January 21, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday.
January 21, 1976 The supersonic Concorde jet was put into service by Britain and France. Go to article » 

1915: Kiwanis International is founded.
Christian Dior, designer, b.1905.

Hubble captures a black hole forming stars, not eating them.

The most amazing statistical achievement in U.S. sports history.

The hot water bottle is back.

Rare snow and hailstorms cover Saudi Arabian desert.  The sweltering Saudi desert is now blanketed in snow? Okay Mother Nature, you’re just showing off now.

You have to win a lottery to camp at this Yosemite site.  Only the lucky ones can sleep outside here!

PHOTOS OF THE DAY
A combination of satellite images taken by Himawari-8, a Japanese weather satellite operated by Japan Meteorological Agency, shows the eruption of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai volcano.
CREDIT: National Institute of Information and Communications Technology/AP
A long-tailed tit in a park in Sapporo, northern Japan. Also called ‘snow fairy’, the 14cm-long bird has become a favourite for photo enthusiasts.
CREDIT: Jiji Press/EPA
Livestock breeders carry hay for goats to the forest during winter in Ovacık district
Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

Market Closes for January 21st, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
34265.37 -450.02
-1.30%
S&P 500 4397.94 -84.79
-1.89%
NASDAQ 13768.92 -385.10

-2.72%

TSX 20621.39 -436.79
-2.07%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 27522.26 -250.67
-0.90%
HANG
SENG
24965.55 +13.20
+0.05%
SENSEX 59037.18 -427.44
-0.72%
FTSE 100* 7494.13 -90.88

-1.20%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.791 1.836
CND.
30 Year
Bond
1.999 2.051
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.7581 1.8040
U.S.
30 Year Bond
   2.0710     2.1169

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7950 0.7998
US
$
1.2578 1.2503
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4273 0.7006
US
$
1.1347 0.8812

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1845.35 1826.95
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 86.24 86.90

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1993, just over a year after breaking the 600 mark, the Nasdaq Composite broke the 700 barrier for the first time, finishing the day at 700.77.  (It closed today at 13,768.92 – a gain of +1,864.83 % in 29 years, underscoring the oft repeated sage advice to “invest for the long term”.)
Canada
By Geoffrey Morgan
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities tumbled Friday amid a broader market sell off for information technology, materials and energy stocks.

The S&P/TSX Composite fell for the fourth day, dropping 2.1%, or 436.79 to 20,621.39 in Toronto.
The move was the biggest since falling 2.3% on Nov. 30.
Shopify Inc., until recently Canada’s most valuable company, contributed the most to the index decline and had the largest move, decreasing 13.4%.
Information technology stocks led the market lower, as every sector except utilities declined; 216 of 241 shares fell, while 25 rose.

Insights
* In the past year, the index had a similar or greater loss two times. The next day, it declined 0.9% once and advanced 0.1% once
* This month, the index fell 2.8%
* So far this week, the index fell 3.4%, heading for the biggest decline since the week ended Oct. 30
* The index advanced 15% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 12% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 5.4% below its 52-week high on Nov. 16, 2021 and 19.2% above its low on Jan. 29, 2021
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.6 on a trailing basis and 14.5 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.7% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.37t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 12.55% compared with 10.94% in the previous session and the average of 14.10% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Information Technology| -140.8638| -7.8| 3/13
* Financials | -82.9469| -1.2| 1/27
* Energy | -82.2839| -2.7| 0/32
* Materials | -61.9867| -2.5| 2/53
* Industrials | -27.2399| -1.1| 5/25
* Consumer Staples | -13.0261| -1.8| 3/8
* Real Estate | -11.5576| -1.9| 1/23
* Consumer Discretionary| -10.1931| -1.4| 0/14
* Communication Services| -5.4398| -0.5| 0/7
* Health Care | -1.4765| -1.0| 1/7
* Utilities | 0.2361| 0.0| 9/7
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move |% Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Shopify | -133.9000| -13.4| 119.0| -36.2
* TD Bank | -18.2500| -1.4| 4.8| 3.4
* Canadian Natural Resources | -17.0500| -3.2| 35.3| 19.6
* Brookfield Infrastructure | 1.4400| 0.9| 137.2| -0.9
* Fortis | 2.0110| 1.1| 92.3| -3.4
* Constellation Software | 2.7010| 1.0| 1.1| -12.1

US
By Vildana Hajric and Emily Graffeo
(Bloomberg) — Stocks fell, capping the worst week since the outbreak of the pandemic roiled markets, with tech shares bearing the brunt of the selloff amid shaky company earnings and prospects for higher U.S. interest rates.
The S&P 500 closed below its 200-day moving average, a key technical level, for the first time since 2020.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 slid the most among major benchmarks on Friday, led by a more than 20% plunge in shares of streaming giant  Netflix Inc.
Bitcoin tumbled in an extended selloff for cryptocurrencies, briefly falling below $38,000 to its lowest level in more than five months.
Volatility that has gripped markets this month showed little sign of letting up Friday, with the S&P 500 falling for a fourth day, extending losses in the period to 5.7% for the worst, albeit shortened, week since March 2020.

Option expirations of more than $3 trillion helped add to market turbulence.
“This is the longest short week, I think, in history, right?” Jay Pelosky, founder and president of TPW Investment Management, said on Bloomberg TV. “It’s only been a four-day week and it feels like it’s been two weeks rolled into one.”
The U.S. company reporting season so far has been uneven, highlighting the risk that it may fail to enliven animal spirits in the stock market.

While Netflix’s disappointing subscriber outlook sent its shares tumbling, while Peloton Interactive Inc. suggested it was poised to rebound after the darling of the stay-at-home trade was hit by a report of temporary production halts.
Markets are also bracing for rate liftoff by the Federal Reserve.

Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect policy makers to raise interest rates in March for the first time in more than three years and shrink their balance sheet soon after.
Geopolitical tensions are also adding to the jitters.

A report that Washington is allowing some Baltic states to send U.S.-made weapons to Ukraine stoked concerns about a standoff with Russia.

“There are plenty of risks in the global economy, including geo-political events,” wrote Ethan Harris, head of global economics at Bank of America Global Research. “However, in our view, the biggest near-term risk is right in front of us: that the Fed is seriously behind the curve and has to get serious about fighting inflation.”
Demand for havens pushed the 10-year Treasury yield down more than 10 basis points in three days to 1.75%, leaving the rate lower on the week, the first decline for the period in five weeks.
The selloff in equity markets has volatility indexes pricing more turbulence near term than in the future.
The setup, known as an inverted VIX.
Such an inverted curve has occurred four other times in the past year and all coincided with market bottoms.
“We’re all going to breathe an extra sigh of relief once this session finally closes and then we can put an end to this week, because it’s been painful all around,” said Adam Phillips, managing director of Portfolio Strategy at EP Wealth Advisors in Torrance, California.

Some of the main moves in markets: 
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 1.9% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 2.7%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.3%
* The MSCI World index fell 1.8%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.1%
* The euro rose 0.3% to $1.1345
* The British pound fell 0.3% to $1.3557
* The Japanese yen rose 0.4% to 113.68 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined five basis points to 1.76%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined four basis points to -0.06%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined five basis points to 1.17%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.7% to $84.91 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.7% to $1,832.70 an ounce
–With assistance from Sunil Jagtiani, Thyagaraju Adinarayan, Jeran Wittenstein and Anchalee Worrachate.

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

You will never do anything in this world without courage.  It is the greatest quality of the mind next to honor. c.384 BC-322 BC.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

January 20, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
On Jan. 20, 1981, Iran released 52 Americans held hostage for 444 days, minutes after the presidency had passed from Jimmy Carter to Ronald Reagan.  Go to article »
2009: Barack Obama is sworn in as the 44th president of the United states, becoming the first African American to hold the office. 
Frederico Fellini, film maker, b. 1920.
Bill Maher, satirist, b. 1956.
Edwin “Buzz” Aldrin, astronaut, b. 1930.

Enormous coral reef discovered off the coast of Tahiti.  Did you know that only about 20% of the ocean floor has been mapped? There’s still so much left to sea.

A new species of tarantula discovered by Thai YouTube star.  Apparently, they live in the holes of bamboo plants.

Japan’s best castles to visit at least once.  A quiet stroll under blooming cherry blossoms, gazing at Japanese castles. I’ve officially found my next vacation destination. 

What is spacetime made of?

How close are we to Doomsday?

