May 16, 2019 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
1961 – US President John F. Kennedy starts 3-day visit to Ottawa.

10 reasons why ‘Dief the Chief’ and JFK hated each other >> Go to article »
PHOTOS OF THE DAY
tupian1.jpg

Visitors take a look of the newly launched OnePlus 7 and OnePlus Pro series smartphones at the experience centre in Bangalore, India
CREDIT: JAGADEESH HV/EPA/REX
pp 2.jpg
Betty Bromage, celebrates her 90th birthday in spectacular style by taking on a Zip wire across a Welsh Quarry.
CREDIT: GARY LAWSON/CAG PHOTOGRAPHY
picture 3.jpg
Claude Monet’s painting titled “Meules.”, one of Monet’s iconic paintings of haystacks, has fetched a record $110.7 million at an auction in New York.
CREDIT: SOTHEBY’S
pp4.jpg
Final touches are added to couture floral displays in Covent Garden, as the area launches Covent Garden in Bloom, hosting Fleurs de Villes an immersive display.
CREDIT: JEFF MOORE

Market Closes for May 16th, 2019

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

25862.68 +214.66

 

 

+0.84%

S&P 500 2876.32 +25.36

 

+0.89%

NASDAQ 7898.047 +75.900

 

+0.97%

TSX 16443.86 +125.72

 

 

+0.77%

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 21062.98 -125.58

-0.59%

HANG

SENG

28275.07 +6.36

+0.02%

SENSEX 37393.48 +278.60

+0.75%

FTSE 100* 7353.51 +56.56

+0.78%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.678 1.666
CND.

30 Year

Bond

1.913 1.904
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.3944 2.3732
U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.8338 2.8199

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 074272 0.74410
US

$

1.34626 1.34391
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse
Canadian $ 1.50462 0.66462
US

$

1.11763 0.89480

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1299.10 1298.40
   
Oil  
WTI Crude Future 62.87 62.02

Market Commentary:
Outflows from Chinese equities totaled more than $2.5 billion last week amid the recent flare up in U.S.-China trade tensions, averaging around $600 million net outflows daily, according to the Institute of International Finance’s daily capital flows tracker. Outflows have continued this week, with more than $1.5 billion on Tuesday
Canada
By Aoyon Ashraf
     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose for a third consecutive day, the longest streak of gains in a month, with Shopify among the standouts as it rallied to a record. The S&P/TSX Composite Index gained 0.8% to 16,443.86 in Toronto.
     All 11 industry groups except materials climbed. Technology stocks rose the most. Gold miner Iamgold outperformed its peers, gaining 9.4% after Bloomberg reported that company exploring sale. Air Canada also advanced, climbing 3.9% after it said that company is in talks to buy Transat Airline for $387 Million The market was lifted by a report showing Canadian factory sales rose by the fastest in almost a year in March, adding to evidence the economy is emerging from a recent weak patch. Manufacturing sales climbed 2.1% from the prior month, the most since May 2018, Statistics Canada reported Thursday.
     In other moves:
Stocks
* Bombardier Inc gained 7.5% after Airbus CEO said looking at options for Belfast A220 wing factor
* Boardwalk REIT rallied 7.2% after first quarter FFO per unit beat estimates
* ATS rose 4.9% after fourth quarter revenue beat the highest estimate
* Birchcliff Energy climbed 7.2% despite first quarter EPS missing the lowest estimate
* Gold miners such as Torex Gold, Eldorado Gold, Centerra Gold were among some of the biggest losers after the metal fell as U.S. home starts rose, jobless claims declined
Ratings
* BMO CN: Bank of Montreal Reinstated Underperform at Credit Suisse
* BNS CN: Bank of Nova Scotia Reinstated Outperform at Credit Suisse
* CM CN: CIBC Reinstated at Credit Suisse With Neutral; PT C$116
* CWB CN: Canadian Western Bank Reinstated Neutral at Credit Suisse
* LB CN: Laurentian Bank of Canada Reinstated at Credit Suisse With Underperform; PT C$41
* NA CN: National Bank of Canada Reinstated Neutral at Credit Suisse
* NRI CN: Nuvo Pharmaceuticals Cut to Hold at Bloom Burton & Co; PT C$2.50
* PDL CN: North American Palladium Rated New Outperform at BMO; PT C$15.50
* RY CN: Royal Bank of Canada Reinstated Neutral at Credit Suisse
* TD CN: TD Bank Reinstated at Credit Suisse With Outperform; PT C$81
* TRZ CN: Transat AT Upgraded to Neutral at CIBC; PT C$13
Commodities
* Western Canada Select crude oil traded at a $13 discount to WTI
* Gold spot prices fell 0.8% to 1,286.68 an ounce
FX/Bonds
* The Canadian dollar fell 0.2% to C$1.3461 per U.S. dollar
* The Canada 10-year government bond yield climbed to 1.679%
US
By Randall Jensen and Vildana Hajric
     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose and Treasuries slumped anew as the rebound in risk assets from the trade-fomented sell-off continued.
     The S&P 500 capped a third day of gains, but faded into the close to finish just above its average price over the last 50 sessions. Solid earnings from Cisco Systems Inc. and Walmart Inc., along with strong housing data, boosted shares. However, trade tensions remained in the background as the Trump administration threatened to blacklist China’s Huawei Technologies Co. and Walmart warned tariffs would lead to higher consumer prices. The 10-year yield topped 2.39% and the dollar strengthened.
     “This has become a pattern where you get a big aggressive statement from the administration that might impact trade and then the market reacts aggressively as it did on Monday and then it seems to back off,” Chicago-based Susan Schmidt, head of U.S. equities at Aviva Investors, said in an interview. “Business is still doing well. I think if the market can stay focused on the facts and the data, then I think the market will hold.”
     Strong economic data and earnings, along with hints from the Trump administration that it may be willing to compromise on trade has helped stocks bounce back from the battering they took when the tariff battle with China flared last week. But the headlines have come fast and furiously, most recently President Donald Trump signed an order that’s expected to restrict Chinese telecommunications firms from selling in the U.S.
     Elsewhere, the pound dropped for a ninth day versus the euro — the longest losing streak since 2000 — as U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May faced a new threat to oust her. Emerging market shares fell for the third time in four days.
     Here are the main market moves:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 Index rose 0.9% as of 4 p.m. New York time.
* The Nasdaq 100 gained 8%.
* The Stoxx Europe 600 Index advanced 1.3%.
* The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index gained 0.8%.
* The MSCI Emerging Market Index dipped 0.6%.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index decreased 0.5%.
Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.3%.
* The euro dipped 0.2% to $1.1174.
* The British pound decreased 0.4% to $1.2795, reaching the weakest in three months.
* The Japanese yen fell 0.2% to 109.83 per dollar.
Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries climbed two basis points to 2.40%.
* Britain’s 10-year yield rose one basis point to 1.074%.
* Germany’s 10-year yield gained less than one basis point to -0.10%.
Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude increased 1.7% to $63.08 a barrel.
* Gold fell 0.8% to $1,286.80 an ounce.
–With assistance from Adam Haigh, Todd White and Sarah Ponczek.

Have a great night.

Be magnificent.

As ever,

Carolann

The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, but wiser people so full of doubts.

                                                                       -Bertrand Russell, 1872-1970

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

May 15, 2019 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Hump Day!
1893 – First Stanley Cup presented to the Montreal Hockey Club (MHC).
Go to article »

Henry James, writer, b. 1843.

Live all you can – it’s a mistake not to.  It doesn’t so much matter what you do in particular, so long as you have your life.  If you haven’t had that, what have you had? –Henry James, 1843-1916.

L. Frank Baum, b. May 15, 1856
When L. (Lyman) Frank Baum wrote The Wonderful Wizard of Oz for children, it was no so much as a piece of fiction, but as a real tale they could lose themselves inf.  Baum di many things until he joined illustrator Maxfield Parish in 1897 to create his first book, Mother Goose in Prose.  In 1900, he wrote the instantly successful story of the Dorothy and the Tin Man, Glinda and the Wicked Witch of the West, Toto and Aunt Em – the characters now familiar to an astonishing number of people all over the world.  Baum followed up with thirteen more books about Oz until his death in 1919. See www.thewizardofoz.warnerbros.com/#/

We’re off to see the Wizard,
The Wonderful Wizard of Oz.
You’ll find he is a whiz of a Wiz!
If ever a Wiz! there was…
PHOTOS OF THE DAY
p1.jpg
A pride of lions appear to replicate and image of the rock band Wueen from their Bohemian Rhapsody album cover in Serengeti National Park, Tazania
CREDIT: DANIEL ROSENGREN/CATERS NEWS
p2.jpg
Hot air balloons glide over Goreme district during early morning at the historical Cappadocia region, located in Central Anatolia’s Nevsehir province, Turkey. Cappadocia is known as a region which attracts tourists with hot air balloon rides over its cone-shaped rock formations.
CREDIT: ALPASLAN KORUKCU/ANADOLU AGENCY/GETTY IMAGES
p3.jpg
Cricket players from the Ship Inn and Borderers team hold the first match of the season at the beach in Elie, Scotland. The Ship Inn pub is the only cricket team in the United Kingdom to play their matches on a beach. Over the course of a season they hold regular fixtures against Scottish clubs as well as touring teams from across the world.
CREDIT: JEFF J MITCHELL/GETTY IMAGES
Market Closes for May 15th, 2019

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

25658.02 +115.97

 

 

+0.45%

S&P 500 2850.96 +16.55

 

+0.58%

NASDAQ 7822.148 +87.654

 

+1.13%

TSX 16318.14 +33.61

 

 

+0.21%

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 21188.56 +121.33
+0.58%
HANG

SENG

28268.71 +146.69
+0.52%
SENSEX 37114.88 -203.65
-0.55%
FTSE 100* 7296.95 +55.35
+0.76%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.666 1.691
CND.

