaining for a 13th straight day as news that the China Evergrande Group narrowly escaped default helped investor sentiment. The S&P/TSX Composite is up 0.2% in Toronto on Friday, with the materials sector leading the mornings advance. Meanwhile, Canadian retail sales slipped in September due to supply chain issues, leading consumers to spend more on services instead of hard goods. Barrick Gold contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.6%. New Gold Inc. had the largest increase, rising 6%. In early trading, 155 of 233 shares rose, while 72 fell; 7 of 11 sectors were higher, led by materials stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index rose 22%, heading for the best year in at least 10 years
* This month, the index rose 5.8%, heading for the biggest advance since November 2020
* So far this week, the index rose 1.4%
* The index advanced 30% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 32% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 0% below its 52-week high on Oct. 22, 2021 and 37.7% above its low on Oct. 30, 2020
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.2 on a trailing basis and 16.5 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.5% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.34t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 10.39%compared with 10.48Z%in the previous session and the average of 9.69% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Materials | 43.7291| 1.8| 50/5
* Financials | 26.2206| 0.4| 23/5
* Energy | 12.4386| 0.4| 17/6
* Industrials | 2.9745| 0.1| 13/14
* Real Estate | 2.7505| 0.4| 21/2
* Consumer Staples | 0.8808| 0.1| 9/4
* Utilities | 0.4532| 0.0| 10/5
* Communication Services | -1.7831| -0.2| 2/4
* Consumer Discretionary | -2.7044| -0.4| 6/7
* Health Care | -3.2350| -1.6| 2/7
* Information Technology | -67.1820| -2.7| 4/11
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points| | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move |% Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Barrick Gold | 7.6570| 2.6| 20.0| -14.2
* Royal Bank of Canada | 6.9270| 0.5| -26.5| 27.3
* Canadian Natural | | | |
* Resources | 5.3550| 1.2| -47.0| 73.4
* Magna International | -2.1940| -1.1| -28.9| 12.7
* Lightspeed Commerce | | | |
* Inc | -2.4660| -2.3| -27.8| 34.3
* Shopify | -61.0400| -4.2| 152.9| 23.0

US
By Nathan Hager and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — U.S. equities fell on Friday after the chairman of the Federal Reserve signaled some concern about inflation. The S&P 500 slid 0.1% and the Nasdaq 100 retreated 0.9% as Jerome Powell said the central bank was monitoring price pressures carefully and would adapt accordingly. Global supply-chain constraints and shortages that have led to elevated inflation “are likely to last longer than previously expected, likely well into next year,” Powell said, while adding that “it is still the most likely case” that as those constraints ease. Investors are increasingly concerned higher cost pressures and global supply-chain bottlenecks will push the Fed to raise interest rates faster than expected.  However, a solid start to the earnings season had offset those fears with the benchmark S&P 500 topping a record on Thursday. “The market is getting more worried that we are in some kind of a longer term inflation rise,” said Jim Bianco, president and founder of Bianco Research, on Bloomberg TV and Radio’s “Surveillance.” Stocks won’t like if the Fed responds to inflation and bonds won’t like it if they don’t, he said. “That’s not a good scenario.” The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 1.64% but still remained higher for the week.

The dollar edged lower, on track for a second week of declines. And gold gained. The losses came after the S&P 500 struggled for a direction earlier in the session after disappointing tech earnings overnight. A warning on ad spending from Snap Inc. wiped out more than $100 billion of market value from the social media company and its peers including Facebook Inc., Google-owner Alphabet Inc., Pinterest Inc. and Twitter Inc.
Meanwhile, Intel Corp. also fell on lower-than-expected sales amid component shortages.
“A double whammy of bad news for the tech sector could well mean that record highs are out of reach for now,” Fiona Cincotta, senior financial markets analyst at City Index, wrote in a note. Despite the threat of price pressures, however, global stocks are set for a third weekly advance helped by the ongoing recovery from the health crisis. Stocks in Europe gained on Friday, led by consumer shares on positive earnings.  Equities in Asia also rose after China Evergrande Group pulled back from the brink of a default, easing concerns about a contagion from the property developer’s woes.  Crude oil gained, Bitcoin fell to $60,900, and Russia’s ruble surged after the country’s central bank raised borrowing costs by more than economists’ expectations.

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 0.1% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.9%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.2%
* The MSCI World index was little changed

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.2%
* The euro rose 0.2% to $1.1644
* The British pound fell 0.2% to $1.3762
* The Japanese yen rose 0.5% to 113.43 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined six basis points to 1.64%
* Germany’s 10-year yield was little changed at -0.11%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined six basis points to 1.15%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.9% to $84.07 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 0.7% to $1,795.10 an ounce
–With assistance from Robert Brand and Sunil Jagtiani.

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

Train yourself to let go of the things you fear to lose. –George Lucas, b.1944.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 21, 2021 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

On Oct. 21, 1879, Thomas Edison invented a workable electric light at his laboratory in Menlo Park, N.J.  Go to article »
1967: Vietnam war protestors storm the Pentagon
Alfred Nobel, established Nobel Prize, b.1833.
Dizzie Gillespie, musician, b. 1917.

Ford’s hybrid pickup truck is almost sold out for the 2022 model year.

Why Santa Fe is the new American mecca for modern architecture.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A triceratops skeleton is displayed ahead of its sale at the Hôtel Drouot auction house

CREDIT: Christophe Archambault/AFP/Getty Images

A man wearing a suit made of mirrors attends a fashion exhibition

CREDIT: Wana News Agency/Reuters

Lava flows from the Cumbre Vieja volcano, destroying houses in La Laguna

CREDIT: Saul Santos/AP

Market Closes for October 21st, 2021

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
35603.08 -6.26
-0.02%
S&P 500 4549.78 +13.59
+0.30%
NASDAQ 15215.70 +94.02

+0.62%

TSX 21212.39 +24.20
+0.11%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28708.58 -546.97
-1.87%
HANG
SENG
26017.53 -118.49
-0.45%
SENSEX 60923.50 -336.46
-0.55%
FTSE 100* 7190.30 -32.80

-0.45%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.696 1.642
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.090 2.039
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.7011 1.6567
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  2.1474   2.1343

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.8085 0.8120
US
$
1.2368 1.2316
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4374 0.6957
US
$
1.1623 0.8604

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1778.00 1779.55
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 83.25 83.87

Market Commentary:
     On this day in 1929, William Peter Hamilton, editor of The Wall Street Journal and one of the leading advocates of the “Dow Theory” of technical analysis, predicted the coming demise of the bull market in a lead editorial. Since he had already predicted the death of the bull market in January 1927, June 1928 and July 1928, nobody listened. This time—if only by sheer luck—he turned out to be right, as the stock market crashed just three days later.
Canada
By Natasha Abellard
(Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose today for a 12th straight day, its longest streak since January 2019. The S&P/TSX Composite gained 0.1% in Toronto as investors weighed the rollout of corporate earnings and inflation concerns. Shopify contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 0.6%. Stantec had the largest increase, rising 9.8%. Today, 116 of 233 shares rose, while 111 fell; 6 of 11 sectors were higher, led by industrials.

Insights
* This year, the index rose 22%, heading for the best year in at least 10 years
* This month, the index rose 5.7%, heading for the biggest advance since November 2020
* So far this week, the index rose 1.4%
* The index advanced 31% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 33% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 0.1% below its 52-week high on Oct. 21, 2021 and 37.6% above its low on Oct. 30, 2020
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 1.9% in the past 5 days and rose 4.8% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.2 on a trailing basis and 16.5 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.5% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.34t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 10.48% compared with 10.51% in the previous session and the average of 9.59%over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Industrials | 30.2367| 1.2| 19/11
* Information Technology | 27.2979| 1.1| 13/2
* Financials | 13.2184| 0.2| 20/8
* Consumer Staples | 5.7025| 0.8| 9/4
* Utilities | 1.3123| 0.1| 11/5
* Real Estate | 0.7179| 0.1| 13/10
* Health Care | -0.2572| -0.1| 3/4
* Consumer Discretionary | -0.8028| -0.1| 6/7
* Communication Services | -5.0437| -0.5| 0/7
* Materials | -13.4238| -0.5| 21/31
* Energy | -34.7608| -1.2| 1/22
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Shopify | 12.9600| 0.9| -37.9| 28.8
* Brookfield Asset | | | |
* Management | 11.6500| 1.6| -13.3| 43.1
* Canadian National | 11.4700| 1.7| 123.0| 17.4
* Suncor Energy | -6.1090| -2.1| -7.1| 30.9
* Nutrien | -7.6480| -2.2| -13.3| 41.3
* Enbridge | -8.1590| -1.1| -24.8| 29.3

