August 15, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Caught the first Canadian concert for Tom Petty and the Heartbreakers current tour in Vancouver last night.  They were playing at Roger’s Arena and  confirmed their status as Rock n’ Roll royalty playing for an enthusiastic crowd. 

Their new album Hypnotic Eye which has already gone platinum.  They played most of the tunes on that album and one in particular entitled American Dream Plan B offers great lyrics.  Stevie Winwood is the opening act, so pretty impressive lineup of musicians.  I just checked their tour dates; they’re in Washington state tonight, then return to Canada to play in Edmonton, Calgary, etc. – all in all, around 35 more scheduled concerts in North America before they wind up the tour with the second of two concerts in LA on October 11th.  Try to get to one if you’re  a fan – you won’t be disappointed.

Photos of the Day

Students of Shaolin Tagou Martial Arts School are suspended in mid-air as they practise in a dress rehearsal for a stunt performance which is part of the opening ceremony of the 2014 Nanjing Youth Olympic Games, at a stadium in Nanjing, Jiangsu province, China. A total of 520 students took part in the performance named ‘Building the dream’, which will be performed during the opening ceremony of the Youth Olympic Games. Reuters


Vessels anchor in the sea as storm clouds gather over the east coast of Singapore. Edgar Su/Reuters

Market Closes for August 15th, 2014    

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16662.91

 

 

 

-50.67
 
 
 

-0.30%

S&P 500 1955.07

 

-0.11

 

-0.01%

 
NASDAQ 4464.926

 

 

+11.924

 

+0.27%

 
TSX 15303.74 +12.56

 

+0.08%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15318.34 +3.77

 

+0.02%

 

HANG

SENG

24954.94 +153.58
 
 
+0.62%

 

SENSEX 26103.23 +184.28

 

+0.71%
 
 
FTSE 100 6689.08 +3.82

 

+0.06%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.018 2.060
 
 
 
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.584 2.623
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.3397 2.4015
 

 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.1323 3.1917
 
 
 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91780 0.91685

 

US

$

1.08957 1.09069
     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

 

Canadian

$

 

1.46001 0.68493
US

$

 

1.33999 0.74628

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1304.86 1313.38
     
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 97.35 95.58
 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     Aug. 15 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, extending a two-week high, as corrected data that showed the economy added more jobs in July than initially reported and crude prices jumped the most in a month on tension in Ukraine.

     Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. jumped 5 percent after reporting rising production and lower costs. Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd. and Suncor Energy Inc. rallied at least 2.4 percent as oil producers snapped a three-day loss. Alacer Gold Corp. and B2Gold Corp. lost at least 1 percent as the price of gold dropped the most this month.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 13.03 points, or 0.1 percent, to 15,304.21 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark equity gauge has climbed 12 percent this year, the second-best performer among the world’s developed markets behind Denmark.

     Painted Pony added 3.3 percent to C$12.40 and Suncor rose 2.4 percent to C$42.95, the most since June 12, as energy stocks climbed 0.9 percent as a group. Four of 10 industries in the S&P/TSX advanced on trading volume 4.9 percent below the 30-day average.

     West Texas Intermediate crude for September delivery jumped 1.9 percent to settle at $97.35 a barrel in New York, the biggest gain since July 17.

     Ukraine said its troops attacked and partially destroyed a column of armed vehicles that had crossed the border from Russian territory, while Russia said it was concerned about an attack on another convoy carrying aid.                         

     Alacer Gold lost 2.5 percent to C$2.36 and B2Gold slipped 1 percent to C$2.89. Gold for December delivery retreated 0.7 percent to $1,306.20 an ounce in New York, the biggest drop since July 31.

     Canadian employment rose by 41,700 in July, Statistics Canada said today, after it retracted incorrect figures from a week ago that showed a gain of 200 positions.

     The jobs report revisions reduced the full-time job loss to 18,100 from 59,700 and raised the employment gain in the province of Ontario to 39,500 from 15,100. Staff failed to run a program that is part of a scheduled update to the survey, leaving uncounted workers who should have been classified as full-time employees, Statistics Canada said in the report.

     Imperial Metals Corp. rallied 16 percent to C$10.11 after disclosing a plan to raise C$100 million by selling convertible bonds to help pay for the cleanup at its Mount Polley mine, the scene of the worst waste spill in Canada in at least two decades.

     British Columbia officials are investigating the Aug. 4 failure of a dam at the waste pond at Mount Polley. The resulting torrent of waste poured into local waterways, leaving local people without drinking water. The stock has slumped 40 percent since the accident.

US

By Joseph Ciolli

     Aug. 15 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks erased losses as increasing violence in Ukraine sent oil prices to the biggest increase in a month and spurred a rally in energy producers.

     Anadarko Petroleum Corp., Cimarex Energy Co. and Kinder Morgan Inc. led a measure of oil and natural gas producers in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to a 0.5 percent advance, the most among 10 main industries. Nordstrom Inc. sank 5.2 percent after reporting sales that missed analysts’ estimates. Monster Beverage Corp. soared 30 percent after Coca-Cola Co. agreed to buy a stake in the company.

     The S&P 500 pared declines in the late afternoon, ending the day little changed at 1,955.06 as 4 p.m. in New York. It earlier fell as much as 0.7 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 50.67 points, or 0.3 percent, to 16,662.91. About 6 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges today, 5.7 percent above the three-month average.

     “Investors are trying to weed through what exactly is going on in Ukraine, and the market is drifting back,” Stephen Carl, principal and head equity trader at New York-based Williams Capital Group LP, said in a phone interview. “We have a geopolitical situation that needs to be addressed, and that’s overshadowing everything else in the market.”

     Ukrainian government troops attacked an armed convoy that had crossed the border from Russian territory, Andriy Lysenko, a spokesman for the country’s military, told reporters in Kiev. Ukrainian soldiers continue to come under shelling, including rounds fired from Russia, he said.                          

     The Russian Foreign Ministry said in a statement that Ukraine is attempting to disrupt an aid convoy, and called for a cease-fire to allow delivery of supplies. The government in Kiev has for months said that separatist rebels in its easternmost regions are receiving support from Russia, which backs them with artillery fire. Russia has repeatedly denied any involvement in the Ukrainian unrest.

     The turmoil pushed energy prices higher, with West Texas Intermediate crude rising 1.9 percent to $97.35 a barrel. Kinder Morgan Inc. rallied 3.9 percent, bringing gains for the week to 15 percent after Houston billionaire Richard Kinder made a move to consolidate his pipeline empire. Cimarex and Anadarko climbed more than 2 percent.

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which usually moves in the opposite direction to the S&P 500, jumped 5.9 percent to 13.15, halting five days of declines. The gauge lost 17 percent for the week.

     The S&P 500 rose 1.2 percent this week as signs of a slowing economy stoked bets central banks will leave interest rates near record lows for longer, overshadowing escalating tensions in Ukraine.

     Economic data today showed industrial production advanced 0.4 percent in July, while the New York Fed Empire Manufacturing gauge fell more than estimated and consumer confidence unexpectedly declined to its lowest level of the year.

     Nineteen S&P 500 companies, including Home Depot Inc. and Hewlett Packard Co., are scheduled to release earnings next week. About 76 percent of those that have reported so far this season have beaten analyst estimates for earnings, while 65 percent have exceeded sales projections, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

     Nordstrom slid 5.2 percent to $65.11, the lowest since May.  The largest U.S. luxury department-store chain reported same- store sales that missed estimates in the most recent quarter.

     Monster Beverage soared 30 percent to a record $93.49.  Coca-Cola agreed to swap some brands and buy a 17 percent stake in the company for about $2.15 billion, increasing its exposure to the growing energy-drink market. Coca-Cola added 1.7 percent to $40.88 for the biggest gain in the Dow.

     Applied Materials Inc. jumped 6.3 percent to $22.48 after forecasting sales that may top analysts’ estimates. The largest maker of semiconductor-manufacturing equipment forecast fiscal fourth-quarter sales that may top estimates as it steals orders from rivals demand rises for machines that make displays.

     Vringo Inc. plummeted 72 percent to 88 cents. The patent licensing firm, which reported $1.1 million in revenue last year, fell after Google Inc. won its bid to overturn a $30.5 million patent-infringement verdict. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit in Washington determined that the Vringo patents in the case were invalid, according to an opinion on the court’s website.

 

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

I am asking whether it is possible for a human being living psychologically in any society

to clear violence from himself inwardly.

If it is, the very process will produce a different way of living in this world.

 

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

It is never too late to be what your might have been.

                                    -George Eliot, 1819-1880

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

August 14, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Carolann is out of the office this afternoon, I will be writing the newsletter on her behalf.

Photos of the Day The Iberian Peninsula at night, showing Spain and Portugal, is seen in an undated NASA handout picture taken from the International Space Station. Madrid is the bright spot just above the center. The clarity of the night image is possible thanks to the European Space Agency’s NightPod, installed on the station in 2012, according to a NASA news release. It incorporates a motorized tripod that compensates for the station’s speed of approximately 17,500 mph and the motion of the Earth below. NASA/Reuters

The finished giant turkish flower carpet is seen at Brussels’ Grand Place in Blegium. Yves Herman/Reuters

Market Closes for August 14th, 2014    

Market Index Close Change
Dow Jones 16713.58       +61.78  

 

  +0.37%

 

S&P 500 1955.18   +8.46  

 

+0.43%

 
NASDAQ 4453.004     +18.878  

 

+0.43%

 
TSX 15291.18 +28.45  

 

+0.19%    

 

International Markets

Market Index Close Change
NIKKEI 15314.57 +100.94  

 

+0.66%  

 

HANG SENG 24801.36 -88.98  

 

-0.36%  

 

SENSEX 26103.23 +184.28  

 

+0.71%  

 

FTSE 100 6685.26 +28.58  

 

+0.43%  

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 10 Year Bond 2.060 2.074      

 

CND. 30 Year Bond 2.623 2.642

 

U.S.    10 Year Bond 2.4015 2.4166    

 

U.S. 30 Year Bond 3.1917 3.2432    

 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91685 0.91613  

 

US $ 1.09069 1.09155  

 

     
Euro Rate 1 Euro=   Inverse  
Canadian $   1.45741 0.68615

 

US $   1.33624 0.74837

 

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold Fix 1313.38 1312.90

 

     
Oil Close Previous  
WTI Crude Future 95.58 97.59  

 

Canada By Eric Lam

     Aug. 14 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose for the fourth day out of five, joining gains in global markets amid signs of easing tensions in Ukraine after Russian President Vladimir Putin said he will work to end the conflict.

     Badger Daylighting Ltd., a construction services company, rallied 6.4 percent after slumping the most in 18 years yesterday on lower margins. Element Financial Corp., a transportation leasing business, added 4.2 percent for a second day of gains after reporting rising revenue. Royal Bank of Canada advanced 0.8 percent to pace gains among the nation’s largest lenders.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 28.45 points, or 0.2 percent, to 15,291.18 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark equity gauge has climbed 12 percent this year, the second-best performer among the world’s developed markets behind Denmark.

