March 3, 2017 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Numbers:
65: Years Queen Elizabeth II has sat upon the throne – the first time a British monarch has achieved a sapphire anniversary.  She became the country’s longest-reigning monarch in 2015.
1955: year Elvis Presley made his first TV appearance.
2040: Year when India’s economy is projected to surpass that of the United States, making it the world’s second largest.  China is projected to be No. 1.
9,032: Distance (in miles) of the world’s longest commercial flight.  Qatar Airways launched the new route in February, connecting Auckland, New Zealand, with Doha, Qatar.

INSPIRING WOMEN:
In Taylor Swift’s acceptance speech for the  album of the year award at the 2016 Grammys, she encouraged young women to continue to work hard.  This year, the Recording Academy created a Grammys commercial in which young women and girls recite parts of Swift’s speech as they practice musical instruments and dance routines.  See the inspiring video at http://bit.ly/grammyswomen.

And if by chance you haven’t seen the movie Hidden Figures yet, get thee to the cinema as soon as possible to see this amazing movie – true story of a few extraordinary black women who worked at NASA on the space program in the early ‘60s.
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Ffion Williams presents a bunch of daffodils to Britain’s Queen Elizabeth following a visit to the Royal Welsh Regiment at Lucknow Barracks to mark St David’s Day, in Tidworth, Britain on Friday. Ben Birchall/Reuters

Personalized coffee mugs featuring Elvis Presley’s face line the wall of a gift shop during the grand opening of the new ‘Elvis Presley’s Memphis’, a $45 million, state of the art entertainment and museum complex, in Memphis, Tennessee on Thursday. Brandon Dill/Reuters
Market Closes for March 3rd, 2017

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

21005.71 +2.74

 

+0.01%

 
S&P 500 2383.12 +1.20

 

+0.05%

 
NASDAQ 5870.754 +9.532

 

+0.16%

 
TSX 15608.50 +71.85

 

+0.46%
 
 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 19469.17 -95.63

 

-0.49%
 
 
HANG

SENG

23552.72 -175.35
 
 
-0.74%
 
 
SENSEX 28832.45 -7.34
 
 
-0.03%
 
 
FTSE 100* 7374.26 -8.09
 
 
-0.11%
 
 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous  % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.701 1.699
 
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.404 2.402
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.4798 2.4833

 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.0713 3.0770
 
 
           
           

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.74761 0.74679
 
 
US

$

1.33759 1.33907
     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse
Canadian $ 1.42090 0.70378

 

US

$

1.06228 0.94137

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1226.50 1238.10
     
Oil Close Previous
WTI Crude Future 53.33 52.61
 
 

Market Commentary:
Number of the Day
2356

The consensus estimate among Wall Street analysts was that the S&P 500 would rise about 5% in 2017, to 2356. The index closed on Thursday at 2381.92, and analysts are scrambling to raise their estimates to reflect the rally.
Canada
By Oliver Renick

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian equities ticked up as gains in energy and industrials offset declines in seven of 11 sectors in the benchmark gauge.
     The S&P/TSX Composite Index added 0.2 percent to 15,560.70 at 11:08 a.m. in Toronto. An advance on the day would mark the index’s second gain in eight sessions. The index, which closed at a record on Feb. 21, finished 2016 as the best-performing developed stock market — a 2.3 percent decline since its high has left it up just 1.8 percent on the year.
* Crude oil rose 1%, rising above $53
* Transalta up 6% for biggest advance in index after beating earnings estimates
* GMP Capital Inc. up 3.8% after the Canadian firm returned to profitability in a quarter fueled by a jump in investment- banking revenue
* Freehold Royalties up 5.2% after issuing positive guidance
* Valeant Pharmaceuticals down 4.4%; the stock is down 80% since last March as the drugmaker got embroiled in scandals about prices hikes and accounting that led to legal and regulatory investigations
* ECONOMY:
** Toronto home prices jumped more than 20 percent in February for the sixth straight month as listings dried up, pushing the price of a suburban house beyond C$1 million ($750,000) for the first time, according to the city’s real estate board
US
By Oliver Renick

