November 2, 2021 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Day of the Dead, Mexico.
               All souls Day, Roman Catholic.

On Nov. 2, 1976, former Georgia Gov. Jimmy Carter defeated Republican incumbent Gerald R. Ford, becoming the first U.S. president from the Deep South since the Civil War.  Go to article »

Daniel Boone, frontiersman, b. 1734.
Marie Antoinette, Queen Consort of Louis XVI of France, b. 1755.

Microsoft unveiled a PowerPoint about its own PowerPoint metaverse.

Facebook is shutting down facial recognition.

The metaverse is already here: It’s Minecraft.

Has a treatment for Alzheimer’s been sitting on pharmacy shelves for decades?

PHOTOS OF THE DAY
Performers wait to march in a Día de los Muertos (Day of the Dead) procession through Olvera Street
CREDIT: Mario Tama/Getty Images
Jewel-toned leaves illuminate an autumn day in Shandong province
CREDIT: Xinhua/Rex/Shutterstock
High school students help to bury victims of the second world war in Johannis cemetery. The remains, most likely of civilians, were found during construction work in the city last year
CREDIT: Matthias Rietschel/AP

Market Closes for November 2nd, 2021

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
36052.63 +138.79
+0.39%
S&P 500 4630.65 +16.98
+0.37%
NASDAQ 15649.60 +53.68

+0.34%

TSX 21170.01 -77.00
-0.36%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 29520.90 -126.18
-0.43%
HANG
SENG
25099.67 -54.65
-0.22%
SENSEX 60029.06 -109.40
-0.18%
FTSE 100* 7274.81 -13.81

-0.19%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.724 1.748
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.052 2.043
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.5488 1.557
U.S.
30 Year Bond
 1.9589   1.9576

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.8057 0.8085
US
$
1.2412 1.2369
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4371 0.6958
US
$
1.1579 0.8637

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1793.80 1769.15
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 83.91 84.05

Market Commentary:
     On this day in 1920, the first widespread commercial radio broadcast hits the air. The broadcast was made by Leo Rosenberg, speaking through a retooled telephone mouthpiece from a wooden shack on the roof of a Westinghouse factory. His first words were: “We shall now broadcast the election returns.”
Canada
By Alex Wittenberg
(Bloomberg) — Canadian equities trailed U.S. peers to close lower on the day, as Bausch Health Cos.’s revenue miss weighed down the health care sector and oil prices fell. The S&P/TSX Composite fell 0.4% to 21,170.01 in Toronto. The move follows the previous session’s increase of 1%. Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 3.1%. Bausch Health had the largest drop, falling 9.3%. Today, 141 of 233 shares fell, while 87 rose; 7 of 11 sectors were lower, led by information technology stocks.

Insights
* This year, the index rose 21%, heading for the best year in at least 10 years
* The index advanced 35% in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 40% in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 0.7% below its 52-week high on Oct. 26, 2021 and 36% above its low on Nov. 2, 2020
* The S&P/TSX Composite is unchanged in the past 5 days and rose 5.1% in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.6 on a trailing basis and 16.4 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year

* The index’s dividend yield is 2.5% on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.35t
* 30-day price volatility rose to 10.32% compared with 10.23 percent in the previous session and the average of 10.24 percent over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Information Technology | -46.3944| -1.9| 9/6
* Materials | -34.2960| -1.4| 11/41
* Energy | -27.3610| -0.9| 2/21
* Health Care | -8.2071| -4.1| 1/7
* Utilities | -3.2815| -0.4| 3/12
* Communication Services | -3.0483| -0.3| 1/6
* Real Estate | -2.4739| -0.4| 6/18
* Consumer Discretionary | 0.7325| 0.1| 6/7
* Consumer Staples | 6.0639| 0.8| 10/3
* Industrials | 7.9023| 0.3| 15/15
* Financials | 33.3562| 0.5| 23/5
================================================================
| | |Volume VS| YTD
|Index Points | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Shopify | -45.8800| -3.1| 9.0| 27.4
* Nutrien | -17.5100| -5.0| 110.8| 37.2
* Suncor Energy | -11.2800| -3.3| 26.3| 49.7
* Waste Connections | 4.7030| 1.6| -24.4| 30.8
* Bank of Montreal | 4.8130| 0.8| 3.3| 41.2
* Royal Bank of  Canada | 13.7500| 1.1| 11.1| 25.0

US
By Rita Nazareth and Emily Graffeo
(Bloomberg) — The relentless rally in stocks pushed major U.S. benchmarks to their all-time highs just a day before the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. Underpinning that strength is the fact that profit margins have held up incredibly well, despite soaring commodity prices and supply-chain snarls. Many companies have been able to pass through rising costs to consumers, with the majority beating earnings estimates. Regardless of what the Fed may say or do Wednesday, there’s a perception the U.S. will still have comparatively low rates, which bodes well for stocks. “The fundamentals are very, very strong here and the backdrop is also very strong because we see economic growth delayed, not derailed into 2022,” Katie Nixon, chief investment officer for the wealth management business at Northern Trust, told Bloomberg Television. “The Fed is going to be on hold for longer than the market thinks. So it really is a constructive environment for risk assets.”
Treasury two-year yields joined a global slide in short-term rates that was unleashed by the Australian central bank’s dovish statement ahead of the Fed decision. With U.S. policy makers expected to start scaling back their asset-purchase program soon, economists surveyed by Bloomberg are closely divided on whether a rate liftoff will be next year or early 2023. “The Fed has managed expectations perfectly in terms of preparing the markets for what is likely to be speed tapering,” said Win Thin, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman. “Most officials seem to agree that it’s better to get tapering over as quickly as possible in order to leave the Fed maximum flexibility to hike rates when needed.”