     The MSCI World Index added 0.4 percent as Putin, visiting Crimea today, pledged to work to halt the conflict that’s flared for months between pro-Russian separatists and government forces, killing more than 1,500 people.

     Eight of 10 industries in the S&P/TSX advanced on trading volume 7.4 percent lower compared with the 30-day average.

     Financial stocks, which account for the biggest weighting in the broader index, added 0.6 percent. Element Financial climbed 4.2 percent to C$14.83, a four-month high. Royal Bank, the second-largest lender by assets, rose 0.8 percent to C$80.18 for a fourth day of gains. Royal Bank is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings on Aug. 22.

     First Quantum Minerals Ltd. lost 2 percent to C$23.97, the lowest in six weeks, as copper prices fell to a seven-week low in New York. Output in China rose to the highest since November.

     The Bloomberg Commodity Index of 22 raw materials dropped 0.5 percent, erasing gains for the year. Lean hogs, Brent crude and gasoline fell at least 1.6 percent.

     Penn West Petroleum Ltd. dropped 4.2 percent to C$7.75. Crude futures for September delivery in New York slid 2.1 percent amid speculation U.S. oil demand is slowing after a government report showed weekly inventories expanded for the first time since June.

USA By Elena Popina

     Aug. 14 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to a two-week high, as speculation the crisis in Ukraine won’t escalate overshadowed weaker-than- estimated economic employment data.

     Kohl’s Corp. added 3.3 percent to a four-month high after quarterly results beat estimates. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. gained 0.5 percent after reporting stagnant same-store sales and lowering its profit forecast, while Cisco Systems Inc. declined 2.6 percent after forecasting little to no sales growth. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s Class A shares traded above $200,000 for the first time.

     The S&P 500 added 0.4 percent to 1,955.18 at 4 p.m. in New York, the highest since July 30. The index has advanced 1.2 percent this week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 61.78 points, or 0.4 percent, to 16,713.58. About 4.8 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, the slowest day since July 3.

     “The market is ebbing and flowing off of geopolitical news, it’s been all quiet in the past 24 hours, and that has given a positive push to the market today,” Chad Morganlander, a money manager at St. Louis-based Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., which oversees about $160 billion, said in a phone interview. “The overall jobs market in the U.S. remains bullish, but there is somewhat cautious tone on the European economy.”

     Equity futures and European stocks erased earlier losses after President Vladimir Putin said Russia will do everything it can to stop the conflict in eastern Ukraine. Stocks had slumped after data showed the euro area’s recovery unexpectedly stalled in the second quarter after its three biggest economies

     Prospects of the euro-region’s economy slipping back into recession have fueled speculation the European Central Bank may boost stimulus measures, while U.S. economic strength has created concern that the Federal Reserve may be forced to act on rates sooner than anticipated.

     The U.S. central bank remains on pace to wind down its monthly bond purchases in October. Fed Chair Janet Yellen has said officials will keep the benchmark rate low for a “considerable time” after the bond buying ends.

     The S&P 500 reached a record on July 24 before sliding as much as 3.9 percent as President Barack Obama authorized air strikes against militants in Iraq and concern grew that fighting in Ukraine would disrupt world trade. The gauge closed 1.7 percent below its all-time high.

     Data today showed applications for unemployment benefits in the U.S. rose more than forecast last week, interrupting a steady decline to pre-recession lows. Jobless claims climbed by 21,000 to 311,000 in the period ended Aug. 9, the highest in six weeks, a Labor Department report said.

     “The jobless claims data may shake things up in the market a little bit, but we have to factor in some volatility in the summer jobless claims numbers,” John Manley, who helps oversee about $233 billion as chief equity strategist for Wells Fargo Funds Management in New York, said in a phone interview. “Even if the jobless claims numbers are higher than expected, this negativity can be overshadowed by the fact that rates will remain lower.”

     A report yesterday showed retail sales were little changed in July, the worst performance in six months, as car demand slowed and tepid wage growth restrained U.S. consumers. Home Depot Inc. to Target Corp. and Gap Inc. are among retailers in the S&P 500 that report earnings in the next week.

     Wal-Mart gained 0.5 percent to $74.39. The world’s largest retailer said sales at stores open at least a year were stagnant in the last quarter. The company cut its 2014 profit forecast because of higher health-care costs and slow traffic at its supercenters.

     Kohl’s advanced 3.3 percent to $56.91, the highest since April. The department-store chain posted second-quarter profit of $1.13 per share, more than the $1.07 projected by analysts.

     Cisco slipped 2.6 percent to $24.54 for the biggest drop in the Dow. The world’s largest networking-equipment maker forecast adjusted earnings of 51 cents to 53 cents a share, compared with the 53-cent average analyst projection. Cisco will also take a charge of as much as $700 million to cut 6,000 jobs.

     About 75 percent of the S&P 500-listed companies that have posted results this season have beaten analysts’ estimates, while 65 percent have exceeded sales projections, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

     Profit for members of the equity benchmark probably climbed 9.7 percent in the second quarter, while sales increased 4.3 percent, according to analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The S&P 500 trades at 16.3 times the projected earnings of its members, down from a multiple of 16.7 in July.

     The equities benchmark has been trading below its 50-day moving average of 1,956.8 for the past 11 periods. Since early 2013, it has dipped below that measure while remaining above its 200-day average on six occasions, Terry Sandven, chief equity strategist at Minneapolis-based U.S. Bank Wealth Management, which oversees $124 billion, said in a note to clients. Each time, the gauge rebounded to continue its upward ascent, Sandven wrote.

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which usually moves in the opposite direction to the S&P 500, slid 3.7 percent to 12.42 today in its fifth day of declines, the longest losing streak since May. The gauge has lost 25 percent during the slump.

     Nine of the 10 main S&P 500 groups advanced today, with health-care and utilities stocks rising at least 0.9 percent for the best performances.

     Perrigo Co., a maker of generic drugs, added 7.3 percent for the biggest advance in the S&P 500 after it reported adjusted fourth-quarter earnings that topped estimates.

     Avago Technologies Ltd. jumped 2.6 percent to $73.84. The company agreed to sell its Axxia networking business to Intel Corp. for $650 million.

     Berkshire Hathaway Class A shares advanced 1.6 percent to $202,850, an all-time high. The stock traded above $200,000 for the first time, further validating Buffett’s vision for building wealth at the company he’s run for almost five decades.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone. 

 

Be magnificent!

“Life is a song – sing it. Life is a game – play it. Life is a challenge – meet it. Life is a dream – realize it. Life is a sacrifice – offer it. Life is love – enjoy it.”

Sai Baba

As ever,

 

Karen

 

“The privilege of a lifetime is being who you are.” –  Joseph Campbell

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

August 13, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

On this day in 1961, the Brandenburg Gate was closed separating East and West Berlin and construction of the Berlin Wall began.

Exciting story reported today, this from the Guardian newspaper:

Archaeologists uncover vast ancient tomb in Greece

Site dates to end of Alexander the Great’s reign in 4th century BC and may be grave of a prominent Macedonian, say officials

Reuters,The Guardian, Wednesday 13 August 2014
Archaeologists have unearthed a vast ancient tomb in Greece, distinguished by two sphinxes and frescoed walls and dating to 300-325BC, the government announced on Tuesday.

The tomb, in the country’s north-eastern Macedonia region, which has been gradually unearthed over the past two years, marks a significant discovery from the early Hellenistic era. A culture ministry official said that there was no evidence yet to suggest a link to Alexander the Great – who died in 323BC after an unprecedented military campaign through the Middle East, Asia and northeast Africa – or his family.

The official said the Amphipolis site, about 65 miles north-east of Greece’s second-biggest city, Thessaloniki, appeared to be the largest ancient tomb to have been discovered in Greece.

Archaeologists began excavating the site in 2012 and expect to enter the tomb by the end of the month to determine who was buried there.

“It looks like the tomb of a prominent Macedonian of that era,” said a second culture ministry official. Alexander the Great died in Babylonia, in modern Iraq, and his actual burial place is not known.

Archaeologists have found two sphinxes, thought to have guarded the tomb’s entrance, and a 4.5-metre-wide road leading into it, with walls on both sides covered by frescoes. It is circled by a 497-metre marble outer wall.

Experts believe a five-metre-tall lion sculpture previously discovered nearby once stood atop the tomb.

“It is certain that we stand before an especially significant finding. The land of Macedonia continues to move and surprise us, revealing its unique treasures,” the prime minister, Antonis Samaras, said on Tuesday during a visit to the site.

Photos of the DayA meteor streaks over the sky during the Perseid meteor shower at the Maculje archaeological site near Novi Travnik. According to NASA, the annual Perseid meteor shower reaches its peak on August 12 and 13 in Europe. The fireballs from the meteorites are fast and plentiful, although a nearly full moon (Supermoon) makes it difficult to view them this year, the agency adds. Dado Ruvic/Reuters

A visitor tries Sony’s ‘Project Morpheus’ virtual reality headset at an exhibition stand during the Gamescom 2014 fair in Cologne. The Gamescom convention, Europe’s largest video games trade fair, runs from August 13 to August 17. Ina Fassbender/Reuters

Market Closes for August 13th, 2014    

MarketIndex Close Change
DowJones 16651.80 +91.26

 

+0.55% 
S&P 500 1946.72 +12.97 

+0.67%

NASDAQ 4434.125 +44.874 

+1.02%

TSX 15262.73 -11.50 
-0.08%

 

International Markets

MarketIndex Close Change
NIKKEI 15213.63 +52.32

 

+0.35%

 

HANGSENG 24890.34 +200.93

 

+0.81%

 

SENSEX 25918.95 +38.18

 

+0.15%

 

FTSE 100 6656.68 +24.26

 

+0.37% 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.10 Year Bond 2.074 2.114
CND.30 YearBond 2.642 2.670
U.S.   10 Year Bond 2.4166 2.4491
U.S.30 Year Bond 3.2432 3.2765

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91613 0.91513

 

US$ 1.09155 1.09274 
Euro Rate1 Euro= Inverse 
Canadian$  1.45873 0.68553

 

US$  1.33639 0.74829

 

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London GoldFix 1312.90 1308.56
 
Oil Close Previous
WTI Crude Future 97.59 97.37

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Jacob Barach

Aug. 13 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks ended a three-day rally as raw-material companies dropped after China’s industrial production trailed analyst estimates.

Badger Daylighting Ltd., an excavation company, fell 24 percent after it reported lower profit margins on slower activity in North America and wet weather in Saskatchewan. Black Diamond Group Ltd. slid 3.7 percent after its earnings fell short of analyst estimates. Secure Energy Services Inc. rose 13 percent on better-than-forecast profit.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index dropped 11.50 points, or 0.1 percent, to 15,262.73 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The equity gauge is up 12 percent this year, and had advanced 1 percent over the previous three days.

