August 25, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday Eve.
On Aug. 25, 1944, Paris was liberated by Allied forces after four years of Nazi occupation.  Go to article »
August 25, 1958: Momofuku Ando markets the first package of precooked instant noodles (Chikin Ramen).
1939: The Wizard of Oz is released.

Leornard Bernstein composer, b.1918
Sean Connery, actor, b. 1930.
Elvis Costello, musician, b. 1954
Claudia Schiffer, model, b. 1970

Party City is hiring 20,000 people, expecting an epic Halloween.  Get your costumes early. Halloween celebrations are anticipated to return with pre-pandemic fervor.

Inside Flightradar24, the website that tracks every plane in the sky.  This website was founded “completely by accident.” Now, it tracks the real-time movements of more than 200,000 planes every day.

Watch this baby elephant play with bubbles.  This 10-month-old elephant at the Fort Worth Zoo is 1,090 pounds of cuteness. Watch the video here.

7 million years ago, our earliest relatives took their first steps on 2 feet:  The oldest known human-like species likely walked on two legs as far back as 7 million years ago, a new study finds, and the discovery sheds light on what first set humans apart from our ape relatives.  Researchers analyzed a thigh bone (femur) and a pair of forearm bones (ulnae) from Sahelanthropus tchadensis, which may be the oldest known hominin — a relative of humans dating from after our ancestors split from those of modern apes — according to the Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History. First unearthed in Chad in north central Africa in 2001, the remains are about 7 million years old.
Full Story: Live Science (8/25) 

Broken fortress discovered under ‘mega-monument’ burial mound in Cyprus:  Archaeologists excavating an enormous ancient burial mound in Cyprus have uncovered an even older structure hidden beneath it: a rampart, or part of a defensive wall, according to a statement from the Department of Antiquities Cyprus.  The large mound, known as the tumulus of Laona, is longer than a football field, or 328 feet long by 196 feet wide (100 by 60 meters) and was likely built around the third century B.C., when the successors of Alexander the Great were fighting for control of Cyprus and large swaths of the empire.  Full Story: Live Science (8/24) 

Could a solar storm ever destroy Earth?  All life on Earth owes its existence to the sun’s radiant heat. But what happens when that radiation surges out of control, and billions of tons of charged solar material suddenly barrel our way at thousands of miles a second? What happens when Earth takes a direct hit from a solar flare — and could a strong enough one ever destroy life on our planet as we know it?   The answers are complicated, but most scientists agree on one thing: Earth’s magnetic field and insulating atmosphere keep us extremely well protected from even the most powerful solar outbursts. While solar storms can tamper with radar and radio systems or knock satellites offline, the most harmful radiation is sopped up in the sky long before it touches human skin.  Full Story: Live Science (8/25) 

It took two photographers nine months to take this spectacular photo of the moon.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Tourists enjoy a boat ride in a Metasequoia forest in Luyang Lake wetland park in Jiangsu
CREDIT: VCG/Getty

Fishing boats return to port for shelter before the arrival of tropical storm Ma-on in southern China’s Guangdong province. The storm has already displaced thousands in the Philippines
CREDIT: Deng Hua/AP

A turtle crawls into the sea as employees of the oceans and fisheries ministry release six sea turtles, a species in danger of global extinction, on Saekdal beach in Seogwipo, Jeju island. The sea turtles included three born through artificial incubation and two rescued after they were found injured
CREDIT: Yonhap/EPA

Market Closes for August 25th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33291.78 +322.55
+0.98%
S&P 500 4199.12 +58.35
+1.41%
NASDAQ 12639.27 +207.74

+1.67%

TSX 20172.34 +150.96
+0.75%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28479.01 +165.54
+0.58%
HANG
SENG
19968.38 +699.64
+3.63%
SENSEX 58774.72 -310.71
-0.53%
FTSE 100* 7479.74 +8.23

+0.11%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
3.008    3.100
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.998 3.073
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
3.0258 3.1039
U.S.
30 Year Bond
3.2407    3.3123

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7733 0.7711
US
$
1.2931 1.2969
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.2897 0.7754
US
$
0.9975 1.0025

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1745.65 1746.55
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 93.02 95.64

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1872, Justin Ford Kimball was born near Huntsville, Tex. In 1929, as an administrator at Baylor University’s hospital, he noted that Baylor was treating many Dallas teachers who couldn’t pay their hospitalization costs. So he created a plan enabling teachers to prepay 50 cents a month for up to 21 days of treatment at Baylor. By the end of 1929, as the Great Depression set in, three-fourths of all teachers in Dallas had signed up, and Kimball’s Blue Cross health insurance soon went nationwide.
Canada
By Stefanie Marotta
(Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks jumped the most in two weeks as markets rallied ahead of US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell’s keynote at the Jackson Hole conference.

The S&P/TSX Composite rose for the third day, climbing 0.8%, or 150.96 to 20,172.34 in Toronto.
The move was the biggest since rising 0.9% on Aug. 12. Royal Bank of Canada contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.1%.
Tilray Brands Inc. had the largest increase, rising 8.8%.
Today, 167 of 238 shares rose, while 65 fell; 10 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* This month, the index rose 2.4%
* So far this week, the index rose 0.3%
* The index declined 2% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 8.4% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 9.2% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 11% above its low on July 14, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 0.5% in the past 5 days and rose 5.6% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.6 on a trailing basis and 12.5 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.1% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.2t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 11.64% compared with 12.84% in the previous session and the average of 15.35% over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Financials | 53.4213| 0.9| 20/9
* Materials | 26.1394| 1.1| 31/15
* Industrials | 22.0079| 0.9| 27/2
* Information Technology | 15.6139| 1.5| 11/3
* Energy | 12.5035| 0.3| 16/21
* Communication Services | 6.3299| 0.6| 7/0
* Real Estate | 5.6938| 1.1| 21/2
* Consumer Discretionary | 5.0485| 0.7| 9/4
* Health Care | 3.8818| 5.3| 7/0
* Consumer Staples | 1.5050| 0.2| 8/3
* Utilities | -1.1763| -0.1| 10/6
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Royal Bank of | | | |
* Canada | 24.9900| 2.1| -7.4| -6.3
* Nutrien | 14.4000| 3.0| 20.1| 38.2
* Canadian Natural | | | |
* Resources | 10.0200| 1.7| 11.9| 42.6
* Element Fleet | -0.9640| -2.1| -34.3| 27.3
* Agnico Eagle Mines | -1.2560| -0.7| -1.7| -12.4

US
By Rita Nazareth
(Bloomberg) — Stocks rallied and bond yields fell, with traders awaiting Jerome Powell’s keynote for clues on how much further the Federal Reserve will pump the brakes on the economy to bring inflation back under control.
The S&P 500 closed near session highs, trimming a selloff that knocked down the market earlier in the week.

Following the slowest trading day of 2022 for US equities, volume was once again below average.
Megacaps like Apple Inc. and Amazon.com Inc. jumped, though Tesla Inc. whipsawed as its stock split took effect.
Treasury 10-year rates traded near 3%, while the dollar slipped.
Investors were mostly unfazed by hawkish comments from Fed officials gathering for the annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
Powell’s speech at 10 a.m. Washington time Friday will mark the highlight of an event that’s been used for making key announcements.
The Fed’s boss is widely expected to restate his resolve to keep tightening policy to fight inflationary spirals.
“We are not convinced Jackson Hole tomorrow will be a negative market shock because expectations are hawkish while exposure still low,” said Dennis DeBusschere, founder of 22V Research.
“We thought the market correction would be leading into Jackson Hole, and that has largely played out. We are neutral short term.”
Traders will also be watching out for any signals about the pace of the Fed’s balance-sheet runoff — known as quantitative tightening — which gets up to full speed in September at a monthly clip of up to $95 billion.
While some strategists are convinced the unwinding could pose a threat to equities, others say there’s still plenty of liquidity left from stimulus measures to prop up the market.
In fact, stocks surged 18% during QT from October 2017 through July 2019, Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, wrote in a recent note.

Meantime, a survey conducted by DeBusschere’s firm showed that over half of the respondents believe QT will push Treasury yields higher, 32% say they will be unchanged and only 12% bet on a drop.
The Fed “should not blink” as it addresses hot inflation, and Powell faces a “huge” challenge finding ways to cool price growth without damaging the economy, Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz SE, told Bloomberg Television.
“We are confident that Powell’s commentary will be void of any major-market moving surprises,” said Robert Schein, chief investment officer at Blanke Schein Wealth Management.

Should Friday’s PCE inflation reading top forecasts, “that will firmly quash any expectations of a policy pivot,” he added.
Investors also waded through data showing the government’s main measures of US growth pointed in different directions in the first half of 2022, adding to the ongoing debate on the health of the economy.
Another report showed applications for unemployment benefits fell for a second week, suggesting employers are holding on to workers despite growing uncertainties.
In corporate news, China stocks listed in the US rallied as talks between both countries to avoid delisting of firms on the New York Stock Exchange ramp up. Snowflake Inc. surged as an upbeat forecast reassured Wall Street that companies are still investing in their technology systems to boost efficiency.
Peloton Interactive Inc. tumbled as a bleak outlook renewed concerns about the fitness company’s comeback plan.

What to watch this week:
* Fed Chair Powell speaks at Jackson Hole, Friday
* US personal income, PCE deflator, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 1.4% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 1.7%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1%
* The MSCI World index rose 1.3%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.2%
* The euro rose 0.1% to $0.9977
* The British pound rose 0.3% to $1.1835
* The Japanese yen rose 0.4% to 136.52 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined eight basis points to 3.02%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined five basis points to 1.32%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined eight basis points to 2.62%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 1.8% to $93.16 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 0.5% to $1,770.50 an ounce
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Robert Brand, Abigail
Moses, Vildana Hajric, Isabelle Lee and Emily Graffeo.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

But what is happiness except the simple harmony between a man and the life he leads. -Albert Camus, 1913-1960.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

August 24th, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Schäferlauf, Shepherd’s Race, Germany.
August 24th, 2022: Amid health issues, Steve Jobs resigns as CEO of Apple.  He died less than two months later at the age of 56.  Go to article »
“I’m convinced that about half of what separates the successful entrepreneurs from the non-successful ones is pure perseverance.” –Steve Jobs.

79 AD: Mt. Vesuvius erupts; Pompeii destroyed.
Jorge Lous Borges, writer, b.1899.
Today marks a year since the death of Charlie Watts, drummer for the Rolling Stones.