30 Year

Bond

1.904 1.918
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.3732 2.4104
U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.8199 2.8485

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.74410 0.74281
US

$

1.34391 1.34623
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse
Canadian $ 1.50606 0.66398
US

$

1.12062 0.89237

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1298.40 1295.60
   
Oil  
WTI Crude Future 62.02 61.78

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1995, the Foundation for New Era Philanthropy—which had claimed to match the money it raised for charities from such wealthy donors as investor Sir John Templeton, former U.S. Treasury Secretary William E. Simon and ex-Goldman Sachs co-chairman John C. Whitehead—filed for bankruptcy protection as founder John G. Bennett confessed the whole thing was a Ponzi scheme.

Canada
By Aoyon Ashraf

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks bounced back with global equities amid signs that the Trump administration is working toward easing tensions with trade partners.
     The S&P/TSX Composite Index erased earlier losses, and closed Wednesday’s trading session 0.2% higher to 16,318.14 in Toronto. Technology was the best sector, led by Shopify. Communication services fell 0.4%
     Meanwhile, annual inflation accelerated in Canada for a third consecutive month as gasoline costs continue to escalate, in part due to new taxes on energy. Annual consumer price inflation rose to 2.0% in April, Statistics Canada said Wednesday in Ottawa, up from 1.9% a month earlier.
     In other moves:
Stocks
* Fortuna Silver fell 9.1% after reporting first quarter earnings
* Corus Entertainment dropped 17% after holder Shaw Communications entered an agreement to offer of 80.6m shares of the entertainment company at C$6.80 per share
* Boyd Group rose 6.6% after reporting first-quarter adjusted Ebitda that beat estimates
* Keyera climbed 5.1% despite the co. reporting first quarter basic EPS that missed the lowest estimate
* CCL Industries gained 6.6% after reporting better-than- expected profits.
Ratings
* AIM CN: Aimia Downgraded to Hold at TD; Price Target C$5
* CIA CN: Champion Iron Reinstated at Macquarie With Outperform
* CLR CN: Clearwater Seafoods Raised to Buy at Cormark Securities
* WJA CN: WestJet Airlines Downgraded to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT C$31
* WPM CN: Wheaton Precious Metals Rated New Buy at Industrial Alliance
* WSP CN: WSP Global Upgraded to Outperform at National Bank; PT C$79
* WSP CN: WSP Global Upgraded to Outperform at Alta Corp; PT C$86
Commodities
* Western Canada Select crude oil traded at a $14.80 discount to WTI
* Gold spot prices were flat at $1,296.40 an ounce
FX/Bonds
* The Canadian dollar rose 0.2% to C$1.3442 per U.S. dollar
* The Canada 10-year government bond yield retreated to 1.662%
US
By Randall Jensen and Sarah Ponczek

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rebounded for second day on signs the Trump administration is working toward easing tensions with trade partners. Treasuries advanced.
     The S&P 500’s two-day gain was the biggest in more than a month after Bloomberg reported President Donald Trump would postpone by up to six months a decision on car tariffs that was due by Saturday. The benchmark is still down over 3% since the trade war with China flared last week. American and German carmakers jumped on the news. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin also said negotiators were close to a deal with Mexico and Canada on removing metals tariffs, helping to boost indexes.
     The two-year Treasury yield touched the lowest level since February 2018 early Wednesday before paring losses, while the 10-year rate fell to 2.37%. The dollar erased its advance against major peers to trade little changed. Oil rose above $62 a barrel.
     The possibility that the president will delay penalties on cars and end steel and aluminum tariffs helped calm investors’ concerns about Trump’s protectionist turn against major trade partners, outside of China. However, anxiety still hovered over markets after unexpectedly weak U.S. and Chinese economic numbers Wednesday heightened worries the trade war could weigh on a global economy that’s already staggering.
     “We just had political talk out today about not taking on another region of the world at the same time in regards to autos,” said Matt Forester, chief investment officer at BNY Mellon’s Lockwood Advisors. “Any news from the administration around lessening of trade disputes is going to be received pretty well, and we’re seeing that today.”
     Here are some notable events coming up this week:
* Earnings this week include Cisco, Nvidia.
* Bank of Indonesia has an interest rate decision on Thursday.
* Australian unemployment is out on Thursday.
     And here are the main market moves:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 Index rose 0.6% as of 4 p.m. New York time, the biggest two-day advance since April 1.
* The Nasdaq 100 Index increased 1.4%. 
* The Stoxx Europe 600 Index gained 0.5%.
* Germany’s DAX Index advanced 0.9%.
* The MSCI Emerging Market Index added 0.3%.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index advanced 0.6%, the biggest gain in six weeks.
Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed.
* The euro was steady at $1.1208.
* The British pound dipped 0.5% to $1.2842.
* The Japanese yen rose 0.1% to 109.56 per dollar.
Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries fell four basis points to 2.37%.
* Germany’s 10-year yield dipped three basis points to -0.1%.
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined four basis points to 1.063%.
Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.7% to $62.21 a barrel.
* Gold advanced 0.1% to $1,296.90 an ounce.
–With assistance from Charlotte Ryan, Vildana Hajric and Todd White.
Have a great night.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

To create one’s world in any of the arts takes courage.

                                -Georgia O’Keeffe, 1887-1986

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

May 14, 2019 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
On May 14, 1948, the independent state of Israel was proclaimed as British rule in Palestine came to an end.

Go to article »
PHOTOS OF THE DAY
picture 1.jpg
The sun setting over Ely Cathedral in Cambridgeshire, UK. Hotter and drier weather is forecast for this week.    CREDIT: ANDREW SHARPE/GEOFF ROBINSON PHOTOGRAPHY
picture 2.jpg
A woman stands beneath a spectacular sandstone arch near the small town of Page in Arizona, USA. The 30 meter tall arch was sculpted by wind and rain over the ages which eroded the soft sandstone.     CREDIT: ANDREI STOICA/SOLENT NEWS & PHOTO AGENCY
picture3.jpg
Stunning images have captured a picture – perfect spring evening as fox cubs play amongst a blanket of bluebells. The adorable cubs, thoughts to be about four weeks old, were snapped play-fighting and frolicking in the flowers near Stourbridge, West Midlands, UK.     CREDIT: IAN HOWELLS/MERCURY PRESS
Market Closes for May 14th, 2019

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

25532.05 +207.06

 

 

+0.82%

S&P 500 2834.41 +22.54

 

+0.80%

NASDAQ 7734.496 +87.472

 

+1.14%

TSX 16284.53 +91.12

 

 

+0.56%

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 21067.23 -124.05
-0.59%
HANG

SENG

28122.02 -428.22
-1.50%
SENSEX 37318.53 +227.71
+0.61%
FTSE 100* 7241.60 +77.92
+1.09%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.691 1.666
CND.

30 Year

Bond

1.918 1.902
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.4104 2.4015
U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.8485 2.8362

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.74281 0.74174
US

$

1.34623 1.34818
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse
Canadian $ 1.50878 0.66281
US

$

1.12076 0.89226

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1295.60 1287.10
   
Oil  
WTI Crude Future 61.78 61.04

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1997, Amazon.com went public on the Nasdaq, offering 3 million shares at an initial price of $18 per share. Last summer, the e-commerce giant became the second U.S. company to hit $1 trillion in market value on an intraday basis, and today it is valued at $897 billion with a share price of $1,822.68 even after recent declines. 

Canada
By Aoyon Ashraf

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rebounded along with U.S. equities after President Trump moved to reassure markets that he’ll reach a trade deal with China. Pot stocks were among the best performers, followed by industrials.
     The S&P/TSX Composite Index climbed 0.6% on Tuesday to 16,285 in Toronto, ending a three-day slide. Medical cannabis maker CannTrust Holdings was the best performing stock after posting record revenue during the first quarter. Cronos was the second best after it signed a C$30 million cannabis concentrate supply pact with MediPharm.
     In other moves:
Stocks
* CannTrust Holdings rose +6.6%, while Cronos Group climbed 6.2%
* Birchcliff Energy advanced 6%, heading into its first quarter earnings on May 15
* Lundin Mining gained 5.4%, while gold miner Iamgold fell 3.9% and New Gold was down 3.7%
* Labrador Iron Ore gained 5.1% despite 1Q earnings missing the average analyst estimate
Ratings
* CNE CN: Canacol Energy Rated New Corporate at Edison; PT C$6.28
* SIS CN: Savaria Rated New Buy at Eight Capital; PT C$15
* VLE CN: Valeura Energy Rated New Buy at Panmure Gordon
* WJA CN: WestJet Airlines Downgraded to Sell at Veritas; PT C$31
Commodities
* Western Canada Select crude oil traded at a $14.30 discount to WTI
* Gold spot prices fell 0.2% to $1,297.25 an ounce
FX/Bonds
* The Canadian dollar rose 0.1% to C$1.3462 per U.S. dollar
* The Canada 10-year government bond yield gained to 1.692%
US
By Randall Jensen and Sarah Ponczek

