Month: January 2015

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

SUPERBOWL WEEKEND!  HAVE A GREAT TIME!

February:  the month of purification among the ancient Romans  – Latin februum meaning purgation.

2^nd of February is known as Candlemas Day, and is the feast of the Purification of the Blessed Virgin Mary.  It is said that if the weather is fine and frosty at the close of January and the beginning of February, there is more winter ahead than behind.

The Dutch used to call the month Sokkelmaand meaning vegetation month.  The Anglo-Saxons knew it as solmonath meaning mud month.  In the French Revolutionary calendar its equivalent, from 21^st   

January to 19^th February, its equivalent was Pluviose meaning rain month.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Max Charlton and Jamie Morrison of team Cartier, in red, fight for the ball with Cedric Schweri and Pepe Riglos of team Trois Pommes, in green, from left, during the St. Moritz Polo World Cup on Snow on the frozen lake in St. Moritz, Switzerland, Friday. Gian Ehrenzeller/Keystone/AP

Brian Evensen, a teacher at Walla Walla, Washington Community College, gets the back of his head painted with the Seattle skyline Friday, at the hands of student Makiah Steen. The cosmetology department was busy, with school and community members coming by for free Hawkmania make-overs. Greg Lehman/Walla Walla Union-Bulletin/AP

Market Closes for January 30^th, 2015    

Market Index	Close	Change
Dow Jones	17164.95	-251.90
		-1.45%
S&P 500	1997.02	-24.23   -1.20%
NASDAQ	4635.242	-48.165   -1.03%
TSX	14681.43	+44.15
		+0.30%

International Markets

Market Index	Close	Change
NIKKEI	17674.39	+68.17
		+0.39%
HANG SENG	24507.05	-88.80
		-0.36%
SENSEX	29182.95	-498.82
		-1.68%
FTSE 100	6749.40	-61.20
		-0.90%

Bonds

Bonds	% Yield	Previous % Yield
CND. 10 Year Bond	1.258	1.370
CND. 30 Year Bond	1.840	1.945
U.S.    10 Year Bond	1.6525	1.7631
U.S. 30 Year Bond	2.2281	2.3248

Currencies

BOC Close	Today	Previous
Canadian $	0.78621	0.79287
US $	1.27192	1.26123
Euro Rate 1 Euro=		Inverse
Canadian $	1.43552	0.69661
US $	1.12863	0.88603

Commodities

Gold	Close	Previous
London Gold Fix	1260.25	1268.75
Oil	Close	Previous
WTI Crude Future	48.24	44.31

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, erasing an earlier loss, as energy companies rallied on the biggest jump in crude- oil prices since 2012, overshadowing declines in bank shares.

     Canadian Oil Sands Ltd. and Lightstream Resources Ltd. soared. Bank of Montreal and Royal Bank of Canada fell more than 3.1 percent after Barclays Plc downgraded ratings for the nation’s largest banks amid concern the plunge in oil and a slowing economy will hobble lending. Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce fell 3.5 percent, the most since 2011, after cutting about 500 jobs Thursday.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 36.20 points, or 0.3 percent, to 14673.48 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, erasing an earlier loss of as much as 0.8 percent. The benchmark equity gauge is up 0.3 percent for the month.

     Canadian Oil Sands rallied 21 percent and Lightstream Resources jumped 18 percent as energy and raw-materials shares each advanced 3 percent, the most in the S&P/TSX.

     Crude oil in New York jumped 8.3 percent, the biggest gain since June 2012, and gold posted the biggest monthly gain in three years as the Bloomberg Commodity Index climbed 2.1 percent.

     Bank of Montreal slumped 4.2 percent and Royal Bank of Canada retreated 3.1 percent as financials shares declined 2 percent. Trading volume was 20 percent higher than the 30-day average.

     John Aiken, analyst at Barclays Capital Inc., cut his ratings for Bank of Montreal, Royal Bank, Toronto-Dominion Bank and Laurentian Bank of Canada to underweight, the equivalent of sell. The Bank of Canada unexpectedly cut its key interest rate 25 basis points to 0.75 percent Jan. 21, which implies lower economic growth for Canada than reflected in the market, he said.

     Canada’s economy contracted 0.2 percent in November as manufacturing dropped the most since January 2009 and on declines in mining and oil and gas extraction. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists was for output to be little changed.

     “With low oil prices prompting a pullback in the energy sector, economic growth is likely to remain sluggish,” said David Madani, an economist with Capital Economics in Toronto, in a note to clients earlier today.

     Eldorado Gold Corp. sank 14 percent after Reuters reported Greece’s new government was opposed to the company’s mine in northern Greece.

US

By Oliver Renick

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its biggest monthly decline in a year, as weaker-than-forecast economic growth overshadowed a rally in energy shares sparked by a surge in the price of crude.

     The S&P 500 slid 1.3 percent to 1,994.99 at 4 p.m. in New York, extending its monthly loss to 3.1 percent. The index tumbled 2.8 percent in the week, the most since Dec. 12. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 251.90 points, or 1.5 percent, to 17,164.95. The Russell 2000 Index of small caps tumbled 2.1 percent, the biggest slide since Dec. 10.

     More than 8.5 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges today, the busiest trading since Dec. 19 and 26 percent above the three-month average.

     Energy shares in the S&P 500 gained 0.7 percent as U.S. oil surged 8.3 percent. Amazon.com Inc. and Biogen Idec Inc. soared at least 10 percent after reporting earnings.

     Broad equities gauges tumbled amid concern over economies in Europe and Russia as data showed slower growth in America. The U.S. economy expanded at a slower pace than forecast in the fourth quarter as cooling business investment, a slump in government outlays and a widening trade gap took some of the luster off the biggest gain in consumer spending in almost nine years.

     “All this data does is further cloud the entire investment picture,” Michael James, a Los Angeles-based managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities Inc., said in a phone interview. “It confirms that there’s going to be continued uncertainty and continued significant volatility.”                         

     Gross domestic product grew at a 2.6 percent annualized rate after a 5 percent gain in the third quarter that was the fastest since 2003, Commerce Department figures showed Thursday in Washington. The median forecast of 85 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 3 percent advance. Consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70 percent of the economy, climbed 4.3 percent, more than projected.

     A separate report showed American consumer confidence reached an 11-year high in January as a strengthening labor market and plunging gas prices kept households looking on the bright side.

     Federal Reserve officials are confronting divergent economic forces as they weigh the timing of the first interest- rate increase since 2006. Surprisingly strong job gains argue for tightening sooner, while inflation held down by a plunge in oil prices and a cooling global economy provides grounds for delay.

     “In the background of all of these reports is the Fed,”  Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Wells Capital Management, said by phone. Paulsen helps manage $351 billion in assets. “It’s the big elephant in the room in terms of how fast they might raise rates.”

     The central bank boosted its assessment of the economy in a statement this week and downplayed low inflation readings, while repeating a pledge to remain “patient” on raising interest rates. It acknowledged global risks, saying it will take into account readings on “international developments” as it decides how long to keep rates low.     “Zero interest rates are not the right interest rates for this economy,” James Bullard, president of the Fed Bank of St. Louis, said in a Bloomberg Television interview with Betty Liu and Michael McKee. “Inflation is low, but not low enough to rationalize zero interest rates. There’s a lot of underlying momentum in the U.S. economy.”                         

     Equity futures fell earlier as Russia’s central bank unexpectedly cut its benchmark interest rate by two percentage points, letting the ruble slide as the economy sinks toward recession.

     Data showed consumer prices in the euro area fell more than economists forecast in January, underscoring the challenges facing European Central Bank President Mario Draghi. The ECB last week unveiled a 1.14 trillion-euro ($1.3 trillion) quantitative-easing program to combat deflation.

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, known as the VIX, jumped 12 percent to 20.97, capping its biggest weekly gain since Dec. 12.

     Companies from Procter & Gamble Co. to DuPont Co. and Pfizer Inc. have said the U.S. currency’s strength is hurting profits. The strongest dollar in a decade is making American goods and services more expensive overseas, eroding sales.

     About 78 percent of the S&P 500’s more than 220 companies that posted earnings this season have beaten analyst estimates, while 56 percent have topped sales projections, data compiled by Bloomberg show.                       

     Nine of 10 primary industry groups in the S&P 500 declined, as energy stocks rebounded from a loss to post a 0.7 percent advance. Utilities paced losses with a decline of 2.2 percent.

     Chevron Corp. fell 0.5 percent after dropping as much as 4 percent. The energy company slashed its drilling budget by the most in 12 years and said it may delay some shale projects as energy producers around the world hoard cash and curtail ambitions in response to free-falling oil prices.

     PulteGroup Inc. slid 5.6 percent as Wells Fargo Securities analyst Adam Rudiger downgraded the stock to market perform from outperform.

     Microsoft Corp., Intel Corp. and Cisco Systems Inc. retreated more than 3.1 percent to pace losses among the biggest companies.

     Amazon.com Inc. surged 14 percent, the most since April 2012, after the online retailer posted a fourth-quarter profit following two straight quarters of losses.                        

     Google Inc. jumped 4.7 percent even as fourth-quarter sales and profit missed estimates.

     Visa Inc., the world’s largest payments network, climbed 2.8 percent as first-quarter profit beat analysts’ estimates and the company announced a 4-for-1 stock split. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is poised to replace Visa as the most heavily weighted component of the Dow after the split.

     MasterCard Inc. added 0.8 percent after profit beat analysts’ estimates as customer spending climbed.

     Biogen Idec Inc. jumped 10 percent after the maker of multiple sclerosis drugs made a 2015 profit forecast that surpassed analysts’ estimates.

     “Certainly GDP was a pretty big miss but in the tech world we’ve got Amazon and Google higher and in the credit card world we’re up,” Todd Salamone, senior vice president at Cincinnati- based Schaeffer’s Investment Research Inc., said in a phone interview. “Also, the question going forward is whether bad data relieves the market in some way in terms of the Fed remaining on hold longer than expected with rates.”

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

The divine music is incessantly going on within ourselves,

but the loud senses drown the delicate music,

which is unlike and infinitely superior to anything we can perceive with our senses.

Mahatma Gandhi

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

If winning isn’t everything, why do they keep score?

                             -Vince Lombardi, 1913-1970                    

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

On this day, January 28^th in 1817, Lord Byron wrote to Thomas Moore:

I tremble for the ‘magnificence’, which you attribute to the new Childe Harold.  I am glad you like it; it is a fine indistinct piece of poetical desolation, and my favourite.  I was half mad during the time of its composition, between metaphysics, mountains, lakes, love unextinguishable, thoughts unutterable, and the nightmare of my own delinquencies.  I should, many a good day, have blown my brains out, but for the recollection that it would have given pleasure to my mother-in-law; and, even then, if I could have certain to haunt her – but I won’t dwell upon these trifling family matters.
                                                                                            -from The Book of Days

Also on this day in 1986, the space shuttle Challenger exploded 73 seconds after lifting off from Cape Canaveral, Florida. All seven crew members died: flight commander Francis R. “Dick” Scobee, pilot Michael J. Smith, Ronald E. McNair, Ellison S. Onizuka, Judith A. Resnik, Gregory B. Jarvis, and schoolteacher Christa McAuliffe.

It is good to have an end to journey toward, but it is the journey that matters in the end. – Ursula K. le Guin

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Waiters present a dish to jury members during the ‘Bocuse d’Or’ (Golden Bocuse) trophy at the 15th World Cuisine contest in Lyon, central France, Wednesday. The contest, a sort of world cup of cuisine, was started in 1987 by Lyon chef Paul Bocuse to reward young international culinary talents. Laurent Cipriani/AP

Sotheby’s employees pose with ‘Le Grand Canal,’ painted by Claude Monet, at Sotheby’s preview in London Wednesday. The art piece is expected to fetch between 20 and 30 million pounds ($30.4 and $45.6 million) at the upcoming Impressionist & Modern Art Evening Sale on Feb. 3.Stefan Wermuth/Reuters

Market Closes for January 28^th, 2015    

Market Index	Close	Change
Dow Jones	17191.37	-195.84
		-1.13%
S&P 500	2002.51	-27.04   -1.33%
NASDAQ	4637.996	-43.501   -0.93%
TSX	14610.33	-223.55
		-1.51%

International Markets

Market Index	Close	Change
NIKKEI	17795.73	+27.43
		+0.15%
HANG SENG	24861.81	+54.53
		+0.22%
SENSEX	29559.18	-11.86
		-0.04%
FTSE 100	6825.94	+14.33
		+0.21%

Bonds

Bonds	% Yield	Previous % Yield
CND. 10 Year Bond	1.357	1.419
CND. 30 Year Bond	1.930	1.985
U.S.    10 Year Bond	1.7207	1.8145
U.S. 30 Year Bond	2.2935	2.3890

Currencies

BOC Close	Today	Previous
Canadian $	0.79786	0.80687
US $	1.25336	1.23936
Euro Rate 1 Euro=		Inverse
Canadian $	1.41432	0.70705
US $	1.12854	0.88610

Commodities

Gold	Close	Previous
London Gold Fix	1288.00	1288.50
Oil	Close	Previous
WTI Crude Future	44.45	46.23

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell the most in three weeks, halting a five-day rally, as energy producers sank with the price of crude and Statistics Canada lowered its estimate of jobs creation in 2014.