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks advanced for the sixth consecutive week as economic data sailed past forecasts and shares of financial companies rose with higher bond yields.
     So strong were signals on growth in the U.S. and beyond that investors were left almost completely unfazed by the surging odds of a Federal Reserve interest rate increase, as the likelihood priced by Fed funds futures more than doubled. Chair Janet Yellen on Friday capped the week of rising expectations by explicitly supporting a hike if economic progress persists. The S&P 500 nevertheless rose for the fifth time in seven days.
     The benchmark gauge for American equity added 0.7 percent over the five days to end the week at 2,383.12. Helped by President Donald Trump’s speech to Congress, the index briefly crossed 2,400 for the first time ever on Wednesday, before closing that session, the best of the year, at a record 2,395.96. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.9 percent to end the week 21,005.71 as small-cap shares finished lower for a second week.
     “Earnings on a forward-looking basis are going to be higher rather than lower and growth is quite good and maybe accelerates some,” Krishna Memani, chief investment officer at Oppenheimerfunds Inc., said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. “The question is in the current context, without any policy initiative, can earnings growth be significantly higher than 7 or 8 percent? If not, one could argue all that information is all pretty much priced in.”
     Comments from Fed officials calling for a March interest- rate hike came against economic data that is beating estimates at the strongest rate in almost five years, according to a Bloomberg Index measuring the degree to which data surpasses analyst expectations. The gauge advanced for the second straight week and has been in positive territory since November.
     The majority of the S&P 500’s points were tallied Wednesday as investors embraced Trump’s cooler rhetoric in a speech that was short on details. Energy companies jumped on support from higher oil prices. Volume on U.S. exchanges was the year’s heaviest.
    Financial stocks were the biggest winners on the week, advancing 2 percent after posting the biggest single-day jump since Nov. 10 on Wednesday. Energy shares climbed 1.4 percent as phone shares and real estate companies declined amid five days of higher Treasury yields.
By Oliver Renick
     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks were little changed Friday as investors assessed Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen’s intention to hike rates at the central bank’s March meeting.
     The S&P 500 Index ended less than 0.1 percent higher at 2,383.12 at 4 p.m. in New York, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 3 points to 21,005.71.
* Five of 11 groups ended higher with financials and health care leading gains with 0.4% advances
* Real estate, utilities and staples fell at least 0.3% as the 10-year Treasury yield climbed a fifth day to 2.478%
* Fed funds futures show a 94% chance the Fed will raise rates this month, versus 40% at the end of last week
* The earnings season is drawing to a close, with about 73% of S&P 500 members beating profit estimates and a little over half exceeding sales forecasts, according to data compiled by Bloomberg
* ECONOMY:
** Yellen capped a week of rising expectations about an imminent interest-rate increase by explicitly supporting a hike in mid- March if U.S. economic progress persists
** Markit February PMI falls to 54.1 from 55.8 in Jan.; Year ago 50
* EARNINGS:
** Next S&P 500 companies reporting Tuesday March 7: Dicks Sporting Goods (DKS), Editas Medicine (EDTS)
* In Europe, stocks closed little changed, paring earlier losses, as banks rallied and French shares climbed after polls showed anti-euro candidate Marine Le Pen lagging rival Emmanuel Macron for the first time
     For related equity market news:
* Animal Spirits Driving Stock Market Surge, Says Fundstrat’s Lee
* Harvard Academics Reveal Blueprint for Avoiding Stock Crashes
* Goldman Indicator Shows Complacency as Traders Give Up Hedging

 

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

Truth resides in the heart of every man.
And it is there that he must seek it, in order to be guided by it so that,
at the least, it will appear to him.
But we do not have the right to force others to see the Truth in our way.
Mahatma Gandhi

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

To live is the rarest thing in the world.  Most people exist, that is all.
                                                           -Oscar Wilde, 1854-1900

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Portfolio Manager &
Senior Vice-President

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

March 2, 2017 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Birthday: Dr. Seuss (Theodore Geisel, March 2, 1904

Unless someone like you cares a whole awful lot, nothing is going to get better.  It’s not. –Dr. Seuss.

