April 8, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Buddha’s birthday, Siddhartha, the enlightened one.

On this day in 563 B.C., the queen of Sakya, a realm situated around the present-day border of Nepal and India, gave birth to a son. His father, the king, took great pains to raise him in a style that would lead to his become king himself one day. But curiosity of the wider world seized the prince. At age 29, he set off to see the world. At 35, while sitting under a pipal tree, he achieved enlightenment. His name changed, from Siddhartha to Gautama Buddha, and he began preaching the tenets of what would become one of the world’s major religions, Buddhism. –Paul Vigna, WSJ, 4/8/14.

All that we are is the result of what we have thought. –Buddha.

There are ways for the individual investor to make money in the securities markets.  Buying value and holding long term while collecting dividends has been proven over and over again. –Robert M. Sharp, author, The Lore and Legends of Wall Street.

Photos of the day

Tulip farmers look for weeds in a field of tulips left to blossom for growing bulbs near the city of Noordwijkerhout, western Netherlands. Peter Dejong/AP


Giraffes gather in their pen at the Paris Zoological Park in the Bois de Vincennes in the east of Paris. Inaugurated in 1934, the Paris Zoo will reopen for the public on April 12, 2014 after being closed for four-years for renovation. Charles Platiau/Reuters

Market Closes for April 8th, 2014

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16256.27 +10.40

 

+0.06%

S&P 500 1852.56 +7.52

 

+0.41%

NASDAQ 4112.988 +33.235

 

+0.81%

TSX 14377.81 +107.48

 

+0.75%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 14606.88 -201.97

 

-1.36%

 

HANG

SENG

22596.97 +219.82

 

+0.98%

 

SENSEX 22343.45 -16.05

 

-0.07%

 

FTSE 100 6590.69 -32.15

 

-0.49%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.459 2.460

 

 

CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.962 2.970
U.S.

10 Year Bond

2.6772 2.6953

 

 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.5396 3.5548

 

 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.91548 0.91152

 

US

$

1.09233 1.09707
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

Canadian

$

1.50707 0.66354
US

$

1.37969 0.72480

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1308.32 1297.37
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 102.56 100.44

 

BRENT 109.360 109.360

 

Market Commentary:

Canada
By Gerrit De Vynck

April 8 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, halting a three-day retreat, with commodity producers and technology companies leading gains as gold gained and BlackBerry Ltd. rallied.

HudBay Minerals Inc. and Teck Resources Inc. rose at least 4.9 percent to pace gains in the Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index. BlackBerry climbed 2.6 percent while Rogers Communications Inc., Canada’s largest wireless operator, fell 1.2 percent.

The equity benchmark added 58.06 points, or 0.4 percent, to 14,328.39 at 12:07 p.m. in Toronto. It fell 0.9 percent yesterday, its biggest loss since Feb. 3. Mining companies in the index were up 0.9 percent as a group.

“The price of both gold equities and gold bullion have started to move up a little,” said Anish Chopra, a fund manager at TD Asset Management Inc. in Toronto. He helps manage around C$218 billion with the firm.

The S&P/TSX Global Gold Index has risen 19 percent since the beginning of the year while the price of gold has risen 9 percent this year to $1,309.29.

Pretium Resources Inc. rose 4 percent to C$7.08. The Vancouver-based company is developing a gold property in northern British Columbia.

HudBay Minerals rose 5.2 percent to C$8.94, its biggest intraday jump in three weeks.

Teck Resources Inc. rose 4.9 percent to C$25.93, its biggest intraday gain in almost six months. Yesterday, Cormark Securities Inc. said the company, which mines a range of different minerals, was a “top pick.”

Rogers Communications fell 0.9 percent to C$44.64. Rogers and BCE Inc., who both own broadcasters, are facing the potential of losing revenue as only one Canadian team is set to make the National Hockey League playoffs this year, the first time since 1973. BCE fell rose 0.2 percent to C$48.16.

Titan Medical Inc. fell 11 percent to C$2.32 after it said in a statement it would sell 10.6 million shares for C$2.10. Titan, which is developing a robot for surgeries, closed at C$2.61 yesterday.

Newalta Corp. rose 4 percent to C$20.79, its highest since June 2008, after the recycling company said it hired Royal Bank of Canada to look into options for selling one of its units.

Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. fell 0.7 percent to C$129.86 for its fourth straight day of losses. Valeant is Canada’s most acquisitive and indebted company with junk-rated bonds and has fallen 11 percent so far this month after rising 110 percent in 2013.

Loblaw Cos., which owns Canada’s biggest grocery chain, fell 1.2 percent to C$46.08.

Tweed Marijuana Inc. rose 14 percent in its third day of trading. The medical marijuana grower was the most-traded stock on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

US
By Jeremy Herron and Callie Bost

April 8 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose as a recovery in technology shares helped the Nasdaq 100 Index rebound from its worst three-day drop since 2011. Oil and gold climbed as the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index slid to a five-month low.

The Nasdaq 100 Index of mostly technology stocks rose 0.9 percent after a 4.3 percent slide since April 2. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbed for the first time in four days, adding 0.4 percent to 1,851.96, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 10.4 points to 16,256.27. Gold futures advanced 0.8 percent to $1,309.10 an ounce. Oil jumped more than 2 percent before a government report forecast to show supplies fell in Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for the West Texas Intermediate crude.