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A surfer practising before the 2022 Billabong Pipeline Masters in Hawaii
CREDIT: Brian Bielmann/AFP/Getty Images

A section of Hadrian’s Wall near Hexham in northern England is illuminated in a photograph taken with a long exposure. This year marks the 1,900th anniversary of the start of the wall’s construction
CREDIT: Oli Scarff/AFP/Getty Images

The moon sets behind Willesborough windmill, which was built in 1869
CREDIT: Gareth Fuller/PA

Market Closes for January 20th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
34715.39 -313.26
-0.89%
S&P 500 4482.73 -50.03
-1.10%
NASDAQ 14154.02 -186.23

-1.30%

TSX 21058.18 -146.98
-0.69%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 27772.93 +305.70
+1.11%
HANG
SENG
24952.35 +824.50
+3.42%
SENSEX 59464.62 -634.20
-1.06%
FTSE 100* 7585.01 -4.65

-0.06%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.836 1.877
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.051 2.092
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.8040 1.8646
U.S.
30 Year Bond
    2.1169    2.1760

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7998 0.7993
US
$
1.2503 1.2510
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4143 0.7071
US
$
1.1311 0.8841

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1826.95 1817.25
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 86.90 86.96

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1870, the first known female-owned U.S. stock brokerage was launched, as sisters Victoria Woodhull and Tennie Claflin opened their Woodhull, Claflin & Co. at 44 Broad St. in Manhattan. Bedeviled by rumors that it was merely a front for Woodhull’s supposed lover, Commodore Cornelius Vanderbilt, the firm did not survive long. “It is probably only in the matrimonial line that women can become successful speculators,” sneered broker Henry Clews.
Canada
By Geoffrey Morgan
(Bloomberg) — Canadian consumer discretionary and materials equities led the S&P/TSX Composite lower Thursday.

The index fell for the third day, dropping 0.7%, or 146.98 to 21,058.18 in Toronto — its lowest closing level since Jan. 5.
Utility stocks gained and industrials were little changed, as 9 of 11 sectors lost and 179 of 241 shares fell.

Auto parts companies Martinrea International Inc. and Magna International Inc. each declined more than 4%.
Royal Bank of Canada contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 1.2%.

Stelco Holdings Inc. had the largest percentage drop, falling 6.3%, after CEO Alan Kestenbaum warned that the steel industry is “a falling knife” with excess supplies and rising inventories.
Insights
* This month, the index fell 0.8%
* So far this week, the index fell 1.4%, heading for the biggest decline since the week ended Dec. 3
* The index advanced 17% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 14% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 3.4% below its 52-week high on Nov. 16, 2021 and 21.7% above its low on Jan. 29, 2021
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 1.1% in the past 5 days and rose 2.5% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19 on a trailing basis and 14.8 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.6% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.39t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 10.94% compared with 11.55% in the previous session and the average of 14.18% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Materials | -46.3417| -1.8| 9/46
* Financials | -28.8290| -0.4| 6/22
* Energy | -22.4885| -0.7| 4/28
* Consumer Discretionary | -18.5704| -2.5| 0/14
* Consumer Staples | -10.2904| -1.4| 2/9
* Information Technology | -8.8527| -0.5| 7/9
* Communication Services | -7.3566| -0.7| 0/7
* Real Estate | -4.9319| -0.8| 4/20
* Health Care | -1.4158| -1.0| 3/5
* Industrials | 0.5540| 0.0| 16/14
* Utilities | 1.5245| 0.2| 11/5
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points| | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move |% Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Royal Bank of Canada | -16.5200| -1.2| 50.0| 8.2
* Magna International | -9.7450| -4.8| 25.9| -1.4
* Nutrien | -8.6560| -2.4| -7.7| -5.2
* TD Bank | 1.6250| 0.1| -38.3| 4.9
* Intact Financial | 2.8500| 1.5| 22.2| -0.5
* Canadian Pacific | 4.8430| 0.8| 60.9| 5.2

US
By Stephen Kirkland and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — The volatility that’s gripped financial markets this year tightened its hold on American stocks, with a late-session plunge sending the Nasdaq 100 Index into a correction.
The tech-heavy benchmark wiped out a gain that reached 1.99% to post a 1.3% drop, leaving it more than 10% below its November all-time high.

The selling spread to the S&P 500, which is now more than 5% off its all-time high set on the year’s first trading day.
The reversal was sparked by news that Peloton Interactive Inc. was halting some production, sending the at-home darling to a 24% drop.
Nerves remained frayed on global equity markets with central banks set to tighten policy after almost two years of support that bolstered demand for risk assets.

While selling in Treasuries eased Thursday, stock investors were taking few chances after Peloton’s warning and before major tech companies report earnings.
Netflix Inc. plunged 10% in late trading after releasing results.
“It is a little discouraging that markets couldn’t hold on to gains seen earlier in the trading session,” said Adam Phillips, managing director of portfolio strategy at EP Wealth Advisors. “There are definitely some signs of panic out there.”
Data today showed U.S. jobless claims climbed last week to a three-month high, suggesting that the omicron variant could be having a bigger impact on the labor market.

January’s Philadelphia Fed survey surprised to the upside, providing a counterpoint to the slump seen in the survey for New York state earlier this week.
On the company news and earnings front:
* Peloton tumbled on a report that it’s temporarily halting production of bikes and treadmills due to slowing demand.
* Alcoa Corp. rose after the aluminum producer predicted rising demand and warned that any conflict between Russia and Ukraine could deepen existing supply constraints.
* Union Pacific Corp. gained after profit topped analysts’ estimates and costs were kept in check while it work to untangle supply-chain knots.
* American Airlines Group Inc. reported a smaller-than-estimated loss in the fourth quarter and said ticket purchases are starting to recover.
* Travelers Cos. capped off 2021 with a record fourth quarter, beating analysts’ profit estimates on underwriting strength and investment gains.

The reporting season so far has been a little bit rocky, and investors need to monitor commentary from companies about price and wage pressures, Rebecca Felton, RiverFront Investment Group senior market strategist, said on Bloomberg Television.
“We do believe stocks can continue to go higher even as the Fed changes policy,” she said, adding corporate profits will still likely beat estimates.
Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 1.1% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 1.3%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.9%
* The MSCI World index fell 0.4%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2%
* The euro fell 0.3% to $1.1305
* The British pound fell 0.2% to $1.3591
* The Japanese yen rose 0.1% to 114.20 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined four basis points to 1.82%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined one basis point to -0.02%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined three basis points to 1.23%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude was little changed
* Gold futures fell 0.3% to $1,840.30 an ounce
–With assistance from Abigail Moses.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

The aim of argument, or of discussion, should not be victory, but progress. –Joseph Joubert, 1854-1824.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

January 18, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
1964: The Beatles make their fist appearance on US Billboard Chart with single “I want to Hold Your Hand” at #45.

2005 The world’s largest commercial jet, an Airbus A380 that can carry 800 passengers, was unveiled in Toulouse, France. Go to article »

Area town to fight crow infestation with laser beams. (h/t Alistair Lowe)

Scientists find evidence of non-random DNA mutations.

Cats are using Starlink satellite dishes as warming beds.

Mars rover’s latest discovery.  Aliens! Well, maybe. A new analysis of the rover’s samples from the planet point to the possible existence of ancient life.

Stunning new Maldives resorts to visit in 2022.  Treat yourself! Here are some options for the warm island vacation you’re likely dreaming about.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A woman jogs with her dog during on a snowy day in Quebec. Millions across Canada’s south-eastern provinces and the US east coast hunkered down as a huge winter storm continued on Monday morning, disrupting travel and cutting power to thousands of homes
CREDIT: Andrej Ivanov/AFP/Getty Images

After a heavy overnight frost, the dawn sky turns pink over the ancient clapper bridge that leads towards the hillside market town in Wiltshire
CREDIT: Terry Mathews/Alamy Live News

A drone view of people trying to find their way out of the biggest snow maze in the world. The maze measures 3,000 sq meters
CREDIT: Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

Market Closes for January 18th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
35368.47 -543.34
-1.51%
S&P 500 4577.11 -85.74
-1.84%
NASDAQ 14506.90 -386.85

-2.60%

TSX 21274.57 -262.88
-1.22%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28257.25 -76.27
-0.27%
HANG
SENG
24112.78 -105.25
-0.43%
SENSEX 60754.86 -554.05
-0.90%
FTSE 100* 7563.55 -47.68

-0.63%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.892 1.800
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.106 2.038
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.8738 1.7841
U.S.
30 Year Bond
    2.1879   2.1219

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7992 0.7991
US
$
1.2514 1.2515
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4173 0.7056
US
$
1.1326 0.8829

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1817.85 1822.95
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 85.43 83.82

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1956, after more than a half-century as a private company, Ford Motor went public when the Ford Foundation sold 10.2 million shares at $64.50.
Canada
By Geoffrey Morgan
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities tumbled Tuesday, led by declines in information technology and health-care stocks.

The S&P/TSX Composite fell 1.2% to 21,274.57 in Toronto, its biggest drop since a 2.3% fall on Nov. 30.
Every sector in the index retreated except for communications services, which eked out a 0.1% gain.

Of the 241 stocks in the index, 185 fell and 51 rose.
Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index’s retreat, sliding 4.9%.