Some corporate highlights:
* Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. soared in late trading after announcing accelerated share buybacks and the launch of a new digital marketplace for merchandise from third-party producers.  Lyft Inc. reported third-quarter revenue 73% higher than last year. T-Mobile US Inc. missed analysts’ subscriber-growth estimates.
* Pfizer Inc. climbed Tuesday after boosting its forecast for the year on the strength of its Covid-19 vaccine sales. It also projected 2022 revenue for the shot above analysts’ expectations.
* Avis Budget Group Inc. soared amid a flurry of retail-crazed activity as the rental-car company said it will play a big role in the adoption of electric vehicles in the U.S.
* Tesla Inc. slipped as billionaire Elon Musk cast doubt on Hertz Global Holdings Inc. plan to buy 100,000 electric vehicles and downplayed the deal’s potential.

After the recent rally in equities, technical indicators are signaling heightened volatility. Not only is the S&P 500 pushing the limits of its trading envelope — built around moving price averages — but the widening of its upper and lower bands can also be a precursor to greater swings.  Furthermore, the gauge’s 14-day relative strength index is above 70, which is seen by some traders as a threshold for being considered overbought.
Here are some events to watch this week:
* Fed rate decision, U.S. factory orders and durable goods, Wednesday
* OPEC+ meeting on output, Thursday
* Bank of England rate decision, Thursday
* U.S. trade, initial jobless claims, Thursday
* U.S. unemployment, nonfarm payrolls, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.4% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.4%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4%
* The MSCI World index rose 0.1%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2%
* The euro fell 0.2% to $1.1581
* The British pound fell 0.4% to $1.3616
* The Japanese yen was little changed at 113.95 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined two basis points to 1.54%
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined six basis points to -0.16%
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined two basis points to 1.04%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.6% to $83.51 a barrel
* Gold futures fell 0.4% to $1,789.10 an ounce

–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Srinivasan Sivabalan, Sophie Caronello, Nathan Hager and Kamaron Leach.
Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

An example of a really responsible system is the system the Romans used when they built an arch. 
The guy who created the arch stool under it as the scaffolding was removed. 
It’s like packing your won parachute. -Charles Munger, b. 1924.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

November 1, 2021 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: All Saints Day

On Nov. 1, 1952, the United States exploded the first hydrogen bomb, in a test at Eniwetok in the Marshall Islands.  Go to article »

1993: European Union established.

1512:  Michelangelo unveiled his painting of the ceiling of the Vatican’s Sistine Chapel.

Here are the best celebrity Halloween costumes this year.  So. Much. Body paint!

Hebrew speakers mock Facebook’s corporate rebrand to Meta because it sounds similar to the Hebrew word for ‘dead’.  Whoops.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

The northern lights shine over Belhaven bridge in Scotland
CREDIT: Owen Humphreys/PA

A house is covered by ash from the volcano that continues to erupt

CREDIT: Emilio Morenatti/AP

A performer at a Halloween show at the River View Park

CREDIT: Luis Robayo/AFP/Getty Images

A dog dressed as Peter Pan is seen at the Haute Dog Howl’oween parade at Marina Vista Park in Long Beach

CREDIT: Chelsea Guglielmino/Getty Images

Market Closes for November 1st, 2021

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
35913.84 +94.28
+0.26%
S&P 500 4613.67 +8.29
+0.18%
NASDAQ 15595.91 +97.52

+0.63%

TSX 21247.01 +209.94
+1.00%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 29647.08 +754.39
+2.61%
HANG
SENG
25154.32 -222.92
-0.88%
SENSEX 60138.46 +831.53
+1.40%
FTSE 100* 7288.62 +51.05

+0.71%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.748 1.723
CND.
30 Year
Bond
2.043 2.003
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.557 1.5521
U.S.
30 Year Bond
  1.9576   1.9238

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.8085 0.8071
US
$
1.2369 1.2391
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.4354 0.6967
US
$
1.1605 0.8617

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1769.15 1803.50
 
Oil
WTI Crude Future 84.05 83.57

Market Commentary:
     On this day in 1990, the Washington Post’s front page blared: BIG BANKS’ WOES MAY FORCE MERGERS; LENDING CUTBACKS COULD AFFECT ECONOMY FOR YEARS, EXPERTS FEAR. In the end, the money-center banks survived and grew bigger than ever.
Canada
By Alex Wittenberg
(Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks extended gains Monday, with shares in the technology and health care sectors leading returns. The S&P/TSX Composite index rose 1% at 21,247.01 in Toronto. The move follows the previous session’s decrease of 0.8%. Shopify Inc. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 4.6%.  Westport Fuel Systems Inc. had the largest increase, rising 15.7%. Today, 176 of 233 shares rose, while 55 fell; 10 of 11 sectors were higher, led by information technology stocks.