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rebounded as President Donald Trump moved to reassure markets that he’ll clinch a trade deal with China. The dollar rose and Treasuries fell.
     The S&P 500 rose for the second time in three sessions after Trump said he’s talking with China. The benchmark is still down around 4% since the president escalated the trade war on May 5, and Tuesday’s rally faded into the close. Battered tech shares led the advance as Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. bounced back from their biggest one-day declines since January. Heavyweight exporters Caterpillar Inc. and Boeing Co. also reversed a portion of Monday’s losses.
     The dollar advanced for a second day against major peers, including havens such as the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc. The offshore yuan — a key risk indicator due to concern China will use it to retaliate against U.S. tariffs — stabilized after a six-day decline. Ten-year Treasury yields edged higher to 2.41%. Commodities targeted by Chinese tariffs — including soybean and cotton futures — also rebounded. West Texas crude rose above $61 a barrel.
     “Investors are looking for opportunities to get into this market, and so far in 2019 there really haven’t been any ‘buy the dip’ opportunities other than last week,” Ryan Nauman, market strategist at Informa Financial Intelligence, said by phone. “And you’re also seeing President Trump confirmed a meeting with President Xi during next month’s G-20 summit, which provides some optimism that despite the increase in tariffs, negotiations are still ongoing.”
     Signs emerged Tuesday Trump had pressed the trade battle far enough. The president sprinkled his criticisms of China over the last 48 hours with enough signals that negotiations haven’t completely broken down that traders rushed back into the beaten down market to find bargains. But the rally remains tenuous as the White House announced it was prepping tariffs on the remaining $300 billion of Chinese imports, and economists warned the new penalties will eventually weigh heavily on the American economy.
Here are some notable events coming up this week:
* Earnings this week include Alibaba, Tencent, Cisco, Nvidia.
* Kansas City Fed President Esther George and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin make appearances.
* China industrial production and retail sales are slated for Wednesday, the same day as U.S. retail sales and industrial production.
* Bank of Indonesia has an interest rate decision on Thursday.
* Australian unemployment is out on Thursday.
And here are the main market moves:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 Index rose 0.8% as of 4 p.m. New York time.
* The Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 1.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.9%. 
* The Stoxx Europe 600 Index gained 1%.
* The MSCI Emerging Market Index decreased 0.2%.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index sank 0.8%.
Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.2% to the highest in more than a week.
* The euro fell 0.1% to $1.1214.
* The British pound dipped 0.2% to $1.2927.
* The Japanese yen decreased 0.3% to 109.66 per dollar.
Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose one basis point to 2.41%.
* Germany’s 10-year yield was unchanged at -0.07%.
* Britain’s 10-year yield was little changed at 1.105%.
Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude climbed 1.1% to $61.70 a barrel.
* Gold fell 0.3% to $1,297.70 an ounce.
–With assistance from Yakob Peterseil.
Have a great night.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

The secret of the man who is universally interesting is

that he is universally interested.

                       -William Dean Howells, 1837-1920

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

May 13, 2019 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: Happy Monday!

On May 13, 1981, Pope John Paul II was shot and seriously wounded in St. Peter’s Square by Turkish assailant Mehmet Ali Agca. Go to article »
PHOTOS OF THE DAY
picturw 1.jpg
Cricket players from the Ship Inn and Borderers teams hold the first match of the season on the beach in Elie, Scotland.     CREDIT: STUART NICOL FOR THE TELEGRAPH
picture 2.jpg
Courtney Conlogue if the US performs a manouvre on a wave one day before the start of the World Surf League women’s championship tour surfing events in Bal, Indonesia     CREDIT: SONNY YUMBELAKA/AFP/GETTY IMAGES
picture3.jpg
Yana Nestsiarava of Belarus dives from the 21 metre platform at Dun Laoghaire Harbour during the second stop of the Red Bull Cliff Diving World Series in Dublin, Ireland.     CREDIT: ROMINA AMATO/ RED BULL VIA GETTY IMAGES
picture 4.jpg
A camera shy mountain hare in the Cairngorms, Scottish Highlands     CREDIT: ANDY HOWARD/SWNS
Market Closes for May 13th, 2019

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

25324.99 -617.38

 

 

-2.38%

S&P 500 2811.87 -69.53

 

-2.41%

NASDAQ 7647.023 -269.917

 

-3.41%

TSX 16193.41 -104.14

 

 

-0.64%

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 21191.28 -153.64

-0.72%

HANG

SENG

28550.24 +239.17

+0.84%

SENSEX 37090.82 -372.17

-0.99%

FTSE 100* 7163.68 -39.61

-0.55%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.666 1.733
CND.

30 Year

Bond

1.902 1.958
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.4015 2.4672
U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.8362 2.8867

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.74174 0.74505
US

$

1.34818 1.34220
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse
Canadian $ 1.51340 0.66077
US

$

1.12256 0.89082

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1287.10 1286.10
   
Oil  
WTI Crude Future 61.04 61.66

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1986, with Wall Street embracing media and retailing stocks, Home Shopping Network went public, selling 2 million shares at an initial offering price of $18. The stock closed at $47.75, up 165%, probably the highest first-day return at the time on record.
Canada
By Aoyon Ashraf
     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks continued to decline for a third day, after China retaliated with higher tariffs on a range of American goods. Pot stocks were the biggest losers as new Canada licensing rules may worsen a shortage.
     The S&P/TSX Composite Index fell 0.6% to 16,193. Health care and consumer discretionary sectors were the worst performers, while real estate and utilities suffered the least. Onex Corp. agreed to acquire WestJet Airlines Ltd. for C$3.5 billion ($2.6 billion), taking the Canadian carrier private in one of the buyout firm’s biggest deals.
     In other moves:
Stocks
* WestJet surged about 60% on news that the company will be acquired by Onex
* Air Canada climbed 5.5% to the highest in a year, following the WestJet acquisition
* Gold miners such as Pretium Resources gained 7.2%, as the metal rose on safe haven demand
* Eldorado Gold rose 5.5% after starting a $300 million senior secured notes offering
* Canopy Growth fell 7.6% and Cronos Group declined almost 6.3% amid new Canada licensing rules
Ratings
* ALO CN: Alio Gold Downgraded to Speculative Underperform at BMO
* AX-U CN: Artis REIT Upgraded to Outperform at BMO; PT C$12.50
* BHC CN: Bausch Health Upgraded to Neutral at JPMorgan
* BOS CN: AirBoss of America Raised to Buy at Industrial Alliance; PT C$12
* CRR-U CN: Crombie REIT Upgraded to Buy at Desjardins; PT C$16
* EFR CN: Energy Fuels Downgraded to Market Perform at Noble Capital
* MAL CN: Magellan Aerospace Downgraded to Hold at Canaccord; PT C$20
* NOA CN: NOA CN Raised to Strong Buy at Raymond James
* QSR CN: Restaurant Brands Downgraded to Underperform at Longbow
* TGL CN: TransGlobe Energy Upgraded to Buy at Arqaam Capital; PT C$2.90
Commodities
* Western Canada Select crude oil traded at a $13.35 discount to WTI
* Gold spot prices rose 1.1% to $1,299.65 an ounce
FX/Bonds
* The Canadian dollar fell 0.4% to C$1.3469 per U.S. dollar
* The Canada 10-year government bond yield retreated to 1.662%
US
By Randall Jensen and Sarah Ponczek
     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks and commodities tumbled after China retaliated with higher tariffs on a range of American goods. Treasuries jumped with the Japanese yen on demand for haven assets.
     The S&P 500 dropped the most in four months, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped more than 600 points and the Nasdaq Composite saw the biggest decline of the year after China targeted some of the nation’s biggest exporters. Both Boeing and Caterpillar Inc. fell nearly 5%, while Apple Inc. lost 5.8%. The new penalties also took aim at American farmers, driving down soybean and cotton prices. The dollar rallied and the 10-year Treasury yield fell to the lowest level since late March.
     Shares briefly came off lows during Monday’s session after President Donald Trump indicated he’ll speak with China’s Xi Jinping at the end of June during the G-20 summit and said he hasn’t yet decided about fresh tariffs on the remaining $300 billion in Chinese imports.
     Trade rattled financial markets again, with stocks sinking for the fifth time in six sessions since China’s defiance of Trump’s warning not to retaliate for his imposition of higher tariffs Friday escalated the skirmish, driving demand for havens from gold to the yen while punishing risk assets. Several banks have warned that the eruption increases the likelihood of a slowdown in global growth that would dent corporate profits.
     “China retaliating as fast as they did was a clear signal they’re not going to be pushed around,” said Samantha Azzarello, global market strategist for JPMorgan ETFs. “Markets would like a little bit more play nice and maybe even a bit of complacency from China. It was interesting it wasn’t done on the weekend. It was done just in time, Monday morning for markets to open.”
     Elsewhere, European shares dropped more than 1% after the European Union said it was finalizing a list of U.S. goods to target in the event Trump imposes levies on car imports. Oil turned lower after rising earlier on concerns about rising tensions in the Persian Gulf. Bitcoin climbed above $7,000 as the recent gains in cryptocurrencies extended over the weekend.
     Here are some notable events coming up this week:
* Earnings this week include Vodafone, Alibaba, Tencent, Cisco, Nvidia.
* New York Fed President John Williams speaks at an event in Zurich. Kansas City Fed President Esther George and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin also make appearances.
* Japan balance of payments is due Tuesday.
* China industrial production and retail sales are slated for Wednesday, same day as U.S. retail sales and industrial production.
* Bank of Indonesia has an interest rate decision on Thursday.
* Australian unemployment is out on Thursday.
     And here are the main market moves:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 Index decreased 2.4% as of 4 p.m. New York time, the biggest drop since Jan. 3.
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 2.4%, the most since Jan. 3.
* The Nasdaq Composite Index tumbled 3.4%, the largest drop since Dec. 4.
* The Stoxx Europe 600 Index fell 1.2% to the lowest in two months.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index declined 0.9%.
* The MSCI Emerging Market Index decreased 1.7%.
Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2%.
* The euro was little changed at $1.1232.
* The British pound fell 0.3% $1.2963.
* The Japanese yen jumped 0.6% to 109.33 per dollar.
Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries fell seven basis points to 2.398%, the lowest since March 28.
* Germany’s 10-year yield dipped two basis points to -0.07%.
* Britain’s 10-year yield declined three basis points to 1.10%.
Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate crude dropped 1.4% to $60.81 a barrel.
* Gold increased 1% to $1,300.10 an ounce.
–With assistance from Todd White.
Have a great night.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

Nobody got anywhere in the world by simply being content.

                          -Louis Dearborn L’Amour, 1908-1988

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

May 10, 2019 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents: HAPPY FRIDAY!
1994- Nelson Mandela inauguration day.
1869 – A golden spike was driven at Promontory, Utah, marking the completion of the first transcontinental railroad in the United States. Go to article »

Blink and you’ll miss it. Japan began tests of the world’s fastest bullet train, the Alfa-X, that’s capable of speeds as fast as 249 mph.