Lightspeed Commerce Inc. had the largest percentage drop at 8.1%.
Insights
* In the past year, the index had a similar or greater loss eight times. The next day, it advanced five times for an average 1% gain and declined three times for an average 0.6% loss
* The index advanced 19% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 19% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 2.4% below its 52-week high on Nov. 16, 2021, and 23% above its low on Jan. 29, 2021
* The S&P/TSX Composite is unchanged in the past five days and rose 2.6% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.2 on a trailing basis and 15 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.6% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.14t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 11.90% compared with 11.39% in the previous session and an average of 14.49% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Information Technology | -77.9289| -4.0| 0/16
* Financials | -70.3748| -1.0| 3/25
* Industrials | -55.9279| -2.2| 5/25
* Materials | -19.1742| -0.8| 13/40
* Energy | -17.2529| -0.6| 7/25
* Consumer Staples | -7.9537| -1.0| 1/10
* Consumer Discretionary | -6.8274| -0.9| 3/11
* Health Care | -5.4875| -3.5| 2/6
* Real Estate | -1.8889| -0.3| 10/12
* Utilities | -1.2994| -0.1| 6/9
* Communication Services | 1.2260| 0.1| 2/5
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points| | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move |% Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Shopify | -53.3900| -4.9| 37.6| -24.2
* Brookfield Asset Management | -29.1400| -4.0| 90.4| -9.0
* Canadian Pacific | -23.7100| -3.8| 18.0| 4.0
* Rogers Communications| 2.4760| 1.7| 7.1| 4.5
* Tourmaline Oil | 2.4810| 2.6| 84.5| 15.6
* Nutrien | 4.9350| 1.4| 12.7| -2.3

US
By Vildana Hajric and Emily Graffeo
(Bloomberg) — Stocks fell across the board and Treasury yields surged amid a ramp-up in speculation that central banks will have to boost interest rates sooner than earlier anticipated.
All but one of the 11 industry groups in the S&P 500 fell, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average headed for its biggest daily decline in a month.

The Nasdaq 100 sank more than 2%, dragged lower by big-techs such as Apple Inc. and Meta Platforms Inc.
Microsoft Corp. retreated, spending $69 billion to buy Activision Blizzard Inc., while Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s worse-than-expected fourth-quarter trading revenue weighed on banks.
Higher oil prices helped underpin gains in energy stocks.
Treasuries fell along the curve, pushing yields up to levels last seen before the pandemic roiled markets and benchmark German yields rose to within one basis point of turning positive for the first time since May 2019.

Focus is sharpening on the U.S. Federal Reserve’s March meeting, with markets starting to consider pricing more than a 25-basis-point increase

“Higher interest rates are going to be here to stay and that has to factor into everyone’s decisions — not just those that are borrowing capital but mostly in terms of valuations,” Julie Biel, portfolio manager and senior research analyst at Kayne Anderson Rudnick, said on Bloomberg TV. “So those super high-flying narrative-driven tech stocks are going to continue to take a beating.”
Oil surged to the highest level in seven years, underscoring the inflation challenges facing the Fed.
Meanwhile, a gauge of New York state manufacturing slumped in January as measures of orders and shipments retreated sharply, suggesting the omicron variant of the coronavirus caused a pullback in activity.
Global equities have had a volatile start to the year as investors shift out of more expensive and rates-sensitive
sectors such as technology into cheaper, so-called value shares.
Bank of America’s January global fund manager survey showed that net overweight positioning in the tech sector fell to 1%, the lowest since 2008, though they expect inflation to fall this year and are placing record bets on a boom in both commodities and stocks overall.
“The question investors are wrestling with most is if the Federal Reserve will need to tighten monetary policy to guide inflation lower, or if a softening in economic growth will allow the central bank to be less aggressive in tightening, according to Dennis DeBusschere, founder of 22V Research.

The former would be “terrible” for cyclical and technology shares, he said.
The closely watched short-end of the Treasury saw the two-year yield surge to trade back above 1% for the first time since February 2020.

The 10-year yield reached a two-year high of 1.86%.

“The really big thing, in my opinion, is to see the 2-year rate back where we saw it in February 2020,” JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade, said by phone. “The 2-year is closer to what the Fed will be doing so I think it really signals something that’s aggressive.”
A gauge of the dollar rose.
The yen was little changed after initially declining when the Bank of Japan stood pat on policy while nudging up its inflation projection. 
Some other company and stock news:
* Global gaming stocks rallied after Microsoft’s landmark takeover deal for Activision, a move that could help enliven the technology sector.
* AT&T Inc. and Verizon Communications Inc. have agreed to temporarily delay switching on hundreds of 5G cell towers near U.S. airports
* Kohl’s Corp. gained amid pressure from activist investor Macellum Advisors and following a Reuters report that Acacia Research has reached out to express interest in the retailer.
* Shopify Inc. slumped as tech stocks tumbled on the outlook for interest-rate hikes and Credit Suisse slashed the Canadian e-commerce giant’s price target.
* Chinese tech stocks listed in the U.S. fell as a report on Washington’s probe into the potential national security risk of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.’s cloud business weighs on sentiment.

What to watch this week:
* Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, UnitedHealth Group and Netflix are among companies publishing earnings during the week
* U.S. data includes housing starts Wednesday and jobless claims Thursday
* Interest-rate decisions due from nations including Indonesia, Malaysia, Norway, Turkey and Ukraine, Thursday
* EIA crude oil inventory report, Thursday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 1.7% as of 3:34 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 2.3%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.4%
* The MSCI World index fell 1.5%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.4%
* The euro fell 0.8% to $1.1321
* The British pound fell 0.4% to $1.3587
* The Japanese yen was unchanged at 114.63 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced eight basis points to 1.87%
* Germany’s 10-year yield was little changed at -0.02%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced three basis points to 1.22%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 2.4% to $85.86 a barrel
* Gold futures were little changed
–With assistance from Akshay Chinchalkar, Sunil Jagtiani and Abigail Moses.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

Age only matters when one is aging.  Now that I have arrived at a great age, I might just as well be twenty. –Pablo Picasso, 1881-1973.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

January 17, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: FULL MOON TONIGHT!
Martin Luther King Day in the US.  Equity and fixed income markets closed.

1706: Statesman and inventor Benjamin Franklin was born in Boston.
1899: Gangster Al Capone was born in Brooklyn, N.Y.  and more…Go to article » 
2017: The largest and costliest search for missing aircraft MH370 over the Indian Ocean is called off, almost three years after the Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 disappeared with 239 people on board.  The underwater search turned up no traces of the aircraft, although pieces of debris were found as far away as Tanzania.

4,500 year-old avenues lined with ancient tombs discovered in Saudi Arabia.  Around 18,000 tombs were found via satellite imagery, and most were standing at their original height. 

A page of Spider-Man comic book history just sold for $3 million.  Let’s take a moment to marvel over this incredible sale, shall we? 

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

The moon sets behind Whitby Abbey. The first full moon of 2022 is Monday evening
CREDIT: Danny Lawson/PA

Bullet trains parked at a station in preparation for the upcoming lunar new year travel peak in eastern China’s Jiangsu province
CREDIT: AFP/Getty Images

Malia Manuel of Hawaii surfs during the Da Hui Backdoor Shootout at Pipeline, on the north shore of Oahu
CREDIT: Brian Bielmann/AFP/Getty Images

Market Closes for January 17th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
Market Closed
S&P 500 Market Closed
NASDAQ Market Closed
TSX 21537.45 +179.89
+0.84%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28333.52 +209.24
+0.74%
HANG
SENG
24218.03 +165.29
+0.68%
SENSEX 61308.91 +85.88
+0.14%
FTSE 100* 7611.23 +68.28

+0.91%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.800 1.773
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.038 2.021
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
Market Closed 1.7841
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  Market     
  Closed
  2.1219

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7991 0.7965
US
$
1.2515 1.2556
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4279 0.7003
US
$
1.1410 0.8765

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1822.95 1820.35
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 83.82 83.82

Market Commentary:
No one can see ahead three years, let alone five or ten. -T. Rowe Price.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose for the second day, climbing 0.8 percent, or 179.89 to 21,537.45 in Toronto.
The index advanced to the highest closing level since Nov. 25.
Toronto-Dominion Bank contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 1.7 percent.

Jamieson Wellness Inc. had the largest increase, rising 4.0 percent.
Today, 174 of 241 shares rose, while 65 fell; 9 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* The index advanced 20 percent in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 21 percent in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 1.2 percent below its 52-week high on Nov. 16, 2021 and 24.5 percent above its low on Jan. 29, 2021
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 2.2 percent in the past 5 days and rose 3.8 percent in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.5 on a trailing basis and 15.2 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.5 percent on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.42t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 11.39 percent compared with 11.88 percent in the previous session and the average of 14.60 percent over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Financials | 82.6289| 1.2| 27/1
* Energy | 38.7414| 1.3| 28/4
* Industrials | 18.4075| 0.7| 28/2
* Information Technology | 17.3798| 0.9| 11/5
* Materials | 12.1040| 0.5| 25/29
* Consumer Discretionary | 3.5136| 0.5| 12/2
* Consumer Staples | 3.3242| 0.4| 7/4
* Real Estate | 3.0350| 0.5| 22/2
* Communication Services | 1.6997| 0.2| 3/4
* Health Care | -0.1697| -0.1| 3/5
* Utilities | -0.7613| -0.1| 8/7
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
| Index | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors |Points Move|% Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* TD Bank | 21.1300| 1.7| -70.3| 7.4
* Royal Bank of Canada | 18.1800| 1.3| -47.0| 11.1
* Bank of Nova Scotia | 8.7520| 1.1| -64.2| 4.2
* Aritzia | -0.7280| -2.0| -69.0| 11.8
* Brookfield
* Infrastructure | -0.8920| -0.6| -62.4| -3.4
* Fortis | -1.4270| -0.8| -60.7| -4.2

US
US financial markets closed in observance of Martin Luther King Day.
Have a nice evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

In the end, we will remember not the words of our enemies, but the silence of our friends. –Martin Luther King, 1929-1968.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

January 14, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday.
2005: A European space probe sent back the first detailed pictures of the frozen surface of Saturn’s moon, Titan.  Above is a view of Titan’s surface as the Probe was on approach.  Go to article » 

1963: “The Bell Jar” by Sylvia Plath based on the author’s own struggles with mental illness is published by Heinemann in the UK.  The novel ends with the protagonist entering a conference with her doctors, who will decide whether she can leave the hospital and return to school.  The author commits suicide a month later.