Yahoo! Inc., EBay Inc., Google Inc. and Facebook Inc. jumped more than 2 percent, after a technology selloff broadened yesterday to wipe out the year’s gains in the S&P 500. Alcoa Inc. reports first-quarter earnings today. Ukraine sent additional police forces into eastern regions after pro-Russian protesters seized government buildings.

“It’s little real news, it’s more grinding around than driven by some specific items,” William Stone, chief investment officer of PNC Wealth Management in Philadelphia, which manages $128 billion, said by phone. “It doesn’t surprise me that we found a little stabilization here waiting for earnings season to start. That’s the primary kind of real data we’re going to get this week.”

The S&P 500 lost 1.1 percent yesterday, extending its three-day drop to 2.4 percent, the most since January. The Nasdaq 100 gauge fell 4.3 percent in the period, the most since 2011, while the Russell 2000 Index of small companies sank 1.5 percent to a two-month low yesterday as its three-day loss worsened to 4.8 percent. The Russell 2000 advanced 0.8 percent today.

The selloff came as valuations in technology stocks soared while the broader market has touched all-time highs. The Nasdaq 100 surged 257 percent from its low in March 2009 through a 13- year high on March 5. That beat the 177 percent increase for the S&P 500 in the period. The S&P 500 closed at a record on April 2.    “Biotech and tech companies were trading at lofty valuations and they finally succumbed to the gravitational pull,” Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Philadelphia-based Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, which oversees $63 billion in assets, said by phone. “A lot of these growth stocks had been taken down 10 to 20 percent, but usually that loss finds a bottom.”

Alcoa rose 0.5 percent to $12.53. The largest U.S. aluminum producer will post first-quarter earnings after today’s market close. JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. are among S&P 500 companies reporting earnings this week.

Profit for members of the index probably climbed 1 percent in the first quarter, analysts now forecast, after projecting a 6.6 percent rise in January. Sales rose 2.9 percent on average, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

Gold for June delivery advanced to the highest level in almost two weeks and has gained about 9 percent this year, rebounding from the biggest annual drop in more than three decades. Silver rose 0.7 percent to $20.01 an ounce.

“Gold is finding support from geopolitical tension as the Ukraine situation is heating up again,” Dan Denbow, a portfolio manager at the $1 billion USAA Precious Metals & Minerals Fund in San Antonio, said in a telephone interview. “The dollar weakness is also helping gold. We are seeing interest in overall commodities.”

West Texas Intermediate oil climbed 2.1 percent to a one- month high of $102.56 a barrel. Crude also rebounded amid speculation that gasoline supplies dropped for a seventh week in the U.S., the world’s biggest oil consumer.

Brent for May settlement advanced $1.85, or 1.7 percent, to $107.67 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange in London.  Russia called on Ukraine to halt all military preparations in the east “immediately” or risk civil war. The U.S. has said there is evidence that some protesters may be paid provocateurs.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index added 0.6 percent for a third day of gains and reached the highest level of the year.  Developing nations face new risks and Russia’s takeover of Crimea last month injects geopolitical tension that’s “casting a pall” on the region, the International Monetary Fund said in a report today. The fund urged emerging markets to prepare for flows of capital back to advanced economies.

Stronger U.S. growth this year and next will help the world economy withstand weaker recoveries in emerging markets including Brazil and Russia, the IMF said.

Russian stocks reversed earlier losses, with the Micex Index adding 0.2 percent. Russian companies should consider delisting their shares from foreign stock exchanges and trade in Moscow to boost security amid the standoff over Ukraine, according to Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov.

“Companies and their boards of directors should consider the need for further trading of shares on foreign exchanges,” Shuvalov told reporters after a government meeting near Moscow today. “This is a question of economic security.”

Price swings in currency markets have tumbled to a six-year low as central banks from the U.S. to Japan seek to boost growth with cheap cash and record-low interest rates, encouraging investors to seek higher-yielding assets.

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which tracks the greenback against 10 major currencies, fell 0.6 percent to 1,008.56, the lowest level since October. The yen advanced 1.4 percent to 101.71 per dollar and the euro gained 0.4 percent to $1.3796.

The JPMorgan Global FX Volatility Index was little changed at 7 percent, after ending at 6.98 percent yesterday, the lowest since July 2007.

“There certainly has been more interest again in emerging markets, suggesting that many investors are again looking out for yield,” said Jane Foley, senior foreign-exchange strategist at Rabobank International in London. “That’s clearly a risk-on scenario that is dollar-negative.”

The Stoxx Europe 600 index pared earlier losses of 1 percent to close 0.3 percent lower after falling from a six-year high yesterday. The index trades at 14.1 times estimated 12- month earnings, compared with an average multiple of 11.4 times over the past five years.

“Ukraine worries, coupled with stock valuations which are high, are taking their toll on European markets,” Stephane Ekolo, chief European strategist at Markit Securities in London, wrote in an e-mail. “We are seeing an aggravation in the situation in Ukraine with some eastern provinces trying to declare independence and turning towards Russia.”

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

We cross the infinite with every step, and encounter the eternal with every second.

Rabindranath Tagore,1861-1901


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Always bear in mind that your own resolution to succeed is

more important than any other.

-Abraham Lincoln, 1809-1865


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor


Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7