Blue Moon. Jeff Bezos unveiled his rocket company Blue Origin’s new lunar lander, saying it’ll help get astronauts back to the moon by 2024.
PHOTOS OF THE DAY
pian 1.png
Photographer shares incredible lighting shots hitting the Eiffel Tower on Liberation day. Bertrand Kulik from Paris, France, took the shots from his bedroom, which he believes mark the incredible day. He said: With one powerful impact on the Eiffel tower, today was the celebration of the end of the second war. The symbol is strong, the title of my picture is Liberation day.
Mammatus clouds were impressive. We can observe this type of clouds only during a storm. I add a picture of the sunset with mammatus clouds. Mammatus clouds were impressive. We can observe this type of clouds only during a storm.     CREDIT: BERTRAND KULIK/ CATERS

pian2.jpg
Students protest by blocking the Romulo Gallegos Ave in Caracas, Venezuela – after their school tuitions increased over a 100% in 2019. As the country goes through a political, economic and social crisis, Venezuelan opposition led by Juan Guaida, recognised by many more than 50 nations as the country’s rightful interim ruler, continues to take actions to make Maduro step down of power after failed uprising attempt on April 30th.     CREDIT: EDILZON GAMEZ/GETTY IMAGES
dongjing3.jpg
People cross a street in Tokyo’s Ginza district.     CREDIT: CHARLY TRIBALLEAU/AFP/GETTY IMAGES
Market Closes for May 10th, 2019

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

25942.37 +114.01

 

 

+0.44%

S&P 500 2881.40 +10.68

 

+0.37%

NASDAQ 7916.941 +6.354

 

+0.08%

TSX 16297.55 -24.20

 

 

-0.15%

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 21344.92 -57.21

-0.27%

HANG

SENG

28550.24 +239.17

+0.84%

SENSEX 37462.99 -95.92

-0.26%

FTSE 100* 7203.29 -4.12

-0.06%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.733 1.680
CND.

30 Year

Bond

1.958 1.927
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.4672 2.4494
U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.8867 2.8674

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.74505 0.74229
US

$

1.34220 1.34718
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse
Canadian $ 1.50808 0.66310
US

$

1.12350 0.89007

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1286.10 1285.20
   
Oil  
WTI Crude Future 61.66 61.70

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1965, a young Warren Buffett took control of textile maker Berkshire Hathaway, whose stock closed that day at $18 a share. On Thursday, Berkshire shares closed at $314,400.

Canada
By Aoyon Ashraf

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks pared earlier losses but closed lower, capping their biggest weekly decline of 2019.
     The S&P/TSX Composite Index fell 0.2% Friday to 16,297.55. Consumer discretionary and materials stocks were the worst performers. Real estate and communication services outperformed. Meanwhile, Canada’s economy posted record job gains in April, along with a pick-up in wages, in the strongest sign yet the nation’s economy has emerged from a soft patch. Employment rose by 106,500 in April, the biggest one-month increase in data going back to 1976.
In other moves:
Stocks
* CES Energy Solutions rose 11% after reporting first-quarter revenue that met estimates
* Sierra Wireless climbed 8% after its full-year adjusted EPS view midpoint beat estimates
* Ritchie Bros declined 3.8% after first-quarter adjusted earnings per share missed the average analyst estimate
* Enerplus climbed 3% after forecasting average production for the second quarter 
Ratings
* AX-U CN: Artis REIT Upgraded to Buy at Echelon Wealth; PT C$13.50
* CPG CN: Crescent Point Energy Upgraded to Outperform at CIBC; PT C$7.50
* EXN CN: Excellon Resources Upgraded to Buy at Cantor; Price Target C$1
* HBM CN: Hudbay Minerals Downgraded to Market Perform at BMO; PT C$10.75
* LUN CN: Lundin Mining Upgraded to Outperform at BMO; Price Target C$8.75
* NTS CN: Nanotech Security Raised to Speculative Buy at Echelon Wealth
* OPT CN: Optiva Downgraded to Sell at Canaccord; PT C$38
* POU CN: Paramount Resources Upgraded to Hold at GMP; PT C$9.25
* SOX CN: Stuart Olson Cut to Underperform at National Bank; PT C$3.50
* WPRT CN: Westport Fuel Systems Upgraded to Buy at Lake Street
Commodities
* Western Canada Select crude oil traded at a $13.25 discount to WTI\
* Gold spot prices rose 0.1% to $1,286.40 an ounce
FX/Bonds
* The Canadian dollar rose 0.4% to C$1.3419 per U.S. dollar
* The Canada 10-year government bond yield climbed to 1.733%
US
By Sarah Ponczek and Vildana Hajric

     (Bloomberg) — Stocks closed higher for the first time in five days on renewed optimism that an all-out trade war can be averted even after the U.S. decision to slap fresh tariffs on Chinese goods overnight. While a late-day push sent the S&P 500 into positive territory, the bellwether still finished down on the week by the most since just before Christmas. Ten of the 11 industry sectors gained after all started the day in the red. U.S. and Chinese officials wrapped up high-level trade talks on Friday, lacking a deal yet avoiding a breakdown in negotiations even after President Donald Trump boosted tariffs on $200 billion in goods and threatened to impose more.
     “I believe this is the “end game” for the negotiations,” said Bryce Doty, senior vice president at Sit Investment Associates, which has about $13 billion in assets under management. “Both sides are making a show of resistance as they get closer and closer to a final deal.”
     In Asia, the Shanghai benchmark jumped 3.1% as Chinese state-backed funds bought domestic shares. Treasuries continued to benefit as investors sought havens, with the benchmark 10- year note yield ending the week lower. The dollar weakened after a report showed inflation rose less than forecast in April.
Still, with China yet to specify how it will retaliate against U.S. duties, investors stumbled to the end of a bruising few days after seeing almost $600 billion in equity market value wiped out. The U.S. gave its bottom line in talks in Washington, saying Beijing had three to four weeks more to reach an agreement before the Trump administration acts again.
     “Everything that people thought was going to happen is now back on the table and dirty laundry is all over the place,” said Yousef Abbasi, director of U.S. institutional equities and global market strategist at INTL FCStone. “That’s the scenario we face.”
     Elsewhere, emerging-market currencies strengthened. South Africa’s rand gained as the African National Congress headed toward victory in a national election, and the lira rallied as Turkish banks bought the currency in Asia hours. Bitcoin advanced for a 10th day, the longest winning streak since 2017, the year of its historic leap to almost $20,000.
     These are the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 Index rose 0.4% as of 4:07 p.m. New York time, while the Nasdaq Composite Index slumped 0.1% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.4%.
* The Stoxx Europe 600 gained 0.3%. 
* The MSCI Emerging Market Index rose 0.6%.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.2%. 
Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.1%.
* The euro rose 0.2% to $1.1233, while the yen strengthened 0.2% to 109.90 per dollar.
* The British pound weakened less than 0.1% to $1.3009.
* The MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index rose 0.3%.
Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose 2 basis points to 2.46%.
* Germany’s 10-year yield was little changed at negative 0.05%.
Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate fell 0.2% to $61.57 a barrel.
* Gold gained 0.2% to $1,286 an ounce.
* The Bloomberg Commodity Index rose 0.1%.

Have a wonderful weekend.

Be magnificent!
As ever,
Carolann

A man can fail, but he isn’t a failure until he blames someone else.

                                                       -J. Paul Getty, 1892-1976

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

May 9, 2019 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents

Billy Joel, singer, songwriter, b. 1949.
I’d rather laugh with the sinners than cry with the saints, sinners are much more fun. –Billy Joel.

THE POEM:

Perched In These Green Mountains

                         -by David Budbill
Han Shan says, Perched in these green mountains,
letting my hair grow white, pleased with the years gone by,
happy with today.

Imagine such contentment, happiness with yourself.
Yet I know for Cold Mountain, tomorrow always brought
something else as well, for Han Shan also said,

If you hide yourself away in the thickest woods,
how will your wisdom’s light shine through?
A bag of bones is not a sturdy vessel.

Back and forth, back and forth.
That’s the way it goes.
Happy and content one day,

ambition and desire eat you alive the next.
It’s always been this way.  Back and forth,
back and forth.  That’s the way it goes.

“Cold Mountain” is another name for the poet Han Shan.
PHOTOS OF THE DAY
tu11.jpg
The sun is setting behind lines of trees as seen from Kathmandu, Nepal     CREDIT: NARENDRA SHRESTHA/EPA-EFE/REX
tu22.jpg
Japan’s new Emperor Naruhito attends a ritual called Chokushi-Hakken-no-gi, a ceremony of dispatching Imperial Envoys to the Jingu (IsaGrand Shrine) and Mausolea of Emperor Jinmu and the 4 recent emperors up to Emperor Showa, at the Imperial Palace in Tokyo, Japan     CREDIT: IMPERIAL HOUSEHOLD AGENCY OF JAPAN/HANDOUT VIA REUTERS
tu33.jpg
A dust storm is seen in Mildura, Victoria, Australia     CREDIT: ANDREW THOMAS/VIA REUTERS
Market Closes for May 9th, 2019

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

25828.36 -138.97

 

-0.54%

S&P 500 2870.72 -8.70

 

-0.30%

NASDAQ 7910.586 -32.733

 

-0.41 %

TSX 16321.75 -75.65

 

-0.46%

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 21402.13 -200.46
-0.93%
HANG

SENG

28311.07 -692.13
-2.39%
SENSEX 37558.91 -230.22
-0.61%
FTSE 100* 7207.41 -63.59
-0.87%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.680 1.707
CND.

30 Year

Bond

1.927 1.957
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.4494 2.4853
U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.8674 2.8960

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.74229 0.74207
US

$

1.34718 1.34759
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse
Canadian $ 1.51139 0.66164
US

$

1.12187 0.89137

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1285.20 1281.20
   
Oil  
WTI Crude Future 61.70 62.12

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1901, as competing bull and bear factions tried to corner the market in Northern Pacific railway stock, the shares hit $1.000—up from $96 only five weeks earlier. Then the market crashed, with the Dow plunging 6.1% on near-record daily volume. And Samuel Bolton, a leading brewer in Troy, N.Y., who had lost a fortune speculating on stocks, committed suicide by diving into a vat of hot beer.