US
By Vildana Hajric and Nathan Hager
(Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose to the first all-time high since Sept. 2, powered by a spate of strong corporate results and positive news on the fight against the virus. A late-session rally lifted the S&P 500 0.3% for a seventh straight gain, the longest streak since July.  Shares in stocks that benefit from a strong economy rallied after better-than-expected earnings at Tesla Inc., Pool Corp. and Tractor Supply Co. The mood soured after the cash session, when Snap Inc. plunged more than 25% after reporting results that missed estimates. The owner of the Snapchat app warned that global supply chain issues are discouraging advertisers from trying to reach new customers. Other social media stocks slumped in afterhours, with Facebook Inc. and Twitter Inc. each down 6%. Alphabet Inc. slid almost 3%.
The gains during regular trading ended the longest drought without a record close since November 2020. The S&P 500 has climbed 5% since JPMorgan Chase & Co. kicked off reporting season, following a month of losses. The steady rise in stocks sent the Cboe Volatility Index to its lowest close since before the pandemic. “I think it’s OK that investors are looking at earnings and going through them with a very fine-toothed comb,” Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, said on Bloomberg’s “QuickTake Stock” streaming program. “We’re in a time-period where we are finally, it seems like, going to shift away from markets that are driven by monetary policy and back to markets that are driven by fundamentals.” Market-implied expectations for U.S. inflation for the next half-decade have surged to the highest in 15 years as more investors have been losing faith in the Federal Reserve narrative that rising prices will be “transitory.” The five-year Treasury yield climbed above 1.21%, the highest since February 2020, as traders increased their bets the Fed may tighten policy sooner than expected. Solid economic reports on Thursday also strengthened predictions.
The latest jobless claims report unexpectedly declined to the lowest since March 2020. Sales of previously owned U.S. homes also rose in September by the most in a year.  Meanwhile, Congressional Democrats are at odds over both the tax and spending aspects of President Joe Biden’s economic package. “Good jobs plus high inflation creates a significant one-two punch against the Fed’s accommodative stance,” said Mike Loewengart, managing director of investment strategy at E*TRADE Financial.  “Easing and even rate increases down the road could start to be accelerated if we see more momentum like this, which perversely could create headwinds for the market.” With stocks at highs, traders are braced for swings in the market while also keeping a close eye on company margins, pricing power and outlooks. “At a stock level, you really need to focus on companies that have pricing power” and can pass along costs, Steve Chiavarone, vice president and general manager at Federated Global Investment, said on Bloomberg TV’s “Surveillance.” “If you can’t, and it starts eating away at your margin, I think you need to expect to get punished.” Crude oil slipped, the dollar was stronger against peers and Bitcoin fell from an all-time peak. 

Events to watch this week:
* Fed Chair Jerome Powell takes part in policy panel discussion, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.3% as of 4:02 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.7%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average was little changed
* The MSCI World index was little changed

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2%
* The euro fell 0.2% to $1.1623
* The British pound fell 0.3% to $1.3788
* The Japanese yen rose 0.3% to 114.02 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced two basis points to 1.68%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to -0.10%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced five basis points to 1.20%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.9% to $82.64 a barrel
* Gold futures were little changed
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc and Abigail Moses.

Have a great night.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

If you’re not making mistakes, you’re not trying hard enough.  -Vince Lombardi, 1913-1970.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 20, 2021 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Hunter’s Full Moon of 2021 is tonight.

On Oct. 20, 1973, in the so-called Saturday Night Massacre, President Nixon abolished the office of special Watergate prosecutor Archibald Cox, accepted the resignation of Attorney General Elliot L. Richardson and fired Deputy Attorney General William B. Ruckelshaus.  Go to article »

Elon Musk will become a trillionaire with SpaceX, Morgan Stanley says. 

This atomic clock will transform deep space exploration. 
See Nicole Kidman as Lucille Ball in first trailer for ‘Being the Ricardos’.  Featuring the iconic grape-stomping scene.
The latest supply chain shortage: white truffles and blue paint.
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Visitors to Expo 2020 Dubai watch the spectacular four-storey indoor waterfall inside DP World’s Flow Pavilion. The expo, which was delayed by a year by the pandemic, runs until March 2022

CREDIT: DP World

Members of the Korean Confederation of Trade Unions, dressed as people from the Netflix series Squid Game, during a rally against the government’s labour policy

CREDIT: Sanghwan Jung/Rex/Shutterstock

Devotees pour water on to a Buddha figurine as they worship at the holy Shwedagon Pagoda on the full moon day of Thadingyut, which marks the end of Buddhist lent

CREDIT: Lynn Bo Bo/EPA

Market Closes for October 20th, 2021

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
35609.34 +152.03
+0.43%
S&P 500 4536.19 +16.56
+0.37%
NASDAQ 15121.68 -7.41

-0.05%

TSX 21188.19 +101.20
+0.48%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 29255.55 +40.03
+0.14%
HANG
SENG
26136.02 +438.81
+1.35%
SENSEX 61259.96 -456.09
-0.74%
FTSE 100* 7223.10 +5.57

+0.08%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.642 1.628
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.039 2.005
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.6567 1.6443
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  2.1343   2.0933

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.8120 0.8087
US
$
1.2316 1.2365
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4349 0.6969
US
$
1.1651 0.8583

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1779.55 1767.85
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 83.87 82.96

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1803, the Senate ratified the Louisiana Purchase Treaty, under which the U.S. paid France less than 3 cents an acre for 828,000 square miles of territory stretching from the Mississippi River to the Rockies and from the Gulf of Mexico to the Canadian border. With the stroke of a pen, the U.S. nearly doubled in size. The U.S. financed the deal by borrowing $11.25 million in 6% bonds from European investors.
Canada
By Natasha Abellard
(Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rallied for an 11th straight day as positive earnings reports outweighed any inflation concerns. The S&P/TSX Composite gained 0.5% in Toronto. Financials stocks led the market higher, as 7 of 11 sectors gained; 140 of 233 shares rose, while 86 fell. Canadian National Railway contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 5%. Capstone Mining Corp. had the largest increase, rising 7.1%.

Insights
* This year, the index rose 22%, heading for the best year in at least 10 years
* This month, the index rose 5.6%, heading for the biggest advance since November 2020
* The index advanced 30% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 32% in the same period * The S&P/TSX Composite is 0% below its 52-week high on Oct. 20, 2021 and 37.4% above its low on Oct. 30, 2020
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 2.8% in the past 5 days and rose 5.1% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.1 on a trailing basis and 16.5 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.5% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.32t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 10.51% compared with 10.49% in the previous session and the average of 9.49% over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Financials | 42.9860| 0.6| 20/7
* Industrials | 40.7947| 1.7| 16/14
* Energy | 12.1481| 0.4| 20/3
* Materials | 5.2466| 0.2| 40/14
* Real Estate | 4.9214| 0.8| 15/7
* Utilities | 2.4979| 0.3| 7/7
* Communication Services | 0.3233| 0.0| 4/3
* Consumer Discretionary | -0.3001| 0.0| 4/9
* Health Care | -0.4775| -0.2| 4/5
* Information Technology | -2.9787| -0.1| 5/9
* Consumer Staples | -3.9540| -0.5| 5/8
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Canadian National | 33.9100| 5.2| 121.0| 15.4
* Brookfield Asset | | | |
* Management | 10.6400| 1.5| -24.6| 40.9
* Bank of Nova Scotia| 7.3400| 1.1| -50.8| 19.0
* Shopify | -2.1710| -0.2| -29.9| 27.6
* Teck Resources | -2.3990| -2.1| -0.6| 52.6
* Couche-Tard | -3.1780| -1.2| -4.0| 10.0