During Theodor (“Ted”) Seuss Geisel’s career as an illustrator and writer of children’s books, he filled the hearts and minds of generations of readers with joy, solace, and pure pleasure.  His characters like Horton and Nerkle and Humpf-Humpf-a-Dumpfer stick around in our heads forever; the memory of their stories read to us by parents or grandparents, or enjoyed in wonderful solitude, mark our childhood innocence and delight.  In 1937, Dr. Seuss’ first attempt at a child’s book – And to Think I Saw it on Mulberry Street – met rejection after rejection.  Finally, it was published and critics began to take notice..  but it was when Houghton Mifflin and Random House challenged Geisel to write a reading primer that wasn’t the usual boring, “See Dick run” kind of book, that he moved into our collective consciousness.   His answer to that challenge was the Cat in the Hat.

  Handsome, kind, and mischievous, Ted Geisel died on September 24, 1991, and left us an entire universe of whimsical creatures dedicated to our happiness.  See www.seussville.com.
PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A young girl pushes her scooter past the front of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) with a Snap Inc. logo hung on the front of it shortly before the company’s IPO in New York on Thursday. Lucas Jackson/Reuters

A Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) officer escorts a group that claimed to be from Syria after they crossed the US-Canada border into Hemmingford, Quebec, Canada on Thursday. Dario Ayala/Reuters
Market Closes for March 2nd, 2017

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

21002.97 -112.58

 

-0.53%

 
S&P 500 2382.24 -13.72

 

-0.57%

 
NASDAQ 5861.223 -42.807

 

-0.73%

 
TSX 15537.00 -62.68

 

-0.40%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 19564.80 +171.26
 
 
+0.88%
 
 
HANG

SENG

23728.07 -48.42
 
 
-0.20%
 
 
SENSEX 28839.79 -144.70
 
 
-0.50%
 
 
FTSE 100* 7382.35 -0.55
 
 
-0.01%
 
 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous  % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.699 1.686
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.402 2.392
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.4833 2.4544
U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.0770 3.0576

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.74679 0.75028
 
 
US

$

1.33907 1.33284
     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse
Canadian $ 1.40687 0.71080

 

US

$

1.05070 0.95174

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1238.10 1240.40
     
Oil Close Previous
WTI Crude Future 52.61 53.83
 

Market Commentary:
Daily Factoid

On this day in 1844, the New York Stock Exchange raises the initiation fee for new members to $400 (or more than $9,400 in modern money).
Number of the Day
$24 billion
The market value of Snap Inc., based on its $17 a share price for its initial public offering. That makes it the biggest technology IPO in the U.S. since Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. made its debut in 2014.
Canada
     (Canadian Press) — Some of the most active companies traded Thursday on the Toronto Stock Exchange:

     ^Toronto Stock Exchange (15,536.65 down 63.03 points):@
     Manulife Financial Corp. (TSX:MFC). Financial Services.
Down 11 cents, or 0.45 per cent, to $24.23 on 8.6 million shares.
     B2Gold Corp. (TSX:BTO). Miner. Down 33 cents, or 7.76 per cent, to $3.92 on 8.2 million shares.
     Kinross Gold Corp. (TSX:K). Miner. Down 20 cents, or 4.31 per cent, to $4.44 on 8.03 million shares.
     Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (TSX:IVN). Miner. Down 35 cents, or 7.92 per cent, to $4.07 on 6.7 million shares.
     Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD). Bank. Down 52 cents, or 0.75 per cent, to $68.98 on 5.6 million shares. The bank reported $2.53 billion of net income during its first quarter ended Jan. 31, up 13.9 per cent from a year ago. The earnings amounted to $1.32 per diluted share, up from $1.17 during the same quarter last year. Revenue was $9.12 billion, up from $8.61 billion a year ago.
     Enbridge Inc. (TSX:ENB). Oil and gas. Down four cents, or 0.07 per cent, to $55.23 on 5.5 million shares.
     ^Companies reporting major news@:
     BlackBerry Ltd. (TSX:BB). Wireless communications. Up five cents, or 0.54 per cent, to $9.23 on 829,514 shares. The Waterloo, Ont.-based firm’s chief operating officer, Marty Beard, says the former smartphone leader’s shift to being a software company is complete, but branding itself as a software player remains challenging.
     Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. (TSX:CNQ). Oil and gas. Up $2.04, or 5.30 per cent, to $40.50 on 4.9 million shares. The Calgary-based oil and gas company says its net income in last year’s fourth quarter rose to $566 million, up from $131 million a year earlier. Revenue was $3.67 billion, up from $2.96 billion in the fourth quarter of 2015.  
US
By Oliver Renick