ICYMI
The yield curve is inverted again.
Canada
By Aoyon Ashraf

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks recovered from early losses, joining a bounce in U.S. equities, after President Trump said a trade deal with China was still possible to reach this week. The S&P/TSX Composite Index closed down 0.5% to 16,321.75 in Toronto.
     Health care and consumer discretionary led the decline while consumer staples and utilities were the only gainers among major industries.
     In economic news, Canada’s trade sector posted a much- needed rebound, with shipments up across the board in what was a positive end to a tough first quarter for the nation’s exporters. Exports jumped 3.2 percent in March, largely due to increases in volumes rather than prices, Statistics Canada said Thursday from Ottawa.
In other moves:
Stocks
* Stars Group jumped 15% on news that Fox Corp. is buying 4.99% of the gaming giant and starts its own sports wagering platform
* Cascades rose 9.8% after 1Q adjusted EPS beat estimates
* Spin Master fell 4.5% after reporting an unexpected 1Q loss
* Magna International tumbled 10% after cutting outlook on a global auto slowdown
* Cronos Group fell 8.1% after 1Q revenue missed estimates
Ratings

* ABX CN: Barrick CEO Slams Trade Spat, Livent Tanks: N.A.
Materials Wrap
* CPG CN: Crescent Point Energy Upgraded to Buy at Canaccord
* FTT CN: Finning International Upgraded to Buy at TD; PT C$29
* QSR CN: Restaurant Brands Rated New Hold at Jefferies
* PEY CN: Peyto Exploration Upgraded to Buy at GMP; Price Target C$9.50
* TCN CN: Tricon Capital Group Downgraded to Buy at TD; PT C$13.50 TCX CN: Tucows Downgraded to Hold at Echelon Wealth
* TS/B CN: Torstar Upgraded to Buy at TD; Price Target C$1.25
* WDO CN: Wesdome Gold Mines Upgraded to Buy at Eight Capital; PT C$5.25
Commodities

* Western Canada Select crude oil traded at a $13.20 discount to WTI
* Gold spot prices rose 0.2% to $1,284 an ounce
FX/Bonds

* The Canadian dollar rose 0.1% to C$1.3465 per U.S. dollar
* The Canada 10-year government bond yield fell to 1.68%
US
By Sarah Ponczek and Vildana Hajric

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks finished off the lows of the day after President Donald Trump said a trade deal with China is still possible even as a deadline approached for reciprocal tariffs to be imposed by the two feuding countries. The yuan fell to its weakest since January.
     The S&P 500 declined for a fourth consecutive session, leaving the index on pace for its worst week of the year. The bellwether had slumped as much as 1.5% before Trump said he received a “beautiful letter” from Chinese President Xi Jinping and that the two leaders would probably speak by phone. The Stoxx Europe 600 fell the most this year, while the MSCI Asia Pacific gauge dropped the most in six weeks. The gap between 3- month and 10-year Treasury rates briefly turned negative, traditionally a recession warning.
     “When you think about just how much uncertainty there is on that front, the dip we’re seeing is really not that substantial,” said Mike Loewengart, vice president of investment strategy at E*TRADE Financial. “To be sure things could get far worse, but if you look at the remarkable trajectory of the market so far this year, this week’s declines are a minor speed bump at this point.”
     Trade discussions will resume hours after concerns flared again about the strength of the Chinese economy — the country’s credit growth slowed in April to a level below all 27 estimates in a Bloomberg survey. Beijing has warned it will retaliate should the U.S. hike tariffs as advertised on Friday.
     “If tariffs are increased at 12:01 a.m. Friday, the decline in risk assets is likely to intensify,” said Dennis DeBusschere, head of portfolio strategy at Evercore ISI. Meanwhile, simmering geopolitical tension elsewhere — from North Korea testing missiles again to renewed stress between America and Iran — added to the gloomy mood. Crude oil edged lower and emerging-markets stocks tumbled. Developing-nation currencies weakened. The lira trimmed some losses after Turkey’s central bank unexpectedly raised borrowing costs for the country’s lenders.
     Here are some notable events coming up:
* The U.S. releases the April CPI report Friday.
These are the main moves in markets:
Stocks

* The S&P 500 Index fell 0.3 as of 4:03 p.m. New York time, while the Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 0.4% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped 0.5%.
* The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 1.7%. 
* The MSCI Emerging Market Index dropped 2.1%.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index slumped 1.4%.
Currencies

* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed.
* The euro rose 0.2% to $1.1219 while the yen strengthened 0.4% to 109.72 per dollar.
* The British pound was little changed at $1.3015.
* The MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index eased 0.6%.
Bonds

* The yield on 10-year Treasuries fell 3 basis points to 2.45%.
* Germany’s 10-year yield fell less than 1 basis point to negative 0.05%.
Commodities

* West Texas Intermediate fell 0.9% to $61.57 a barrel.
* Gold rose. 0.2% to $1,284 an ounce.
* The Bloomberg Commodity Index fell 0.6%, the third decline in four days. 
–With assistance from Andrew Dunn and Luke Kawa.

Have a great night.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

Knowledge may give weight, but accomplishments give lustre, and many more people see than weigh.

                                                                      -Lord Chesterfield, 1694-1773

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

 

May 8, 2019 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

 

Tangents:  Happy Hump Day – yes it’s only Wednesday.

VE DAY, 1945: Victory in Europe.
On May 8, 1886 – Atlanta pharmacist John Styth Pemberton invented the flavor syrup for Coca-Cola.
Go to article »
-fom today’s New York Times:
Canadian Music Week

It’s part trade show, part music festival, part national celebration set in Toronto.

On Thursday, its focus will be a lifetime achievement award for Robbie Robertson, one of many Canadians who’ve become international stars. He played with The Band, which was known for its work with Bob Dylan.

1st pic.png
Robbie Robertson, lead guitarist with The Band, will be honored at Canadian Music Week this year.  John Storey/Associated Press

Canada’s vibrant music industry owes a debt to a regulatory move in 1970.

Fears that the U.S. recording and broadcast industry would steamroller Canada’s led to the imposing of minimum Canadian content requirementson radio stations. Currently, the standard for pop music is at least 35 percent.

The rise of streaming music, which is not regulated in Canada, has diminished the effectiveness of radio as a promotional tool. But the country still churns out global stars.

This month, the rapper Drake, who is from Toronto, set a record for the greatest number of Billboard Music Awards, having received 27.
PHOTOS OF THE DAY
pian1.jpg
A photographer lines up his shot at Bamburgh Castle in Northumberland     CREDIT: OWEN HUMPHREYS/PA WIRE
pian 2.jpg
Overcast and cold weather for visitors to the East Lancashire Railway in Bury, Lancashire. The volunteer run railway ran a full service of both steam and diesel trains past a carpet of Bluebells at Burrs Country Par     CREDIT: PAUL HEYES/ALAMY LIVE NEWS
pian3.jpg
A Tyrannosaurus animatronic model is wheeled through Chester Zoo after arriving from America. It is one if thirteen enormous animatronic predators which have been created for Chester zoo in Texas, ahead of the opening of a world first exhibition into 200 million years of lost species.     CREDIT: PETER BYRNE/PA WIRE
Market Closes for May 8th, 2019

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

25967.33 +2.24

 

 

+0.01%

S&P 500 2879.42 -4.63

 

-0.16%

NASDAQ 7943.320 -20.436

 

-0.26 %

TSX 16397.40 +39.65

 

 

+0.24%

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 21602.59 -321.13
-1.46%
HANG

SENG

29003.20 -359.82
-1.23%
SENSEX 37789.13 -487.50
-1.27%
FTSE 100* 7271.00 +10.53
+0.15%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.707 1.684
CND.

30 Year

Bond

1.957 1.942
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.4853 2.4566
U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.8960 2.8643

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.74207 0.74234
US

$

1.34759 1.34708
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse
Canadian $ 1.50818 0.66295
US

$

1.11944 0.89330

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1281.20 1278.55
   
Oil  
WTI Crude Future 62.12 61.40

Market Commentary
On this day in 1929, John Clifton Bogle, future founder of Vanguard Group and a crusader for investors’ rights for more than three decades, was born in Montclair, N.J. He created the first mutual fund tied to an index in 1975. Mr. Bogle died in January.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
     (Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose 0.2 percent at 16,397.40 in Toronto. The move follows the previous session’s decrease of 0.8 percent.
     Suncor Energy Inc. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.2 percent. Element Fleet Management Corp. had the largest increase, rising 13.5 percent.
     Today, 121 of 242 shares rose, while 113 fell; 5 of 11 sectors were higher, led by energy stocks.
Insights
* The index advanced 3.5 percent in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 7 percent in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 1.7 percent below its 52-week high on April 23, 2019 and 19 percent above its low on Dec. 24, 2018
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 0.6 percent in the past 5 days and was little changed in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18 on a trailing basis and 15 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.1 percent on a trailing 12- month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$2.53 trillion
* 30-day price volatility little changed to 6.15 percent compared with 6.15 percent in the previous session and the average of 6.34 percent over the past month. 