1784:  End of the American Revolution.

Coachella 2022 lineup announced.  You can tell how fast you are aging by how many artists you can’t recognize on major festival lineups

Exquisite’ 2,000-year-old Roman figure found during railway excavation.  Archaeology is cool, but so is leaving-cursed-objects-in-the-ground-where-you-found-them-ology! Let’s practice some of that
 
‘Baby Shark’ becomes the first YouTube video to hit 10 billion views.  That’s one view for every time it’s looped through your brain against your will

Homo sapiens may be even older than we thought.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Welsh mountain ponies graze in the mist and rain on the salt marsh near Crofty.
CREDIT: Joann Randles/Cover Images

A beluga whale hunts schools of fish under the frozen surface of Amur Bay, near the Tokarevskiy lighthouse, Russia
CREDIT: Yuri Smityuk/Tass

Migratory birds on a tree in a lake in front of one of the palaces of Iraq’s late deposed president Saddam Hussein, near Baghdad airport, as flocks of birds fly over Iraq in winter searching for warmer territories
CREDIT: Sabah Arar/AFP/Getty Images

Monkeys sit on a roadside in Rajouri, Jammu and Kashmir, India
CREDIT: Nasir Kachroo/NurPhoto/Rex/Shutterstock

A fox is seen in a wintry forest, Kyiv region, central Ukraine
CREDIT: Future Publishing/Getty Images

Market Closes for January 14th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
35911.81 -201.81
-0.56%
S&P 500 4662.85 +3.82
+0.08%
NASDAQ 14893.75 +86.94

+0.59%

TSX 21357.56 +64.60
+0.30%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28124.28 -364.85
-1.28%
HANG
SENG
24383.32 -46.45
-0.19%
SENSEX 61223.03 -12.27
-0.02%
FTSE 100* 7542.95 -20.90

-0.28%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.773 1.704
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.021 1.962
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.7841 1.7041
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  2.1219  2.0427

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7965 0.7992
US
$
1.2556 1.2513
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4329 0.6979
US
$
1.1411 0.8763

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1820.35 1821.40
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 83.82 82.12

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1982, in the depths of recession, Ford Motor said it would skip paying a quarterly dividend for the first time since it went public in 1956. The move would save Ford $36 million per quarter. 
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose 0.3 percent at 21,357.56 in Toronto.

The move follows the previous session’s decrease of 0.5 percent.
Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 3.7 percent.

MEG Energy Corp. had the largest increase, rising 6.5 percent.
Today, 88 of 241 shares rose, while 150 fell; 5 of 11 sectors were higher, led by energy stocks.

Insights
* So far this week, the index rose 1.3 percent
* The index advanced 19 percent in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 20 percent in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 2 percent below its 52-week high on Nov. 16, 2021 and 23.5 percent above its low on Jan. 29, 2021
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.3 on a trailing basis and 15 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.6 percent on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.41t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 11.88 percent compared with 12.31 percent in the previous session and the average of 14.69 percent over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Energy | 40.8851| 1.3| 26/4
* Information Technology | 37.4381| 2.0| 9/7
* Financials | 19.7318| 0.3| 14/14
* Communication Services | 3.5254| 0.3| 6/1
* Health Care | 0.7523| 0.5| 3/5
* Industrials | -3.7108| -0.1| 9/21
* Utilities | -4.5656| -0.5| 2/14
* Consumer Discretionary | -4.6393| -0.6| 5/9
* Consumer Staples | -5.3850| -0.7| 1/10
* Real Estate | -7.4284| -1.2| 2/22
* Materials | -12.0114| -0.5| 11/43
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Shopify | 38.2000| 3.7| 4.2| -20.6
* Royal Bank of Canada | 18.4700| 1.3| 132.9| 9.7
* Canadian Natural Resources | 18.3400| 3.6| 23.2| 21.9
* Intact Financial | -4.2870| -2.2| 72.5| -2.3
* TC Energy | -5.3060| -1.2| -50.2| 6.7
* Brookfield Asset Management | -13.0200| -1.8| -10.6| -6.2

US
By Rita Nazareth and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — Technology companies led a rebound in stocks at the end of a very volatile week, with investors recalibrating their strategies amid growing calls from prominent voices for higher interest rates.
The S&P 500 erased losses in the final few minutes of trading, while the Nasdaq 100 rose as dip buyers resurfaced after the tech-heavy gauge dropped to its lowest since October.
Disappointing trading results from JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Citigroup Inc. weighed on banks, though Wells Fargo & Co. rallied on a bullish forecast for a measure of lending.
Treasury yields climbed alongside the dollar.
JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon said the Federal Reserve could lift rates as many as seven times, warning that tightening won’t necessarily be as “sweet and gentle” as some might expect.

He didn’t specify how quickly that might happen.
Fed Bank of New York President John Williams noted that given the signs of a strong labor market, the central bank is approaching a decision to begin gradually hiking.
His Philadelphia peer Patrick Harker said “three and possibly four increases this year of 25 basis points” are “appropriate.”
“It’s clear the ground is shifting under investors’ feet,” wrote Callie Cox, U.S. investment analyst at eToro. “After all, the Fed’s expectation went from no hikes in 2022 to four in a matter of a few months. This could be a big change in how investors view the risk and reward of different markets. And change can be uncomfortable.”
U.S. retail sales stumbled at the end of 2021, factory output weakened and consumer sentiment deteriorated at the start of the new year, illustrating a loss of traction that many analysts view as temporary. The economy will take an early hit in 2022 from the omicron variant of coronavirus — but the damage shouldn’t last beyond the first quarter, according to Bloomberg’s latest monthly survey of forecasters.
Equities offer the best opportunity to outperform inflation, Goldman Sachs Asset Management said in an Investment Ideas 2022 report.

Cyclical shares — like financials, energy and resources companies — are especially well-suited to benefit from rising prices, it said.
These firms typically excel when the economy is doing well or recovering from a crisis.
Traders also monitored geopolitical news, with the U.S. warning Russian actors are preparing potential sabotage operations against their own forces and fabricating provocations in social media to justify an invasion into Ukraine if diplomacy fails.

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 was little changed as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.7%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.6%
* The MSCI World index fell 0.4%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2%
* The euro fell 0.4% to $1.1414
* The British pound fell 0.2% to $1.3679
* The Japanese yen was unchanged at 114.20 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced eight basis points to 1.78%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced four basis points to -0.05%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced four basis points to 1.15%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 2.7% to $84.30 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.3% to $1,816.40 an ounce

–With assistance from Emily Graffeo.
Have a great weekend.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

We all know that Art is not truth.  Art is a lie that makes us realize truth. –Pablo Picasso, 1881-1973.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

January 13, 2021 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Thursday.

2000:  Microsoft chairman Bill Gates stepped aside as chief executive.   Go to article »

1993: The chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) is signed and becomes effective on 29 April 1997.  It prohibits the large-scale use, development, production, stockpiling and transfer of chemical weapons and their precursors, except for very limited purposes (research, medical, pharmaceutical or protective.)  As of March 2021, 193 states have become parties to the CWC and accept its obligations.  Israel has signed but not ratified the agreement, while three other UN member states (Egypt, North Korea and South Sudan) have neither signed nor acceded to the treaty.

The Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the year’s best TV and film performances, announced their nominees yesterday. Check out the surprises and snubs.

San Francisco’s ‘leaning’ skyscraper tilted up to 3 inches last year.  It’s the Leaning Tower of California! The cost to stabilize the sinking building is an estimated $100 million. 

Prince Charles exhibits dozens of his watercolors, saying painting ‘refreshes the soul’.  I agree, Your Royal Highness. A therapeutic painting session is quite refreshing.

Study finds rationality declined years ago. 

New map of the universe just dropped.

NEW YEARS RESOLUTIONS:
Woodie Guthrie, in his 1942 “New year Rulin’s;”  the 33-part list also includes writing a song each day, loving “mama” and “papa” and helping win the war to beat fascism:
“Work more and better…Wash teeth if any…Bank all extra money…Have company but don’t waste time…Dance better…Love everybody.”

Susan Sontag in a 1972 diary entry; the writer, teacher, documentarian, and political activist opened this entry with three simple words: 
“Kindness, kindness, kindness.”

People have  been making promises since as far back as ancient Mesopotamia that the new year would bring better behavior.  Resolutions may come as simple goals or poignant prayers, but all reflect a universal desire for progress – whether they are kept or not.  Commentary in the January 2, 1904, issue of The Penny Illustrated Paper in London:
“The sum of human experience seems to be that a very large percentage of New Year’s resolutions are quickly broken…A good resolution kept for a time is better than nothing at all.”

