March 03rd, 2020 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

From Bloomberg today:
A huge asteroid is heading for Earth. 
What happens to your emails after you die.

Sue Monk Kidd:
“I think life is a process.  You wake up.  Then you wake up some more.  One self dies.  Another is born.  It’s an evolution of consciousness.  If you look at the way God created the world, it’s always about a seed and a sprout and a flower.  And then it goes back to seed.  It’s always about process and unfolding.  We’re on a journey of greater and greater consciousness, becoming more compassionate, more loving, and that is a lifelong spiraling process.”

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Everly Fidler, aged 3 from Leatherhead pictured amongst a stunning blanket of 200,000 crocus bulbs at RHS Garden Wisley, Surrey.
CREDIT: OLIVER DIXON

A woman runs on a small road before sunrise in Frankfurt, Germany.
CREDIT: MICHAEL PROBST/AP PHOTO

A horse breeder plays a horse in one of the stables of Aby Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

This picture by Abbas Alkhamis is the Winner, National Awards, 2020 Sony World Photography Awards.
CREDIT: ABBAS ALKHAMIS/2020 SONY WORLD PHOTOGRAPHY AWARDS

After a thunderous hailstorm, a full, beautiful rainbow appeared behind the semi feral ponies of Cefn Bryn common, Swansea.
CREDIT: JOANN RANDLES/COVER IMAGES

Market Closes for March 3rd, 2020 

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
25917.41 -785.91
-2.94%
S&P 500 3003.37 -86.86
-2.81%
NASDAQ 8684.090 -268.075

-2.99%

TSX 16423.62 -129.64
-0.78%

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 21082.73 -261.35
-1.22%
HANG
SENG
26284.82 -6.86
-0.03%
SENSEX 38623.70 +479.68
+1.26%
FTSE 100* 6718.20 +63.31

+0.95%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.961 1.101
CND.
30 Year
Bond
1.227 1.329
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
0.9957 1.1469
U.S.
30 Year Bond
1.6083 1.7014

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.74771 0.74982
US
$
1.33741 1.33365
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.49511 0.66885
US
$
1.11791 0.89452

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1599.65 1609.85
Oil
WTI Crude Future 47.18 46.75

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1882, in Lugo, Italy, outside of Bologna, Carlo Pietro Giovanni Guglielmo Tebaldo Ponzi was born. In 1903 he emigrated to Boston, renaming himself Charles Ponzi, and created a financial phenomenon—promising to double investors’ money every three months by speculating in foreign postage stamps to benefit from fluctuations in currency rates. Bostonians lost over $10 million on the scheme, and Mr. Ponzi’s name became synonymous with any con game that pays new investors out of the money that belongs to the old ones.
Canada
By Michael Bellusci and Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks finished lower Tuesday amid ongoing coronavirus concerns, while the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates by half a percentage point in the first such emergency move since the 2008 financial crisis. Gold posted its biggest two-day advance in more than eight years after the Federal Reserve cut U.S. interest rates. The S&P/TSX Composite fell 0.8% to 16,423.62. The move follows the previous session’s increase of 1.8%. Materials stocks were a rare bright spot, rallying with metal prices. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada is poised to follow the U.S. Federal Reserve and cut interest rates. All odds point to Governor Stephen Poloz lowering rates by at least 25 basis points on Wednesday.

Commodities
* Western Canada Select crude oil traded at a $13.30 discount to West Texas Intermediate
* Spot gold added 2.7% to $1,638.40 an ounce

FX/Bonds
* The Canadian dollar weakened 0.4% to C$1.3379 per U.S. dollar
* The 10-year government bond yield tumbled 15 basis points to
0.96%, the lowest since 2016
==============================================

Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
==============================================
Financials | -96.1710| -1.8| 1/25
Energy | -45.5059| -1.7| 1/29
Information Technology | -19.0857| -1.8| 1/9
Industrials | -17.6697| -0.9| 7/24
Consumer Discretionary | -11.8305| -1.8| 1/15
Communication Services | -3.7853| -0.4| 1/6
Health Care | -3.7668| -2.1| 5/4
Real Estate | 2.4053| 0.4| 13/11
Utilities | 6.6622| 0.8| 12/4
Consumer Staples | 7.5992| 1.2| 9/2
Materials | 51.5131| 2.9| 33/14

US
By Vildana Hajric and Katherine Greifeld
(Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks tumbled and Treasuries surged as investors worried the Federal Reserve’s emergency cut won’t be enough to combat the economic impact of the coronavirus. The S&P 500 fell for the eighth time in nine days following the Federal Reserve’s 50 basis-point cut of its benchmark rate. Fed chair Jerome Powell said during a press conference that the U.S. economy remains strong but the virus outbreak will weigh on activity “for some time.” The two-year Treasury yield sunk to 0.70%, while the 10- year plunged below 1% for the first time ever. Banks led losses on equity benchmarks. “Does a 50 basis point cut change things? That’s a tough one to answer,” said Subadra Rajappa, head of U.S. rates strategy at Societe Generale.

