June 2, 2020 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
1692: Salem witch trials begin.
On June 2, 1953, Queen Elizabeth II of Britain was crowned in Westminster Abbey, 16 months after the death of her father, King George VI. Go to article »

Why Bach sounded like Bach. -Bloomberg.

New study challenges “collapse” hypothesis of Easter Island. (h/t Scott Kominers) -Bloomberg.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY


A surfer heads out into the ocean in Cape Town, South Africa. South Africa’s lockdown regulations were eased as part of a phased risk adjusted strategy by government in dealing with the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 which causes the Covid-19 disease. The country has moved from level 4 to level 3 lockdown but there is still much confusion as to some of the regulations. Non-contact sport has been permitted but beaches remain closed.
CREDIT: NIC BOTHMA/EPA-EFE/SHUTTERSTOCK

Villagers walking in terraced fields in Jiabang Township, Congjiang Country of southwest China’s Guizhou Province.
CREIDT: XINHUA NEWS AGENCY/EYEVINE

Pigeons belonging to members of the Barnsley Federation of Racing Pigeons are released at Wicksteed Park in Kettering, Northamptonshire, as pigeon racing is the first spectator sport to return following the easing of lockdown restrictions in England.
CREDIT: JACOB KING/PA WIRE

Market Closes for June 2nd, 2020 

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
25742.65 +267.63
+1.05%
S&P 500 3080.82 +25.09
+0.82%
NASDAQ 9608.375 +56.326

+0.59%

TSX 15394.36 +158.15
+1.04%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 22325.61 +263.22
+1.19%
HANG
SENG
23995.94 +263.42
+1.11%
SENSEX 33825.53 +522.01
+1.57%
FTSE 100* 6220.14 +53.72

+0.87%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
0.543 0.533
CND.
30 Year
Bond
1.144 1.123
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
0.6836 0.6591
U.S.
30 Year Bond
1.4846 1.4513

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.73961 0.73686
US
$
1.35206 1.35711
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.50960 0.66242
US
$
1.11652 0.89564

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1730.60 1728.70
Oil
WTI Crude Future 36.81 35.44


Market Commentary:

On this day in 1985, R.J. Reynolds Industries took a deep breath and gobbled up Nabisco Brands in an acquisition valued at $4.9 billion, the largest takeover yet on record outside the oil industry. RJR bought Nabisco for $85 a share—a huge premium over the $60 share price only a month earlier. William Leach, a leading food-industry analyst at Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette, said the deal wasn’t likely to have much effect on the food industry and doubted that more mergers would follow. Three months later, Philip Morris bought General Foods.
Canada
By Aoyon Ashraf
(Bloomberg) — Canada stocks rose with global markets as investors weighed new bouts of stimulus and positive economic signals as coronavirus lockdowns ease. The S&P/TSX Composite Index rose 1% in Toronto. Consumer discretionary and energy stocks outperformed, while materials fell. Meanwhile, one of Canada’s railways is seeing signs the economy is slowly bouncing back from the coronavirus pandemic. Volumes rose 4% at Canadian National Railway Co. in the last week of May as manufacturing and construction sectors reopened, said Chief Financial Officer Ghislain Houle. While the recovery is expected to be slow, it’s a positive sign after shipments hit bottom last month, he said. On the deals front, Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. said it isn’t making and isn’t engaged in making a bid for BlackBerry Ltd., BNN Bloomberg reported, citing an email from Fairfax’s general counsel. BlackBerry rose 7.6%, bringing its two-day gain to 13%.