PHOTOS OF THE DAY


Children wear masks as they watch a carnival procession from a window. The carnival is held to celebrate the New Year according to the Julian calendar. The festivity is held on 13 and 14 January every year. People in Vevcanci believe that with their masks they banish evil spirits from their lives
CREDIT: Georgi Licovski/EPA

Children play during a heavy snowstorm on Sakhalin Island. Weather reports indicate the year’s first snowstorm has brought 44mm of snow, which is close to the monthly average for January
CREDIT: Sergei Krasnoukhov/Tass

A rare snowy owl sits on the Christopher Columbus memorial fountain near Union Station
CREDIT: Stefani Reynolds/AFP/Getty Images

Market Closes for January 13th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
36113.62 -176.70
-0.49%
S&P 500 4659.03 -67.32
-1.42%
NASDAQ 14806.81 -381.58

-2.51%

TSX 21292.96 -102.04
-0.48%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28489.13 -276.53
-0.96%
HANG
SENG
24429.77 +27.60
+0.11%
SENSEX 61235.30 +85.26
+0.14%
FTSE 100* 7563.85 +12.13

+0.16%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.704 1.731
CND.
30 Year
Bond
1.962 1.991
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.7041 1.7428
U.S.
30 Year Bond
 2.0427   2.0861

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7992 0.7997
US
$
1.2513 1.2505
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4336 0.6975
US
$
1.1457 0.8728

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1821.40 1806.80
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 82.12 82.64

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1937, the first shipment of gold was received at the Fort Knox Bullion Depository, the official gold vault of the U.S.
Canada
By Stefanie Marotta
(Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell as companies in the technology sector sunk to their lowest point in nearly eight months as pressure rises on the U.S. Federal Reserve to tamper inflation.

The S&P/TSX Composite fell 0.5% at 21,292.96 in Toronto.
The move was the biggest since falling 0.9% on Jan. 5 and follows the previous session’s increase of 0.6.
Today, information technology stocks led the market lower, as 6 of 11 sectors lost; 134 of 241 shares fell, while 102 rose.
Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 8.8% to its lowest point since May 2021.

Energy Fuels Inc/Canada had the largest drop, falling 10.2%.
Insights
* So far this week, the index rose 1%
* The index advanced 19% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 19% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 2.3% below its 52-week high on Nov. 16, 2021 and 23.1% above its low on Jan. 29, 2021

* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 1% in the past 5 days and rose 2.6% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.2 on a trailing basis and 15.1 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.6% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.42t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 12.31% compared with 14.24% in the previous session and the average of 14.80% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Information Technology| -109.0132| -5.5| 4/12
* Materials | -31.3941| -1.3| 12/43
* Energy | -8.2994| -0.3| 6/25
* Health Care | -4.3444| -2.7| 0/8
* Consumer Staples | -2.9476| -0.4| 3/8
* Utilities | -1.2063| -0.1| 6/10
* Real Estate | 1.2855| 0.2| 17/6
* Communication Services| 5.2101| 0.5| 6/1
* Industrials | 6.3572| 0.3| 19/10
* Consumer Discretionary| 14.7818| 1.9| 10/4
* Financials | 27.5306| 0.4| 19/7
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
| Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move |% Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Shopify | -100.4000| -8.8| 28.9| -23.5
* Brookfield Asset Management | -7.1090| -1.0| -39.7| -4.5
* Nutrien | -5.9540| -1.7| -52.7| -6.5
* CIBC | 7.9680| 1.6| -23.1| 11.0
* Canadian Natural Resources | 9.6950| 1.9| 15.2| 17.7
* Canadian Pacific | 10.9600| 1.8| -63.4| 6.0

US
By Rita Nazareth, Peyton Forte and Emily Graffeo
(Bloomberg) — Technology companies led stock losses amid widespread calls from Federal Reserve officials to raise rates to prevent inflation from taking root in the U.S. economy.
Traders also assessed news that a divided Supreme Court blocked the centerpiece of President Joe Biden’s push to get more people vaccinated, rejecting a rule that would have required 80 million workers to get shots or periodic tests.

The Nasdaq 100 sank more than 2.5%, led by losses in Microsoft Corp. and Tesla Inc.
Chipmakers erased gains that were earlier driven by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.’s growth projections.
Boeing Co. rallied as Bloomberg News reported the 737 Max is set to resume commercial flights in China as soon as this month.
Fed Governor Lael Brainard said officials could boost rates as early as March to ensure that generation-high price pressures are brought under control.

Fed Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker favors a March liftoff and three or four hikes for 2022.
His Chicago counterpart Charles Evans — who sees a similar number of increases this year — said he couldn’t judge the likelihood of the first raise taking place in two months’ time.
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said officials will be in a position to start normalizing rates at their March meeting should circumstances support that.
“We are in a position where much that has been positive for equities is maybe moving to neutral or negative, and while there are still few alternatives, it makes the equity market ripe for more fluctuations over the next few months as we see how the data shake out and how the Fed reacts,” said Sarah Hunt, portfolio manager at Alpine Woods Capital Investors.
Rising rates — an upshot of strong economic growth –could drive investors toward value stocks, which tend to be more cyclical and offer near-term cash flows.

That leaves growth shares wanting for buyers.
The long-term earnings potential of
the relatively expensive technology companies could become less appealing amid elevated inflation.
“Tech is the classic example of an area where stocks have really benefited from the decline in rates,” said Kara Murphy, chief investment officer of Kestra Investment Management. “As expectations rise for rates going forward, then it makes sense that would be the area that would get hurt more.”
Prices paid to U.S. producers decelerated in December as two key drivers of inflation in 2021 — food and energy — declined from a month earlier, representing a respite in the recent trend of sizable increases. At the same time, producers continued to face a variety of materials shortages, limited labor supply and transportation bottlenecks that sent prices soaring last year.

Morgan Stanley clients expect financial stocks to outperform this year, according to a survey at its annual conference this week.
The poll shows that 45% of respondents bet the industry will be the best performer in 2022.
That’s the highest share of the votes for the sector since 2015, the firm said in a note Thursday.
Here are some key events this week:
* Bank of Korea policy decision and briefing on Friday.
* Wells Fargo, Citigroup, JPMorgan due to report earnings on Friday.
* U.S. business inventories, industrial production, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, retail sales on Friday.
* New York Fed President John Williams speaks Friday.

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 1.4% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 2.6%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5%
* The MSCI World index fell 1%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
* The euro was little changed at $1.1452
* The British pound was little changed at $1.3705
* The Japanese yen rose 0.4% to 114.14 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined four basis points to 1.70%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined three basis points to -0.09%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined three basis points to 1.11%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 1.4% to $81.46 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.3% to $1,821.20 an ounce
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Cecile Gutscher, Nikos Chrysoloras and Vildana Hajric.

Have a  lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

To be amiable in society, one must allow oneself to be told what one already knows. –Charles-Maurice de Talleyrand-Périgord, Prince of Benevento, 1754-1838.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

January 12, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
1948: The first Supermarket in the UK opens, the London Co-operative Society.  While Americans had been helping themselves since the 1930s, self-service didn’t come to Britain until after the Second World War. (although the London Co-op ran a trial in 1942).

1969: Led Zeppelin’s self-titled first album was released. Go to article »

1755:  Tsarina Elizabeth establishes first Russian University.

Oreo is celebrating its 110th birthday with a first-ever flavor.  Name a better duo than Oreos and milk. I’ll wait.

Mark Wahlberg launched a tequila. He plans to make it No. 1.  The A-list actor is the latest mega-celebrity getting into the booze business.

Residential cruise ship offering an all-inclusive life at sea.  Now, that sounds like a really suite life… minus the motion sickness.

The 2022 Mercedes-Benz SL is nothing like its predecessors.

A new large-scale study found that being physically active halves the risk of developing clinical anxiety over time.
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A pedestrian walks through the mist in a park in east London
CREDIT: Akira Suemori/REX/Shutterstock

A worker prepares bundles of incense sticks ahead of lunar new year celebrations
CREDIT: Nhac Nguyen/AFP/Getty Images

A woman takes her children for a walk during a heavy snowstorm
CREDIT: Nikolai Mikhalchenko/TASS/Getty Images

Market Closes for January 12th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
36290.32 +38.30
+0.11%
S&P 500 4726.35 +13.28
+0.28%
NASDAQ 15188.39 +34.94

+0.23%

TSX 21395.00 +120.19
+0.56%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28765.66 +543.18
+1.92%
HANG
SENG
24402.17 +663.11
+2.79%
SENSEX 61150.04 +533.15
+0.88%
FTSE 100* 7551.72 +60.35

+0.81%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.731 1.710
CND.
30 Year
Bond
1.991 1.958
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.7428 1.7374
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  2.0861   2.0672

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7997 0.7953
US
$
1.2505 1.2575
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4308 0.6989
US
$
1.1442 0.8740

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1806.80 1794.20
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 82.64 81.22

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1914, Henry Ford said he would share Ford Motor’s profits with its workers by raising wages from $2.34 for a nine-hour day to $5.00 for an eight-hour day. He hoped his own workers would be able to afford to buy their own Fords. Within two years, Ford went on to produce its 1,000,000th car.
Canada
By Stefanie Marotta
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities climbed as the materials sector soared to its highest point in more than a month and energy rose.
The S&P/TSX Composite gained for the second day, climbing 0.6% or 120.19 points to 21,395.00 in Toronto.

