October 31, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Samhain: Wiccan New Year.

By Zoe Mintz, International Business Times:
Candles lit for the celebration of Samhain. Flickr

Many Wiccans, Druids and other pagans across the globe will be marking the beginning of their spiritual new year with the two-day festival of Samhain. The most widely observed pagan festival begins for most pagans on Oct. 31 — known to others as Halloween.

“At its core, Samhain is the start of winter and of the new year in the old Celtic calendar,” Jason Pitzl, a Wiccan from Eugene, Oregon, told International Business Times. “This is a time when the ancestors are honored, divinations for the new year are performed, and festivals are held in honor of the gods. It is a time of final harvest before the long winter ahead.”

Depending on geographical location, pagans celebrate Samhain at different times and in different ways. Some will choose to wait until the nearest weekend to the full moon to hold ceremonies. Others observe it a bit later, around Nov. 6, to mark the midpoint between fall equinox and winter solstice. In the southern hemisphere, Samhain takes place towards the end of April and beginning of May.

Rituals can include bonfires, dancing, feasting and ceremonies honoring ancestors and those who have died in the past year. For those unfamiliar with Samhain, below are three answers to common questions surrounding the pagan festival.

What is Samhain?

Samhain, pronounced saah-win or saa-ween, comes from the Gaelic word “Samhuin,” which means summer’s end. It is one of the eight annual Celtic festivals and one of eight “sabbats” that modern pagans celebrate in the course of the year. Paganism is an umbrella term for a movement of different nature-based religions. It is not related to Satanism or any form of devil worship.

“Samhain is the turning of the wheel. It feels almost like shutting off the lights for the evening or closing down the store for the night,” Heather Greene, the managing editor of a pagan news site, the Wild Hunt, told IBTimes. “It is time to go inward and focus on family and self.”

For many, the festival is a time to honor ancestors and those who have died in the past year. Seances are popular rituals since this is the time when the veil between this world and the spiritual one is at its thinnest, pagans believe.   

“It’s a kind of memorial day for pagan people. The strongest theme is that of remembering, honoring and paying respects to the beloved dead,” Selena Fox, a pagan priestess and co-executive director of Circle Sanctuary, a Wiccan church based in southwestern Wisconsin, told IBTimes.

Common rituals?

There are several rituals that can be practiced during Samhain. Some decide to celebrate in group settings, while others choose to perform rituals in private.

“For me, Samhain has always been a very personal festival. My own celebrations have been either as a solitary practitioner or in a group of very close friends,” Green, who has celebrated Samhain as a Wiccan for 20 years, told IBTimes.

Many rituals involve creating an altar table with objects that relate to a particular ceremony. For instance, to honor one’s ancestors, an altar can include family photos and heirlooms. A family tree, postcards and flags from that person’s country or hometown can also be used. Family members can say blessings, light candles to honor the deceased and, later, eat a meal. 

Other rituals include bonfires, divinations like tarot card readings, reflecting on the past year, meditative nature walks and commemorating the dead with a cemetery visit, telling ancestors’ stories and preparing a Feast of the Dead. The latter involves placing an empty setting at the dinner table for the deceased. Each person is meant to give an offering from their plate to the one that belongs to the deceased. A variation of this is called a “Samhain Dumb Supper” where the meal is conducted in silence.

“Typically, my family and I celebrate Samhain by having an Ancestor’s Feast. I make foods that highlight both mine and my husband’s ethnic backgrounds to honor our ancestors,” Danie Newcomb, a practicing pagan from Arkansas, told IBTimes. Her family also goes to a local cemetery to pick up trash and lay flowers. “This is a great way to show our respect for those who have passed, while also respecting the earth through cleaning the grounds,” she said.  

Jasmeine Moonsong, a Wiccan high priestess in Massachusetts, says Samhain is also a time to set plans in motion for the coming year.

“An example of this would be to write down what it is we desire in the New Year and light some candles and incense that correspond to our desires in the hopes of raising the energy to attract those things,” she told IBTimes. “A simple example would be money. If you are wishing to attract more prosperity you could light green candles, use bay leaves and burn a honeysuckle candle in the hopes of attracting more wealth in the coming year.”

What’s the difference between Samhain and Halloween?

In the eighth century, the Catholic Church decided to mark Nov. 1 as All Saints Day to honor saints and martyrs. This was in part influenced by the pagan festivals already taking place during this time of the year. The mass on All Saint’s Day was called Allhallowmas in English. As a result, the night before became known as All Hallows Eve. This eventually became the popular holiday, Halloween.

While they might take place on the same day and mark the end-of-harvest season, Samhain and Halloween have different focuses. Halloween is considered a secular folk holiday celebrated by people of all denominations. Samhain is a religious observance honoring the dead. Rituals are somber and done in private.  

While part of Samhain festivities involve a certain level of grief and mourning, there are celebrations orcéilidh (a Gaelic term) that take place. At Circle Sanctuary, a Wiccan church in Wisconsin, there’s a witch’s ball where people dress up in every version of witch imaginable. The term signifies herbalists, healers, medicine persons and shamans who lived in old European villages — not necessarily the black hat, green-faced women flying on broomsticks seen today. Although some people do dress up as those kinds of witches, Selena Fox said.

“We have a joyful evening. Some dress up outfits, sometimes in classic witch garb seen in pop culture,” Fox says, describing battery-operated wands and broomsticks she sees at the annual celebration — especially since the release of the Harry Potter books and movies. “We have some fun with it,” she said.

And…

On this day in 1926, Harry Houdini, the great escape artist, found a trap from which he couldn’t escape. Twelve days prior, speaking to a group of students in his dressing room, he commented on the strength of his stomach muscles. One of the students sought to test him, and punched him, hard. Houdini was taken off guard, and the blows actually ruptured his appendix (whether or not he was already suffering from appendicitis isn’t clear). He died on Halloween day of peritonitis.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A man in a scarecrow costume, part of a Hershey candies promotion for Halloween, walks on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Richard Drew/AP


A polar bear eats a pumpkin during a Halloween celebration in the Tiergarten Schoenbrunn zoo in Vienna. Leonhard Foeger/Reuters

Market Closes for October 31st, 2014    

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

17390.32 +194.90

 

 

+1.13%

S&P 500 2015.96

 

+21.31

 

+1.07%

 
NASDAQ 4630.742

 

 

+64.604

 

+1.41%

 
TSX 14618.92 +160.23

 

+1.11%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 16413.76 +755.56

 

+4.83%

 

HANG

SENG

23998.06 +296.02

 

+1.25%

 

SENSEX 27865.83 +519.50

 

+1.90%

 

FTSE 100 6546.47 +82.92

 

+1.28%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.047 2.047
 
 
 
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.589 2.587
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.3281 2.3058

 
 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.0582 3.0463

 
 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.88762 0.89340

 

US

$

1.12661 1.11932
 

 

     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

 

Canadian

$

 

1.41204 0.70820
US

$

 

1.25327 0.79791

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1171.96 1200.73
     
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 80.54 81.12
 
 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     Oct. 31 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, capping a third straight weekly advance, after the Bank of Japan’s surprise decision to expand its monetary stimulus program sparked a global rally in equity markets.

     Toronto-Dominion Bank and Bank of Nova Scotia advanced more than 1.1 percent to lead gains among bank shares. Kinross Gold Corp. and First Majestic Silver Corp. plunged at least 7.7 percent as gold and silver prices slumped to the lowest levels since 2010. A measure of raw-materials producers retreated to the lowest price since December 2008.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 154.63 points, or 1.1 percent, to 14,613.32 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, capping a 0.5 percent gain for the week. The index pared its second straight monthly loss to 2.3 percent. It had rallied three consecutive months before that.

     “This is where we do have an opportunity and some very healthy upside potential,” said Philip Petursson, director of director of institutional equities at Manulife Asset Management Ltd. in Toronto. His firm manages about $281 billion. “It is contingent on where commodity prices go.”

     Eight of the 10 industries in the benchmark Canadian equity gauge advanced today on trading volume 17 percent higher than the 30-day average.

     Toronto-Dominion, the largest bank in Canada, climbed 1.3 percent to a one-month high, and Bank of Nova Scotia increased 1.1 percent to C$69.02. The S&P/TSX Financials Index rallied 1.1 percent for a second straight advance.

     Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda and four of eight board members voted to raise the central bank’s annual target for enlarging the monetary base to 80 trillion yen ($723 billion) from 60 to 70 trillion yen, an increase forecast by only three of 32 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

     Air Canada, the nation’s largest airline, rose for a seventh straight day, adding 1.5 percent to a three-month high of C$9.30. The union representing the company’s pilots ratified a 10-year labor agreement.

     The Canadian economy unexpectedly shrank in August, led by a decline in oil and gas extractors. Gross domestic product decreased 0.1 percent, Statistics Canada said. The economy remains hobbled by weak exports and business investment, which Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz says are critical to building the recovery.

     Lightstream Resources Ltd. tumbled 8.3 percent to a record low of C$2.98, after reporting declining profit yesterday. The stock has slumped 22 percent in the past six days.

     Goldcorp Inc., the biggest producer of gold by market value, rose 1.7 percent to C$21.20 to erase an earlier loss and snap a two-day slide. The stock had dropped 17 percent in the prior two days after Goldcorp posted a surprise loss amid higher costs and lower-than-estimated production.

     Kinross Gold sank 12 percent to C$2.41 and First Majestic Silver dropped 7.7 percent to C$5.78. Gold futures for December delivery fell 2.3 percent and silver futures for the same month dropped as much as 4.8 percent.

     Raw-materials producers retreated 0.6 percent as a group for a third straight loss. The measure has declined 12 percent this month, the worst in more than a year.

US

By Callie Bost

     Oct. 31 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks jumped, sending benchmark indexes to records, as an unexpected boost in stimulus from the Bank of Japan spurred optimism in the global economy.

     Energy companies led gains, with Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp. each rising 2.4 percent. LinkedIn Corp. soared 13 percent after third-quarter sales exceeded estimates. GoPro Inc. jumped 13 percent after its prediction for fourth-quarter profit surpassed analysts’ projections. Starbucks Corp. fell 2.3 percent after posting disappointing quarterly revenue.

     The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index advanced 1.2 percent to 2,018.05 at 4 p.m. in New York, topping its previous all-time closing high of 2,011.36 on Sept. 18. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 195.1 points, or 1.1 percent, to 17,390.52, also an all-time high. The Nasdaq Composite Index surged 1.4 percent to the highest since March 2000.

     “The BOJ move is the icing on the cake,” said Patrick Moonen, who helps oversee $241 billion as a senior strategist at ING Investment Management. “Fundamentals are still good. Corporate earnings are better than expected, U.S. macro data came in strong and even the data in the euro zone show signs of stabilization.”

     U.S. equities joined a global rally as Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund said it will put half its holdings in local and foreign stocks, double previous levels, and invest in alternative assets. The Bank of Japan raised its annual target for monetary expansion to 80 trillion yen ($724 billion) from as much as 70 trillion yen. The Topix index soared the most in a year, leading a rally in equities around the world.

     Better-than-forecast corporate earnings and optimism in the economy helped the S&P 500 rebound after a 7.4 percent dip from Sept. 18 to Oct. 15. The gauge advanced 2.3 percent in October, extending its gain this year to 9.2 percent.

     The Russell 2000 Index rallied 6.5 percent in October for its best month since July 2013. The Dow gained 2 percent in the month and the Nasdaq Composite Index jumped 3.1 percent.

     The S&P 500 climbed 2.7 percent this week after posting its best week since January 2013 through Oct. 24. Equities rose yesterday after data showed the U.S. economy expanded faster than forecast last quarter, signaling growth is strong enough to withstand the end of Federal Reserve bond buying.

     Data today showed consumer spending in the U.S. unexpectedly dropped in September as incomes rose at the slowest pace of the year. The Institute for Supply Management-Chicago Inc.’s business barometer rose to 66.2 in October from 60.5 in the prior month, according to a report today. A reading less than 50 signals contraction.

     The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan final October index of consumer sentiment increased to 86.9 from 84.6 a month earlier.