     Legacy Oil & Gas Inc. and Bellatrix Exploration Ltd.plunged more than 14 percent as U.S. oil tumbled 3.9 percent. Cenovus Energy Inc. fell 6.9 percent after cutting capital spending this year due to the drop in oil. OpenText Corp. sank 8.3 percent on the Toronto Stock Exchange after reporting second-quarter revenue short of analysts’ estimates on Tuesday. Iamgold Corp. retreated 8.6 percent as gold declined for a third time in four sessions.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 231 points, or 1.6 percent, to 14,602.88 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, the biggest drop since Jan. 5. The benchmark Canadian equity gauge had rallied 3.7 percent during the past five sessions, the longest streak since November. The S&P/TSX’s slide today erased its gain for 2015.

     Eight of the 10 main groups in the benchmark index retreated. Energy producers fell 3.8 percent as a group, the most in the S&P/TSX. Trading volume was 5.3 percent lower than the 30-day average.

     Crude futures slid 3.9 percent in New York to the lowest in almost six years as a U.S. inventory report showed stockpiles expanded a three-decade high.

     Statistics Canada reduced its estimate of job creation last year by about a third, to 121,300 jobs from 185,700 with the unemployment rate at 6.7 percent. The latest jobs report also now shows a 11,300 job loss in December, compared with the initially reported loss of 4,300.

     “In light of the magnitude of the changes, the Bank of Canada’s decision to cut rates may now look slightly less surprising,” said Nick Exarhos, an economist with CIBC World Markets Inc. in a report.

     The Bank of Canada unexpectedly cut its key interest rate to 0.75 percent from 1 percent on Jan. 21 amid concern the slump in oil prices is threatening economic growth.

     Sun Life Financial Inc. slipped 0.3 percent after agreeing to buy Ryan Labs Inc., which manages about $5.1 billion in assets in the U.S. Terms were not disclosed.

US

By Michelle F. Davis and Callie Bost

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its biggest two-day loss in a year, as energy shares plunged and concern grew about international risks to the American economy and weakness in multinational earnings.

     Energy companies slumped 3.9 percent as a group after oil retreated. Apple Inc. climbed 5.7 percent after reporting a record $18 billion in quarterly profit, one of the biggest in corporate history. Boeing Co. advanced 5.4 percent as it posted a quarterly profit that beat analysts’ estimates.

     The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 1.4 percent to 2,002.16 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 195.84 points, or 1.1 percent, to 17,191.37. The gauge fell 2.8 percent over two days, the most since February 2014. The Nasdaq 100 Index dropped 0.6 percent, erasing an earlier rally of 1.7 percent. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, known as the VIX, added 19 percent to 20.44, its biggest jump of the year.

     “People smell no growth,” Rick Fier, director of equity trading at Conifer Securities LLC in New York, said in an interview. “Currency problems are affecting revenues for multinationals. Greece is becoming a much bigger worry for the markets right now,” he said. “Think about where the market would be today without Apple and Boeing.”

     U.S. stocks turned lower after the Fed boosted its assessment of the economy and downplayed low inflation readings while repeating a pledge to remain “patient” on raising interest rates. Losses accelerated in the final hour, pushing declines in the Dow and S&P 500 beyond 1 percent and wiping out gains in the Nasdaq.                        

     Fed officials are confronting divergent economic forces as they weigh the timing of the first interest-rate increase since 2006. Surprisingly strong job gains argue for tightening sooner, while inflation held down by a plunge in oil prices and a cooling global economy provides grounds for delay.

     The Fed acknowledge global risks, saying that it will take into account readings on “international developments” as it decides how long to keep rates low.

     “The Fed continued to emphasize that any rate hike decisions will be very data-dependent, which has been the norm for quite some time,” Joe Bell, a Cincinnati-based senior equity analyst at Schaeffer’s Investment Research Inc., said in a phone interview. “People are looking closely at earnings, which has been the story of the volatility in the past week or two. Oil and the strong U.S. dollar are also creating a drag on large multinational companies.”

     U.S. futures pared early gains amid concerns over Greece’s new government. New Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras named a cabinet yesterday that includes a foreign minister who raised questions over European Union sanctions against Russia and a finance minister who has called Greece’s bailout a trap, while new ministers said they will cease the sale of some state assets and increase the minimum wage.

     The S&P 500 has more than tripled from its March 2009 low, buoyed by three rounds of stimulus from the Fed. The index is down 4.2 percent from an all-time high reached in December.

     As the U.S. has ended its bond-buying program, the European Central Bank is expanding its stimulus plan. The ECB announced last week it would spend 60 billion euros ($68 billion) a month starting in March on purchases of debt to ward off the threat of deflation in the euro area.

     Equities opened higher on Wednesday as Apple and Boeing rallied amid quarterly results, a day after benchmark indexes tumbled on concern that a stronger dollar is eroding profits at large companies.                        

     While the dollar’s climb is reducing profits at U.S. companies from Procter & Gamble Co. to Pfizer Inc. and Microsoft Corp., more than 77 percent of Standard & Poor’s 500 Index members have still beaten analysts’ estimates so far this earnings season, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

     All 10 main industries in the S&P 500 fell.

     Energy shares lost 3.9 percent, the most in three weeks, after oil tumbled as U.S. inventories rose to a three-decade high. Exxon Mobil Corp., Chevron Corp. and Schlumberger Ltd. fell at least 3.3 percent.

     Yahoo! Inc. fell 3.2 percent, erasing an earlier rally of 4.9 percent. The company said Tuesday it will spin off its remaining stake in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. The tax-free spinoff will place Yahoo’s holding in the Chinese e-commerce company into a new firm called SpinCo.

     Apple jumped 5.7 percent. Net income surged 38 percent, fueled by sales of larger-screened iPhones and refreshed Mac computers that Apple had unveiled in September, part of a barrage of new products from Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook as he sought to revitalize the company’s revenue.

     Boeing gained 5.4 percent, the most since 2011, as it beat analysts’ estimates and predicted it would make good in 2015 in converting a record jetliner-order backlog into cash. Investors have been waiting to see Boeing start generating more cash from its plane orders and stem losses on the 787 Dreamliner.
 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

There are thousands of lives in one single life.

Swami Prajnanpad

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Our character is what we do when we think no one is looking.

                                           -H. Jackson Brown, Jr., 1940-

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

On this day in 1888, the National Geographic Society is founded “to increase and diffuse geographic knowledge.”

Today marks the 70^th anniversary of the liberation of the Auschwitz concentration camp.  Visiting the camp when I was in Poland a few years ago will forever be one of the most moving and spiritual experiences of my life.  You can really still feel the ghosts of those who died there, their souls still linger.  Very profound.  Hallowed ground.

I AM NOT I

 -Juan Ramon Jimenez, translated by Robert Bly

I am not I
I am this one
walking beside me whom I do not see,
whom at times I manage to visit,
and whom at other times I forget;
who remains silent when I talk.
The one who forgives sweet, when I hate.
The one who takes a walk when I am indoors.
The one who will remain standing when I die.

 
Epitaph for a Child of the Nakba (“Catastrophe”)

by Michael R. Burch

I lived as best I could, and then I died. 
Be careful where you step: the grave is wide.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Survivor Juda Widaski, 96, poses for a picture inside a tent on the site of former Nazi German concentration and extermination camp Auschwitz-Birkenau, Poland, Tuesday. Ceremonies marked the 70th anniversary of the liberation of the camp by Red Army soldiers. Laszlo Balogh/Reuters

At the Jewish cemetery in the former Nazi concentration camp in Terezin, Czech Republic, a child places a candle during a commemoration ceremony for the 70th anniversary of the liberation of Auschwitz death camp. David W Cerny/Reuters

Market Closes for January 27^th, 2015    

Market Index	Close	Change
Dow Jones	17387.21	-291.49
		-1.65%
S&P 500	2029.56	-27.53   -1.34%
NASDAQ	4681.496	-90.267   -1.89%
TSX	14833.88	+36.05
		+0.24%

International Markets

Market Index	Close	Change
NIKKEI	17768.30	+299.78
		+1.72%
HANG SENG	24807.28	-102.62
		-0.41%
SENSEX	29571.04	+292.20
		+1.00%
FTSE 100	6811.61	-40.79
		-0.60%

Bonds

Bonds	% Yield	Previous % Yield
CND. 10 Year Bond	1.419	1.471
CND. 30 Year Bond	1.985	2.033
U.S.    10 Year Bond	1.8145	1.8266
U.S. 30 Year Bond	2.3890	2.3972

Currencies

BOC Close	Today	Previous
Canadian $	0.80687	0.80180
US $	1.23936	1.24720
Euro Rate 1 Euro=		Inverse
Canadian $	1.40948	0.70948
US $	1.13726	0.87930

Commodities

Gold	Close	Previous
London Gold Fix	1288.50	1281.25
Oil	Close	Previous
WTI Crude Future	46.23	45.51

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose a fifth day, after erasing an earlier loss, as gold producers rallied to offset disappointing U.S. economic data and earnings. The U.S. is Canada’s largest trading partner.

     Metro Inc. rallied to a record after announcing a three- for-one stock split and dividend increase. Torex Gold Resources Inc. and Detour Gold Corp. jumped at least 5.6 percent as gold snapped a two-day decline. Finning International Inc., which sells Caterpillar Inc. equipment, lost 3.8 percent after the U.S.-based heavy equipment company forecast profit that missed estimates.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 36.05 points, or 0.2 percent, to 14,833.88 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, erasing an earlier loss of as much as 1 percent. The benchmark Canadian equity gauge has rallied 3.7 percent during its five- day streak, the longest since November. It is up 1.4 percent this year and trades at a two-month high.

     U.S. markets are running normally as a potentially life- threatening blizzard ended up as a mundane winter snowfall. New York City may get no more than a foot by the time the nor’easter tapers off Tuesday evening, compared with a forecast of as much as 23.8 inches, while Boston may top out at two feet.

     Caterpillar, the world’s largest manufacturer of mining and construction equipment, reported profit short of estimates while Microsoft Corp.’s software-license sales to businesses trailed estimates. Both shares tumbled.                        

     U.S. orders for business equipment unexpectedly fell in December for a fourth month, signaling a global growth slowdown is weighing on American companies.

     Four of the 10 main groups in the S&P/TSX advanced today as consumer staples shares increased 2 percent to pace gains. Metro advanced 4.1 percent to a record.

     Detour Gold gained 5.6 percent as raw-materials producers rallied 1.8 percent. Finning International tumbled 3.8 percent and heavy-equipment company Wajax Corp. lost 4.3 percent. Trading volume was 12 percent lower than the 30-day average.

     Royal Bank of Canada slipped 0.3 percent after lowering its prime lending rate to 2.85 percent, the first of Canada’s largest banks to do so after the Bank of Canada last week unexpectedly cut its key rate.

     CGI Group Inc. lost 2.7 percent while Sierra Wireless Inc. retreated 2.1 percent, for a six-week low, as the S&P/TSX Information Technology Index lost 0.5 percent.

     First Quantum Minerals Ltd. lost 1.5 percent for a fourth day of declines and Teck Resources Ltd. lost 1.3 percent as copper fell toward a five-year low after data showed China’s industrial profits grew at the slowest pace on record. Copper futures for March delivery fell 3.2 percent to settle at $2.4625 a pound in New York. On Monday the metal dropped to $2.419, the lowest since 2009.

US

By Lu Wang, Joseph Ciolli and Callie Bost

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks tumbled, with the Nasdaq 100 Index falling the most since April, as a drop in durable-goods orders and disappointing results from Caterpillar Inc. to Microsoft Corp. heightened concern about the economy’s strength.

     Technology shares in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index plunged 3.3 percent for the biggest drop since November 2011. Microsoft lost 9.3 percent, the most in 18 months, as software- license sales to businesses were below forecasts. Caterpillar plunged 7.2 percent after forecasting 2015 results that trailed estimates as plunging oil prices signal lower demand from energy companies. Procter & Gamble Co. slid 3.5 percent as a surging U.S. dollar cut into its earnings.

     Apple Inc. jumped more than 6 percent in after-market trading after reporting revenue that topped estimates. Yahoo! Inc. surged 6 percent in late trading after announcing a tax- free spinoff of its stake in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.

     “Currency headwinds, as well as evidence of a continual deceleration of global growth, is having a major impacts on quarterly results,” Chad Morganlander, a money manager at St. Louis-based Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., which oversees about $160 billion, said in a phone interview. “Coupled with that, durable goods orders were somewhat disappointing, which scotches any optimism for today’s trading session.”

     The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slipped 1.3 percent to 2,029.55 at 4 p.m. in New York, below its average price for the past 50 days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 291.49 points, or 1.7 percent, to 17,387.21, after losing almost 400 points earlier in the day. The Nasdaq 100 Index tumbled 2.6 percent for the biggest drop since April.

     About 6.5 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 3.6 percent below the three-month average, as exchanges opened for a full day despite a snow storm that shut down travel around New York City overnight and during part of the morning.                       

     A travel ban came to an end on Tuesday morning after the storm brought less snow than had been forecast. The National Weather Service downgraded its assessment to a winter storm from a blizzard. The last time snow prompted the New York Stock Exchange to shut down was in 1996, according to the exchange’s website.

     The S&P 500 is trading at 17.1 times the projected earnings of its members, about 16 percent above its 10-year average. The multiple reached a five-year high at the end of last year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The measure rallied 1.6 percent last week after the European Central Bank announced a 1.1 trillion-euro ($1.2 trillion) bond-buying plan.

     Yahoo! Inc. and Apple Inc. are among 27 companies releasing quarterly results on Tuesday.

