May 2, 2017 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

On this day in…
1519, Leonardo da Vinci died.

1611, the King James bible was published.
1903, Benjamin Spock, pediatrician was born.
1932, Pearl S. Buck won the Pulitzer Prize.
1939, New York Yankees first baseman Lou Gehrig removes himself from the lineup, ending his streak of consecutive games played at 2,130.
1945, the Soviet Union announced the fall of Berlin and the Allies announced the surrender of Nazi troops in Italy and parts of Austria.
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The Poem

1988

By Lachlan Mackinnon

In the last full year of the second Reagan
administration, all seemed setting fair
for freedom.  Noble dreams were coming true.

Zeks were trekking homeward from the camps
in their first fours and fives to find what faces
waited in villages now parts of cities.

From Petersburg to Vladivostok, troubled
small people were enjoying making trouble
for the brute, the berk and the bureaucrat.

They would soon learn about the insurance scams,
the speed with which poems give way to porn,
the greed that keeps the market cycle turning.

but this was spring in Europe, cleaning house
with windows open to the song of birds,
I’m grateful to have lived at such a time.

and sorry truth exacts that I add this:
eighty-eight was also the last full year
of the red threat that kept our bankers honest.

From “Doves” (Faber).

Yes, there are two paths you can go by
But in the long run
There’s still time to change the road you’re on
And it makes me wonder…
          -Led Zeppelin, Stairway to Heaven.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

The Sydney Harbour Bridge and the Australian Academy of Tai Chi and Qigong hosts the first Tai Chi martial arts class over Australia’s largest city on Tuesday. BridgeClimb Sydney/Reuters

A piano is planted with flowers on a floating barge, which is planted with fruit trees, with the Manhattan skyline in the background, as part of the Swale project called a collaborative floating forest, in the East River in Brooklyn, on Tuesday. Carlo Allegri/Reuters

A woman under an umbrella is pictured behind rain drops as she walks along a meadow in Frankfurt, Germany, on a rainy Tuesday. Michael Probst/AP
Market Closes for May 2nd, 2017

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

20949.89 +36.43

 

+0.17%

 
S&P 500 2390.17 +1.84

 

+0.08%

 
NASDAQ 6095.367 +3.766

 

+0.06%

 
TSX 15622.32 +46.69

 

+0.30%

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 19445.70 +135.18
+0.70%
HANG

SENG

24696.13 +81.00
+0.33%
SENSEX 29921.18 +2.78
+0.01%
FTSE 100* 7250.05 +46.11
+0.64%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous  % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.513 1.574
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.135 2.187
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.2892 2.3216
U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.9760 3.0054

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.72924 0.73110
US

$

1.37130 1.36780
     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse
Canadian $ 1.49825 0.66745
US

$

1.09257 0.91527

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1255.45 1266.45
     
Oil Close Previous
WTI Crude Future 47.66 48.84

Market Commentary:
Number of the Day
10.11

The CBOE Volatility Index slumped 6.6% Monday to 10.11, its lowest level since February 2007.
Canada
By Kristine Owram

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks closed higher as strength in health care, industrial and energy companies offset a decline in the financial sector in the midst of a busy week for earnings.
     The S&P/TSX Composite Index rose 44 points or 0.3 percent to 15,619.65. Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. jumped 6.7 percent, boosting the health care index to a 2.4 percent gain, after the CEO proposed a name change and said he wants to cut the company’s debt in half.
     The energy index gained 0.4 percent despite a 2.5 percent drop in the price of crude following Pembina Pipeline Corp.’s $4.3-billion acquisition of Veresen Inc., announced Monday. Financial stocks slipped 0.2 percent to their lowest level of the year.
     In other moves:
* Home Capital Group Inc. rose 11 percent, retracing much of Monday’s 13 percent decline, even as as Canadian banks show little interest in buying the troubled company
* Colliers International Group Inc. added 6.8 percent after the commercial real estate services provider reported a first- quarter profit
* Finning International Inc. rose 4.4 percent on an upgrade from Canaccord Genuity
* WestJet Airlines Ltd. lost 3.2 percent after its first-quarter earnings missed the lowest analyst estimate.
US
By Oliver Renick