     “When we have some positive headlines out there, the market only focuses on that aspect,”  Jonathan Corpina, senior managing partner at Meridian Equity Partners who works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, said by phone.  “Since we’ve bounced off those lows 7, 8, 9 percentage points ago, the market seems to be determined to hit new highs.”

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index fell 3.4 percent to 14.03, capping its second weekly drop since closing at the highest since June 2012 on Oct. 15. About 8.3 billion U.S. shares changed hands today, 27 percent higher than the three-month average. All 10 of the main industries in the S&P 500 advanced. Raw- materials shares climbed 1.9 percent and while technology stocks rose 1.8 percent for the biggest gains after energy companies.

     Energy shares increased 2 percent even as oil continued a selloff. Exxon surged 2.4 percent to $96.71 after unexpectedly boosting profit last quarter as lower crude prices helped its refining business.

     Chevron climbed 2.4 percent to $119.95 as third-quarter net income rose for the first time in three years. Chevron warned investors in August that full-year output will be 1 percent to 2 percent below the company’s previous estimate.

     LinkedIn gained 13 percent to $228.96. New business lines including news content boosted third-quarter revenue by 45 percent to $568.3 million. That beat the $557.7 million average forecast of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Profit excluding some costs also beat estimates.

     GoPro surged 13 percent to $77.10 after predicting fourth- quarter adjusted earnings of 65 cents to 69 cents a share. Analysts on average estimated 53 cents. The maker of cameras used in action sports also posted better-than-estimated third- quarter sales and profit, and said it will make a decision about returning cash to shareholders.

     Starbucks dropped 2.3 percent to $75.56. The world’s biggest coffee-shop chain posted fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of $4.18 billion, missing the $4.24 billion average analyst estimate, as competition intensified.
 

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

The world in its essence is the reconciliation of opposite forces.

These forces, like the right hand and left hand of the creator, act in perfect harmony,

and yet in opposite directions.

 

Rabindranath Tagore

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Eat, drink and be scary.

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

October 30, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

I’ve been away attending a couple of investment conferences in New York and then San Francisco.  I headed to the airport in San Francisco last night to catch the flight back to Victoria (so wonderful there is now the non-stop SF- Victoria flight now) and every restaurant/bar in the airport that had television set had crowds gathered in front of the screens to watch the game.  It was so exciting when the Giants won 3-2 –their third world series win in 5 years – the noise throughout the airport sounded like thunder.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

The San Francisco Giants celebrate after Game 7 of baseball’s World Series against the Kansas City Royals Wednesday night in Kansas City, Mo. The Giants won 3-2 to take the series. Jeff Roberson/AP


Hindu devotees pray while standing in the Arabian Sea as they worship the Sun god Surya during the Hindu religious festival ‘Chatt Puja’ in Mumbai, India. Hindu women fast for the whole day for the betterment of their family and the society during the festival. Danish Siddiqui/Reuters

Market Closes for October 30th, 2014    

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

17195.42 +221.11
 
 
 

+1.30%

S&P 500 1994.65

 

+12.35

 

+0.62%

 
NASDAQ 4566.137

 

 

+16.911

 

+0.37%

 
TSX 14458.69 -68.88

 

-0.47%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15658.20 +104.29

 

+0.67%

 

HANG

SENG

23702.04 -117.83

 

-0.49%

 

SENSEX 27346.33 +248.16

 

+0.92%

 

FTSE 100 6463.55 +9.68

 

+0.15%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.047 2.055
 
 
 
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.587 2.589
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.3058 2.3192
 

 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.0463 3.0526

 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.89340 0.89366

  

US

$

1.11932 1.11900
 
 
     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

 

Canadian

$

 

1.41162 0.70840
US

$

 

1.26114 0.79293

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1200.73 1211.39
     
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 81.12 82.20
 
 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     Oct. 30 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell a second day, as materials producers plunged to a six-year low after the price of gold erased its gain for 2014.

     Goldcorp Inc., the biggest producer of the precious metal by market value, tumbled 13 percent to the lowest since 2008 on missed estimates as costs rose. Yamana Gold Inc. sank 16 percent as gold futures fell below $1,200 an ounce in New York. Seven Generations Energy Ltd climbed 17 percent in its trading debut.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 68.88 points, or 0.5 percent, to 14,458.69 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, trimming its advance since a low on Oct. 15 to 4.3 percent.

     Six of the 10 industries in the benchmark Canadian equity gauge advanced today, with Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. leading health-care stocks to a 3.5 percent gain. Trading volume in Canada was in line with the 30-day average.

     The S&P/TSX Materials Index sank 5 percent, its worst performance since June 2013. Gold producers led losses. The S&P/TSX Gold Index tumbled 9.3 percent to an April 2003 low. All 24 members of the gauge retreated.

     Gold slumped as a stronger dollar cut demand after the U.S. Federal Reserve ended its asset-purchase program because of an improving labor market.

     Goldcorp dropped 13 percent to C$20.85, the lowest since 2008, after the gold producer drifted to a loss as sales declined. The company’s average so-called all-in sustaining cost was $1,066 an ounce, compared with $995 a year earlier.

     Yamana Gold Inc. plunged 16 percent to C$4.99, the lowest since November 2008, after the company reported an unexpected third-quarter loss.

     Seven Generations jumped 8.7 percent to C$19.55 after pricing its initial offering at C$18 a share to raise about C$810 million. The oil and gas explorer began preliminary trading today ahead of the deal’s expected close the week of Nov. 5.

US

By Oliver Renick

     Oct. 30 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rallied as a report showed faster-than-estimated growth in gross domestic product, fueling speculation the economy is strong enough to withstand higher interest rates.

     Visa Inc. and MasterCard Inc. added more than 9 percent each as the two largest U.S. payment networks reported results that topped estimates. Bristol-Myers Squibb Co jumped 8.9 percent after a drug improved survival rates for cancer patients. Energy shares retreated as oil resumed a selloff after U.S. production rose to the highest level since the 1980s.

     The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.6 percent to a one- month high of 1,994.65 at 4 p.m. in New York, closing within 1 percent of its last record on Sept. 18. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 221.11 points, or 1.3 percent, to 17,195.42. Visa is the Dow’s largest member by weighting. The Russell 2000 Index increased 0.8 percent and the Nasdaq Composite Index climbed 0.4 percent

     “It’s now about the economy and earnings, we’ve all over- analyzed the Fed,” Bob Doll, chief equity strategist at Nuveen Asset Management, said by phone. “Job growth has picked up and the GDP report was a little stronger than consensus and that buttresses the view that the economy’s getting a little better.  Stocks will continue to grind their way higher.”

     The computer system that carries prices for thousands of equities listed by the New York Stock Exchange malfunctioned today, sowing confusion among traders. The market operator later said the issue had been resolved.                          

     The oldest American exchange reported an “ongoing issue with the NMS SIP,” or the securities information processor for NYSE stocks, at about 1:40 p.m. in New York. Two NYSE venues were “experiencing issues publishing and receiving trades and quotes,” the alert said. A notice 10 minutes later said the markets were processing trades and quotes normally.

     The S&P 500 lost 0.1 percent yesterday after the Fed ended its quantitative easing program, indicating the U.S. economy is on a stable growth path. Officials said labor market conditions “improved somewhat further,” and that a range of indicators suggests that “underutilization of labor resources is gradually diminishing,” modifying earlier language that referred to “significant underutilization.”

     The central bank reiterated its commitment to keep interest rates low for a considerable time until inflation increases toward its goal.

     Data today showed fewer Americans filed applications for unemployment benefits over the past month than at any time in more than 14 years, a sign the strengthening U.S. economy is buoying the labor market.

     A separate report said the economy in the U.S. expanded 3.5 percent in the third quarter, capping its strongest six months in more than a decade, as gains in government spending and a shrinking trade deficit made up for a slowdown in household purchases. Economists on average had forecast growth of 3 percent.

     “The GDP number’s fine, not spectacular,” Michael Block, chief equity strategist at Rhino Trading Partners LLC in New York, said by phone. “The inflation data isn’t great and the quality of the GDP beat isn’t great as a lot of it is from government and defense spending. It adds to dovishness.”

     Concerns that Europe will slip into a recession just as Fed bond buying ends sent the S&P 500 down 7.4 percent from an all- time high of 2,011.36 in mid-September through Oct. 15. The index has rebounded and is now about 0.8 percent below its record.

     Visa jumped 10 percent, the most in three years, to a record $236.65. The world’s largest payments network reported fiscal fourth-quarter profit that beat analysts’ estimates as customer spending abroad improved. The company also said it planned to charge some U.S. banks higher card-processing fees.

     MasterCard climbed 9.4 percent to $83.13 for its biggest gain since 2011. The second-largest U.S. payments network posted third-quarter profit that beat analysts’ estimates as customer spending climbed. Net income increased 15 percent to $1.02 billion, or 87 cents a share, from $879 million, or 73 cents, a year earlier.

     Bristol-Myers added 8.9 percent to $58.98 after its experimental cancer drug Opdivo improved survival rates for late-stage lung cancer patients.

     MetLife Inc. gained 1.3 percent to $53.01. The largest U.S. life insurer reported earnings per share of $1.60, topping analysts’ estimates of $1.38, on growth in its home market, fueled by investment results.

     Level 3 Communications Inc. gained 1.8 percent to $45.41 after S&P Dow Jones Indices said the provider of integrated communications services will replace Jabil Circuit Inc. in the equity benchmark after trading ends Nov. 4.

     Avon Products Inc. plunged 9 percent after the maker of beauty products reported revenue that missed analysts’estimates. Third-quarter revenue was $2.14 billion, compared with an average estimate of $2.15 billion.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

A civilization must be judged and assessed, not by the level of power it has reached,

but by how it develops and expresses a love of humanity

through its laws and institutions.

The first and last criterion one must submit to is:

Is it recognizable, and to what level, that man is more a spirit than a machine?

Rabindranath Tagore

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Work hard, be kind, and amazing things will happen.

                                       -Conan O’Brien, 1963-

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

October 29, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Carolann is out of the office today, I will be writing the newsletter on her behalf.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Dew drops hang on a spider web in Vertou near Nantes, France. Stephane Mahe/Reuters

An opera singer, wearing a dress covered in poppies, sings during a ceremony at the King Albert I Monument in Nieuwpoort, Belgium. The ceremony commemorates the WWI 100th anniversary of the First Battle of Ypres. Geert Vanden Wijngaert/AP

Market Closes for October 29th, 2014    

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16974.31 -31.44

 

 

-0.18%

S&P 500 1982.30

 

-2.75

 

-0.14%

 
NASDAQ 4549.227

 

 

-15.068

 

-0.33%

 
TSX 14527.57 -96.68

 

-0.66%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15553.91 +224.00

 

+1.46%

 

HANG

SENG

23819.87 +299.51

 

+1.27%
 
 
SENSEX 27098.17 +217.35

 

+0.81%

 

FTSE 100 6453.87 +51.70

 

+0.81%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.055 2.029

 

CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.589 2.581
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.3192 2.2960

 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.0526 3.0678

 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.89366 0.89553
 

 

US

$

1.11900 1.11674

 

     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

 

Canadian

$

 

1.41307 0.70768
US

$

 

1.26285 0.79186

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1211.39 1228.64
     
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 82.20 81.42

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     Oct. 29 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell, after climbing to a three-week high, as financial shares and gold producers slipped after the U.S. Federal Reserve ended its asset-purchase program.

     Toronto-Dominion Bank and Royal Bank of Canada, the nation’s largest lenders, paced losses in financial shares. Barrick Gold Corp. retreated 4.9 percent to its lowest level since 1992 as gold prices fell. Teck Resources Ltd. gained 1.9 percent after boosting its forecast for zinc-concentrate production. Horizon North Logistics Inc. plunged 29 percent after earnings fell short of analysts’ expectations.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 96.68 points, or 0.7 percent, to 14,527.57 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, trimming its advance since a low on Oct. 15 to 4.7 percent.

     Eight of the 10 industries in the benchmark Canadian equity gauge declined today.