Commodities
* Western Canada Select crude oil traded at a $7.70 discount to West Texas Intermediate
* Spot gold fell 0.8% to $1,726.39 an ounce

FX/Bonds
* The Canadian dollar strengthened 0.4% to C$1.3520 per U.S. dollar
* The 10-year government bond yield rose slightly to 0.542%

By Bloomberg Automation:
(Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose for the second day, climbing 1 percent, or 158.15 to 15,394.36 in Toronto. The move was the biggest since rising 1.1 percent on May 25. Royal Bank of Canada contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.6 percent. Baytex Energy Corp. had the largest increase, rising 34.1 percent. Today, 146 of 229 shares rose, while 83 fell; 8 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* This quarter, the index rose 15 percent, heading for the biggest advance in at least 10 years
* The index declined 4 percent in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 11 percent in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 14.3 percent below its 52-week high on Feb. 20, 2020 and 37.8 percent above its low on March 23, 2020
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 1.6 percent in the past 5 days and rose 5.3 percent in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of
19.2 on a trailing basis and 25.2 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.4 percent on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$2.31t
* 30-day price volatility fell to 20.54 percent compared with
22.93 percent in the previous session and the average of 29.69 percent over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | | Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Financials | 97.6713| 2.2| 24/2
Energy | 47.4146| 2.3| 29/1
Information Technology | 24.0993| 1.7| 8/2
Consumer Discretionary | 17.6127| 3.3| 14/0
Industrials | 12.2311| 0.7| 19/12
Communication Services | 10.8584| 1.2| 7/1
Consumer Staples | 5.9113| 0.9| 5/6
Utilities | 2.1387| 0.3| 13/3
Real Estate | -1.6864| -0.4| 8/18
Health Care | -1.9782| -1.3| 3/7
Materials | -56.1284| -2.6| 16/31

US
By Katherine Greifeld
(Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose alongside equities in Europe and Asia amid new bouts of stimulus and positive economic signals as coronavirus lockdowns ease. The dollar slumped for a fourth consecutive day. Two shares rose on the S&P 500 Index for every one that fell, lifting the benchmark to its highest since March 4. Gunmakers extended rallies in the wake of President Donald Trump’s promise to deploy large numbers of troops if cities and states don’t act to contain violence from protests over police brutality. Stocks are hovering near their highest in three months as businesses reopen around the world and manufacturing gauges show economies stabilizing following coronavirus shutdowns. That’s despite a slew of risks still on the horizon, including tense U.S.-China relations that may jeopardize a hard-won trade deal. The sometimes violent demonstrations across U.S. cities over the killing by police of George Floyd, an unarmed black man, aren’t yet seen as a major drag on the economy and corporate profits. “Everyone who is assessing what they’re seeing on the news every night is recognizing things getting worse, and yet the markets are focusing on things that they believe are getting better,” said Brian Levitt, a global market strategist at Invesco. Coronavirus “cases have plateaued in aggregate and compressed in some of the hardest hit areas. Mobility is starting to pick up, reopenings are starting to pick up.”
Stimulus hopes powered Europe’s Stoxx 600 to a 12-week high as Chancellor Angela Merkel sought to thrash out a second aid package for Germany. Oil gained as investors eyed a potential extension of record production curbs by OPEC+. Treasuries edged lower, while the pound gained on positive news in trade negotiations between Britain and the EU. Elsewhere, emerging-market stocks rallied alongside currencies. Australia’s dollar rose to its highest level since January. In Asia, Tokyo equity benchmarks outperformed.
Here are some key events coming up:
* In Europe, the ECB is expected to top up its rescue program with an additional 500 billion euros of asset purchases at a meeting on Thursday. Anything less than an expansion would be a big shock, Bloomberg Economics said.
* The U.S. labor market report on Friday will probably show American unemployment soared to 19.6% in May, the highest since the 1930s.

These are the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 Index rose 0.8% at the close of trading in New
York for its third straight gain.
* The Stoxx Europe 600 Index advanced 1.6%.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index increased 1%.
* The MSCI Emerging Market Index gained 1.7%.

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index decreased 0.3%.
* The euro increased 0.3% to $1.1169.
* The British pound gained 0.4% to $1.2546.
* The Japanese yen weakened 1% to 108.66 per dollar.

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose two basis points to 0.68%.
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined one basis point to -0.42%.
* Britain’s 10-year yield fell one basis point to 0.22%.