Tesla owner has his car key implanted in his hand:  This man got tired of losing his keys… so he turned himself into a key. What do you think — clever or crazy? Watch the video here.

9 habits linked to a longer, happier life:  Living life to the fullest starts with paying attention to your body and mind. Here are some helpful habits you may want to include in your daily routine.

‘Knives Out’ sequel gets a release date.  The follow-up to the 2019 hit film will once again star Daniel Craig as private detective Benoit Blanc. 

Harvard might lose its status as the wealthiest school.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Hot air balloons prepare to launch in a historical national park east of Nevşehir
CREDIT: Omar Haj Kadour/AFP/Getty Images


A fisher secures his boat, which got caught in bad weather
CREDIT: Chaideer Mahyuddin/AFP/Getty Images

A docker carrying a Unite union flag foil surfs in front of the container ship Ever Alot during a strike at Britain’s biggest container port.
CREDIT: Joe Giddens/PA

Market Closes for August 24th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
32969.23 +59.64
+0.18%
S&P 500 4140.77 +12.04
+0.29%
NASDAQ 12431.53 +50.23

+0.41%

TSX 20021.38 +36.03
+0.18%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28313.47 -139.28
-0.49%
HANG
SENG
19268.74 -234.51
-1.20%
SENSEX 59085.43 +54.13
+0.09%
FTSE 100* 7471.51 -16.60

-0.22%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
3.100    3.046
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.073 3.022
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
3.1039 3.0517
U.S.
30 Year Bond
3.3123    3.2576

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7711 0.7718
US
$
1.2969 1.2957
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.2927 0.7736
US
$
0.9968 1.0033

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1746.55 1733.25
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 95.64 94.39

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1927, Harry M. Markowitz was born in Chicago, son of Morris and Mildred Markowitz, who ran a small grocery store. In 1950-1952, Markowitz devised the intricate mathematics that proved the virtue of diversification and laid the groundwork for modern portfolio theory. In 1990, he shared the Nobel Prize in economics for his work
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose for the second day, climbing 0.2%, or 36.03 to 20,021.38 in Toronto.
Cameco Corp. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 14.9%. Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd. had the largest increase, rising 24.0%.
Today, 163 of 238 shares rose, while 74 fell; 8 of 11 sectors were higher, led by energy stocks.
Terminal users can read more in our markets live blog.

Insights
* This month, the index rose 1.7%
* The index declined 2.6% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 9.5% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 9.9% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 10.2% above its low on July 14, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 0.8% in the past 5 days and rose 5.5% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.5 on a trailing basis and 12.4 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.1% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.19t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 12.84% compared with 12.97% in the previous session and the average of 15.51% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Energy | 51.2462| 1.4| 34/4
* Materials | 34.2480| 1.5| 41/9
* Industrials | 11.9514| 0.5| 19/10
* Consumer Discretionary | 6.5244| 0.9| 9/4
* Information Technology | 6.1904| 0.6| 8/6
* Utilities | 3.9794| 0.4| 11/5
* Health Care | 2.6926| 3.8| 7/0
* Real Estate | 2.1052| 0.4| 18/5
* Communication Services | -3.4027| -0.3| 2/5
* Consumer Staples | -11.9315| -1.4| 3/8
* Financials | -67.5923| -1.1| 11/18
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Cameco | 12.4900| 14.9| 148.3| 27.0
* Nutrien | 11.0200| 2.3| -5.0| 34.2
* Shopify | 8.8130| 2.7| -20.2| -75.2
* Bank of Montreal | -9.6240| -1.6| 4.1| -5.2
* Bank of Nova Scotia| -12.9500| -2.0| 20.8| -16.3
* Royal Bank of Canada | -32.1200| -2.6| 22.0| -8.2

US
By Rita Nazareth
(Bloomberg) — Stock traders remained hesitant to make any huge wagers ahead of Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday, which may provide clues on how hawkish the Federal Reserve will be in the face of mounting economic challenges.
After wandering aimlessly earlier Wednesday, the S&P 500 notched a small gain. For a second day in a row, its swing was capped within 1%. Such a stretch of intraday calm occurred only
three other times in 2022.

Tesla Inc., which is getting ready to trade on a split-adjusted basis Aug. 25, pared most of its rally.
Treasury 10-year yields remained above 3% on bets the Fed will continue to lean toward tighter policy.
In the run-up to the all-important Jackson Hole annual conference that will be attended by Powell and policy makers from around the world, traders had to digest more hawkish talk.
Fed Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said late Tuesday it’s “very clear” that officials need to tighten and bring inflation back under control.

“We don’t expect any shock-and-awe, Volcker-style, hyper-aggressive articulation by Powell or anyone else for that matter,” said Troy Gayeski, chief market strategist at FS Investments, referring to former Fed Chair Paul Volcker, who tipped the economy into recession to conquer inflation in the1980s.
“However, it’s very clear that the rally since the June bottom works directly against what the Fed has been trying to achieve, which is tighter financial conditions to slow economic
growth and slow inflation.”
Economic reports have been mixed at best, underlining the delicate task policy makers face in bringing down high inflation without sparking a recession.

Data Wednesday showed US pending home sales fell to the lowest since the start of the pandemic.
While orders placed with US factories for core capital goods beat forecasts, the picture might change in the coming months amid higher borrowing costs and uncertainty about the growth
outlook.
Central banks that hike borrowing costs too aggressively to tame supply-driven inflation risk exacerbating price gains, according to Nobel laureate economist Joseph Stiglitz.

Meantime, Guggenheim Partners Chief Investment Officer Scott Minerd is warning investors away from junk bonds and stocks because slowing economic growth and higher interest rates likely will produce deeper losses in risk markets.
In late trading, Salesforce Inc. sank on a disappointing revenue forecast, while Snowflake Inc. jumped on an upbeat outlook. 

What to watch this week:
* US GDP, initial jobless claims, Thursday
* Kansas City Fed hosts its annual economic policy symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Thursday
* ECB’s July minutes, Thursday
* Fed Chair Powell speaks at Jackson Hole, Friday
* US personal income, PCE deflator, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.3% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.3%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.2%
* The MSCI World index was little changed

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
* The euro was unchanged at $0.9970
* The British pound fell 0.3% to $1.1799
* The Japanese yen fell 0.2% to 137.10 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced six basis points to
3.11%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced five basis points to 1.37%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced 12 basis points to 2.70%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.6% to $95.28 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 0.2% to $1,765.20 an ounce

–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Robert Brand, Vildana Hajric and Lu Wang.
Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

A pause, giving time for thought, was the truly courteous way of beginning and conducting a conversation. –Chief Luther Standing Bear, 1868-1939.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

August 23, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
August 23, 1991: The World Wide Web, commonly known as the Web, an information system enabling documents and other web resources to be accessed over the Internet is opened to the public for the first time.

August 23, 2011: Judges in New York put an end to the sensational sexual assault case against Dominique Strauss-Kahn, setting him free after prosecutors questioned the credibility of the hotel housekeeper who’d accused the French diplomat. Go to article »

Welcome to Miniatur Wunderland.  Check out this interesting place where you’ll find tiny replicas of some of the world’s most popular destinations: Venice, Machu Picchu and Las Vegas, to name just a few. 

Chinese censors change ending of latest ‘Minions’ movie.  The ending of the recent animated film “Minions: The Rise of Gru” looks a little different in China. Here’s why

Europe’s drought is probably the continent’s worst in 500 years

4 billion-year-old chunk of Earth’s crust found below Australia: A 4-billion-year-old piece of Earth’s crust the size of Ireland is lurking beneath Western Australia, new research finds.  This piece of crust is among the oldest on Earth, though not the oldest. That honor goes to rocks of the Canadian Shield on the eastern shore of the Hudson Bay, which have been dated to 4.3 billion years old. (The Earth is 4.54 billion years old.) Because Earth’s crust is constantly being churned up and pushed back into the mantle by plate tectonics, most of the planet’s rocky surface was formed within the last couple billion years. Full Story: Live Science (8/22) 

Weird quantum experiment shows protons have more ‘charm’ than we thought: Protons may have more “charm” than we thought, new research suggests.

A proton is one of the subatomic particles that make up the nucleus of an atom. As small as protons are, they are composed of even tinier elementary particles known as quarks, which come in a variety of “flavors,” or types: up, down, strange, charm, bottom and top. Typically, a proton is thought to be made of two up quarks and one down quark. But a new study finds it’s more complicated than that.  Full Story: Live Science (8/19) 
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Landmarks fall dark as the city switches off decorative lights in areas including the Bund, North Bund and the Lujiazui financial area across the Huangpu river for two days in response to a nationwide heatwave that has sent power demands soaring
CREDIT: China News Service/Getty Images

David Lawless and his son Toby work with shirehorses Cosmo and Boy to harvest the wildflower meadow at King’s College. The heavy horses from Waldburg Shires stable are helping to cut the meadow before turning and carting the hay on a traditional wain, with the bales used to propagate more wildflower meadows across the city, and the hay offered to local farmers as winter feed for livestock
CREDIT: Joe Giddens/PA

A wild boar and a Ceylon spotted deer roam in a meadow in the Yala national park
CREDIT: AFP/Getty Images

Market Closes for August 23rd, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
32909.59 -154.02
-0.47%
S&P 500 4128.73 -9.26
-0.22%
NASDAQ 12381.30 -0.27

–%

TSX 19985.35 +10.43
+0.05%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28452.75 -341.75
-1.19%
HANG
SENG
19503.25 -153.73
-0.78%
SENSEX 59031.30 +257.43
+0.44%
FTSE 100* 7488.11 -45.68

-0.61%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
3.046    3.009
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.022 3.001
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
3.0517 3.0238
U.S.
30 Year Bond
3.2576    3.2305

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7718 0.7660
US
$
1.2957 1.3054
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.2919 0.7741
US
$
0.9970 1.0030

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1733.25 1750.75
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 94.39 90.23

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1890, the Bovespa (Bolsa de Valores de Sao Paulo, or Sao Paulo Stock Exchange), Brazil’s central securities market, was founded.
Canada
By Stefanie Marotta
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities rose slightly as materials and energy stocks pulled the index higher, even as most sectors
fell. The S&P/TSX Composite edged up to 19,985.35 in Toronto.
The move follows the previous session’s decrease of 0.7%.
Nutrien Ltd. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 4.4%.