     Barrick Gold lost 4.9 percent to C$14.36, closing at its lowest level since 1992, as the gold producer prepares to report earnings after the market close. Gold futures fell, extending losses, after the central bank decision cut demand for the metal.

     The Fed maintained its pledge to keep interest rates low for a “considerable time” as it ended a quantitative easing program that added $1.66 trillion to its balance sheet. Policy makers said while inflation in the near term will probably be held down by lower energy prices, it repeated language from September that the likelihood of inflation running persistently below 2 percent has “diminished somewhat.”

     Bankers Petroleum Ltd. climbed 1.6 percent to C$4.34 and Athabasca Oil Corp. increased 0.5 percent to C$3.87. Brent crude rose to a two-week high after OPEC’s Secretary-General said the recent plunge in prices doesn’t reflect the balance between supply and demand.

US

By Oliver Renick and Jeremy Herron

     Oct. 29 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks pared declines, Treasuries retreated and the dollar rallied after the Federal Reserve confirmed it will end its asset-purchase program amid signs of a strengthening economy.

     The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slid 0.1 percent at 4 p.m. in New York. The index fell as much as 0.8 percent after the Fed’s policy statement before trimming the slide. The 10-year Treasury note yield rose three basis points to 2.32 percent. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index jumped 0.6 percent, erasing earlier losses. Gold prices headed for the biggest drop in three weeks. The New Zealand dollar retreated against its major peers after the central bank held interest rates steady.

     The Fed retained its commitment to keep interest rates low for a “considerable time” as it ended a two-day policy meeting. Officials said labor market conditions “improved somewhat further,” and that a range indicators suggests that “underutilization of labor resources is gradually diminishing,” modifying earlier language that referred to “significant underutilization.”

     “The Fed’s decision is a surefire indication that the U.S. economy is continuing to move along at a robust pace,” Chad Morganlander, a money manager at St. Louis-based Stifel Nicolaus & Co., which oversees about $160 billion, said in a telephone interview. “The liquidity program has been a major stimulant to the market, and investors will now have to readjust to the new environment.”

     Policy makers said that while inflation in the near term will probably be held down by lower energy prices, it repeated language from its September statement that “the likelihood of inflation running persistently below 2 percent has diminished somewhat.”

     Concerns that Europe will slip into a recession just as Fed bond buying ends sent the S&P 500 down 7.4 percent from an all- time high of 2,011.36 in mid-September through Oct. 15.

     The gauge then rallied 6.6 percent through yesterday after latest rally began after Fed Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said policy makers should consider delaying the end of quantitative easing.

     “Anybody who was holding out hope that QE would continue now has to throw in the towel,” Joe “JJ” Kinahan, chief strategist at TD Ameritrade Holding Corp., which oversees $666 billion in client assets, said via phone. “Just like a kid moving out for the first time, until they actually have to pay those first bills, it hasn’t really registered.”

     The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which tracks the greenback against 10 major currencies, reversed after earlier dropping 0.2 percent.

     The index was headed for its first monthly decline since June on concern slowing global growth and rising risks of disinflation will spill over into the world’s biggest economy, prompting traders to push back on their bets on the timing of the Fed’s rate increase. Policy makers have kept their key interest rate at zero to 0.25 percent since December 2008.

     Gold prices fell as the end of bond purchases cut demand for the metal as hedge against inflation. Bullion for immediate delivery dropped 1 percent to $1,215.69 an ounce in New York, heading for the biggest drop since Oct. 3. Prices touched $1,215.47, the lowest since Oct. 8.

     West Texas Intermediate gained for a second day after an Energy Information Administration report showed growth in U.S. inventories slowed. Brent climbed.

     Stockpiles rose 2.06 million barrels in the seven days ended Oct. 24, following a combined increase of 21 million in the previous three weeks, the EIA said.

     Brent touched a two-week high after OPEC’s Secretary- General said the recent plunge in prices doesn’t reflect the balance between supply and demand.

     Investors have also been watching U.S. corporate results. About 80 percent of S&P 500 companies that have posted quarterly earnings this season have topped analysts’ estimates for profit, while 60 percent beat sales projections, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

     Seven of the 10 of the main S&P 500 groups slid today, with energy and bank shares advancing at least 0.1 percent. Commodity producers sank 1.3 percent to pace losses.

     Facebook Inc. declined 6.1 percent, the most since March, after predicting the slowest revenue growth since the first quarter of 2013. Gilead Sciences Inc. slid 2.4 percent after third-quarter profit missed estimates. U.S. Steel Corp. rallied 5.1 percent after reporting better-than-expected quarterly results.

     “The economic outlook and earnings outlook still looks largely intact going forward and we’re seeing earnings come through not wildly exceeding expectations but exactly where we need them to be to drive equity markets,” Darrell Cronk, deputy chief investment officer at Wells Fargo Private Bank in New York, said by phone.

     The Stoxx Europe 600 Index closed 0.3 percent higher rising for a second day to the highest level since Oct. 7.

     Total SA rose 2.6 percent after posting third-quarter net income that beat analysts’ estimates. Deutsche Bank AG declined 1.9 percent after Germany’s biggest lender swung to a loss in the third quarter. Air France-KLM Group slid 0.5 percent after quarterly profit fell. Sanofi dropped 4.4 percent after firing its chief executive officer.

     The MSCI Emerging Markets Index pared an earlier gain to 0.9 percent.

     The Shanghai Composite Index rose for a second day, climbing 1.5 percent. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of mainland companies listed in Hong Kong jumped 1.7 percent, recover losses since protesters and police clashed outside the government’s headquarters on Sept. 26.

     The ruble weakened 1 percent to 42.8816 per dollar and bringing this month’s drop to 7.7 percent, the most among 24 developing nations.

     The slide in the face of $24 billion of interventions is stoking speculation the Bank of Russia will accelerate its switch to a free float. The central bank, which plans to stop managing the ruble in 2015, is scheduled to meet Oct. 31.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

“Strength does not come from physical capacity. It comes from an indomitable will.” Mahatma Gandhi

 

Karen


“Life is really simple, but we insist on making it complicated.” Confucius


Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

October 28, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

I am writing the Newsletter on Carolann’s behalf as she is away.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A camel herder walks his camels at Pushkar Fair in the desert Indian state of Rajasthan. Thousands of animals, mainly camels, are brought to the fair to be sold and traded. Himanshu Sharma/Reuters

Two of the dromedaries for the ‘Living Nativity’ scene in the ‘Radio City Christmas Special’ walk under the marquee of New York’s Radio City Music Hall. The show is scheduled to open Nov. 7 and continue through Dec. 31. Richard Drew/AP

Five-year-old Carter struggles to lift a pumpkin at Tulleys Farm pumpkin patch during their Halloween festival, near Crawley in southern England.  Luke MacGregor/Reuters

Market Closes for October 28th, 2014    

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

17005.75 +187.81

 

 

+1.12%
 

S&P 500 1985.05

 

+23.42

 

+1.19%

 
NASDAQ 4564.294

 

 

+78.361

 

+1.75%

 
TSX 14624.25 +155.25

 
 

+1.07%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15329.91 -58.81

 

-0.38%

 

HANG

SENG

23520.36 +377.13

 

+1.63%

 

SENSEX 26880.82 +127.92

 

+0.48%

 

FTSE 100 6402.17 +38.71

 

+0.61%

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.029 2.016
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.581 2.561
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.2960 2.2605
U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.0678 3.0368

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.89553 0.88908

 

US

$

1.11674 1.12476
 
     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

 

Canadian

$

 

1.42199 0.70324
US

$

 

1.27344 0.78528

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1228.64 1225.75
     
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 81.42 81.00

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Joseph Ciolli

     Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose to a three-week high after banks and energy producers rallied as U.S. Federal Reserve policy makers begin a two-day meeting to determine the course of stimulus.

     Toronto-Dominion Bank and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce rose at least 0.9 percent to lead financial firms higher. Westport Innovations Inc. climbed 7.2 percent, while Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. added 0.8 percent. FirstService Corp. declined 6.9 percent after reporting third-quarter earnings that fell short of analyst estimates.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index increased 155.25 points, or 1.1 percent, to 14,624.25 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, the highest  close since Oct. 8. The gauge has rallied 5.4 percent since a low on Oct. 15.

     Nine of the 10 industries in the benchmark Canadian equity gauge advanced today. Trading was 9.3 percent below the 30-day average.

     Energy producers added 2 percent to pace gains as West Texas Intermediate crude climbed 0.5 percent for the first advance in three days after touching the lowest in almost 28 months yesterday. Paramount Resources Ltd. jumped 4.2 percent to C$48.03. BlackBerry Ltd. added 2.1 percent to C$11.92, the highest in a month. Kim Kardashian shared her love for the Waterloo, Ontario-based company’s smartphone at a technology event yesterday. The reality television star praised BlackBerry’s trademark physical keyboard as the best for typing out e-mails.

     The S&P/TSX Gold Index rose 1.1 percent, erasing an earlier loss and snapping a two-day decline. Torex Gold Resources Inc. climbed 4.1 percent to C$1.54 and Semafo Inc. gained 2.9 percent to C$3.91.

     Fed policy makers begin their two-day meeting today after six weeks of volatility in global financial markets. Chair Janet Yellen and her colleagues will focus instead on a robust U.S.outlook and end their bond-buying program as planned, according to 62 of 64 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

     By smaller margins, most also expect the officials to reiterate rates will stay low for a “considerable time” and that there’s a “significant underutilization of labor resources.”

US

By Oliver Renick and Jeremy Herron

     Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rallied, pushing the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to within 1.5 percent of a record, after corporate results topped estimates and consumer confidence surged as Federal Reserve officials start a two-day meeting. The dollar retreated with Treasuries.

     The S&P 500 Index rose 1.2 percent to a one-month high at 4 p.m. in New York, while the Russell 2000 Index of small companies surged 2.9 percent for its best day since June 2012.The Stoxx Europe 600 Index climbed 1 percent after two days of losses. Emerging market shares surged the most in 11 months as Brazil rebounded. Benchmark 10-year note yields rose three basis points to 2.28 percent. Copper added 0.9 percent. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index dropped 0.3 percent.

     Confidence among U.S. consumers rose in October to a seven- month high as gasoline prices dropped and the job market improved. Separate data showed durable goods orders unexpectedly fell in September and a gauge of home prices showed slower growth. The Fed is on pace to end its monthly bond-buying and leave its key interest rate unchanged near zero, according to Bloomberg surveys of analysts. Facebook Inc. is among U.S.companies scheduled to release earnings.

     “There’s a continued slew of earnings and the numbers overall are good,” Mark Kepner, an equity trader at Chatham, New Jersey-based Themis Trading LLC, said by phone. “Consumer confidence was a strong number, seeing those sub-$3 gasoline prices is exciting for consumers. What’s happening is you start to think about what $80 oil means and what that means for future earnings.” The S&P 500 has rebounded 6.6 percent since a low on Oct.15 amid better-than-expected earnings and signs of a strengthening economy even as the Fed prepares to end its bond purchases.

     About 80 percent of S&P 500 companies that have posted quarterly earnings this season have topped analysts’ estimates for profit, while 61 percent beat sales projections, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

     Some of the biggest decliners in the selloff that began Sept. 19 led gains today. The Dow Jones Transportation Average jumped 1.5 percent for its 10th gain in 11 sessions. The gauge has advanced 13 percent since Oct. 13 to an all-time high.

     The Russell 2000’s gain today pushed its rally from an Oct.13 low to 9.5 percent. The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index surged 1.3 percent to a record.

     Industrial shares and energy producers paced gains among the 10 main S&P 500 groups today with advances of at least 1.7 percent.

     Parker-Hannifin Corp. jumped 4.9 percent after raising the low end of its profit estimate. Amgen Inc. rose 6.1 percent after the maker of arthritis treatment Enbrel raised its 2014 forecast. Twitter Inc. sank 9.8 percent after reporting another quarter of decelerating growth.