Insights
* In the past year, the index had a similar or greater gain 18 times. The next day, it advanced 14 times for an average 0.4 percent and declined four times for an average 0.7 percent
* This year, the index rose 22 percent, heading for the best year in at least 10 years
* The index advanced 36 percent in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 42 percent in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 0.3 percent below its 52-week high on Oct. 26, 2021 and 37.8 percent above its low on Oct. 30, 2020
* The S&P/TSX Composite is little changed in the past 5 days and rose 5.4 percent in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.7 on a trailing basis and 16.5 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 2.5 percent on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$3.31t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 10.23 percent compared with 11.29 percent in the previous session and the average of 10.20 percent over the past month
================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
* Information Technology | 76.0911| 3.2| 13/2
* Energy | 42.7751| 1.5| 23/0
* Financials | 35.6600| 0.5| 25/3
* Materials | 18.5242| 0.8| 39/16
* Consumer Discretionary | 11.4004| 1.6| 12/1
* Consumer Staples | 11.1505| 1.5| 11/2
* Utilities | 5.8238| 0.6| 13/3
* Health Care | 5.7066| 3.0| 9/0
* Communication Services | 3.8148| 0.4| 3/3
* Industrials | 0.4792| 0.0| 17/13
* Real Estate | -1.4796| -0.2| 11/12
================================================================
| | |Volume VS | YTD
| Index | | 20D AVG | Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
* Shopify | 64.9100| 4.6| 84.0| 31.5
* Couche-Tard | 8.9100| 3.4| 86.4| 10.6
* Enbridge | 8.2990| 1.1| -28.6| 28.8
* Wheaton Precious | | | |
* Metals | -2.1260| -1.4| -7.6| -7.3
* Thomson Reuters | -2.4340| -1.4| 76.3| 40.9
* TFI International | -2.8170| -3.6| 236.3| 101.8

US
By Rita Nazareth and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — Stocks advanced to another record as solid corporate earnings overshadowed disappointing manufacturing data. The S&P 500 rebounded from earlier losses, led by gains in energy and consumer-discretionary firms. The Dow Jones Industrial Average touched the 36,000 level for the first time. A gauge of small caps climbed 2.7%. A group of retail-trader favorites like GameStop Corp. and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. had its best day since late August. More than 80% of companies in the S&P 500 reporting third-quarter results have topped Wall Street estimates. That has laid the groundwork for a rally in stocks since the earnings season began. Meanwhile, data showed persistent supply-chain challenges weighed on manufacturers in October. Fed officials meet this week as investors fret the economy is facing the most-widespread supply crunch since the oil crisis of 1973. “There’s no shortage of things to worry about,” said Evan Brown, head of asset allocation at UBS Asset Management. “I would just say that stocks climb the wall of worry. We do anticipate more of a rotation as people gain more faith that the economy is on sounder footing. We should see rebalancing from growth stocks into value stocks.” For Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson, the bullish trend for equities may continue into the Thanksgiving holiday later this month, but “not much longer” as the Fed is expected to start tapering and earnings growth will slow further into next year. Some other corporate highlights:

* Electric-vehicle giant Tesla Inc. jumped amid a lithium supply deal and the start of the COP26 climate summit.
* Zillow Group Inc. is looking to sell about 7,000 homes for $2.8 billion, according to people familiar with the matter.
* Moderna Inc. slumped after its Covid-19 shot failed to secure U.S. regulatory authorization in teenagers.

Here are some events to watch this week:
* Reserve Bank of Australia policy decision, Tuesday
* Fed rate decision, U.S. factory orders and durable goods, Wednesday
* OPEC+ meeting on output, Thursday
* Bank of England rate decision, Thursday
* U.S. trade, initial jobless claims, Thursday
* U.S. unemployment, nonfarm payrolls, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 rose 0.2% as of 4 p.m. New York time
* The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.3%
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3%
* The MSCI World index rose 0.5%

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
* The euro rose 0.4% to $1.1606
* The British pound fell 0.1% to $1.3662
* The Japanese yen was little changed at 113.99 per dollar

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 1.56%
* Germany’s 10-year yield was little changed at -0.10%
* Britain’s 10-year yield advanced three basis points to 1.06%

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.5% to $83.96 a barrel
* Gold futures rose 0.6% to $1,794.90 an ounce
–With assistance from Sunil Jagtiani, Srinivasan Sivabalan, Nathan Hager, Emily Graffeo, Kamaron Leach and Sophie Caronello.

Have a lovely evening.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

A man will fight harder for his interests than for his rights. –Napoleon Bonaparte, 1769-1821.

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com