Hudbay Minerals Inc. had the largest increase, rising 9.4%.
Today, 137 of 238 shares rose, while 99 fell; 3 of 11 sectors were higher, led by energy stocks.

Insights
* This month, the index rose 1.5%
* The index declined 2.4% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 9.5% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 10% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 10% above its low on July 14, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 1.4% in the past 5 days and rose 5.3% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.5 on a trailing basis and 12.4 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.1% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.19t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 12.97% compared with 13.28% in the previous session and the average of 15.64% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Energy | 78.0044| 2.2| 37/1
* Materials | 53.2761| 2.4| 47/3
* Consumer Discretionary | 0.9333| 0.1| 7/6
* Health Care | -0.9346| -1.3| 2/5
* Utilities | -2.9946| -0.3| 5/10
* Real Estate | -6.0705| -1.1| 0/23
* Communication Services | -6.3729| -0.6| 1/6
* Consumer Staples | -7.2572| -0.9| 2/9
* Information Technology | -14.8060| -1.4| 8/6
* Industrials | -17.8794| -0.7| 15/14
* Financials | -65.4670| -1.0| 13/16
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Nutrien | 19.7500| 4.4| 23.0| 31.2
* Suncor Energy | 15.3900| 3.7| 84.0| 40.4
* Canadian Natural Resources | 10.6600| 1.9| 29.7| 38.8
* Shopify | -9.3640| -2.8| -28.3| -75.9
* Royal Bank of Canada | -11.1300| -0.9| -20.2| -5.8
* Bank of Nova Scotia| -35.1900| -5.3| 87.5| -14.5

US
By Robert Brand
(Bloomberg) — Stocks retreated after weak economic data, with traders awaiting more clarity on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy path from the Jackson Hole central bankers’ symposium later this week.
The S&P 500 saw its third straight day of losses in a session of below-average trading volume.

Treasury 10-year yields topped 3%, while the dollar halted a four-day rally.
Traders are bracing for hawkish talk at the Jackson Hole event after recent comments from Fed officials convinced many investors the central bank will continue to tighten aggressively, even into a slowing economy.

Data Tuesday showed sales of new US homes fell for the sixth time this year to the slowest pace since early 2016, while business activity  contracted for a second straight month, reflecting softer demand at both manufacturers and service providers.
“For the moment, global sentiment is both skittish and volatile,” said Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor. “There is little cause for optimism on the immediate horizon, with any glimmers of economic hope yet to take hold on a sustainable basis.”
Directors at two of the Fed’s 12 regional branches — St. Louis and Minneapolis — favored a 100 basis-point increase in the discount rate in July, signaling internal pressure for a bigger move than policy makers delivered last month.
Citigroup Inc.’s Beata Manthey said the recent rally in stocks has gone too far given the prospect of sticky inflation and the need for further interest-rate rises to tame it.

While the strategist said she’s still bullish on equities over the longer term, she added that markets don’t go up in a straight line.
Quantitative tightening by the US central bank is set to kick into gear next month, presenting another potential headwind for equities.
“The near-term outlook for equity markets remains challenging,” said Mathieu Racheter, head of equity  strategy at Julius Baer. “The impact of quantitative tightening on financial markets have yet to be felt, while the earnings downgrade cycle has just started.”
In corporate news, Zoom Video Communications Inc. plummeted after its results showed that the transition from an essential Covid-era tool to an enterprise business platform is going to take longer than expected.

Macy’s Inc. climbed after cutting its full-year forecasts for profit and revenue in what Citigroup called a “prudent” move.
Elsewhere, US natural gas prices tumbled after the operators of a key export terminal damaged in an explosion earlier this year announced a delay to the timeline for restart.

West Texas Intermediate settled above $93 a barrel after getting an extra boost as the dollar weakened, making commodities priced in the currency more attractive.
What to watch this week:
* US durable goods, MBA mortgage applications, pending home sales, Wednesday
* US GDP, initial jobless claims, Thursday
* Kansas City Fed hosts its annual economic policy symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Thursday
* ECB’s July minutes, Thursday
* Fed Chair Powell speaks at Jackson Hole, Friday
* US personal income, PCE deflator, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 0.2% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 was little changed
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5%
* The MSCI World index fell 0.3%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.4%
* The euro rose 0.3% to $0.9969
* The British pound rose 0.5% to $1.1829
* The Japanese yen rose 0.5% to 136.81 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced five basis points to 3.06%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced one basis point to 1.32%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced six basis points to 2.58%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 3.7% to $93.66 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 0.7% to $1,760 an ounce
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

It ain’t over till it’s over. -Lawrence Peter Berra “Yogi”, 1925-2015.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

August 22, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
On this day in 1485, British monarch Richard III was butchered at the Battle of Bosworth Field.

August 22, 1986: Kerr-McGee Corp. agreed to pay the estate of Karen Silkwood $1.38 million, settling a 10-year-old nuclear contamination lawsuit. Go to article »

Bill and Melinda Gates confirm on this day  in 1999 their intention to reorganize and expand philanthropic activities as the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, superseding two other Gates foundations. The new foundation by the Microsoft co-founder and his wife is the nation’s second largest, with an initial endowment of up to $17 billion. Within six months,  it becomes the richest with an additional $5 billion gift. The couple later divorces, but the foundation continues. (Compiled from HistoryLink.org).

HBO’s new ‘Game of Thrones’ spinoff is here.  The prequel series “House of the Dragon” made a roaring debut with dragons aplenty. Here’s what you need to know if you’re tuning in

Chipotle hilariously responds to people who steal drinks in water cups.  If you’ve asked for a water cup at Chipotle and then “accidentally” filled it with lemonade, they’re on to you.

12 of the best places to visit this coming fall.  Ah, fall foliage is almost here. If you’re thinking about traveling this autumn, consider visiting one of these beautiful destinations.

Nevada mega sculpture revealed after 50 years of work.

Why everything on Netflix looks the same.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Women walk through the cave of Saint George during the Ashenda festival, celebrated in the Tigray and Amhara regions
CREDIT: Amanuel Sileshi/AFP/Getty Images

The night sky is illuminated at the 18th international fireworks festival. Italy won first prize and Germany came second
CREDIT: Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

A tiger at the Wildlife Friends Foundation Thailand. The conservation and animal rescue centre has spearheaded the country’s largest rescue of tigers by taking in and then rehoming 11, as well as two bears from Phuket zoo, which were left behind after its closure. The zoo was forced to shut down due to financial pressures caused by Covid lockdowns
CREDIT: Narong Sangnak/EPA

Market Closes for August 22nd, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33063.61 -643.13
-1.91%
S&P 500 4137.99 -90.49
-2.14%
NASDAQ 12381.57 -323.64

-2.55%

TSX 19974.92 -136.46
-0.68%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28794.50 -135.83
-0.47%
HANG
SENG
19656.98 -116.05
-0.59%
SENSEX 58773.87 -872.28
-1.46%
FTSE 100* 7533.79 -16.58

-0.22%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
3.009    2.941
CND.
30 Year
Bond
3.001 2.940
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
3.0238 2.9721
U.S.
30 Year Bond
3.2305    3.2129

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7660 0.7696
US
$
1.3054 1.2993
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.2978 0.7705
US
$
0.9941 1.0058

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1750.75 1765.55
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 90.23 90.77

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1940, President Franklin D. Roosevelt signed into law the Investment Company Act of 1940. It limited the amount of money a mutual fund could borrow, restricted its ability to invest in securities underwritten by its brokers and reduced the potential for conflicts of interest
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite fell for the second day, dropping 0.7%, or 136.46 to 19,974.92 in Toronto.

The index dropped to the lowest closing level since Aug. 10.
Toronto-Dominion Bank contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 1.9%.

Canopy Growth Corp. had the largest drop, falling 13.7%.
Today, 171 of 238 shares fell, while 63 rose; 8 of 11 sectors were lower, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* This month, the index rose 1.4%
* The index declined 1.8% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 8.5% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 10.1% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 9.9% above its low on July 14, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 1% in the past 5 days and rose 5.2% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.5 on a trailing basis and 12.4 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.22t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 13.28% compared with 13.58% in the previous session and the average of 15.98% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Financials | -89.9920| -1.4| 2/27
* Industrials | -24.3171| -0.9| 3/26
* Information Technology | -18.8721| -1.7| 0/14
* Consumer Discretionary | -13.6913| -1.9| 2/10
* Communication Services | -9.0261| -0.9| 0/7
* Real Estate | -7.9069| -1.5| 0/23
* Health Care | -2.1654| -3.0| 1/6
* Utilities | -1.5229| -0.1| 7/9
* Consumer Staples | 0.3919| 0.0| 4/7
* Materials | 11.3256| 0.5| 19/30
* Energy | 19.3265| 0.5| 25/12
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points| | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move |% Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* TD Bank | -20.9300| -1.9| 25.2| -11.5
* Royal Bank of Canada | -13.8600| -1.1| -26.6| -4.9
* Magna International | -9.8160| -6.5| 54.3| -26.2
* Suncor Energy | 4.4800| 1.1| 15.6| 35.4
* TC Energy | 5.7900| 1.3| -58.8| 10.6
* Nutrien | 8.0920| 1.8| -24.9| 25.7

US
By Rita Nazareth
(Bloomberg) — A sobering tone took over Wall Street after a rally that added $7 trillion to the stock market, with traders bracing for hawkish rhetoric from Federal Reserve officials at the Jackson Hole retreat later this week.
Equities saw their worst rout in two months, following a surge that drove the S&P 500 to its best start to a third quarter since 1932.

The Nasdaq 100 underperformed as Treasury 10-year yields topped 3%.
The meme-stock frenzy continued to unravel, with other speculative corners of the market like Bitcoin and profitless tech firms also getting clobbered.
The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, soared.
As the dollar gained, the euro succumbed to a two-decade low.
The furious runup in US shares from June lows hit a wall as the earnings season wrapped up, with the threat of an economic recession still looming large amid warnings from Fed officials that the fight against inflation is far from over. That stance will likely be reinforced when Jerome Powell speaks Friday at the prestigious event in Wyoming’s Grand Teton mountains, which has been used by Fed chairs as a venue for making key policy announcements.
“He may try to send a clear message that even if they have a slower pace of rate hikes, that won’t signal a lower peak rate or that they will be quick to cut rates,” wrote Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. “After this week, Wall Street should not be surprised if Fed fund futures start pricing in rate hikes for next year. This could be the week many return from vacation and double-down on their bear-market rally calls.”
In fact, while the recent surge in stocks has triggered chatter about a new bull run, history shows there may be more turbulence ahead. Looking back to the last six bear markets since the 1970s, four of them have experienced an average of six or seven short-lived up trends, according to Glenmede.