     Yahoo! Inc. surged 2.6 percent for a ninth straight gain, the longest rally since 2006. The stock has gained 21 percent during the streak to close at the highest since September 2000. West Texas Intermediate crude rose for the first time in three days after futures touched $79.44 yesterday, the lowest intraday level since June 29, 2012. Prices have slipped 11 percent this month on signs that global oil production is growing faster than demand for fuel.

     The Conference Board’s confidence index climbed to 94.5 this month, the highest since October 2007, from a September reading of 89 that was stronger than initially estimated.

     “The consumer really has the wind at their backs,” Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York, said before the report. “The consumer at this point seems to have the wherewithal to power the economy forward.”

     Fed policy makers began their two-day policy meeting today and will end their bond-buying program as planned, according to 62 of 64 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. By smaller margins, most also expect the officials to reiterate rates will stay low for a “considerable time” and that there’s a “significant underutilization of labor resources.” Minutes from the last meeting showed officials expressed concern that U.S. growth may be at risk from a global slowdown.

     Durable goods orders dropped for a second month, on waning demand for machinery and computers that signals companies are reluctant to invest in updating equipment. The S&P/Case-Shiller index of property values rose at a weaker pace in the year ended in August as borrowing standards remain tight and wage gains fail to accelerate.

     “The Fed meeting takes priority for the moment,” Neil Grossman, the St. Petersburg, Florida-based chief investment officer at Tkng Capital Partners, said in a phone interview. “Durables were weak and overall those numbers are down, but in the bigger scheme of things with everything going on, it’s marginal. They’re on track to normalize rates.”

     In Europe, all but one of the 19 industry groups in the Stoxx 600 gained as the gauge advanced for the first time in three days. Novartis AG, the world’s biggest drugmaker by sales, climbed 1.9 percent and Roche Holding AG gained 0.6 percent. UBS AG added 5.5 percent as Switzerland’s biggest bank set aside1.84 billion Swiss francs ($1.94 billion) for litigation provisions, easing investor concern about the future cost of legal challenges.

     The MSCI Emerging Markets Index climbed 1.6 percent, the most since November, as Brazil’s Ibovespa rebounded 3.6 percent after President Dilma Rousseff’s re-election sent valuations to a six-month low.

     The real strengthened 1.5 percent versus the dollar on speculation its drop yesterday was excessive.

     The Micex rose 1.5 percent, advancing for a third day, as Russia’s acceptance of the outcome of Ukraine’s weekend elections increased bets sanctions will be relaxed. Gauges of Chinese shares rallied more than 2 percent after industrial profits increased and President Xi Jinping signaled a nationwide  expansion of free-trade zones.

     The Shanghai Composite Index halted a five-day losing streak, climbing 2.1 percent. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of mainland companies listed in Hong Kong surged 2.4 percent, the most in seven weeks. Taiwan’s Taiex jumped 1.7 percent.

     The dollar dropped 0.4 percent to $1.2756 per euro. It rose 0.3 percent to 108.14 yen. Japan’s currency fell 0.6 percent to 137.71 per euro.

     Sweden’s currency dropped at least 0.1 percent against all of its 16 major counterparts following the central bank’s decision to cut interest rates.

     Gold futures rose less than 0.1 percent to settle at $1,229.40 an ounce in New York as investors awaited the conclusion of the Fed’s meeting. The metal earlier fell to a two-week low.

     Bullion rebounded as much as 6.1 from this year’s low reached on Oct. 6 after the Fed cited slowing foreign economies as a risk to the U.S.

     Traders have cut the probability the central bank will raise borrowing costs by October 2015 to a 49 percent chance from 79 percent odds on Sept.30. Rising interest rates reduce gold’s allure because the metal generally only offers investors returns through price gains.

     U.S. crude stockpiles probably expanded to the highest level since July last week, a Bloomberg News survey showed before a government report tomorrow. Prices have slumped about 25 percent since June.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

“The Pleasures of love are always in proportion to our fears.” – Stendhal

Be magnificent!
 

“Never Mistake Activity for Achievement.” – John Wooden

As ever,

 

Brianna

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

October 27, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

I will be writing the Newsletter on Carolann’s behalf as she is away. 

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A man dressed as a woman, carries a pig’s head on a platter balanced on his head during the celebration of “Torovenado,” in honor of Masaya’s patron saint, San Jeronimo, in Masaya, Nicaragua, Sunday. The “Torovenado” is a satirical dance festival that ridicules social and political characters since the early years of the Spanish conquest. Esteban Felix/AP

Andy Murray and Tommy Robredo play at the ATP 500 World Tour Valencia Open tennis tournament at the agora building of the Ciudad de las Artes y las Ciencias in Valencia, Spain, Sunday. Alberto Saiz/AP

Market Closes for October 27th, 2014    

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16817.94 +12.53

 

 

+0.07%

S&P 500 1961.63

 

-2.95

 

-0.15%

 
NASDAQ 4485.934

 

 

+2.218

 

+0.05%

 
TSX 14469 -74.82

 
 

-.051%
 
 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15388.72 97.08

 

+0.63%
 
 
HANG

SENG

23143.23 158.97
 
 
-0.68%
 
 
SENSEX 26752.90 -98.15
 
 
-0.37%
 
 
FTSE 100 6363.46 -25.27
 
-0.40%
 
 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.016 2.014
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.561 2.562
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.2605 2.2623
U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.0368 3.0352

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.88908 0.89033

 

US

$

1.12476 1.12317
 
     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

 

Canadian

$

 

1.42827 0.70015
US

$

 

1.26984 0.78750

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1225.75 1230.75
     
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 81.00 81.26

 

 Market Commentary:

Canada

By Joseph Ciolli and Eric Lam

     Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell, snapping a two-day gain, as commodity producers sank with the price of oil as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. joined other banks in lowering price forecasts.

     Energy stocks decreased the most in the benchmark index as Bankers Petroleum Ltd. and Calfrac Well Services Ltd. sank at least 8 percent. Materials producers declined, with Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. and Argonaut Gold Inc. slipping more than 4.5 percent amid falling gold and silver prices. Precision Drilling Corp. dropped to a more than 15-month low after reporting third- quarter sales that fell short of analyst estimates.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index decreased 74.82 points, or 0.5 percent, to 14,469 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The gauge has rallied 6.2 percent this year.

     Four of the 10 industries in the benchmark Canadian equity gauge declined today. Energy producers plunged 2.1 percent as Brent crude fell for a second day and West Texas Intermediate traded near a June 2012 low after Goldman Sachs lowered its price forecast amid concern supplies are outpacing demand.

     The S&P/TSX Gold Index fell 1.6 percent for a fourth drop in five days, as gold futures settled 0.2 percent lower. Argonaut Gold decreased 4.6 percent to C$3.15, while Barrick Gold Corp. fell 1.5 percent to C$14.96. Fortuna Silver Mines slumped 6.9 percent to C$4.88, the most in a month, as silver lost 0.1 percent in New York.

     Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. plunged 8.1 percent to C$8.85 for a third decline in four days. The financial services company has slumped 21 percent in October for a third monthly decline, the worst streak in two years.

     Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. rose 1.1 percent to C$146.84, the highest in a month, after the drugmaker said it’s prepared to raise its hostile takeover bid for Allergan Inc. to at least $200 a share.

US

By Lu Wang

     Oct. 27 (Bloomberg) — The speed of the rebound in U.S. stocks from the biggest selloff in three years is giving  Laszlo Birinyi confidence in his forecast for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to reach 2,100 by year-end.

     The benchmark gauge jumped 5.5 percent over the eight days through Oct. 24, recouping about 70 percent of its losses over the previous 27 days, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Since March 2009, declines of 5 percent or more have lasted 26 days and it took median 24 days to fully recover from the retreats, the data show.

     Leading the rebound are Caterpillar Inc., 3M Co. and Delta Air Lines Inc., companies whose earnings are more tied to economic expansion. To Birinyi, president of Birinyi Associates Inc. and one of the earliest bulls of the 5 1/2-year bull market, those gains signal genuine investment, not just short sellers buying back stock they’d borrowed and sold.

     “I was surprised by the intensity of the rally,” Birinyi said in a phone interview on Oct. 24. “If you look at stocks like 3M, Caterpillar, the market is saying that maybe we finally reach the tipping point of real growth, instead of tepid growth.

It’s not just the social network and some of the other stocks which are more speculative.”

     “These are real investors, rather than just somebody trying to cover their short,” he said. “That’s encouraging.”

The S&P 500 last week rallied the most since January 2013, halting a four-week slide amid better-than-estimated earnings and data signaling a strengthening economy. Shares of Peoria, Illinois-based Caterpillar jumped 4.6 percent last week, while 3M, based in St Paul, Minnesota, surged 8.1 percent.

     U.S. stocks fell today, with the S&P 500 slipping 0.2 percent to 1,961.63 at 4 p.m. in New York, as lower oil prices weighed on energy producers.

     The Dow Jones Transportation Average added 0.7 percent today, posting its ninth gain in 10 days. Airline stocks rallied in the past two weeks as Delta, American Airlines and United Airlines beat profit estimates with a boost from higher fares and falling fuel prices.

     Concerns that Europe will slip into a recession just as Federal Reserve bond buying ends sent the S&P 500 down 7.4 percent from an all-time high of 2,011.36 in mid-September.Speculation that Ebola is spreading, concern about the health of the global economy and selling by hedge funds drove the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index above 26 on Oct. 15, a two-year high.

     Birinyi said that while he wasn’t sure about the reason for the selloff, his firm didn’t cut equity holdings. His year-end forecast for the S&P 500 represents about a 7 percent gain from the recent levels.

     “Sometimes you just have to take a rest,” Birinyi said. “We never stopped being bullish. I’ve felt all along this is going to be a very strong, very long bull market, and it’s even longer perhaps than I would have expected.”

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

“If you want to be found, stand where the seeker seeks.” – Sidney Lanier

Be magnificent!

“The excellence of a gift lies in its appropriateness rather than its value.” – Charles Dudley Warner

As ever,

 Brianna

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

October 24, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Carolann is out of the office today, I will be writing the newsletter on her behalf.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Lightning strikes over Lycabettus hill in Athens. A fierce storm wreaked havoc in Athens as it uprooted trees, swept cars and flooded basements and streets. The torrential downpour in Greece’s capital turned streets into rivers trapping commuters in their vehicles and overturning parked cars. In some districts, cars were seen stacked one on top of another as the deluge swept them away. Alkis Konstantinidis/Reuters


Visitors sit inside a sculpture titled ‘We’re Frying Out Here’ created by artist Andrew Hankin at Sculpture By The Sea, in Sydney, Australia. Sculptures created by 109 artists from 16 countries, are displayed across the coastal area of Sydney. Rob Griffith/AP

Market Closes for October 24th, 2014    

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16805.41 +127.51

 

 

+0.76%

S&P 500 1964.58

 

+13.76

 

+0.71%

 
NASDAQ 4483.75

 

 

+30.923

 

+0.69%

 
TSX 14543.82 +56.99

 

+0.39%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15291.64 +152.68

 

+1.01%

 

HANG

SENG

23302.20 -30.98

 

-0.13%

 

SENSEX 26851.05 +63.82

 

+0.24%

 

FTSE 100 6388.73 -30.42

 

-0.47%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.014 2.002

 
 

CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.562 2.560
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.2623 2.2748

 
 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.0352 3.0463

 
 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.89033 0.89037

 
 

US

$

1.12317 1.12312

 
 

     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

 

Canadian

$

 

1.42314 0.70267
US

$

 

1.26707 0.78922

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1230.75 1232.08
     
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 81.26 82.34

  

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     Oct. 24 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose a second day, capping its best weekly gain since July 2013, as Agrium Inc. paced gains in the benchmark index, offsetting a decline among oil producers.