Teck Resources Ltd., Canada’s largest diversified mine operator, slid 0.3 percent. Copper fell 1.3 percent amid concern about the outlook for demand in China, the biggest consumer of the metal. Zinc and aluminum slid in London.

China’s industrial output expanded 9 percent in July, less than the 9.2 percent estimate from economists in a Bloomberg survey, government statistics showed today. The country’s broadest measure of credit slumped to the lowest since the global financial crisis.

Badger Daylighting plunged 24 percent to C$27.25. Adjusted Ebitda margins were 25 percent for the second quarter, compared with 29 percent a year ago, the company said.

Black Diamond fell 3.7 percent to C$28.67. The provider of temporary work space reported earnings excluding some items of 23 cents a share, compared with the 31-cent average analyst estimate, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Yesterday, the stock was reduced to market perform, the equivalent of hold, from outperform at BMO Capital Markets.

Secure Energy Services gained 13 percent to C$27.18. The company, which sells services to the oil and gas industry, had earnings of 5 cents a share, compared with the average analyst estimate of 4 cents. It also agreed to buy Predator Midstream Ltd., according to a statement from the company yesterday.

USA

By Elena Popina

Aug. 13 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, pushing the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to a two-week high, as a slowdown in retail sales boosted speculation the Federal Reserve won’t be forced to raise rates sooner than anticipated.

Amazon.com Inc. climbed 2.2 percent after ChannelAdvisor Corp. said the retailer’s same-store sales rose 40 percent in July. Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. jumped 3.9 percent to lead gains among health-care stocks. King Digital Entertainment Plc plummeted 23 percent trading after posting worse-than-forecast sales and cutting its 2014 outlook. Macy’s Inc. lost 5.5 percent after profit fell short of estimates.

The S&P 500 gained 0.7 percent to 1,946.72 at 4 p.m. in New York, the highest since July 30. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 91.26 points, or 0.6 percent, to 16,651.80, also the highest in two weeks. About 5.1 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 11 percent below the three-month average.

“There is some feeling that events overseas are beginning to cool down a little bit but also the retail numbers might suggest that the Fed is not going to be so aggressive in raising rates any time soon,” Bruce Bittles, chief investment strategist at Milwaukee-based RW Baird & Co., which oversees $110 billion, said in a phone interview. “That has been the backbone of the market for the past five years.”

Retail sales were little changed in July, the worst performance in six months, as car demand slowed and tepid wage growth restrained U.S. consumers. The slowdown in purchases followed a 0.2 percent advance in June, the Commerce Department reported today in Washington.

Recent data have shown U.S. gross domestic product expanded at a 4 percent annual pace in the second quarter, confirming the Fed’s view that a first-quarter contraction was transitory. Employers in the U.S. added more than 200,000 jobs for a sixth straight month in July, the longest such period since 1997.

The economic strength had created concern that the Fed may be forced to act on rates sooner than anticipated, as the central bank remains on pace to wind down its monthly bond purchases in October. Fed Chair Janet Yellen has said officials will keep its benchmark low for a “considerable time” after the bond buying ends.

Three-rounds of bond purchases and record-low interest rates have helped push stocks higher by as much as 194 percent from a bear-market low in 2009.

The S&P 500 last closed at a record on July 24 before tumbling 3.9 percent on concerns that geopolitical crises from Ukraine to Israel and Iraq could derail the global economy. The gauge closed today 2.1 percent below its all-time high.

In Iraq, Kurdish forces fought to retake positions overrun last week by Islamic State fighters in the northern part of the country, while a political standoff between President Fouad Masoum and Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki continued.

Ukrainian officials said today they’d refuse entry to a truck convoy that Russia says is loaded with humanitarian assistance for rebel-held eastern areas, while pledging to send their own aid to the embattled region.

“The many geopolitical issues are a little quieter or on the back burner at the moment,” Richard Sichel, chief investment officer at Philadelphia Trust Co., which oversees $2 billion, said in a phone interview. “It’s given investors an opportunity to take a look and see if they want to add to positions, and it looks like that’s what they’re doing today.”

Four companies, including Macy’s and Cisco Systems Inc. report earnings today. About 75 percent of those that have posted results this season have beaten analyst estimates, while 64 percent have exceeded sales projections, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which usually moves in the opposite direction to the S&P 500, slid 8.7 percent to 12.90 today.

All 10 main S&P 500 groups advanced today, with health-care and information technology stocks advancing at least 1.1 percent for the best performances. Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. added 3.9 percent for the biggest advance in the S&P 500 while Intel Corp. jumped 2.9 percent to lead gains in the Dow.

Health Care REIT Inc. added 2.3 percent to $64.95 as it agreed to buy HealthLease Properties Real Estate Investment Trust and formed a partnership for additional properties to expand in senior care.

InterMune Inc. jumped 14 percent to $52.06, the most since October 2000, after reports the company had received takeover bids from some of Europe’s biggest drugmakers, including Sanofi and Roche Holding AG.

Amazon.com climbed 2.2 percent to $326.28. ChannelAdvisor said the company’s rate of sales growth has increased each month this year.

EBay Inc. slipped 0.9 percent to $52.94. Its July sales grew by 9.7 percent, down from a 12 percent gain in June, according to ChannelAdvisor.

Macy’s sank 5.5 percent to $56.47 for its biggest slide in two years. The second-largest U.S. department-store company’s earnings missed estimates after discounts meant to lure shoppers eroded profit margins. The Cincinnati-based company, which operates about 840 stores, cut its full-year forecast for comparable-sales growth.

Macy’s led clothing and accessories retailers lower. Fossil Group Inc. tumbled 5.6 percent for the biggest drop in the S&P 500. Tiffany & Co., Kohl’s Corp. and TJX Cos. dropped at least

1.5 percent.

FleetCor Technologies Inc. added 9.8 percent to $142.10. The provider of fuel cards agreed to buy Comdata Inc. for $3.45 billion.

King Digital tumbled 23 percent to $13.99. The maker of the Candy Crush Saga video game said yesterday that gross bookings — the value of virtual merchandise sold — will fall in the third quarter. It also reported second-quarter adjusted revenue that missed analysts’ projections.

SeaWorld Entertainment Inc. dropped 33 percent to $18.90, the lowest since its debut in April 2013. Third-quarter earnings missed estimates as controversy over treatment of captive whales in its theme-park shows hurt attendance, the company said.

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

An eye for an eye only ends up making the whole world blind.

Mahatma Gandhi, 1869-1948

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Beauty is power; a smile is its sword.

-Charles Reid, 1814-1884

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

August 12, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Perseid meteor shower peaks tonight.

Do you think God gets stoned? I think so….look at the platypus. –Robin Williams.

Photos of the DayFlowers decorate the late Robin Williams’s star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame in Los Angeles, Calif. Comedians, politicians, and several generations of fans collectively mourned the death of Robin Williams, the actor famous for his fast-paced and freewheeling comedy, whose apparent suicide at age 63 prompted an outpouring of tributes. Lucy Nicholson/Reuters

Fireworks explode over the Grand Palace to mark the birthday of Thailand’s Queen Sirikit in Bangkok. Athit Perawongmetha/Reuters

Market Closes for August 12th, 2014    

MarketIndex Close Change
DowJones 16560.54  -9.44

 

-0.06% 
S&P 500 1933.75 -3.17 

-0.16%

NASDAQ 4389.250 -12.081 

-0.27%

TSX 15274.23 +12.59

 

+0.08%

 

International Markets

MarketIndex Close Change 
NIKKEI 15161.31 +30.79

 

+0.20%

 

HANGSENG 24689.41 +43.39

 

+0.18%

 

SENSEX 25880.77 +361.53

 

+1.42%

 

FTSE 100 6632.42 -0.40

 

-0.01%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.10 Year Bond 2.114 2.071 
CND.30 YearBond 2.670 2.635

 

U.S.   10 Year Bond 2.4491 2.4203 
U.S.30 Year Bond 3.2765 3.2351 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91513 0.91122

 

US$ 1.09274 1.09743 
Euro Rate1 Euro= Inverse 
Canadian$  1.46084 0.68454

 

US$  1.33686 0.74802

 

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London GoldFix 1308.56 1308.63
 
Oil Close Previous
WTI Crude Future 97.37 98.08

By Eric Lam

Aug. 12 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose a third day as gold miners advanced to pace gains among raw-materials stocks while crude slipped to send energy producers lower.

Pretium Resources Inc. and Torex Gold Resources Inc. rallied at least 4.2 percent. Legacy Oil & Gas Inc. retreated 3.4 percent as Brent crude fell to a 13-month low. Teck Resources Ltd. dropped 2.5 percent after analysts at Goldman Sachs & Co. cut their rating for the stock.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 12.59 points, or 0.1 percent, to 15,274.23 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark equity gauge has climbed 12 percent this year, the second-best performer among the world’s developed markets behind Denmark.

Six of the 10 main industries in the S&P/TSX advanced on trading volume 5.8 percent lower than the 30-day average.

Raw-materials producers jumped 0.9 percent for the biggest advance, as gold fluctuated around $1,310 an ounce in New York. Gold has rallied 9 percent this year amid concern crises in Ukraine and Iraq could disrupt global growth.

Pretium advanced 4.2 percent to C$7.89, the highest in three weeks, and Torex increased 6.6 percent to C$1.62.

A Russian humanitarian mission was headed toward eastern Ukraine after the U.S. warned President Vladimir Putin not to use aid as a cover to send in troops.

Iraq’s political crisis deepened as embattled Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki refused to hand power to designated successor Haidar al-Abadi, and soldiers and militiamen fanned out across the capital, Baghdad.

Energy shares slipped 0.3 percent, as Brent oil slumped after the International Energy Agency said a supply glut was shielding the market against threats in the Middle East.

Legacy Oil dropped 3.4 percent to C$7.87, and Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd. retreated 5.6 percent to C$11.63.

US

By Elena Popina and Callie Bost

Aug. 12 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks declined, after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index produced its biggest two-day gain since April, as investors watched geopolitical developments and energy shares sank after Brent crude fell to a 13-month low.

Nuance Communications Inc. tumbled 9 percent after posting third-quarter revenue that missed analysts’ estimates. Consol Energy Inc. slipped 2.4 percent to pace losses among energy shares. Intercept Pharmaceuticals Inc. soared 17 percent after a clinical trial met its primary goal. Newmont Mining Corp. jumped 2 percent to the highest since November after an eighth day of gains.

The S&P 500 fell 0.2 percent to 1,933.75 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 9.44 points, or 0.1 percent, to 16,560.54. The Russell 2000 Index of small stocks retreated 0.8 percent. About 4.9 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, the slowest day in a month.