The study also showed that the 17% surge from June lows was consistent with historical bear-market rallies.
“There may be further downside to the ongoing bear market, justifying an underweight to risk assets,” wrote Jason Pride, the firm’s chief investment officer of private wealth.
Investors are also waking up to the imminent acceleration of the Fed’s balance-sheet reduction.

So-called quantitative tightening kicks into top gear next month, and will add to pressure on riskier assets which have benefited from ample liquidity.
Strategists at Bank of America Corp. last week said that the winding down of the central bank’s balance sheet poses a risk to equity prices.
Meantime, hedge funds are rapidly positioning for higher rates in a key corner of the derivatives market.

The group has collectively placed a big short across futures referencing the official successor to London interbank offered rate known as the Secured Overnight Financing Rate.
This wager stands to benefit should Powell effectively rule out a dovish pivot this week.
The debate for most investors has shifted from a focus on the odds of a recession to how the Fed will impact markets, according to Lindsey Bell, chief money and markets strategist at Ally, who bets volatility will likely increase as investors look for catalysts.
“With real rates still rising and prospects for 2023 rate cuts fading in the bond market, stock valuations look extremely stretched, especially if as we suspect, policy-driven economic slowing will prove an obstacle to currently optimistic 2023 earnings estimates,” Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, said in a note. “Stocks are overbought. Sit it out for now.”
Stocks and bonds are set to tumble once more even though inflation has likely peaked, according to the latest MLIV Pulse survey, as rate hikes reawaken the great 2022 selloff.

Ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium, 68% of respondents see the most destabilizing era of price pressures in decades eroding corporate margins and sending equities lower.
As investors wonder whether the selloff will get worse from here, Lori Calvasina at RBC Capital Markets says “it seems premature to call an end to the rebound just yet” even with stocks set up for “some choppiness” in the second half of 2022.  “Deeply depressed levels of investor sentiment, which continue to show signs of healing, have kept us out of the bearish camp,” she added.
Elsewhere, gold dropped for a sixth day as a stronger dollar and higher bond yields are bad for bullion as it pays no interest and is priced in the US currency.

Oil clung to $90 at the conclusion of a volatile session after Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said “extreme” volatility and lack of liquidity mean the futures market is increasingly disconnected from fundamentals and OPEC+ may be forced to cut production.
What to watch this week:
* US new home sales, S&P Global PMIs, Tuesday
* Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari speaks at a Q&A session, Tuesday
* US durable goods, MBA mortgage applications, pending home sales, Wednesday
* US GDP, initial jobless claims, Thursday
* Kansas City Fed hosts its annual economic policy symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Thursday
* ECB’s July minutes, Thursday
* Fed Chair Powell speaks at Jackson Hole, Friday
* US personal income, PCE deflator, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 2.1% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 2.7%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.9%
* The MSCI World index fell 1.8%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.6%
* The euro fell 0.9% to $0.9943
* The British pound fell 0.5% to $1.1766
* The Japanese yen fell 0.4% to 137.45 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced six basis points to 3.03%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced eight basis points to 1.31%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced 10 basis points to 2.51%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.6% to $90.23 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.8% to $1,748.40 an ounce
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Robert Brand, Vildana Hajric, Cormac Mullen and Isabelle Lee.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

And the trouble is, if you don’t risk anything, you risk even more. –Erica Jong, b.1942.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

August 19, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday.

August 19, 2004: The Internet search engine Google went public.  Go to article »

Orville Wright, aviator, b. 1871.
Coco Chanel, designer b. 1883.
Bill Clinton, 42nd President,  b. 1946.

What It’s Like to Visit Los Angeles Right Now

NASA’s Webb telescope will observe exoplanets, and you have a chance to name them.  Scientists have organized a global search for the perfect names for 20 other worlds. Here’s how to submit your ideas

‘Wonder Years’ star Danica McKellar explains why she became a mathematician and stopped acting.  This former actress decided it was time for a major career change

PHOTOS OF THE DAY


Samuel Pupo, a surfer representing Brazil, competes during the Outerknown Tahiti Pro Tour
CREDIT: Jerome Brouillet/AFP/Getty Images

A robot design resembling a fish goes on display at the World Robot Conference
CREDIT: Wang Zhao/AFP/Getty Images

W1 Curates launches W1 Immersive with Waves, the first solo exhibition of Maxim Zhestkov at Flannels on Oxford Street
CREDIT: Guy Bell/Rex/Shutterstock

Market Closes for August 19th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33706.74 -292.30
-0.86%
S&P 500 4228.48 -55.26
-1.29%
NASDAQ 12705.21 -260.13

-2.01%

TSX 20111.38 -153.99
-0.76%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28930.33 -11.81
-0.04%
HANG
SENG
19773.03 +9.12
+0.05%
SENSEX 59646.15 -651.85
-1.08%
FTSE 100* 7550.37 +8.52

+0.11%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
2.941    2.890
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.940 2.842
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
2.9721 2.8822
U.S.
30 Year Bond
3.2129    3.1365

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7696 0.7724
US
$
1.2993 1.2947
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3045 0.7666
US
$
1.0040 0.9960

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1765.55 1767.20
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 90.77 90.50

Market Commentary:
On this day in 2004, in the most eagerly anticipated initial public offering in years, Google’s stock began trading. The company conducted a rare “Dutch auction” in which bidders (including individual investors) competed to create the price at which all shares could be sold. Initially priced at $85, the stock opened for trading at $100 a share and closed at $100.335 on volume of 22.4 million shares. Although most investment bankers jeered, the IPO was a success.
Canada
By Stefanie Marotta
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities fell as financials, tech and materials dragged the market lower. The S&P/TSX Composite fell 0.8% at 20,111.38 in Toronto.

The move was the biggest since a 1% decline on Aug. 2 and follows the previous session’s increase of 0.4%.
Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 6.9%. Ballard Power Systems Inc. had the largest drop, falling 7.9%.
Today, 187 of 238 shares fell, while 48 rose; 9 of 11 sectors were lower, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* So far this week, the index fell 0.3%
* The index declined 0.5% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 5.8% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 9.5% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 10.7% above its low on July 14, 2022
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.5 on a trailing basis and 12.5 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.24t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 13.58% compared with 13.32% in the previous session and the average of 16.68% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Financials | -50.2411| -0.8| 2/27
* Information Technology | -42.0947| -3.7| 0/14
* Materials | -35.0140| -1.6| 2/48
* Energy | -15.5439| -0.4| 11/27
* Industrials | -8.6820| -0.3| 8/21
* Consumer Discretionary | -6.4958| -0.9| 1/12
* Real Estate | -6.0974| -1.1| 3/20
* Health Care | -2.5778| -3.4| 1/6
* Consumer Staples | -2.0507| -0.2| 6/3
* Utilities | 4.8785| 0.5| 8/8
* Communication Services | 9.9339| 1.0| 6/1
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points| | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move |% Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Shopify | -25.9500| -6.9| -4.8| -74.5
* TD Bank | -11.9000| -1.1| -6.3| -9.8
* Bank of Montreal | -7.7690| -1.2| -27.5| -1.7
* Brookfield Infrastructure | 3.6270| 2.1| 66.7| 7.6
* BCE | 3.9490| 1.0| 29.3| 0.3
* Telus | 4.5480| 1.6| 1.3| 3.2

US
By Stephen Kirkland and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — Stocks fell in a decisive pivot that snapped the longest weekly rally since November, as short-sellers resurfaced and investors turned cautious after Federal Reserve officials beat the drum on hiking rates.

Treasury yields climbed, while the dollar capped its best week since April 2020.
The S&P 500 Index notched its biggest daily decline since June, sending the benchmark to its first weekly loss in five weeks.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 underperformed major benchmarks, with growth-related stocks among the hardest hit Friday.
Meanwhile, Wall Street’s fear gauge, the CBOE Volatility Index, jumped the most in more than two weeks, back above 20.
Expiration of $2 trillion in options, obliging investors to either roll over existing positions or start new ones, set the stage for a volatile session as failure to break a key threshold for the S&P 500 around 4,300 appeared to open the door to selling positions.

And bears pounced.
A basket of the most-shorted stocks dropped almost 6%, extending its weekly loss to 12% and giving short sellers their best week since March 2020.
In a blow to individual investors, high-flying meme stock Bed Bath & Beyond tumbled more than 40% after Ryan Cohen sold his entire stake in the retailer.

Cryptocurrency-linked stocks tumbled, tracking losses in Bitcoin: Coinbase Global Inc., Marathon Digital Holdings and Riot Blockchain Inc. each dropped more than 8% each.
Bitcoin sank back below $21,500 apiece.
One bright spot in the equity space was Occidental Petroleum Corp., rallying the most since March on news that Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. won approval from US regulators to buy as much as 50% in the oil company.
Against a backdrop of fear and volatility, the dollar marched higher for a third day in a row.

Treasuries fell, with the two-year Treasury yield, the most sensitive to policy changes, jumping 5 basis points.
Ahead of the Fed’s Jackson Hole gathering next week, officials reiterated their resolve to raise rates to curb stubbornly high inflation.

In comments Thursday, two voting members of the Federal Open Market Committee — St. Louis’s James Bullard and Kansas City’s Esther George —  stood firm on the need to hike rates, though they diverged on the size of the
September move.

Richmond’s Thomas Barkin echoed that resolve on Friday, noting the risk those efforts could cause a recession.
“Fighting the Fed is not a good policy at this juncture,” Jose Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers, said in an interview. “If you didn’t fight the Fed while they were engaging in quantitative easing and they boosted asset prices, why would you fight the Fed now when they’re engaging in the opposite. The same way we got a really violent summer bear-market rally, you can have those moves exacerbated the other way, particularly as liquidity conditions tighten.”
The pullback in equities this week follows a rally that has sent the S&P 500 up more the 15% from its mid-June nadir amid speculation that the Fed may scale back its aggressive path of rate hikes.