     “Fed cuts tend to be less effective in situations like this when there is a supply and demand shock.” Investors had piled out of risk assets last week as the spreading virus threatened to derail global growth, only to pour back in Monday in anticipation of concerted action from Group of Seven officials. Oil pared its rebound Tuesday, approaching $46 a barrel, while gold rose. The yen was higher versus the dollar. “Moving between meetings with a bigger than normal interest rate cut looks like Fed officials are panicking as much as stock market investors did last week,” said Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist for MUFG Union Bank. “They did not need to be so aggressive and the Fed under Powell keeps responding wrongly in our view more to the financial markets than they are to the broader economy. We aren’t in a recession yet and today’s move won’t keep one from coming. The OECD warned that growth will sink to levels not seen in more than a decade and ever more businesses are warning about the impact of the illness. The governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney, said it would take all necessary steps to help the economy. Australia lowered its benchmark by a quarter percentage point. Its currency rose, however, underscoring how traders’ expectations have rapidly shifted in recent days.
These are the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 Index fell 2.8% as of 4 p.m. New York time.
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 2.96%.
* The Stoxx Europe 600 Index gained 1.4%.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.5%.

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.4%.
* The euro rose 0.4% to $1.1178.
* The British pound gained 0.5% to $1.2812.
* The Japanese yen strengthened 1% to 107.23 per dollar.

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries decreased 16 basis points to 1%.
* The two-year rate lost 20 basis points to 0.70%.
* Germany’s 10-year yield dropped two basis points to -0.64%.

Commodities
* Gold futures added 2.7% to $1,637.10 an ounce.
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.1% at $47.24 a barrel.

–With assistance from Sophie Caronello.
Have a great night.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

Each person must live their life as a  model for others.
                                        -Rosa Parks, 1913-2005

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

March 2nd, 2020 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:  
R.I. P. JACK Welch.

March 2, 1904: Theodore Geisel, “Dr. Seuss,” writer, was born.
During his career, which spanned 60 years, as an illustrator and writer of children’s books, he filled the hearts and minds of generations of readers with joy, solace, and pure pleasure.  His characters like Horton and Nerkle and Humpf-Humpf-a-Dumpfer stick around in our heads forever; the memory of their stories read to us by parents or grandparents, or enjoyed in wonderful solitude, mark our childhood innocence and delight. 
 In 1937, Dr. Seuss’ first attempt at a child’s book – And to Think I Saw it on Mulberry Street – met rejection after rejection.  Finally, it was published and critics began to take notice.  But it was when Houghton Mifflin and Random House challenged Geisl to write a reading primer that wasn’t the usual boring, “See Dick run” kind of book, that he moved into our collective consciousness.  His answer to that challenge was the Cat in the Hat.  Handsome, kind and mischievous, Ted Geisl died on September 24, 1991, and left us an entire universe of whimsical creatures dedicated to our happiness.
www.seussville.com.

Unless someone like you cares a whole awful lot, nothing is going to get better.
It’s not. -Dr. Seuss.

Fisherman breaks state record with monster 37-pound lake trout 
This is every tall fishing tale come to life-CNN
Extra dog days. Australian summers are now 31 days longer and winters 23 days shorter than in the 1950s, new research says, which means more extreme heat and less time for controlled burns to prevent bushfires. –Bloomberg.
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Employees of the Paris Opera and the Comedie Francaise demonstrate against the pension reform, Paris, France
CREDIT: STEPHANE DE SAKUTIN/AFP
Enthusiasts take part in an attempt to set Russia’s record for the most number of people dousing themselves with icy water, to mark the end of calendar winter, in Krasnoyarsk, Russia
CREDUT: REUTERS
Richard Sikyna of Slovakia makes a jump as a rainbow forms behind in the MX2 race during the 2020 FIM MXGP World Championships in Winchester, England
CREDIT: JULIAN FINNEY/GETTY IMAGES EUROPE
Market Closes for March 2nd, 2020 

Market
Index
Close Change
Dow
Jones
26703.32 +1293.96
+5.09%
S&P 500 3090.23 +136.01
+4.60%
NASDAQ 8952.164 +384.797

+4.49%

TSX 16553.26 +290.21
+1.78%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

International Markets

Market
Index
Close Change
NIKKEI 21558.86 +214.78
+1.01%
HANG
SENG
26291.68 +161.75
+0.62%
SENSEX 38144.02 -153.27
-0.40%
FTSE 100* 6654.89 +74.28

+1.13%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.
10 Year Bond
1.101 1.129
CND.
30 Year
Bond
1.329 1.317
U.S.   
10 Year Bond
1.1469 1.1650
U.S.
30 Year Bond
1.7014 1.6937

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.74982 0.74630
US
$
1.33365 1.33995
Euro Rate
1 Euro=
Inverse
Canadian $ 1.48342 0.67412
US
$
1.11220 0.89912