================================================================
|Index Points | |
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Energy | 31.7252| 1.1| 33/8
Industrials | 14.2558| 0.8| 17/12
Information Technology | 6.2129| 0.8| 6/4
Health Care | 4.5756| 1.3| 8/1
Consumer Staples | 0.6838| 0.1| 5/5
Communication Services | -0.2612| 0.0| 3/4
Real Estate | -1.0816| -0.2| 10/12
Utilities | -1.0952| -0.2| 7/9
Financials | -3.2694| -0.1| 13/13
Consumer Discretionary | -3.7809| -0.5| 6/11
Materials | -8.3290| -0.5| 13/34
================================================================
| | |Volume VS |
| Index | | 20D AVG |YTD Change
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Suncor Energy | 10.5300| 2.2| 14.3| 15.1
Canadian National | 5.5990| 0.9| 8.2| 23.6
Canadian Natural | | | |
Resources | 5.3210| 1.7| -17.8| 15.1
Royal Bank of | | | |
Canada | -3.9980| -0.4| -55.9| 13.4
Bank of Nova Scotia| -4.2890| -0.7| -34.0| 6.5
TD Bank | -5.6280| -0.6| -34.4| 10.7
================================================================
| | Index | Volume VS |YTD Change
Biggest Gainers | % Change |Points Move|20D AVG (%)| (%)
================================================================
Element Fleet | 13.5| 3.4970| 646.1| 37.2
Torc Oil & Gas | 6.1| 0.2890| 49.6| 8.0
Crescent Point | | | |
Energy | 5.2| 0.9820| -47.5| 21.5
================================================================
| |Index Points | Volume VS |YTD Change
Biggest Losers| % Change | Move |20D AVG (%)| (%)
================================================================
Iamgold | -5.9| -0.6680| 81.3| -35.9
Home Capital | | | |
Group | -4.1| -0.3390| 224.5| 25.1
Fortuna Silver| -3.9| -0.1830| -16.7| -21.4

* The benchmark 10-year bond fell and the yield rose 2 basis points to 1.705 percent
* The S&P 500 Index declined 0.2 percent
US
By Sarah Ponczek
     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell for a third day as an escalation in trade tensions prompted investors to question whether China and America will make progress as talks resume this week. The dollar rose and Treasuries fell.
     The S&P 500 swung between gains and losses for much of the day as markets sought a measure of calm after the White House suggested a deal was still possible even as both sides threatened to raise tariffs as soon as Friday. Stocks had swooned 2 percent to start the week as trade tensions escalated.A late drop in Intel helped to weigh on tech shares.
     “Volatility in the markets is really headline driven, particularly around the fluid conversations between the U.S. And China,” said Charlie Ripley, a senior investment strategist for Allianz Investment Management. “We’ll have to see how this thing plays out at the end of the week here, but we would continue to expect this environment as long as the headlines are going back- and-forth.”
     Beijing’s top trade negotiator, Liu He, is traveling to the U.S. on Thursday and Friday for the high-stakes talks. U.S. officials have said Chinese negotiators reneged in the past week on provisions in a draft deal the U.S. considered settled. The developments raise the prospect that talks between the U.S. and China to resolve their trade war could collapse entirely.
     An escalation of Trump’s rhetoric on trade in the past few days appears to have caught global equity markets off-guard. Many had been testing record highs, seemingly priced to perfection on the assumption a deal between the U.S. and China would get done. The likes of JPMorgan boss Jamie Dimon still put the odds of that at 80 percent, and the S&P 500 has only fallen to levels seen a month ago.
     Elsewhere, the yuan edged lower as data showed Chinese exports unexpectedly fell in April and imports rose. The New Zealand dollar slumped more than 1 percent as the central bank cut interest rates, though it later pared most of the drop.
     In emerging markets, the lira extended losses against the dollar amid the fallout from Turkey’s decision to re-run municipal elections in Istanbul. The South African rand strengthened as the country headed to the polls for a national election.

Here are some notable events coming up:
* The U.S. releases trade data Thursday.
* South Africa holds national elections Wednesday.
* China reports on inflation Thursday. The U.S. releases the April CPI report Friday.

These are the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 Index fell 0.2 percent as of 4:07 p.m. New York time, the Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 0.3 percent and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added less than 0.1 percent.
* The Stoxx Europe 600 gained 0.2 percent.
* The MSCI Emerging Market Index dropped 0.7 percent.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index slumped 1.1 percent.
Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.2 percent, higher for a third straight day.
* The euro was little changed at $1.1191, while the yen strengthened 0.2 percent to 110.13 per dollar, the fourth consecutive daily increase.
* The British pound weakened 0.5 percent to $1.3008, the third straight decline.
* The MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index eased 0.1 percent.
Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose two basis points to 2.48 percent, the first decline in four days.
* Germany’s 10-year yield fell less than one basis point to negative 0.05 percent.
Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate rose 0.9 percent to $61.92 a barrel.
* Gold declined 0.3 percent to $1,281.25 an ounce.
* The Bloomberg Commodity Index was little changed.
–With assistance from Rita Nazareth.

Have a great night.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

Life resembles the banquet of Damocles; the sword is ever suspended.

                                    -Francois Marie Arouet Voltaire, 1694-1778

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com


May 7, 2019 Newsletter

Dear Friends,
Tangents

Carolann is out of the office this afternoon, I will be writing the newsletter on her behalf.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY
tupian 1.jpg
Participants attend the annual May bank holiday “Jack In The Green” parade and festival in Hastings     CREDIT:TOBY MELVILLE/REUTERS
tupian 2.jpg
Royal super fan John Loughery (C) pops the cork on a bottle of champagne near Windsor Castle, west of London     CREDIT: ADRIAN DENNIS/AFP/GETTY IMAGES
tupian 3.jpg
The remains of a building in Gaza City after it was hit during Israeli air strikes.     CREDIT: MAHMUD HAMS/AFP/GETTY IMAGES
Market Closes for May 7th, 2019 

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

25965.09 -473.39

 

 

-1.79%

S&P 500 2884.05 +48.42

 

-1.65%

NASDAQ 7963.758 -159.531

 

-1.96 %

TSX 16357.75 -135.71

 

 

-0.82 %

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 21923.72 -335.01
-1.51%
HANG

SENG

29363.02 +153.20
+0.52%
SENSEX 38276.63 -323.71
-0.84%
FTSE 100* 7260.47 -120.17
-1.63%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.684 1.764
CND.

30 Year

Bond

1.942 2.003
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.4566 2.5250
U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.8643 2.9186

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.74234 0.74507
US

$

1.34708 1.34216
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse
Canadian $ 1.50787 1.50393
US

$

1.11936 1.12094

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1278.55 1270.95
   
Oil  
WTI Crude Future 61.40 61.94

Market Commentary
On this day in 1991, AT&T finally got NCR to let the telecom giant to take it over for $7.4 billion, or a mere $110 a share, after almost two years of clumsy pursuit. AT&T’s takeover of NCR turned out to be one of the most disastrous blunders ever, as NCR’s computer lines fell in popularity and the two corporate cultures clashed. AT&T ended up spinning off NCR in 1996, after losing $3.8 billion.
Canada
By Michael Bellusci
     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell for the sixth day in seven Tuesday as investors remained on edge over President Trump’s threat to increase tariffs on billions of dollars of imports from China. Oil also tumbled toward $60 a barrel.
     The S&P/TSX Composite Index slid 0.8 percent to 16,358, the most since March 22, led lower by health care, tech and industrials. Consumer staples, communications services and utilites advanced. SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. is weighing a breakup amid the stock’s slide, the Globe & Mail reported. Additionally, Enbridge Inc. is asking oil shippers to sign at least eight-year contracts to move crude on its Mainline pipeline network, people with knowledge of the matter told Reuters.
     In other moves:
Stocks
* Kirkland Lake Gold Ltd. jumped 6.3% after 1Q earnings
* Westshore Terminals Investment Corp. gained 5.5%
* SEMAFO Inc. rose 5.1% ahead of its 1Q earnings report
* IAMGOLD Corp. dropped 12.6% after downgrades from Canaccord and BMO
* NuVista Energy Ltd. lost 5.6%
* Cronos Group Inc. fell 5.5%
* TORC Oil & Gas Ltd. retreated 4.5%
Ratings
* EDR CN: Endeavour Silver Downgraded to Market Perform at Noble Capital
* GEI CN: Gibson Energy Raised to Sector Outperform at Scotiabank; PT C$25
* HBM CN: Hudbay Minerals Downgraded to Neutral at Eight Capital; PT C$11
* IMG CN: Iamgold Downgraded to Market Perform at BMO
** IMG CN: Iamgold Downgraded to Hold at Canaccord; PT C$3.75
* KMP-U CN: Killam Apartment REIT Cut to Hold at Industrial Alliance
* OSB CN: Norbord Upgraded to Neutral at CIBC; PT C$32
Commodities
* Western Canada Select crude oil traded at a $13.50 discount to WTI
* Gold spot prices rose 0.3 percent to $1,284.51 an ounce
FX/Bonds
* The Canadian dollar fell 0.2 percent to C$1.3472 U.S. dollar
* The Canada 10-year government bond yield fell to 1.683 percent
US
By Adam Haigh
     (Bloomberg) — Asian stocks looked set for heavy declines Wednesday after the U.S. threat of higher tariffs on imports from China pushed American equities down the most since March.
     The yen held its climb and Treasuries edged higher. Futures on Japanese shares indicated losses of about 2 percent when trading opens in Tokyo, with Hong Kong and Australia also signaling declines. The S&P 500 Index ended weaker despite closing off the session lows, posting its broadest day of declines since the Christmas Eve sell-off.
     China’s top trade negotiator still intends to visit Washington later this week as President Donald Trump ratchets up pressure to clinch a deal that many market participants had expected was all but done.
     “The two largest economic powerhouses, the U.S. and China, either will be at a trade war or a trade peace and in reality there’s only a couple of people who know the answer to that and it isn’t those of us on Wall Street,” Larry Robbins, Glenview Capital Management’s CEO, told Bloomberg TV in New York. “It’s to be expected that there’s some volatility into this critical week.”
     Sentiment remains fragile as traders wait for the next development in the dispute between the world’s two-biggest economies and trade data that’s coming Wednesday in China. China’s government confirmed Tuesday that Vice Premier Liu He would visit the U.S. for trade talks on May 9 and 10. At the same time, the country was said to be preparing retaliatory tariffs on American imports should Trump carry out his threat of further duties.
     Elsewhere, the New Zealand dollar edged down ahead of the country’s finely poised central bank decision. Turkey’s lira and stocks slumped Tuesday as investors interpreted a decision to redo Istanbul’s municipal vote as yet another manifestation of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s influence over independent institutions. Oil steadied after dropping toward $60 a barrel.
     Here are some notable events coming up:
* China releases trade data Wednesday, and the U.S. does so on Thursday.
* South Africa holds national elections Wednesday.
* China reports on inflation Thursday. The U.S. releases the April CPI report Friday.
* A Chinese trade delegation is expected to arrive in Washington for talks.
     These are the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* Futures on Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 1.8 percent in Singapore.
* Contracts on Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 0.8 percent.
* Hang Seng Index futures declined 1.5 percent.
* Futures on the S&P 500 Index dipped 0.1 percent. The underlying gauge fell 1.7 percent Tuesday.
Currencies
* The yen was at 110.25 per dollar after a 0.5 percent advance Tuesday.
* The offshore yuan was at 6.7933 per dollar.
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.1 percent.
* The euro bought $1.1193, little changed.
Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries fell more than one basis point to 2.46 percent.
Commodities
* West Texas Intermediate added 0.4 percent to $61.62 a barrel, after touching the lowest level in more than five weeks Tuesday.
* Gold was steady at $1,284.59 an ounce.
Have a  great night.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

Silence is golden when you can’t think of a good answer.                                    