     Agrium jumped 7.6 percent, the most in five years, after activist investor VA Partners disclosed a stake in the fertilizer company. Corus Entertainment Inc. sank 7.6 percent after analysts at Canaccord Genuity Corp. and National Bank of Canada cut their ratings for the stock due to an earnings miss. Athabasca Oil Corp. and Bellatrix Exploration Ltd. dropped more than 4.2 percent to pace declines among energy shares.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 56.99 points, or 0.4 percent, to 14,543.82 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark equity gauge rallied 2.2 percent this week, for a second straight gain after six weeks of declines. Trading volume today was 32 percent below the 30-day average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

     The S&P/TSX trades at 18.5 times reported earnings, down from a peak of 21 set in June, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

     Nine of the 10 main groups in the equity benchmark advanced. Materials producers rallied 1.1 percent, while consumer-staples stocks paced gains with 2.5 percent rally. Loblaw Cos. Ltd. climbed 4 percent to C$56.71 after being raised to an “action list buy” at TD Securities.

     Corus sank 7.6 percent to C$21.51 for a fourth straight decline that left it at the lowest since February 2012. The media company yesterday reported fourth-quarter earnings short of analysts’ forecasts.

     Athabasca Oil sank 3.3 percent to C$4.17 and Bellatrix Exploration retreated 4.2 percent to C$5.48 as energy shares declined 0.6 percent as a group.

     West Texas Intermediate fell following the biggest gain since September and Brent crude slid in London amid speculation a drop in Saudi Arabian oil supplies isn’t a signal that OPEC’s largest producer has decided to cut production.

     MTY Food Group Inc. rose 0.8 percent to C$30.32 after agreeing yesterday to acquire the assets of a group of companies operating the Manchu Wok, Wasabi Grill & Noodle and SenseAsian brands in Canada and the U.S. for C$7.9 million.

US

By Oliver Renick

     Oct. 24 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index capping its best week since 2013, as companies from Procter & Gamble Co. to Microsoft Corp. climbed after reporting earnings.

     P&G added 2.3 percent after saying it would exit its Duracell battery business. Microsoft gained 2.5 percent as quarterly sales topped estimates on cloud-computing growth. SodaStream International Ltd. surged 15 percent after a report that it is testing PepsiCo Inc. brands. Amazon.com Inc. slid 8.3 percent after posting the biggest quarterly net loss since at least 2003.

     The S&P 500 added 0.7 percent to 1,964.57 at 4 p.m. in New York. The equity rallied 4.1percent this week, the most since January 2013. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 127.51 points, or 0.8 percent, to 16,805.41.

     “Earnings have been very good,” Mark Spellman, a portfolio manager who helps oversee $4.3 billion at Alpine Funds in Purchase, New York, said by phone. “A large part of this market rise since the decline has been on the idea the Fed will be here to protect you.”

     Markets started to turn around on Oct. 16 after St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard said policy makers should consider delaying the end of quantitative easing. The S&P 500 is up more than 5 percent since then, recouping about half of the drop since its record in mid-September.

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index slid 1.4 percent to 16.30 today. The gauge known as the VIX has fallen 38 percent since the S&P touched a 6-month low on Oct. 15.

     Health-care shares added 1.4 percent, the biggest gain among the 10 main industries in the S&P 500. A New York City doctor tested positive for Ebola after returning from aid work in West Africa.

     Almost 80 percent of S&P 500 companies that have released results this season beat profit projections, while 61 percent surpassed revenue estimates.

     P&G gained 2.3 percent to $85.16. The company said it would exit Duracell, preferably by splitting the business into a standalone company and giving shareholders the option of exchanging P&G shares for stock in the new entity.

     Microsoft climbed 2.5 percent to $46.13. Revenue at the ailing Nokia handset business, which Microsoft acquired earlier this year, also topped projections, while sales of Azure cloud software and Web-based versions of Office programs more than doubled.

     United Parcel Service Inc. advanced 0.1 percent to $100.59 after profit beat estimates. The company said it expects shipments during December to climb 11 percent. FedEx this week forecast record shipments of packages between Black Friday and Christmas Eve, an 8.8 percent increase from last year, as e- commerce hits a peak.

     SodaStream surged 15 percent to $24.45, the most since May 2012, after industry newsletter Beverage Digest said the company plans to test PepsiCo-branded products.

     Amazon shares lost 8.3 percent to $287.06, the lowest since August 2013. The online retailer forecast sales and profit for the fourth quarter that missed analysts’ projections. That puts Amazon on track to lose an estimated $40.5 million for the year, which would be the company’s largest annual loss in 12 years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

     Pandora Media Inc. plunged 13 percent to $20, the lowest in a year. The largest Internet radio service reported user growth slowed to 5.2 percent in the third quarter.

 

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

“Put your heart, mind, and soul into even your smallest acts. This is the secret of success.” Swami Sivananda 

 

Karen

“The measure of who we are is what we do with what we have”. Vince Lombardi

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

October 23, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Caught Gordon Lightfoot’s concert at the Royal last night….he’s performing  a second show there  tonight and there are apparently still a few tickets available. He is in Vancouver on Saturday night as the Canadian part of his tour takes off.  What an amazing talent he is – such a prolific songwriter and musician.  A living legend really.  Gary used to play guitar with some bandmates in bars and coffee houses during medical school to try to make some money and they were big fans of Lightfoot – his music composing most of their repertoire and so, I’ve listened to him play guitar and sing mostly Lightfoot all our married years together.   So when I read he was going to be touring, I was on the phone as soon as the ticket office opened.  Glad I did – it was a memorable evening.  It’s amazing that at 75 years old, Lightfoot can effortlessly remember all the lyrics still.

  We learned recently that one of the guys Gary grew up with – who became a really successful commercial developer in Ontario and always kept in touch with us, visiting Victoria with his wife and kids , has been recently diagnosed with beginning stage of Alzheimer’s at the prime of his life.   Forgetting things etc. led to the diagnosis.  So, I wanted to share something with you that I came across recently:

Low Vitamin D and Dementia

  Low vitamin D is associated with an increased risk of Alzheimer’s disease and other forms of dementia, according to a new report, though whether low vitamin D is a cause of the disorders remains unknown.

  The scientists measured blood levels of vitamin D in 1,658 men and women with an average age of 73 (Gary’s friend is much younger than this) and without dementia at the start of the study.  Over an average follow-up of more than five years, 171 developed dementia.

  The study, published online in the journal Neurology, controlled for many dementia risk factors, including age, education, sex, body mass index, smoking, alcohol use, diabetes and hypertension.  It found that compared with those who had vitamin D levels of 50 or more nanomoles per liter, those with levels of 25 to 50 had a 53 percent increased risk for Alzheimer’s.  People with readings of 25 or less were more than twice as likely to have Alzheimer’s or another form of dementia.

  There is little agreement on the ideal vitamin D level,  but according to the National Institutes of Health, levels below 50 are inadequate.

  “These are exciting and suggestive results, but they’re only observational,” said a co-author, Iain A. Lang, a senior lecturer at the University of Exeter in England.

  “We can’t say anything about whether people should be supplementing, because that’s beyond the scope of what we looked at.”

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Tenements housing mostly fishermen’s families are illuminated with lights to celebrate Diwali in Mumbai, India. Diwali, the festival of lights, is one of Hinduism’s most important festivals dedicated to the worship of Lakshmi, the Hindu goddess of wealth. Rafiq Maqbool/AP


A shopping cart presentation is among Judith Scott’s cocoon-like sculptures installed at the Brooklyn Museum in New York. Scott, who is a deaf mute, and who was born with Down syndrome, was in her 40’s when she began creating intricate sculptures of yarn, fabric, and other fibers tightly wrapped around an array of found objects. The exhibition opens Friday and runs through March 29. Bebeto Matthews/AP

Market Closes for October 23rd, 2014    

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16677.90 +216.58

 

 

+1.32%

S&P 500 1950.82

 

+23.71

 

+1.23%

 
NASDAQ 4452.793

 

 

+69.946

 

+1.60%

 
TSX 14486.83 +174.76

 

+1.22%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15138.96 -56.81

 

-0.37%

 

HANG

SENG

23333.18 -70.79

 

-0.30%

 

SENSEX 26851.05 +63.82

 

+0.24%

 

FTSE 100 6419.15 +19.42

 

+0.30%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

2.002 1.964
 
 
 
CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.560 2.533
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.2748 2.2181
 

 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

3.0463 2.9927
 

 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.89037 0.88996

 

US

$

1.12312 1.12365
 

 

     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

 

Canadian

$

 

1.42052 0.70397
US

$

 

1.26479 0.79064

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1232.08 1241.21
     
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 82.34 81.42

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     Oct. 23 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rallied, after slumping the most in 16 months yesterday amid a shooting in the nation’s capital, as energy producers rebounded with oil.

     Penn West Petroleum Ltd. climbed 3.4 percent after agreeing to sell non-core assets to a private company. Bankers Petroleum Ltd. and Surge Energy Inc. jumped at least 3.6 percent as energy shares rallied more than 2 percent as a group. Bombardier Inc. and Air Canada surged more than 3.7 percent to pace gains among industrial shares. Rogers Communications Inc. lost 1.5 percent after posting third-quarter earnings that fell short of expectations.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index climbed 174.76 points, or 1.2 percent, to 14,486.83 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The Canadian benchmark equity gauge plunged 1.6 percent yesterday, halting a four-day advance, after a shooting on Parliament Hill in Ottawa that left two people dead.

     Trading volume today was 2.8 percent below the 30-day average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

     The S&P/TSX trades at 18.4 times reported earnings, down from a peak of 21 set in June, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

     Nine of the 10 main groups in the equity benchmark advanced, led by energy and industrial shares.

     Penn West Petroleum climbed 3.4 percent to C$5.50 after agreeing to sell assets in south central Alberta to an unidentified private company for about C$355 million. The assets currently produce about 7,500 barrels of oil equivalent a day.

     Cenovus Energy Inc. jumped 6.5 percent to C$27.97, its biggest ever increase, after the company’s third-quarter earnings beat analysts’ estimates, helped by added oil-sands production.

     Bankers Petroleum gained 4.3 percent to C$4.64 and Surge Energy rose 3.6 percent to C$6.57. The S&P/TSX Energy Index added 2.1 percent.

     West Texas Intermediate rose from a two-year low and Brent crude advanced the most in four months. Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest crude exporter, cut September supply to clients by 328,000 barrels a day to 9.36 million, according to a person familiar with the country’s policy.

US

By Callie Bost

     Oct. 23 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rallied, recovering from yesterday’s loss, as earnings from Caterpillar Inc. to 3M Co. exceeded analysts’ estimates and data signaled stronger growth in the European economy.

     Benchmark indexes pared gains following a New York Post report that a doctor who had been treating Ebola patients in Africa was rushed to a New York hospital with symptoms of the virus. The paper cited unnamed sources.

     Caterpillar, the largest construction equipment maker, added 5 percent after raising its full-year earnings forecast amid higher sales of construction machinery in North America. 3M climbed 4.4 percent as the maker of Post-it notes boosted sales in all of its businesses. Tractor Supply Co. surged 16 percent, the most in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, after increasing its profit forecast. Amazon.com Inc. sank 10 percent in late trading after its earnings and forecast missed estimates.

     The S&P 500 gained 1.2 percent to 1,950.82 at 4 p.m. in New York after earlier surging as much as 1.8 percent. The index recouped losses from yesterday, when it slid 0.7 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 216.58 points, or 1.3 percent, to 16,677.9 today, erasing its loss for the year. The Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 1.6 percent.

     “We’re seeing some peace here in earnings and better macro data, which is helping to fuel investor confidence,” Alan Gayle, who helps oversee $45 billion as director of asset allocation for RidgeWorth Investments in Atlanta, said by phone. “That trend in jobless claims suggests we are going to see another good job increase for October.”

     The S&P 500 has risen five times in the past six days, pushing the gauge up 4.7 percent since Oct. 15 and recouping about half the losses from a selloff that began in mid- September. The equity benchmark is still down 3 percent from a record.

     Economic data today suggested the euro-area economy may have moved one step away from another recession. A Purchasing Managers’ Index showed manufacturing in the region unexpectedly grew this month, while Spain’s economy showed signs of a further recovery, with third-quarter unemployment dropping to the lowest level since 2011. In Germany, factories rebounded from a slump in September.

     Fewer Americans filed applications for unemployment benefits over the past month than at any time in 14 years as an improving economy prompted employers to hold on to staff. The four-week average of jobless claims, a less-volatile measure than the weekly figure, dropped to 281,000, the lowest since May 2000, from 284,000 the week before, a Labor Department report showed.