And a force that contributed to the rally is now showing signs of fatigue, with hedge funds dialing down purchases of shares.
Other Fed officials joined the chorus on a hawkish stance in runup to the annual symposium at Jackson Hole Aug. 25-27.
San Francisco’s Mary Daly pushed back against bets for rate cuts before the end of 2023 and Minneapolis’s Neel Kashkari said that “we have an inflation problem right now,” and that the central bank has to get it down “urgently.”
“We think the Fed is likely to put an exclamation point on any premature notion that easing is in the cards, and we think they might do that with more hawkish commentary,” Leo Grohowski, CIO at BNY Wealth Management, said by phone. “There’s been a big change in sentiment and perhaps a little bit too much complacency here built in the short term.”

Other market commentary
* “Markets have been rallying on the back of three assumptions: a moderated recession-to-come, a Fed pivot and an earnings expansion: from that perspective, this week has been sobering with notably a negative macro news flow,” Florian Ielpo, head of macro research at Lombard Odier Asset Management, wrote. “This week, we have seen a pause in this bear market rally which has not yet mutated into a turning point. The macro-heavy next two weeks should bring about more clarity in this matter.”
* “It is patently clear that the Fed has inflation reduction as its main aim, even though it acknowledges the knock-on risk of derailing the economy,” Richard Hunter, the head of markets at Interactive Investor International in Leeds, UK, said. “Comments from several Fed officials suggest that there remains some way to go before victory can be declared on taming inflation.”

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 1.3% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 1.9%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.9%
* The MSCI World index fell 1.3%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.5%
* The euro fell 0.5% to $1.0041
* The British pound fell 0.8% to $1.1832
* The Japanese yen fell 0.7% to 136.78 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced 10 basis points to 2.98%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced 13 basis points to 1.23%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced 10 basis points to 2.41%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.4% to $90.13 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.6% to $1,761 an ounce
–With assistance from James Hirai, Kat Van Hoof, Tassia Sipahutar, Srinivasan Sivabalan, Emily Graffeo, Lu Wang and Isabelle Lee.

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act. -George Orwell, 1903-1950.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

August 18, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday Eve.
August 18, 1920: The Nineteenth Amendment is ratified after Tennessee, by just one vote becomes the 36th state to approve it, ending the 72-year fight to win women the right to vote in the United States.
August 18, 1969: The Woodstock Music and Art Fair in Bethel, N.Y., concluded with a mid-morning set by Jimi Hendrix. Go to article »
1872: First mail-order catalog published.
1960: First Birth Control pills.

Robert Redford, b. 1937.
Rosalynn Carter, b. 1927.

Priscilla Presley remembers Elvis on the 45th anniversary of his death.  Presley, who was married to the king of rock and roll, was joined by over 30,000 fans this week for a candlelight vigil to honor her late husband.

Scientists discover a 5-mile wide undersea crater.  A massive crater was found off the coast of West Africa. No, it wasn’t caused by the asteroid that doomed the dinosaurs, but scientists say it did slam into the Earth’s surface around the same time.

Japan wants young people to drink more alcohol.  Yes, you read that correctly. The Japanese government has launched a contest to find new ways to encourage young people to drink more because the country’s alcohol sales and liquor tax revenues have plummeted. 

Banning trans fats reduced heart attacks in Denmark.
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A surfer entering the North Sea in Northumberland
CREDIT: Owen Humphreys/PA

France’s Vahine Fierro competes in the Outerknown Tahiti Pro 2022, the Women’s WSL Championship Tour. For the first time since 2006, members of the women’s World Surf League are competing in Teahupo’o, a wave respected and feared by board-riders worldwide
CREDIT: Jerome Brouillet/AFP/Getty Images

Beluga whales underwater in the murky waters of the Churchill River near Hudson Bay. Several thousand tourists come every year to the small town of Churchill in northern Manitoba to observe the whales
CREDIT: Olivier Morin/AFP/Getty Images

Market Closes for August 18th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33999.04 +18.72
+0.06%
S&P 500 4283.74 +9.70
+0.23%
NASDAQ 12965.34 +27.22

+0.21%

TSX 20265.37 +83.93
+0.42%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28942.14 -280.63
-0.96%
HANG
SENG
19763.91 -158.54
-0.80%
SENSEX 60298.00 +37.87
+0.06%
FTSE 100* 7541.85 +26.10

+0.35%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
2.890    2.863
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.842 2.912
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
2.8822 2.8968
U.S.
30 Year Bond
3.1365    3.1513

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7724 0.7745
US
$
1.2947 1.2912
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3064 0.7655
US
$
1.0090 0.9911

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1767.20 1774.85
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 90.50 88.11

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1982, as a bull market suddenly materialized out of nowhere, daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange exceeded 100 million shares for the first time, with 132,681,120 shares changing hands.
Canada
By Ana Paula Barreto Pereira
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities gained, as energy weighed on the index with oil prices gaining for a second day.

The S&P/TSX Composite rose 0.4% at 20,265.37 in Toronto.
The move follows the previous session’s decrease of 0.4%.
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.9%.

Athabasca Oil Corp. had the largest percentage increase, rising 9.0%.
Today, 151 of 238 shares rose, while 82 fell; 3 of 11 sectors were higher. 

Insights
* So far this week, the index rose 0.4%
* The index was little changed in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 4.6% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 8.8% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 11.5% above its low on July 14, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 1.4% in the past 5 days and rose 9% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.7 on a trailing basis and 12.6 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.22t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 13.32% compared with 14.11% in the previous session and the average of 16.94% over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Energy | 69.0385| 2.0| 35/1
* Materials | 21.5110| 1.0| 45/6
* Financials | 13.8517| 0.2| 22/7
* Consumer Discretionary | -0.8577| -0.1| 7/6
* Real Estate | -1.1869| -0.2| 9/14
* Communication Services | -1.4041| -0.1| 2/4
* Health Care | -1.6419| -2.1| 1/6
* Utilities | -2.0418| -0.2| 8/8
* Consumer Staples | -2.6636| -0.3| 5/6
* Information Technology | -3.4604| -0.3| 3/9
* Industrials | -7.2146| -0.3| 14/15
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Canadian Natural Resources | 16.0600| 2.9| 80.3| 35.5
* Enbridge | 11.4400| 1.5| 14.2| 13.4
* Suncor Energy | 9.5390| 2.4| 6.0| 34.9
* Waste Connections | -2.7980| -0.9| -5.4| 6.8
* Shopify | -3.1460| -0.8| -25.0| -72.6
* Canadian Pacific | -3.9700| -0.6| 9.2| 16.5

US
By Stephen Kirkland
(Bloomberg) — US stocks ended the day higher after swinging between modest gains and losses as mixed economic and earnings data failed to spark a broad conviction trade.

The dollar and bonds also rose.
The S&P 500 rose 0.2%, with volumes holding about 20% below the 30-day average exacerbating price swings.

Light trading also typified the Nasdaq 100, which was 0.3% higher after falling 0.5%.
Treasury yields stayed lower after comments from Federal Reserve officials backing rate hikes.
Signs of strength in demand for labor came from the weekly US jobless claims data falling for the first time in three weeks, while a gauge of manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia area unexpectedly expanded in August for the first
time in three months, though the outlook remained weak.
Meanwhile, existing-home sales fell for a sixth straight month, the latest indication of the housing market’s rapid decline.
In corporate news, Cisco Systems Inc. rose after issuing an upbeat forecast for quarterly sales as chip-supply shortages ease and the company is able to fill more orders.

Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. plunged after Ryan Cohen’s RC Ventures said it might sell as much as 7.78 million shares in the retailer.
Kohl’s Corp. dropped after the department store operator cut its full-year earnings and sales guidance for the second straight quarter as inflation suppresses demand.
Following the equity rally from June lows, sentiment turned fragile Wednesday after the Fed minutes signaled inflation-busting rate hikes will continue despite a weakening economy.
Further clues for policy makers’ views may come at the Fed’s annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming next week.
“With Jackson hole kicking off in a week, that already is now top of mind — I would say the minutes, if you were hoping to see dovish, you got a seven out 10,” Alex Chaloff, co-head of investment strategies at Bernstein Private Wealth Management, said by phone. “If you just think about the disconnect between earnings and what’s gone on in markets, this is a macro driven market right now. Inflation has peaked and the numbers will demonstrate that we’ve rolled over.”
In comments Wednesday from Fed officials, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard told the Wall Street Journal he backed another 75 basis-point increase at next month’s meeting.
Meanwhile, Minneapolis Fed’s Neel Kashkari said the Fed had “more work to do” in raising rates to curb inflation.
Zhiwei Ren, portfolio manager at Penn Mutual Asset Management, attributed the rally from the mid-June lows to fundamentals and technicals.
“On the economy side, I think recently you’re seeing data that’s just working the way the Fed was hoping — inflation is coming down and the job numbers are still robust. The fear of recession is much, much lower now — a lot of people are talking about a soft landing,” Ren said.

As for technicals, futures positioning was very short, he said. “So in that kind of background, if you have some good news, then people have to buy back the equities they sold, and I think that’s what’s happened.”
Oil rose for a second day as a bullish US stockpile report eased fears of an economic slowdown.

West Texas Intermediate futures traded back around $90 a barrel..
Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.2% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.3%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average was little changed
* The MSCI World index was little changed

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.6%
* The euro fell 0.8% to $1.0094
* The British pound fell 0.9% to $1.1936
* The Japanese yen fell 0.6% to 135.89 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined two basis points to 2.88%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to 1.10%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to 2.31%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 2.9% to $90.70 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.2% to $1,773 an ounce
–With assistance from Cormac Mullen, Andreea Papuc, Tassia Sipahutar, Srinivasan Sivabalan, Isabelle Lee and Vildana Hajric.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

But where I feel that people like us understood the situation better than so-called experts,
is not in any power to foretell specific events, but in the power to grasp
what kind of world we are living in. -George Orwell, 1903-1950.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

August 17, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
August 17, 1945: English author George Orwell publishes Animal Farm, an anti-utopian satire that became a classic.  According to Orwell, Animal Farm reflects events leading up to the Russian Revolution of 1917 and then on into the Stalinist  era of the Soviet Union.
On Aug. 17, 1969, the Woodstock Music and Art Fair concluded near Bethel, N.Y.  Go to article »

Davy Crockett, frontiersman, b. 1786.
Mae West, actress, b. 1898.
Sean Penn, b. 1960.
Robert de Niro, b. 1943.

The world’s most breathtaking clifftop hotels.  If you love a good view, check out this photo gallery of breathtaking hotels perched on top of mountains and cliffs. 