“We’re in a zone of ambivalence with investors maintaining a cautious bias,” Terry Sandven, chief equity strategist at Minneapolis-based U.S. Bank Wealth Management, which oversees $124 billion, said by phone. “Equities appear to be navigating the dog days of summer with markets being driven more by geopolitical events than economic and company fundamentals.”

The S&P 500 climbed 1.4 percent in the previous two trading days amid speculation that tension in Ukraine would lessen. The S&P 500 had fallen as much as 3.9 percent from its record of 1,987.98 on July 24 on concern that conflicts from Iraq to Israel and Ukraine could slow global economic growth.

Data today from Germany reignited those concerns, after investor confidence reported by the ZEW Center dropped for an eighth month as the crisis in Ukraine and a sluggish euro-area recovery damped the outlook for Europe’s largest economy.

A Russian humanitarian mission was headed toward eastern Ukraine after the U.S. warned President Vladimir Putin not to use aid as a cover to send in troops. Ukraine said it won’t let the convoy enter in its current form because it argues the mission doesn’t adhere to international rules.

Equities pared declines after Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov called on Germany to assist with the aid mission. Lavrov spoke by phone with German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier today, the Russian Foreign Ministry website said.

In the Middle East, wide gaps remain between Israel and the Palestinians in reaching a long-term deal on the Gaza Strip, an Israeli official said, as Hamas warned there would be no more truces beyond the one due to end at midnight tomorrow.

Iraq’s Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki chaired a meeting of military officers in the latest sign that he won’t hand power to designated successor Haidar al-Abadi.

“We have some bad news on German investor confidence, and bad news from the euro zone in the long term impact the U.S.,” Walter Todd, who oversees more than $1 billion as chief investment officer for Greenwood, South Carolina-based Greenwood Capital Associates LLC, said in a phone interview. “The economic data from the U.S. is very good, but if the economic situation in Europe continues to deteriorate, we’re not going be immune from that forever.”

Recent reports have shown U.S. gross domestic product expanded at a 4 percent annual pace in the second quarter, confirming the Fed’s view that a first-quarter contraction was transitory. Employers in the U.S. added more than 200,000 jobs for a sixth straight month in July, the longest such period since 1997.

A government report today showed job openings rose in June to the highest level in more than 13 years, firming up the U.S. labor market picture for the second half of the year. The figures are among those on Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen’s labor-market “dashboard,” which she uses to help guide monetary policy.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which usually moves in the opposite direction to the S&P 500, slid 0.7 percent to 14.13 today.

Seven of the 10 main groups in the S&P 500 declined, with energy companies dropping 0.7 percent to lead the slide as Brent crude settled at the lowest level since July 2013. The International Energy Agency said a supply glut was shielding the market against threats in the Middle East.

Consol Energy lost 2.4 percent, while Kinder Morgan Inc. fell 1.6 percent after yesterday rallying 9 percent. Pioneer Natural Resources Co. slid 2 percent.

Nuance Communications dropped 9 percent to $16.47 after the maker of speech-recognition software reported adjusted third- quarter revenue of $486.8 million, missing the average analyst projection of $498.5 million.

Intercept Pharmaceuticals surged 17 percent to $276.52. The company said a treatment based on bile acid met the primary goal in a test of 219 patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

Newmont Mining rose 2 percent to $27.06 for the biggest gain in the S&P 500 and its highest level since November 2013. The gold miner’s eight-day rally is its longest in three years.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

Facts are not frightening.

But if you try to avoid them, turn your back and run, then that is frightening.

 

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986

 

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

If people never did silly things, nothing intelligent would ever get done.

-Ludwig Wittgenstein, 1889-1951

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

August 8, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Sneak Some Zucchini Onto Your Neighbor’s Porch Night.

Celebrate this fun holiday on August 8!

Established by Pennsylvanian Tom Roy, this day encourages sharing. “Due to the overzealous planting of zucchini, citizens are asked to drop off baskets of the squash on neighbors’ doorsteps.” –Chase’s Calendar of Events.

I believe in pink.
I believe that laughing is the best calorie burner.
I believe in kissing, kissing a lot.
I believe in being strong when everything seems to be going wrong.
I believe that happy girls are the prettiest girls.
I believe that tomorrow is another day and I believe in miracles.

-Audrey Hepburn, 1929-1993

Photos of the Day

Hot air balloons lift off during a mass ascent at the 36th International Balloon Fiesta at Ashton Court Estate near Bristol, England. Ben Birchall/PA/AP


A couple wearing kimonos pose for wedding photos in Hamarikyu Gardens in Tokyo. Eugene Hoshiko/AP

Six sculptures of animated character Shaun the Sheep stand on display during a photocall near the Houses of Parliament in London. The ‘Shaun in the City’ sculptures, decorated by different artists and celebrities, will be auctioned to raise money for sick children. Matt Dunham/AP

Market Closes for August 8th, 2014    

MarketIndex Close Change
DowJones 16553.93  +185.66

 

+1.13%

 

S&P 500 1931.17 +21.60

 

+1.13%

NASDAQ 4371.148 +36.182

 

+0.83%

TSX 15195.69 +77.26

 

+0.51%

 

International Markets

MarketIndex Close Change
NIKKEI 14778.37 -454.00

 

-2.98%

 

HANGSENG 24331.41 -56.15

 

-0.23%

 

SENSEX 25329.14 -259.87

 

-1.02%

 

FTSE 100 6567.36 -30.01

 

-0.45%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.10 Year Bond 2.064 2.073 
CND.30 YearBond 2.624 2.621

 

U.S.   10 Year Bond 2.4221 2.4114

 

U.S.30 Year Bond 3.2343 3.2239

 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91122 0.91478

 

US$ 1.09743 1.09316

 

Euro Rate1 Euro= Inverse 
Canadian$  1.47158 0.67954

 

US$  1.34093 0.74575

 

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London GoldFix 1311.29 1311.89

 

 
Oil Close Previous
WTI Crude Future 97.51 97.34

 


Market Commentary:

Canada
By Eric Lam and Callie Bost

Aug. 8 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, trimming a second weekly decline, as signs that tensions are easing in Ukraine outweighed concern over crises in the Middle East and data showing national employers added fewer jobs than forecast.

Magna International Inc. rallied 6.5 percent, the most in more than two years, after boosting its sales outlook. SNC- Lavalin Group Inc. dropped 2.8 percent after second-quarter profit missed analysts’ estimates on declining revenue. Enerflex Ltd., an oilfield services company, jumped 10 percent as more bookings helped it report better-than-expected profit.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 77.88 points, or 0.5 percent, to 15,196.31 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark slipped 0.1 percent this week.

Stock gains accelerated in afternoon trading as Russia’s Defense Ministry said warplanes had ended drills in the region near Ukraine while RIA Novosti earlier reported that Russia offered to mediate between the government in Ukraine and the separatists that it’s battling.

U.S. President Barack Obama approved airstrikes in Iraq, and rocket attacks marked the end of a cease-fire between Israel and Hamas. Investors have been watching developments in geopolitical crises for signs of slowing global economic growth.

Canada added 200 jobs after a decline of 9,400 in May, while the country’s unemployment rate fell to 7.0 percent as people left the labor market, Statistics Canada said today in Ottawa. Economists had projected a 20,000 job increase according to median forecasts. The economy has alternated monthly jobs gains and losses for nine straight months.

Magna rose 6.5 percent to C$122.24 after reporting higher profit and sales than analysts had forecast. The auto parts maker also increased its 2014 sales guidance to $35.6 billion to $37.3 billion, from $34.9 billion to $36.6 billion.

Linamar Corp. rallied 5.2 percent to C$64.23 and Martinrea International Inc. added 5.6 percent to C$14.09 to pace gains among consumer discretionary stocks. Six of 10 industries in the S&P/TSX advanced.

Avigilon Corp., a security solutions provider, sank 11 percent to C$22.07, the worst decline in three months. The company reported earnings that fell short of estimates and expenses for sales, marketing and research and development expenses increased.

US
By Elena Popina

Aug. 8 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbing the most in five months to erase a weekly loss, as signs that tensions are easing in Ukraine outweighed concern over crises in the Middle East.

Gap Inc. advanced 5.9 percent as the retailer’s earnings and revenue topped estimates. Coach Inc. added 5.4 percent to lead a rally in apparel companies. Zynga Inc. tumbled 1.4 percent after cutting its full-year outlook. News Corp. slid 1.6 percent after fourth-quarter earnings missed estimates as the company struggled in its transition from print to digital.

The S&P 500 jumped 1.2 percent to 1,931.59 at 4 p.m. in New York, the most since March 4. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 185.66 points, or 1.1 percent, to 16,553.93. About 5.6 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 2.6 percent below the three-month average.

“For the most part the market has been pretty resilient over the last week or so,” Michael James, a Los Angeles-based managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities Inc., said in an interview. “It has been able to shrug off a lot of negatives and not go lower than it had.”

The S&P 500’s rally erased declines in the previous four sessions and left the index 0.3 percent higher for the week. The gauge yesterday came within 60 points of wiping out its gains for 2014 as it closed below its 100-day moving average for the first time since April. The Dow bounced back after touching its average price in the past 200 days.

Stocks jumped after RIA Novosti reported that Russia seeks a de-escalation of the conflict in Ukraine. Equities extended gains as Interfax, citing Russia’s Defense Ministry, said military exercises held since Aug. 4 near the Ukraine border are over and forces are returning to areas of permanent deployment.

The S&P 500 had dropped 3.9 percent from a record on July 24 through yesterday as Russia amassed troops along Ukraine’s border and as conflict escalated between Israel and Hamas. Equity futures retreated early today as President Barack Obama approved air strikes in Iraq, and rocket attacks marked the end of a cease-fire between Israel and Hamas.

“When you see the geopolitical news in Russia and the Middle East, it’s horrible from a humanitarian point of view for U.S. equities, but how bad is it for U.S. economic fundamentals?” Michael Purves, chief global strategist and head of equity derivatives research at Weeden & Co. in Greenwich, Connecticut, said in a phone interview. “It’s pretty distant. We’ve had a big selloff since the highs in July and in my estimations, this has been a pretty orderly retreat spurred by overstretched market conditions.”

U.S. stocks climbed amid speculation that recent declines had been excessive. Almost 80 percent of stocks in the S&P 500 closed yesterday below their average price of the past 50 days, the most since 2012, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. All but one of the 10 main industries in the index was oversold, a report from Bespoke Investment Group LLC showed.

The S&P 500 has gone without a 10 percent correction since 2011. It trades at 17.5 times the reported earnings of its companies, after reaching a four-year high of 18.3 in June.

Data today showed the productivity of U.S. workers rose more than projected in the second quarter, rebounding from the biggest drop in more than three decades and helping to restrain labor costs.