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks edged higher Tuesday with technology companies rallying for the fourth day as investors assessed corporate earnings.
     The S&P 500 added 0.1 percent to 2,391.17 at 4 p.m. in New York. The benchmark gained 0.2 percent on Monday, holding onto gains even after U.S. President Donald Trump said he is actively considering breaking up big Wall Street banks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.2 percent to 20,949.89.
* Small-cap stocks drop 0.6% for third loss in four sessions
* Industrial (+0.5%) and health-care shares (+0.3%) lead market as seven of 11 sectors advance
* Consumer staples and energy stocks end at least 0.5% lower
* S&P 500 trading with volume 40% above average at this time
** Volume movers: Cummins, AMD, Coach, Affiliated Managers and Mosaic all trading with at least 5x 30-day average volume
* VIX nudges up to 10.6
** “As VIX falls further, equity prices get boosted and financial conditions loosen, which will likely keep the Fed on track for hikes despite the hard data from the economy showing a soft trend,” writes Ben Emons of Intellectus Partners
** Volatility movers: Macerich, Stryker, Motorola Solutions and Clorox have highest put/call volume ratio in S&P 500
* POLITICS:
** President Donald Trump threatened Tuesday to force a government shutdown later this year after congressional Democrats and Republicans struck a budget deal that largely neglected his priorities.
** Buzz on Wall Street is that, financial considerations aside, the administration’s ambitious, pro-growth agenda could make ultra-long bonds a reality in the Treasury market
* ECONOMY:
** Wards Total Vehicle sales 16.81m vs 17.10m estimate
** Ford Motor Co., General Motors Co. and Toyota Motor Corp. posted deeper U.S. sales declines than analysts projected; average new-car price in the U.S. rose about 2 percent over the past year, according to data from TrueCar Inc.’s ALG
* EARNINGS:
** After-hours, Apple sees 3Q revenue below analyst estimates while boosting dividend
** So far in the earnings season, about 60% of S&P 500 companies have reported quarterly results, with profits up 16% year over year, data compiled by Bloomberg show; about 76% of companies have reported better-than-expected earnings, versus 69% in the same period a year ago
** After-market Tuesday: Newfield Exploration Co (NFX), Western Union Co/The (WU), Assurant Inc (AIZ), ONEOK Inc (OKE), FMC Corp (FMC), Akamai Technologies Inc (AKAM), Verisk Analytics Inc (VRSK), DaVita Inc (DVA), Gilead Sciences Inc (GILD), Envision Healthcare Corp (EVHC), Mondelez International Inc (MDLZ), Devon Energy Corp (DVN), Hanesbrands Inc (HBI), Anadarko Petroleum Corp (APC), Allstate Corp/The (ALL), Apple Inc (AAPL)
** Pre-market Wednesday: Time Warner Inc (TWX), Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP), Exelon Corp (EXC), NiSource Inc (NI), Reynolds American Inc (RAI), Garmin Ltd (GRMN), Clorox Co/The (CLX), Humana Inc (HUM), Harris Corp (HRS), Estee Lauder Cos Inc/The (EL), Yum! Brands Inc (YUM), Southern Co/The (SO), Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE), Molson Coors Brewing Co (TAP), Delphi Automotive PLC (DLPH)
* First Word Street Wraps:
** Breaking Up Big Banks Has Low – But Not Zero – Odds: Street Wrap
** Automakers Lack Compelling Models to Lure Buyers: Street Wrap
** AMD Bears Pounce on Disappointing Gross Margin View: Street Wrap

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

Being human,
I feel profoundly the necessity of putting an end to violence,
and I will make sure to put an end to it in myself.
Krishnamurti

As ever,

 

Carolann

Don’t knock the weather.  If it didn’t change once in a while, nine out of ten
people couldn’t start a conversation.
                                        -Kin Hubbard, 1868-1930

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Portfolio Manager &
Senior Vice-President

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

May 1, 2017 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

MAY 1ST –Beltane – the ancient Celtic union of goddess and god, water and light.  All fires are extinguished at sunset on Beltane Eve, the midpoint between the spring equinox and the summer solstice.  In blackness of night, bonfires are struck from standing stone or drilled from sacred oak.  At the height of spring Beltane begins, celebrating all that is powerful and sensual in nature.   At dawn the sun dances, dancers grasp ribbons, weaving, the ribbons intertwine;  the Lord and Lady of Misrule preside over all.  The ancient Celts saw joy and life as one with suffering, death, and rebirth.

We were there last night when the dark drew down:
we set the bonfires leaping.
Then we vanished in the heather and we couldn’t be found until
the dawn came creeping. –Celtic rock group Annwn

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A man in fancy dress, representing ‘new growth,’ participates in May Day Beltane festivities on Monday at Chalice Well, Glastonbury, England. The ancient Celtic festival of Beltane heralds the first signs of spring. Ben Birchall/PA/AP

Leicester Morrismen dance during May Day celebrations at Bradgate Park in Newtown Linford, in Leicestershire, England, on Monday.Darren Staples/Reuters
Market Closes for May 1st, 2017

MarketIndex Close Change
DowJones 20913.46 -27.05 

-0.13%

 
S&P 500 2388.33 +4.13 

+0.17%

 
NASDAQ 6091.602 +43.995 

+0.73%

 
TSX 15577.50 -8.63 
-0.06%

International Markets

MarketIndex Close Change
NIKKEI 19310.52 +113.78
+0.59%
HANGSENG 24615.13 -83.35
-0.34%
SENSEX 29918.40 -111.34
-0.37%
FTSE 100* 7203.94 -33.23
-0.46%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous  % Yield
CND.10 Year Bond 1.574 1.543
CND.30 Year

Bond

2.187 2.158
U.S.   10 Year Bond 2.3216 2.2838
U.S.30 Year Bond 3.0054 2.9547

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.73110 0.73252
US$ 1.36780 1.36515
     
Euro Rate1 Euro=   Inverse
Canadian $ 1.49081 0.67078
US$ 1.08993 0.91749

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London GoldFix 1266.45 1266.45
     