     Of the S&P 500 members that have reported profit so far, 75 percent have exceeded projections that analysts have lowered since late last year. Analysts predict profit at S&P 500 companies climbed 1.1 percent in the final three months of 2014, down from an October estimate of 8.5 percent.

     “Everybody is aware of weakness in crude oil, but you’re seeing spillover into large, industrial companies like Caterpillar and that may be giving people pause,” Peter Jankovskis, who helps oversee $1.9 billion as co-chief investment officer of Lisle, Illinois-based OakBrook Investments LLC., said in a phone interview. “And certainly Microsoft is a bellwether of the tech industry, and that’s another cause that’s having people pulling back.”

     Multinational corporations flooded the market with fourth- quarter results as Federal Reserve officials gather in Washington for a two-day policy meeting. The central bank is trying to determine whether declining oil prices, a slowdown in European growth and any fallout from the Greek elections will threaten the U.S. recovery as it considers raising interest rates. Chair Janet Yellen told reporters after the last meeting not to expect higher borrowing costs before the end of April.

     Orders for business equipment unexpectedly fell in December for a fourth month, signaling a global growth slowdown is weighing on American companies. Bookings for non-military capital goods excluding aircraft dropped 0.6 percent for a second month, data from the Commerce Department showed. Demand for all durable goods — items meant to last at least three years — declined 3.4 percent, the worst performance since August.

     Slackening demand from Europe and some emerging markets is probably weighing on orders, making companies less willing to invest in new equipment.

     Purchases of new homes in the U.S. increased 12 percent in December to a 481,000 annualized pace from a 431,000 rate in the prior month, figures from the Commerce Department showed Tuesday in Washington. Consumer confidence in the U.S. increased this month as declining unemployment and lower fuel costs lifted Americans’ outlooks.

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, known as the VIX, jumped 14 percent to 17.74. The gauge is down 7.6 percent for the year.

     Nine of 10 main industries in the S&P 500 declined. Consumer staples and industrials shares lost more than 1.2 percent.

     Technology companies in the S&P 500 dropped 3.3 percent for their biggest one-day loss since Nov. 9, 2011. Intel Corp. and Hewlett-Packard Co. sank more than 3.4 percent.

     Microsoft plunged 9.3 percent, the most since July 2013. Revenue slumped in China and Japan and a stronger U.S. dollar curbed sales of business-software licenses. Unearned revenue, a measure of future sales, missed analysts’ estimates.

     Caterpillar lost 7.1 percent for its biggest drop since August 2011. The world’s largest mining and construction equipment maker forecast lower-than-estimated earnings and revenue for 2015.

     Crude’s slump of more than 40 percent in the past six months is the latest headwind for Caterpillar, which had already seen declining orders from the mining industry for its signature yellow machines.

     DuPont Co. fell 1.3 percent. The chemical maker posted an unexpected drop in fourth-quarter sales and forecast 2015 earnings below analysts’ estimates as a stronger dollar cuts into its profit.

     P&G slid 3.5 percent, the most since April 2013. The world’s biggest consumer-products maker reported profit that missed analysts’ estimates in the quarter ended Dec. 31 after what Chief Executive Officer A.G. Lafley called “unprecedented” foreign-exchange rate fluctuations reduced sales by 5 percentage points.

     Apple rallied in late trading after falling 3.5 percent during the regular session. Sales of iPhones during the quarter ended Dec. 27 rose 46 percent to 74.5 million units, topping analysts’ average estimate of 64.9 million, according to a company statement on Tuesday.

     That helped push Apple’s fiscal first-quarter profit to a record $18 billion, or $3.06 a share, on sales of $74.6 billion. Analysts had predicted profit of $2.60 a share, and revenue of $67.5 billion.

     Yahoo advanced in extended trading after sliding 2.9 percent during the day. The Web company announced a tax-free spinoff of its entire stake in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., seeking to maximize its return of cash to shareholders and minimize taxes on the sale.

     The deal with the Chinese e-commerce company will put Yahoo’s Alibaba shares into a newly registered company called SpinCo, which will own all of Yahoo’s remaining 384 million shares of Alibaba valued at $40 billion, the Sunnyvale, California-based company said in a statement Tuesday. SpinCo will be distributed to existing Yahoo shareholders as a separate public company.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

Our consciousness is not actually yours or mine; it is the consciousness of man,

evolved, grown, accumulated through many, many centuries…

When one realizes this our responsibility becomes extraordinarily important.

Krishnamurti

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

The whole of science is nothing more than a refinement of everyday thinking.

                                                                  -Albert Einstein, 1879-1955

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

We went to Seattle on the weekend to take in Seattle Opera’s production of Puccini’s Tosca.  It was superb.  Seattle is gripped with Super Bowl fever.  Lots of fans turned out in their Seahawks paraphernalia to line the route to the airport because the team was headed to Phoenix yesterday.  Businesses have signs in their windows referencing the team.  Many cars have Seahawk banners flying – it’s really quite something.

Found a terrific restaurant you might want to visit next time you’re in Seattle.  It is called  Altura and the food is really quite amazing.  Reservations are essential as it is very popular.

I read in the Wall Street Journal this morning that the movie American Sniper has now grossed 200 million in its second week – phenomenal.  Good news for Clint Eastwood.  Brad Cooper who plays US navy SEAL Chris Kyle is superb in this movie.  When we saw it last week , no one in the movie theatre moved when it ended.  Everyone was sort of entranced by what they had just seen.  Even though Brad Cooper’s acting is flawless in the picture, I sort of think the Oscar is going to go to Michael Keaton for his incredible performance in Birdman.   What a fantastic film that was!  All in all, it is a good year for films.  I thought Imitation was terrific too – though tragic….still a couple more nominees to see before Oscar night February 22nd.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A man surrounded by snowmen takes a selfie with a cell phone during a protest against the Davos World Economic Forum, WEF, in Davos, Switzerland, Saturday. Jean-Christophe Bott/Keystone/AP

Lindsey Vonn speeds down the course during an alpine ski, women’s World Cup downhill in St. Moritz, Switzerland, Saturday. Marco Trovati/AP

Market Closes for January 26^th, 2015    

Market Index	Close	Change
Dow Jones	17678.48	+5.88
		+0.03%
S&P 500	2054.85	+3.03   +0.15%
NASDAQ	4771.762	+13.883   +0.29%
TSX	14793.29	+13.94
		+0.09%

International Markets

Market Index	Close	Change
NIKKEI	17468.52	-43.23
		-0.25%
HANG SENG	24909.90	+59.45
		+0.24%
SENSEX	29278.84	+272.82
		+0.94%
FTSE 100	6852.40	+19.57
		+0.29%

Bonds

Bonds	% Yield	Previous % Yield
CND. 10 Year Bond	1.471	1.443
CND. 30 Year Bond	2.033	2.016
U.S.    10 Year Bond	1.8266	1.7926
U.S. 30 Year Bond	2.3972	2.3687

Currencies

BOC Close	Today	Previous
Canadian $	0.80180	0.80508
US $	1.24720	1.24212
Euro Rate 1 Euro=		Inverse
Canadian $	1.40195	0.71329
US $	1.12408	0.88962

Commodities

Gold	Close	Previous
London Gold Fix	1281.25	1294.75
Oil	Close	Previous
WTI Crude Future	45.51	45.22

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose a fourth day, extending a two-month high, as industrials and commodities producers advanced to offset a slump in telephone stocks.

     Badger Daylighting Ltd. climbed 4.4 percent to pace gains among industrials shares after announcing it will “conservatively manage” its capital spending amid plunging oil prices. Intertape Polymer Group Inc. plunged 15 percent after lowering its fourth-quarter earnings outlook. Rogers Communications Inc. dropped 4.2 percent, the most since February 2014, after analysts at Canaccord Genuity cut their rating for the stock.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 18.48 points, or 0.1 percent, to 14,797.83 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The gauge has advanced 1.1 percent this year to the highest since Nov. 27.

     U.S. markets are thus far operating normally ahead of a “life-threatening” blizzard set to dump as much as two feet of snow from New York to Boston. The storm has already caused more than 1,800 flight cancellations and will probably snarl road and rail traffic, close schools and knock out power across the U.S. Northeast.

     Intertape Polymer, which makes tape, plunged 15 percent, the most since 2009, after cutting its fourth-quarter earnings and revenue projections due to some delays in customer orders and higher than expected employee medical costs.

     Industrial stocks rose 1 percent, the most in the S&P/TSX, as seven of 10 industries in the broader equity gauge advanced. Phone companies fell 1.8 percent. Trading volume was 24 percent lower than the 30-day average today.

     Centerra Gold Inc. jumped 7.2 percent as raw-materials shares climbed 1 percent as a group, reversing an earlier loss. The S&P/TSX Energy Index added 0.4 percent for a fourth day of gains, the longest streak since Dec. 19.

US

By Michelle F. Davis

     (Bloomberg) — The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose, following its first weekly advance this year, as gains in energy companies overshadowed a drop in technology shares as investors considered possible fallout from Greek elections.

     The S&P 500 added 0.3 percent to 2,057.09 at 4 p.m. in New York, extending gains in the final 30 minutes of trading. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 6.10 points, or less than 0.1 percent, to 17,678.70. The Nasdaq 100 Index slipped 0.1 percent, while the Russell 2000 Index of small caps rallied 1 percent.

     In New York, officials told residents to stay at home as a blizzard forecasters call “life-threatening” may dump as much as two feet of snow from New York to Boston. Exchanges plan to remain open in the U.S., with the New York Stock Exchange’s owner Intercontinental Exchange Inc. saying it’ll be business as usual.

     About 6.2 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges today, 7 percent below the three-month average.

     The last time NYSE’s trading hours were changed because of a snowstorm was on Jan. 8, 1996, according to the exchange’s website. Weather shut American equity markets for two days in October 2012 in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy.

     “We’re sort of at an inflection point in the market,” Bill Schultz, who oversees $1.2 billion as chief investment officer at McQueen, Ball & Associates in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, said in a phone interview. “It needs more to get it moving to higher levels. It’s just trying to digest all of this information and try to make heads or tails of it. You saw the Greek election although that was not a big surprise.”

     The S&P 500 rallied 1.6 percent last week after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said it plans to buy up to 1.14 trillion euros ($1.28 trillion) of private and public securities.

     European equities rose and the region’s shared currency strengthened, while Greek stocks retreated, after Syriza, whose leader has pledged to renegotiate the nation’s international bailout, won 149 out of a possible 300 seats in Parliament. Prime Minister-elect Alexis Tsipras’ mandate is now to confront the nation’s program of austerity, imposed in return for pledges of 240 billion euros in aid since May 2010.

     The Greek elections “infused a little bit more risk into the market,” Michael James, a Los Angeles-based managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities Inc., said in a phone interview. “More people are focusing on a pretty busy earnings calendar this week and the Fed commentary on Wednesday. Those are going to be the much bigger focus for traders than the situation in Greece.”

     Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to begin a two-day policy meeting Tuesday. The central bank is trying to determine whether declining oil prices, a slowdown in European growth and any fallout from the Greek elections will threaten the U.S. recovery as it considers raising interest rates. Chair Janet Yellen told reporters after the last meeting not to expect higher borrowing costs before the end of April.                        

     Investors are also watching earnings reports. Microsoft Corp. is among those releasing quarterly results today. United Technologies Corp. changed its plans and will release results after the close of trading today instead of tomorrow morning.

     United Technology slid 2.1 percent in late trading after cutting its earnings forecast. Microsoft slid 1.7 percent in after-market trading.

     Of the S&P 500 companies that have reported so far, 77 percent have exceeded earnings projections after analysts reduced their estimates. Profit at S&P 500 companies climbed 1.1 percent in the last three months of 2014, analysts predict, down from an October estimate of 8.1 percent.

     D.R. Horton Inc. gained 5.5 percent. The largest U.S. homebuilder by revenue posted better-than-expected first-quarter profit as sales and orders jumped.

     An S&P index of homebuilders surged 2.2 percent.

     Energy companies rose 1.4 percent, the most in three weeks, to lead gains among six of the 10 main S&P 500 groups. Chevron Corp. gained 1.9 percent for the biggest rise in the Dow.

     MeadWestvaco Corp. jumped 14 percent. Rock-Tenn Co. agreed to acquire its U.S. rival in a deal valued at about $9.2 billion to create the world’s second-largest packaging company.

     Ocwen Financial Corp. surged 8.4 percent. The company, one of the biggest U.S. mortgage servicers, rejected as “groundless” accusations by an investor group that the company’s practices created defaults on home-loan bonds backed by debt it oversees.

     Mattel Inc. retreated 5 percent after the maker of Barbie dolls said it replaced Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Bryan Stockton amid a five quarter sales slump and holiday- season earnings that trailed analysts’ estimates.

     Seagate Technology Plc sank 7.7 percent to lead a slide among technology shares. The maker of disk drives plunged after projecting quarterly revenue that trailed analysts’ estimates.

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

What is the soul?  The soul is consciousness.

It shines a s the light within the heart.

Brihadaranyaka Upanishad

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

When you come to the end of your rope, tie a knot and hang on.

                           -Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1882-1945

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Literary birthdays this weekend:

January 25^th, 1759, Poet Robert Burns
January 25^th ,1874, writer W. Somerset Maugham.

January 25^th, 1882, Virginia Woolf.

Virginis Woolf once said that “fiction is liked a spider’s web, attached ever so lightly perhaps, but still attached to life at all four corners.”  One of the 20^th century’s great literary innovators, she and her sister Vanessa formed the core of the intellectual Bloomsbury group.