    The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index dropped 7.5 percent to 16.53. About 7.1 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 13 percent higher than the three-month average.

     Eight of 10 main industries in the S&P 500 rose. Industrials jumped 2.2 percent, while energy shares advanced 1.8 percent. Phone companies slid 1.2 percent.

     Caterpillar rallied 5 percent to $99.27. The improvement in office and commercial construction in North America, and the gradual pickup in residential activity, is boosting demand for the company’s excavators and bulldozers.

     “The Caterpillar earnings were really good,” Joe “JJ” Kinahan, chief strategist at TD Ameritrade Holding Corp., which oversees $666 billion in client assets, said in a phone interview. “It’s hard not to be optimistic on this market if we close above 1,950. If we get above 1,950, we’re in general striking distance of all-time highs again.”

     3M increased 4.4 percent to $145.05. Since taking over in 2012, Chief Executive Officer Inge Thulin has emphasized international growth that now accounts for about two-thirds of sales. Revenue rose in all units, led by a 4.7 percent gain in the health-care business.

     Tractor Supply soared 16 percent to $71. The farm supplies retailer reported higher-than-estimated earnings and analysts at Raymond James Financial Inc. told clients to buy the shares.

     Parker Hannifin Corp. surged 6.6 percent to $116.39. The company yesterday boosted its quarterly dividend and announced plans to buy back as many as 35 million shares. The stock has increased 11 percent since Oct. 17, poised for the biggest weekly gain in three years.

     Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. jumped 3.1 percent to $94.45, an all-time high. Shares of the Chinese e-commerce company have climbed 39 percent since it raised a record $25 billion in an initial public offering last month.

     Yelp Inc. plunged 19 percent to $57.17, the biggest drop since the company went public in 2012. The local-reviews company said yesterday that fourth-quarter revenue would be $107 million to $108 million, below the $111 million estimated on average by analysts, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

     AT&T Inc. slumped 2.4 percent to $33.66. The second-largest U.S. wireless carrier missed profit estimates and cut its sales forecast for 2014 as promotions and price cuts took a toll.

     Amazon.com sank 11 percent to $279.87 in late trading. The company forecast sales and profit for the holiday quarter that missed analysts’ projections, underlining the limits to Chief Executive Officer Jeff Bezos’s strategy of spending big to fuel growth. The stock was little changed during the regular session.

     “The fundamental focus is on earnings,” Leo Grohowski, chief investment officer at New York-based BNY Mellon Wealth Management, which oversees about $187 billion, said in a phone interview. “The bigger picture fear of global growth slowdown is going to remain with us. That’s going to prevent any meaningful market appreciation. Investors should be prepared for a choppy ride.”

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

True civilization does not mean congregating in cities and living a foolish life,

but going Godward, controlling the senses, and thus becoming the ruler in this house of the Self.

Swami Vivekananda

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Roots are not in landscape or a country, or a people, they are inside you.

                                                                -Isabel Allende, 1942-

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

October 22, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

The Economist recently published comments made by selected persons to whom the  question was posed:  What is the point?

The novelist, Philip Pullman answered:

  Here we are, alive and conscious, in a universe that seems to be made of material things like atoms and quarks and Higgs bosons and so on, which  are undoubtedly there but possess enigmatic, ghostlike properties that are hard to grasp, such as entanglement and the wave/particle duality.  What are we to make of it all?

  I start with consciousness.  I am certainly conscious, and I’m equally certainly made of matter; so I conclude that matter is capable of consciousness, and there’s no need to make up a thing called a soul to do the consciousness while the dull, inert, clod-like body does the carrying around.  I’m certain that animals are conscious, and I see no reason to deny a form of consciousness to plants too.  Don’t they sense where the sun is, and turn towards it?

  Humans and animals and plants are alive, though.  Perhaps consciousness depends on being alive, and not just on existing.  Surely stone, air and water aren’t conscious?

  I’m not so sure.  It’s not hard to imagine that consciousness might be a normal property of matter, like mass.  Thanks to the Higgs boson and its associated field, we  now know how mass exists.  Maybe there’s another field and another particle, as yet unsuspected, which deal with consciousness.  Maybe what we call dark matter and dark energy are aspects of that very field.  Or maybe not.  But when by chance complex structures like the human brain evolve, consciousness is able to think about itself, and reason, and imagine, and empathise.

  That sort of self-reflexive consciousness is a good thing.  The more of it there is, the better we’re able to understand and create and be kind.  So here I come to what the point is:  the point is to bring about more consciousness.  By teaching, or doing mathematics or science or philosophy, or writing novels and poems, or making music, or painting picture, or studying history, or healing the sick, or bringing up our children to be generous and kind, we leave the universe a little more conscious than we found it.  And that’s the point.

Ann Wroe, Biographer & Obituarist:  The point is love.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

Passengers ride in a bus past a brightly-painted building in the King’s Cross area of central London. Toby Melville/Reuters


People visit the Great Temple of Ramses II to observe the sun sending a beam of light into the ancient temple’s dark inner chamber for ten minutes, in Abu Simbel, Egypt. Hundreds of people visited the temple to watch the sun illuminate the colossal statues, a rare 3,200-year-old astronomical ceremony that happens twice a year. Ibrahim Zayed/AP


At dawn, a stag stands in the long grass in Richmond Park, London, as the rutting season is in full swing. The rut, or breeding season, occurs in Britain from the end of September through November when stags compete by engaging in elaborate displays of dominance. Anthony Devlin/PA/AP

Market Closes for October 22nd, 2014    

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16461.32 -153.49
 
 
 

-0.92%

S&P 500 1927.11

 

-14.17

 

-0.73%

 
NASDAQ 4382.848

 

 

-36.631

 

-0.83%

 
TSX 14312.07 -235.64

 

-1.62%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15195.77 +391.49
 
 
+2.64%
 
 
HANG

SENG

23403.97 +315.39
 
 
+1.37%
 
 
SENSEX 26787.23 +211.58
 
 
+0.80%
 
 
FTSE 100 6399.73 +27.40
 
 
+0.43%
 
 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.964 1.966
 

 

CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.533 2.541
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.2181 2.2217

 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.9927 2.9943

 
 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.88996 0.89085
 
 
US

$

1.12365 1.12253
 
 
     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

 

Canadian

$

 

1.42092 0.70377
US

$

 

1.26456 0.79079

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1241.21 1248.69
     
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 81.42 82.81

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Joseph Ciolli

     Oct. 22 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell the most since June 2013, halting a four-day rally after a shooting at the national legislature and as the central bank said the economy won’t reach full output until the second half of 2016.

     Commodity producers sank after the price of oil tumbled to a two-year low and silver led metals lower. Raw-material producers in the equities benchmark slid 2.5 percent, while energy stocks lost 2.9 percent. Pretium Resources Inc. fell 6.2 percent, while First Quantum Minerals Ltd. and Eldorado Gold Corp. slipped at least 3.4 percent. Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. declined 10 percent after TD Securities cut the stock’s rating to hold from buy.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 1.6 percent to 14,312.07 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The equity gauge had rallied almost 5 percent in the past four days. Trading was in line with the 30-day average.

     “People are continuing to have a very dim view of global growth, and commodities are out of favor,” Ian Nakamoto, director of research at MacDougall MacDougall & MacTier Inc. in Toronto. The firm manages about C$5 billion ($4.5 billion). “The sectors being hit the most are energy, mines and metals.”

     Canada is reeling after a day of violence in the nation’s capital, including a shootout in its main legislature building and the gunning down of a soldier guarding the country’s war memorial.

     Stores and office buildings in downtown Ottawa were locked down for about five hours after the unprecedented attack in Canada’s usually sleepy capital, raising terrorism concerns nationwide. Police are continuing to search for suspects after a gunman was killed by parliamentary security officials.                          

     The S&P/TSX dropped almost 14 points in the 10-minute period when the first headline said shots were fired in Ottawa.  It fell a further 60 points in the next 10 minutes.

     The Bank of Canada kept its policy interest rate at 1 percent today, as expected, and removed the word “neutral” from its statement, saying that it’s stopping the use of “forward guidance” on the future path of interest rates for now.

     Inflation will slow to an average of 1.4 percent in the second quarter of 2015, the bank said, compared with its July forecast for inflation to slow to 1.7 percent in the second quarter of 2015.

     All of the 10 main industries in the benchmark Canadian equity gauge decreased. Energy stocks plunged 2.9 percent after four days of gains. West Texas Intermediate crude slid to the lowest settlement in two years as U.S. inventories increased.

     The S&P/TSX Gold Index fell 3.4 percent, adding to a selloff that’s seen it fall 24 percent from a five-month high.

US

By Callie Bost

     Oct. 22 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks retreated, after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose the most in a year yesterday, as energy shares led losses amid a drop in oil prices.

     Cimarex Energy Co. and Helmerich & Payne Inc. lost more than 4.6 percent to lead all 43 energy stocks in the S&P 500 lower. Biogen Idec Inc. slid 5.4 percent as sales of its top drug missed analyst estimates. Yahoo! Inc. added 4.5 percent after sales topped estimates. Broadcom Corp. jumped 5.5 percent after reporting earnings that beat estimates and giving a forecast that eased concern chip orders might be drying up.

     The S&P 500 slipped 0.7 percent to 1,927.11 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 153.49 points, or 0.9 percent, to 16,461.32. The Nasdaq Composite Index lost 0.8 percent. Crude oil slid 2.4 percent to $80.52 a barrel, the lowest level on a closing basis in more than two years, after a U.S. report showed inventories increased by 7.11 million barrels last week.

     “The market is driven primarily by trader and investor emotion and sentiment,” Michael James, a Los Angeles-based managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities Inc., said in a phone interview. “All that’s going to remain consistent in the short term is that volatility is going to continue and that you’re going to have significant swings just based on trader sentiment, without any specific data points.”     Four consecutive advances in the S&P 500 through yesterday pushed the gauge up 4.2 percent since Oct. 15, recouping half the losses from a selloff that began in mid-September. The equity index surged 2 percent yesterday, its best day since October 2013, as speculation the European Central Bank will boost stimulus to spur growth in the region.

     The cost of living in the U.S. barely rose in September, leaving inflation below the Federal Reserve’s goal as fuel prices plunge this month. The consumer-price index climbed 0.1 percent after decreasing 0.2 percent in August, a Labor Department report showed.

     Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite Index fell 1.6 percent after a shooting at the national legislature in Ottawa. Stores and office buildings in downtown Ottawa were locked down for about five hours after the unprecedented attack in Canada’s usually sleepy capital, raising terrorism concerns nationwide. Police are continuing to search for suspects after a gunman was killed by parliamentary security officials.

     BlackRock Inc. Chief Executive Officer Laurence D. Fink said yesterday the selloff last week in U.S. equity markets “weeded out the excesses,” making stocks a good investment for those who aren’t going to sell their positions soon.

     “As a long-term investor, yes, I’d be buying equities,” Fink said yesterday in an interview with Bloomberg Television’s Erik Schatzker. “This is just a market correction, and we need market corrections to clean the market out.”

     His remarks were echoed by billionaire hedge-fund manager Dan Loeb. Loeb, who runs Third Point LLC, told investors in a letter yesterday that “going forward, we expect that the U.S. will remain the best place to invest” and that “markets will resume an overall upward trajectory in the U.S. through year- end.”

     About 77 percent of S&P 500 companies that have released quarterly results this season beat profit projections, while 61 percent surpassed revenue estimates. Profit for index members rose 5.9 percent in the third quarter and sales increased 4 percent, analysts predicted.

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index added11 percent to 17.87. About 7 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges, 12 percent higher than the three-month average.                        

     Eight of 10 main industries in the S&P 500 declined. Energy shares slipped 1.7 percent as a group for the biggest decline as crude oil slid. Utilities gained 0.6 percent for the biggest advance.