US
By Vildana Hajric and Nathan Hager
(Bloomberg) — U.S. equities continued their rally into a sixth day, putting the benchmark S&P 500 within reach of an all-time high. The S&P 500 gained 0.4% as traders weighed company earnings against risks from inflationary pressures. Verizon Communications Inc. and Anthem Inc. were higher after better-than-expected results. Meanwhile, Novavax Inc. plunged on another vaccine delay, and Netflix Inc. was lower after an underwhelming outlook. Tesla Inc. will report after markets close. The gains come on the heels of the S&P 500’s best start to an earnings season in the last two years with the index gaining about 3.6% in the first week. Solid corporate results have helped counter concerns stemming from elevated inflation, driving stocks higher.
Elsewhere, crypto shares also rose as Bitcoin surged past a record. “What we see is an earnings season that’s likely to be more volatile than the last several,” said Beata Kirr, co-head of investment strategies at Bernstein Private Wealth Management, on Bloomberg TV and Radio. The past couple quarters of have seen earnings expand 45% year over year, whereas consensus estimates for 2022 is a more moderate 9% year-over-year gain, she explained. “Now that’s still positive,” she said. “And that’s one of the fundamental underpinnings that’s really driving the equity market forward. ”The yield on the 10-year Treasury note was little changed as corporate earnings have taken some of the spotlight away from concerns about stagflation — the combination of lower growth and higher inflation. Still, clouds are gathering over the economic recovery in the face of higher energy costs, global supply-chain bottlenecks and reduced central bank support. The dollar continued to weaken against major peers on Wednesday as traders increased bets central banks around the world will raise interest rates before the Federal Reserve to combat price pressures. Governor Randal Quarles said the Fed is not “behind the curve” with its monetary policy and said he still views current price increases as “transitory.” Oil gained in New York as inventories fell. Base metals declined after China launched a blitz of measures to tackle the energy crisis.
Elsewhere, Congressional Democrats made headway in breaking a stalemate on the president’s multitrillion dollar tax and spending package. “The market is very much testing how equipped companies and the rest of the economy are to be able to manage this type of transition where we have a less aggressive Fed, less supportive
fiscal policy and more normal levels of economic growth,” Kara Murphy, chief investment officer at Kestra Investment Services, said. “There are definitely concerns out there, but for now risk assets seem to be brushing off those concerns.” In Europe, food and beverage companies rose after Nestle SA and Deliveroo Plc forecast faster growth, while retailers fell after Kering SA reported slowing sales at Gucci. In Asia, equities were mixed as traders continued to monitor the debt woes at China’s real-estate developers. China Evergrande Group said it has terminated discussions to sell its property-management arm and asked that its shares resume trading in Hong Kong on Thursday.

Events to watch this week:
* Earnings roll in, including from AT&T Inc., Barclays Plc and Tesla Inc.
* U.S. Conference Board leading index, U.S. existing home sales, jobless claims, Thursday
* Fed Chair Jerome Powell takes part in policy panel discussion, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.4% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.1%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4%
* The MSCI World index rose 0.4%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.2%
* The euro rose 0.2% to $1.1652
* The British pound rose 0.2% to $1.3826
* The Japanese yen was little changed at 114.28 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced one basis point to 1.65%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to -0.13%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to 1.15%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.1% to $83.87 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 0.9% to $1,786.20 an ounce
–With assistance from Abigail Moses and Andreea Papuc.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

He who lives without discipline dies without honor. -Icelandic Proverb.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 19, 2021 Newsletter

  Dear Friends,
 
Tangents:
Kanye West’s new name is Ye.
 
Saudi Arabia is about to out-Disney the Magic Kingdom with this theme park that sits atop a gigantic oil rig. (h/t Mike Smedley)
 
On Oct. 19, 1987, the stock market crashed as the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 508 points, or 22.6 percent in value – its second biggest percentage drop.  Go to article » 
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Performers enact the Olympic flame handover ceremony for the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics
Photograph: Alkis Konstantinidis/Reuters

Lava from the Cumbre Vieja volcano continues to flow, as seen from Tajuya on the Canary island of La Palma
Photograph: Susana Vera/Reuters

Visitors walk through lanterns at the royal culture festival at Gyeongbok Palace
Photograph: Lee Jin-man/AP

Princess Mako, the daughter of Crown Prince Akishino and Crown Princess Kiko, walks towards the Three Palace Sanctuaries to pray in the run-up to her marriage at the Imperial Palace
Photograph: Kyodo/Reuters
Market Closes for October 19th, 2021
 

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
35457.31 +198.70
+0.56%
S&P 500 4519.63 +33.17
+0.74%
NASDAQ 15129.09 +107.28
 
 
+0.71%
TSX 21086.99 +101.62
+0.48%

 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 
 
 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 29215.52 +190.06
+0.65%
HANG
SENG
25787.21 +377.46
+1.49%
SENSEX 61716.05 -49.54
-0.08%
FTSE 100* 7217.53 +13.70
 
+0.19%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.628 1.588
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.005 1.969
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.6443 1.6002
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  2.0933   2.0336

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.8087 0.8080
US
$
1.2365 1.2376
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4384 0.6952
US
$
1.1632 0.8569

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1767.85 1772.65
   
Oil  
WTI Crude Future 82.96 82.44

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1853, in the wake of the collapse of the railroad investment-banking firm run by Simeon Draper, Wall Street crashed, and several brokerage firms went under.
Canada
By Natasha Abellard
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities extended their hot streak, advancing for a 10th straight day on solid corporate earnings reports and lessened inflation concerns.

The S&P/TSX Composite climbed 0.5% in Toronto, a fresh record high for the index.
Health care stocks were the best performers, as 7 of 11 sectors gained; 150 of 234 shares rose, while 79 fell.
Shopify contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 1.2%.

Tilray Inc. had the largest increase, rising 15.7%.
Insights
* This year, the index rose 21%, heading for the best year in at least 10 years
* The index advanced 30% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 32% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 0%below its 52-week high on Oct. 19, 2021 and 36.8% above its low on Oct. 30, 2020
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 3.2% in the past 5 days and rose 2.9% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20 on a trailing basis and 16.4 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.5% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.31t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 10.49% compared with 10.41% in the previous session and the average of 9.44% over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Financials | 34.2609| 0.5| 19/9
Information Technology | 27.7267| 1.2| 11/4
Energy | 15.0128| 0.5| 12/10
Health Care | 11.8049| 6.1| 9/0
Industrials | 5.9476| 0.2| 18/12
Materials | 5.5154| 0.2| 33/19
Real Estate | 5.4573| 0.8| 22/3
Communication Services | -0.0518| 0.0| 5/2
Consumer Staples | -0.5695| -0.1| 7/6
Consumer Discretionary | -1.0462| -0.1| 7/6
Utilities | -2.4387| -0.3| 7/8
================================================================
| | |Volume VS | YTD
| Index | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Shopify | 17.6600| 1.2| -31.2| 27.8
TD Bank | 16.4300| 1.5| -53.6| 23.3
Bank of Nova Scotia | 8.3470| 1.2| -65.2| 17.7
Fortis | -2.7790| -1.5| 122.7| 6.7
Constellation | | | |
Software | -2.9830| -1.0| -14.3| 33.2
Teck Resources | -3.1750| -2.7| -4.8| 55.8

US
By Vildana Hajric and Kamaron Leach
(Bloomberg) — U.S. equities extended a rally on Tuesday as solid corporate results helped counter concerns stemming from elevated inflation.
The S&P 500 rose 0.7% as earnings at Travelers Cos. And Johnson & Johnson beat expectations while higher commodity and freight costs weighed on shares of Procter & Gamble Co.

Crypto  stocks were also higher as Bitcoin closed at a record following the launch of the first futures exchange-traded fund.
A fifth day of gains brings the benchmark index within half a percent away from an all-time high as the market grapples with the prospect of tighter monetary policy amid rising prices.

The dollar was weaker against major peers as traders raised bets central banks around the world would raise interest rates before the Federal Reserve.
Meanwhile, global bond yields were mixed with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield higher at 1.64%.
“Another week of upbeat results could be the boost that bulls are after to recapture those record levels,” said Fiona Cincotta, senior financial markets analyst at City Index.

Investors are paying close attention to the earnings season to see how higher costs for energy and raw materials are affecting margins.
Crude oil in New York climbed in a volatile session after Russia signaled it may not give Europe extra natural gas without approval for the Nord Stream 2 pipeline.
Meanwhile, base metals took a breather on the race to record highs.
“This earnings season could be highly important for investors, as inflation, labor, supply, and currency risks settle in,” said Lauren Goodwin, economist and portfolio strategist at New York Life Investments.

“We will be particularly attuned to companies’ guidance on the path ahead and whether higher costs could reduce corporate margins.”
Fed Governor Christopher Waller said the central bank’s bond-buying program should begin tapering next month. However, he added interest-rate increases are probably “still some time off.”

The comments were the latest in a slew of speeches from Fed officials expected to try to calm market jitters this week.
“They’re probably going to be very careful and cautious on rate hikes because of the fact that they just don’t have enough information on the inflation front,” said Subadra Rajappa, managing director and head of U.S. rates strategy at Société Generale. “We didn’t see the market fully price in three hikes by the end of 2023. And now you’re going to see a little bit of adjustment based on what the Fed’s saying.”

Events to watch this week:
* Earnings roll in, including from AT&T Inc., Barclays Plc, Netflix Inc. and Tesla Inc.
* EIA crude oil inventory report, Wednesday
* China property prices, loan prime rates, Wednesday
* U.S. Conference Board leading index, U.S. existing home sales, jobless claims, Thursday
* Fed Chair Jerome Powell takes part in policy panel discussion, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.7% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.7%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.6%
* The MSCI World index rose 0.7%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.3%
* The euro rose 0.2% to $1.1635
* The British pound rose 0.5% to $1.3792
* The Japanese yen was little changed at 114.34 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced four basis points to 1.64%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced four basis points to -0.11%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced three basis points to 1.17%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.5% to $82.84 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 0.2% to $1,770.10 an ounce

–With assistance from Nathan Hager.
 