Reports last week showed U.S. gross domestic product expanded at a 4 percent annual pace in the second quarter, confirming the Fed’s view that a first-quarter contraction was transitory. Employers in the U.S. added more than 200,000 jobs for a sixth straight month in July, the longest such period since 1997.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, known as the VIX, fell 5.3 percent to 15.77, extending a weekly decline to 7.4 percent.

All 10 major industries in the S&P 500 advanced. Utilities climbed 2 percent for the largest gain.

Consumer-discretionary shares added 1.6 percent, as Gap rallied 5.9 percent, the most since November. The biggest apparel-focused retailer in the U.S. reported preliminary second-quarter earnings and revenue that beat estimates.

Coach added 5.4 percent to lead a 1.9 percent jump in apparel makers.

Nvidia Corp. gained 8.8 percent after the maker of mobile- phone chips posted second-quarter adjusted earnings of 30 cents a share. Analysts on average had predicted 26 cents.

Monster Beverage Corp. advanced 6.7 percent after reporting quarterly earnings of 81 cents a share. That beat the 75-cent average estimate of analysts in a Bloomberg survey.

Zynga dropped 1.4 percent after the online game company posted second-quarter results at the low end of its forecast and cut its full-year outlook after deciding to delay new games.

News Corp., which split from billionaire Rupert Murdoch’s entertainment business last year, retreated 1.6 percent. Chief Executive Officer Robert Thomson is working to transform the company’s print properties into a digital business as well as expand around the globe. The news division, which publishes the Wall Street Journal and the New York Post, continued to face difficulty at a time when advertising is fleeing print in favor of digital destinations. Of the S&P 500 companies that have reported quarterly results so far this season, 75 percent beat analysts’ estimates for profit, while 64 percent exceeded sales projections.

 

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

When you call yourself an Indian or a Muslim, or a Christian, or a European, or anything else,

you are being violent. Do you see why? Because you are separating yourself from the rest of mankind.

When you separate yourself by belief, by nationality, by tradition it breeds violence.

 

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986

 

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

…greatness comes when you are really tested, when you take some knocks, some disappointments,

when sadness comes, because only if you have been in the deepest valley can you ever know how

magnificent it is to be on the highest mountain.

-Richard Nixon, 1913-1994

from his resignation speech

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

January 10, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

As Carolann is out of the office this afternoon, I will be writing the newsletter on her behalf.

A Victoria man has stumbled across a rare finding on the Gorge mud flats.  Retiring last year, Bruce Campbell took up metal detecting as a hobby and had no idea he would come across this uncommon find; an English Shilling dating back to 1551-1553 when Edward VI’s had his brief reign. Before coming across this rare find, Bruce also found a 1891 Canadian nickel and a silver dime from the 1960’s.  Not realizing what he found, he went home and posted pictures on the Official Canadian Metal Detecting Website.  Not too long after, people started posting comments stating “That’s not just any old coin.”  For Bruce, this was just his hobby and now a new coin for his collection.  He also hopes the Royal BC Museum might take interest in his find.  To read the complete article, visit: http://www.timescolonist.com/16th-century-english-shilling-found-in-gorge-1.783197.

Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will.
Nelson Mandela

Photos of the Day:

An Orbital Sciences Corp. Antares rocket launches from NASA’s Wallops Flight Facility in Wallops Island, Va., Jan. 9th. The spacecraft is carrying the company’s first official re-supply mission to the International Space Station. Chris Perry/NASA/AP


The giant inflatable Rubber Duck installation by Dutch artist Florentijn Hofman floats on the Parramatta River, as part of the 2014 Sydney Festival, in Western Sydney, Australia. The creation is five stories tall and five stories wide and has been seen floating in various cities around the world since 2007.Jason Reed/Reuters

Market Closes for January 10th, 2014

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

16437.05 -7.71

 

 

-0.05%

S&P 500 1842.37 +4.24

 

 

+0.23%

NASDAQ 4174.664 +18.470

 

 

+0.44%

TSX 13747.52 +118.11 

 

+0.87% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15912.06 +31.73 

 

+0.20% 

 

HANG 

SENG

22846.25 +58.92 

 

+0.26% 

 

SENSEX 20758.49 +45.12 

 

+0.22% 

 

FTSE 100 6739.94 +48.60 

 

+0.73% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.557 2.684
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

3.110 3.191
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.8561 2.9578
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.7991 3.8678

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91784 0.92211 

 

US  

$

1.08952 1.08448
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.48891 0.67163
US 

$

1.36681 0.73163

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1246.33 1228.43
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 92.72 91.66
BRENT 109.360 109.360 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

Jan. 10 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose a fourth day, to an almost three-year high, as gold rallied on speculation that weaker-than-estimated U.S. jobs growth will lead the Federal Reserve to slow the pace of stimulus withdrawal.

Barrick Gold Corp. and Goldcorp Inc. rallied at least 3 percent as gold gained the most in a week. BlackBerry Ltd. climbed 1 percent for a fifth day of increases after an analyst with RBC Capital Markets raised his rating on the stock. Air Canada, the best-performing stock in the benchmark equity gauge in 2013, added 5.2 percent.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 118.11 points, or 0.9 percent, to 13,747.52 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The index rallied 1.5 percent this week and closed at the highest level since May 2011.

“The commodities are having a good day and gold is feeding off the weak dollar and weak jobs numbers,” said Michael O’Brien, fund manager with TD Asset Management Inc. in Toronto.

The firm manages C$218.3 billion ($200.2 billion). “Clearly the jobs data caught everybody off guard.”

Gold for February delivery jumped 1.4 percent to settle at $1,246.90 an ounce in New York, reversing an earlier drop after the jobs data.

Canada’s unemployment rate rose to 7.2 percent in December, from a five-year low of 6.9 percent in the previous month while employment fell by 45,900. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News projected a 14,100 job increase and an unchanged jobless rate. U.S. payrolls in December increased at the slowest pace since January 2011.

Raw-materials stocks surged 2.4 percent as a group, the most since October and the biggest gain in the S&P/TSX. Nine of 10 industries advanced on trading volume 27 percent higher compared with the 30-day average at this time of the day.

Barrick Gold gained 3 percent to C$19.82 and Goldcorp increased 4 percent to C$25.29 as all 23 members of the S&P/TSX Gold Index advanced. Novagold Resources Inc. rallied 7.8 percent to C$3.05 and Osisko Mining Corp. added 5.9 percent to C$5.17.

First Majestic Silver Corp. added 5.3 percent to C$11.51 and Silver Standard Resources Inc. climbed 7.7 percent to C$8.26 as the price of silver rose 2.7 percent, the most since Jan. 2.

Bankers Petroleum Ltd. rose 4.3 percent to C$4.58 and Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. advanced 3.1 percent to C$36.19 as the price of crude rose for the first time in three days.

West Texas Intermediate rallied 1.2 percent to settle at $92.72 a barrel in New York.

BlackBerry increased 1 percent to C$9.56. The stock rallied every day this week, adding 18 percent to the highest level since September.

Mark Sue, analyst with RBC Capital Markets, said recently installed Chief Executive Officer John Chen has been able to improve BlackBerry’s liquidity and strengthen its balance sheet.

Sue upgraded the stock to sector perform, the equivalent of a hold, from underperform, the equivalent of a sell.

Air Canada soared 5.2 percent to C$8.36, the highest level since June 2008. The stock has surged 14 percent in the past two days after three days of losses. The carrier jumped 323 percent in 2013, for the best performance in the S&P/TSX.

ShawCor Ltd. fell 3.9 percent to C$39.13 after reporting its fourth-quarter earnings would be “significantly lower” than the third quarter. Income from operations is projected to fall 50 percent to 60 percent from third-quarter levels, due primarily to a 50 percent reduction in revenue in the Asia Pacific region as well as a delayed startup of several large projects, the company said in a statement.

CGI Group Inc. declined 2.5 percent to C$34.37, the lowest close since September. The software services company that built the main Obamacare website will be replaced next month when its contract with the U.S. federal government expires, a person familiar with the decision said, Bloomberg News reported.

US

By Nick Taborek

Jan. 10 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index higher for the week, as a weaker- than-estimated jobs report eased concern that the Federal Reserve may accelerate the pace of stimulus cuts.

Companies that pay the highest dividends such as utility and phone stocks advanced as bond yields slipped, boosting the allure of equity income. Alcoa Inc. dropped 5.4 percent after profit missed estimates. Sears Holdings Corp. plunged 14 percent as it forecast a fourth-quarter loss and said sales during the holiday period dropped. Chevron Corp. slid 1.9 percent after saying earnings suffered as energy output declined.

The S&P 500 rose 0.2 percent to 1,842.37 at 4 p.m. in New York, after falling as much as 0.3 percent earlier in the day.

The benchmark index added 0.6 this week, paring its drop in 2014 to 0.3 percent. The gauge climbed 30 percent last year, the most since 1997. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 7.71 points, or 0.1 percent, to 16,437.05. About 6.6 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 8.8 percent above the three- month average.

“This could actually be good news for the market,” Quincy Krosby, a market strategist for Newark, New Jersey-based Prudential Financial Inc., which oversees more than $1 trillion, said by phone. “If these numbers don’t get revised upward, it will keep the Fed careful about wanting to taper too quickly.”

The 74,000 gain in payrolls, less than the most pessimistic projection in a Bloomberg survey, followed a revised 241,000 advance the prior month, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington. The median forecast of 90 economists called for an increase of 197,000. The unemployment rate dropped to 6.7 percent, the lowest since October 2008, as more people left the labor force.

The Fed, which next meets Jan. 28-29, in December announced a reduction of $10 billion in its monthly bond-buying program to $75 billion, citing a recovery in the labor market. Three rounds of stimulus from the central bank have helped push the S&P 500 higher by 172 percent from a 12-year low in 2009.

At the central bank’s December meeting, some members of the Federal Open Market Committee “expressed the view that the criterion of substantial improvement in the outlook for the labor market was likely to be met in the coming year if the economy evolved as expected,” meeting minutes showed Jan. 8.

“The markets have been priced for everything to go perfect,” Ron Florance, the Scottsdale, Arizona-based deputy chief investment officer for Wells Fargo Private Bank, which oversees $170 billion, said by phone. “This number shows us that it’s not going to be perfect. We’re still on the trajectory of recovery, but I would expect heightened volatility.”

The S&P 500 trades at 15.6 times estimated earnings of its members, more than the average multiple of 14.1 over the last five years, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Earnings for companies in the S&P 500 will climb 9.5 percent on average this year, almost twice the rate of 2013, while sales will probably increase 3.9 percent, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

“Earnings expectations are quite ambitious this year so we have to see if these come through,” said Virginie Robert, co- founder and partner at Constance Associes in Paris. Her firm, founded in August 2013, oversees three mutual funds including one that tracks the S&P 500 Total Return Index. “The fourth quarter will probably be quite disparate. You can see that retailers who have done well with online sales are reporting better holiday results, but others probably had a terrible quarter.”

JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Corp. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. will all report quarterly results next week.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, the gauge of S&P 500 options known as the VIX, lost 5.8 percent to 12.14 today. The index has fallen 12 percent this month and closed at the lowest level since August.

Nine out of 10 main industries in the S&P 500 advanced.

Utility and phone companies, which have the highest dividend payouts among 10 S&P 500 groups, were among the best performers.

Homebuilders increased 1.3 percent amid optimism a drop in borrowing costs will buoy demand in the housing market. D.R. Horton Inc. advanced 1.8 percent to $22.15 and Lennar Corp. climbed 2 percent to $39.19.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. jumped 12 percent to $37.19. The teen-clothing retailer increased its full-year earnings prediction. Gap Inc., which rallied 26 percent in 2013, added 1.1 percent to $39.84 after the retailer said annual profit may reach the upper end of its forecast.

Newmont Mining Corp. climbed 2.6 percent to $23.80 as gold futures jumped on speculation the Fed will slow the pace of stimulus reductions.

Intuitive Surgical Inc. advanced 8.6 percent to $420.15 for the biggest increase in the S&P 500. The company’s new robotic surgery system has an 80 percent chance of being approved by the end of the year, a SunTrust Robinson analyst said in a note.

Intercept Pharmaceuticals Inc. rallied 62 percent to $445.83 as a Bank of America analyst raised the biotech firm’s price target to $872 from $81. Intercept soared 281 percent yesterday after a trial of its liver disease drug worked well enough for the testing to be stopped.

Alcoa dropped 5.4 percent, the most in the S&P 500, to$10.11 as the aluminum producer reported fourth-quarter profit that missed analysts’ estimates because of a glut of rolled metal used in the aerospace industry.

Sears Holdings tumbled 14 percent to $36.71. Chief Executive Officer Edward Lampert, the company’s largest shareholder, has been shedding assets, selling locations and spinning off the smaller-format stores and part of the Canadian business amid a continuing sales decline.

Chevron slid 1.9 percent to $121.01 for the biggest drop in the Dow. The world’s second-largest energy company by market value will report a drop in fourth-quarter profit after oil and natural gas production declined amid slumping prices. Net income during the period was “comparable” to the $5 billion earned during the third quarter, the company said in a statement yesterday. That compares with a $7.25 billion profit for the final three months of 2012.

Five Below Inc. sank 7.2 percent to $40.46. The chain that sells teens discounted items said fourth-quarter earnings will probably not exceed 46 cents a share, down from an earlier range of 49 cents to 51 cents forecast in December, after holiday sales fell.

 

Have a wonderful weekend everyone!!!

 

Be magnificent!

 

Your time is limited, so don’t waste it living someone else’s life. Don’t be trapped by dogma – which is living with the results of other people’s thinking. Don’t let the noise of others’ opinions drown out your own inner voice. And most important, have the courage to follow your heart and intuition.
Steve Jobs


As ever,

 

Amanda Bourke

Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff

Queensbury Securities Inc.

 

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8X 3Y7

 

March 19, 2013 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Carolann is out of the office this afternoon at an appointment.

Just a fun fact! Today in history the first world’s largest omelette was made in Japan! Last year, on August 11th the world record was broken! The omelette made, weighed in at 6.466 tonnes (14,225 lb 6 oz). It took a team of 55 people 6 hours to make this omelette, all led by a head chef, Pedro Mendes. A 4,290-kg pan was used, with a 10.3-metre diameter. The omelette used 145,000 eggs, 880 lbs of oil and 220 lbs of butter. All eggs used were free range. This omelette was made at a festival held in the region for Portuguese people who live and work elsewhere during the year.

Today In History

1831 – The first bank robbery in America was reported. The City Bank of New York City lost $245,000 in the robbery.

1915 – Pluto was photographed for the first time. However, it was not known at the time.

1918 – The U.S. Congress approved Daylight-Saving Time.

1949 – The Soviet People’s Council signed the constitution of the German Democratic Republic, and declared that the North Atlantic Treaty was merely a war weapon.

1953 – The Academy Awards aired on television for the first time.

1963 – In Costa Rica, U.S. President John F. Kennedy and six Latin American presidents pledged to fight Communism.

1977 – The last episode of “The Mary Tyler Moore Show” aired.

1990 – The first world ice hockey tournament for women was held in Ottawa.
a season.

Photos of the Day – March 19th, 2013


Lightning steaks across the sky behind the Young Meadows Presbyterian Church in Montgomery, Alabama. Strong storms moved across the state bringing hail, high winds, and heavy rainfall as a cold front passed through. Dave Martin/AP

Campaigners dressed as Britain’s Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne congregate in Parliament Square in central London. They were protesting on behalf of ‘Enough Food for Everyone IF’, a campaign to end global hunger. Stefan Wermuth/Reuters

“Challenges are what make life interesting and overcoming them is what makes life meaningful.” – Joshua J. Marine

Market Closes for March 19th, 2013

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

14455.82 +3.76 

 

+0.03%

S&P 500 1548.34 -3.76 

 

-0.24%

NASDAQ 3229.095 -8.495 

 

-0.26%

TSX 12773.87 -7.89 

 

-0.06% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 12468.23 +247.60 

 

+2.03% 

 

HANG 

SENG

22041.86 -41.50 

 

-0.19 

 

SENSEX 19008.10 -285.10 

 

-1.48% 

 

FTSE 100 6441.32 -16.60 

 

-0.26% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

1.820 1.862
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

2.519 2.559
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

1.9017 1.9546
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.1281 3.1843

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.97349 0.97820 

 

US  

$

1.02723 1.02228
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.32156 0.75668
US 

$

1.28653 0.77729

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1613.00 1605.31
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 92.16 93.74
BRENT 108.50 110.45 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

March 19 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell for a second day as commodities producers declined after Cypriot lawmakers rejected an unprecedented bank levy, sparking concerns Europe’s debt crisis will worsen.

Pengrowth Energy Corp. lost 1.2 percent as oil retreated after the euro fell to a three-month low versus the dollar.

Legacy Oil + Gas Inc. slid 5.6 percent after an analyst raised concerns about its debt. Taseko Mines Ltd. and Teck Resources Ltd. fell at least 4 percent as copper touched the lowest level in almost seven months. Lululemon Athletica Inc. slumped 2.6 percent after it said a shortage of women’s pants will cause quarterly revenue to miss company forecasts.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 7.89 points, or 0.1 percent, to 12,773.87 in Toronto, after gaining as much as 0.4 percent earlier in the day. The S&P/TSX has risen 2.7 percent this year. Trading volume was 5.5 percent below the 30- day average.

“It’s a knee-jerk reaction, given how small Cyprus is,” said Anil Tahiliani, a fund manager with McLean & Partners in Calgary. The firm manages about C$1 billion ($973 million). The European Union “won’t let Cyprus implode. I think people are using this as an excuse to take money off the table.”

The island nation’s parliament voted against imposing losses on depositors, a key demand of European officials in return for bailout funds. Equities briefly pared losses after the vote when the European Central Bank said it will provide liquidity to Cyprus within existing rules.

While the country accounts for less than half a percent of the euro economy, the fight over the bank tax risks triggering new turmoil in the financial crisis that began in 2009 in Greece.

Canadian stocks rose earlier as data showed U.S. home construction increased by a more-than-estimated 0.8 percent in February, and building permits climbed to the highest level in almost five years.

Pengrowth fell 1.2 percent to C$5.60, as oil slid 1.7 percent to settle at $92.16 in New York. The euro declined as much as 0.9 percent to $1.2844, the lowest since Nov. 22, reducing the appeal of crude as an investment. Trican Well Service Ltd. dropped 1.4 percent to C$14.62.

Legacy Oil + Gas tumbled 5.6 percent to C$5.71. Allan Stepa, analyst with Desjardins Securities Inc., said Legacy’s C$486 million in net debt at the end of 2012 remains a concern.

“The key catalyst for Legacy will be additional measures to strengthen its balance sheet,” he said in a note to clients today.

Raw-materials producers contributed most to declines in the S&P/TSX index, falling 0.3 percent as a group. Taseko Mines dropped 4 percent to C$2.85 and Teck Resources declined 4.7 percent to C$28.45. Copper futures slid for a third straight day, losing 0.7 percent to settle at $3.4055 a pound.

Lululemon erased 2.6 percent to C$65.74, the lowest close since January. The yoga-wear retailer fell as much as 8.2 percent after saying a shortage of a women’s pants line will have a “significant” effect on financial results and will lead to lower-than-forecast first-quarter revenue.

Certain shipments of its black Luon pants are too sheer and don’t meet the company’s standards, impacting about 17 percent of all women’s pants in its stores, the company said.

Rona Inc., the nation’s largest home-improvement retailer, advanced 4 percent to C$10.98 after it announced supermarket executive Robert Sawyer will take over in April as CEO. Sawyer had been chief operating officer at Metro Inc.

Dundee Industrial Real Estate Investment Trust slipped 1.7 percent to C$10.76 after agreeing to buy C2C Industrial Properties Inc. in a transaction valued at about C$226 million.

The deal adds a portfolio of more than 2.5 million square feet of gross leasable area, Dundee said in a statement. C2C soared 26 percent to C$4.68.

US

By Lu Wang and Sarah Pringle

March 19 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its longest slump of the year, as Cypriot lawmakers’ rejection of a bank levy overshadowed data showing growth in new-home construction.

Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. tumbled 6.6 percent as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. cut its forecast for iron-ore prices.

Electronic Arts Inc. slumped 8.3 percent after the video-game maker ousted its chief executive officer. Cardinal Health Inc. fell 8.2 percent after saying its contract with Walgreen Co. won’t be renewed. Walgreen rose 5.4 percent and AmerisourceBergen Corp. surged 3.6 percent after agreeing to a partnership.

The S&P 500 fell 0.2 percent to 1,548.34 at 4 p.m. in New York, after dropping as much as 0.9 percent earlier. The gauge lost 1 percent over three days, the longest streak since Dec. 28. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 3.76 points, or less than 0.1 percent, to 14,455.82. About 6.8 billion shares traded hands on U.S. exchanges today, or 7.4 percent above the three- month average.

“Obviously the situation in Europe is not what we want it to be,” John Manley, who helps oversee about $223.6 billion as chief equity strategist for Wells Fargo Advantage Funds in New York, said in a phone interview. “The next couple weeks will be more periods of chopping around. I don’t think it’s more than 2 to 4 percent in terms of risk on the market,” he said. “The housing market does seem to be on a bit more steady ground and that helps U.S. consumers.”

Stocks fell as Cyprus’s parliament rejected an unprecedented levy on bank deposits, dealing a blow to European plans to force savers to shoulder part of the country’s bailout in a standoff that risks renewed tumult in the euro area.