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold
Fix
1609.85 1652.00
Oil
WTI Crude Future 46.75 44.76

Market Commentary:
In most admired companies, key priorities are team work, customer focus, fair treatment of employees, initiative, and innovation.  In average companies the top priorities are minimizing risk, respecting the chain of command, supporting the boss, and making budget. -Bruce Pfau, Fortune.
Canada
By Michael Bellusci and Bloomberg Automation
(Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks snapped a six-day losing streak on Monday as investors gained confidence that stewards of the world’s largest economies would act in concert to offset any impact from the spreading coronavirus.
The S&P/TSX Composite rose 1.8% to 16,553.26 in Toronto. It was the biggest gain since December 2018. All eleven main industry groups rose, with communication services and utilities among the leaders.
Investors are betting the Bank of Canada will cut at least 25 basis points from its benchmark interest rate on Wednesday, swaps trading shows, with some betting on a 50 basis-point reduction.
Meanwhile, oil advanced the most in five months amid expectations central banks will move to prop up financial markets and OPEC will curb supplies in response to the virus- driven demand shock.

Commodities
* Western Canada Select crude oil traded at a $13.70 discount to West Texas Intermediate prices
* Spot gold added 0.7% to $1,595.95 an ounce

FX/Bonds
* The Canadian dollar strengthened 0.6% to C$1.3334 per U.S. dollar
* The 10-year government bond yield fell 2.7 basis points to 1.105%

================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Financials | 76.8050| 1.5| 22/4
Communication Services | 35.8014| 4.0| 7/1
Materials | 35.0275| 2.0| 38/9
Industrials | 34.1057| 1.9| 29/1
Utilities | 27.9630| 3.3| 16/0
Information Technology | 25.9816| 2.5| 8/2
Energy | 20.2429| 0.8| 20/10
Real Estate | 16.7488| 2.8| 22/3
Consumer Discretionary | 7.7961| 1.2| 12/5
Consumer Staples | 7.5012| 1.2| 10/1
Health Care | 2.2140| 1.2| 6/3
US
By Randall Jensen and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks surged the most in fourteen months as investors gained confidence that stewards of the world’s largest economies would act in concert to offset any impact from the spreading coronavirus.
The S&P 500 rallied 4.6% after news that Group of Seven finance ministers and central bankers will hold a teleconference Tuesday to discuss how to respond to the outbreak. Tech shares led the rebound after seven straight days of declines for the benchmark index, with monetary policy makers from Japan to England joining the Federal Reserve in promising to take action to support their economies if needed.
Ten-year Treasury yields pared an early slide to trade little changed, while 30-year rates rose. Oil rallied on expectations that the OPEC+ alliance will deepen output cuts.
The stock gains provided hope for investors after last week’s nearly unprecedented rout, even as the S&P 500 Index traded more than 10% below the record it reached just two weeks ago. The coronavirus has already done severe economic damage — with the OECD warning that growth will sink to levels not seen in more than a decade — but investors are betting that policy makers will take decisive action to limit the pain.
“Markets are already looking beyond the first half, looking toward the second half to see whether or not we get a recovery in demand,” said Anik Sen, global head of equities at PineBridge Investments, which has about $101 billion in assets under management. “We’re finding stocks at much more reasonable levels than they have been.”
The global death toll from the virus has surpassed 3,000. U.S. cases climbed over the weekend, with the first infections appearing in New York City, Brussels and Berlin, while cases jumped in hot spots of Italy, Iran and South Korea. Positive tests in Italy jumped by more than 500 to 1,694 on Sunday with 41 deaths. Lombardy, the region that includes the financial capital of Milan, accounted for almost 1,000 cases.
Here are some key events coming up:
* The Reserve Bank of Australia sets policy on Tuesday.
* U.S. citizens in states including California and Texas will vote on “Super Tuesday” for a Democratic candidate to run against President Donald Trump in November’s election.
* The Bank of Canada has a rate decision on Wednesday.
* OPEC ministers gather in Vienna on March 5-6.

These are the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 Index rose 4.6% as of 3:38 p.m. New York time.
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 5.1%.
* The Nasdaq 100 Index advanced 4.9%.
* The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.1%.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.8%.

Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.4%.
* The euro increased 1.3% to $1.1163.
* The British pound slid 0.3% to $1.2782.
* The Japanese yen was little changed at 107.90 per dollar.

Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 1.15%.
* The yield on two-year Treasuries dipped one basis point to 0.90%.
* Germany’s 10-year yield fell two basis points to -0.63%.

Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude jumped 5.3% to $47.13 a barrel.
* Gold rose 0.5% to $1,593.64 an ounce.

–With assistance from Todd White, Claire Ballentine and Sam Potter.
Have a great night.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

Mediocrity knows nothing higher than itself, but talent instantly recognizes genius.
                                                                -Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, 1859-1930

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com