Have a lovely evening.
 
Be magnificent!
As ever,
 
Carolann
 
Maybe this world is another planet’s hell. -Aldous Huxley, 1894-1963.
 
Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor
 
Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7
 
Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

  

October 18th, 2021 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Monday.
1972 Congress passed the Clean Water Act, overriding President Richard M. Nixon’s veto.  Go to article »

Tony Bennett has set a new Guinness World Record for being the oldest person to release an album of new material.  The man is still churning ’em out at 95 YEARS OLD

A Russian crew safely returned to Earth after 12 days of filming the first feature movie shot in space.

Astronauts walk in space suits during a Mars training mission in Israel’s southern Negev desert. Here’s a look at 33 moving, fascinating and thought-provoking images from the week that was, curated by CNN Photos.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A drone photo shows hot-air balloons gliding over the Cappadocia region, which is listed as an Unesco world heritage site.
CREDIT:ANADOLU AGENCY/GETY IMAGES

People visit the Kingdom of Permafrost Museum, which is housed inside the Soviet-era tunnels on the outskirts of a city known as the coldest in the world.
CREDIT: MAXIM SHEMETOV/REUTERS

The paintings ‘Rouen Cathedral Evening’ and ‘Rouen Cathedral Noon by Claude Monet are seen on display at the Pushkin State Museum of Fine Arts.
CREDIT: VYACHESLAV PROKOFYEV/TASS

Market Closes for October 18th, 2021

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
35258.61 -36.15
-0.10%
S&P 500 4486.46 +15.09
+0.34%
NASDAQ 15021.81 +124.47

+0.84%

TSX 20985.37 +57.27
+0.27%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 29025.46 -43.17
-0.15%
HANG
SENG
25409.75 +78.79
+0.31%
SENSEX 61765.59 +459.64
+0.75%
FTSE 100* 7203.83 -30.20

-0.42%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.588 1.587
CND.
30 Year
Bond
1.969 1.987
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.6002 1.5738
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  2.0336   2.0456

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.8080 0.8083
US
$
1.2376 1.2372
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4371 0.6958
US
$
1.1612 0.8612

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1772.65 1798.70
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 82.44 82.28

Market Commentary:
     On this day in 1931, President Herbert Hoover announced the creation of an unemployment-relief commission “to cast sunshine into the habitations of despair.” He also used the word “depression” to describe the state of the U.S. economy, adding that it had been “deepened by events from abroad which are beyond the control of either our citizens or our government.”
Canada
By Natasha Abellard
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities advanced for a ninth straight day to a record high as inflation concerns subsided and the prices of crude oil slipped from multiyear highs.  The S&P/TSX Composite Index closed up 0.3% in Toronto, with tech equities leading the gain.  Shopify contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.9%.  Denison Mines had the largest increase, rising 12.8%. Today, 111 of 234 shares rose, while 120 fell; 5 of 11 sectors were higher, led by information technology stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index rose 20%, heading for the best year in at least 10 years
* The index advanced 28%in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 29% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 0% below its 52-week high on Oct. 18, 2021 and 36.1% above its low on Oct. 30, 2020
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 2.8% in the past 5 days and rose 2.4% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.9 on a trailing basis and 16.3 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.5% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.3t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 10.41% compared with 10.38% in the previous session and the average of 9.39% over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Information Technology | 44.6309| 1.9| 7/8
* Industrials | 17.7042| 0.7| 24/6
* Financials | 12.2965| 0.2| 16/10
* Consumer Staples | 3.8313| 0.5| 9/4
* Real Estate | 2.2819| 0.4| 18/7
* Utilities | -2.0942| -0.2| 4/12
* Health Care | -2.1102| -1.1| 2/7
* Communication Services | -3.3509| -0.3| 1/6
* Consumer Discretionary | -4.3132| -0.6| 7/6
* Energy | -5.3663| -0.2| 7/16
* Materials | -6.2475| -0.3| 16/38
================================================================
| | |Volume VS | YTD
| Index | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Shopify | 39.8700| 2.9| -42.0| 26.2
* Constellation | | | |
* Software | 7.9810| 2.7| -9.0| 34.5
* Royal Bank of Canada| 6.1310| 0.5| 227.5| 25.5
* Lightspeed Commerce | | | |
* Inc | -3.5580| -3.4| -41.6| 31.4
* Suncor Energy | -4.3450| -1.4| 12.4| 34.4
* Magna International | -6.3250| -3.1| 9.3| 14.7

US
By Vildana Hajric and Nathan Hager
(Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks extended a rebound on Monday as a whipsaw in energy prices relieved some pressure on the market. The S&P 500 added 0.3% and the Nasdaq 100 gained 1% in a continuation of last week’s gains when solid corporate earnings and economic reports were enough to outweigh concerns about energy shortages and supply-chain disruptions. Earlier on Monday OPEC+ failed to meet output targets and Russia opted against sending more natural gas to Europe, pushing commodity prices higher.  However, oil’s decline from a session high eased some fears of inflation and policy tightening. The S&P 500 has now pared back losses from an all-time high to about 1.1%. “The issues that caused the pullback have quieted over the past two weeks, which has rightly allowed stocks to bounce,” wrote Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader who founded “The Sevens Report” newsletter. “But these issues are not resolved by any stretch of the imagination.” The yield on the 10-year Treasury note climbed to 1.59% while U.K. yields surged after the Bank of England warned on the need to respond to price pressures. Rate-hike bets have now also picked up in Australia and New Zealand, where inflation accelerated to the fastest pace in 10 years.
The dollar was little changed. “Rising commodity prices — particularly oil prices, which only appear to go in one direction at the moment — are boosting expectations of high inflation becoming more entrenched and a sooner move by the Fed to raise interest rates,” said Fiona Cincotta, senior financial markets analyst at City Index.  On top of that, there are fears the central bank will not be nimble enough to respond to a miscalculation, said Michael Darda, chief economist and market strategist at MKM Holdings. “That’s where we could end up with recessionary risks down the line,” he warned. Speakers from the Federal Reserve this week are expected to try to calm market jitters about future tightening. Additionally, another week of corporate earnings will offer traders more insight into the health of major corporations. “We have used most of the superlatives we know to describe corporate America’s stunning performances over the past two earnings seasons,” said Jeff Buchbinder, equity strategist for LPL Financial. “We expect solid earnings gains during the upcoming third-quarter earnings season, but upside surprises will be smaller.” “Unfortunately, we won’t need as many superlatives,” he added. Stocks in Europe fell while those in Asia were mixed after data China’s economy slowed in the third quarter. Bitcoin rose to $61,320 ahead of the launch of the first futures exchange-traded fund. Gold fell 0.2%.

Events to watch this week:
* Earnings roll in, including from AT&T Inc., Barclays Plc, Johnson & Johnson, Netflix Inc. and Tesla Inc.
* Bank Indonesia rate decision and briefing, Tuesday
* China’s NPC Standing Committee starts a meeting Tuesday that goes on through Oct. 23. A review of anti-monopoly regulations is on the agenda
* U.S. housing starts, Tuesday
* EIA crude oil inventory report, Wednesday
* China property prices, loan prime rates, Wednesday
* U.S. Conference Board leading index, U.S. existing home sales, jobless claims, Thursday
* Fed Chair Jerome Powell takes part in policy panel discussion, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.3% as of 4:02 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 1%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.1%
* The MSCI World index rose 0.1%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
* The euro was little changed at $1.1610
* The British pound fell 0.2% to $1.3730
* The Japanese yen was little changed at 114.32 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced two basis points to 1.59%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to -0.15%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced three basis points to 1.14%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude was little changed
* Gold futures fell 0.2% to $1,764.60 an ounce

–With assistance from Kamaron Leach, Abigail Moses and Andreea Papuc.
Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

There are rich people and there are those that have money.  They are not the same people. -Coco Chanel, 1883-1971.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 15, 2021 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday.

2007-The New York Yankees and third baseman Alex Rodriguez agreed on a record 10-year, $275 million contract, the richest in sports history.   Go to article »

1917-Mata Hari executed.

Virgil, epic poet, b. 70 BCE.
John K. Galbraith, economist, b. 1908.
Friedrich Nietzsche, philosopher, b. 1844.
P.G. Wodehouse, author, b. 1881.
Duchess Sarah Ferguson, b. 1959.

McDonald’s is testing out its McPlant burger in these cities.  Calling all vegetarians: It’s finally our time. 

The U.S. opened its borders to vaccinated travelers.

New Zealand city fires its wizard. (h/t Mike Smedley).

Scientists find a planet that survived its star’s death.