Oil Close Previous
WTI Crude Future 48.84 49.33

Market Commentary:
Number of the Day
8

The number of consecutive quarters during which Amazon has reported a profit, the longest such streak since 2012
Canada
By Kristine Owram

(Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks closed with a slight decline as lower crude and gold prices weighed on commodity producers, offsetting a big deal in the oil patch.
The S&P/TSX Composite Index slipped 11 points or 0.1 percent to 15,575.63. Materials shares lost 1.4 percent as the price of gold fell, with Eldorado Gold Corp. and Guyana Goldfields Inc. both down more than 6 percent. The energy index was flat as a 1.2 percent drop in the price of crude counteracted a takeover of Veresen Inc. by Pembina Pipeline Corp. Veresen’s shares jumped 19 percent while Pembina lost 3.3 percent.
The financials index was flat amid ongoing worries about Home Capital Group Inc.’s future. Home Capital fell another 13 percent while competitor Equitable Group Inc. jumped 30 percent after securing a loan to boost its liquidity.
In other moves:
* Martinrea International Inc. gained 5.4 percent after the auto supplier reported first-quarter results that beat estimates
* Natural gas player Keyera Corp. rose 4.9 percent on speculation that it could be a target following the Pembina- Veresen deal
* Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. added 4.5 percent.
The company said it cut its debt by $220 million and is on track to repaying $5 billion of debt by early 2018
US
By Oliver Renick

(Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks held onto early gains, even amid headlines from President Trump on North Korea and the banking industry.
The S&P 500 added 0.2 percent to 2,388.33 at 4 p.m. in New York. The benchmark ended down 0.2 percent on Friday as losses in credit-card providers offset gains in technology stocks, trimming its weekly advance to 1.5 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 27 points to 20,913.46.
* Tech stocks (+0.9%) and real estate (+0.6%) lead market higher
** Lam Research, Applied Materials up at least 2.7%
* Financial shares end higher after dropping on a Bloomberg News interview in which President Trump said he is actively considering breaking up big banks
** Volume in XLF ETF surged to almost 3x 30-day average between 12:30 and 1pm
** Earlier, Vice President Mike Pence says replacing the Dodd- Frank banking overhaul law is a top priority
* Utility, telecom and consumer staples shares down at least 0.5%; bond yields higher with 10-year up 4bps
* Volume in S&P 500 7% below the 30-day average; real estate and tech shares only groups trading on higher volume
** Volume movers: O’Reilly Automotive, Newell Brands, Affiliated Management, Harris Synchrony Financial all traded on volume at least 2x 30-day average
* VIX down to 10.1
** Volatility movers: LKQ Corp, JB Hunt Transport, Kellogg, Eastman Chemical and Scana Corp have highest put/call volume ratios in S&P 500
* Most equity markets in Europe and developing economies such as China, Russia, South Africa, and Turkey were closed on Monday for holidays
* POLITICS:
** U.S. House and Senate negotiators reached a bipartisan agreement Sunday night on a $1.1 trillion bill that would keep the government open through the end of September
** “The avoidance of a U.S. government shutdown helped markets shift from a neutral to more positive tone overnight in Asia,” said Jasper Lawler, senior market analyst at London Capital Group
* ECONOMY:
** Fed’s Cut in Bond Holdings May Be Messier Than Yellen Hopes
** U.S. March Personal Income rose 0.2%; est. Up 0.3%
** U.S. consumer spending stalled in March while inflation slowed to below the Federal Reserve’s target
* EARNINGS:
** After-market Monday: Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD), Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc (ARE), Noble Energy Inc (NBL), Vornado Realty Trust (VNO), Flowserve Corp (FLS), FMC Corp (FMC)
** Pre-market Tuesday: Fidelity National Information Services Inc (FIS), Coach Inc (COH), HCA Holdings Inc (HCA), Martin Marietta Materials Inc (MLM), Becton Dickinson and Co (BDX), PG&E Corp (PCG), Aetna Inc (AET), AMETEK Inc (AME), HCP Inc (HCP), Emerson Electric Co (EMR), NRG Energy Inc (NRG), Pinnacle West Capital Corp (PNW), Ecolab Inc (ECL), Eaton Corp PLC (ETN), ConocoPhillips (COP), Merck & Co Inc (MRK), Pfizer Inc (PFE), CVS Health Corp (CVS), Xylem Inc/NY (XYL), Charter Communications Inc (CHTR), WEC Energy Group Inc (WEC), Altria Group Inc (MO), Mosaic Co/The (MOS), Archer-Daniels-Midland Co (ADM), Cummins Inc (CMI), Mastercard Inc (MA)
* Street Wraps:
** Fox May Play Defense to Thwart Sinclair Tribune Bid: Street Wrap
** Hess Midstream’s Stable Cash Flows Please Analysts: Street Wrap
** Schneider National ‘Secret Sauce’ Gets Analyst Love: Street Wrap

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

Be magnificent!

What is then worth having?
Mukti, freedom.
Swami Vivekananda

As ever,

Carolann

Thought is the wind, knowledge the sail, and mankind the vessel.
                                                    -Augustus Hare, 1834-1903

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Portfolio Manager &
Senior Vice-President

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com