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks declined as raw-material shares slid with commodity prices and investors assessed the rally that has pushed equities to new highs.
     The S&P 500 Index dropped 0.6 percent to 2,381.91 at 4 p.m. in New York as the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 43 points, about 0.5 percent, to 21,002. The gauge passed 21,000 for the first time Wednesday.
* Financial shares down 1.5% for biggest loss since Jan. 17
* Industrial companies lose 1%
* Raw-material stocks down 1.1%; Bloomberg Commodity Index falls 1.5%
* VIX down 6% for a second day of declines, back below 12
* Traders are betting on an 88% chance the Federal Reserve will raise rates this month, versus 40 percent at the end of last week, after several central-bank officials signaled their willingness to increase borrowing costs
* “If the Fed had wanted to keep its options open, a move back to around 60 percent would have been sufficient,” Michael Hewson, a market analyst at CMC Markets in London, wrote in a note. “In raising expectations to such an extent in such a short space of time, to not act now would deal a serious blow to their credibility, and also prompt quite a sharp market reaction”
* The earnings season is drawing to a close, with about 73% of S&P 500 members that have already reported beating profit estimates and a little over half exceeding sales forecasts, according to data compiled by Bloomberg
* Monster Beverages Corp. jumped 16% after posting better-than- forecast quarterly sales, while Broadcom Ltd. climbed 2.9% after the chipmaker predicted revenue that beat analysts’ estimates
* ECONOMY:
** Initial jobless claims drop to lowest in almost 44 years
* EARNINGS:
** After-market Thursday: Autodesk (ADSK), American Outdoor Brands (AOBC),       Varex Imaging (VREX), Costco Wholesale (COST)
* The Stoxx Europe 600 Index fell less than 0.1%

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

To go from opinion to perception,
from imagination to fact, from illusion to reality,
from something that is not there,
to something that is;
that is the way forward.
Swami Prajnanpad

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Humility is attentive patience.
       -Simone Weil, 1909-1943

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Portfolio Manager &
Senior Vice-President

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com

March 1, 2017 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:
On March 1, 1961, President John F. Kennedy issued an executive order creating the Peace Corps, enlisting men and women for voluntary, unpaid service in developing countries around the world.

1872: Yellowstone National Park established.

March: The month of March is so called from Mars, the Roman god of war, identified in certain aspects with the Greek ARES.  He was also the patron of husbandmen.  The planet of this name was so called because of its  reddish tinge.  Among the alchemists, Mars designated iron and in Camoens’ Lusiads (1572) typified divine fortitude.
The last three days of March are said to be borrowed from April, as is shown by the proverb in John Ray’s Collection of English Proverbs (1670): March borrows three days of April, and they are ill. –from Brewar’s.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Exile Tibetans climb high on poles to tie multicolored flags with Buddhist prayers printed on them on the third day of the Tibetan New Year called ‘Losar’ in Dharmsala, India, Wednesday. Tibetans believe that the prayer flags representing the five elements: earth, fire, sky, water and wind, spread prayers on wind. Ashwini Bhatia/AP

Two women are silhouetted while another two examine a light installation titled ‘Hybycozo’ by artists Yelena Filipchuk and Serge Beaulieu of the United States and Canada on Wednesday in Singapore. The iLight Marina Bay exhibition features innovative and environmentally sustainable light art installations from around the world, displayed along the Singapore river. Wong Maye-E/AP
Market Closes for March 1st, 2017

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

21115.55 +303.31

 

+1.46%

 
S&P 500 2395.96 +32.22

 

+1.37%

 
NASDAQ 5904.031 +78.594

 

+1.35%

 
TSX 15599.68 +200.43

 

+1.30%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 19393.54 +274.55
 
 
+1.44%
 
 
HANG

SENG

23776.49 +35.76
 
 
+0.15%
 
 
SENSEX 28984.49 +241.17
 
 
+0.84%
 
 
FTSE 100* 7382.90 +119.46
 
 
+1.64%
 
 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous  % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.686 1.635
 
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.392 2.342
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.4544 2.3899
 
U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.0576 2.9952
 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous  
Canadian $ 0.75028 0.75135
 