That’s not a giant skeleton. This is a giant skeleton.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY
Stunning autumnal colour at Hever Castle, Kent. The Boston Ivy adorning the front of the Castle has turned a vivid shade of red.
CREDIT: OLIVER DIXON
Autumn rainbow in the Lake District, UK
CREDIT: JOHN FINNEY/WENN
A walker watches a misty sunrise from the summit of Castle Naze, near Buxton in the Peak District, UK  
CREDIT: MATT WILKINSON

Market Closes for October 15th, 2021

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
35294.76 +382.20
+1.09%
S&P 500 4471.37 +33.11
+0.75%
NASDAQ 14897.34 +73.91

+0.50%

TSX 20928.10 +108.16
+0.52%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 29068.63 +517.70
+1.81%
HANG
SENG
25330.96 +368.37
+1.48%
SENSEX 61305.95 +568.90
+0.94%
FTSE 100* 7234.03 +26.32

+0.37%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.587 1.534
CND.
30 Year
Bond
1.987 1.967
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.5738 1.5125
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  2.0456   2.0167

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.8083 0.8085
US
$
1.2372 1.2369
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4352 0.6968
US
$
1.1600 0.8620

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1798.70 1785.70
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 82.28 81.31

Market Commentary:
    On this day in 1929, stocks were down an average of 11% from their peak in September, but the head of one of the nation’s largest brokerage operations said not to worry. Twelve days later, the Crash of 1929 erupted, driving the market nearly one-third lower and signaling the onset of the Great Depression.
Canada
By Natasha Abellard
(Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks closed at a fresh record high, posting the best week since March. The S&P/TSX Composite climbed 0.5% Friday, with the financials and tech shares leading the rally. Toronto-Dominion Bank contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 1.8%. First Quantum Minerals Ltd. had the largest increase, rising 8%. Today, 111 of 234 shares rose, while 119 fell; 7 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index rose 20%, heading for the best year in at least 10 years
* So far this week, the index rose 2.5%, heading for the biggest advance since the week ended March 12
* The index advanced 27% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 29% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 0.2% below its 52-week high on Oct. 15, 2021 and 35.7%above its low on Oct. 30, 2020
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.9 on a trailing basis and 16.2 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.5% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.28t
* 30-day price volatility little changed to 10.38% compared with 10.38 % in the previous session and the average of 8.94% over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Financials | 61.2801| 0.9| 22/6
* Information Technology | 17.5295| 0.7| 8/7
* Energy | 14.1333| 0.5| 10/12
* Industrials | 13.6941| 0.6| 19/11
* Consumer Discretionary | 4.7102| 0.6| 7/6
* Materials | 1.3978| 0.1| 20/35
* Communication Services | 0.6418| 0.1| 3/3
* Real Estate | -0.0315| 0.0| 11/13
* Consumer Staples | -0.5837| -0.1| 6/7
* Health Care | -1.7520| -0.9| 3/6
* Utilities | -2.8583| -0.3| 2/14
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* TD Bank | 18.9600| 1.8| -24.6| 21.0
* Shopify | 17.0300| 1.3| -47.1| 22.7
* TC Energy | 9.4450| 2.1| -11.9| 28.3
* Turquoise Hill | -1.9770| -15.1| 861.1| 2.5
* Waste Connections | -2.4400| -0.8| 9.3| 23.1
* Barrick Gold | -7.0340| -2.4| 18.2| -17.4

US
By Rita Nazareth and Kamaron Leach
(Bloomberg) — Stocks notched their best week since July as solid corporate earnings and a surprise increase in retail sales spurred a rally in companies that are more likely to benefit from an economic rebound. Treasuries fell. Equities pushed higher even after data showing that consumer sentiment dropped in early October. Retailers, banks and industrial shares led gains in the S&P 500. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. climbed after posting a surge in its trading business, while broker Charles Schwab Corp. jumped on record earnings.  Trucking giant J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. and Alcoa Corp. — the biggest U.S. aluminum producer — also soared on better-than-estimated results. “We believe that being long equities is the best course of action, and that cyclical stocks such as financials, industrials, energy and materials are positioned for further gains,” said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance. “Utilities and consumer staples are going to face headwinds in the form of higher interest rates and inflation.” Goldman Sachs Chief Executive Officer David Solomon said that inflation, particularly in wages, remains top of mind among corporate leaders and shareholders. His comments follow similar concerns voiced this week by other CEOs including Bank of America Corp.’s Brian Moynihan and Morgan Stanley’s James Gorman. The world’s most crucial metals continued on a breakneck surge as energy shortages forced more production cuts, piling pressure on manufacturers and fueling concerns about inflation. Brent oil hovered near $85 a barrel, the latest milestone in a global power crunch that has seen prices jump.

Some other corporate highlights:
* Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks like Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. and Riot Blockchain Inc. jumped. The Securities and Exchange Commission is poised to allow the first U.S. Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund to begin trading, according to people familiar with the matter.
* Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. is pushing the start of commercial flights further into next year after rescheduling a test flight, disappointing investors with the unexpected delay to its
space tourism business plans.

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.7% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.6%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.1%
* The MSCI World index rose 0.9%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.1%
* The euro was little changed at $1.1604
* The British pound rose 0.5% to $1.3745
* The Japanese yen fell 0.5% to 114.21 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced six basis points to 1.57%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to -0.17%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced six basis points to 1.11%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.2% to $82.25 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 1.6% to $1,768.80 an ounce
–With assistance from Sunil Jagtiani, Cecile Gutscher and Anchalee Worrachate.

Have  a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

If you are depressed, you are living in the past.  If you are anxious, you are living in the future. 
If you are at peace, you are living in the present. -Lao Tzu, 571 BCE – c.5th century BCE.

Know thyself.
            –Inscription at the Temple of Apollo at Delphi.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 14, 2021 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
On Oct. 14, 1964, civil rights leader Martin Luther King Jr. was named winner of the Nobel Peace Prize.  Go to article »
 
e.e. cummings, poet, b. 1894
William Penn, founder Pennsylvania, b.1644.
Dwight Eisenhower, 34th US President, b. 1890.
1960~Peace Corps proposed.

Billions of years ago, Venus and Earth were both piping hot. Had things been a bit different, Earth might never have become livable, a new study finds.

A fish known as a ‘living fossil’ has been found in Kansas for the first time.  How it got there is still a mystery.

We’re drowning in a sea of salt, and the FDA says we have to help save ourselves.  Reducing our salt intake will be harder than it seems, though.

I hope I never recover from this. I hope that I can maintain what I feel now.  William Shatner, otherwise known as Captain Kirk from the original “Star Trek,” after hitching a ride on a suborbital spacecraft. The 90-year-old is now the oldest person ever to go to space.

Astronomers get a look at the death of our solar system.

A partially destroyed Banksy painting sold at auction on Thursday at Sotheby’s in London for more than 18 times what it went for just three years ago. It’s the most expensive work by the artist to sell at auction ever. The piece, then called Girl with Balloon, made headlines in 2018 when it self-destructed immediately after selling at Sotheby’s.   

PHOTOS OF THE DAY
People walk among the autumn leaves on the grounds of Stormont Estate in Belfast
CREDIT: BRIAN LAWLESS/PA WIRE
Frogs stand in a pond in a frog farm in Pierrelatte, south of Lyon. French people eat around 4,000 tons of frogs each year, according to the Food Safety Agency.
CREDIT: JEFF PACHOUD / AFP
Cyclists starts from Sassi di Matera during the seventh stage of the Giro d’Italia 2020 cycling race, a 143-kilometer route between Matera and Brindisi 
CREDIT:LUCA BETTINI/AFP
A fisherman watches a Meteor during the Draconid meteor shower over Howick rocks in Northumberland. The Draconid meteor shower occurs in October in the Northern hemisphere and tends to be a less active meteor shower
CREDIT: OWN HUMPHREYS/PA WIRE

Market Closes for October 14th, 2021

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
34912.56 +534.75
+1.56%
S&P 500 4438.26 +74.46
+1.71%
NASDAQ 14823.43 +251.80

+1.73%

TSX 20819.94 +201.47
+0.98%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28550.93 +410.65
+1.46%
HANG
SENG
24962.59 -362.50
-1.43%
SENSEX 61305.95 +568.90
+0.94%
FTSE 100* 7207.71 +65.89

+0.92%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.534 1.605
CND.
30 Year
Bond
1.967 2.014
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.5125 1.5368
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  2.0167   2.0287

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.8085 0.8039
US
$
1.2369 1.2440
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4345 0.6971
US
$
1.1598 0.8622

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1785.70 1767.75
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 81.31 80.44

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1980, the IPO boom of the 1980s got off to a roaring start as Genentech went public at an initial offering price of $35.00. It closed the day’s trading at $71.25, a 103.6% gain, one of the highest first-day returns for a stock in history.
Canada
By Natasha Abellard
(Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks climbed for a seventh straight day as better-than-estimated U.S. earnings boosted risk sentiment. Consumer discretionary shares led the rally. The S&P/TSX Composite rose 1% in Toronto, advancing to the highest closing level since Sept. 3. Brookfield Asset Management contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 1.8%. Aritzia had the largest increase, rising 17.2%. Today, 174 of 234 shares rose, while 55 fell; 10 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financial stocks.