Scientists plan to resurrect this animal from extinction with ancient DNA.  Never underestimate the power of science. This animal, which has been extinct since 1936, may live once again

Does drinking coffee help you live longer?  Americans drink an estimated 517 million cups of coffee every day, according to the National Coffee Association, making it the most popular beverage in the U.S. other than water.
Drinking coffee has been associated with a wide range of health benefits. But will it help you live longer?  Full Story:
Live Science (8/14) 

Why is everything gray?

PHOTOS OF THE DAY


A recently exposed lakebed, with boats anchored near a bathtub ring of mineral deposits left by higher water levels, at the drought-stricken Elephant Butte reservoir. New Mexico’s largest reservoir is at 3.8% of its capacity in spite of recent monsoon rains in the state. Experts say the climate-crisis-fuelled mega-drought remains entrenched in the west
CREDIT: Mario Tama/Getty Images

People cross London Bridge during a heavy rainfall as the the British Meteorological Office has warned of widespread flash floods as thunderstorms are likely across the country.
CREDIT: Tolga Akmen/EPA

A hen harrier chick enjoys the summer sun. The bird was born amid a national trial to revive England’s hen harrier population. The Natural England scheme has hit a significant milestone by releasing a record 13 chicks into the wild
CREDIT: Natural England/PA

Market Closes for August 17th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33980.32 -171.69
-0.50%
S&P 500 4274.04 -31.16
-0.72%
NASDAQ 12938.13 -164.42

-1.25%

TSX 20181.44 -88.52
-0.44%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 29222.77 +353.86
+1.23%
HANG
SENG
19922.45 +91.93
+0.46%
SENSEX 60260.13 +417.92
+0.70%
FTSE 100* 7515.75 -20.31

-0.27%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
2.863    2.757
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.912 2.841
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
2.8968 2.8077
U.S.
30 Year Bond
3.1513    3.0915

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7745 0.7787
US
$
1.2912 1.2843
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3142 0.7619
US
$
1.0178 0.9825

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1774.85 1776.60
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 88.11 86.53

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1998, the Russian government devalued the ruble and declared a moratorium on paying its foreign debt, a de facto default that sent global bond markets crashing and triggered the ultimate collapse of the giant hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management.
Canada
By Ana Paula Barreto Pereira
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities erased yesterday’s gains, led by losses in materials and technology, as investors sold risky stocks on fears of further rate hikes by central banks.
The S&P/TSX Composite fell 0.4% at 20,181.44 in Toronto Wednesday.

The move was the biggest in more than a week and follows the previous session’s increase of 0.4%.
Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 5.3%.

Energy Fuels Inc/Canada had the largest percentage drop, falling 8.8%.
Today, 165 of 238 shares fell, while 70 rose; 7 of 11 sectors were lower, led by materials stocks.

Insights
* The index declined 0.9% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 5.7% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 9.1% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 11.1% above its low on July 14, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 1.5% in the past 5 days and rose 9.7% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.6 on a trailing basis and 12.5 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.24t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 14.11% compared with 14.16% in the previous session and the average of 17.10% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Materials | -41.4146| -1.8| 4/47
* Information Technology | -34.4370| -2.9| 2/12
* Financials | -11.8278| -0.2| 8/19
* Consumer Discretionary | -7.8123| -1.1| 1/11
* Real Estate | -5.1718| -0.9| 2/21
* Communication Services | -3.1679| -0.3| 1/6
* Health Care | -1.1639| -1.5| 2/5
* Consumer Staples | 0.7415| 0.1| 7/4
* Industrials | 1.7523| 0.1| 9/20
* Utilities | 3.1874| 0.3| 11/5
* Energy | 10.7806| 0.3| 23/15
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Shopify | -21.3100| -5.3| -7.1| -72.4
* TC Energy | -6.5540| -1.5| -49.7| 8.8
* Agnico Eagle Mines | -6.5280| -3.6| 26.9| -16.1
* Canadian Natural Resources | 5.0880| 0.9| 50.2| 31.7
* Canadian Pacific | 6.4040| 1.0| -9.6| 17.2
* Suncor Energy | 8.3710| 2.1| 3.2| 31.8

US
By Stephen Kirkland
(Bloomberg) — US stocks fell for the first time in four days as investors assessed the outlook for the path of interest-rate hikes after minutes from the Federal Reserve’s last meeting noted officials saw risks from tightening more than necessary.
The S&P 500 Index ended back at levels near the release of Fed minutes as the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 resumed declines, dropping more than 1%.

Minutes of the July 26-27 meeting noted the need to eventually dial back the pace of rate hikes but also the desire to gauge how their monetary tightening was working toward curbing inflation.
In the bond market, two-year yields, the most sensitive to rate changes, trimmed most of their surge after the release.
Futures contracts lowered the odds of a 75-basis-point Fed boost next month to about 40%, compared with traders split between a hike of that size and a 50-basis-point increase before the minutes.
The dollar pared gains.
US stocks have rallied on signs of peaking inflation and an earnings-reporting season that saw four out of five companies meeting or beating estimates.

Yet, prospects of the Fed continuing to raise rates to cool inflation and tip the economy into a recession has weighed on sentiment.
Fed officials may offer fresh views on the outlook during their Aug. 25-27 retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
Earlier Wednesday, data showed retail sales stagnated last month on declines in auto purchases and gasoline prices, but other categories indicated resilient consumer spending.
Excluding gasoline and autos, sales rose a better-than-expected 0.7%.
In corporate news, Target Corp. fell as profit lagged behind Wall Street’s estimates, while Lowe’s Cos. gained after the home-improvement retailer reported earnings that beat estimates even as renovators wrestle with a slumping US housing market.
Cisco Systems Inc. gained in extended trading after the biggest maker of machines that run the internet and corporate computer networks, gave a bullish forecast for the quarter.
Juniper Networks Inc. followed Cisco higher.
“A correction from this level is very, very possible as earnings and margins deteriorate going into 2023,” Marco Pirondini, head of equities, US, and portfolio manager at Amundi US. “We expect the Fed to continue to increase rates, we expect the economy to slow down, possibly even enter a recession. The probability of a recession next year is higher than normal. So once you put all these things together, I think a more prudent approach is important.”
It’s been a choppy day for risk sentiment.

Earlier on Wednesday, stocks rose in Asia amid speculation that China may deploy more stimulus to shore up its ailing economy.
Some of those equity gains were surrendered when European trading opened and the focus turned to the Fed as well as UK inflation, which soared to double digits for the first time in four decades and spurred a global bond selloff.

Here are some key events to watch this week:
* Australia unemployment, Thursday
* U.S. existing home sales, initial jobless claims, Conference Board leading index, Thursday
* Fed’s Esther George, Neel Kashkari speak at separate events, Thursday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 fell 0.7% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 1.2%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5%
* The MSCI World index fell 0.6%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.3%
* The euro was little changed at $1.0180
* The British pound fell 0.4% to $1.2051
* The Japanese yen fell 0.6% to 135.02 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced nine basis points to 2.89%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced 11 basis points to 1.08%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced 16 basis points to 2.29%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.4% to $87.71 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.6% to $1,779.70 an ounce
–With assistance from Brett Miller, Andreea Papuc, Tassia Sipahutar, Sunil Jagwani, Srinivasan Sivabalan, Peyton Forte, Elaine Chen and Vildana Hajric.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

It isn’t the mountains ahead to climb that wear you out; it’s the pebble in your shoe. -Muhammad Ali, 1942-2016.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

August 16, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
August 16, 2010: China eclipsed Japan as the world’s second biggest economy after three decades of blistering growth. Go to article »
BABE Ruth, baseball player, d. 1948.
Elvis Presley, d. 1977.
Madonna, b. 1958.

Scientists blast atoms with Fibonacci laser to make an ‘extra’ dimension of time: By firing a Fibonacci laser pulse at atoms inside a quantum computer, physicists have created a completely new, strange phase of matter that behaves as if it had two dimensions of time.  The new phase of matter, created by using lasers to rhythmically jiggle a strand of 10 ytterbium ions, enables scientists to store information in a far more error-protected way, thereby opening the path to quantum computers that can hold on to data for a long time without becoming garbled. The researchers outlined their findings in a paper published July 20 in the journal Nature.  Full Story: Live Science (8/16) 

America’s most outstanding restaurant says a lot about America. — Bobby Ghosh

A new era of supersonic travel is here, and you won’t believe how short the flight is from NYC to London

PHOTOS OF THE DAY


Postgraduate researcher Isabel Milligan monitors rudbeckia development at Wakehurst Royal Botanic Gardens Kew, in West Sussex, in part of the 2.4-hectare (6-acre) North American Prairie, one year on since 50,000 of them were planted
CREDIT: Graeme Robertson/The Guardian

Thunderstorms gather over the city skyline
CREDIT: David Heerde/Rex/Shutterstock

Fishing boats set sail in Guangdong province after the annual summer fishing ban in the South China Sea was lifted on Monday
CREDIT: VCG/Getty Images

Market Closes for August 16th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
34152.01 +239.57
+0.71%
S&P 500 4305.20 +8.06
+0.19%
NASDAQ 13102.55 -25.50

-0.19%

TSX 20269.97 +89.37
+0.44%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28868.91 -2.87
-0.01%
HANG
SENG
19830.52 -210.34
-1.05%
SENSEX 59842.21 +379.43
+0.64%
FTSE 100* 7536.06 +26.91

+0.36%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
2.757    2.696
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.841 2.840
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
2.8077 2.7878
U.S.
30 Year Bond
3.0915    2.1013

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7787 0.7749
US
$
1.2843 1.2904
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3061 0.7656
US
$
1.0171 0.9832

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1776.60 1792.10
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 86.53 89.41