                                                     –Muhammad Ali

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

May 3, 2019 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Carolann is out of the office this afternoon, I will be writing the newsletter on her behalf.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY
picture 1.png

A Great White Shark ambushes a group of Cape Fur Seal in False Bay, South Africa   CREDIT: DAN CALLISTER WWW.DANCALLISTER.COM
picture 2.png
Boys who are experiencing the lives of Buddhist monks by staying in a temple for two weeks as novice monks, enjoy a ride at Everland amusement park in Yongin, South Korea CREDIT: REUTERS/KIM HONG-JI
picture 3.png
The World-famous tulip fields of Noordoostpolder, Holland have been captured in their full vibrant glory in this series of stunning aerial photographs. With millions of the flowers now in full bloom, the landscape is a kaleidoscope of colour. Dazzling patterns of colour streak the countryside when seen from the air.   CREDIT: MATT COOPER/SWNS.COM
Market Close for May 3rd, 2019

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

26504.95 +197.16

 

+0.75%

S&P 500 2945.64 +28.12

 

+0.96%

NASDAQ 8163.996 +127.224

 

+1.58 %

TSX 16494.43 +83.55

 

+0.51 %

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 22258.73 -48.85
-0.22%
HANG

SENG

30081.55 +137.37
+0.46%
SENSEX 38963.26 -18.17
-0.05%
FTSE 100* 7380.64 +29.33
+0.40%

Bonds

 

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.764 1.764
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.003 2.009
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.5250 2.5432
U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.9186 2.9327

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.74507 0.74228
US

$

1.34216 1.34720
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse
Canadian $ 1.50393 0.66492
US

$

1.12094 0.89191

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1270.95 1283.80
   
Oil  
WTI Crude Future 61.94 61.81

Market Commentary
On this day in 1998, the front page of the Sunday New York Times reported that an obscure biotechnology company, EntreMed, had cured cancer in mice. In the article, Nobel laureate James Watson said EntreMed’s head researcher “is going to cure cancer in two years.” On Monday morning, Entremed’s stock 
skyrocketed from $12.06 to $85. By the end of the week, after later reports pooh-poohing Entremed’s research, the stock had sagged to $33.25—leaving latecomers holding the bag.
Canada
By Bloomberg Automation
     (Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite rose 0.5 percent at 16,494.43 in Toronto. The move was the biggest since rising 0.6 percent on April 23 and follows the previous session’s decrease of 0.6 percent.
     Suncor Energy Inc. contributed the most to the index gain, increasing 2.0 percent. Pretium Resources Inc. had the largest increase, rising 13.7 percent. Today, 164 of 242 shares rose, while 72 fell; 10 of 11 sectors were higher, led by materials stocks.
Insights
* So far this week, the index fell 0.7 percent, heading for the biggest decline since the week ended Dec. 21
* The index advanced 5.6 percent in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 11 percent in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 1.1 percent below its 52-week high on April 23, 2019 and 19.7 percent above its low on Dec. 24, 2018
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.3 on a trailing basis and 15 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3 percent on a trailing 12-month basis
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$2.55 trillion
* 30-day price volatility fell to 5.75 percent compared with 6.39 percent in the previous session and the average of 6.40 percent over the past month.
================================================================

Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Materials | 20.5396| 1.3| 36/13
Financials | 18.8097| 0.4| 17/9
Energy | 18.4200| 0.6| 29/11
Industrials | 12.5958| 0.7| 23/6
Information Technology | 6.9976| 0.9| 7/3
Utilities | 2.4704| 0.4| 12/4
Consumer Discretionary | 2.1542| 0.3| 9/8
Real Estate | 1.2146| 0.2| 16/6
Communication Services | 0.7958| 0.1| 5/2
Health Care | 0.3929| 0.1| 5/5
Consumer Staples | -0.8395| -0.1| 5/5
================================================================
Top Contributors |Points Move| % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Suncor Energy | 9.7350| 2.0| 2.9| 14.0
Shopify | 7.7070| 3.2| -2.1| 88.0
Nutrien | 6.5970| 2.2| -27.3| 13.2
Great-West Lifeco | -1.7630| -2.9| 23.2| 12.8
Constellation | | | |
Software | -2.8320| -1.7| -25.6| 36.1
TransCanada | -4.9390| -1.2| 52.9| 28.5
================================================================
Biggest Gainers | % Change |Points Move|20D AVG (%)| (%)
================================================================
Pretium | | | |
Resources | 13.7| 1.7100| 180.8| -6.5
Baytex Energy | 12.9| 1.2700| 39.6| 16.2
CannTrust | 7.1| 0.3180| 112.3| 23.6
================================================================
Biggest Losers | % Change | Move |20D AVG (%)| (%)
================================================================
Eldorado Gold | -17.8| -1.1230| 519.8| 14.3
Enerflex | -6.3| -0.7060| 375.0| 3.4
Martinrea | -5.7| -0.4430| 339.6| 12.3
* The benchmark 10-year bond fell and the yield rose 0.6 basis points to 1.769 percent
* The S&P 500 Index advanced 1 percent
* Pretivm Executive Chairman Quartermain to Leave Company Dec. 31
* Baytex Energy 1Q FFO Per Share As Adjusted Beats Est.
* Eldorado Slumps on 1Q Miss as Analysts See Better Quarters Ahead
* Enerflex Slides as National Bank Downgrades on Backlog Outlook
* Martinrea Tumbles Most This Year Amid Weakness in Brazil, China
* Materials Buoy Canadian Stocks in First Gain for Index This Week
* U.S. Stocks Roar as Jobs Data Bolster Confidence:
Markets Wrap
 US
By Rita Nazareth and Vildana Hajric
     (Bloomberg) — The rally in U.S. stocks picked up pace after the long-awaited jobs report boosted optimism in the world’s largest economy.
     The S&P 500 Index rose the most in a month as data showed the labor market can support growth without sparking inflation –– giving cover to the Federal Reserve’s patient stance. The dollar fell and Treasuries were little changed. The Nasdaq-100 Index climbed to a new record as Tesla Inc. raised $2.35 billion through debt and stock offerings, while Warren Buffett told CNBC that Berkshire Hathaway Inc. has been buying Amazon.com Inc. shares.
     Read more: Is U.S. Economy Solid or Needing Rate Cut? Jobs Data Back Both Traders pushed up the value of risk assets after surprisingly strong payroll gains in April and the lowest unemployment rate since 1969 calmed some fears that a recession could be brewing. Meanwhile, the lack of a surge in wages kept alive speculation on Wall Street that the Fed will still be forced to ease policy. Earlier in the week, Chairman Jerome Powell pushed back on expectations that the next move would be a rate cut.
     “We’re in this Goldilocks world right now, where it’s not too hot, it’s not too cold and it seems just right,” said Tom Plumb, a money manager at Plumb Balanced Fund in Madison, Wisconsin. “It’s going to be a risk-on environment for stocks. People will put money in the stock market because there will be companies that will capitalize on world economic growth.”
     Two Federal Reserve officials laid out the case for a possible interest-rate cut just days after Powell said there was no reason to move rates in either direction. St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard and Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, both policy voters this year, expressed caution Friday over weak prices and said the central bank may have to act to lift inflation out of a persistently low trend.
     Read more: Calling ‘New Bull Market,’ Fundstrat’s Lee Lifts
     S&P 500 Target
     With Friday’s gains, the S&P 500 extended this year’s surge to about 18 percent. Add Tom Lee to the growing list of strategists getting out in front of a rally that’s quickly outrun their 2019 year-end targets. The co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC boosted his prediction for the gauge to 3,125 from 2,925, citing earnings and the potential for investors to pay up for shares given lower bond yields.
     Looking into next week, Chinese Vice Premier Liu He returns to Washington for another round of trade talks. The White House has ramped up pressure to reach an agreement, warning it could still walk away. President Donald Trump told reporters Friday the U.S. could complete a deal with China within a couple weeks.
     “And if it doesn’t happen we’ll be fine too,” he said.
     These are some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
* The S&P 500 Index climbed 1 percent to 2,945.64 as of 4 p.m. New York time.
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.8 percent, and the Nasdaq-100 jumped 1.6 percent.
* The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.4 percent.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index advanced 0.2 percent.
Currencies
* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index slipped 0.4 percent.
* The euro advanced 0.3 percent to $1.1202.
* The British pound jumped 1.1 percent to $1.3169.
* The Japanese yen gained 0.4 percent to 111.10 per dollar.
Bonds
* The yield on 10-year Treasuries decreased two basis points to 2.53 percent.
* Germany’s 10-year yield declined one basis point to 0.03 percent.
* Britain’s 10-year yield increased three basis points to 1.219 percent.
Commodities
* The Bloomberg Commodity Index increased 0.2 percent.
* West Texas Intermediate crude gained 0.2 percent to $61.94 a barrel.
* Gold advanced 0.7 percent to $1,281.30 an ounce.

Have a  great night.