Insights
* In the past year, the index had a similar or greater gain 18 times. The next day, it advanced 14 times for an average 0.4% and declined four times for an average 0.5%
* This year, the index rose 19%, heading for the best year in at least 10 years
* So far this week, the index rose 2%, heading for the biggest advance since the week ended March 12
* The index advanced 27%in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 28% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 0.4%below its 52-week high on Sept. 7, 2021 and 35% above its low on Oct. 30, 2020
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 3.1% in the past 5 days and rose 1.3% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.8 on a trailing basis and 16.1 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.5% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.25t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 10.38% compared with 10.08% in the previous session and the average of 8.74% over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Financials | 59.1912| 0.9| 24/4
* Energy | 39.9423| 1.4| 21/2
* Materials | 31.1839| 1.3| 45/9
* Industrials | 27.4228| 1.2| 20/10
* Information Technology | 17.3822| 0.7| 13/2
* Consumer Discretionary | 11.3629| 1.5| 11/2
* Communication Services | 8.8475| 0.9| 4/3
* Utilities | 2.8116| 0.3| 12/3
* Health Care | 2.6182| 1.3| 9/0
* Consumer Staples | 0.7688| 0.1| 5/6
* Real Estate | -0.0604| 0.0| 10/14
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Brookfield Asset | | | |
* Management | 13.1600| 1.8| -40.1| 37.7
* Royal Bank of | | | |
* Canada | 11.8700| 0.9| 177.9| 24.2
* Canadian Natural | | | |
* Resources | 11.8500| 2.9| -53.5| 68.2
* Ballard Power | | | |
* Systems | -1.0580| -3.0| 70.5| -34.7
* Brookfield | | | |
* Renewable Partners | -1.6170| -2.3| -5.7| -14.0
* Cameco | -1.6560| -1.9| -27.6| 83.5

US
By Rita Nazareth and Nathan Hager
(Bloomberg) — The stock market had its best day since March as better-than-estimated corporate earnings and economic reports outweighed fears that inflation pressures and supply-chain snarls could crimp growth. All major groups in the S&P 500 advanced. The KBW Bank Index — which has surged almost 40% in 2021 — pushed higher as results from some of the largest financial institutions beat Wall Street’s estimates. UnitedHealth Group Inc. led gains in the Dow Jones Industrial Average as the health-care giant raised its outlook for the year, while chipmakers climbed on a bullish forecast from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Corporate profits have been a boon for the equity market throughout the pandemic. Since March 2020, the S&P 500 has risen each quarter, advancing 4% on average over the six-week stretch. Pent-up demand should drive revenue growth, while pricing power and operating leverage should help offset inflationary pressures, according to Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management. “Even though there are cost pressures and supply concerns, the other side of this is that business is strong,” said Kevin Caron, senior portfolio manager at Washington Crossing Advisors. “To the extent that producers can pass on to consumers higher prices — which it seems like they’re able to do — we’re seeing stronger profits, which is helping to give a boost to stocks.” Applications for U.S. state unemployment benefits fell to the lowest since March 2020, showing employers are hanging onto their workers in a tight labor market.  Prices paid to American producers rose at the slowest pace of the year amid cooling costs of services.

Some corporate highlights:
* Bank of America Corp. beat earnings projections as fees climbed at its dealmaking unit. Wells Fargo & Co.’s profit topped estimates, but expenses were higher than anticipated and loans fell.

Morgan Stanley’s investment bankers scored their best quarter ever amid a torrid pace of dealmaking. Citigroup Inc.’s stock-trading revenue surged 40%.
* Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc.’s earnings and sales beat estimates as the pandemic and the immunization campaign continued to have a powerful effect on the drugstore giant’s results.
* Jana Partners, which has pushed for Macy’s Inc. to spin off its online operations, has taken a stake in the department-store operator, according to a news report.

Here are a few events to watch this week:
* Goldman Sachs Group Inc. reports earnings on Friday
* U.S. business inventories, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, retail sales on Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 1.7% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 1.9%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.6%
* The MSCI World index rose 1.4%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
* The euro was little changed at $1.1596
* The British pound rose 0.1% to $1.3673
* The Japanese yen fell 0.4% to 113.67 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined two basis points to 1.51%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined six basis points to -0.19%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined five basis points to 1.04%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.2% to $81.40 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 0.2% to $1,798.10 an ounce
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Cecile Gutscher and Lu Wang.

Have a wonderful evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

That man is in the right who is most closely in league with the future.-Henrik Ibsen, 1828-1906

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 13, 2021 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
On Oct. 13, 1943, Italy declared war on Germany, its one-time Axis partner.  Go to article »
 
Paul Simon, musician, b.1941

Archaeologists uncovered the world’s largest wine factory from the Byzantine period in Israel.  We only have one question: Did it have any wine?

A pair of carved garden ornaments turned out to be ancient Egyptian relics worth $265K.  Time to give another look to those stone statues languishing in the yard.

Al Capone’s stuff sold for $3 million at auction. (h/t Ellen Kominers)

William Shatner is now the oldest person to go to space.

NUMBER IN THE NEWS:  14
People simultaneously in space briefly in September: four amateurs on a private flight, three astronauts working on China’s space station, and seven astronauts aboard the International Space Station.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Mist floats over the quintessentially English village of South Harting in West Sussex at dawn this morning

CREDIT: CHRIS GORMAN BIG LADDER

Mice enjoying the beginning of autumn. Wildlife photographer captures stunning images of mice enjoying first signs of autumn with pair taking cover inside an apple

CREDIT: JAM PRESS / DAVE NEWMAN’S SPECIAL PHOTOGRAPHY

Scenic Railroad is seen during colorful fall foliage in New Hampshire

CREDIT: TAYFUN COSKUN/ANADOLU AGENCY VIA GETTY IMAGES

The image of Our Lady of Fatima in the Candlelight Procession during the October Pilgrimage in the Shrine of Fatima, Portugal

CREDIT: PAULO CUNHA/EPA-EPE/SHUTTERSTOCK

Market Closes for October 13th, 2021

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
34377.81 -0.53
–%
S&P 500 4363.80 +13.15
+0.30%
NASDAQ 14571.64 +105.72

+0.73%

TSX 20618.47 +181.35
+0.89%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28140.28 -90.53
-0.32%
HANG
SENG
24962.59 -362.50
-1.43%
SENSEX 60737.05 +452.74
+0.75%
FTSE 100* 7141.82 +11.59

+0.16%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.605 1.621
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.014 2.052
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.5368 1.5768
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  2.0287   2.0954

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.8039 0.8023
US
$
1.2440 1.2465
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4428 0.6931
US
$
1.1598 0.8622

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1767.75 1757.65
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 80.44 80.64

Market Commentary:
     On this day in 1691, Sir Stephen Evance incorporated the Company for Making Hollow Sword Blades in the North of England, one of the earliest companies to issue stock—and the predecessor of the South Sea Co., whose own stock caused a speculative fever that overheated and nearly destroyed the British financial system in 1720.
Canada
By Kristine Owram
(Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose to their highest level in nearly a month as a rally in technology and materials shares bolstered the benchmark index. The S&P/TSX Composite rose for the sixth day, climbing 0.9 percent, or 181.35 to 20,618.47 in Toronto. The index advanced to the highest closing level since Sept. 15. Today, information technology stocks led the market higher, as 10 of 11 sectors gained; 177 of 234 shares rose, while 55 fell. Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.9 percent.  Eldorado Gold Corp. had the largest increase, rising 9.3 percent.