The index advanced to the highest closing level since Nov. 25.
First Quantum Minerals Ltd. contributed the most to the index gain and had the largest move, increasing 9.6%.
Today, 142 of 241 shares rose, while 95 fell; 6 of 11 sectors were higher, led by materials stocks.

Insights
* The index advanced 19 percent in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 22 percent in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 1.8 percent below its 52-week high on Nov. 16, 2021 and 23.7 percent above its low on Jan. 29, 2021
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 1.7 percent in the past 5 days and rose 2.4 percent in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.3 on a trailing basis and 15.2 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.6 percent on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.4t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 14.24 percent compared with 14.15 percent in the previous session and the average of 14.93 cent over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Materials | 54.9076| 2.3| 47/7
* Financials | 34.0473| 0.5| 19/9
* Energy | 29.2774| 1.0| 24/8
* Information Technology | 4.5973| 0.2| 9/6
* Consumer Staples | 4.2870| 0.6| 5/6
* Industrials | 3.7219| 0.1| 15/15
* Utilities | -0.3993| 0.0| 10/6
* Communication Services | -1.8750| -0.2| 3/4
* Real Estate | -2.1238| -0.3| 5/18
* Consumer Discretionary | -2.4254| -0.3| 5/8
* Health Care | -3.8154| -2.3| 0/8
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* First Quantum Minerals | 12.0200| 9.6| 142.9| 19.5
* Royal Bank of Canada | 11.7300| 0.8| 35.1| 8.0
* TD Bank | 9.7510| 0.8| 21.9| 4.6
* Brookfield Renewable Partners | -1.4430| -2.4| 91.9| -6.6
* Descartes Systems | -1.6020| -2.9| -36.6| -12.5
* Restaurant Brands | -4.1060| -2.5| -28.7| -4.9

US
By Rita Nazareth and Cecile Gutscher
(Bloomberg) — Stocks rose as a report showing the fastest inflation in about four decades was roughly in line with market expectations, with traders keeping their bets on a rate hike in March.
Commodity and retail companies led gains in the S&P 500.
Electric-vehicle maker Tesla Inc. and Google’s parent Alphabet Inc. paced a rally in mega-caps.

Financial shares underperformed, with major banks set to report their results Friday.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley tumbled, while Jefferies Financial Group Inc. slid after saying fixed-income trading revenue plunged 50% from a year earlier.
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index had its worst session since May.
The bond market reaction to the inflation data was fairly muted in part because yields have already surged since the start of the year, with traders bracing for the Federal Reserve to begin raising rates.

Ahead of the report, positioning in the broad Treasury market was the most net-bearish since late 2017, according to the latest survey by JPMorgan Chase & Co.
The U.S. economy grew at a modest pace in the final weeks of last year, but businesses’ expectations for growth over the next several months have cooled in some places, the Fed said in its Beige Book survey. During a Wall Street Journal Live event streamed on Twitter, Fed Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester said “the case is very compelling that we remove accommodation.”

Comments:
* “Wall Street was worried that a much hotter inflation report could have not only cemented four Fed rate hikes this year, but potentially made the May FOMC meeting a possibility for when the balance-sheet runoff could start,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, referring to the Federal Open Market Committee.
* “Fears about higher and persistent inflation have been well telegraphed in recent months. Today’s rise in the rate of inflation falls within investors’ expectations,” said Richard Flynn, managing director at Charles Schwab U.K.
* “Bond markets are currently pricing in about a 90% probability that the Fed delivers four rate hikes in 2022, and today’s inflation data should not dissuade the central bank from delivering the first of those hikes in March,” said Jai Malhi, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Here are some key events this week:
* U.S. initial jobless claims, PPI on Thursday.
* U.S. Senate Banking Committee hearing for Lael Brainard, nominated as Fed vice-chair on Thursday.
* Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker,
* Chicago Fed President Charles Evans speak on Thursday.
* Bank of Korea policy decision and briefing on Friday.
* Wells Fargo, Citigroup, JPMorgan due to report earnings on Friday.
* U.S. business inventories, industrial production, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, retail sales on Friday.
* New York Fed President John Williams speaks Friday.

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.3% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.4%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.1%
* The MSCI World index rose 0.9%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.6%
* The euro rose 0.7% to $1.1450
* The British pound rose 0.6% to $1.3711
* The Japanese yen rose 0.7% to 114.55 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 1.74%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined three basis points to -0.06%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined three basis points to 1.14%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.8% to $82.71 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 0.5% to $1,827.10 an ounce
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Vildana Hajric, Emily Graffeo and Payne Lubbers.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

The basic experience of everyone is the experience of human limitation. -Flannery O’Connor, 1925-1964.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

January 11, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
1569: First recorded lottery in England is drawn in St. Paul’s Cathedral.  Every ticket was guaranteed a prize, and that made for lot of waiting around – until May 6th, to be precise.  Prizes ranged from silver plate and tapestries to a £5000 jackpot.

On Jan. 11, 1964, the United States surgeon general reported that cigarettes cause lung cancer. Go to article »

1964: Cigarettes declared hazardous.

Theodosius, emperor, b. 347.
Alexander Hamilton, statesman, b. 1755.
William James, philosopher, b. 1842.

Maya Angelou becomes first Black woman to appear on US quarter.  Distribution of the coin showcasing the legendary poet and activist began yesterday. 

Giant ‘sea dragon’ fossil found in UK reservoir.  Oh, nature… how can you be so remarkable and yet so terrifying at the same time?

Rolls-Royce and Bentley post record sales in 2021.  More money, less problems. The pandemic didn’t faze these ultra-luxury car brands.

2022 is the year of modern space travel.  Add “hitch a ride on a rocket” to your bucket list! Orbital tourism is a top priority for the space industry this year. 

Fifty-seven-year-old man is alive and well with a heart from a gene-edited pig.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

The northern lights streak through the sky over forest tundra in the north-west Arctic
CREDIT: Lev Fedoseyev/Tass

The city is blanketed under fog in a photograph taken from the al-Hamra Tower
CREDIT: Yasser Al-Zayyat/AFP/Getty Images

A Roman female deity scale weight uncovered during the HS2 archaeology excavation at Blackgrounds in Northamptonshire, one of the most significant sites on the project to date
CREDIT: HS2/PA

Market Closes for January 11th, 2021

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
36252.02 +183.15
+0.51%
S&P 500 4713.07 +42.78
+0.92%
NASDAQ 15153.45 +210.62

+1.41%

TSX 21274.81 +202.49
+0.96%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28222.48 -256.08
-0.90%
HANG
SENG
23739.06 -7.48
-0.03%
SENSEX 60616.89 +221.26
+0.37%
FTSE 100* 7491.37 +46.12

+0.62%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.710 1.713
CND.
30 Year
Bond
1.958 1.954
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.7374 1.7603
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  2.0672   2.0890

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7953 0.7887
US
$
1.2575 1.2679
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4295 0.6996
US
$
1.1368 0.8797

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1794.20 1792.60
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 81.22 78.23

Market Commentary:
A bank is a place where they lend you an umbrella in fair weather and ask for it back again when it begins to rain. -Robert Frost.
Canada
By Stefanie Marotta
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities climbed, led higher by gains in the energy and materials sectors, after the U.S. Federal Reserve said it will manage inflation as the economy rebounds.

The S&P/TSX Composite rose 1 percent at 21,274.81 in Toronto.
The move was the biggest advance since rising 1.9 percent on Dec. 21 and follows the previous session’s decrease of 0.1 percent.
Brookfield Asset Management Inc. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.7 percent.

Lithium Americas Corp. had the largest increase, rising 13.0 percent.
Today, 191 of 241 shares rose, while 46 fell; 8 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* In the past year, the index had a similar or greater gain 19 times. The next day, it advanced 12 times for an average 0.6 percent and declined seven times for an average 0.6 percent
* The index advanced 19 percent in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 21 percent in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 2.4 percent below its 52-week high on Nov. 16, 2021 and 23 percent above its low on Jan. 29, 2021
* The S&P/TSX Composite is little changed in the past 5 days and rose 1.8 percent in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.2 on a trailing basis and 15.1 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.6 percent on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.37t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 14.15 percent compared with 15.43 percent in the previous session and the average of 14.97 percent over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Financials | 81.0631| 1.2| 26/1
* Energy | 57.3216| 1.9| 30/2
* Materials | 36.9228| 1.6| 51/4
* Information Technology | 27.7262| 1.4| 14/2
* Health Care | 4.2366| 2.6| 6/1
* Real Estate | 4.1683| 0.7| 17/6
* Consumer Discretionary | 3.9363| 0.5| 11/3
* Communication Services | 1.8344| 0.2| 4/3
* Consumer Staples | -1.5532| -0.2| 4/7
* Utilities | -4.0496| -0.4| 5/11
* Industrials | -9.1049| -0.4| 23/6
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Brookfield Asset Management | 19.2200| 2.7| -34.4| -3.5
* Shopify | 17.8300| 1.6| -18.5| -16.4
* Suncor Energy | 14.6700| 4.4| 26.6| 11.2
* Gildan Activewear | -1.8890| -2.7| 8.7| -4.4
* Canadian National | -6.4640| -1.0| -19.1| -1.0
* Canadian Pacific | -12.8100| -2.1| -57.2| 3.4

US
By Rita Nazareth and Emily Graffeo
(Bloomberg) — Stocks climbed after Jerome Powell reassured investors that the Federal Reserve is going to tamp down inflation as the economy rebounds, while signaling the central bank will probably start shrinking its balance sheet in 2022.
The S&P 500 halted a five-day slide, the Nasdaq 100 outperformed major benchmarks and dollar fell. The Fed chief told the Senate Banking Committee that officials won’t hesitate to act if needed to contain price pressures.