In 1917, Woolf and her husband Leonard Woolf, bought an old hand press and set two stories on it, one by each of them, which sold out almost immediately.  Hogarth Press, as they called it, continued to publish, preferring young and unknown writers including Katherine Mansfield and T.S. Eliot. 

She wrote this in her diary on January 25^th, 1915:

My birthday – and let me count up all the things I had.  Leonard had sworn he would give me nothing, and like a good wife, I believed him.  But he crept into my bed, with a little parcel, which was a beautiful green purse. and he brought up breakfast, with a paper which announced a naval victory (we have sunk a German battleship) and a square brown parcel, with The Abbot [by Sir Walter Scott] – a lovely first edition.  So I had a very merry and pleasing morning – which indeed was only surpassed by the afternoon.  I was then taken up to town, free of charge, and given a treat, first at a picture palace, and then at Buszards [Tea Rooms].  I don’t think I’ve had a birthday treat for ten years; and it felt like one too – being a fine frosty day, everything brisk and cheerful, as it should be, but never is.  We exactly caught a non-stop train, and I have been very happy reading father [Sir Leslie Stephen] on Pope, which is very witty and bright, without a single dead sentence in it.  In fact I don’t know when I have enjoyed a birthday so much – not since I was a child anyhow.

She ended her life on March 28, 1941, at age 59, when she filled her pockets with stones and walked into the River Ouse.

“As an experience, madness is terrific…and in its lava I still find most of the things I write about.”

“A woman must have money and a room of her own if she is to write fiction.”

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

An expanding shell of debris called SNR 0519-69.0 is left behind after a massive star exploded in the Large Magellanic Cloud, a satellite galaxy to the Milky Way, as seen in this undated NASA handout image released on Friday. Multimillion degree gas is seen in X-rays from Chandra, in blue. The outer edge of the explosion (red) and stars in the field of view are seen in visible light from the Hubble Space Telescope. NASA/Reuters

 

Danish artist Olafur Eliasson poses next to ‘Big Bang Fountain’, as part of his exhibition ‘Contact’ at the Louis Vuitton Foundation in Paris, Friday. Olafur Eliasson said in the presentation that ‘Contact is not a picture, it is not a representation; it is about your ability to reach out, connect, and perhaps even put yourself in another person’s place’. Francois Mori/AP

Market Closes for January 23^rd, 2015   

Market Index	Close	Change
Dow Jones	17672.60	-141.38
		-0.79%
S&P 500	2051.82	-11.33   -0.55%
NASDAQ	4757.879	+7.482   +0.16%
TSX	14779.35	+15.37
		+0.10%

International Markets

Market Index	Close	Change
NIKKEI	17511.75	+182.73
		+1.05%
HANG SENG	24850.45	+327.82
		+1.34%
SENSEX	29278.84	+272.82
		+0.94%
FTSE 100	6832.83	+36.20
		+0.53%

Bonds

Bonds	% Yield	Previous % Yield
CND. 10 Year Bond	1.443	1.425
CND. 30 Year Bond	2.016	2.069
U.S.    10 Year Bond	1.7926	1.8820
U.S. 30 Year Bond	2.3687	2.4523

Currencies

BOC Close	Today	Previous
Canadian $	0.80508	0.80883
US $	1.24212	1.23635
Euro Rate 1 Euro=		Inverse
Canadian $	1.39190	0.71844
US $	1.12059	0.89239

Commodities

Gold	Close	Previous
London Gold Fix	1294.75	1295.75
Oil	Close	Previous
WTI Crude Future	45.22	45.99

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose a third day, capping the biggest weekly advance in a month, as energy companies rose and banks extended gains amid a wave of central bank stimulus in the week.

     Home Capital Group Inc. added 3.5 percent as financial stocks surged 3.2 percent this week, the most in three years, after the Bank of Canada cut its key lending rate. BlackBerry Ltd. rose 1.8 percent for a third day of gains. First Quantum Minerals Ltd. sank 10 percent as copper posted a sixth weekly drop in London. Eldorado Gold Corp. and Alamos Gold Inc. retreated at least 10 percent as gold fell.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 15.37 points, or 0.1 percent, to 14,779.35 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, the highest level since Nov. 27. The Canadian benchmark rallied 3.3 percent this week, halting a two-week slide.

     Six of the 10 main groups in the benchmark index advanced today, led by 1.1 percent gains in technology and energy shares. Financial shares advanced 0.6 percent for a third day to cap the best week since December 2011.

     Home Capital rallied 3.5 percent. Royal Bank of Canada gained 1 percent and National Bank of Canada added 1.7 percent to pace gains among the lenders.

     Canada’s inflation slowed to 1.5 percent in December, less than the consensus 1.6 level forecast by economists in a Bloomberg News survey, as cheaper gasoline countered accelerating prices on most other items.

     The Bank of Canada unexpectedly cut interest rates Jan. 21, joining a stimulative push with other central banks around the world. The European Central Bank on Thursday announced a 1.1 trillion euro ($1.2 trillion) bond-buying plan to combat deflation.

     Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. gained 1.3 percent as consumer-staples stocks rose 0.9 percent as a group.

US

By Michelle F. Davis

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, trimming the first weekly gain of 2015, as weaker-than-forecast results at companies from United Parcel Service Inc. to Kimberly-Clark Corp. offset confidence that central banks will support global growth.

     UPS slumped 9.9 percent as it said preliminary 2014 earnings were lower than previously forecast, after an over- expanded program to handle a deluge of holiday shipments. Bank of New York Mellon Corp. and State Street Corp. led financial shares lower after both said the falling euro hurt revenue from the region. Kimberly-Clark dropped 6.1 percent after forecasting 2015 earnings that missed estimates.

     The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 0.6 percent to 2,051.82 at 4 p.m. in New York, paring a weekly gain to 1.6 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 141.38 points, or 0.8 percent, to 17,672.60. The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 0.2 percent. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rallied 1.7 percent a day after the European Central Bank expanded its stimulus plan.

     “The bigger picture is that we had a pretty sizable move in the market the day before,” Kevin Caron, who helps oversee $170 billion at Stifel Nicolaus & Co. in Florham Park, New Jersey, said in a phone interview. “The market is still assessing the recent actions by the ECB, trying to figure out how much of that action was already priced into markets going into the meeting and what it might mean for markets going forward.”

     About 6.5 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges today, in line with the three-month average. Selling accelerated in the final 30 minutes of trading as materials producers extended declines to 1.6 percent and investors anticipated the results of an election in Greece on Sunday. Opinion polls show the anti-austerity party may win enough votes to take power.

     Equities had earlier pared declines after ECB Executive Board member Benoit Coeure told Bloomberg TV that policy makers are prepared to extend asset purchases beyond September 2016 if the inflation outlook warrants it. The ECB on Thursday unveiled a plan to buy 60 billion euros ($69 billion) a month in bonds through that time.

     The S&P 500 gained 1.6 percent this week and briefly erased its losses for the year following two retreats that lasted five days amid tumbling oil prices and concerns that the global economy is slowing. The index is about 1.9 percent from its all- time high reached Dec. 29.

     U.S. stocks rose for a fourth day on Thursday, extending the longest rally of the year, as the ECB expanded an asset- purchase program to include government bonds. Banks and transportation companies also pushed benchmark gauges higher on better-than-forecast earnings.                          
     ECB President Mario Draghi said the central bank plans to buy up to 1.14 trillion euros ($1.3 trillion) of private and public securities. A near-stagnant economy and the risk of deflation forced Draghi’s hand six years after the Federal Reserve took a similar step to inject cash into the U.S.

     “The ECB is still going to be at the forefront over the next few trading days,” Matt Maley, an equity strategist at Miller Tabak & Co LLC in Newton, Massachusetts, said in a phone interview. “People are still trying to digest this bazooka blast. Obviously earnings will become more of a focus as well but the key is we need follow-through. It was a nice rally yesterday, but we’ve had a lot of one-day rallies that didn’t really pan out.”

     In the U.S., three rounds of Fed stimulus helped the S&P 500 more than triple from a bear-market low in March 2009. The central bank ended its quantitative easing program three months ago.

     Among data today, the Conference Board’s index of U.S. leading economic indicators, a gauge of the outlook for the next three to six months, increased 0.5 percent in December.

     Purchases of previously owned U.S. homes rose less than forecast in December as higher prices limited sales to first- time buyers. The Markit Economics preliminary index of U.S. manufacturing cooled in January to a one-year low of 53.7 from a final reading of 53.9 a month earlier. A figure greater than 50 for the purchasing managers’ measure indicates expansion.

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, known as the VIX, rose for the first time in five days, dropping 1.6 percent to 16.66 after closing Thursday at the lowest level of the year.

     Eight of the 10 main groups in the S&P 500 retreated today, with raw materials companies declining 1.6 percent to pace declines.

     Freeport-McMoRan Inc. retreated 3.9 percent to halt a four- day rally as copper capped its third straight weekly drop amid signs of slowing growth in China. Freeport has fallen 18 percent this year.

     The Dow Jones Transportation Average slipped 1.8 percent to halt a four-day streak after rallying the most since October on Thursday.

     UPS fell the most since 2006 after it said 2014 earnings were below prior forecasts as an overexpanded program to handle a deluge of holiday shipments left its network underutilized on some other days.

     FedEx Corp. lost 3 percent even after reaffirming its 2015 forecast in the wake of UPS’s outlook.

     Eight companies listed on the S&P 500 posted results Friday. Of the companies that have reported quarterly earnings so far, 77 percent have exceeded projections after analysts reduced their estimates. Profit at S&P 500 companies climbed 1.1 percent in the last three months of 2014, analysts predict, down from an October estimate of 8.1 percent.

     The S&P 500 is trading at about 17 times the projected earnings of its members, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Valuations reached a five-year high at the end of last year.

     Currency fluctuations roiled banks, as the euro tumbled to an 11-year low and the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rallied to the highest close on record. Bank of New York Mellon and State Street said today that a failing euro is cutting revenue from the region and may increase fees for excess deposits in Europe if rates there fall further. State Street plunged 6.1 percent, while Bank of New York dropped 4.7 percent.

     Kimberly-Clark lost 6.2 percent as it lowered its outlook for the full year, citing “significant headwinds” from foreign-exchange rates. Difficulty exchanging U.S. dollars for Venezuelan bolivars will cost the company $462 million as falling oil prices increase pressure on Venezuela’s economy and amplify the currency’s lack of liquidity.                         

     Ford Motor Co. said it will also take a charge, causing its fourth quarter profits to decrease by $700 million, in order to revalue its bolivar-denominated assets. Ford fell 0.8 percent.

     Avon Products Inc. declined 7.9 percent, retracing part of a 19 percent rally yesterday following a report by Dealreporter that the company held talks with TPG Capital about a possible transaction.

     Starbucks climbed 6.6 percent to a record. The world’s biggest coffee-shop chain is expanding its lunch offerings and bringing beer and wine to more stores, aiming to draw more customers after the morning hours.

     Honeywell International Inc. added 3.1 percent to an all- time high after it posted fourth quarter profits that surpassed analysts’ estimates. A strong U.S. economy drove sales of the technology and manufacturing company’s security systems and thermostats.

     E*Trade Financial Corp. jumped 8.4 percent to a 10-month high, increasing the most among companies on the S&P 500. The company said yesterday afternoon it will be allowed to run its bank with a more favorable leverage ratio.

     General Electric Co. led the Dow, rising 0.8 percent for a fifth consecutive day, as rising sales in its power and water business helped fourth-quarter profit beat analysts’ estimates.
 

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

It is through you that the sun shines and the stars shed their luster, and the earth becomes beautiful.

It is through your blessedness that they all love and are attracted to each other.

You are in all, and you are all.

 

Swami Vivekananda

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Hope is being able to see that there is light despite all of the darkness.

                            -Desmond Tutu, 1931-

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Lord Byron’s birthday today, b. 1788

OCEAN

From Childe Harold’s Pilgrimage

Roll on, thou deep and dark blue Ocean – roll!
Ten thousand fleets sweep over thee in vain;
Man marks the earth with ruin; his control
Stops with the shore; upon the watery plain
The wrecks are all thy deed, nor doth remain
A shadow of man’s ravage, save his own,
When for a moment, like a drop of rain,
He sinks into thy depths with bubbling groan,
Without a grave, unknelled, uncoffined and unknown.

His steps are not upon thy paths – thy fields
Are not a spoil for him – thou dost arise
And shake him from thee; the vile strength he wields
For earth’s destruction thou dost all despise
Spurning him from thy bosom to the skies,
And sendst him, shivering in thy playful spray,
And howling, to his Gods, where haply lies
His petty hope in some near port or bay,
And dashest him agin to earth – there let him lay.

The armaments which thunderstrike the walls
Of rock-built cities, bidding nations quake,
And monarchs tremble in their capitals,
The oak leviathans, whose huge ribs make
Their clay creator the vain title take
Of lord of thee, and arbiter of war: –
These are thy toys, and, as the snowy flake,
They melt into thy yeast of waves, which mar
Alike the Armada’s pride, or spoils of Trafalgar.

Thy shores are empires, changed in all save thee –
Assyria, Greece, Rome, Carthage, what are they?

They waters washed them power while they were free,
And many a tyrant since: their shores obey
The stranger, slave or savage; their decay
Has dried up realms to deserts: – not so thou,
Unchangeable save to thy wild waves’ play –
Time writes no wrinkle on thine azure brow –
Such as creation’s dawn beheld, thou rollest now.