Insights
* This year, the index rose 18 percent, heading for the best year since 2019
* The index advanced 25 percent in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 25 percent in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 1.3 percent below its 52-week high on Sept. 7, 2021 and 33.7 percent above its low on Oct. 30, 2020
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 2.2 percent in the past 5 days and was little changed in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.6 on a trailing basis and 15.9 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.5 percent on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.22t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 10.08 percent compared with 9.70 percent in the previous session and the average of 8.54 percent over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Information Technology | 57.4458| 2.5| 12/3
* Materials | 51.7223| 2.2| 48/7
* Industrials | 30.6316| 1.3| 25/5
* Utilities | 12.0987| 1.3| 16/0
* Real Estate | 10.8300| 1.7| 24/1
* Energy | 10.6421| 0.4| 10/11
* Consumer Staples | 6.5615| 0.9| 8/5
* Communication Services | 4.8656| 0.5| 4/3
* Consumer Discretionary | 1.0667| 0.1| 8/5
* Health Care | 0.9288| 0.5| 8/1
* Financials | -5.4265| -0.1| 14/14
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Shopify | 38.9700| 2.9| -45.7| 21.1
* Canadian National | 12.9500| 2.1| -55.9| 5.6
* Barrick Gold | 8.1450| 2.8| -16.6| -16.4
* Fairfax Financial | | | |
* Holdings | -2.4400| -2.5| 14.9| 16.3
* CIBC | -2.7460| -0.6| -63.6| 32.9
* TD Bank | -8.2150| -0.8| 99.4| 18.2

US
By Rita Nazareth and Kamaron Leach
(Bloomberg) — Technology shares climbed amid lower Treasury yields after data showing inflation is running hot lifted companies seen as better equipped to pass on higher costs to consumers without harming their businesses. Traders also assessed minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting, with officials broadly agreeing they should start reducing stimulus in mid-November or mid-December amid increasing concern over inflation. Central bankers discussed an illustrative tapering path featuring “monthly reductions in the pace of asset purchases, by $10 billion in the case of Treasury securities and $5 billion in the case of agency mortgage-backed securities.” The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 outperformed major equity benchmarks, while the NYSE FANG+ Index of giants such as Amazon.com Inc. and Google’s parent Alphabet Inc. climbed about 1%.  The S&P 500 rebounded, following a three-day drop. Ten-year yields remained below 1.6%. The two-year rate — which is more sensitive to policy moves — rose.

     Delta Air Lines Inc. led losses in U.S. carriers after warning that rising fuel costs will threaten earnings this quarter. Prices paid by U.S. consumers rose in September by more than forecast, underscoring inflationary pressures. The Biden administration is trying to relieve supply-chain bottlenecks ahead of the Christmas shopping season, but officials acknowledge their options are limited.  Unprecedented shipping challenges, materials shortages, high commodities prices and rising wages have driven up costs for producers. Many have passed a portion of those costs to customers, leading to more persistent inflation. “Wednesday’s still elevated consumer-price index marks about six-months’ worth of hot inflation data — suggesting that inflation is  not as transitory as many investors previously expected,” said Nancy Davis, founder of the Greenwich, Connecticut-based firm Quadratic Capital Management. “The overall inflation story is being driven by supply-chain disruptions and a swift rise in prices, due to the labor shortage.”

Some corporate highlights:
* JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s dealmakers posted their best quarter yet, riding what’s on track to be a record year for mergers and acquisitions. Still, shares fell as consumer and commercial loan growth remained challenged.
* American Express Co. and other credit-card issuers tumbled as JPMorgan attributed weakness in its card business to rising costs on marketing and promotions, sparking concern over heightened competition.

Here are a few events to watch this week:
* Bank of America Corp., Morgan Stanley and Citigroup Inc. report earnings on Thursday
* U.S. initial jobless claims, PPI on Thursday
* Goldman Sachs Group Inc. reports earnings on Friday
* U.S. business inventories, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, retail sales on Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.3% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.8%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average was little changed
* The MSCI World index rose 0.5%
* The Russell 2000 Index rose 0.3%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.5%
* The euro rose 0.5% to $1.1593
* The British pound rose 0.5% to $1.3660
* The Japanese yen rose 0.3% to 113.29 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined four basis points to 1.54%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined four basis points to -0.13%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined six basis points to 1.09%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.1% to $80.54 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 1.9% to $1,793.30 an ounce
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Cecile Gutscher and Sophie Caronello.

Have a wonderful evening.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

Courage is contagious.  When a brave man takes a stand, the spines of others are stiffened. -Billy Graham, 1918-2018.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 12, 2021 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
October 12, 1999-World population reaches 6 billion.

On Oct. 12, 2000, the Navy destroyer Cole was attacked in an al-Qaeda suicide bombing while in port in Aden, Yemen, killing 17 sailors and injuring dozens more.  Go to article »

As Starbucks turns 50, believe it or not, it has changed our culture and also inspired a generation of rivals. — Virginia Postrel 

Neuroscientists are mapping all the brain cells.

Strange radio signals are coming from the galaxy center.

Hubble detects a dangerous galactic dance

Elon Musk trolled Jeff Bezos to let him know he’s richer than he is.   Billionaires … they’re just like us.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A jay is foraging around a small pool in autumn sunshine in mid Wales

CREDIT: PHILIP JONES / ALAMY LIVE NEWS

A waxing crescent moon is seen setting behind London’s central business district Canary Wharf late last night

CREDIT: RICK FINDLER / STORY PICTURE AGENCY

The moon passing over Salisbury Cathedral in Wiltshire last night

CREDIT: NICK BULL/ PICTUREEXCLUSIVE.COM

A cargo Boeing 777 of China Southern Airlines flying from Amsterdam to Shanghai is silhouetted against the Sun with a Sun spot, a result of solar activity, over the village of Podolye, 70km east of St. Petersburg, Russia

CREDIT: AP PHOTO/DMITRI LOVESKY
Market Closes for October 12th, 2021

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
34378.34 -117.72
-0.34%
S&P 500 4350.65 -10.54
-0.24%
NASDAQ 14465.93 -20.27

-0.14%

TSX 20437.12 +20.81
+0.10%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28230.61 -267.59
-0.94%
HANG
SENG
24962.59 -362.50
-1.43%
SENSEX 60284.31 +148.53
+0.25%
FTSE 100* 7130.23 -16.62

-0.23%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.621 1.626
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.052 2.085
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.5768 1.6118
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  2.0954   2.1640

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.8023 0.8018
US
$
1.2465 1.2472
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4373 0.6958
US
$
1.1531 0.8673

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1757.65 1762.10
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 80.64 79.35

Market Commentary:
     On this day in 1990, the great bull market of the 1990s began, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up 9.90 points to close at 2407.92. Stocks would more than quadruple over the next ten years.
Canada
By Kristine Owram
(Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks edged higher for a fifth session as gains in commodity stocks offset declines in most other sectors. The S&P/TSX Composite rose 0.1%, or 20.81 to 20,437.12 in Toronto. The index advanced to the highest closing level since Sept. 27. Today, energy and materials stocks led the market higher, as 4 of 11 sectors gained; 127 of 234 shares rose, while 103 fell. TC Energy Corp. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.8%.  Denison Mines Corp. had the largest increase, rising 19.4%.

Insights
* This year, the index rose 17 percent, heading for the best year since 2019
* The index advanced 23 percent in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 24 percent in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 2.2 percent below its 52-week high on Sept. 7, 2021 and 32.5 percent above its low on Oct. 30, 2020
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 1.9 percent in the past 5 days and fell 0.9 percent in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.4 on a trailing basis and 16 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.6 percent on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.22t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 9.70 percent compared with 9.71 percent in the previous session and the average of 8.47 percent over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Energy | 35.2356| 1.3| 10/11
* Materials | 34.8173| 1.5| 47/7
* Utilities | 10.0336| 1.1| 11/5
* Real Estate | 4.3884| 0.7| 21/3
* Health Care | -1.4002| -0.7| 2/7
* Industrials | -1.8238| -0.1| 16/14
* Consumer Staples | -4.2778| -0.6| 5/8
* Consumer Discretionary | -5.1987| -0.7| 3/10
* Communication Services | -7.1144| -0.7| 1/6
* Financials | -19.0363| -0.3| 7/21
* Information Technology | -24.8174| -1.1| 4/11
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* TC Energy | 11.7600| 2.8| -5.7| 23.4
* Cameco | 10.7700| 14.7| 59.9| 78.8
* Enbridge | 7.1700| 1.0| 156.4| 28.0
* Bank of Montreal | -4.7210| -0.8| 39.2| 34.0
* TD Bank | -7.5840| -0.7| 44.4| 19.1
* Shopify | -20.7000| -1.5| -16.5| 17.6

US
By Rita Nazareth
(Bloomberg) — Stocks fell as investors awaited the start of the earnings season and a report that’s forecast to show consumer prices remained elevated. After the close of regular trading, Bloomberg News reported that Apple Inc. is likely to slash its projected iPhone 13 production targets for 2021 by as many as 10 million units because of prolonged chip shortages. Traders have been concerned that supply-chain snarls will sap corporate profits. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic said the inflation surge is lasting longer than officials expected, so it’s not appropriate to refer to such rise as transitory. Vice Chair Richard Clarida noted that the conditions required to begin tapering the bond-buying program have “all but been met.” A key test of market confidence will be the start of the earnings season Wednesday. Quarterly guidance, which improved in the runup to the past four reporting periods, is now deteriorating. Analysts project profits at S&P 500 firms to climb 28% to $49 a share, according to data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence.  That’s down from an eye-popping clip of 94% in the previous quarter, marking the onset of a slowdown that has historically signaled weakening returns for stocks.
“Earnings season is going to give us a really good clue of where we’re going on some of these supply issues,” Alicia Levine, head of equities and capital market advisory at BNY Mellon Wealth Management, told Bloomberg TV. “The two sectors we worry about are the industrials and retail, because that’s where the companies are not able to pass along price as easily.” The S&P 500 dropped for a third day. West Texas Intermediate held above $80 a barrel on speculation that a global energy crunch will continue to boost demand.  Treasury 10-year yields dropped, while the dollar was little changed. The International Monetary Fund warned of the risk of sudden and steep declines in global equity prices and home values as  global central banks withdraw the support they’ve provided during the pandemic.  For Karen Karniol-Tambour, co-chief investment officer for sustainability at Bridgewater Associates, most portfolios are insufficiently hedged for inflation. One of the easiest things investors can do is to “switch up their nominal bond holdings to inflation-linked bonds,” told Bloomberg TV. “It’s very simple. You’re literally going to get paid, whatever CPI is.”