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude increased 4% to $36.84 a barrel.
* Gold fell 0.7% to $1,728.12 an ounce.
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, David Wilson and Michael Hunter.

Have a great night.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

Doing the best at this moment puts you in the best place for the next moment.
                                                                          -Oprah Winfrey, b. 1954

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

June 1, 2020 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
The works of Christo, in photos. -Bloomberg.

Unsold  truffles tell tale of broken $3.4 trillion food chain. –Bloomberg.

The pandemic isn’t the only thing that’s shaken the world this year
We’re only halfway through 2020, but it feels like about 10 years’ worth of stuff has happened. Here’s a recapCNN.

A 103-year-old woman beat Covid-19, and had an ice cold beer to celebrate
When you’re 103 and kick Covid to the curb, you can drink whatever you wantCNN.

On June 1, 1968, author-lecturer Helen Keller, who earned a college degree despite being blind and deaf most of her life, died in Westport, Conn. Go to article »
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Queen Elizabeth II rides Balmoral Fern, a 14-year-old Fell Pony, in Windsor Home Park. This is the first time the Queen has been seen since the beginning of Lockdown.
CREDIT: STEVE PARSONS/PA

People in pedalo’s go through the Olympic Park in Stratford in London, England.
CREDIT: ALEX PANTLING/GETTY IMAGES

A rainbow appears on the horizon after a brief spell of rain on the outskirts of New Delhi, India
CREDIT: AP PHOTO/ALTAF QADRI
Market Closes for June 1st, 2020 

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
25475.02 +91.91
+0.36%
S&P 500 3055.43 +11.42
+0.38%
NASDAQ 9552.051 +62.179

+0.66%

TSX 15236.21 +43.38
+0.29%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 22062.39 +184.50
+0.84%
HANG
SENG
23732.52 +771.05
+3.36%
SENSEX 33303.52 +879.42
+2.71%
FTSE 100* 6166.42 +89.82

+1.48%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
0.533 0.534
CND.
30 Year
Bond
1.123 1.118
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
0.6591 0.6493
U.S.
30 Year Bond
1.4513 1.4077

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.73686 0.72640
US
$
1.35711 1.37665
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.51118 0.66173
US
$
1.11353 0.89804

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1728.70 1717.35
Oil
WTI Crude Future 35.44 25.49

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1932, Benjamin Graham published the first of a three-part series of articles in Forbes Magazine in which he pointed out that “a great number of American businesses are quoted in the market for much less than their liquidating value; that in the best judgment of Wall Street, these businesses are worth more dead than alive.” On the very same day, the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index (measured retroactively) hit its all-time low of 4.40.
Canada
By Aoyon Ashraf
(Bloomberg) — Canadian shares climbed on Monday, led by consumer discretionary stocks, with investors focused on signs of economic recovery.
The S&P/TSX Composite index rose 0.3% in Toronto. Royal Bank of Canada contributed the most to the index advance, increasing 2.2%, while Alaris Royalty had the largest gain, rising percentage 9.8%. Canopy Growth had the biggest drop, falling 8.1%.
BlackBerry shares gained after Street Insider reported that Fairfax Financial recently held talks to buy the remaining shares it didn’t already own. Street Insider, citing an unidentified source, said BlackBerry has formed a special committee and hired bankers to assist in the matter. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau unveiled C$2.2 billion ($1.6 billion) in financial support for Canadian municipalities whose revenues have plunged because of Covid-19 lockdowns.

Commodities
* Western Canada Select crude oil traded at a $6.50 discount to West Texas Intermediate
* Spot gold rose 0.5% to $1,739.23 an ounce

FX/Bonds
* The Canadian dollar rose 1.6% to C$1.3568 per U.S. dollar
* The 10-year government bond yield rose slightly to 0.535%

By Bloomberg Automation:
     (Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose 0.3 percent at 15,236.21 in Toronto. The move follows the previous session’s decrease of 0.5 percent. Royal Bank of Canada contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.2 percent. Alaris Royalty Corp. had the largest increase, rising 9.8 percent.
Today, 131 of 229 shares rose, while 96 fell; 4 of 11 sectors were higher, led by financials stocks.