     Biogen Idec slumped 5.4 percent to $309.07. Revenue from Tecfidera was $787 million in the third quarter, falling short of the average analyst estimate of $794 million. A patient on the treatment died after developing a rare brain infection known as progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy, or PML, Chief Executive Officer George Scangos said on a call.

     Boeing Co. dropped 4.5 percent to $121.45 for the biggest loss in the Dow. Investors signaled concern that the world’s largest planemaker isn’t moving fast enough to curb costs on the 787 Dreamliner, a carbon-fiber jet on which the company still loses money, after the company reported third-quarter earnings today. Per-share profit growth also was buoyed by expanding margins in the defense business, which is dwarfed by the commercial unit.

     Yahoo climbed 4.5 percent to $42. The Web portal reported third-quarter revenue, excluding sales shared with partner websites, that beat estimates and forecast sales of $1.14 billion to $1.18 billion for the current period, exceeding analysts’ average prediction of $1.17 billion.

     Chief Executive Officer Marissa Mayer detailed in a conference call after earnings results how Yahoo has bought back 24 percent of shares since late 2012 and said the company’s dealmaking has been “meaningful.” She added that Yahoo is making progress in mobile and the Web portal has been focused on cost efficiencies.

     Broadcom jumped 5.5 percent to $39.37. Excluding certain charges, profit last quarter was 91 cents, topping an average analyst estimate of 84 cents. The maker of communications chips also said revenue in the current period will be $2 billion to $2.15 billion, compared with an average estimate of $2.11 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

     Six Flags Entertainment Corp. soared 13 percent to $38.90 for its biggest one-day gain on record. The theme park operator reported adjusted earnings per share and revenue last quarter that beat analysts’ estimates.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

We think as our ancestors did, away back in pre-historic ages.

Where even tradition cannot pierce the gloom of that past,

there our glorious ancestors have taken up their side of the problem

and have thrown the challenge to the world.

Our solution is renunciation, giving up, fearlessness, and love;

these are the fittest to survive.  Giving up the senses makes a nation survive.

Swami Vivekananda

As ever,
 

Carolann

 

Change your thoughts and you change your world.

                    -Norman Vincent Peale, 1898-1993

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

October 21, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

ALMOST LIKE THE BLUES

I saw some people starving There was murder, there was rape Their villages were burning They were trying to escape I couldn’t meet their glances I was staring at my shoes It was acid, it was tragic It was almost like the blues

I have to die a little Between each murderous thought And when I’m finished thinking I have to die a lot There’s torture and there’s killing There’s all my bad reviews The war, the children missing Lord, it’s almost like the blues

I let my heart get frozen To keep away the rot My father said I’m chosen My mother said I’m not I listened to their story Of the Gypsies and the Jews It was good,  it wasn’t boring It was almost like the blues

There is no G-d in heaven And there is no Hell below So says the great professor Of all there is to know But I’ve had the invitation That a sinner can’t refuse And it’s almost like salvation It’s almost like the blues

         -Leonard Cohen

I found an easy listening radio station on SiriusXM Satellite radio that I love listening to in the car.  It is Ch. 31, The Coffee House, and it features just beautiful acoustic singer/songwriters – puts you in a much better mood than listening to the news – the blues – by the time you reach your destination.  Check it out.

On this date in 1879, Thomas Edison invented a commercially viable electric light bulb in a Menlo Park, N.J. laboratory, the first test of the light bulb lasted 13.5 hours.

QUOTE OF THE DAY

Tonight, fashion has lost not only a force but a friend in #OscardelaRenta. People pass. Impacts last forever. RIP.

Photographer Patrick McMullan tweeted on the death of Oscar de la Renta, a renowned American fashion designer famed for his glamorous red carpet gowns and smart suits for ladies who lunch.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY At a warehouse in Berlin, a journalist tosses a balloon into the air as he poses for his TV crew among stands for balloons that will be used in the installation ‘Lichtgrenze’ (Border of Light.) A part of the inner city of Berlin will be temporarily divided from November 7 to 9 with a light installation featuring 8000 luminous white balloons to commemorate the 25th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall. Fabrizio Bensch/Reuters Raindrops cover a fallen autumn leaf in Vertou, France. Stephane Mahe/Reuters  Raindrops cover a fallen autumn leaf in Vertou, France. Stephane Mahe/Reuters People stand around ‘Umbrellas,’ a sculpture by Giorgos Zogolopoulos, as it is illuminated in pink light to mark Breast Cancer Awareness Month in Thessaloniki, Greece. Alexandros Avramidis/Reuters

Market Closes for October 21st, 2014  

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16614.81 +215.14

 

 

+1.31%

S&P 500 1941.28

 

+37.27

 

+1.96%

 
NASDAQ 4419.480

 

 

+103.406

 

+2.40%

 
TSX 14547.71 +209.94

 

+1.46%

 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 14804.28 -306.95

 

-2.03%

 

HANG

SENG

23088.58 +18.32

 

+0.08%

 

SENSEX 26575.65 +145.80

 

+0.55%

 

FTSE 100 6372.33 +105.26

 

+1.68%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.966 1.934
 

 

CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.541 2.520
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.2217 2.1882

 
 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.9943 2.9631
 
 
 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.89085 0.88607
 

 

US

$

1.12253 1.12858
 

 

     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

 

Canadian

$

 

1.42726 0.70064
US

$

 

1.27148 0.78649

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1248.69 1246.61
     
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 82.81 82.75

 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     Oct. 21 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose the most in more than a year, extending a rally to a fourth day, as commodity producers advanced after data showed China’s economy grew faster than forecast.

     RMP Energy Inc. and Surge Energy Inc. advanced at least 2.6 percent as energy shares rebounded for a fourth day. Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. rose 1.3 percent after reporting an improving operating ratio. Air Canada soared 6.7 percent for a fourth day of gains.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index jumped 209.94 points, or 1.5 percent, to 14,547.71 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, the biggest gain since July 2013. Canadian equities rallied as global stocks advanced on speculation the European Central Bank will boost stimulus and amid better-than-estimated corporate earnings in Europe and the U.S.

     The Canadian benchmark has rebounded 4.9 percent in the four days since slumping to an eight-month low on Oct. 15 after entering a correction. Trading volume today was 2.4 percent below the 30-day average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

     China’s gross domestic product rose 7.3 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier, exceeding the 7.2 percent median estimate of a Bloomberg News survey of analysts. It was also the slowest expansion since 2009.                           

     RMP Energy added 5.1 percent to C$6.59 and Surge Energy increased 2.6 percent to C$6.77. West Texas Intermediate and Brent crudes advanced after the China data signaling stronger fuel demand in the world’s second-biggest oil consuming country.

     The S&P/TSX Energy Index added 1.9 percent. The group has advanced 7.1 percent in four days after posting the longest losing streak since 1997.  Teck Resources Ltd., Canada’s largest diversified miner, increased 3.1 percent to C$18.07 and First Quantum Minerals Ltd. jumped 5.6 percent to C$19.80. Aluminum and copper prices advanced in London.

     Centerra Gold Inc. added 3.1 percent to C$5.73. Gold for December delivery climbed to a five-week high in New York, as traders pushed back estimates for when the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates and on concern the dollar will weaken.

     Canadian Pacific rallied 1.3 percent to C$224.58. The railroad’s operating ratio, an industry measure that compares expenses to revenue, improved 3.1 percentage points to 62.8 percent. A lower figure equals improving performance.     The S&P/TSX trades at 18.5 times reported earnings, down from a peak of 21 set in June, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

US

By Namitha Jagadeesh and Oliver Renick

     Oct. 21 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks surged, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its biggest gain in a year, as investors speculated the European Central Bank will boost economic stimulus and Apple Inc. forecast record sales.

     Apple advanced 2.7 percent, sending the Nasdaq 100 Index to its biggest rally since January 2013. Texas Instruments Inc. rose 5.3 percent and Harley-Davidson Inc. jumped 7.3 percent after reporting higher-than-estimated profit. Southwest Airlines Co. surged 5.3 percent as airlines led transportation stocks higher. Coca-Cola Co. fell 6 percent, the biggest drop in six years, after sales slumped.

     The S&P 500 climbed 2 percent to 1,941.28 at 4 p.m. in New York, its best gain since October 2013. The equity gauge is up 4.2 percent since Oct. 15 in the biggest four-day rally since January 2013. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 215.14 points, or 1.3 percent, to 16,615 today. The Nasdaq 100 surged 2.6 percent, the most since January 2013, as about 7.2 billion shares traded hands in the U.S.      “We’re hearing about the ECB buying bonds,” Benjamin Dunn, president of Alpha Theory Advisors, which advises hedge funds with about $6 billion in assets, said in a phone interview from Crested Butte, Colorado. “The market’s a sugar addict and the sweet nectar of free money, any kind of incremental liquidity from a central bank, whether it’s Europe or China, is what the market’s looking for.”

     The ECB bought Italian covered bonds as it returned to the market for a second day under its asset purchase program, according to two people familiar with the matter. Debt issued by Intesa Sanpaolo SpA was included in the purchases, according to one of the people, who asked not to be identified because the information is private.

     The ECB entered the 2.6 trillion-euro ($3.3 trillion) covered bond market after President Mario Draghi unveiled plans last month to bolster companies’ and households’ access to financing. Draghi, who also included asset-backed securities in the program, intends to expand the bank’s balance sheet by as much as 1 trillion euros to stave off deflation in the euro area.

     U.S. stocks have rallied after St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard said on Oct. 16 that policy makers should consider delaying the end of bond purchases. He was the first Fed official to publicly suggest the central bank should extend its asset-purchase program when policy makers meet later this month.                      

     Bank of America Merrill Lynch strategists said in a report today that another 10 percent decline in U.S. stocks might spark speculation of a fourth round of quantitative easing from the Fed. That would mimic how the Fed acted following equity declines of 11 percent in 2010 and 16 percent in 2011.

     About 79 percent of S&P 500 companies that have reported quarterly results this season exceeded profit projections, while 61 percent beat revenue estimates. Profit for index members rose 5.9 percent in the third quarter and sales increased 4 percent, analysts projected. Broadcom Corp. and Yahoo! Inc. are among the 24 S&P 500 companies reporting today. Yahoo rallied 2.8 percent in late trading.

     “Now we can finally focus on earnings in the U.S.,” Kully Samra, who helps manage U.K. clients at Charles Schwab Corp. in London, said by phone. His firm oversees about $2.4 trillion globally. “Apple’s numbers were stunning, so that should help markets. So far, earnings numbers look OK.”

     The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index sank 13 percent to 16.08 for a fourth day of declines that has cut the gauge by 39 percent.                        

     All 10 of the S&P 500’s main groups advanced, led by a 2.9 percent rally among energy stocks as oil rose in New York and London.

     The Dow Jones Transportation Average surged 3.1 percent, boosted by gains in airline stocks. United Continental Holdings Inc. gained 4.7 percent and JetBlue Airways Corp. rose 2.9 percent.

     Apple gained 2.7 percent. The world’s most valuable company is the biggest by weighting in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. Bigger-screen iPhones, refreshed and slimmer iPads and the introduction of the Apple Pay mobile-payments service are helping boost sales.

     Texas Instruments increased for the sixth straight session, adding 5.3 percent. The company forecast fourth-quarter profit and revenue that may exceed analysts’ estimates, as demand for chips used in cars, industrial equipment and mobile phone systems fueled sales growth.                                Encouraging releases also spurred shares of other companies. United Technologies Corp. added 0.5 percent after posting better-than-estimated earnings for the third quarter. Travelers Cos. advanced 1.1 percent as operating profit surpassed projections. Illumina Inc. rallied 9.2 percent after raising its annual profit projection, the most in a year.

     Harley-Davidson jumped 7.3 percent, the most since October 2012, after the biggest U.S. motorcycle maker reported third- quarter profit that topped analysts’ estimates.

     McDonald’s Corp. lost 0.6 percent. The world’s largest restaurant chain said third-quarter profit fell 30 percent as U.S. sales slumped for the fourth straight quarter. Global comparable-store sales will fall in October, Chief Executive Officer Don Thompson said in today’s statement.