Thou glorious mirror, where the Almighty’s form
Glasses itself in tempests: in all time,
Calm or convulsed – in breeze, or gale, or storm,
Icing the pole, or in the torrid clime
Dark-heaving; boundless,  endless, and sublime –
The image of Eternity – the throne
Of the Invisible; even from out thy slime
The monsters of the deep are made; each zone
Obeys thee; thou goest for the, dread, fathomless, alone.

                                   -George Gordon, Lord Byron

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Boats sail in the Mediterranean Sea off the coast in Herzeliya, Israel, Thursday. Ariel Schalit/AP

The glow from a Noctiluca scintillans algal blooming along the seashore in Hong Kong, Thursday. The luminescence, also called Sea Sparkle, is triggered by farm pollution that can be devastating to marine life and local fisheries, according to University of Georgia oceanographer Samantha Joye. Kin Cheung/AP

Market Closes for January 22^nd, 2015   

Market Index	Close	Change
Dow Jones	17813.98	+259.70
		+1.48%
S&P 500	2062.09	+29.97   +1.47%
NASDAQ	4750.398	+82.978   +1.78%
TSX	14753.74	+193.32
		+1.33%

International Markets

Market Index	Close	Change
NIKKEI	17392.02	+48.54
		+0.28%
HANG SENG	24522.63	+170.05
		+0.70%
SENSEX	29006.02	+117.16
		+0.41%
FTSE 100	6796.63	+68.59
		+1.02%

Bonds

Bonds	% Yield	Previous % Yield
CND. 10 Year Bond	1.425	1.422
CND. 30 Year Bond	2.069	2.047
U.S.    10 Year Bond	1.8820	1.8632
U.S. 30 Year Bond	2.4523	2.4489

Currencies

BOC Close	Today	Previous
Canadian $	0.80883	0.81089
US $	1.23635	1.23322
Euro Rate 1 Euro=		Inverse
Canadian $	1.40521	0.71164
US $	1.13658	0.87983

Commodities

Gold	Close	Previous
London Gold Fix	1295.75	1293.50
Oil	Close	Previous
WTI Crude Future	45.99	47.28

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose to a two-month high, reversing a loss for the year, as Canadian National Railway Co. rallied and the European Central Bank unveiled a 1.1 trillion euro ($1.3 trillion) stimulus program.

     Canadian National Railway surged 3.9 percent to a record to lead industrial stocks higher. Pengrowth Energy Corp. climbed 4.8 percent after cutting its budget on a drop in oil prices. Royal Bank of Canada lost 1.5 percent after agreeing to buy City National Corp. for about $5.4 billion in its biggest takeover ever. BlackBerry Ltd. climbed 6.6 percent as Samsung Electronics Co. was said to still be considering a bid for the company, according to the Financial Post said.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 203.56 points, or 1.4 percent, to 14,763.98 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, its highest close since Nov. 27. The Canadian benchmark is up 0.9 percent for the year.

     The ECB will buy 60 billion euros a month of securities until September 2016, in a push to revive inflation and the euro-area economy. The move joins a stimulative push among central banks around the world. The Bank of Canada yesterday unexpectedly cut its key rate, along with surprise cuts in Denmark, Turkey, India and Peru in the past week.

     All 10 industries in the benchmark Canadian equity gauge advanced at least 0.8 percent today on trading volume that was 4.2 percent higher than the 30-day average. Industrials rallied 2.2 percent, while consumer shares gained at least 1.8 percent.

     OceanaGold Corp. added 7.2 percent and Barrick Gold Corp. rose 1.2 percent as gold settled above $1,300 an ounce for the first time since August.

     Bombardier Inc. soared 4.9 percent, the most since April, as industrials companies increased 2.2 percent as a group.

     Royal Bank tumbled 1.7 percent after agreeing to buy City National, the Los Angeles-based banker to the stars, in a cash- and-share deal to expand sales to wealthy U.S. residents.

US

By Joseph Ciolli and Michelle F. Davis

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rallied for a fourth day, wiping out losses for the year in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, as the European Central Bank unveiled an expanded stimulus plan and banks and transportation companies surged on better-than- forecast earnings.

     KeyCorp led gains among banks after fourth-quarter results topped analyst estimates. Southwest Airlines Co. jumped to a record as profit rose 71 percent on lower jet fuel prices. Union Pacific Corp. added 4.8 percent as a strengthening U.S. economy and growing construction market boosted traffic on the rails in the fourth quarter. EBay Inc. increased 7.1 percent after entering a standstill agreement with activist investor Carl Icahn.

     “It’s that halo effect of the follow-through on ECB finally coming to the table and embracing a pretty material stimulus program,” Todd Lowenstein, who helps manage $16 billion at Highmark Capital Management in Los Angeles, said by phone. “It brings some hope that Europe will get pointed in the right direction.”

     The S&P 500 gained 1.5 percent to 2,063.15 at 4 p.m. in New York, the highest since Dec. 30. The gauge climbed above its average price for the past 50 days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 259.70 points, or 1.5 percent, to 17,813.98. The Russell 2000 Index surged 2.1 percent, the most since Dec. 17. About 7.7 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges today, 15 percent above the three-month average.

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, known as the VIX, fell 13 percent to 16.40, its lowest level of the year.

     ECB President Mario Draghi announced an expanded asset- purchase program, including private and public securities, of up to 60 billion euros ($69 billion) a month. The buying will continue through September 2016. The announcement came after the ECB kept benchmark rates unchanged at record lows.

     “Markets were expecting big and this sounds like a pretty big program, so that’s good news,” Karyn Cavanaugh, the New York-based senior market strategist at Voya Investment Management LLC, said by phone. Voya oversees $215 billion. “We were all expecting it and finally we got what we were looking for.”

     A near-stagnant economy and the risk of deflation forced Draghi’s hand six years after the Federal Reserve took a similar step to inject cash into the U.S. The 67-year-old Italian’s gamble is that the benefits of quantitative easing  outweigh the threat of a backlash in Germany and that the ECB ends up bailing out profligate, reform-wary governments.                       

     The ECB’s shift exacerbates an emerging global divergence in monetary policy. While the Fed is now considering when to tighten credit, central banks in Denmark, Turkey, India, Canada and Peru all announced surprise rate cuts in the past week. The Swiss National Bank shocked investors by dropping a cap on the franc.

     In the U.S., three rounds of Fed stimulus helped the S&P 500 more than triple from a bear-market low in March 2009. The central bank ended its quantitative easing program three months ago.

     The S&P 500 has climbed 3.5 percent following its second five-day slide this year as investors have weighed earnings reports and oil held above an almost six-year low set Jan. 13. The gauge is 1.3 percent from its all-time high reached Dec. 29.

     The S&P 500 has moved 1.9 percent from its lowest to highest levels on Thursday. That’s the 15th straight swing of more than 1 percent intraday, the longest stretch since an 18- day run ending on June 21, 2012, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

     Daily moves in the U.S. equity benchmark have almost doubled from 2014 as oil’s decline spurred concerns about deflation and earnings estimates fell the most since 2009. While investors are the most rattled they’ve been since Europe’s debt crisis more than two years ago, an accelerating U.S. economy should calm them down, according to a Jan. 20 client note from Goldman Sachs derivatives strategists.

     A majority of those surveyed in a Bloomberg poll forecast that the S&P 500 will rise in the next six months, while only a quarter see it declining. The index is trading at 17 times the projected earnings of its members, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Valuations reached a five-year high at the end of last year.

     Capital One Financial Corp. and Starbucks Corp. are among 16 companies reporting earnings on Thursday. Profit at S&P 500 companies climbed 0.8 percent in the last three months of 2014, analysts predict, down from an October estimate of 8.1 percent.

     Economic data on Thursday showed more Americans than forecast filed applications for unemployment benefits last week, a sign of lingering holiday turnover.

     Leon Cooperman, who runs Omega Advisors Inc., said stocks can extend their gains as the economy improves and corporate profits rise.

     “There’s no basis to call for a market peak,” Cooperman, 71, said today in an interview on Bloomberg Television with Betty Liu. “It could be a couple more years.”

     Eight out 10 major industries in the S&P 500 advanced. Financial, technology and consumer-discretionary shares had the biggest gains, increasing more than 1.9 percent.

     The Dow Jones Transportation Average rallied the most since October, gaining 2.9 percent. Union Pacific rose to the highest level since Dec. 30 after quarterly profit topped analysts’ estimates on higher cargo shipments. 

     A Bloomberg index of U.S. airlines rose 4.7 percent to the highest since January 2001. United Continental Holdings Inc. and Southwest Airlines predicted that fuel costs will be at their lowest in more than five years this quarter, helping boost profits in a period where travel demand typically slows.

     JetBlue Airways Corp. surged 7.9 percent to the highest since 2007.

     KeyCorp added 7.6 percent as fourth-quarter revenue and earnings topped estimates. City National Corp. surged 19 percent after Royal Bank of Canada agreed to buy the Los Angeles-based banker to the stars for about $5.4 billion. Other regional banks rallied. Regions Financial Corp., Hudson City Bancorp Inc. and M&T Bank Corp. soared more than 4.3 percent.

     Larger institutions also climbed. JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Corp. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. surged at least 2.8 percent. Banks have been the worst performers among S&P 500 groups this year, with a loss of 2.9 percent.

     EBay increased 7.1 percent, the biggest gain since September. The company is cutting 2,400 positions, buying back shares and entering into a standstill agreement with Icahn as the company prepares to split its marketplace and payments businesses.

     EBay also said it’s exploring options for its enterprise unit, including a sale or initial public offering, and is adding three new board members, including a representative for Icahn, who had pushed the company to split up.

     Google Inc. climbed 3.2 percent and Apple Inc. advanced 2.6 percent.

     Avon Products Inc. rose 15 percent, the most in the S&P 500, after dealReporter said the company has been having talks with TPG about a potential transaction, citing industry sources.

     Phone companies had the biggest decline among S&P 500 groups, dropping 0.6 percent. Verizon Communications Inc., the largest U.S. wireless carrier, tumbled 0.9 percent after missing analysts’ fourth-quarter profit estimates as a surge in sales of deeply discounted phones squeezed margins. AT&T Inc. lost 0.6 percent.

     American Express Co. fell 3.8 percent, the most in the Dow, after reporting a fourth-quarter profit that missed some analysts’ estimates and saying it would cut more than 4,000 jobs this year.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

If you see the soul in every living being, you see truly.

If you see immortality in the heart of every mortal being, you see truly.

The Bhagavad Gita

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Make learning your business, speak little, do much, and receive everyone kindly.

                                                                         -Shammai, 50 BCE-30CE

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

KINDNESS

     -Naomi Shihab Nye

…before you know kindness as the deepest thing inside,
you must know sorrow as the other deepest thing.
You must wake up with sorrow.
You must speak to it till your voice
catches the thread of all sorrows
and you see the size of the cloth.
Then it is only kindness that makes sense anymore
…only kindness that raises its head
from the crowd of the world to say,
“It is I you have been looking for,”
and then goes with you everywhere
like a shadow or a friend.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Tamborilleros’ wearing their uniforms march in the traditional ‘La Tamborrada’, during ‘El Dia Grande’, the main day of San Sebastian feasts, in the Basque city of San Sebastian, northern Spain, Tuesday. From midnight to midnight companies of perfectly uniformed marchers parade through the streets of San Sebastian playing drums and barrels in honor of their patron saint. Alvaro Barrientos/AP

People hide behind a tree while others throw turnips at the Jarramplas as he makes his way through the streets beating his drum during the Jarramplas Festival in Piornal, Spain, Tuesday. Jarramplas wears a costume and a devil-like mask and beats a drum through the streets of Piornal while residents throw turnips as a punishment for stealing cattle. Daniel Ochoa de Olza/AP

Market Closes for January 21^st, 2015   

Market Index	Close	Change
Dow Jones	17554.28	+39.05
		+0.22%
S&P 500	2032.27	+9.72   +0.48%
NASDAQ	4667.422	+12.576   +0.27%
TSX	14553.73	+245.29
		+1.71%

International Markets

Market Index	Close	Change
NIKKEI	17280.48	-85.82
		-0.49%
HANG SENG	24352.58	+401.42
		+1.68%
SENSEX	28888.86	+104.19
		+0.36%
FTSE 100	6728.04	+107.94
		+1.63%

Bonds

Bonds	% Yield	Previous % Yield
CND. 10 Year Bond	1.422	1.491
CND. 30 Year Bond	2.047	2.058
U.S.    10 Year Bond	1.8632	1.7897
U.S. 30 Year Bond	2.4489	2.3784

Currencies

BOC Close	Today	Previous
Canadian $	0.81089	0.82565
US $	1.23322	1.21116
Euro Rate 1 Euro=		Inverse
Canadian $	1.43238	0.69814
US $	1.16150	0.86096

Commodities

Gold	Close	Previous
London Gold Fix	1293.50	1288.75
Oil	Close	Previous
WTI Crude Future	47.28	46.39

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam, Ari Altstedter and Greg Quinn

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks surged, government bond yields slumped to a record and the dollar slid to the weakest in more than five years after the nation’s central bank unexpectedly slashed interest rates amid the collapse in crude.

     The benchmark Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index soared 1.8 percent, led by the biggest rally in financial services stocks in three months. The Canadian dollar, nicknamed the loonie because of the waterfowl on its C$1 coin, dropped 1.8 percent to the lowest since April 2009 versus the greenback. The yield on Canada’s benchmark 10-year government bond fell to as low as 1.365 percent.