Insights
* This quarter, the index rose 14 percent, heading for the biggest advance in at least 10 years
* The index declined 5 percent in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 9.7 percent in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 15.2 percent below its 52-week high on Feb. 20, 2020 and 36.4 percent above its low on March 23, 2020
* The S&P/TSX Composite is up 1.1 percent in the past 5 days and rose 4.2 percent in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19 on a trailing basis and 24.6 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.5 percent on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$2.3t
* 30-day price volatility little changed to 22.93 percent compared with 22.93 percent in the previous session and the average of 31.28 percent over the past month
================================================================
| Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Financials | 63.7906| 1.5| 19/7
Materials | 18.4698| 0.9| 33/13
Consumer Discretionary | 11.0287| 2.1| 12/2
Energy | 3.0037| 0.1| 23/7
Real Estate | -1.2103| -0.3| 10/16
Health Care | -1.2374| -0.8| 5/5
Utilities | -3.2690| -0.4| 6/9
Communication Services | -4.5707| -0.5| 2/6
Industrials | -11.1158| -0.6| 16/15
Consumer Staples | -14.8066| -2.2| 1/10
Information Technology | -16.7135| -1.2| 4/6

US
By Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose as investors focused on signs of economic recovery amid further tension with China, lackluster virus drug-test results and spreading protests over the killing of George Floyd, an unarmed black man, by police.
The dollar slumped.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite outperformed as a closely watched measure of U.S. manufacturing rose in May for the first time in four months, suggesting stabilization after a pandemic-driven plunge. Gunmakers rallied in the aftermath as the protests were marred by violence. Gilead Sciences Inc. fell after its drug remdesivir showed only a limited benefit in a large trial.
Risk assets showed signs of resilience Monday after stocks had dipped earlier in the day following reports that Chinese officials had told agricultural companies to pause purchases of some U.S. farm goods, threatening a hard-won trade deal. Metals and emerging-market equities advanced along with shares in Europe and Asia.
Investors mostly looked past the weekend of sometimes violent demonstrations across U.S. cities, highlighting what many see as the disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street. Stocks are near a three-month high as businesses reopen following shutdowns caused by the coronavirus, even with 40 million Americans having filed for unemployment benefits.
“Progress on the road to an economic recovery could help offset pressure on the equity market from near-term challenges stemming from geopolitical, health, and societal risks,” John Stoltzfus, chief investment strategist at Oppenheimer, wrote to clients.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said the U.S. labor market is showing the earliest signs of rebounding. China’s Caixin purchasing managers’ index for manufacturing rose above 50 May, indicating an expansion. Euro-area data on Monday also signaled factories have started down their long road to recovery.
Here are some key events coming up:
* In Europe, the ECB is expected to top up its rescue program with an additional 500 billion euros of asset purchases at a meeting on Thursday. Anything less than an expansion would be a big shock, Bloomberg Economics said.
* The U.S. labor market report on Friday will probably show American unemployment soared to 19.6% in May, the highest since the 1930s.

These are the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 Index rose 0.4% at the close of trading in New York.
* The Stoxx Europe 600 Index climbed 1.1%.
* Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index increased 3.4%.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index increased 1.8%.

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index declined 0.7%.
* The euro rose 0.3% to $1.1133.
* The British pound gained 1.3% to $1.2503.
* The Japanese yen strengthened 0.2% to 107.6 per dollar.

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose one basis point to 0.66%.
* Germany’s 10-year yield increased four basis points to -0.41%.
* Britain’s 10-year yield climbed five basis points to 0.23%.

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.3% to $35.59 a barrel.
* Gold strengthened 0.6% to $1,740.17 an ounce.
–With assistance from Joanna Ossinger, Gregor Stuart Hunter, Adam Haigh, Anchalee Worrachate and Todd White.

Have a great night.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

Efforts and courage are not enough without purpose and direction.
                                                -John F. Kennedy, 1917-1963

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com