Here are a few events to watch this week:
* U.S. FOMC minutes and CPI Wednesday
* China PPI, CPI Thursday
* U.S. initial jobless claims, PPI Thursday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 0.2% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.4%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.3%
* The MSCI World index fell 0.3%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
* The euro fell 0.2% to $1.1531
* The British pound was little changed at $1.3592
* The Japanese yen fell 0.3% to 113.63 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined five basis points to 1.57%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced three basis points to -0.09%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined four basis points to 1.15%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude was little changed
* Gold futures rose 0.3% to $1,761.40 an ounce
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Cecile Gutscher and Julia Fanzeres.

Have a wonderful evening.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

This existence of ours is as transient as autumn clouds.  To watch the birth and death of beings is like looking at the movements of a dance. 
A lifetime is a flash of lightning in the sky.  Rushing by like a torrent down a steep mountain. 
Conquer rage with humility, conquer evil with goodness, conquer greed with generosity, and conquer lies with truth. –Buddha, c.563 BC-483 BC.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

October 8, 2021 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday & Happy Thanksgiving weekend.

October 8, 1871-Great Chicago Fire.

October 8, 2004 Lifestyle guru Martha Stewart reported to prison to begin serving a sentence for lying about a stock sale.  Go to article »

Maria Ressa and Dmitry Muratov win the Nobel Peace Prize

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A woman on a rope bridge in the Rosa Khutor mountain resort in the Caucasus Mountains near Russias Black Sea coast, in mid autumn

CREDIT: DMITRY FEOKTISTOV/TASS VIA GETTY IMAGES

These little grey headed flying foxes are tough to shoot – very tiny, fast and at dusk only do they fly. When summer is at its peak they are in danger of dying from heat exhaustion as they sleep during the day and can literally drop dead out of their trees . Dipping their bellies in the water as they zoom down for a drink is a survival mechanism they’ve developed to cope. This picture wowed judges in the Better Photography Magazine Photo of the Year 2021 contest

CREDIT: ROBIN MOON/BETTER PHOTOGRAPHY MAGAZINE/TNG

Attanasio a maths student at St John’s College in Cambridge trimming the Boston ivy by her room as she returned for her second year at the University this week. The largest wall of Boston Ivy in Britain is putting on a stunning display today after turning a blaze of red as the UK enjoys a warm day with highs of 21C in some parts of the country

CREDIT: GEOFF ROBINSON

Market Closes for October 8th, 2021

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
34746.25 -8.69
-0.03%
S&P 500 4391.34 -8.42
-0.19%
NASDAQ 14579.54 -74.48

-0.51%

TSX 20416.31 +.10
–%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28048.94 +370.73
+1.34%
HANG
SENG
24837.85 +136.12
+0.55%
SENSEX 60059.06 +381.23
+0.64%
FTSE 100* 7095.55 +17.51

+0.25%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.626 1.565
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.085 2.042
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.6118 1.5729
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  2.1640   2.1263

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.8018 0.7967
US
$
1.2472 1.2552
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4434 0.6928
US
$
1.1574 0.8640

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1762.10 1759.70
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 79.35 78.30

Market Commentary:
     On this day 190 years ago, the Panic of 1831 broke out, as revolution and cholera in Europe slashed imports and a rash of excess lending by U.S. banks set off inflation. “Very urgent demands for money were heard,” said historian Clement Juglar.
Canada
By Kristine Owram
(Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks closed virtually unchanged, as gains in energy and financials were offset by declines in most other sectors. The S&P/TSX Composite advanced slightly to 20,416.31 in Toronto after the country added more jobs than expected in September, returning to its pre-Covid employment levels, but still fell short of the  pre-pandemic trend line for job growth. The benchmark was up 1.3% for the week. Toronto-Dominion Bank contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 1%. K92 Mining Inc. had the largest increase, rising 4.3%. Today, 107 of 234 shares rose, while 116 fell; 4 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index rose 17%, heading for the best year since 2019
* So far this week, the index rose 1.3%, heading for the biggest advance since the week ended Aug. 27
* The index advanced 23% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 28% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 2.3% below its 52-week high on Sept. 7, 2021 and 32.4% above its low on Oct. 30, 2020
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.4 on a trailing basis and 16 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.6% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.22t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 9.71% compared with 9.95% in the previous session and the average of 8.07% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Financials | 39.6661| 0.6| 21/6
* Energy | 28.0165| 1.0| 17/6
* Materials | 5.4096| 0.2| 30/20
* Consumer Discretionary | 1.7173| 0.2| 7/6
* Real Estate | -0.8174| -0.1| 12/13
* Communication Services | -2.7592| -0.3| 1/4
* Industrials | -3.1055| -0.1| 13/14
* Health Care | -4.8087| -2.4| 0/9
* Consumer Staples | -5.7461| -0.8| 3/10
* Utilities | -7.6645| -0.8| 1/15
* Information Technology | -49.8015| -2.1| 2/13
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points| | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move |% Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* TD Bank | 11.0000| 1.0| -30.0| 20.0
* Suncor Energy | 8.3820| 2.9| -8.5| 34.9
* Canadian Natural | | | |
* Resources | 6.5870| 1.6| -43.3| 62.2
* Constellation | | | |
* Software | -4.5000| -1.6| 21.9| 26.1
* Lightspeed Commerce | | | |
* Inc | -7.1170| -7.1| -25.1| 20.4
* Shopify | -30.9200| -2.3| -11.3| 19.5

US
By Natalia Kniazhevich and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell and Treasury yields gained Friday after weak jobs data upended bets on the Federal Reserve’s policy plans. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 declined in turbulent trading as data showed employers added far fewer jobs than anticipated last month. While the report is unlikely to deter the Fed from announcing cutbacks to its bond buying next month, it may remove pressure for the central bank to raise interest rates any time soon. “We don’t think this derails the Fed from tapering, and with labor markets still somewhat slack, tightening is still a long way away,” said Jay Barry, JPMorgan head of USD government bond strategy. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 1.6%. Gold erased a 1.5% advance. And crude oil briefly topped $80 a barrel in New York for the first time since 2014. The S&P 500 finished the week higher as stocks struggled for a direction on Friday. The session was marked by high volatility with traders wading in to buy at the market lows. “The buy-the-dip mentality rules the day,” said JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade, by phone. “That’s really what it comes down to.”
The monthly jobs report was the second miss in a row, signaling weakness in the labor market just as the Fed is preparing to cut back stimulus. The biggest job losses in the report came from the government sector while hiring in leisure and hospitality nearly doubled, suggesting the business outlook is strengthening, albeit slowly. “The industries that have seen really strong gains are in some of those that were particularly impacted by the pandemic; so things like leisure, and hospitality, retail,” said Kara Murphy, chief investment officer of Kestra Investment Management. “The pandemic is still driving a lot of this kind of dislocation.” The September payrolls had the smallest advance of the year after a upward revision for August figures. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate fell to 4.8% and average hourly earnings jumped. With the turbulence, it’s unclear how the market is interpreting the data, said Mike Loewengart, managing director of investment strategy at E*Trade Financial.  “On one hand it’s a knock to our economic recovery,” he said. “On the other, delaying Fed policy means the easy money era continues.”

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 0.2% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.5%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average was little changed
* The MSCI World index was little changed

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
* The euro rose 0.2% to $1.1571
* The British pound was little changed at $1.3620
* The Japanese yen fell 0.5% to 112.22 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced three basis points to 1.60%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced three basis points to -0.15%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced eight basis points to 1.16%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.5% to $79.49 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.1% to $1,757 an ounce
–With assistance from Emily Graffeo, Kamaron Leach and Elaine Chen.

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

As I grow older, I pay les attention to what men say.  I just watch what they do. -Andrew Carnegie,  1835-1919.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com