     “Every economist I’ve seen or read or heard from today wasn’t expecting this, so I’d say the market was completely caught off-guard,” said Gareth Watson, vice-president of investment management and research at Richardson GMP Ltd. in Toronto. His firm manages about C$28 billion ($22.7 billion). “You’re getting a boost here on the Canadian side to anything that’s interest-sensitive. And people are bailing out of the currency altogether. That’s a function of the lack of expectations of this happening today.”

     Stephen Poloz, governor of the Bank of Canada, cut the rate on overnight loans between commercial banks to 0.75 percent from 1 percent, a decision none of the 22 economists in a Bloomberg News survey predicted. The rate had been unchanged since September 2010.

     Canada, the largest exporter of oil to the U.S., is loosening monetary policy as a plunge in crude prices raises the risk of deflation globally. Oil has dropped more than 10 percent this year following a decline of almost 50 percent last year, the most since the 2008 financial crisis. The U.S. pumped crude at the fastest rate in more than three decades and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries resisted calls to reduce supply.

     “It’s a big shock,” David Doyle, a strategist at Macquarie Capital Markets, said by phone from Toronto. “They’re going to try to provide the necessary medicine here for the soft landing from slowing debt growth, from slowing investment in the oil sands, and I think they thought it needed some stimulus here.”

     Canada, the Group of Seven’s biggest crude exporter, is already feeling the effects of oil dropping below $50 a barrel, as companies such as Calgary-based Suncor Energy Inc. reduce staffing and investment. Canada’s oil sands are among the most expensive reserves to develop.

     The central bank lowered its 2015 forecast for economic growth in Canada to 2.1 percent from 2.4 percent previously, and forecast it will average about 1.5 percent in the first half of the year. The International Monetary Fund early this week made the steepest cut to its global-growth outlook in three years.

     The Bank of Canada’s move comes amid efforts by central banks around the world to stimulate the global economy. The European Central Bank is expected to announce Thursday it will buy as much as 1.1 trillion euros ($1.3 trillion) of debt through December 2016 in a push to fend off deflation. The Bank of Japan has already boosted its asset purchases and the Bank of England said two policy makers had dropped their call for rate increases.

     “We expected the Bank of Canada to open the door a crack to a potential cut, but Governor Poloz decided to swing it wide open,” said Peter Buchanan, economist with CIBC World Markets Inc., in a report today. “Today’s outright target reduction comes as a surprise.”

     Eight of 10 major groups in the S&P/TSX advanced on Wednesday, with energy and health-care shares leading the gains. A measure of volatility of S&P/TSX 60 options sank 12 percent to 18.74, the biggest drop in almost five weeks.

     Royal Bank of Canada, the nation’s second-largest lender by assets, jumped 1.6 percent, the most since October, while Dream Unlimited Corp., a commercial and residential real estate developer, rallied 5.1 percent. The S&P/TSX Financials Index, which accounts for about a third of the broader S&P/TSX, climbed 1.5 percent.

     Energy producers increased 3.2 percent as a group. Crude futures rose 2.8 percent to settle at $47.78 a barrel in New York, retracing some of yesterday’s 4.7 percent slide. Baytex Energy Corp. and Enerplus Corp. jumped at least 5.4 percent.                        

     The 14-day average true range of the loonie, a volatility gauge that takes into account the differences between intraday highs and lows, rose to 0.013 today, the highest since November 2011.

     Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it’s reviewing the forecast for the Canadian currency following the surprise rate decision. The New-York based bank lowered its six-month projection to C$1.20 from C$1.14 at the beginning of January.

     “The big picture is that this represents a structural break for the BOC, with policy diverging from our expectations for the Fed,” Robin Brooks, a chief currency strategist at Goldman, said in a research note. “This structural break is important and sets the stage for USD/CAD moving materially higher,” he said, referring to the value of the U.S. currency.

     There’s a 68 percent chance the Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark rate for the first time since 2006 by December, according to futures trading.

     The yield on Canada’s benchmark 10-year bond dropped to as low as 1.365 percent before trading at 1.43 percent, about 0.4 percentage point below the U.S. 10-year note yield. It’s the biggest difference since 2007.

     Yields on Canadian two-year securities touched 0.536 percent, and 30-year bond yields reached 2 percent.

US

By Jeremy Herron and Joseph Ciolli

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks advanced for a third day as energy producers gained with the price of oil. European equities rose and Treasuries fell on speculation the European Central Bank will boost stimulus through asset purchases.

     The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index added 0.5 percent at 4 p.m. in New York, trimming its loss this year to 1.3 percent. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index advanced 0.6 percent to extend a seven- year high. It erased a drop of 0.8 percent as the ECB was said to propose 50 billion euros ($58 billion) of asset purchases a month through 2016. Canadian equities rallied as the country’s central bank unexpectedly cut rates. The euro traded at almost an 11-year low. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes climbed, while U.S. crude surged 2.8 percent.

     A ECB Executive Board proposal foresees asset purchases of as much as $1.28 trillion through the end of 2016, according to two euro-area central-bank officials who have seen the document. International Business Machines Corp. fell 3.1 percent, while Netflix Inc. rallied 17 percent after reporting earnings. Oil rebounded from the biggest drop in a week amid that U.S. drilling is slowing. Energy producers in the S&P 500 gained 1.8 percent.

     “The initial move after an ECB stimulus announcement was always going to be up, but the real question is how long it’s going to last,” Matt Maley, an equity strategist at Miller Tabak & Co LLC in Newton, Massachusetts, said in a phone interview. “Earnings will take a backseat for the next few days, but they’ll be back in focus before long.”

     The ECB proposal will be discussed starting Jan. 21 and could still be changed significantly, the people said, asking not to be identified as it is confidential. Purchases won’t start before March 1, one of the people said. The ECB will announce its policy decision on Jan. 22.

     Equities retreated in early U.S. trading and the euro advanced after ECB Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny said investors should not get carried away by one policy meeting. Speculation that ECB President Mario Draghi will broaden asset purchases had increased after the Swiss National Bank scrapped a cap on the franc last week.

     The euro pared gains on the stimulus proposal to trade at almost an 11-year low against the dollar. The shared currency appreciated 0.3 percent to $1.1584 after adding as much as 1.1 percent. It declined to $1.1460 on Jan. 16, the least since 2003. The euro dropped 0.5 percent to 136.57 yen. Japan’s currency strengthened 0.9 percent to 117.73 per dollar.

     The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose for a fifth day, extending its rally since Jan. 14 to 5.3 percent.

     The yield on 10-year German bunds jumped eight basis points to 0.52 percent, while the rate similar maturity French notes added six basis points to 0.70 percent.

     Treasuries fell on stimulus bets, as the 10-year rate rose six basis points to 1.85 percent. The debt has rallied this year as falling yields around the world made U.S. more attractive on a relative basis even as investors prepare for higher borrowing costs in the U.S.

     “We’re going to see much market movement in response to central bank actions or inactions,” Rex Macey, the Atlanta- based chief allocation officer at Wilmington Trust Investment Advisors, said in a phone interview. The firm oversees $22.3 billion. “Whichever way it goes, the effect of central bank stimulus has been supportive of markets, and we expect that to continue.”

     U.S. investors are also weighing corporate earnings reports, as companies from EBay Inc. to American Express Co. report financial results today. Profit at S&P 500 companies probably climbed 0.8 percent in the final three months of 2014, analysts predicted, down from an October estimate of 8.1 percent.                         

     IBM had the biggest slide in the Dow Jones Industrial Average as a disappointing forecast overshadowed profit that topped estimates. Chevron Corp. rallied 1.6 percent.

     Netflix jumped 17 percent, the most since April 2013, after saying a record gain in international subscribers boosted the worldwide total to 57.4 million. UnitedHealth Group Inc. advanced 3.6 percent to a record as earnings beat estimates.

     “Although investors are very edgy right now, U.S. equities still have a bit further to go,” said William Hobbs, head of equity strategy at Barclays Plc’s wealth-management unit in London. “The hurdle is just a little bit higher because there has been such a big consensus favoring the U.S. and sentiment is already pretty hot on growth. None of these markets are particularly inexpensive.”                       

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, known as the VIX, fell for a third straight day, declining 4.8 percent to 18.93.

     The S&P 500 is trading at 16.6 times the projected earnings of its members, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Valuations reached a five-year high at the end of last year. Profit at companies listed on the benchmark measure probably climbed 0.8 percent in the final three months of 2014, analysts predicted, down from an October estimate of 8.1 percent.

     Data in the U.S. today showed new residential construction rose more than forecast in December, capping the best year since 2007 and signaling the industry will probably keep expanding this year. Housing starts increased 4.4 percent to a 1.09 annual rate, following the prior month’s 1.04 million pace that was higher than previously estimated, a Commerce Department report showed.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rallied 1.8 percent to the highest since Jan. 2 after the nation’s central bank unexpectedly slashed its main interest rate due to the plunge in oil prices, saying the shock will weigh on everything from inflation to business spending.                      

     While the Bank of Canada became the first central bank in the Group of Seven to cut interest rates in response to plummeting oil prices, emerging market economies that rely on manufacturing may benefit, according to Mary Callahan Erdoes, JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s head of asset management.

     “People are looking at that and saying the manufacturing emerging markets countries are really going to benefit,” Erdoes said in an interview with Bloomberg TV’s Stephanie Ruhle in Davos, Switzerland. “You think about countries like India, you think about countries like Taiwan, Korea, Mexico, even China. All of those are net beneficiaries of lower oil prices which should be able to help those economies to continue to grow. You’re going to see a lot more money coming into that sector for long-term investing.”

     The MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 1.9 percent to the highest since Dec. 8, as all 10 industry groups advanced. Energy shares in the gauge rallied 2.8 percent.

     Brazil’s Ibovespa advanced 2.8 percent.

     Oil rebounded from the biggest drop in a week amid the most volatile prices in more than three years. Oil climbed 2.8 percent to settle at $47.78 a barrel in New York, retracing a 4.7 percent slide on Tuesday. Brent for March delivery gained 2.2 percent to end at $49.03 a barrel in London.

     OPEC policies are protecting market share over revenue, Oman’s Oil Minister Mohammed Al-Rumhy said at conference in Kuwait City. The nation is not part of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

     Silver headed for a bull market in its best start to a year in more than three decades, fueled by speculation that slowing global economic growth will spur haven demand.

     Silver futures for March delivery jumped 1.3 percent to close at $18.193 an ounce in New York. A settlement at $18.4956 would bring the gain from a four-year closing low of $15.413 on Nov. 6 to 20 percent, meeting the common definition of a bull market. Prices are up 17 percent this month.

     Gold futures for February delivery fell less than 0.1 percent to $1,293.70 in New York. The metal has gained 9.3 percent this month, after declining 1.5 percent in 2014.

     Policy makers in Europe and Asia have announced new stimulus measures amid prolonged below-target inflation, boosting demand for bullion as a store of value. On Wednesday, gold jumped to $1,300 an ounce for the first time since August.
 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

Energy is action and movement.  All action is movement and all action is energy.

All desire is energy.  All feeling is energy.  All thought is energy.

All living is energy.  All life is energy.

If that energy is allowed to flow without any contradiction,

without any friction, without any conflict, then that energy is boundless, endless.

When there is no friction there are no frontiers to energy.

It is friction which gives energy limitations.  So, having once seen this,

why is it that the human being always brings friction into energy?

Why does he create friction in this movement which we call life?

Is pure energy, energy without limitations just an idea to him?

Does it have no reality?

Krishnamurti

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Giving up is the ultimate tragedy.

              -Robert J. Donovan, 1939-2014

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Today in history:

On Jan. 20, 1981, Iran released 52 Americans held hostage for 444 days, minutes after the presidency had passed from Jimmy Carter to Ronald Reagan.
1841    Hong Kong was ceded to Great Britain.
1936    Britain’s King George V died.
1942    Nazi officials arrived at a “final solution” that called for exterminating Europe’s Jews, during a conference at Lake Wannsee in Berlin.

EARLY DARKNESS

         -D. Patrick Miller

Think of it as ink:
an indigo dye descending
between the leaves of the trees
and down to the grasses.
There is no dying of the light –
just the washing of a bowl,
and overturning it for night.
When day arrives we must write with bottled darkness.
In the night we can dream free messages of light.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

People stroll under the Lorraine Bridge on the bank of river Aare in Bern, Switzerland, Sunday. Alessandro della Valle/Keystone/AP

Skiers dressed as witches participate in the 33. downhill race at Blatten-Belalp, southwestern Switzerland, Saturday. During the event, called ‘Hexenabfahrt’ (downhill of the witches,) many participants race down the 5 km slope in colorful costumes. Olivier Maire/Keystone/AP

Market Closes for January 20^th, 2015   

Market Index	Close	Change
Dow Jones	17515.23	+3.66
		+0.02%
S&P 500	2022.55	+3.13   +0.15%
NASDAQ	4654.848	+20.463   +0.44%
TSX	14308.44	-4.06
		-0.03%

International Markets

Market Index	Close	Change
NIKKEI	17366.30	+352.01
		+2.07%
HANG SENG	23951.16	+212.67
		+0.90%
SENSEX	28784.67	+522.66
		+1.85%
FTSE 100	6620.10	+34.57
		+0.52%

Bonds

Bonds	% Yield	Previous % Yield
CND. 10 Year Bond	1.491	1.517
CND. 30 Year Bond	2.058	2.084
U.S.    10 Year Bond	1.7897	1.8368
U.S. 30 Year Bond	2.3784	2.4531

Currencies

BOC Close	Today	Previous
Canadian $	0.82565	0.83736
US $	1.21116	1.19423
Euro Rate 1 Euro=		Inverse
Canadian $	1.39852	0.71504
US $	1.15470	0.86603

Commodities

Gold	Close	Previous
London Gold Fix	1288.75	1273.75
Oil	Close	Previous
WTI Crude Future	46.39	48.69

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Michelle F. Davis

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks were little changed as energy shares slumped with oil and the International Monetary Fund cut its global-growth outlook by the most in three years, offsetting gains among mining companies.