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1922, the nation’s first “toll station,” or commercial broadcaster, opened as AT&T launched its WEAF radio station in New York City. Radio Dealer, a leading trade publication, denounced AT&T for its “mercenary advertising purposes,” predicting a “man-sized vocal rebellion” among the users of free air time. A 10-minute block of air time on WEAF cost $50, and nearly two weeks passed before anyone bought any.
Canada
By Ana Paula Barreto Pereira
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities advanced to the highest closing level in more than two months after data showed that yearly inflation may have already peaked in Canada.
The S&P/TSX Composite rose 0.4%, or 89.37 to 20,269.97 in Toronto.
Toronto-Dominion Bank contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 1.5%.
First Quantum Minerals Ltd. had the largest percentage increase, rising 3.7%.
Today, 137 of 238 shares rose, while 97 fell; 7 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.
Insights
* The index declined 1% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 5.6% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 8.7% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 11.6% above its low on July 14, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 3.5% in the past 5 days and rose 10% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.7 on a trailing basis and 12.6 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.23t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 14.16% compared with 14.66% in the previous session and the average of 17.25% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Financials | 48.4774| 0.8| 23/6
* Materials | 16.6430| 0.7| 25/25
* Industrials | 12.2157| 0.5| 17/11
* Consumer Staples | 11.3803| 1.3| 10/1
* Communication Services | 9.1839| 0.9| 7/0
* Consumer Discretionary | 6.6006| 0.9| 7/6
* Utilities | 2.5846| 0.2| 11/4
* Real Estate | -0.1785| 0.0| 14/8
* Health Care | -0.7055| -0.9| 2/5
* Information Technology | -0.9904| -0.1| 7/7
* Energy | -15.8462| -0.4| 14/24
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* TD Bank | 16.7800| 1.5| -30.5| -8.8
* Canadian Pacific | 9.2860| 1.4| 19.9| 16.1
* Royal Bank of Canada | 7.9020| 0.6| -62.6| -3.7
* Cenovus Energy | -4.6200| -2.3| -29.9| 46.7
* Shopify | -4.7190| -1.2| -6.5| -70.8
* Canadian Natural Resources | -6.9960| -1.3| 92.3| 30.5
US
By Stephen Kirkland and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — US stocks closed higher following a sudden pullback in tech shares, with investors assessing the latest round of upbeat earnings against a backdrop of growing concerns over slowing growth and rising borrowing costs.
The S&P 500 managed to post modest gains in a roller-coaster session that included a sharp downturn after the index failed to push above its 200-day moving average.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 ended lower, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average kept its leadership role among major benchmarks, rallying 0.7%.
Equity markets seesawed in a session marked by steep losses and gains. Treasuries stayed lower, with short-dated yields, the most sensitive to interest-rate changes, up more than five basis points.
Stocks started the day on the back foot as investors weighed the latest mixed economic data with the Federal Reserve on the path of hiking interest rates.
Data Tuesday showed a bigger-than-expected drop in US home construction, while production at US factories increased in July for the first time in three months.
Stocks gained traction later as risk sentiment got a boost from Walmart Inc. exceeding Wall Street’s diminished profit expectations and modestly improving its full-year forecast, while Home Depot Inc. posted results that beat estimates even as the US housing market shows signs of cooling off.
Those results helped spur gains in a swath of retailers, including the Target Corp. and Lowe’s Cos. ahead of their earnings due Wednesday.
“The move lower in the last hour is mostly technical — once the S&P 500 got to its 200-day moving average, the rally began to be exhausted and short sellers challenged the upward momentum,” Joe Gilbert, portfolio manager for Integrity Asset Management. “Realistically, at this level the market is range bound because there is still a fair amount of uncertainty as to how the Fed will perceive the most recent economic data in the prism of likely economic outcomes. The market is not confident enough to break out above this range with so many unknowns.”
Reports Monday showing a sharp drop in New York state manufacturing along with the longest streak of declines since 2007 in homebuilder sentiment sparked optimism in equity markets that the Fed may slow interest-rate hikes. The S&P 500 has rallied 17% from its mid-June nadir, fueled in part by traders dialing back wagers on rate hikes and speculation that inflation has peaked.
“We would caution investors against chasing this rally,” Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, said. “We expect renewed market volatility ahead, and we continue to recommend positioning portfolios for resilience under various scenarios. With inflation still high, we favor value stocks including global energy. And with the economic outlook uncertain, we think investors can consider defensive equity exposure via global healthcare or quality income stocks.”
Clues on how sensitive the Fed is to unfolding economic data may be known when the minutes of the last meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee is released on Wednesday.
However, the big event investors are waiting for is the annual monetary policy symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming during Aug. 25-27.
Traders are bracing for higher volatility until then.

More market commentary
* “I like consumer discretionary,” Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network, said on Bloomberg Radio. “As inflation goes down, consumer confidence is going to come back.” The Walmart data “is something that says, ‘yeah, that may be starting to happen.’ I think tech is also a good place going forward. Play on growth, play on the consumer.”
* “The equity market drawdown has been primarily rates led, earnings weakness is next,” says Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Global Investors, in a note. “A near-term bear market rally is possible as Fed rate expectations settle and inflation peaks. However, with margin pressures growing and demand weakening, earnings concerns are mounting so a sustained rebound is unlikely.”
* “The idea of a soft landing is a bit of a fairy tale at this point given how extreme inflation levels are,” David Schassler, head of quantitative investment solutions at VanEck, said by phone. “Historically speaking, when the government’s been forced to fight inflation at these levels, bad things have happened.”

Here are some key events to watch this week:
* Federal Reserve July minutes, Wednesday
* New Zealand rate decision, Wednesday
* UK CPI, US retail sales, Wednesday
* Australia unemployment, Thursday
* U.S. existing home sales, initial jobless claims, Conference Board leading index, Thursday
* Fed’s Esther George, Neel Kashkari speak at separate events, Thursday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.2% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.2%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.7%
* The MSCI World index was little changed
Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
* The euro was little changed at $1.0170
* The British pound rose 0.3% to $1.2095
* The Japanese yen fell 0.6% to 134.18 per dollar
Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced three basis points to 2.81%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced seven basis points to 0.97%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced 11 basis points to 2.13%
Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 3.2% to $86.56 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.4% to $1,790.80 an ounce
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Tassia Sipahutar, Srinivasan Sivabalan, Emily Graffeo, Isabelle Lee and Peyton Forte.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

To go fast, go alone.  To go far, go together. -Chinese Proverb.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

August 15, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Monday.
August 15, 2001: Astronomers announced the discovery of the first solar system outside our own – two planets orbiting a star in the Big Dipper.  Go to article »
August 15, 2019: Disney Studios becomes the record holder fort the most billion dollar movies in a single year when “Toy Story 4” crossed the $1 billion mark at the global box office joining “Avengers: Endgame”, “Captain Marvel”, “Aladdin” and “The Lion King”.

Napoleon Bonaparte, b. 1769.
T.E. Lawrence, writer, b. 1888.
Julia Child, b. 1912.

Archaeologists dug up a 15th-century kitchen.

Why you should own more books than you can read.

Why humans gesture.

Giant asteroid impacts may have created the continents.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Athletes start the swim section of Ironman Ireland in Cork
CREDIT: Nigel Roddis/Getty Images for Ironman

A competitor in the annual international waterfall jumping competition held in the old town
CREDIT: Dado Ruvić/Reuters

Pre-professional Chautauqua dancers perform ballet at the amphitheatre of the Chautauqua Institution.
CREDIT: Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
Market Closes for August 15th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33912.44 +151.39
+0.45%
S&P 500 4297.14 +16.99
+0.40%
NASDAQ 13128.051 +80.86

+0.62%

TSX 20180.60 +0.79
–%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28871.78 +324.80
+1.14%
HANG
SENG
20040.86 -134.76
-0.67%
SENSEX 59462.78 +130.18
+0.22%
FTSE 100* 7509.15 +8.26

+0.11%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
2.696    2.738
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.840 2.850
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
2.7878 2.8385
U.S.
30 Year Bond
2.1013     3.1111

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7749 0.7829
US
$
1.2904 1.2773
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3113 0.7626
US
$
1.0161 0.9841

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1792.10 1796.70
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 89.41 92.09

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1971, alarmed at inflation, which was running at roughly a 4.5% annual rate, President Richard Nixon issued an executive order declaring a 90-day freeze on wages and prices. Within three years, inflation was at a record 12.2% and the nation was in the worst recession since 1929.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite advanced slightly to 20,180.60 in Toronto.
Toronto-Dominion Bank contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 0.8%. Canopy Growth Corp. had the largest increase, rising 17.2%.
Today, 98 of 238 shares rose, while 135 fell; 9 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* The index declined 1.6% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 5.7% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 9.1% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 11.1% above its low on July 14, 2022
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 2.6% in the past 5 days and rose 9.7% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.6 on a trailing basis and 12.5 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.23t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 14.66% compared with 14.78% in the previous session and the average of 17.48% over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Financials | 25.2756| 0.4| 16/12
* Industrials | 13.3500| 0.5| 21/8
* Consumer Discretionary | 7.5778| 1.1| 8/5
* Consumer Staples | 5.5311| 0.7| 7/3
* Information Technology | 5.4713| 0.5| 11/3
* Utilities | 5.2602| 0.5| 12/4
* Health Care | 3.6678| 4.9| 5/2
* Communication Services | 1.6523| 0.2| 2/5
* Real Estate | 0.0954| 0.0| 7/15
* Materials | -26.6840| -1.2| 5/44
* Energy | -40.4088| -1.1| 4/34
================================================================
| | |Volume VS | YTD
| Index | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* TD Bank | 8.5170| 0.8| -23.5| -10.2
* Bank of Nova Scotia | 6.0550| 0.9| 4.1| -9.4
* Constellation Software | 5.3590| 1.8| -21.0| -6.7
* Enbridge | -5.4430| -0.7| 149.7| 11.6
* Nutrien | -9.6430| -2.2| -25.5| 21.3
* Canadian Natural Resources | -9.6990| -1.7| 45.2| 32.2

US
By Stephen Kirkland and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — US stocks rose for a second day in a row, with megacaps catching bids as investors digested weak data on New York manufacturing and the Chinese economy.

Treasuries gained with the dollar, while commodities from oil to iron ore tumbled.
The S&P 500 closed near highs of the day, reversing losses of as much as 0.5%, with only energy and materials sectors ending in the red.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 outperformed, with Tesla Inc., Apple Inc., Microsoft Corp. and Nvidia Corp. leading gains.
Treasury yields declined and the bond curve remained deeply inverted, pointing to potential risks of a US recession as the Federal Reserve tightens monetary policy.
US stocks are coming off a fourth straight weekly gain, the longest run this year, with sentiment buoyed by signs of slowing price pressures that stirred hopes of a shift by the Fed to less aggressive rate hikes and a gradual slowdown in the economy.
Still, the rally has left market breadth looking stretched with stocks vulnerable to a pullback.
“The magnitude of this bear market rally has surprised many, including us,” Morgan Stanley strategists including Michael Wilson wrote in a note. “In our view, it’s been driven by a combination of better-than-feared 2Q earnings (although revisions/price came down into the quarter), light positioning and continued hope for a less hawkish Fed path.”
In corporate news, activist investor Dan Loeb said he acquired a stake in Walt Disney Co. and called for sweeping changes.
The shares rose for a fourth day to the highest since April.