Hammered out by euro-area finance chiefs at the weekend, the deal had sought to raise 5.8 billion euros ($7.5 billion) by drawing funds from Cyprus bank accounts in return for 10 billion euros in international aid.

Equities trimmed losses late in the trading day after the European Central Bank reaffirmed its commitment to provide liquidity “as needed within the existing rules.”

The S&P 500 rose earlier as a Commerce Department report showed builders broke ground on 917,000 homes at an annual rate, up 0.8 percent from a revised 910,000 pace in January that was higher than initially estimated. Building permits, a proxy for future construction, advanced 4.6 percent to 946,000, the strongest since June 2008.

The bull market in U.S. equities entered its fifth year this month. The S&P 500 has more than doubled from its bottom in 2009, driven by better-than-estimated corporate earnings and three rounds of bond purchases by the Fed. The S&P 500 rose to within two points of its 2007 record last week while the Dow reached an all-time high.

The Federal Open Market Committee began a two-day meeting today. The policy makers agreed in December to link record-low interest rates to thresholds for unemployment and inflation so that investors and households know what conditions will prompt the Federal Reserve to consider raising rates.

The push by Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke to continue record stimulus faltered with the Jan. 3 release of minutes from the FOMC’s December meeting, which said several officials favored slowing or stopping bond buying well before the end of 2013.

“I don’t think there is any mystery at all,” Christopher Beck, senior vice president at Delaware Investments, said in a phone interview. His firm had more than $179 billion under management as of as of Dec. 31. “The Fed is not going to change the tone. They’re going to confirm the easing bias.”

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, which measures the cost of using options as insurance against declines in the S&P 500, jumped 7.7 percent to 14.39 today, after surging 18 percent yesterday. The gauge, known as the VIX, is down 20 percent this year.

Six out of 10 S&P 500 groups retreated as energy, consumer- discretionary and financial companies fell the most, sinking at least 0.5 percent.

Cliffs Natural Resources Inc., the biggest U.S. iron ore producer, tumbled 6.6 percent to $20.33. Goldman Sachs trimmed its price forecast on the commodity, citing seaborne expansion projects and increasing production in China.

Chesapeake Energy Corp. slumped 5.1 percent to $21.04.

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., the world’s second largest copper miner, slid 1.6 percent to $32.98.

Electronic Arts dropped 8.3 percent to $17.15. The second- largest U.S. maker of video games said John Riccitiello is stepping down as chief executive officer and warned quarterly results may fall short of forecasts.

Juniper Networks Inc. fell 5.3 percent to $19.14. Goldman Sachs downgraded the No. 2 maker of networking gear to sell from neutral, citing competition from Cisco Systems Inc. and Alcatel- Lucent.

Cardinal dropped 8.2 percent to $42.35 after saying its pharmaceutical distribution contract with Walgreen won’t be renewed after it expires in August. Walgreen accounted for about 21 percent of Cardinal’s revenue in 2012.

Walgreen, the largest U.S. drugstore chain, and Alliance Boots GmbH agreed to a long-term partnership with AmerisourceBergen, gaining the right to acquire a minority stake in the pharmaceutical services provider. Walgreen also reported second-quarter earnings that topped analysts’ estimates.

AmerisourceBergen surged 3.6 percent to $50.06 and Walgreen rallied 5.4 percent to $44.74.

EBay Inc. climbed 2 percent to $51.10. The operator of the world’s largest online marketplace is overhauling fees for sellers for the first time since 2010, seeking to reduce costs and make pricing less complicated as it competes with bigger rival Amazon.com Inc. for online merchants.

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

As ever,

 

“I don’t regret the things I’ve done, I regret the things I didn’t do when I had the chance.” – Unknown


Karen Parnham

Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff

Queensbury Securities Inc.

 

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8X 3Y7

Tel: 778-430-5808

Fax: 778-430-5838

 

February 4, 2013 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Neil Subin is the associate dean of biological sciences at the University of Chicago and the author of “The Universe Within: Discovering the Common History of Rocks, Planets, and People.”  I read an interesting column he wrote last week in The New York Times.  In it, he discusses why winter causes seasonal affective disorder for so many people.  He writes, “Our genetic clocks are set to the sun by our brains and our eyes.  Light entering our eyes triggers a signal that ends in a tiny patch of cells in the brain.  This brain region then emits hormones that coordinate the clocks in the different cells of the body.  Mess with this system and things go awry really fast….Our clocks tie us not only to other creatures, but also to the formation of the solar system itself.  The spinning of the earth and rotation of the moon form a backbeat that thumps inside the chemistry of our cells.  The Apollo missions returned more than 840 pounds of moon rock and soil samples.  Analysis of minerals inside reveals that they have a chemical signature similar to those of Earth’s crust and are in this respect unique among other bodies of the solar system.

The current theory that accounts for all the evidence is that a Mars-size asteroid hit the Earth over four billion years ago.  The mélange of Earth’s crust and asteroid debris ejected into space, ultimately congealing as the moon and tilting the primordial Earth.

With that great cataclysm came our seasons, months and the duration of days.  Our internal timepieces, and some of the maladies we suffer, lie as artifacts of this moment in our planet’s history.

Carl Sagan famously reveled in the fact that ‘we are stardust,’ because the elements that compose us are derived from the birth of stars and the explosion of supernovae.  These events are only the beginning of our deep connections to the universe.  Written inside of us is the birth of the solar system and workings of the planet itself.”

Photos of the day February 4tht, 2013


NASA illustration shows aesthetic close-up of cosmic clouds and stellar winds featuring LL Orionis, interacting with the Orion Nebula flow in this image released on February 4, 2013. Adrift in Orion’s stellar nursery and still in its formative years, variable star LL Orionis produces a wind more energetic than the wind from our own middle-aged Sun. ESA and the Hubble Heritage Team//NASA/Reuters

The remains found underneath a car park last September at the Grey Friars excavation in Leicester have been declared ‘beyond reasonable doubt’ to be the long lost remains of England’s King Richard III, missing for 500 years. Richard was immortalized in a play by Shakespeare as a hunchbacked usurper who left a trail of bodies — including those of his two young nephews, murdered in the Tower of London — on his way to the throne. University of Leicester/AP

Market Closes for February 4th, 2013

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

13880.08 -129.71 

 

-0.93%

S&P 500 1495.71 -17.46 

 

-1.15%

NASDAQ 3131.167 -47.931 

 

-1.51%

TSX 12717.62 -51.21

 

-0.40%

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 11260.35 +69.01

 

+0.62%

 

HANG 

SENG

23685.01 -36.83

 

-0.16%

 

SENSEX 19751.19 -30.00

 

-0.15%

 

FTSE 100 6246.84 -100.40

 

-1.58%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

1.988 2.039
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

2.597 2.631
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

1.9548 2.0149
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.1599 3.2178

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.99784 0.99642

 

US  

$

1.00216 1.00359
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.34809 0.74179
US 

$

1.35100 0.74019

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1674.45 1667.45
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 96.17 97.77
BRENT 116.26 117.48

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Sarah Pringle

Feb. 4 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks retreated as financial and commodity shares slumped on renewed concern about Europe’s debt crisis.

Petrobank Energy & Resources Ltd. and Cenovus Energy Inc. lost more than 1.5 percent as oil prices declined. Royal Bank of Canada and Toronto-Dominion Bank slid at least 0.7 percent.

Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. dropped 2.1 percent after hiring Keith Creel away from rival Canadian National Railway Co.

BlackBerry, formerly known as Research In Motion Ltd., rose 15 percent after Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. raised its rating.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index lost 51.21 points, or 0.4 percent, to 12,717.62 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark gouge has gained 2.3 percent this year. Nine of 10 industries retreated today. About 695 million shares traded hands on Canadian exchanges today, or 8.4 percent below the three-month average.

“You can’t go straight up, you need a time for pause and reflection and to catch your bearings,” Barry Schwartz, who helps manage C$480 million ($476 million) as a fund manager at Toronto-based Baskin Financial Services, said in a phone interview. “Commodities continue to be beaten and thrown to the curb and misused and abused, and I think that’s going to be the trend that will continue.”

Spanish 10-year government yields jumped 23 basis points to 5.44 percent and Italy’s rates jumped as well. Spanish Premier Mariano Rajoy is facing opposition calls to resign amid contested reports about illegal payments, while Deutsche Bank AG said this year’s rally in Italian and Spanish bonds may falter as Italy’s Silvio Berlusconi narrowed the front-runner’s lead before elections this month.

An index of financial shares in the S&P/TSX lost 0.5 percent. Royal Bank of Canada dropped 0.5 percent to C$62.21 and Toronto-Dominion Bank slid 0.7 percent to C$82.96.

Petrobank Energy, an oil and gas explorer, fell 2.2 percent to 88 Canadian cents. Cenovus Energy, a Canadian oil producer, dropped 1.5 percent to C$33.20. Crude oil for March delivery slid 1.6 percent to $96.17 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the most in two months, as the prospect of renewed talks between Western countries and Iran reduced Middle East tension.

Teck Resources Ltd., which mines gold and other natural resources, retreated 1.3 percent to C$36.51. New Gold Inc., the Vancouver-based gold explorer, dropped 2.3 percent to C$9.89.

Gold futures for April delivery gained 0.3 percent to $1,676.40 an ounce on the Comex in New York.

Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd., which owns 66 percent of the Oyu Tolgoi gold and copper mine in Southern Mongolia, fell 1.3 percent to C$7.57. Mongolia’s President Tsakhia Elbegdorj said the nation should have more control of Rio Tinto Group’s Oyu Tolgoi project after the government claimed costs had increased.

Canadian Pacific Railway slid C$2.40 to C$113.38. The company hired Creel away from Canadian National Railway and named him president and chief operating officer to assist Chief Executive Officer Hunter Harrison in his turnaround plan. The companies reached a settlement to end their outstanding litigation linked to Harrison’s move to Canadian Pacific last year, Canadian National said in a separate release.

Canadian National slipped 0.6 percent to C$95.14.

Kirkland Lake Gold Inc. rose 5.7 percent to C$6.47. The gold mining company said it remains on track to meet its production guidance for the current fiscal year.

BlackBerry rallied C$1.98 to C$14.99, for the biggest gain since November, as technology companies had the only advance among 10 groups in the S&P/TSX. Sanford C. Bernstein analyst Pierre Ferragu upgraded the company to outperform from market perform, citing a strong start in the first days of sales for the BlackBerry 10. BlackBerry shares tumbled 26 percent last week amid the introduction of the new smartphones.

Harry Winston Diamond Corp. was unchanged at C$14.70, erasing earlier gains of up to 2 percent. The luxury jewelry retailer said C. Fipke Holdings Ltd. ended court action brought against it, BHP Billiton Ltd. and other companies. The minority stakeholder of the Ekati diamond mine sued to block Harry Winston’s proposed acquisition of BHP’s 80 percent share of the Canadian operation.