     Gran Tierra Energy tumbled 32 percent, the most ever, as the company said work at its Eslabon Sur well in South America had been suspended. Suncor Energy Inc. fell 1.7 percent to pace declines among energy shares. Barrick Gold Corp. and Goldcorp Inc. advanced more than 2.4 percent as gold futures posted the longest rally in 11 months. OceanaGold Corp. rallied 6.7 percent after a UBS analyst recommended the stock.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index slid 4.06 points, or less than 0.1 percent, to 14,308.44 at 4 p.m. in Toronto.

     Crude fell as much as 5.8 percent in New York and 2.2 percent in London after Iraqi crude production surged to a record and the IMF cut its global growth outlook.

     The world economy will grow 3.5 percent in 2015, down from the 3.8 percent pace projected in October, the IMF said in its quarterly global outlook released late Monday in Washington. The IMF said slowing growth almost everywhere except the U.S. will more than offset the benefits from lower oil prices.

     Data today showed Canadian factory sales dropped faster than economists predicted in November, with the second straight decline ranging from automobiles to food.

     Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz will deliver his latest estimates for inflation and growth tomorrow along with a decision on interest rates. Policymakers must account for a plunge in the price of crude oil, Canada’s biggest export.

     Canada’s dollar weakened to the lowest in more than five years today on speculation the central bank may signal it’s more likely to lower interest rates than raise them when it releases a growth outlook tomorrow. BOC hasn’t raised its benchmark interest rate in more than four years.                          

     Oil companies comprised eight of the 10 worst performers today in the benchmark index, with Gran Tierra dropping 32 percent and Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp. losing 14 percent. Suncor Energy slid 1.7 percent.

     Five of 10 industries in the S&P/TSX slumped on volume 10 percent higher than the 30-day average.

     Gold rose 1.4 percent to the highest in almost five months as concerns about global growth led to “safe-haven buying in gold,” according to Jonathan Butler, a precious metals strategist at Mitsubishi Corp.

     OceanaGold rose 6.7 percent as UBS equity analyst Jonathan Battershill upgraded the company to buy from neutral. B2Gold Corp. increased 7.4 percent to a near five-month high as the company announced a higher-grade gold mineral resource estimate in a zone adjacent to its new mine in Namibia.

     Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. rose 3.4 percent following an S&P report that said North American potash producers are poised to benefit from stabilizing market conditions and the completion of capacity expansion projects.

     Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. gained 2.2 percent and Dream Unlimited Corp. increased 3.2 percent after the companies said they formed a real estate venture to develop about 30 of the rail operator’s properties in Canada and the U.S.

US

By Joseph Ciolli

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, with the Nasdaq 100 Index rallying as gains from Apple Inc. to Netflix Inc. helped offset concerns that global growth is slowing.

     Yahoo! Inc., Micron Technology Inc. and Apple jumped more than 2.3 percent to lead technology shares. Netflix surged 13 percent in late trading after adding more subscribers than analysts forecast. Delta Air Lines Inc. climbed 7.3 percent after earnings beat projections. Johnson & Johnson tumbled 2.6 percent after forecasting lower earnings in 2015 as competition cuts into revenue for some of its best-selling drugs. A gauge of homebuilders retreated 3 percent, after plunging almost 7 percent last week.

     The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index gained 0.2 percent to 2,022.55 at 4 p.m. in New York, after an earlier decline of 0.7 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 3.66 points, or less than 0.1 percent, to 17,515.23. The Nasdaq 100 Index gained 0.7 percent. About 7.3 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges today, 8.2 percent above the three-month average. Exchanges were closed yesterday for Martin Luther King Day.

     “Volatility has been so pronounced day-to-day, hour-to- hour,” Richard Sichel, chief investment officer at Philadelphia Trust Co., which oversees $2 billion, said in a phone interview. “The fact that the market is marginally positive is encouraging given all the elements that are out there.”

     The S&P 500 slipped 1.2 percent last week, even with a 1.3 percent rally on Friday, as falling oil, shrinking earnings estimates and concern that slowing global growth will hurt the U.S. economy led to selling. The index is down 1.8 percent for the year.                          

     The International Monetary Fund made the steepest cut to its global-growth outlook in three years, with diminished expectations almost everywhere except the U.S. more than offsetting the boost to expansion from lower oil prices.

     The world economy will grow 3.5 percent in 2015, down from the 3.8 percent pace projected in October, the IMF said in its quarterly global outlook released late Monday. It also cut its estimate for growth next year to 3.7 percent, compared with 4 percent in October.

     “Although the theme is that the U.S. is the best market out there, from a global perspective, you can’t see a slowdown in every country and expect the U.S. to stay above water,” Joe Bell, a Cincinnati-based senior equity analyst at Schaeffer’s Investment Research Inc., said in a phone interview.

     The global weakness, along with prolonged below-target inflation, is challenging policy makers across Europe and Asia to come up with fresh ways to stimulate demand more than six years after the global financial crisis.

     The ECB sets monetary policy this week as speculation grows that it will expand asset purchases. President Mario Draghi will probably announce a 550 billion-euro ($638 billion) program of quantitative easing, economists said in a Bloomberg survey.

     “The market is a little oversold here after a pretty wild January so far,” Bruce Bittles, chief investment strategist at Milwaukee-based RW Baird & Co., which oversees $110 billion, said in a phone interview. “If the ECB comes through with a strong quantitative easing strategy, that may be able to pull Europe away from the edge in terms of recession and deflation, which would ease concerns that the U.S. would succumb to slower growth as well.”

     China’s economic growth beat economists’ estimates last quarter, helping the full-year expansion remain close to the government’s target. Gross domestic product rose 7.3 percent in the three months ended December from a year earlier, the statistics bureau said in Beijing, beating the median estimate of 7.2 percent in a Bloomberg survey of analysts. The economy expanded 7.4 percent in 2014, the slowest pace since 1990.

     Later this week, investors will weigh U.S. economic reports including data on housing and manufacturing to gauge the health of the world’s largest economy.

     Netflix rose 3.4 percent during the regular session and then surged 13 percent in late trading after reporting fourth- quarter subscriber growth that exceeded its forecasts, benefiting from faster international growth and more gains in the U.S.

     Bank of America Corp. strategists lowered their estimate for S&P 500 earnings for a second time. The forecast was cut “in order to reflect lower oil and the stronger dollar,” according to the BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research report.

     Earnings per share for companies in the gauge will expand 1 percent in 2015 to $119.50, down from $124 previously and an earlier prediction of $126. The mean estimate among 18 strategists surveyed by Bloomberg was $124.83 as of Jan. 5.

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, known as the VIX, fell for a second straight day, declining 5.1 percent to 19.89.

     Seven out of 10 major groups in the S&P 500 rose today. Technology and industrial shares had the biggest advance, adding at least 0.7 percent.

     Delta rose 7.3 percent, the most since September 2013, as fourth-quarter profit beat analysts’ estimates, boosted by cheap fuel and strong demand in the U.S.

     Carriers from Southwest Airlines Co. to American Airlines Group Inc. rallied, sending the Dow Jones Transportation Average to a 1 percent gain.

     Johnson & Johnson, the world’s biggest maker of health-care products, tumbled 2.6 percent. The company is seeking to replenish its product lineup as drugs such as hepatitis C treatment Olysio and blood thinner Xarelto face new competition.                       

     Jami Rubin, an analyst at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., lowered her recommendation to sell from neutral on Jan. 15 because she sees the company bringing fewer new drugs to market this year than in previous years, she said in a note.

     Morgan Stanley lost 0.4 percent. The owner of the world’s largest brokerage reported profit that missed analysts’ estimates as fixed-income trading revenue fell to the lowest since the financial crisis.

     Financial companies are the worst-performing group in the S&P 500 so far this year, dropping 5.4 percent. Energy companies have the second-biggest decline, at 4.6 percent.

     JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Citigroup Inc. posted earnings last week that missed analysts’ estimates on bigger-than- expected drops in fixed-income trading revenue. Goldman Sachs posted its lowest full-year trading revenue since 2005.

     An S&P index of homebuilders decreased 3 percent as PulteGroup Inc., D.R. Horton Inc. and KB Home fell more than 3.4 percent.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

The universe is like an ocean in perfect equilibrium.

A wave cannot rise in one place, without creating a hollow elsewhere.

The sum total of the energy of the universe remains identical from one end to the other.

If you take from one place, you must give elsewhere.

 

Swami Vivekananda

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Forever is composed of nows.

     -Emily Dickinson, 1830-1886

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

I recently finished reading Edward Rutherford’s fabulous tome entitled Paris.  I highly recommend it.  It oscillates between La Belle Epoch and different historical periods in the history of the city of light.  It describes the building of the Eiffel tower – including one of the character’s personal involvement in building the tower – and concludes with the birth of the French resistance in the second world war.  Amazing really.  I loved it. 

Speaking of Paris, Conrad Black wrote a very moving article in the National Post on Saturday regarding the events that have taken place there recently.  Here’s an excerpt: 

“The Paris March for Unity on Sunday was one of the epochal occasions of this still-young century….Francois Hollande, an extremely unprepossessing occupant of the presidency of France, rose magnificently to the occasion.  He said that France was, above all other things, a democracy, and that there could be ‘no democracy without freedom and no freedom without freedom of the press.’  That meant that irresponsible and even malicious media, such as the targeted magazine Charlie Hebdo, must be tolerated and protected.  He referred to the attack on a kosher market the next day, a related incident in which four more people were murdered, as vile anti-Semitism, an attempted pogrom.  (The Paris special police, very experienced at dealing with terrorists, deftly rescued 15 hostages while killing the perpetrator, and killed the previous day’s attackers and took their accomplice into custody.)

  Hollande called for a march in Paris two days later.  There was no bravura, no shrill and mawkish posturing and faux patriotism.  The spirit of the appeal and of the occasion was of the utmost spontaneity and dignity;  a silent march, no speeches or additional flourishes.  Millions of Parisians joined the mighty, proud shuffling concourse from the Place de la Republique to the Place de la Nation, two miles through an adequately prosperous and ethnically varied area.  The terminal points have witnessed many dramatic moments in 225 years, as France has had two monarchies, two empires, three restorations, a directory, a consulate, three foreign occupations (including the tender mercies of the Gestapo for four years), a government in exile, several provisional governments, and five republics.  The leader of France’s imams, prominent figures in Paris’ Jewish community and many thousands of Muslims and Jews joined the great movement, along with the official representatives of 50 countries, including the leaders or foreign ministers of Algeria, the European Union, Egypt, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Israel, Italy, Jordan, the Palestinian Authority, Russia, Spain, Tunisia, Turkey, Ukraine, and the United Arab Emirates.  The bells of Notre Dame pealed for half an hour, for only the fourth time in 200 years, (the others were the ends of the World Wars and the Liberation of Paris on Aug. 26,1944, the last occasion when Parisians massed in such numbers, to acclaim General de Gaulle when he walked down the champs-Elysees)…”

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Seattle Seahawks’ Jermaine Kearse catches the game-winning touchdown pass during overtime of the NFL football NFC Championship game against the Green Bay Packers Sunday, in Seattle. Jeff Chiu/AP

Hannah Kearney from the US competes to place second in the women’s freestyle skiing single moguls final event at the Freestyle Ski and Snowboard World Championships in Kreischberg, Austria, Sunday. Darko Bandic/AP

Market Closes for January 19^th, 2015   

Market Index	Close	Change
Dow Jones	17511.57	Closed
S&P 500	2019.42	Closed
NASDAQ	4634.383	Closed
TSX	14312.50	+3.09
		+0.02%

International Markets

Market Index	Close	Change
NIKKEI	17014.29	+150.13
		+0.89%
HANG SENG	23738.49	-365.03
		-1.51%
SENSEX	28262.01	+140.12
		+0.50%
FTSE 100	6585.53	+35.26
		+0.54%

Bonds

Bonds	% Yield	Previous % Yield
CND. 10 Year Bond	1.517	1.537
CND. 30 Year Bond	2.084	2.108
U.S.    10 Year Bond	1.8368	1.7292
U.S. 30 Year Bond	2.4531	2.3725

Currencies

BOC Close	Today	Previous
Canadian $	0.83736	0.83429
US $	1.19423	1.19863
Euro Rate 1 Euro=		Inverse
Canadian $	1.38614	0.72143
US $	1.16070	0.86155

Commodities

Gold	Close	Previous
London Gold Fix	1273.75	1277.50
Oil	Close	Previous
WTI Crude Future	48.69	46.25

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks were little changed, as an advance among the nation’s largest lenders offset oil’s decline in London after Iraq said the country is producing crude at a record pace, worsening a global supply glut.