Big-box retailers take center stage this week with Walmart Inc., Home Depot Inc. and Target Corp. due to report earnings.
“Traders seemingly embraced the downtick in inflation last week and pushed stocks to their highest levels since early May,” Chris Larkin, managing director of trading at E*TRADE from Morgan Stanley, said in a note. “Though with inflation still unsustainably high, and the Fed needing to continue to hike interest rates, the possibility of an inflation ‘head fake’ after last week’s data remains.”
A gauge of New York state manufacturing activity plunged by the second-most in data back to 2001, with sharp declines in orders and shipments indicating an abrupt downturn in demand, a report showed Monday.
Meanwhile, data showed China’s July retail sales, investment and industrial output missed economists’ estimates, and in the euro area, the risk of a recession has reached the highest level since November 2020, according to economists polled by Bloomberg.
Oil shed more than 3%, while iron ore, copper and other metals declined amid mounting concerns that China’s sluggish recovery will curb demand for raw materials.

Gold retreated below $1,800 an ounce and Bitcoin hovered above $24,000.
“We would caution investors not to get too bulled up or chase this rally,” Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer Americas at UBS Global Wealth Management, said. “There is a decent risk that the Fed has to hike rates more than we and the market are currently expecting, a possibility that would quickly cool the warming sentiment. That would also increase downside risks to growth, which are already prevalent.”

Here are some key events to watch this week:
* Earnings include Walmart, Target, Home Depot, Tencent
* Federal Reserve July minutes, Wednesday
* New Zealand rate decision, Wednesday
* UK CPI, US retail sales, Wednesday
* Australia unemployment, Thursday
* U.S. existing home sales, initial jobless claims, Conference Board leading index, Thursday
* Fed’s Esther George, Neel Kashkari speak at separate events, Thursday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.4% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.7%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4%
* The MSCI World index rose 0.2%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.7%
* The euro fell 1% to $1.0159
* The British pound fell 0.7% to $1.2054
* The Japanese yen was little changed at 133.30 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined three basis points to 2.80%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined nine basis points to 0.90%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined nine basis points to 2.02%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 3.4% to $88.97 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 1.2% to $1,794.30 an ounce
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Michael Msika, Tassia Sipahutar, Brett Miller, Sunil Jagtiani, Robert Brand and Lu Wang.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

We delight in the beauty of the butterfly, but rarely admit the changes it has gone through to achieve that beauty. –Maya Angelou, 1928-2014.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

August 12, 2022 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Friday.
August 12, 1981: IBM introduced its first personal computer, the model 5150.  Go to article »
1676: King Philip assassinated.
1851: Sewing machine invented.
Georg Soros, b. 1930.

In an eerie twist, volatile weather and heat-induced drought are unearthing glimpses of lost archaeological treasures and forgotten history.

20 of the most beautiful small towns in Italy.  I can almost hear the sound of my luggage rolling through the airport. Check out this photo gallery to see some of the most beautiful Italian villages. 

Half of all teens say they use the internet ‘almost constantly’.  Social media platforms are rapidly unveiling new features to take on their competitors, causing users to become even more attached. Here’s a friendly reminder for the weekend: less scrolling, more living.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

This year’s last supermoon rises above the statue of the ancient Greek god Poseidon
CREDIT: Valérie Gache/AFP/Getty Images

A horse in a parched field. According to Météo France, it was warmer in Nîmes than in Cairo in July with average maximum temperatures of 36C
CREDIT: Aventurier Patrick/ABACA/Rex/Shutterstock

People look on as the vessel Shabab Oman II, a fully-rigged training ship of the Royal Navy of Oman, arrives into Portsmouth harbour. The ship is a blend of the traditional and modern with state of the art computerised communication systems and navigation equipment, but from the wooden decking upwards, the ship is traditional in terms of her sails and rigging
CREDIT: Andrew Matthews/PA

Market Closes for August 12th, 2022

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
33761.05 +424.38
+1.27%
S&P 500 4280.15 +72.88
+1.73%
NASDAQ 13047.19 +267.28

+2.09%

TSX 20179.81 +187.93
+0.94%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 28546.98 +727.65
+2.62%
HANG
SENG
20175.62 +93.19
+0.46%
SENSEX 59462.78 +130.18
+0.22%
FTSE 100* 7500.89 +34.98

+0.47%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
2.738    2.785
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.850 2.887
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
2.8385 2.8876
U.S.
30 Year Bond
3.1111    3.1749

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.7829 0.7833
US
$
1.2773 1.2767
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.3102 0.7633
US
$
1.0257 0.9749

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1796.70 1795.05
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 92.09 94.34

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1920, Charles Ponzi was arrested for financial fraud in Boston after taking in more than $6 million from thousands of investors. He repaid each $1,000 invested with $1,500 just 90 days later—but only by taking more money from newcomers or, as a judge later put it, “robbing Peter to pay Paul.” Such pyramid arrangements were forever afterwards known as “Ponzi schemes.”
Canada
By Ana Paula Barreto Pereira
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities soared Friday amid a strong earnings season and signs of easing inflation in the US.
The S&P/TSX Composite closed at its highest in two months, climbing 0.9%, or 187.93 points, to 20,179.81 in Toronto.
Toronto-Dominion Bank contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 1.3%.

Aurora Cannabis Inc. had the largest percentage increase, rising 9.3%.
Today, 175 of 238 shares rose, while 61 fell; all sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.
* So far this week, the index rose 2.9%
* The index declined 1.7% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index lost 5.9% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 9.2% below its 52-week high on April 5, 2022 and 11.1% above its low on July 14, 2022
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.6 on a trailing basis and 12.5 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.2t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 14.78% compared with 15.17% in the previous session and the average of 17.85% over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Financials | 66.2996| 1.0| 22/7
* Materials | 45.6732| 2.0| 45/6
* Industrials | 29.8570| 1.2| 28/1
* Information Technology | 11.2867| 1.0| 9/5
* Consumer Staples | 7.5613| 0.9| 7/4
* Communication Services | 7.1412| 0.7| 7/0
* Energy | 6.2565| 0.2| 17/20
* Real Estate | 5.3330| 1.0| 18/5
* Utilities | 4.5795| 0.4| 9/6
* Consumer Discretionary | 2.6426| 0.4| 8/5
* Health Care | 1.2980| 1.8| 5/2
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* TD Bank | 14.0300| 1.3| 32.3| -10.9
* Royal Bank of Canada | 11.1200| 0.9| -55.4| -4.6
* Bank of Montreal | 11.0100| 1.8| -21.2| -2.6
* Saputo | -0.8660| -1.5| -32.6| 17.2
* Vermilion Energy | -1.0920| -2.9| 20.4| 104.5
* Fairfax Financial | -1.8470| -1.8| 85.8| 5.1

US
By Rita Nazareth
(Bloomberg) — Stocks finished the week on solid footing, with traders assessing whether an inflation slowdown could soon make the Federal Reserve reduce the pace of its most-aggressive tightening campaign in decades and prevent a hard landing.
Defying the crowd of skeptics who dubbed the rebound a bear-market rally, short-covering or unwinding of hedges, the S&P 500 notched its fourth straight week of gains — the longest winning run since November — with big tech leading gains Friday.

The gauge recouped half of its losses from January through June, topping the so-called 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
It’s now sitting about 1.5% below its 200-day average — a threshold crossed by the Russell 2000 gauge of small caps.
As equities pushed higher, Wall Street’s fear gauge crumbled.

The CBOE Volatility Index slumped back below 20, the average level since its inception.
The VIX notched its eighth straight week of declines, the longest such stretch since 2019.
Meantime, the S&P 500’s 14-day relative strength index (RSI) topped 70 — which is seen by some traders as one indication of an overbought market.
The next few weeks will be crucial in determining the sustainability of the rally.

With the earnings season almost over, economic reports mixed at best and many Fed speakers unwilling to sound too dovish, some analysts see the chances of a breather.
To Matt Maley at Miller Tabak, stocks are indeed getting overbought on a very-short-term basis, so a decline or sideways move “would not be the worst development in the world.”
For now, flows have been robust. Global equity funds lured $7.1 billion in the week through Aug. 10, Bank of America Corp. strategists led by Michael Hartnett wrote, citing EPFR Global data.

Bond funds had an intake of $11.7 billion, while $4.3 billion was pulled out of cash.
“The music hasn’t stopped,” said Matt Bartolini, State Street Global Advisors’ head of SPDR Americas Research. “The labor market continues to be positive, earnings growth continues to be positive. So largely, if there is a recession, it’s going to be relatively shallow.”
Lindsey Bell, chief markets and money strategist at Ally, said the market’s about to enter what is often considered a “sketchy period.”
“Historically, September and October are notoriously volatile, sometimes featuring big stock market drops,” she wrote. “After a more than 10% rally since mid-June, a bearish seasonal trend is good reason to temper expectations. I expect this market to continue to be reactionary and driven by headlines until we have more clarity on where exactly inflation is headed as we approach 2023.”
Data Friday showed US consumer sentiment climbed to a three-month high on firmer expectations about the economy and personal finances.

Inflation expectations were mixed, with consumers boosting their longer-term views for prices slightly, while reducing their year-ahead outlook for costs.
Fed Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin was the latest official to call for continued rate increases, while acknowledging that this week’s inflation figures were encouraging.

His San Francisco counterpart Mary Daly told Bloomberg Television that the slowdown in price pressures may mean it’s appropriate for the central bank to slow the pace of hikes to 50 basis points in September– but noted the fight
against inflation is far from over.
“The Fed is unlikely to claim victory until inflation reaches target, but recent data support our view that peak Fed hawkishness is behind us,” Bank of America strategists wrote in a note to clients.

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 1.7% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 2.1%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.3%
* The MSCI World index rose 1.1%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2%
* The euro fell 0.6% to $1.0261
* The British pound fell 0.6% to $1.2137
* The Japanese yen fell 0.3% to 133.48 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined five basis points to 2.84%
* Germany’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to 0.99%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced five basis points to 2.11%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 2.4% to $92.03 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 0.6% to $1,817.60 an ounce
–With assistance from Sunil Jagtiani, John Viljoen, Sagarika Jaisinghani, Vildana Hajric, Emily Graffeo, Isabelle Lee, Enrique Roces and Lu Wang.

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

The first test of a truly great person is humility. –John Ruskin, 1819-1900.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com