US

By Inyoung Hwang and Leslie Picker

Feb. 4 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, driving the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its biggest decline since November, on concern that the European debt crisis may intensify.

All 10 groups in the S&P 500 fell at least 0.5 percent.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. dropped 1.2 percent as JPMorgan Chase & Co. cut its rating on the stock. Gannett Co. erased 6.7 percent on concern that TV revenue growth won’t be enough to compensate for weak print advertising. Herbalife Ltd. rose 1.3 percent, rebounding from a decline of as much as 12 percent, after the Federal Trade Commission corrected an erroneous statement that said the company was the subject of a law-enforcement probe.

The S&P 500 slipped 1.2 percent, the most since Nov. 14, to 1,495.71 in New York, after reaching a five-year high last week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 129.71 points, or 0.9 percent, to 13,880.08. More than 6.3 billion shares traded handed on U.S. exchanges today, in line with the three-month average.

“There’s some profit-taking happening,” Matthew Swaim, a fund manager at Chicago-based Advisory Research Inc., which oversees $9 billion in assets, said by telephone. “People are drawing a corollary to the last couple years where in the spring Europe started taking the limelight again and that caused a drop in our markets.”

The S&P 500 rallied 5 percent last month as lawmakers reached a budget compromise and companies reported better-than- estimated earnings. The Dow climbed above the 14,000-level last week for the first time since 2007, and is 2 percent away from its all-time high.

Yum! Brands Inc. and Sysco Corp. are among 13 companies in the S&P 500 that report earnings today. About 73 percent of the 264 companies from the gauge that have released results this earnings season have exceeded profit projections, and 66 percent have beaten sales estimates, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index slid 1.5 percent today. Spanish Premier Mariano Rajoy is facing opposition calls to resign amid contested reports about illegal payments, while Deutsche Bank AG said this year’s rally in Italian, as well as Spanish, bonds may falter as Italy’s Silvio Berlusconi narrowed the front-runner’s lead before elections this month.

Spanish 10-year government yields jumped 23 basis points to 5.44 percent. Yields on similar-maturity Italian debt rose 14 basis points to 4.47 percent.

Orders placed with U.S. factories increased less than forecast in December, reflecting a drop in non-durable goods that overshadowed gains in construction equipment and computers.

Bookings climbed 1.8 percent after a revised 0.3 percent drop in November that was initially reported as unchanged, Commerce Department figures showed. The Bloomberg survey median called for a 2.3 percent gain.

The recent rally in U.S. stocks has made the benchmark S&P 500 look overvalued given the slow pace of the country’s economic recovery, Patrick Legland, Societe Generale SA’s head of research, wrote in a note. The “risk-on mode” may end soon with a lack of positive economic data, Legland wrote.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, known as the VIX, jumped 14 percent to 14.67 today for the biggest gain of the year, trimming its 2013 decline to 19 percent. The Morgan Stanley Cyclical Index of 30 U.S. companies most tied to economic growth slid 1.4 percent, the most since November.

Technology, financial and consumer discretionary companies fell the most out of 10 S&P 500 groups, losing at least 1.2 percent. The KBW Bank Index of 24 U.S. lenders slumped 1.2 percent.

Wal-Mart fell 86 cents to $69.63 as JPMorgan downgraded its rating on the stock to neutral from overweight, a rating similar to buy. The brokerage also reduced its price target for the stock to $75 from a previous estimate of $84.

Gannett lost $1.33 to $18.51. The owner of 82 U.S. daily newspapers and 23 television stations said TV sales for the first quarter of this year should have percentage growth in the “high single-digits” from a year earlier. That’s a slowdown from 46 percent growth to $280.2 million in the fourth quarter.

McGraw-Hill Cos. sank 14 percent to $50.30. The U.S. Justice Department intends to file a civil lawsuit against S&P based on ratings in 2007 of certain collateralized debt obligations, the company said today. The Justice Department and state prosecutors may file civil charges this week against S&P, owned by McGraw-Hill, alleging wrongdoing in its ratings of mortgage bonds in the lead up to the 2008 financial crisis, according to two people familiar with the matter.

“A DOJ lawsuit would be entirely without factual or legal merit,” the company said in a statement.

Chevron Corp. lost 1.1 percent to $115.20. UBS cut its recommendation on the second-largest U.S. energy company to neutral from buy, citing the stock’s recent rally. The shares have gained 6.5 percent this year.

Oracle Corp. slipped 3 percent to $35.13. The largest maker of database software agreed to buy Acme Packet Inc. for $1.7 billion, or $29.25 a share. Acme surged 24 percent to $29.59.

Acme’s tools to transmit voice and video via the Web may help Oracle challenge Cisco Systems Inc. in networking — a market that’s benefiting from the boom in mobile devices.

Merck & Co. lost 2.3 percent to $40.85. The second-largest U.S. drugmaker was cut to underweight from equalweight by Morgan Stanley, which cited concern the company’s Improve-It study of cholesterol drug Vytorin may fail when interim data is reviewed in March, hurting chances for experimental drug anacetrapib.

Sysco slumped 2.7 percent to $31.23. The distributor of food to restaurants, hospitals and schools reported second- quarter adjusted earnings that missed analysts’ projections by 1 cent.

Herbalife, the marketer of nutritional supplements that hedge-fund manager Bill Ackman has called a pyramid scheme, rose 47 cents to $35.54. Shares of the company rebounded after the FTC corrected a statement that erroneously said the company was the subject of a law-enforcement probe. The New York Post reported earlier, citing the FTC’s response to a freedom of information request, the company is the subject of a probe as it received as many as 192 complaints over the past seven years.

Humana Inc. jumped 4.7 percent to $78.86. The health-care company reported fourth-quarter earnings of $1.19 a share, exceeding the $1.07 a share estimated by analysts on average.

U.S. options trading posted its second-best start to a year on record after the stock market rally to near-record highs drove investors to seek protection from losses.

An average of 17.2 million options traded daily in the U.S. in January, the highest level for the start of a year except for a record in 2011, according to the Options Clearing Corp. The volume represents an 8.2 percent increase from the full-year 2012 average.

Investors are taking advantage of the cheapest options in 5 1/2 years to protect against losses as the U.S. economy unexpectedly shrank in the fourth quarter and the S&P 500 reached its highest valuation in 18 months. Options trading has also increased as investors try to boost returns by selling contracts in order to collect a premium, according to Marko Kolanovic, global head of derivatives and quantitative strategy at JPMorgan Chase & Co.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

When restraint and courtesy are added to strength, the latter becomes irresistible.

Mahatma Gandhi, 1869-1948


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Formal  education will make you a living.  Self-education

will make you a fortune.

Jim Rohn, 1930-2009


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

Federal Budget

Dear Friends,

As you know, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty delivered his federal budget on March 22 in Ottawa.

In case you haven’t had a chance to review the media coverage, I thought you would appreciate a quick overview of the federal budget.

RRSPs and estate planning: Several changes to RRSP rules aim to clamp down on use of RRSPs in certain tax planning schemes, including RRSP “strips.” The new rules are similar to anti-avoidance rules applied to TFSAs.

Individual Pension Plans: The latest budget proposes annual minimum amounts be withdrawn from IPPs once a plan member reaches age 72. This mirrors the current minimum withdrawals from RRIFs.

Guaranteed Income Supplement: The budget tops up the GIS, providing an additional $600 per year for single seniors, and up to $840 per year for senior couples.

RESPs: Transfers can now be made between individual RESPs for siblings without triggering tax penalties or repayments of Canada Education Savings Grants. The change only applies to asset transfers made after 2010.

Other Student Assistance: Eligibility for federal student loans and grants has been expanded for both full- and part-time post-secondary students. The in-study income exemption will be doubled to $100 per week and part-time students with high family incomes will now be eligible for a Canada Student Loan. There are also extensions of Education and Textbook tax credits for students working abroad.

Children’s Art Tax Credit: Expanding on a popular program for parents who enroll kids in fitness activities, Ottawa proposed a credit of up to $500 of eligible expenses for children’s programs associated with artistic, cultural recreational and developmental activities.

Family Caregiver Tax Credit: The budget introduces a 15% non-refundable credit on an amount of $2,000 to provide tax relief to caregivers of all types of infirm dependent relatives, including spouses, common-law partners and minor children.

RDSPs: Registered Disability Savings Plan beneficiaries with shortened life expectancies will have more flexibility to withdraw assets without requiring repayment of other programs, such as Canada Disability Savings Grants.

Home Renovation: Renewed funding for the Clean Air Agenda provides $400 million in 2011–12 for the ecoENERGY Retrofit to help homeowners pay for energy efficient upgrades.

Business Owners: Small businesses will receive a one-year break in EI payouts under a new Hiring Credit for Small Business. The government also gave a two-year extension of the popular 50% straight-line accelerated Capital Cost Allowance for manufacturing or processing machinery and equipment.

I hope you find these highlights useful. If you’d like to discuss these and other federal budget initiatives, please don’t hesitate to contact me.

Chuck Leavell and Alexandra Cousteau Host An Earth Day Eve Cocktail Party

Source: Getty Images

Dear Friends,

I went with a friend to hear a talk given by Alexandra Cousteau last night, granddaughter of Jacques Cousteau, whom she said taught her to scuba dive at age seven.  Alexandra is an environmentalist and is most interested in protecting the water on the planet.  There is much to do…
Alexandra Cousteau

Travel Tip:  Forget the bulky tour book and check out HopStop.com which is a comprehensive travel guide to 26 popular cities and generates directions and maps based on the user’s location and transit preferences – subway, rail,  bus, or walking.  Knowing the exact distance to hotels, restaurants, and other attractions makes it easier.

 

Photos of the Day
February 9, 2011

Ballet dancers with the Paris Opera Ballet perform one-act ballets during a dress rehearsal at the Bolshoi Theater in Moscow.
Alexander Zemlianichenko/AP

A gondolier rows his gondola across the Grand Canal in the fog in Venice. A new national law intended to get rid of old, out-of-date provisions that have been on the books since Italy was a monarchy also transferred ownership of the canal from the city to the national government.
Manuel Silvestri/Reuters

A Cambodian Buddhist monk walks toward the Cambodia’s 11th century Hindu Preah Vihear temple, a UNESCO World Heritage Site, in Preah Vihear province, about 152 miles north of Phnom Penh, Cambodia. Thailand accused Cambodia of refusing to negotiate to resolve a border dispute that led to the fourth straight day of fierce clashes Monday. Phnom Penh said that only UN peacekeepers can stop the fighting near the 11th century temple.
Heng Sinith/AP

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

Be magnificent!

If you wish to free yourself from suffering, you must free yourself from pleasure,
and not free yourself from suffering.  Suffering is a reaction.
If you wish to release yourself from suffering,
you must first of all release yourself from pleasure.
Then the suffering will disappear.
-Swami Prajnanpad,1891-1974

As ever,

Carolann