“If we have to raise interest rates more over time, we will,” he noted.
Noting that the economy was in a much stronger position than the last time the central bank shrank its balance sheet, Powell said no decisions had been made, but it would be quicker this time around.
“I’ve referred to Powell before as Goldilocks in a suit, and to a certain extent, I think he played that role once again,” said Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. “While he made the right noises about constraining the balance sheet and fighting inflation, he was very careful to balance that out with a general tone that indicated ultimately, ‘Yes I’m concerned about the market reaction to all of these
plans that we have’.”
Powell’s remarks follow comments from other officials favoring a start to shrinking the Fed’s $8.77 trillion balance sheet fairly soon after they begin raising rates.

Past experience shows that how the Fed manages its balance sheet matters, although the U.S. central bank has also adapted and in July 2021 it created two standing repo facilities to help ease
money-market pressures at times of stress.
In corporate news, CVS Health Corp. said its full-year adjusted earnings for 2021 would be in a higher range than currently expected by analysts.

American Airlines Group Inc. will report higher revenue in the fourth quarter than analysts expected as the carrier’s main operations escaped the worst of winter holiday cancellations.
International Business Machines Corp. was downgraded to sell at UBS Group AG.
Unfazed by the stock market’s bumpy start to the year, strategists from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to UBS Global Wealth Management reiterated their bullish calls on bets that equities can weather higher rates and rising bond yields.
“The selloff in some long-duration, high-quality names might be overdone soon,” wrote Goldman strategists led by Cecilia Mariotti. With real yields not expected to move much higher, “valuations are unlikely to become a binding constraint for equities.”

Here are some key events this week:
* EIA crude oil inventory report on Wednesday.
* China PPI, CPI on Wednesday.
* U.S. CPI, Fed Beige Book on Wednesday.
* U.S. initial jobless claims, PPI on Thursday.
* U.S. Senate Banking Committee hearing for Lael Brainard, nominated as Fed vice-chair on Thursday.
* Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker,
* Chicago Fed President Charles Evans speak on Thursday.
* Bank of Korea policy decision and briefing on Friday.
* Wells Fargo, Citigroup, JPMorgan due to report earnings on Friday.
* U.S. business inventories, industrial production, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, retail sales on Friday.
* New York Fed President John Williams speaks Friday.

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.9% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 1.5%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.5%
* The MSCI World index rose 0.9%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.3%
* The euro rose 0.4% to $1.1366
* The British pound rose 0.4% to $1.3630
* The Japanese yen was little changed at 115.30 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined two basis points to 1.74%
* Germany’s 10-year yield was little changed at -0.03%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to 1.17%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 4.2% to $81.48 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 1.3% to $1,822.40 an ounce
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc and Cecile Gutscher.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

Every moment is a fresh beginning. -T.S. Eliot, 1888-1965.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

January 10, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Coming of Age Day, Japan.
2000 America Online agreed to buy Time-Warner for $162 billion. (Time-Warner decided to spin off AOL in 2009.)  Go to article »

1920: League of Nations founded.

$8M tourist attraction to close after just six disappointing months.  A massive grass mound in the middle of the city wasn’t London’s cup of tea. 

Winners of the Golden Globes announcedNetflix and HBO were the big winners. Too bad there was no audience or celebrities there to cheer them on.

The world’s best-performing airline has been revealed.  Hint: SkyMiles!

The Isle of Rum gets some fresh blood.

 

The remote island in the Scottish Hebrides has no doctors, one shop, and the nearest pub is 10 miles away by boat. It also has four new families who have stuck it out through torrential rain and biting flies, bringing its population to about 40.
Just a couple of years ago, this isolated outpost had fewer than two dozen residents. So the islanders, heavily outnumbered by deer, appealed for newcomers to apply to join them.

 

From around 400 applications judged to be serious, four couples were selected, most with young children. The new arrivals seem to have embraced Rum’s tranquillity but, with so few people, social interactions can be intense. “We always say that in some ways it’s not remote enough,” one new resident joked. -from The New York Times.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Women in kimonos leave a coming-of-age ceremony at Yokohama Arena. Coming of Age Day is a Japanese holiday held every January to celebrate those who have reached 20, the official age of adulthood in Japan
CREDIT: Carl Court/Getty Images

Momix Dance Theater performers at the Brown Theatre
CREDIT: Stephen J Cohen/Getty Images

Pope Francis delivers what has come to be known as his ‘state of the world’ address to diplomats from more than 180 countries
CREDIT: Vatican Media/Reuters

Market Closes for January 10th, 2021

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
36068.87 -162.79
-0.45%
S&P 500 4670.29 -6.74
-0.14%
NASDAQ 14942.83 +6.93

+0.05%

TSX 21072.32 -12.13
-0.06%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28478.56 -9.31
-0.03%
HANG
SENG
23746.54 +253.16
+1.08%
SENSEX 60395.63 +650.98
+1.09%
FTSE 100* 7445.25 -40.03

-0.53%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.713 1.720
CND.
30 Year
Bond
1.954 1.969
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.7603 1.7620
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  2.0890  2.1167

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7887 0.7909
US
$
1.2679 1.2644
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4364 0.6962
US
$
1.1329 0.8827

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1792.60 1789.35
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 78.23 78.90

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1910, Joyce C. Hall, a teenage boy from Norfolk, Neb., opened a new business, storing his inventory in a room at the YMCA in Kansas City.  He began selling illustrated postcards by mail-order, but soon hit on the idea of what he called “greeting cards.” He did $200 in business his first two months, and Hallmark was born—making prepackaged emotion and good wishes a part of American life.
Canada
By Stefanie Marotta
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities fell slightly, weighed down by losses in industrials and real estate stocks.

The S&P/TSX Composite declined 0.06% to 21,072.32 in Toronto.
The move follows the previous session’s increase of 0.1 percent.
Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 0.9 percent.

Goeasy Ltd. had the largest drop, falling 4.7 percent.
Today, 149 of 241 shares fell, while 91 rose; 7 of 11 sectors were lower, led by industrials stocks.

Insights
* The index advanced 17 percent in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 19 percent in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 3.3 percent below its 52-week high on Nov. 16, 2021 and 21.8 percent above its low on Jan. 29, 2021
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 0.7 percent in the past 5 days and rose 0.9 percent in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.1 on a trailing basis and 15 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.6 percent on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.38t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 15.43 percent compared with 15.47 percent in the previous session and the average of 14.96 percent over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Industrials | -23.6705| -0.9| 4/26
* Financials | -17.7606| -0.3| 6/22
* Information Technology | -12.0154| -0.6| 3/13
* Real Estate | -4.1723| -0.7| 3/21
* Consumer Discretionary | -1.5903| -0.2| 5/9
* Utilities | -0.8420| -0.1| 3/13
* Communication Services | -0.7176| -0.1| 5/2
* Consumer Staples | 1.9682| 0.3| 3/8
* Health Care | 2.5966| 1.6| 4/4
* Energy | 8.0807| 0.3| 16/15
* Materials | 36.0038| 1.5| 39/16
================================================================
| | |Volume VS | YTD
| Index | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Shopify | -9.5780| -0.9| 25.0| -17.7
* Brookfield Asset Management | -7.3090| -1.0| 29.1| -6.0
* TD Bank | -5.1250| -0.4| 42.4| 2.8
* Franco-Nevada | 7.5920| 3.6| -9.6| -4.7
* Royal Bank of Canada| 7.6230| 0.6| 40.1| 6.2
* Barrick Gold | 8.5380| 3.1| 49.1| -1.9

US
By Rita Nazareth and Katie Greifeld
(Bloomberg) — Stocks rebounded as dip buyers emerged to blunt a five-day selloff — the longest losing streak since September.
After sinking 2% earlier Monday, the S&P 500 almost wiped out its losses, buoyed by signs that the omicron coronavirus variant may be peaking in New York.

The Nasdaq 100 turned green after the gauge of giants like Apple Inc. and Microsoft Corp. dropped as much as 8.5% from its November record.
Investors have been on edge as the Federal Reserve prepares to raise rates and the resurgent virus threatens economic growth.
“There are some real risks around rate hikes and whatnot, but if you look at some of the major tech companies that are falling, these companies have a massive cash moat,” Sylvia Jablonski, chief investment officer for Defiance ETFs, said on Bloomberg’s “QuickTake Stock” streaming program. “We’re in a fairly good spot, and these are great buy-on-the-dip opportunities right now.”

The Fed will likely raise rates four times this year and will start its balance-sheet runoff process in July, if not earlier, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
A key measure of U.S. inflation — set to be released Wednesday — is anticipated to have increased further in December, putting additional pressure on the central bank to tighten policy.
In the past three decades, there have been four distinct periods of rate-hike cycles by the Fed.