     Coca-Cola tumbled 6 percent, the most since October 2008.  The company is struggling with sluggish international growth and mounting concerns over obesity and artificial sweeteners. Sales fell to $11.98 billion in the quarter from $12 billion a year earlier, Coca-Cola said. Analysts had estimated $12.1 billion on average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.  

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

Humanity is not divided into airtight compartments

that inhibit going from one to the other.

And when one counts them in the thousands,

they will not be less linked one to the other.

Mahatma Gandhi

As ever,

 

Carolann

 

I always find it more difficult to say the things I mean than the things I don’t.

                                                        -W. Somerset Maugham, 1874-1965

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

October 20, 2014 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Had a wonderful time at the World Business Forum in NYC.  Many fascinating speakers again this year and lots of brilliant ideas about what the future holds. Managed to catch the amazing Matisse Cutouts exhibit at MOMA and also some of The New Yorker Festival.  One of the topics at the festival was Mapping the Brain which featured a panel of neuroscientists talking about the amazing progress being made in this task through collaboration (instigated by Bill Clinton) by many different disciplines similar to how the human genome was mapped. 

Saw some terrific theatre too – Mia Farrow & Brian Dennehy in Love Letters – incredible- and The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night (just opened and not to be missed). Ditto for Disgraced. White Alba truffles arrived in the city – Del Posto has them on offer among many other restaurants.

Lots to catch up on today. Markets are behaving now that I’ve returned ha! ha! Actually it’s Apple – just reported earnings – excellent numbers!  Talk soon.

PHOTOS OF THE DAY

A couple looks up at the autumn colors as they walk through trees at Sheffield Park Garden near Haywards Heath in southern England. Luke MacGregor/Reuters


The rising sun paints a burnt orange sky behind a group of leafless trees in Paint Township, Pa. Todd Berkey/The Tribune-Democrat/AP

Market Closes for October 20th, 2014    

Market

Index

Close Change
Dow

Jones

16399.67 +19.26

 

 

+0.12%

S&P 500 1903.99

 

+17.23

 

+0.91%

 
NASDAQ 4316.074

 

 

+57.636

 

+1.35%

 
TSX 14341.28 +113.60

 

+0.80%
 
 

International Markets

Market

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 15111.23 +578.72

 

+3.98%

 

HANG

SENG

23070.26 +47.05

 

+0.20%

 

SENSEX 26429.85 +321.32

 

+1.23%

 

FTSE 100 6267.07 -43.22

 

-0.68%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND.

10 Year Bond

1.934 1.952
 

 

CND.

30 Year

Bond

2.520 2.520
U.S.   

10 Year Bond

2.1882 2.1936
 

 

U.S.

30 Year Bond

2.9631 2.9678
 

 
 

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.88607 0.88687
 

 

US

$

1.12858 1.12781

 

     
Euro Rate

1 Euro=

  Inverse

 

Canadian

$

 

1.44456 0.69225
US

$

 

1.27998 0.78126

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold

Fix

1246.61 1261.75
     
Oil Close Previous

 

WTI Crude Future 82.75 82.75
 
 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

     Oct. 20 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks capped the biggest three-day advance in two years as Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. rallied after boosting its earnings forecast and bank shares advanced.

     Valeant climbed 3.9 percent after also reporting better- than-expected earnings. Toronto-Dominion Bank and Royal Bank of Canada, the nation’s largest lenders, advanced at least 0.4 percent. Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. slipped 1.5 percent after ending merger talks with CSX Corp.

     The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 110.09 points, or 0.8 percent, to 14,337.77 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The benchmark equity gauge has rallied 3.4 percent in three trading days, the most since July 2012. It ended little changed last week to snap a six-week losing streak, the longest stretch of losses in more than two years.

     The index has fallen 8.4 percent since Sept. 3, trimming its advance for the year to 5.3 percent. Trading volume today was 19 percent lower than the 30-day average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

     Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. rose 5.8 percent to C$34.22 and B2Gold Corp. increased 5.6 percent to C$2.44 as raw-materials stocks increased 2 percent as a group. All 10 industries in the S&P/TSX advanced.

     Gold for December delivery climbed 0.5 percent to $1,244.70 an ounce in New York as the U.S. dollar weakened, boosting demand for the metal.

     Canadian Pacific lost 1.5 percent to C$221.65. Canada’s second-largest railroad approached CSX with a proposal for a coast-to-coast tie-up to improve service and boost competition. CSX, the largest railroad in the eastern U.S., rejected the proposal and no further talks are planned.

     Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp. surged 11 percent to C$17.72. The S&P/TSX Energy Index added 0.6 percent, erasing an earlier loss. The group has advanced for three days after posting the longest losing streak since 1997. The energy gauge gained 5.1 percent in the past three days, the most since July 2012.

     Niko Resources Ltd. plunged to 33 Canadian cents a share from 73 cents, the biggest percentage drop since 1993, after the government of India revised its domestic gas price policy.

     Brent crude fell 0.9 percent in London to $85.40, a level that’s prompting speculation OPEC will respond by cutting supply. West Texas Intermediate was little-changed.

     The S&P/TSX trades at 18.4 times reported earnings, down from a peak of 21 set in June, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

US

By James Herron and Callie Bost

     Oct. 20 (Bloomberg) — The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose for a third day, while European stocks retreated. Apple Inc. climbed in extended trading after posting earnings, while gold advanced and U.S. crude oil reversed losses.

     The S&P 500 added 0.9 percent to 1,904.01 by 4 p.m. in New York, while Apple rose 1.1 percent after markets closed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day up 0.1 percent as a slide in International Business Machines Corp. limited gains. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index lost 0.5 percent. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields were little changed at 2.19 percent after earlier slipping to as low as 2.16 percent. Gold climbed 0.5 percent. Oil was at $82.71 after earlier sliding 1.5 percent.

     About $4.3 trillion has been wiped from the value of global equities over the past four weeks on concern global economic growth is slowing. The European Central Bank started purchases of covered bonds today in an effort to stimulate the region’s economy, according to three people familiar with the matter. Chinese expansion will slow to about 4 percent annually after 2020 following decades of rapid growth, the Conference Board said before gross domestic product data due tomorrow.

     “In the U.S., we’re coming into the real heart of earnings season,” Bill Stone, chief investment strategist at PNC Wealth Management, said in a phone interview. He helps oversee $132 billion. “The bigger picture could be soothed with a decent earnings season, and so far, so good, a few individual names aside like IBM. The bigger picture is that I’m hopeful we’ll see the fundamentals in the U.S. are still attractive.”                        

     Shares of Apple climbed to $100.75 by 4:56 p.m. in New York, after the company projected revenue for the holiday quarter that exceeded the average analyst estimate. The Cupertino, California-based company’s fiscal fourth quarter results also beat projections, with net income rising to $1.42 a share, compared with the $1.30 a share predicted by analysts.

     Apple said new larger-screen iPhones will help boost sales by at least 10 percent during the October-through December period, according to a statement.

     Texas Instruments Inc., a semiconductor maker, rose 2.5 percent in after-hours trading after forecasting fourth-quarter profit and revenue that may exceed analysts’ estimates.

     Profit for S&P 500 companies probably rose 5.9 percent in the third quarter — a forecast that’s been revised upward from an increase of 4.8 percent as of Oct. 10 — and sales increased 4 percent, according to analysts’ projections compiled by Bloomberg.

     “The state of corporate earnings in the U.S. is on solid footing,” Adam Parker, chief U.S. equity strategist at Morgan Stanley in New York, wrote in a report today.

     IBM shares fell 7.1 percent after the company ditched its five-year profit goal amid a struggle to transform quickly enough to cope with an industrywide shift to the cloud-computing era. IBM, which accounts for 7.8 percent of the price-weighted Dow, shaved 84 points off the index to trim its advance to 19 points even as 24 of its 30 stocks rose.

     Consumer stocks including Hasbro Inc. and Lennar Corp. rose at least 3.5 percent to pace gains in that group. CSX Corp. dropped 1 percent after merger talks with Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. ended.

     The S&P 500 rallied following a four-week decline, its longest stretch of losses since August 2011. The gauge is down 5.3 percent from a record high reached in September.

     European shares fell after SAP SE cut its profit forecast and Royal Philips NV earnings missed analysts’ estimates. Fourteen of the 19 industry groups in the Stoxx 600 dropped. The gauge has fallen for four weeks, the longest slump since June 2013.                        

     SAP retreated 5.8 percent after cutting its full-year earnings while Royal Philips slid 3.7 percent after third- quarter sales and profit missed analysts’ estimates. Nutreco NV jumped 39 percent after SHV Holdings NV agreed to buy the fish- feed maker.

     Tesco Plc added 2.7 percent after the London-based Times said that private equity firms may be interested in acquiring its Asian business. Adidas AG rose 3.6 percent after the Wall Street Journal said a group of investors is planning to bid about 1.7 billion euros ($2.2 billion) for its Reebok unit.

     The MSCI All-Country World Index climbed 0.7 percent for a second day of gains, while MSCI’s Asia Pacific index gained 2.2 percent, rebounding after a six weekly declines to advance the most in more than two years. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index climbed 0.5 percent. Foreign investors bought 28 billion won more shares than they sold on South Korea’s Kospi Index today, the first net inflows since Sept. 30.

     The People’s Bank of China is providing funds to joint- stock banks to help them prepare for year-end liquidity needs, a government official familiar with the matter said Oct. 17, asking not to be identified because there hasn’t been an official announcement. The liquidity injection came before the start of a Communist Party meeting today and tomorrow’s GDP data.

     Government bonds from Italy and Spain fell, extending a selloff from last week. Italy’s 10-year rate climbed 10 basis points, or 0.10 percentage point, to 2.60 percent after increasing 17 basis points last week. Spain’s debt rose nine basis points to 2.26 percent.

     The ECB bought short-dated notes from Societe Generale SA and BNP Paribas SA, according to two people familiar with the matter, who asked not to be identified because the information is private. An ECB spokesman confirmed that purchases started today. Officials at SocGen and BNP weren’t immediately available to comment on the transactions.                           

     “From today we will begin to know how aggressive the ECB will be in bidding for bonds,” said Agustin Martin, head of European credit research at Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA in London.

     Gold climbed for the first time in three days, with futures for December delivery rising 0.5 percent to $1,244.70 an ounce. U.K. natural gas dropped for a second day. Ukraine will have natural gas for the winter after agreeing to pay $385 per thousand cubic meters of fuel from Russia until March 31, Ukraine President Petro Poroshenko said. Russia pipes about 15 percent of the European Union’s natural gas needs through Ukraine.

     The ruble weakened 0.8 percent against to 40.9616 per dollar, after capping its sixth weekly decline Oct. 17. Russia has spent more than $13 billion to stem the currency’s slump this month amid a bear market in oil, the nation’s main export earner, and as sanctions over its involvement in the Ukraine conflict worsened a dollar shortage.

     Russia’s foreign minister said his country will refuse to accept conditions to end the sanctions after talks in Italy failed to produce a breakthrough to bolster a truce in the eastern Ukrainian conflict. Russia, the world’s biggest energy exporter, has been told to comply with various criteria before the U.S. and its allies revoke the limitations, Sergei Lavrov said in the transcript of an NTV interview posted on the ministry’s website yesterday.

     Russia’s credit rating was cut last week by one step to Baa2, the second-lowest investment grade, a with a negative outlook by Moody’s Investors Service, which cited sluggish growth prospects and the erosion of reserves.

     West Texas Intermediate crude ended the U.S. session down 0.1 percent after sinking 3.6 percent last week. Brent crude fell 1 percent to $85.33 per barrel in London. Both oil types are trading in bear markets amid concern global crude supplies are exceeding demand.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

I have found that life persists in the midst of destruction

and therefore there must be a higher law than that of destruction.

Only under that law would a well-ordered society

be intelligible and live worth living.

And if that is the law of life,

we have to work it out in daily life.

Mahatma Gandhi

 

As ever,
 

Carolann

 

In nature, there are neither rewards nor punishments – there are consequences.

                                                                 -Robert G. Ingersoll, 1833-1899

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, CIWM

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

 

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square,

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7