 
US

$

1.33284 1.33093
     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse
Canadian $ 1.40602 0.71131

 

US

$

1.05492 0.94794 

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1240.40 1255.60
     
Oil Close Previous
WTI Crude Future 53.83 54.01

 

Market Commentary:
Canada
By Joseph Ciolli

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose the most in more than three months amid growing investor confidence that global economic growth is accelerating, with industrial and financial companies leading the move higher.
     The S&P/TSX Composite Index climbed 1 percent to 15,559.49 at 11:43 a.m. in Toronto. The gauge continued its recovery from a 2.6 percent skid over the four days ending Monday. The index, which closed at a record on Feb. 21, finished 2016 as the best- performing developed stock market. The S&P/TSX climbed 0.1 percent in February, its eighth straight monthly increase.
     National Bank of Canada rose the most since December after reporting first-quarter profit that beat analysts’ estimates, led by gains in wealth management and capital markets. The gain helped push financial companies in the S&P/TSX up 1.4 percent as Canadian Western Bank, Power Corp. of Canada and Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. also rose at least 2.6 percent.
     In other moves:
* Encana Corp., Peyto Exploration & Development Corp. and Ensign Energy Services Inc. climbed more than 3.4 percent even as crude oil decreased less than 0.1 percent
* Ivanhoe Mines Ltd., First Quantum Minerals Ltd. and Hudbay Minerals Inc. increased at least 7.3 percent as a Bloomberg index of commodities added 0.4 percent
US
By Oliver Renick

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks advanced as investors embraced President Donald Trump’s cooler rhetoric in a speech to Congress that was short on details and after comments by Federal Reserve officials that signaled the central bank may increase borrowing costs as soon as this month.
     The S&P 500 Index jumped 1.4 percent to a record 2,395.96 at 4 p.m. in New York, the biggest single-day advance since the election. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 303 points to 21,115 and small-cap shares in the Russell 2000 Index surged 1.9 percent. The Nasdaq Composite added 1.4 percent to a record.
     About 8.2 billion shares traded hands Wednesday, the heaviest day of volume on U.S. exchanges since Dec. 16, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
* S&P 500 up 12% since Nov. 8, most in that stretch after an election since Bill Clinton’s second victory in 1996 — market added 13% over period of same length
* Financial shares up 2.8%, for the biggest gain since Nov. 10; bank stocks in the S&P 500 surging 3.2% on gains in all 17 companies
* Industrial stocks up 1.6% as energy companies rally 2.1%; materials shares up 1.8% as commodities gained for a second day
* Lowe’s up 9.5% for biggest gain in market as Americans pour money into their homes
* The odds of the Fed raising interest rates in March rose to 80% from 40% last Friday, based on Fed fund futures, pushing up the dollar and dragging Treasuries lower
* Fed Bank of New York President William Dudley said the case for tightening has become more compelling, while Fed Bank of San Francisco President John Williams said he expects a rate increase to be seriously considered at this month’s meeting
* VIX lost 2.9% to 12.5
* With the earnings season drawing to a close, about three- quarters of S&P 500 members that have reported thus far beat profit estimates and a little over half exceeded sales forecasts, according to data compiled by Bloomberg
* ECONOMY:
** Consumer spending rose less than projected in January as rising prices pinched Americans’ wallet
** China’s official factory gauge strengthened in February as producer prices rebounded, spurring gains in metal prices. Stoxx 600 miners rose from their lowest level in three weeks
* EARNINGS:
** Pre-market Thursday: Kroger (KR), Sears Holdings (SHLD)
* Stoxx Europe 600 Index added 1.4% at the close, as all 19 industry groups gained

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

Find the Unique and possess the Whole.
This truly is our highest, most sublime privilege.
It is in the law of this unity that is, as long as we understand it,
our immutable force.  Its living principle is the force that resides in truth –
Truth is one.
Swami Prajnanpad

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level
and then beat you with experience.
                                                        -Mark Twain, 1835-1910

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM
Portfolio Manager &
Senior Vice-President

Queensbury Securities Inc.,
St. Andrew’s Square,
Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Tel: 778.430.5808
(C): 250.881.0801
Toll Free: 1.877.430.5895
Fax: 778.430.5828
www.carolannsteinhoff.com