On average, technology, which has been under pressure amid prospects of earlier and faster rate increases, is among the best-performing sectors during those cycles, according to Strategas Securities.
Here are some key events this week:
* Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s confirmation hearing in the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday.
* Kansas City Fed President Esther George and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard speak on Tuesday.
* EIA crude oil inventory report on Wednesday.
* China PPI, CPI on Wednesday.
* U.S. CPI, Fed Beige Book on Wednesday.
* U.S. initial jobless claims, PPI on Thursday.
* U.S. Senate Banking Committee hearing for Lael Brainard, nominated as Fed vice-chair on Thursday.
* Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker,
* Chicago Fed President Charles Evans speak on Thursday.
* Bank of Korea policy decision and briefing on Friday.
* Wells Fargo, Citigroup, JPMorgan due to report earnings on Friday.
* U.S. business inventories, industrial production, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, retail sales on Friday.
* New York Fed President John Williams speaks Friday.

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 0.1% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.1%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4%
* The MSCI World index fell 0.2%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.1%
* The euro fell 0.3% to $1.1329
* The British pound was little changed at $1.3577
* The Japanese yen rose 0.3% to 115.23 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 1.76%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced one basis point to -0.03%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced one basis point to 1.19%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.7% to $78.33 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 0.2% to $1,800.90 an ounce
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Cecile Gutscher, Emily Graffeo and Vildana Hajric.

Have a nice evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

We sought the essential source of strength in every great historical figure – and discovered ten super-powers. 
Simplicity.  Humility.  Humor.  Creativity.  Courage.  Love.  Gratitude.  Fun.  Authenticity.  Optimism.  Throughout world history,
no great people were pessimists, no one who consumed himself with all the things that were wrong with the world
ever achieved anything of lasting value. -Eric Peters, Weekend Notes, December 296, 2021.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

January 7, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday.
1989: Japanese Emperor Hirohito died at age 87.  Go to article »

2015: Two gunmen commit mass murder at the offices of Charlie Hebdo in Paris, shooting twelve people execution style, and wounding eleven others.

A Los Angeles mega mansion could sell for $295 million.  The property has five swimming pools and a moat – because who doesn’t need a moat?

BMW introduces color-changing concept SUV.  It’s basically like picking an outfit every day, but for your car.

Omicron may be the beginning of the end of the pandemic.

Some Eurasian words point to common linguistic ancestors as old as the Ice Age.

Drop a raindrop anywhere in the world and see where it goes.

RIP, Sidney Poitier.
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Kelvingrove Park under heavy snow amid a Met Office warning of snow stretching from the Highlands through to Glasgow and Edinburgh
CREDIT: Ewan Bootman/REX/Shutterstock

Handout picture released by the Galapagos National Park showing a fissure of the Wolf Volcano after it erupted for the second time in seven year
CREDIT: PARQUE NACIONAL GALAPAGOS/AFP/Getty Images

Surfer Will Santana from Brazil rides a wave during a session at Praia do Norte
CREDIT: Octavio Passos/Getty Images

Market Closes for January 7th, 2021

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
36231.66 -4.81
-0.01%
S&P 500 4677.03 -19.02
-0.41%
NASDAQ 14935.90 -144.97

-0.96%

TSX 21084.45 +12.25
+0.06%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28478.56 -9.31
-0.03%
HANG
SENG
23493.38 +420.52
+1.82%
SENSEX 59744.65 +142.81
+0.24%
FTSE 100* 7485.28 +34.91

+0.47%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.720 1.701
CND.
30 Year
Bond
1.969 1.924
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.7620 1.7211
U.S.
30 Year Bond
 2.1167   2.0758

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7909 0.7858
US
$
0.2644 1.2726
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4365 0.6961
US
$
1.1361 0.8802

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1789.35 1826.25
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 78.90 79.46

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1825, the nation’s first great nonfinancial IPO was sold, as the Delaware & Hudson Canal Co. went public at $100 per share. The stock hit $112 that May, slid to $71 over the next three years, then went on to be a stable growth stock for decades.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite advanced slightly to 21,084.45 in Toronto.
Royal Bank of Canada contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 1.4 percent.

Energy Fuels Inc/Canada had the largest increase, rising 6.1 percent.
Today, 112 of 241 shares rose, while 125 fell; 5 of 11 sectors were higher, led by energy stocks.

Insights
* So far this week, the index fell 0.7 percent
* The index advanced 17 percent in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 20 percent in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 3.3 percent below its 52-week high on Nov. 16, 2021 and 21.9 percent above its low on Jan. 29, 2021
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.1 on a trailing basis and 15 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.6 percent on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.37t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 15.47 percent compared with 15.55 percent in the previous session and the average of 14.89 percent over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Energy | 32.9464| 1.1| 22/10
* Financials | 30.6541| 0.4| 20/8
* Industrials | 6.3433| 0.3| 10/20
* Health Care | 1.2376| 0.8| 5/3
* Materials | 0.7123| 0.0| 23/28
* Communication Services | -0.7050| -0.1| 4/3
* Utilities | -2.8129| -0.3| 6/10
* Real Estate | -4.2718| -0.7| 11/13
* Consumer Discretionary | -5.1980| -0.7| 4/10
* Consumer Staples | -6.0761| -0.8| 3/8
* Information Technology | -40.5996| -2.0| 4/12
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Royal Bank of Canada | 18.9600| 1.4| -5.2| 5.6
* Canadian Pacific | 13.0000| 2.2| -52.4| 5.3
* Canadian Natural Resources | 12.6000| 2.7| -36.2| 11.8
* Waste Connections | -4.1810| -1.4| -36.4| -4.5
* Brookfield Asset Management | -6.7090| -0.9| -37.7| -5.0
* Shopify | -32.1800| -2.8| 32.3| -17.0

US
By Emily Graffeo and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, with the S&P 500 posting the worst start to a year since 2016, amid concern the Federal Reserve will be forced to raise rates faster than some investors had anticipated.
After a record close for the S&P 500 on Monday, declines in mega caps such as Tesla Inc., Nvidia Corp. and Alphabet Inc. on Friday left the benchmark ending the start of the new year down 1.9% on the week. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 closed down more than 4% on the week.
A hawkish stance in minutes of Fed’s December meeting released mid-week fueled the selloff and a mixed hiring report did little to assuage concerns about a rate hike as early as March.

Overnight index swaps are pricing in about an 88% chance of an interest-rate hike that month, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
“Overall, this print had mixed messaging,” said Anu Gaggar, global investment strategist for Commonwealth Financial Network.
But “the combination of the decline in unemployment rate to below Fed’s long-term equilibrium level and acceleration in wage growth brings the Fed’s March meeting in play for the first-rate hike of this cycle.”
The December jobs data showed employers added fewer staff than expected while wages rose more than forecast and unemployment dropped below 4%.
Treasury yields have climbed across the board, with the five-year rate rising to pre-pandemic levels, topping 1.50%.

The two-year rate pushed above 0.90%, heading for the biggest weekly spike since October 2019.
The benchmark 10-year yield surpassed the 2021 high, to just shy of 1.80%.

“If the 10-year breaks above 2% on a sustained basis, that to me is an indication that investors are really starting to get worried about sustained inflation,” said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network.
An overtly hawkish stance from the Fed has roiled financial markets at the start of a new year, with investors reassessing how to price assets in an environment of rising interest rates.
The removal of crisis-era accommodation marks a shift not seen in at least three years, a time that also saw a spike in volatility.
While high-growth techs took the brunt of the selloff this week, value stocks have benefited as hedge funds load up on these stocks and dump expensive names, helping fuel the sharpest
stock rotation since March.
“2022 has not seen its usual start of the year rally,” said Florian Ielpo, head of macro at Lombard Odier Asset Management.
“The first week of January is usually a week of positive equity performance: this time, equities declined and value took it all.”
Comments by regional Fed presidents provided some additional insight this week as traders attempted to predict a possible schedule for tightening.
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said Friday she favored raising interest rates “gradually” and moving on to shrinking the Fed’s balance sheet more quickly than in the last tightening round.
St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, a more hawkish policy maker, said in a speech Thursday the central bank could raise its target interest rate as soon as March.
Europe’s equity benchmark ended lower Friday, to open the year with a down week.

Consumer prices in the euro area jumped 5% from a year earlier in December, adding pressure on the European Central Bank to join a growing legion of central banks from the Fed to the Bank of England in tightening monetary conditions.
The euro advanced against a broadly weaker dollar.
What to watch this week:
* ECB’s Schnabel speaks on a panel Saturday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 0.4% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 1.1%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average was little changed
* The MSCI World index was little changed

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.5%
* The euro rose 0.6% to $1.1360
* The British pound rose 0.5% to $1.3594
* The Japanese yen rose 0.2% to 115.56 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced five basis points to 1.77%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to -0.04%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to 1.18%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.5% to $79.09 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 0.3% to $1,794.40 an ounce
–With assistance from Srinivasan Sivabalan, Joanna Ossinger and Denitsa Tsekova.

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

Know, my son, with how little wisdom the world is governed. –Count Axel Oxenstierna, 1583-1654.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com