Be magnificent!
As ever,

Carolann

 

A friend is one who knows you and loves you just the same.                                    

                                                     –Elbert Hubbard

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
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May 2, 2019 Newsletter

Dear Friends,
Tangents:
The master died 500 years ago today
Leonardo da Vinci packed in a lot during his 67 years. Ever wonder what he was up to when he was your age? Well, wonder no more. -from CNN.

As a well spent day brings happy sleep, so a life well used brings a happy death. – Leonardo Da Vinci, 1452-1519.

On May 2, 1945, the Soviet Union announced the fall of Berlin and the Allies announced the surrender of Nazi troops in Italy and parts of Austria.  Go to article »
1611- King James Bible published.
PHOTOS OF THE DAY
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Members of the Minster Strays perform their annual ritual of Morris Dancing, at the Temple of the Four Winds at Castle Howard   CREDIT: CHARLOTTE GRAHAM FOR THE TELEGRAPH
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Competitors ride their bikes during Stage 4 of the 14th edition of Titan Desert 2019 mountain biking race between Merzouga and Mssici, in Morocco   FROM THE TELEGRAPH, 05/02/2019
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Beltane Fire Society performers celebrate the coming of summer by participating in the Beltane Fire Festival on Calton Hill in Edinburgh, Scotland   CREDIT: JEFF J MITCHELL/GETTY IMAGES
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Local people pull a Danjiri along the street to celebrate the of start Japans new imperial era Reiwa in Kobe, Japan   CREDIT: BUDDHIKA WEERASINGHE/GETTY IMAGES
Market Closes for May 2nd, 2019

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

26307.79 -122.35

 

-0.46%

S&P 500 2917.52 -6.21

 

-0.21%

NASDAQ 8036.773 -12.867

 

-0.16 %

TSX 16410.88 -91.87

 

-0.56 %

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 22258.73 -48.85
-0.22%
HANG

SENG

29944.18 +245.07
+0.83%
SENSEX 38981.43 -50.12
-0.13%
FTSE 100* 7351.31 -33.95
-0.46%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.764 1.703
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.009 1.963
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.5432 2.4981
U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.9327 2.9054

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.74228 0.74415
US

$

1.34720 1.34381
 
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

Inverse
Canadian $ 1.50521 0.66436
US

$

1.11735 0.89498

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1283.80 1282.30
Oil  
WTI Crude Future 61.81 63.60

Market Commentary:
On this day in 1963, Edward C. Johnson II, the head of Fidelity Investments, started a small mutual fund and gave it to his son, Ned, to run. He called it the Magellan Fund. It eventually became the largest mutual fund in the world before losing popularity after investment legend Peter Lynch stepped down in 1990.
Canada
US
By Rita Nazareth and Vildana Hajric
(Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell for a second day and Treasury yields climbed in the wake of the Federal Reserve’s latest rate signal, with investors awaiting Friday’s jobs report and news on trade talks. The dollar rose.
The S&P 500 Index moved further away from its record on concern the U.S.-China trade deal remains elusive. Energy shares sank with oil, while Caterpillar Inc. slumped as the announcement of a record dividend underwhelmed investors. Tesla Inc. rallied on plans to raise about $2 billion through debt and stock offerings. Beyond Meat Inc. had the best debut session of any U.S. listing in more than a decade among IPOs that raised at least $200 million.
Read more: Once-Bullish Rates Traders Retreat After Being Bruised by Powell Treasury yields jumped as a wave of bets that the Fed will keep rates on hold longer than expected — before possibly cutting them — was unleashed in derivatives markets. Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments on the “transient” nature of factors keeping inflation below the target prompted a reassessment, with wagers on when a rate cut might happen shifting from December 2019 into 2020. The next clue on the health of the economy will be Friday’s jobs report.
“Many investors had thought that the Fed might cut rates again this year, and that was built into some of the expectations,” said Kate Warne, an investment strategist at Edward Jones. “The Fed’s commentary that inflation was transitory really conveyed that the Fed wasn’t seeing a need to cut rates in response to lower inflation. That’s part of why we saw the sell-off.”
Read more: Even a Strong U.S. Wage Number May Fail to Ignite Inflation
Trade also remained on the radar. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and other U.S. officials have repeatedly said in recent days that the two sides are making progress with Vice Premier Liu He due to lead a 100-member delegation to Washington next week for what are seen as crucial talks. While people familiar with the discussions say difficult issues remain unresolved, both sides continue to signal they are focused on striking a deal.
Elsewhere, oil tumbled to its lowest in a month despite the promise of tighter sanctions on Iran, as investors saw the U.S., Russia and Saudi Arabia all potentially filling the gap. Britain’s 10-year yield climbed as the Bank of England held rates steady and hinted at future hikes.
Here are some notable events this week:
* Companies reporting earnings include: HSBC and Macquarie.
* Friday brings the U.S. jobs report: non-farm payrolls are projected to rise by about 190,000 in April. Economists expect an unemployment rate of 3.8 percent, with average hourly earnings growth picking up to 3.3 percent.
Canada:
By Bloomberg Automation

     (Bloomberg) — The S&P/TSX Composite fell for the fourth day, dropping 0.6 percent, or 91.87 to 16,410.88 in Toronto. The move was the biggest since falling 1 percent on March 22.
     Today, energy stocks led the market lower, as 7 of 11 sectors lost; 174 of 242 shares fell, while 62 rose. Suncor Energy Inc. contributed the most to the index decline, decreasing 2.6 percent. SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. had the largest drop, falling 13.1 percent.
Insights

* So far this week, the index fell 1.2 percent, heading for the biggest decline since the week ended Dec. 21
* The index advanced 5 percent in the past 52 weeks. The MSCI AC Americas Index gained 9.6 percent in the same period
* The S&P/TSX Composite is 1.6 percent below its 52-week high on April 23, 2019 and 19.1 percent above its low on Dec. 24, 2018
* The S&P/TSX Composite is down 1 percent in the past 5 days and rose 0.9 percent in the past 30 days
* S&P/TSX Composite is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.2 on a trailing basis and 15 times estimated earnings of its members for the coming year
* The index’s dividend yield is 3.1 percent on a trailing 12- month basis 
* S&P/TSX Composite’s members have a total market capitalization of C$2.56 trillion
* 30-day price volatility rose to 6.39 percent compared with 6.25 percent in the previous session and the average of 6.43 percent over the past month. 

================================================================
Sector Name | Move | % Change | Adv/Dec
================================================================
Energy | -54.8239| -1.8| 2/38
Materials | -21.0666| -1.3| 10/37
Financials | -15.7136| -0.3| 5/21
Industrials | -11.2279| -0.6| 8/21
Health Care | -7.0522| -1.9| 1/10
Real Estate | -1.5770| -0.3| 9/15
Communication Services | -0.7234| -0.1| 3/4
Utilities | 0.2790| 0.0| 6/9
Consumer Staples | 1.9350| 0.3| 6/4
Consumer Discretionary | 5.5966| 0.8| 6/11
Information Technology | 12.5081| 1.6| 6/4
================================================================

Top Contributors | Move | % Change | (%) | (%)
================================================================
Suncor Energy | -12.9000| -2.6| 77.7| 11.7
Canadian Natural | | | |
Resources | -9.7860| -2.9| -7.8| 14.7
Enbridge Inc | -9.5320| -1.3| 22.6| 15.3
Open Text | 3.5130| 3.5| 165.3| 20.2
Gildan Activewear | 3.7210| 5.2| 122.9| 24.0
Shopify | 8.9950| 3.9| 81.0| 82.1
================================================================
Biggest Gainers | % Change |Points Move|20D AVG (%)| (%)
================================================================
Ivanhoe Mines | 7.9| 0.9610| 52.5| 43.5
Pason Systems | 6.7| 0.6990| 199.2| 13.6
Gildan Activewear| 5.2| 3.7210| 122.9| 24.0
================================================================
Biggest Losers | % Change | Move | (%) | (%)
================================================================
SNC-Lavalin Group | -13.1| -5.4920| 302.6| -36.9
CannTrust | -12.6| -0.6410| 529.6| 15.4
Cott | -7.7| -1.5240| 365.3| -0.5* The benchmark 10-year bond fell and the yield rose 6.2
basis points to 1.766 percent
* The S&P 500 Index declined 0.2 percent
* Pason Systems Raised to Outperform at National Bank; PT C$23.50
* Gildan Bets on Bangladesh Hub to Expand Apparel Output in Asia
* SNC Reports Unexpected Loss, Accelerates Cost Cuts to Hit Target
* First U.S. Bank-Led Pot Stock Offering Flops With Investors
* Cott First Quarter Revenue 1.4% Above Estimates
* Canadian Shares Fall in Longest Streak This Year, Energy Drags
* Stocks, Bonds Drop as Focus Turn to Trade and Jobs
Markets Wrap

These are some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks

* The S&P 500 lost 0.2 percent to 2,917.52 as of 4 p.m. New York time.
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5 percent, and the Nasdaq-100 slid 0.4 percent.
* The Stoxx Europe 600 Index sank 0.6 percent.
* The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dipped 0.1 percent.
Currencies

* The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.3 percent.
* The euro declined 0.2 percent to $1.1173.
* The British pound fell 0.1 percent to $1.3034.
* The Japanese yen lost 0.1 percent to 111.51 per dollar.
Bonds

* The yield on 10-year Treasuries jumped five basis points to 2.55 percent.
* Britain’s 10-year yield climbed four basis points to 1.187 percent.
* Germany’s 10-year yield increased two basis points to 0.03 percent.
Commodities

* The Bloomberg Commodity Index fell 0.9 percent.
* West Texas Intermediate crude sank 2.8 percent to $61.81 a barrel.
* Gold slid 1 percent to $1,272 an ounce.
–With assistance from Andreea Papuc, Adam Haigh, Namitha Jagadeesh and Samuel Potter.

Have a  great night.

Be magnificent!

As ever,

Carolann

None climbs so high as he who knows not whither he is going.

                                            –Oliver Cromwell, 1599-1658

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,
Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com