     National Bank of Canada gained 1 percent as financials rose a second day. Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp. and Lightstream Resources Ltd. declined at least 6.1 percent, the most among energy producers. Goldcorp Inc. rose 0.6 percent after agreeing to buy Probe Mines Ltd. for about C$526 million ($440 million). Bombardier Inc. slid 5.2 percent after analysts at Bank of Nova Scotia said investors should avoid the stock.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 3.09 points, or less than 0.1 percent, to 14,312.50 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The Canadian benchmark has lost 2.2 percent this year. U.S. markets are closed today for the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday.

     Pacific Rubiales lost 6.1 percent and Lightstream Resources tumbled 8.9 percent as energy shares retreated 1.1 percent, the only industry among 10 industries in the equity gauge to decline. Trading volume was 61 percent lower than the 30-day average.

     Crude prices fell from a one-week high in London. Iraq is pumping at a record pace of 4 million barrels a day, and will continue to boost exports this year amid a supply glut that’s pushed oil into a bear market, Oil Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi said at a press conference.

     Detour Gold Corp. climbed 4.6 percent as raw-materials shares advanced 0.4 percent for a third day of gains.

     Foreigners divested C$580 million in Canadian stocks in November, the first such sale in 15 months, according to data from Statistics Canada. Overseas investors bought C$4.29 billion more Canadian securities overall, led by C$4.75 billion in bond purchases, slower than October’s C$9.53 billion.

     “November was still in the early stages of negative sentiment on Canadian equities as energy price retreated,” said Avery Shenfeld, chief economist at CIBC World Markets, in a report today.

     The Shanghai Composite Index tumbled the most in more than six years as regulators cracked down on margin lending. The nation’s largest brokerages slumped after regulators introduced a three-month ban on new loans to equity traders. China is Canada’s second-largest trading partner after the U.S.

     Bombardier slumped 5.2 percent for a third day of losses. Turan Quettawala, analyst at Scotiabank, slashed the company’s rating to underperform, the equivalent of a sell. Bombardier has plunged 34 percent since halting its Learjet 85 program Jan. 15, cutting 1,000 jobs and booking $1.4 billion in pretax fourth- quarter costs.

US

Closed for Martin Luther King Day.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

The universe is the energy of the soul; and from this energy comes life, consciousness, and the elements.

The universe is the will of the soul; and from this will comes the law of cause and effect..

From the soul one became many; but in the soul many are one.

Mundaka Upanishad

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Believe that life is worth living and your belief will help create the fact.

                                                          -William James, 1842-1910

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Today is poet Robert Service’s birthday, whose indelible words are always with me:

“Ah! The clock is always slow; it is later than you think.”

Also on this day, in 1919, Prohibition took effect, outlawing the “manufacture, sale, or transportation of intoxicating liquors for beverage purposes.” It wasn’t until 1933 that the 21^st Amendment to the Constitution was passed and ratified, repealing the ban on alcohol.  The speakeasies then went out of business ha!

The Vancouver Sun featured Vancouver’s best new restaurants in 2014; they are:

-by Mia Stainsby

1. Au Comptoir, aucomptoir.ca; 2278 West 4^th Ave; 604-569-2278.
2. The Abbey, abbeyvan.com; 17 West Pender St; 604-336-7100.
3. Blacktail, blacktailflorist.ca; 332 Water ST; 604-699-0249.
4. Boulevard, restaurant_bar.htm; 845 Burrard St;604-642-2900.
5. Bufala, bufala.ca; 5395 West Boulevard; 604-267-7499.
6. Café Medina, medinacafe.com; 780 Richards St; 604-879-3114.
7. Canyon, thecanyon.ca; 3135 Edgemont Boulevard; 604-987-8812.
8. Cinara, cinara.ca; 350 West Pender St; 604-428-9694.
9. The Fat Badger, fatbadger.ca; 1616 Alberni St; 604-336-5577.

10. Jamjar, jamjaronthedrive.com; 604-252-3957.

11. My Shanti, myshanti.com; 15869 Croyden Dr; 604-560-4416.

12. Temper, temperpastry.com; 2409 Marine Dr; 604-281-1152.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

American Yoga teacher Dashama poses on a Yoga-board during a preview of the 46th International Boat Fair in Duesseldorf on Friday.Ina Fassbender/Reuters

A woman rides her electric bicycle along a street amid thick haze in Chiping county, Shandong province, China on Friday. China Daily/Reuters

Market Closes for January 16^th, 2015   

Market Index	Close	Change
Dow Jones	17511.57	+190.86
		+1.10%
S&P 500	2019.42	+26.75   +1.34%
NASDAQ	4634.383	+63.559
		+1.39%
TSX	14309.41	+267.59
		+1.91%

International Markets

Market Index	Close	Change
NIKKEI	16864.16	-244.54
		-1.43%
HANG SENG	24103.52	-247.39
		-1.02%
SENSEX	28121.89	+46.34
		+0.17%
FTSE 100	6550.27	+51.49
		+0.79%

Bonds

Bonds	% Yield	Previous % Yield
CND. 10 Year Bond	1.537	1.475
CND. 30 Year Bond	2.108	2.060
U.S.    10 Year Bond	1.8368	1.7292
U.S. 30 Year Bond	2.4531	2.3725

Currencies

BOC Close	Today	Previous
Canadian $	0.83429	0.83630
US $	1.19863	1.19575
Euro Rate 1 Euro=		Inverse
Canadian $	1.38588	0.72156
US $	1.15622	0.86489

Commodities

Gold	Close	Previous
London Gold Fix	1277.50	1259.00
Oil	Close	Previous
WTI Crude Future	48.69	46.25

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Michelle F. Davis and Eric Lam

     (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks advanced the most in a month, halting the longest slide in six weeks, as raw-materials and energy shares rose with the price of oil.

     Suncor Energy Inc. and Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. increased more than 5.2 percent as oil jumped 5.3 percent to erase a weekly loss. Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. rallied 1.8 percent after selling $1 billion of junk bonds.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index jumped 267.59 points, or 1.9 percent, to 14,309.41 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, the most since Dec. 17. The gauge fell 2.9 percent over the previous five days.

     Nine of 10 industries in the S&P/TSX rallied on trading volume 19 percent above the 30-day average.

     Energy shares advanced 5 percent, the biggest gain in four weeks, as oil capped the first weekly advance since November amid news the International Energy Agency lowered forecasts for supplies from outside OPEC and said prices could recover.

     Suncor Energy increased 5.2 percent and Canadian Natural Resources gained 8.8 percent. Surge Energy Inc. jumped 9.9 percent.

     Valeant Pharmaceuticals increased 1.8 percent after it said yesterday it sold $1 billion of junk bonds, its first sale since 2013. After being outbid last year for Allergan Inc. by Actavis Plc, Valeant Chief Executive Officer Mike Pearson said last week on a conference call he predicts a steady flow of acquisitions.

     U.S. economic data today showed consumer confidence jumped in January to the highest level in 11 years as steady job gains and plunging gas prices brightened the outlook for U.S. households.

     Capstone Mining Corp. jumped 6.5 percent, snapping a four- day losing streak, as it entered into an up to $500 million corporate credit facility with Bank of Nova Scotia and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce.

     Bombardier Inc. plunged 5.9 percent, bringing its two-day decline to 31 percent, the most since at least 1988. The air and railway technology company said yesterday it’s halting work on its Learjet 85 business aircraft, amassing $1.4 billion in pretax fourth-quarter costs and cutting jobs.

     Moody’s Investors Service placed Bombardier’s debt ratings under review for a possible downgrade due to “materially lowered” earnings and cash flow forecast for 2014. Raymond James analyst Steve Hansen today cut the company to market perform from outperform, citing concerns over its deteriorating financial position.

US

By Joseph Ciolli and Callie Bost

     (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rallied, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index advancing for the first time in six days, as gains in energy shares and a jump in consumer confidence overshadowed fallout from the Swiss currency shock.

     Eight of the 10 best performers in the S&P 500 were energy companies, as the group rebounded with oil. Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp. rallied more than 2.4 percent. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. lost 0.7 percent, declining for its sixth straight session, as it posted the lowest annual trading revenue since 2005.

     The S&P 500 rose 1.3 percent to 2,019.42 at 4 p.m. in New York, climbing above its average price for the past 100 days. The benchmark index pared its loss for the week to 1.2 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 190.86 points, or 1.1 percent, to 17,511.57. The Russell 2000 Index of smaller companies gained 1.9 percent, the most in a month. More than 7.7 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 14 percent above the three-month average. U.S. markets will be closed Monday for Martin Luther King Day.

     “Momentum is ruling the day,” Jeff Sica, president and CEO of advisory firm Circle Squared Alternative Investments, which oversees $1.5 billion, said in a phone interview. “The market is so zeroed in on oil prices right now. We’re seeing an oversold bounce amid oil momentum and optimism over ECB QE.”

     The S&P 500 slid 3.4 percent from Jan. 8 to Jan. 15, posting its second slide of five straight days after going through all of 2014 without a losing streak of more than three days. The gauge is 3.4 percent below a Dec. 29 record.

     Data today showed consumer confidence jumped in January to the highest level in 11 years as steady job gains and plunging gas prices brightened the outlook for U.S. households.

     Another report showed the cost of living declined by the most in six years amid the plunge in energy costs, increasing speculation the Federal Reserve will remain patient in its plans to raise interest rates. The biggest drop in clothing costs since 1998 combined with falling air fares and cheaper new and used cars signal the deceleration in inflation is spreading beyond energy as Japan and Europe are in or near a recession and some emerging markets cool.

     “We’ve traded with oil tick for tick all week, and until we get news from the ECB next week, that’s going to continue,” Matt Maley, an equity strategist at Miller Tabak & Co LLC in Newton, Massachusetts, said in a phone interview. “You also have more fears that it’s going to be very difficult for the economy to grow fast enough for the Fed to raise rates sooner rather than later. Expectations for a rate hike are starting to get pushed out.”                        

     All 10 groups in the S&P 500 advanced today, with energy companies rallying 3.2 percent to pace gains. Crude surged 5.3 percent as the International Energy Agency lowered forecasts for supplies from outside OPEC and said prices could recover.

     Exxon jumped 2.4 percent, while Chevron added 2.4 percent.  Newfield Exploration Co. soared 10 percent, the most in two months, while Cimarex Energy Co. surged 7.7 percent.

     U.S. stock futures fell earlier amid fallout from the Swiss currency shock. Switzerland’s central bank surprised markets Thursday by removing its cap on the franc versus the euro, sending the franc surging as much as 41 percent versus the regional currency.

     FXCM Inc., the largest U.S. retail foreign-exchange brokerage, tumbled more than 90 percent in premarket trading after saying clients owe $225 million on their accounts.

     Trading halted during the day pending an afternoon announcement that Leucadia National Corp., which owns Jefferies Group, gave FXCM a $300 million cash infusion, extending a lifeline to the currency brokerage. The transaction allows FXCM to “continue normal operations,” according to a statement.                         

     The Swiss National Bank decided to drop its currency cap, set in September 2011 to shield the economy from the euro area’s debt crisis, because it was no longer “sustainable,” central bank President Thomas Jordan said. The move is preempting possible pressure on the franc should the European Central Bank announce a government-bond purchase program, or quantitative easing, at its Jan. 22 meeting.

     ECB Executive Board member Benoit Coeure said in an interview with the Irish Times that there is no decision on quantitative easing yet though “the only thing I can say is that, for it to be efficient, it would have to be big.”

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index fell 6.4 percent to 20.95, after five days of gains. The gauge, which surged 19 percent this week, reached a one-month high yesterday.

     Yesterday was the 36th day since Oct. 7 that the S&P 500 incurred an intraday move of more than 1 percent. Such frequent spurts of volatility last hit the market in 36 of the 70 days through Sept. 10, 2012, data compiled by Bloomberg show.                        

     Investors are also assessing earnings reports to determine the impact of plunging oil on corporate profits. About 200 companies in the S&P 500 are scheduled to report earnings through the end of the month.

     Profit for companies in the gauge expanded 0.8 percent in the fourth quarter, according to analysts surveyed by Bloomberg Jan. 16. Analysts’ expectations have declined since Nov. 14, when they predicted earnings growth of 4.1 percent for S&P 500 stocks.

     Goldman Sachs dropped 0.7 percent to the lowest since October. The decline in revenue helped push fourth-quarter net income 7.1 percent lower to $2.17 billion, or $4.38 a share, from $2.33 billion, or $4.60, a year earlier.

     The three largest U.S. banks — JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. — have posted their worst combined quarterly trading revenue since 2011, led by a 23 percent drop in fixed-income, currencies and commodities, or FICC.

     Precision Castparts Corp. declined 9.1 percent, the most in six years, after reporting disappointing fiscal third-quarter earnings amid a drop in demand from the energy industry.

     Home Depot Inc. rose 3.1 percent after the company said its Chief Executive Officer Craig Menear will add the chairman role to his duties next month when Frank Blake retires on Feb. 2.
 

Have a fantastic weekend everyone!

 

Be magnificent!

The universe is not ruled by arbitrary, temporary martial law.

No force exists that is powerful enough to derail it, or to continue indefinitely on its own path unregulated,

like an outlaw who disrupts all harmony around him.  On the contrary, every force must return

to a state of equilibrium along a preordained curve.  Waves rise, each to its own level,

with an apparent attitude of relentless  rivalry, but only up to a certain point.  We can thus understand

the vast serenity of the sea, to which all the waves are connected,

and to which they must all subside in the rhythm of marvelous beauty.

 

Rabindranath Tagore

 

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

A single lie destroys a whole reputation for integrity.

                             -Baltasar Gracian, 1601-1658

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor