August 29, 2013 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Interesting article this week by Peter Geoghegan:

EDINBURGH, SCOTLAND – August in Edinburgh is synonymous

with the arts. This August more

than 25,000 performers have descended on

the Scottish capital, offering everything from

stand-up comedy and one-act plays to jazz,

opera, and poetry readings as part of several

separate festivals that are collectively known

as the Edinburgh Festival.

But while the cobbled streets of Edinburgh’s

Old Town will be littered with fliers and street

performers until the end of this month, the

program for next year’s festival is already

causing a stir. The 2014 Edinburgh Festival

– which bills itself as the largest arts festival

in the world – is scheduled to end just weeks

before Scotland goes to the polls in a historic

referendum on independence.

But the Scots’ historic constitutional

choice won’t be on the

agenda at the oldest of the festivals,

the Edinburgh International

Festival (EIF), according to its

director, Jonathan Mills.

Mr. Mills told a Scottish newspaper

earlier this month that he

was “not anticipating anything

in the [program] at all” next year

about the independence debate.

The program will concentrate on

the Commonwealth Games – due

to take place in Glasgow next

summer – and the centenary of

the start of World War I.

“We would not wish our festival

to be anything other than it

has always been, which is a politically neutral

space for artists. It is important that it remains

that,” Mills said in an interview with The

Scotsman.

Founded in 1947, the EIF has a budget of

£10 million ($15 million), about half of which

comes from public funds.

The reaction to the director’s comments

about next year’s program was quick, with

many in Scotland’s arts community questioning

the idea that the arts are politically neutral.

“I don’t think the EIF is going to be able to keep

this issue out. We’ve got a year to make use of

this opportunity to start a proper discussion,”

novelist Denise Mina told the Sunday Herald,

a popular Scottish newspaper. “The discussion

has become really narrow, and people are stating

their positions. Nobody is really listening

to each other and the festival would have been

a great opportunity to listen.”

“The arts are one of the places where we

can discuss the more abstract notions. It’s a

real missed opportunity by Jonathan Mills,”

Ms. Mina added.

By far the largest slice of the Edinburgh

Festival pie belongs to the Fringe. It was inaugurated

in 1947 when eight theater companies

that were not invited to the EIF decided to perform

regardless, and has grown into one of the

most recognizable arts festivals in the world,

with a reputation for being more spontaneous

and edgy than its more formal sibling. Despite

this, Scottish independence remained a rather

marginal theme in this year’s Fringe, says Ben

Judge, editor of Fest magazine.

Even so, playwright and novelist Alan

Bissett believes that the arts have a particularly

important role to play in the lead-up to

next September’s vote.

“Because [independence] is so complex, the

arts is the ideal place to have that discussion,”

he says. “Artists aren’t beholden to ‘the truth.’

We are much more about exploring the emotional

complexities. People who experience a

play, or a poem, or a novel about nationalism

recognize more of it because it’s not black and

white.”

Photos of the Day –August 29th, 2013


Members of Britain’s Royal Air Force perform a parachute jump into The Ageas Bowl cricket ground before England play Australia in Southampton, England. Kirsty Wigglesworth/AP


People carry lanterns around Pleasure Bay during an event to commemorate the 50th anniversary of Martin Luther King Jr.’s ‘I Have a Dream’ speech in Boston, Massachusetts August 28th. Brian Snyder/Reuters

Market Closes for August 29th, 2013

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

14840.95 +16.44 

 

+0.11%

S&P 500 1638.17 +3.21 

 

+0.20%

NASDAQ 3620.303 +26.953 

 

+0.75%

TSX 12704.73 +97.51 

 

+0.77% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 13459.71 +121.25 

 

+0.91% 

 

HANG 

SENG

21704.78 +180.13 

 

+0.84% 

 

SENSEX 18401.04 +404.89 

 

+2.25% 

 

FTSE 100 6483.05 +52.99 

 

+0.82% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.606 2.623
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

3.067 3.083
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.7617 2.7653
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.7144 3.7356

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.94915 0.95333 

 

US  

$

1.05357 1.04895
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.39503 0.71683
US 

$

1.32409 0.75523

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1407.84 1416.77
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 108.80 110.10
BRENT 109.359 109.359 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Alex Barinka

Aug. 29 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose for a second day, as bank shares advanced on better-than-estimated earnings and phone companies rallied on dimmed prospects of competition from U.S.-based Verizon Communications Inc.

Royal Bank of Canada and Toronto-Dominion Bank gained at least 1.2 percent after raising their dividends and posting third-quarter earnings that beat analysts’ estimates. Rogers Communications Inc. surged 3 percent to lead phone stocks higher. Dundee Precious Metals Inc. jumped 10 percent after suggesting it may expand a gold and silver mine in Armenia.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 97.51 points, or 0.8 percent, to 12,704.73 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The gauge added 0.1 percent yesterday and has gained 1.8 percent this month.

“Given that so many people own Canadian banks, it’s good news and that will set the tone on the macro for Canadian equity markets,” Irwin Michael, portfolio manager with ABC Funds in Toronto, said in a phone interview. His firm manages C$800 million ($774 million). “With the higher U.S. GDP, it gives us more comfort that the economy is slowly but surely improving.”

Investors are weighing data that showed the U.S. economy grew by more than expected in the second quarter and that claims for unemployment benefits declined last week. The U.S. is Canada’s biggest trading partner.

Eight of 10 industries in the S&P/TSX rose, with phone, bank and health-care stocks rising at least 1.2 percent. Trading volume in the benchmark gauge was 4.6 percent below the 30-day average.

The S&P/TSX Commercial Bank Index jumped 1.6 percent to a record high, as all eight members increased. Royal Bank, TD Bank and Canadian Imperial Bank each reported today third-quarter earnings that beat analysts’ estimates.

Royal Bank, Canada’s largest lender by assets, gained 1.2 percent to C$65.24, the highest in a month. Toronto-Dominion, the second-biggest bank, climbed 2.7 percent to a record C$89.93. Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce rose 2.8 percent to C$82.66.

The three Toronto-based banks posted record profit in Canadian personal and commercial banking and wealth management even as near record-low interest rates and tight net interest margins proved challenging for lenders.

Phone stocks rallied 2.4 percent on speculation that a Verizon bid for Vodafone Group Plc’s stake in Verizon Wireless will reduce the U.S. carrier’s appetite for Canadian expansion.

Vodafone confirmed it’s in talks to sell its stake, in a deal that may be worth $130 billion, according to people familiar with the matter.

“If negotiations between Verizon and Vodafone are really heating up, we believe that the prospects of a Verizon entry into Canadian wireless could decline significantly,” Dvai Ghose, head of research at Canaccord Genuity said in a note to clients dated yesterday.

Rogers Communications, Canada’s largest wireless carrier, climbed 3 percent to C$42.01. Telus Corp. rose 2.5 percent to C$33.10.

Health-care companies jumped 1.6 percent, led by a surge in Catamaran Corp. of 1.7 percent to C$58.19.

Shares in producers of raw materials erased earlier losses of as much as 1.3 percent even as metals prices slumped. The S&P/TSX Materials Index advanced 0.5 percent, halting two days of declines.

Dundee Precious Metals surged 10 percent to C$6.80 after saying an internal study of its Kapan mine in Armenia most likely will result in expanding operations there.

Energy stocks were little changed as a group. Shares in commodities producers have been roiled in recent days, amid growing speculation the U.S. and its allies will take military action against Syria.

The prospect of imminent strikes receded today as U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron, the U.S.’s top ally, struggled to win parliamentary backing for military action.

US

By Nick Taborek and Corinne Gretler

Aug. 29 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index higher for a second day, as data showed the economy expanded at a faster pace in the second quarter and concerns over Syria eased.

Verizon Communications Inc. added 2.7 percent as Vodafone Group Plc said the companies are in talks over their Verizon Wireless venture. Guess? Inc. rallied 13 percent after the apparel maker reported second-quarter profit that exceeded analysts’ estimates. Exxon Mobil Corp. lost 1.8 percent as oil futures fell from a two-year high.

The S&P 500 rose 0.2 percent to 1,638.17 at 4 p.m. in New York, paring an earlier advance of as much as 0.7 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 16.44 points, or 0.1 percent, to 14,840.95.

“That’s just one confirmation that the data is continuing to move in the right direction,” Anastasia Amoroso, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Funds, which oversees about $400 billion, said in a phone interview. “That gives more evidence why the Fed should ultimately taper. But over the last couple of months the markets have been a lot more comfortable with that notion.”

Gross domestic product rose at a 2.5 percent annualized rate, up from an initial estimate of 1.7 percent, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. The median forecast of 79 economists surveyed by Bloomberg projected a 2.2 percent gain.

Jobless claims in the week ended Aug. 24 dropped 6,000 to 331,000 from a revised 337,000 the week before that was higher than initially reported, the Labor Department said today in Washington. The median forecast of 50 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a drop to 332,000.

The equity benchmark has fallen 2.8 percent in August amid speculation the Fed will pare stimulus measures and concern the U.S. will take military action against Syria.

Minutes of the Fed’s July meeting released on Aug. 21 showed policy makers supported cuts to the central bank’s bond- buying program this year if the economy improves in line with its forecasts. Fed stimulus helped push the S&P 500 up as much as 153 percent from its March 2009 low, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

The prospect of imminent military strikes on Syria receded as the U.K. and France said they favor waiting for the results of a United Nations investigation into alleged use of chemical weapons. The U.S., which says it has evidence that Syria’s government was responsible, won’t act without allies, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel said today.

“We’re back to focusing on economic data, specifically out of the U.S. and Europe, and the Fed tapering, as the market is coming around to believe the Syrian conflict poses only a short- term risk,” said Manish Singh, who helps oversee $2 billion as head of investment at Crossbridge Capital in London. “I am of the opinion that tapering will happen in September, regardless of data.”

About 4.8 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges.

Trading is poised for the second-slowest month in at least five years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. An average of about 5.5 billion shares changed hands each day this month.

That’s about 50 million shares more than last August.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX, increased 1.9 percent to 16.81. The equity volatility gauge has surged 42 percent since a five-month low on Aug. 5.

Eight out of 10 main groups in the S&P 500 rose, with phone companies advancing 1.2 percent to lead gains.

Verizon Communications rose 2.7 percent to $47.82. The company is in advanced talks to acquire Vodafone’s 45 percent stake in their Verizon Wireless venture for about $130 billion, people with knowledge of the matter said.

In a statement, Newbury, England-based Vodafone said there’s “no certainty that an agreement will be reached” as it holds discussions with New York-based Verizon. Bob Varettoni, a spokesman for Verizon, declined to comment.

Microsoft Corp. rose 1.6 percent to $33.55. Microsoft is in talks with Foursquare Labs Inc. about a potential investment in the social-media company, according to people with knowledge of the discussions.

An S&P index of homebuilders climbed 2.5 percent, after dropping 3.7 percent over the previous two days. PulteGroup Inc. rose 3.1 percent to $15.86 and Lennar Corp. advanced 3.2 percent to $32.62.

The Bloomberg U.S. Airlines Index rose 2 percent as US Airways Group Inc. advanced 4 percent to $15.96. Delta Air Lines Inc. jumped 2.7 percent to $19.64.

Guess soared 13 percent to $30.82. Second-quarter adjusted earnings per share amounted to 52 cents, exceeding the average estimate of 35 cents in a survey of analysts. The company raised its full-year earnings guidance to $1.78 to $1.92 a share, from a previous prediction of $1.70 to $1.90. Analysts had forecast $1.79.

Exxon Mobil declined 1.8 percent to $87.27, while Chevron Corp. lost 1.2 percent to $120.37. Oil futures retreated 1.2 percent after climbing to the highest level since May 2011 yesterday.

Campbell Soup Co. fell 3.1 percent to $43.33 after the company reported fourth-quarter sales lower than analysts’ estimates.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

The idea of a duty to understand violence engenders for me

a great vitality and passion for knowledge.

But to transcend this violence, I need not repress it, nor deny it, nor say to myself:

It has become a part of me, I can do nothing about it; or, I wish to reject it.

I must observe it, study it, enter into it intimately,

and for that purpose I need neither condemn it nor justify it.

And yet, it is this that we do.

I would ask you then, to suspend for an instant your judgments on the subject.

-Krishnamuti, 1895-1986


Carolann

 

If two wrongs don’t make a right, try three.

-Lawrence J. Peter, 1919-1990


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

 

August 28, 2013 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

We watched a terrific concert  from the White House on PBS last night, A Celebration of Music from the Civil Rights Movement.   It featured some great artists including Smokey Robinson, Joan Baez, Bob Dylan, among others.  To take a trip down memory lane with these tunes, you can watch it at the following link:

http://video.pbs.org/video/1410865290/

In the end, we will remember not the words of our enemies, but the silence of our friends.  – Martin Luther King Jr.

Photos of the Day –August 28th, 2013

Martin Luther King Jr. acknowledges the crowd at the Lincoln Memorial for his ‘I Have a Dream’ speech during the March on Washington on Aug. 28, 1963. AP/File

ROTC Lt. Col. Tangela Spencer rings the bell 50 times as elementary students recite verses from the ‘I Have a Dream’ speech given 50 years ago by Rev. Martin Luther King. About 500 students and others gathered for the event in Montgomery, Ala., on the campus of Alabama State University to honor the 50th anniversary of the March on Washington. Dave Martin/AP

Market Closes for August 28th, 2013

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

14824.51 +48.38 

 

+0.33%

S&P 500 1634.96 +4.48 

 

+0.27%

NASDAQ 3593.350 +14.826 

 

+0.41%

TSX 12607.22 +16.01 

 

+0.13% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 13338.46 -203.91 

 

-1.51% 

 

HANG 

SENG

21524.65 -350.12 

 

-1.60% 

 

SENSEX 17996.15 +28.07 

 

+0.16% 

 

FTSE 100 6430.06 -10.91 

 

-0.17% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.623 2.563
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

3.083 3.040
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.7653 2.7087
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.7356 3.6916

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.95333 0.95434 

 

US  

$

1.04895 1.04784
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.39948 0.71455
US 

$

1.33417 0.74953

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1416.77 1417.39
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 110.10 109.01
BRENT 109.359 109.359 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Alex Barinka

Aug. 28 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, rebounding from the benchmark index’s biggest drop since June, as energy producers rallied on a surge in oil prices amid growing speculation of a U.S. military strike against Syria.

Niko Resources Ltd., an oil exploration company, gained 6.8 percent to lead advances among oil companies as crude touched a two-year high. Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. rose 2.3 percent, reversing a 4.1 percent slide yesterday. BlackBerry Ltd. advanced 2.7 percent to propel technology stocks higher.

New Gold Inc. tumbled 7.5 percent to lead producers of raw materials lower as gold fell from a three-month high.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Index rose 16.01 points, or 0.1 percent, to 12,607.22 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, trimming an earlier gain of as much as 0.7 percent. Trading volume was 7.4 percent below the 30-day average.

“It’s all about Syria — that’s the risk,” John Stephenson, senior vice president and portfolio manager who helps oversee about C$2.8 billion ($2.7 billion) at First Asset Investment Management Inc. in Toronto, said by phone.

“Commodities are moving higher. It’s a scarcity argument that we are going to have another conflict in the Middle East. The market is up but very little and on very light volumes.”

The S&P/TSX dropped 1.3 percent yesterday, its steepest slide since June 24, amid concern the U.S. will take action against Syria. The U.S. and the U.K. today said they are prepared to make a military strike without authorization from the United Nations Security Council.

After Russia objected to a UN resolution offered by the U.K. authorizing steps to protect civilians, a State Department spokeswoman said the U.S. will take “appropriate” action without the international body’s approval. The U.S. and its NATO allies began presenting their justification for military action against Syria as they advanced plans for launching strikes and prepared evidence that the Syrian government used chemical weapons on its own people.

Crude surged as high as $112.24, the most since May 2011, as the tension over Syria escalated, increasing concern oil supplies will be disrupted. The rally helped commodities surge to the highest level since February. The Standard & Poor’s GSCI Spot Index rose as much as 1.9 percent before retreating to a gain of 0.9 percent.

Half of the 10 main industries in the benchmark Canadian equity index advanced, led by a 1.7 percent rally among health- care companies. Valeant Pharmaceuticals rose 2.3 percent to C$102.60.

Energy stocks contributed the most to the equity gauge’s climb, adding 1.2 percent on the spike in oil prices. Niko Resources jumped 6.8 percent to C$5.48 to lead the surge.

Athabasca Oil Corp. climbed 3.8 percent to C$7.66.

Technology stocks advanced 1.1 percent as BlackBerry, the struggling smartphone maker, rose 2.7 percent to C$10.82.

The S&P/TSX Materials Index plunged 1.6 percent, the biggest loss as a group in the benchmark index. The drop erased an earlier advance of as much as 1.7 percent as gold, silver and copper prices retreated.

New Gold slumped 7.5 percent to C$7.15. Torex Gold Resources Inc. fell 6.4 percent to C$1.77.

Financial stocks retreated 0.2 percent for a third day of declines. Sun Life Financial Inc. led the drop, falling 1.3 percent to C$31.82.

National Bank of Canada gained 2.4 percent to C$81.14, as profit from trading and wealth management boosted earnings at the country’s sixth-largest lender.

US

By Nick Taborek and Namitha Jagadeesh

Aug. 28 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rebounding from an eight-week low, as energy shares rallied and investors watched developments on Syria.

Chevron Corp. and Exxon Mobil Corp. jumped more than 2.3 percent. TiVo Inc. climbed 5.6 percent after the maker of digital-video recorders posted a profit. Joy Global Inc. lost 4.7 percent as the mining equipment maker said orders for new equipment are declining. PulteGroup Inc. and D.R. Horton Inc. declined at least 1.2 percent as pending sales of existing homes unexpectedly fell in July.

The S&P 500 rose 0.3 percent to 1,634.96 at 4 p.m. in New York. The index closed just short of its average level for the past 100 days of 1,638.27, after slipping below it yesterday for the first time since June. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 48.38 points, or 0.3 percent, to 14,824.51.

“We’re simply just seeing a little bit of bounce back from what was very bad action yesterday,” Walter Todd, who oversees about $950 million as chief investment officer of Greenwood Capital Associates LLC in Greenwood, South Carolina, said by phone. “There are probably starting to be opportunities that are being created in certain segments of the market as a result of this sell-off, and investors are wisely looking to see if they can take advantage of some of those.”

The S&P 500 slid 1.6 percent yesterday to the lowest level since July 3 amid concern the U.S. will take action against Syria. The U.S. and the U.K. today said they are prepared to take military action against Syria without authorization from the United Nations Security Council.

After Russia objected to a UN resolution offered by the U.K. authorizing action to protect civilians, a State Department spokeswoman said the U.S. will take “appropriate” steps without the international body’s approval. The U.S. and its NATO allies began presenting their justification for military action as they advanced plans for launching strikes and prepared evidence that the Syrian government used chemical weapons on its own people.

“This is an environment where people are really focused on one variable which is going to dominate all others, and that, today, is Syria,” Lawrence Creatura, a Rochester, New York- based fund manager at Federated Investors Inc., which oversees about $380 billion, said in a phone interview. “The reflex is to sell during times of sudden unexpected conflict. Weakness derived from temporary events can often times be a great buying opportunity.”

The S&P 500 has lost 4.4 percent from a record high on Aug. 2 amid growing speculation the Federal Reserve will reduce its monthly bond buying. Minutes of the central bank’s July meeting released Aug. 21 showed policy makers supported stimulus cuts this year if the economy improves. Fed stimulus helped push the S&P 500 up as much as 153 percent from its March 2009 low, as better-than-estimated corporate earnings also fueled gains.

Data today showed fewer Americans signed contracts in July to buy previously owned homes. The index of pending home sales dropped 1.3 percent, the most this year, after a 0.4 percent decrease in June, according to figures from the National Association of Realtors. Economists forecast no change in the gauge from the month before, according to a median estimate in a Bloomberg survey.

About 5.2 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges.

Trading volume is heading for the second-slowest month in at least five years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. An average of about 5.5 billion shares changed hands each day this month. That’s about 80 million shares more than last August.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX, fell 1.7 percent to 16.49. The equity volatility gauge has surged 39 percent since a five-month low on Aug. 5.

Seven out of 10 main industry groups in the S&P 500 rose, with energy companies jumping 1.8 percent to pace advances.

Chevron advanced 2.5 percent to $121.81. Exxon Mobil rallied 2.3 percent to $88.84. Marathon Oil Corp. increased 3.7 percent to $34.60. Oil futures climbed 1 percent to the highest in two years.

TiVo advanced 5.6 percent to $11.58 after reporting second- quarter net income of $268.9 million, including legal settlements, compared with a $27 million loss a year earlier.

Chief Executive Officer Tom Rogers said in an interview the company will be profitable for the remainder of the fiscal year ending January and through the following year.

Avago Technologies Ltd. surged 4.7 percent to $38.28. The supplier of components for wireless communications reported third-quarter revenue of $664 million, exceeding the $617.25 million average forecast of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

Zale Corp. rose 30 percent to $11.63, the highest level since 2008. The jewelery retailer reported fourth-quarter revenue that beat analyst estimates as same-store sales jumped 5.6 percent.

Express Inc. gained 6.6 percent to $21.10. The specialty retailer said same-store sales rose 6 percent in the second quarter, beating analysts’ estimates, and raised its profit forecast.

Tiffany & Co. retreated 4.4 percent to $77.25, extending its loss for the week so far to 5.8 percent. The world’s second- largest luxury jewelry retailer yesterday reported second- quarter sales that were short of analyst estimates.

Joy Global lost 4.7 percent to $48.89. The mining equipment producer’s CEO, Mike Sutherlin, said the market “has become even more challenging,” as customers’ declining cash flows are resulting in “significantly” reduced capital expenditures.

Caterpillar Inc. slid 0.3 percent to $82.45.

An S&P index of homebuilders fell 1.2 percent. PulteGroup lost 1.4 percent to $15.38 while D.R. Horton declined 1.2 percent to $17.77.

Taser International Inc. fell 5.9 percent to $11.15, after rising 38 percent in the past 11 trading days. The maker of stun guns declined after JPMorgan analysts downgraded the shares to neutral from overweight.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

Live your own life.

That is to say, where you are, as you are, with what you are, and with who you are…

Accept the situation in which you find yourself and try, at the same time, to adapt to it.

You cannot escape from it.

Swami Prajnanpad, 1891-1974


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

I have decided to stick with love.  Hate is too great a burden

to bear.

-Martin Luther King Jr., 1929-1968


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

 

August 27, 2013 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

We were watching BBC’s program Hard Talk last night and it concerned climate change, specifically how it is affecting arctic animals.  It is pretty concerning.  There were not even any ice floes this past summer for the first time.  Normally, the polar bears tread the ice floes to find food.  Now they are scavenging on land.  And it also showed huge numbers of walruses clustered together on the shore, when normally they would be in the icy waters.  Their habitat is changing irrevocably.  The ice in winter is now too thin for the animals to move around on or for the indigenous peoples to walk on to fish in ice holes.  And the Russian government is preparing to expand its deep sea drilling exploration for oil and gas in the area, further disrupting the way of life.  The news that followed the program showed the fires raging in California and the flooding in Mexico, India and other places around the word – occurring right now.

I attended a lecture on climate change given by Al Gore a few years ago when he first published his book on the subject, An Inconvenient Truth.   It would appear his observations and predictions are accurate.   It’s pretty clear that the consequences of ignoring the triggers will be catastrophic for the planet; we need to ramp up political pressure for change.

Photos of the Day –August 27th, 2013

Sacramento Metropolitan firefighters monitor the Rim Fire near Camp Mather, Calif. The fire has burned 160,980 acres on the northwest side of Yosemite National Park. Max Whittaker/Reuters

A vender moves piles of bananas to a shallow area on a street over flowed with rainwater in Yangon, Myanmar. Gemunu Amarasinghe/AP

Market Closes for August 27th, 2013

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

14776.13 -170.33 

 

-1.14%

S&P 500 1630.48 -26.30 

 

-1.59%

NASDAQ 3578.524 -79.047 

 

-2.16%

TSX 12591.21 -169.09

 

-1.33%

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 13542.37 -93.91

 

-0.69%

 

HANG 

SENG

21874.77 -130.55

 

-0.59%

 

SENSEX 17968.08 -590.05

 

-3.18%

 

FTSE 100 6440.97 -51.13

 

-0.79%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.563 2.650
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

3.040 3.120
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.7087 2.7853
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.6916 3.7666

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.95434 0.95204

 

US  

$

1.04784 1.05038
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.40330 0.71261
US 

$

1.33889 0.74689

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1417.39 1402.35
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 109.01 105.92
BRENT 109.359 109.359 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Alex Barinka

Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell, giving the benchmark index its biggest drop since June, on growing tension over possible military action in Syria.

Raw-materials companies fell 3.7 percent, reversing an earlier rally of as much as 1.3 percent amid a surge in gold prices. Energy shares also erased an advance amid a jump in oil.

OceanaGold Corp. and Niko Resources Ltd. tumbled more than 7.4 percent. Bank of Nova Scotia dropped 1.7 percent while Bank of Montreal increased 0.4 percent as investors weighed quarterly earnings reports.

The S&P/TSX fell 169.09 points, or 1.3 percent, to 12,591.21 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, the most since June 24. The index trimmed its gain for the month to 0.8 percent. Trading volume was 4.7 percent higher than the 30-day average at this time of the day.

“The gold stocks are the surprise,” John Kinsey, a portfolio manager with Caldwell Securities Ltd. in Toronto, said in a phone interview. The firm manages about $1 billion. “They were up this morning and they have all turned around now. If you are nervous about the market, you tend to sell the ones where you have a profit. It has been a pretty good month for the gold stocks and the oil stocks.”

The benchmark gauge fell yesterday, erasing an earlier gain, after U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said the nation will hold Syria’s government accountable for using chemical weapons, fanning concern unrest may disrupt Middle East oil supplies.

President Barack Obama is under growing pressure from U.S. allies and Congress to go beyond denunciations of Syria and take military action after the Aug. 21 attack that opposition groups say killed more than 1,300 people. Iran’s Foreign Ministry warned that a U.S. attack on Syria would drag the whole region into conflict.

All 10 industries in the benchmark index fell. Technology companies slid 2.6 percent, with CGI Group Inc. dropping 3.3 percent to C$34.45 and BlackBerry Ltd. declining 3.8 percent to C$10.54.

Gold shares dropped after erasing an early rally. The S&P/TSX Gold Index dropped 4.2 percent, paring its gain for the month to 14 percent. The metal’s price jumped to the highest since May as the Syrian political tension increased demand for the precious metal as a store of value.

OceanaGold slid 9.4 percent to C$1.94. Alacer Gold Corp. tumbled 5.1 percent to C$3.32.

Energy companies lost 0.2 percent, trimming their advance for the year to 2.6 percent. Niko Resources declined 7.4 percent to C$5.13. West Texas Intermediate crude rose to an 18-month high on speculation that tension in Syria will disrupt Middle East supplies.

The S&P/TSX Commercial Banks Index fell 0.9 percent even as two of its eight members reported third-quarter earnings that beat analysts’ estimates.

Bank of Montreal, the nation’s fourth-largest lender by assets, increased 0.4 percent to C$66.05, the highest close since 2007. Profit topped analysts’ estimates on record consumer lending and lower provisions for bad loans.

Bank of Nova Scotia fell 1.7 percent to C$57.71. Canada’s third-largest lender by assets said net income for the period fell 14 percent from a year earlier when the bank had a one-time gain. Earnings from its global banking and markets business slipped 3 percent in the latest quarter.

National Bank of Canada reports results tomorrow, followed by Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Royal Bank of Canada and Toronto-Dominion Bank on Aug. 29. The country’s six biggest banks are expected to post average per-share profit growth of 3.3 percent excluding some items, according to Robert Sedran, an analyst with CIBC.

US

By Nick Taborek and Lu Wang

Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropping the most since June 20, as growing tension over possible military action in Syria overshadowed a report showing consumer confidence unexpectedly rose in August.

Financial and technology shares lost at least 2 percent to lead declines among 10 S&P 500 main industries. American Express Co. and Microsoft Corp. sank more than 2.3 percent. Southwest Airlines Co. tumbled 3.5 percent amid concern surging oil prices will boost fuel costs. D.R. Horton Inc. fell 3.8 percent as a report showed residential real-estate prices increased in June at a slower pace.

The S&P 500 slid 1.6 percent to 1,630.48 at 4 p.m. in New York, the lowest closing level since July 3 and 4.6 percent below the latest record on Aug. 2. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 170.33 points, or 1.1 percent, to 14,776.13, The gauge has fallen eight of the past 10 sessions to the lowest since June 25.

“Everybody’s waiting to see what’s going to happen,” Randy Bateman, who oversees $15 billion as chief investment officer of Huntington Asset Advisors in Columbus, Ohio, said by phone. “Is this going to escalate? Energy prices, if they rise a whole lot, could that mitigate all the strength we’ve been seeing lately in the economy? If we’ve got housing prices that start to rise at the same time we have food and fuel increasing, we could see inflation start to rise and that could impact Fed policy.”

The benchmark gauge fell 0.4 percent yesterday, reversing an early gain of as much as 0.4 percent after Secretary of State John Kerry said the U.S. will hold Syria’s government accountable for using chemical weapons, fanning concern unrest may disrupt Middle East oil supplies. Crude rose to an 18-month high today.

The U.S., France and Britain stepped closer today to a military strike against Syria, laying the legal groundwork to justify action, moving forces into place and rounding up allies in the region. Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel told the BBC that the U.S. has “assets in place” and forces are “ready to go.”

The introduction of troops isn’t being considered, nor is imposition of a no-fly zone over Syria, according to a U.S. official who asked for anonymity to discuss internal deliberations.

Growing speculation the Federal Reserve will reduce its monthly bond buying has also weighed on equities in recent weeks. Minutes of the central bank’s July meeting released Aug. 21 showed policy makers supported stimulus cuts this year if the economy improves.

Data today showed consumer confidence unexpectedly increased in August as Americans grew more optimistic about the outlook for the economy. A report from the Fed Bank of Richmond showed the overall business activity index for mid-Atlantic region, which accounts for 9.1 percent of gross domestic product, rose faster than estimated last month.

Investors are also watching the political wrangling over the approaching limit on federal spending. The U.S. government is expected to exhaust its ability to borrow funds in mid- October, when it will hit the statutory debt limit, according to an estimate from the Treasury Department in a letter to lawmakers released yesterday.

“It further adds to the degree of uncertainty that’s out there,” Bateman said.

Treasury Secretary Jacob J. Lew reiterated today that the Obama administration won’t negotiate over the debt limit, saying he thinks lawmakers understand the need to preserve the U.S.’s “rock-solid” pledge to meet its commitments.

House Speaker John Boehner said last month Republicans wouldn’t increase the debt ceiling “without real cuts in spending” that would achieve a further reduction in the deficit.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX, jumped 12 percent to 16.72 today, headed for the highest close since June 28. The equity volatility gauge has surged 40 percent since a five-month low on Aug. 5.

Trading in U.S. exchanges is heading for the second-slowest month in at least five years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. An average of about 5.5 billion shares changed hands each day this month. That’s about 60 million shares more than last August. About 6.2 billion shares traded today, in line with the three month average.

Today’s drop in the S&P 500 pushed the gauge below its average during the past 100 days for a second time this year, data compiled by Bloomberg show. The average measure, which is followed by some analysts who study charts to gauge the market’s trends, was last broken on a closing basis on June 24, when the index bottomed after a 5.8 percent retreat from its May peak.

The threshold stood near 1,638 recently.

All 10 main S&P 500 groups retreated. American Express fell 2.3 percent to $71.91, the lowest since May 14. Microsoft dropped 2.6 percent to $33.26 for the steepest slide in the Dow.

Airlines dropped as West Texas Intermediate crude rose to a the  highest since February 2012 amid the tension in Syria. The Bloomberg U.S. Airlines Index tumbled 5.1 percent to the lowest since June, as all 10 members retreated.

Southwest dropped 3.5 percent to $12.80. United Continental Holdings Inc. plunged 7.2 percent to $27.71 and Delta Air Lines Inc. slumped 5.7 percent to $19.11.

The S&P Supercomposite Homebuilding Index slipped 2.5 percent. The gauge has plunged 28 percent since a May high amid signs that the rate of improvement in the housing market is cooling.

Residential real-estate prices increased in June at a slower pace, the S&P/Case-Shiller index showed today. Data last week revealed a larger-than-forecast drop in sales of new homes in July. D.R. Horton dropped 3.8 percent to $17.99, the lowest in almost 13 months, while PulteGroup Inc. slid 3.5 percent to $15.59.

Best Buy Co. lost 2.2 percent to $35.02. Richard Schulze, the electronics retailer’s founder and largest shareholder, said he plans to sell an undisclosed amount of its stock to diversify his assets and raise money.

DSW Inc. jumped 7.9 percent to a record $87.75. The shoe retailer reported second-quarter profit excluding some items of 97 cents a share, beating the average estimate of 79 cents from analysts in a Bloomberg survey.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

We are trying to understand violence as a fact, not as an idea,

as a fact which exists in the human being, and the human being is myself.

I must be in a state of mind that demands to see this thing right to the end

and at no point stops and says I will go no further.

Now it must be obvious to me that I am a violent human being.

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

As a child my family’s menu consisted of

two choices: take it or leave it.

-Buddy Hackett, 1924-2003


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

August 26, 2013 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

On this day in 1498, Michelangelo was commissioned to carve the Pietá; it is the only piece he ever signed.

Also on this day in 1946, Norma Jeane Baker signed a contract with 20th Century FOX and officially changed her name to Marilyn Monroe.

On August 26th, 1920,  Women’s Equality Day was established.  “Feminism is the radical concept that women are people.” –Cheris Kramarae & Paula Treichler.

Are all of us the same, I wonder, navigating our lives by interpreting the silences between words spoken, analyzing the returning echoes of our memory in order to chart the terrain, in order to make sense of the world around us?

-Tan Twan Eng, The Garden of Evening Mists

Photos of the Day –August 26th, 2013

Vadim Veligurov kisses Abi, a wild sparrow, during a walk near his grandmother’s house in the town of Minusinsk, Russia, August 22, 2013. In June Veligurov, found and brought the lost female baby bird to his grandmother’s house. The rescued sparrow, which was named Abi, didn’t fly away and since then has spent most her time with Veligurov. /Ilya Naymushin/Reuters

Pigeons sit on the arm of a retired man as he enjoys a walk in Enghien-les-Bains, north of Paris. France’s government, which has been meeting with labor union heads about retirement issues, neared a deal with trade unions to overhaul the pension system via a slight lengthening of working lives. Christian Hartmann/Reuters

Market Closes for August 26th, 2013

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

14946.46 -64.05 

 

-0.43%

S&P 500 1658.71 -4.79 

 

-0.29%

NASDAQ 3657.571 -0.221 

 

-0.01%

TSX 12764.59 +2.29 

 

+0.02% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 13636.28 -24.27 

 

-0.18% 

 

HANG 

SENG

22005.32 +141.81 

 

+0.65% 

 

SENSEX 18558.13 +38.69 

 

+0.21% 

 

FTSE 100 6492.10 +45.23 

 

+0.70% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.650 2.692
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

3.120 3.162
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.7853 2.8146
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.7666 3.7916

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.95204 0.95292 

 

 

US  

$

1.05038 1.04941
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.40435 0.71208
US 

$

1.33699 0.74795

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1402.35 1397.75
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 105.92 106.57
BRENT 109.359 109.359 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Alex Barinka

Aug. 26 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks erased gains, sending the benchmark index lower after a two-day advance, as concern over Syria overshadowed a rally in commodity shares and speculation the U.S. Federal Reserve won’t reduce stimulus soon.

Paramount Resources Ltd. lost 2.8 percent as energy shares slid. Alacer Gold Corp. and Endeavour Silver Corp. climbed more than 4.1 percent to pace gains among commodity producers. Agrium Inc. and Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. jumped at least 2.4 percent as OAO Uralkali’s chief executive officer was detained in Belarus after the largest potash producer pulled out of a joint venture that controlled more than 40 percent of exports.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 2 points, or less than 0.1 percent, to 12,760.30 at 4:00 p.m. in Toronto, erasing an earlier advance of 0.4 percent. The index has gained 2.2 percent in August. Trading volume was 20 percent lower than the 30-day average at this time of the day.

“Lots of people are in wait-and-see mode,” Brian Huen, managing partner with Red Sky Capital Management Ltd. in Toronto, said in a telephone interview. His firm manages C$220 million ($214 million). “They are going to be monitoring the data out of the U.S. very closely to see what the Fed is going to be doing. The materials index is up nicely.”

Stocks fell after U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said the president will hold Syria’s government accountable for using chemical weapons. President Barack Obama is consulting with allies and members of Congress and “believes there must be accountability for those who have used the world’s most dangerous weapons,” Kerry said.

“By any standard it is inexcusable,” Kerry told reporters in Washington today, saying evidence makes it “undeniable” that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s regime was responsible for last week’s attack that the opposition blames for more than 1,300 deaths.

The S&P/TSX had gained as much as 0.4 percent earlier, led by rising commodity shares, as a report showing a drop in U.S. durable-goods orders spurred speculation the Fed won’t reduce stimulus soon. U.S. Commerce Department data showed bookings for goods meant to last at least three years decreased 7.3 percent, the most since August 2012.

Federal Reserve officials are weighing when to begin curbing bond purchases that they pledged to maintain until the job market improves. Minutes released on Aug. 21 showed policy makers were comfortable with Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s plan to taper this year if the economy strengthens.

Nine of 10 industries fell as a decline in energy shares offset a 1.7 percent rally in raw-materials producers.

Energy companies dropped 0.4 percent, erasing an earlier advance of as much as 0.3 percent. West Texas Intermediate crude fell for the first time in three days, declining 0.5 percent.

Paramount Resources slid 2.8 percent to C$33.20. AltaGas Ltd. fell 0.2 percent to C$35.52.

Alacer rose 7 percent to C$3.50, the highest level since April. Iamgold Corp. climbed 1.6 percent to C$7.17. Endeavour Silver gained 4.1 percent to C$5.83. Silver futures jumped 1.2 percent, while gold was down 0.2 percent at $1,393.10 an ounce.

Potash producers rallied after Uralkali CEO Vladislav Baumgertner was charged with abusing his office as chairman of Belarusian Potash Co., the trading venture that Russia’s Uralkali and Belaruskali set up in 2005.

Agrium rose 3.3 percent to C$94.07. Potash Corp. gained 2.4 percent to C$32.10.

The S&P/TSX Commercial Banks Index increased 0.2 percent to a record high. Five of eight companies in the group rose today.

Canadian banks are scheduled to post earnings this week, with Bank of Montreal and Bank of Nova Scotia reporting tomorrow.

Canada Imperial Bank of Commerce climbed 1 percent to C$80.69. Bank of Montreal rose 0.9 percent to C$65.78. Toronto- Dominion rose 0.2 percent to a record C$88.96.

US

By Nick Taborek

Aug. 26 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index’s halting two days of gains, after Secretary of State John Kerry said the president will hold Syria’s government accountable for using chemical weapons.

Tyson Foods Inc., the largest U.S. meat processor, slid 7.3 percent after Bank of America Corp. analysts cut their rating on the stock. Archer-Daniels-Midland Co., the largest corn processor, dropped 4.9 percent as hot, dry weather in the Midwest threatened to reduce crop harvests. Amgen Inc. jumped 7.7 percent after agreeing to buy cancer-treatment developer Onyx Pharmaceuticals Inc. in a $10.4 billion transaction.

The S&P 500 declined 0.4 percent to 1,656.78 at 4 p.m. in New York, erasing an earlier gain of as much as 0.4 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 64.05 points, or 0.4 percent, to 15,946.46.

“If there’s going to be turmoil and then if there’s going to be some retaliation and affect U.S. assets, people get a little scared,” Frank Ingarra, head trader at Greenwich, Connecticut-based NorthCoast Asset Management LLC, said in a phone interview. “It’s a bit of a pullback so people are probably taking some risk off the table.”

President Barack Obama is consulting with allies and members of Congress and “believes there must be accountability for those who have used the world’s most dangerous weapons,” Kerry said.

“By any standard it is inexcusable,” Kerry told reporters in Washington today, saying evidence makes it “undeniable” that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s regime was responsible for last week’s attack that the opposition blames for more than 1,300 deaths.

The S&P 500 spiked lower following the statements after earlier extending its first weekly gain since Aug. 2., as investors speculated whether a report showing durable-goods orders fell in July would delay stimulus cuts.

A Commerce Department report showed bookings for goods meant to last at least three years decreased 7.3 percent, the most since August 2012, after a 3.9 percent gain in June. Orders waned for aircraft and capital goods such as computers and electrical equipment.

“It’s another data point that indicates a slow recovery,” Eric Teal, who helps oversee $5 billion as the chief investment officer at First Citizens BancShares Inc. in Raleigh, North Carolina, said by phone. “Given that the Fed’s position is data dependent, then I think that the odds are increasing that there’ll be less tightening than more.”

Stocks rebounded last week after a data showing a plunge in sales of new homes eased concern that the Federal Reserve would curb stimulus efforts next month. Officials have been weighing whether the economy is strong enough to prompt a reduction in stimulus, which has helped propel the S&P 500 up as much as 153 percent from its March 2009 low.

Speculation about the stimulus has whipsawed stocks since May, when Chairman Ben S. Bernanke first indicated cuts could start this year. Sixty-five percent of economists in a Bloomberg Aug. 9-13 survey said the first reduction would come at the Sept. 17-18 meeting.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX, rose 7.2 percent to 14.99 today, surging after Kerry’s comments to reverse an earlier drop of 0.6 percent. The equity volatility gauge has jumped 27 percent since Aug. 5.

Trading in U.S. exchanges is heading for the second-slowest month in at least five years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. An average of about 5.5 billion shares have changed hands each day this month. That’s about 60 million shares more than last August. About 4.7 billion shares traded today, 24 percent below the three-month average.

Nine of 10 major groups in the S&P 500 fell. Shares in phone companies and consumer staples producers lost at least 1.1 percent to pace declines. Procter & Gamble Co. slid 1.8 percent to $78.54 for the steepest drop in the Dow. AT&T Inc. and Verizon Communications Inc. retreated 1.4 percent.

Tyson Foods dropped 7.3 percent to $29.17 for the steepest decline in the S&P 500. Ryan Oksenhendler and Bryan Spillane at Bank of America’s Merrill Lynch unit cut the shares to neutral, similar to a hold rating, from buy, after a 62 percent rally this year.

“Industry data indicate a steep increase in production,” the analysts wrote in a report today. “In our view, this is likely to cause industry margins to peak sooner than we expected.” They also cut Tyson’s 2014 profit estimates, citing lower chicken prices.

Archer-Daniels-Midland fell 4.9 percent to $34.50, while Kraft Foods Group Inc. declined 1.4 percent to $52.08, the lowest since May. Temperatures will average as much as 14 degrees Fahrenheit above normal during the next seven days, with little rain expected in the Midwest, T-Storm Weather LLC said in a note to clients today. Rainfall in July and August will be the least since 1936 in Iowa, Illinois and Indiana.

An S&P index of homebuilders added 0.5 percent, rebounding from a 3.1 percent drop on Aug. 23 following the new home-sales report. The gauge has lost 26 percent since climbing to near a six-year high on May 14, as rising interest rates have raised concern that the housing recovery could slow. Treasury 10-year yields retreated today.

KB Home rose 1.2 percent to $16.63 today and Toll Brothers Inc. advanced 0.8 percent to $31.43. Home Depot Inc., the largest U.S. home-improvement retailer, climbed 2.1 percent to $75.43 for the biggest increase in the Dow.

“The home industry is on firm footing,” Jim Russell, senior equity strategist for U.S. Bank Wealth Management, said in an interview from Cincinnati. His firm oversees $110 billion.

“We do think the homebuilders are going to be pretty much tied at the hip to the daily interest rate moves, and absolutely tied to what’s decided on the taper.”

Amgen gained 7.7 percent to a record $113.75 for the biggest gain in the S&P 500. The pharmaceuticals maker agreed to pay $125 a share for Onyx’s outstanding stock, the companies said in a statement yesterday. Onyx’s Kyprolis, approved last year for a rare blood cancer, may spur more than $3 billion in revenue by 2021, according to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Onyx jumped 5.6 percent to $123.49.

Anadarko Petroleum Corp. climbed 1.4 percent to $91.02. The oil explorer said in a statement yesterday it agreed to sell a 10 percent stake in a Mozambique gas field to ONGC Videsh Ltd., a unit of India’s biggest energy explorer, for $2.64 billion.

Facebook Inc. advanced 2 percent to $41.34. The market value of the world’s largest social network topped $100 billion at the close for the first time since its initial public offering in May 2012. The stock has more than doubled since falling to a record low of $17.73 in September.

TMS International Corp. jumped 12 percent to $17.48.

Chicago’s Pritzker family, owner of a controlling stake in Hyatt Hotels Corp., agreed to acquire the steel mill servicer for $690 million in cash. TMS is the largest producer of outsourced industrial services to steel mills in North America as measured by revenue.

Price gains of stocks in the S&P 500 are outpacing profits by the fastest rate in 14 years as the bull market extends beyond the average length of rallies since Harry S. Truman was president.

The benchmark gauge for U.S. equities has risen 14 percent relative to income over the past 12 months to 16 times earnings, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Valuations last climbed this fast in the final year of the 1990s technology bubble, just before the index began a 49 percent tumble. The rally that started in March 2009 has now outlasted the average gain since 1946, the data show.

“Markets have been running away,” Robert Royle, who helps oversee $21 billion as manager of the North American Trust at Smith & Williamson Investment Management LLP in London, said by telephone on Aug. 20. “Everyone is hoping for a second-half recovery in fundamentals,” he said. “I am just not sure what will drive the recovery.”

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

Man has accepted conflict as an innate part of daily existence

because he has accepted competition, jealousy, greed, acquisitiveness and aggression

as a natural way of life.

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Go to heaven for the climate, Hell for the company.

-Mark Twain, 1835-1910


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

 

August 23, 2013 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

On this day 50 years ago – August 23rd, 1963, The Beatles released She Loves You sung by Paul McCartney.  It became their best selling single in Great Britain.

Speaking of love, the story about Antoinette Tuff this week is truly inspirational and underscores the power of love.  She is the person who reached out to the gunman in the Atlanta-area elementary school who was intent on wreaking the kind of devastation that befell so many families in Newton, Connecticut last December.  She reached out to the young man with love and convinced him to lay down his weapons.  Incredibly, no one was hurt.  This is proof of the power of good over evil.  Good cannot be silenced.  It would be transformative for this planet of ours if we all approached our lives with the  same courage to do what Tuff did.  Tuff believed in the power of good over evil and her courage in reaching out to the young man with love saved not only the children in the school but probably that young man’s life as well, as she soothingly convinced him that he could be better.  I was listening to the radio in my car on the way home from the office when the recording of her interaction with him came on and I was mesmerized by it.  I thought about how the world would benefit and be so different if we all greeted every situation, from the mildly annoying to the utterly terrifying, with the same attitude as Antoinette Tuff’s.

There are in fact two things, science and opinion: the former begets knowledge, the latter ignorance. –Hippocrates.

Photos of the Day –August 23rd, 2013

In July 2013, the National Park Service began work on the Martin Luther King Jr. Memorial in Washington to remove a controversial inscription from the sculpture. It reads: ‘I was a drum major for justice, peace and righteousness.’ The truncated line was paraphrased from a sermon King delivered in 1968: ‘Yes, if you want to say that I was a drum major, say that I was a drum major for justice. Say that I was a drum major for peace. I was a drum major for righteousness. And all the other shallow things will not matter.’ J. Scott Applewhite/AP

The Rev. Bobby Turner of Columbus, Ohio, places his hand on the Martin Luther King Jr. Memorial, Aug. 22, 2013, in Washington. Carolyn Kaster/AP

Market Closes for August 23rd, 2013

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

15010.51 +46.77 

 

+0.31%

S&P 500 1663.50 +6.54 

 

+0.39%

NASDAQ 3657.792 +19.085 

 

+0.52%

TSX 12762.30 +87.95 

 

+0.69% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 13660.55 +295.38 

 

+2.21% 

 

HANG 

SENG

21863.51 -31.89 

 

-0.15% 

 

SENSEX 18519.44 +206.50 

 

+1.13% 

 

FTSE 100 6492.10 +45.23 

 

+0.70% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.692 2.743
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

3.162 3.208
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.8146 2.8844
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.7916 3.8702

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.95292 0.95080 

 

US  

$

1.04941 1.05175
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.40427 0.71212
US 

$

1.33805 0.74736

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1397.75 1376.00
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 106.57 105.09
BRENT 109.359 109.359 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

Aug. 23 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, closing at the highest level in five months, as gold producers surged after a plunge in U.S. new-home sales boosted speculation the Federal Reserve will maintain stimulus.

Alacer Gold Corp. and Iamgold Corp. rallied at least 5.9 percent as the metal traded at its highest in 11 weeks. Maple Leaf Foods Inc. jumped 7.8 percent as it agreed to sell a unit for C$645 million ($614 million). Penn West Petroleum Ltd. added 1.7 percent after cutting 25 percent of its workforce to reduce costs.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 87.95 points, or 0.7 percent, to 12,762.30 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, the highest level since March 20. The index erased losses from earlier in the week to finish the five-day period 0.2 higher.

Sales of newly built homes in the U.S. plunged the most in more than three years last month. The July minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee showed policy makers are “supportive” of Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s plan to begin scaling back the bank’s $85 billion a month bond purchases later this year. Central-bank stimulus has helped propel global equities higher.

“The data may have markets reassessing U.S. growth and when, or by how much, the Fed will taper quantitative easing,” said Andrew Grantham, an economist with CIBC World Markets in a note today.

The price of gold rallied on the housing data, briefly topping $1,400 an ounce to its highest level since June 7. The price of gold settled up 1.5 percent at $1,396.30.

The S&P/TSX Gold Index surged 2.7 percent to a four-month high. While the index has rallied 42 percent since June 26, it remains down 27 percent this year. Alacer Gold soared 7.2 percent to C$3.27 and Iamgold rallied 5.9 percent to C$7.06.

Raw-materials producers climbed 1.6 percent as a group for the biggest gain in the S&P/TSX, with all 10 industry groups advancing. Trading volume was 18 percent lower than the 30-day average.

Royal Bank of Canada, the nation’s largest lender, gained 1 percent to C$65.12 as Canada’s banks rose 0.8 percent to close at the highest this month. Bank of Montreal, scheduled to report earnings on Aug. 27, added 0.7 percent to C$65.20 for a fourth day of gains.

Maple Leaf, the Canadian food processor, jumped 7.8 percent, the most in almost five years, to C$14.44, after agreeing to sell its Rothsay animal-rendering business to Darling International.

Suncor Energy Inc. added 1.9 percent to C$36.06 as crude erased earlier losses to advance 1.3 percent in New York on signs of accelerating economic growth in Europe and unrest in the Middle East.

Penn West Petroleum, based in Calgary, rose 1.7 percent to C$12.12. The company has cut 550 jobs from the beginning of the year and expects to record an expense of about C$25 million in the third quarter related to the move.

US

By Nikolaj Gammeltoft and Alex Barinka

Aug. 23 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index posting its first two-day rally in three weeks, as investors watched Federal Reserve officials for signals on stimulus cuts after data showed home sales plunged.

Microsoft Inc. rallied 7.3 percent after Chief Executive Officer Steve Ballmer said he would retire within 12 months.

Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. added 1.2 percent after the shares slid the most in more than four months following a trading disruption yesterday. D.R. Horton Inc. sank 2.9 percent to pace declines in an index of homebuilder stocks. Pandora Media Inc. slumped 13 percent as its sales forecast missed estimates.

The S&P 500 climbed 0.4 percent to 1,663.47 at 4 p.m. in New York. The gauge added 1.3 percent in the past two sessions in the first back-to-back advance since Aug. 2. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 46.62 points, or 0.3 percent, to 15,010.36. About 4.9 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges today, 21 percent below the three-month average.

“The macro picture is very important,” Jim Russell, the senior equity strategist for U.S. Bank Wealth Management, said in an interview from Cincinnati. His firm oversees $110 billion.

“Investors are trying to figure out how markets will respond to rising rates and what it will mean for the consumers and the business climate. This weekend’s meeting in Jackson Hole is a focus although we don’t expect big announcements.”

The S&P 500 gained 0.5 percent this week, snapping a run of two losing weeks, as investors weighed whether the economy is strong enough to prompt the Fed to curb its monthly bond purchases. Minutes from the central bank’s July meeting released Aug. 21 showed almost all policy makers agreed with plans to slow the pace if the economy continues to improve in line with forecasts.

Three Fed regional bank presidents, who spoke today from a monetary policy conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, differed over the timing for reducing the bond buying, with one backing a tapering next month if the economy remains strong and two others saying policy makers should take time to assess economic data.

“We can take our time” on slowing purchases, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said. San Francisco’s John Williams told CNBC he wants to “taper our purchases later this year” if the economy doesn’t flag, while Atlanta’s Dennis Lockhart said he “would be supportive” of slowing purchases next month if the expansion holds up.

Data today from the Commerce Department showed purchases of new U.S. homes plunged in July by the most in more than three years and previous months were revised down, a sign that growth in the industry may be taking a pause as mortgage rates rise.

Yields on 10-year Treasury notes have risen toward a two-year high.

“Home sales are a big part of this recovery story in the U.S.,” Paul Zemsky, the New York-based head of asset allocation for ING Investment Management, which oversees $180 billion, said in an interview. “The fact that there are rising interest rates looks like it may be starting to bite into new home sales. That’s probably going to cause the economy be a little softer in the second half.”

The monetary support helped push the S&P 500 up as much as 153 percent from its March 2009 low. Speculation about the stimulus has whipsawed stocks since May, when Chairman Ben S.

Bernanke, who is not at the conference, first indicated cuts could start this year.

The S&P 500 tumbled 5.8 percent from a record high on May 21 through June 24. It then rebounded as much as 8.7 percent to close at its latest record of 1,709.67 on Aug. 2. The index closed today 2.7 percent below the all-time high.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX, dropped 5.3 percent to 13.98. The equity volatility gauge fell 2.7 percent in the past five days to halt two consecutive weeks of advances.

Nasdaq halted trading of its listed stocks for three hours yesterday because a computer problem left some investors without quotes and the company did not want to have “information asymmetry,” Chief Executive Officer Robert Greifeld said in interviews today.

Nasdaq shares rose 1.2 percent to $30.83 after retreating 3.4 percent yesterday. The exchange operator will probably not have to spend large sums on damages, Wells Fargo & Co. analysts led by Christopher Harris wrote in a note. Nasdaq suspended trading in the stocks, so investors probably didn’t lose money as a result of mismanaged orders.

Greifeld told CNBC that Nasdaq has “no liability” from the outage and said yesterday’s share decline was a buying opportunity.

Microsoft rallied 7.3 percent to $34.75 for the biggest gain in the Dow. Ballmer, who has struggled to adapt to an era of declining personal-computer sales, will retire after more than a decade leading the world’s largest software maker.

Autodesk Inc. jumped 7.7 percent, the most since October 2011, to $38.91. The software maker was upgraded to buy from neutral by B Riley & Co. after its sales and profit topped estimates in the second quarter.

The S&P Supercomposite Homebuilding Index sank 3.1 percent, with all 11 members declining. PulteGroup Inc. retreated 1.6 percent to $16.06 and D.R. Horton slid 2.9 percent to $18.73.

Pandora Media slumped 13 percent to $18.91, its steepest slide this year. The biggest online radio service forecast third-quarter profit that will miss analysts’ estimates as the company invests to expand its sales staff.

 

Have a wonderful weekend everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

I am imperfect and want to be perfect – this alone is the starting point of my nonviolence.

The imperfect will turn perfect when it ceases to be and what is not comes into being.

Acharya Mahaprajna, 1920-2010


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

A friend is one who knows you and loves you just the same.

–Elbert Hubbard, 1856-1915


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

August 22, 2013 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Info fact:

Productive people are early risers

-by Jenna Fisher

Ever wonder why productive people get up insanely early?  Paul DeJoe, writing in an op-ed for Fast Company, may have figured it out:  Morning is the one time in the day when there is no pressure and no expectations.  “The second you check email on LinkedIn, an internal clock of new items immediately starts in our minds – a vicious cycle.  Planning your day the night before allows you to feel on top of your day and even look forward to it.

Cooperation is essential to address 21-st century challenges: you can’t fire cruise missiles at the global financial crises. –Nicholas D.. Kristof, NY Times columnist, 10/23/2008.

Photos of the Day –August 22nd, 2013

A man looks at a giant inukshuk, or stone landmark, as the moon rises in Rankin Inlet, Nunavut, Canada. Chris Wattie/Reuters

Ducks cross a street in Ruesselsheim, Germany. Ralph Orlowski/Reuters

Market Closes for August 22nd, 2013

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

14963.74 +66.19 

 

+0.44%

S&P 500 1656.96 +14.16 

 

+0.86%

NASDAQ 3638.707 +38.918 

 

+1.08%

TSX 12674.35 +101.27 

 

+0.81% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 13365.17 -59.16 

 

-0.44% 

 

HANG 

SENG

21895.40 +77.67 

 

+0.36% 

 

SENSEX 18312.94 +407.03 

 

+2.27% 

 

FTSE 100 6446.87 +56.03 

 

+0.88% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.743 2.754
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

3.208 3.216
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.8844 2.8935
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.8702 3.9197

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.95080 0.95382 

 

US  

$

1.05175 1.04841
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.40492 0.71178
US 

$

1.33579 0.74862

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1376.00 1366.24
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 105.09 103.81
BRENT 109.359 109.359 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

Aug. 22 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose the most in two weeks, as metal producers advanced after a purchasing manager’s index in China showed manufacturing unexpectedly expanded this month.

Miners Teck Resources Ltd. and First Quantum Minerals Ltd. jumped at least 3.8 percent as copper rallied. Barrick Gold Corp. added 3.1 percent after agreeing to sell three of its mines in Australia for $300 million. Suncor Energy Inc. advanced 1.5 percent as crude climbed from a two-week low. WesternZagros Resources Ltd. plunged 27 percent after reporting disappointing results from a test well.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 101.27 points, or 0.8 percent, to 12,674.35 at 4 p.m. in Toronto, the biggest gain since Aug. 8. The index has advanced 1.5 percent in August. Trading volume was 5.5 percent lower than the 30-day average at this time of the day.

The report from China “is indicative of a soft landing,” said Bob Decker, a fund manager with Aurion Capital Management in Toronto. The firm manages about C$6 billion ($5.7 billion).

“We still need more data from China. It’s too early to call the end of the slowdown just yet.”

A factory index released today showed Chinese manufacturing resumed expansion this month after shrinking the most in almost a year in July. Growth in the world’s second-biggest economy has been slowing in recent quarters.  China is Canada’s No. 2 trading partner and the largest consumer of metals and energy.

“This is good news for resource markets,” said David Rosenberg, chief economist and strategist with Gluskin Sheff & Associates Inc., in a note to clients today.

Raw-materials producers increased 2.3 percent, the most in the S&P/TSX as nine of 10 industries advanced.

Teck Resources, Canada’s largest diversified miner, jumped 3.8 percent to C$27.29 and First Quantum Minerals rallied 5 percent to C$18.58. Copper rallied 0.7 percent in New York, and nickel, tin and zinc prices advanced in London.

Barrick Gold, the world’s largest producer of the metal, rose 3.1 percent to C$20.57 after agreeing to the $300 million deal with Gold Fields Ltd. The move is part of Barrick’s plan to sell assets and cut costs to offset a drop in the price of gold, which plunged in April by the most in three decades.

Kinross Gold Corp. increased 3.1 percent to C$5.97 and Torex Gold Resources Inc. surged 6.3 percent to C$1.70 as the price of the metal for December delivery climbed for the second time in three days.

Suncor Energy added 1.5 percent to C$35.38 and BlackPearl Resources Inc. surged 8.5 percent to C$2.05. The S&P/TSX Energy Index advanced 0.5 percent as crude rebounded after falling yesterday to the lowest level since Aug. 8.

Bombardier Inc. gained 2.8 percent to C$4.70, snapping three days of losses. Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. advanced 3.6 percent to C$128.33, for the largest increase in three months, as the S&P/TSX Industrials Index rallied 1.5 percent for the first increase in four days.

WesternZagros Resources plunged 27 percent to C$1.10, the most since May 2010. Tests of the Kurdamir-3 well in Iraq’s Kurdistan region resulted in non-commercial flow rates, WesternZagros said in a statement yesterday.

“There was disappointment over one of their major wells,” Aurion’s Decker said. “It’s a one-hit wonder: if this play works out the stock is a home run, but it’s a very high risk.”

US

By Alex Barinka and Nikolaj Gammeltoft

Aug. 22 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks rose on data showing improvement in global manufacturing and the American labor market amid a three-hour trading halt on the Nasdaq Stock Market after a computer error.

A gauge of homebuilders added 1.9 percent after a report showed house prices rose 7.7 percent in June from a year ago.

Yahoo Inc. rallied 3.1 percent as data showed it attracted more U.S. visitors than Google Inc. in July. Hewlett-Packard Co. slid 12 percent after the personal computer maker’s quarterly profit forecast missed some analysts’ estimates. Abercrombie & Fitch Co. plunged 18 percent as second-quarter earnings that fell short of forecasts.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index gained 0.9 percent to 1,656.96 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 66.19 points, or 0.4 percent, to 14,963.74. The measure snapped a six-day losing streak, its longest slump in 13 months.

The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.1 percent to 3,638.71 after trading resumed following a computer error.

“The employment numbers were encouraging and showed a continuation of slow growth in employment,” Paul Mangus, head of equity strategy and research for Wells Fargo Private Bank in Charlotte, North Carolina, said in a telephone interview. His firm manages $170 billion. “There are signs of stabilization in China and improvement in Europe, which could help U.S. multinationals in the long run.”

Computer breakdowns shook American equity trading again as malfunctioning software that feeds data between exchanges prompted Nasdaq to halt trading in stocks and options today starting around 12:20 p.m. in New York. Trading resumed about three hours later.

Buying and selling in many of the country’s most heavily traded shares from Apple Inc. to Intel Corp. and Facebook Inc. ground to a virtual standstill. The disruption comes just two days after options markets were roiled by mistaken trades sent by Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

“It’s a big deal for the Nasdaq, but it wasn’t as impactful on the market as you would expect,” Douglas Kass, the founder of Palm Beach, Florida-based Seabreeze Partners Management Inc., said in a phone interview. “There’ll be some residual loss of confidence on the part of retail investors but beyond that I don’t think it’ll have impact.”

Nasdaq faced criticism last year when it mishandled the public debut of Facebook, causing hundreds of millions of dollars in losses for its member firms. The company’s shares fell 3.4 percent to $30.46 today, after earlier rising as much as 1.1 percent.

The halt resulted in the second fewest number of shares changing hands on U.S. exchanges in at least five years during a full-day session, excluding holiday trading. About 4.4 billion shares traded today, 30 percent below the three-month average.

Volume was lower only on Oct. 8, 2012, according to data Bloomberg began compiling in 2008.

About 740 million exchange-listed shares changed hands during the three hours through 3:20 p.m. in New York following the suspension, or a third of the total transactions over the first three hours of today’s trading, the data show.

The S&P 500 fell 0.6 percent yesterday to the lowest level since July 8 as minutes from the Federal Reserve’s July meeting showed officials support stimulus cuts this year if the economy improves.

Fed stimulus helped push the S&P 500 up as much as 153 percent from its March 2009 low, as better-than-estimated corporate earnings also fueled equity gains. Of the 483 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported quarterly earnings this period, 71 percent surpassed profit estimates, Bloomberg data show.

The fewest workers in more than five years applied for U.S. unemployment benefits over the past month, indicating the labor market continues to improve.

The number of claims in the month ended Aug. 17 declined to 330,500 a week on average, the least since November 2007, a Labor Department report showed today in Washington. Compared with a week earlier, claims rose by 13,000 to 336,000, in line with the median forecast of 48 economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

The Fed has said it plans to keep benchmark interest rates near zero at least as long as the unemployment rate is above 6.5 percent and inflation is no more than 2.5 percent.

Speculation about the stimulus has whipsawed stocks since May, when the Fed first indicated cuts could start this year.

The S&P 500 tumbled 5.8 percent from a record high on May 21 through June 24. It then rebounded as much as 8.7 percent to close at its latest record of 1,709.67 on Aug. 2. The index finished yesterday 3.9 percent below the all-time high.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX, dropped 7.4 percent to 14.76 today, after jumping yesterday to the highest since July 3. The equity volatility gauge has retreated 18 percent this year as the S&P 500 has rallied 16 percent on growing signs economic growth is improving.

Data today showed the Conference Board’s index of leading economic indicators increased 0.6 percent in July. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 0.5 percent advance.

Overseas reports showed Germany led growth in manufacturing and services in the euro area, while a gauge for China’s factory output unexpectedly showed expansion.

Energy stocks rallied 1.4 percent and materials producers jumped 1.2 percent as all 10 main industries in the S&P 500 advanced today.

Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. surged 5.8 percent to $22.44, snapping a string of five straight losses. Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. added 3.3 percent to $31.35 to pace gains among miners. Industrial metals rallied on the data from China, the world’s biggest consumer of commodities.

A factory index released by HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics showed a preliminary reading of 50.1, exceeding the 48.2 median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg survey.

Readings above 50 signal growth.

Barrick Gold Corp., the world’s biggest producer of the precious metal, gained 2.6 percent to $19.56. Gold Fields Ltd. said it will pay $300 million for Barrick’s Granny Smith, Lawlers and Darlot gold mines in Western Australia.

The S&P Supercomposite Homebuilding Index rose 1.9 percent.

All 11 members advanced after the Federal Housing Finance Agency report showed home prices extending a recovery. Prices climbed 0.7 percent in the month on a seasonally adjusted basis from May.

Toll Brothers Inc. gained 2.6 percent to $32.47 and PulteGroup Inc. climbed 1.4 percent to $16.32.

Yahoo, the biggest U.S. Web portal, added 3.1 percent to $27.90. More than 196 million users spent time on Yahoo’s websites in July, ComScore Inc. said. That’s 4.3 million more than Google Inc. and the first time Yahoo’s Web traffic surpassed that of the world’s most popular search engine since May 2011.

GameStop Corp. jumped 9 percent to $51.91 for the biggest gain in the S&P 500. The largest specialty retailer of video games gained the most in a year after raising its full-year profit forecast ahead of the release of new consoles from Sony Corp. and Microsoft Corp.

Hewlett-Packard tumbled 12 percent to $22.22, the steepest slide in the Dow. The computer maker issued a forecast for fiscal fourth-quarter profit that missed some analysts’ estimates, and Chief Executive Officer Meg Whitman rescinded a projection for growth in fiscal 2014 as ebbing demand for personal computers and lower business spending hamper her turnaround efforts.

Abercrombie & Fitch plunged 18 percent to $38.53, the biggest drop since November 2011. The retailer reported second- quarter earnings of 16 cents a share, compared with the average analyst estimate of 29 cents and its own forecast of at least 28 cents.

Sears Holding Corp. slumped 8.2 percent to $39.72, the lowest close this year. The retailer controlled by Edward Lampert said its second-quarter loss widened to $194 million as its loyalty program members used more discounts. Members of the company’s Shop Your Way program accounted for more than 65 percent of sales at Sears operations and Kmart in the quarter.

Sales fell 6.3 percent to $8.87 billion.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

The whole universe is bound by the law of causation.

There cannot be anything, any fact – either in the internal or in the external world –

that does not have a cause; and every cause must produce an effect.

Swami Vivekananda, 1863-1902


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

Do not take life seriously.  You will never

get out of it alive.

-Elbert Hubbard, 1856-1915


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

 

August 21, 2013 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

As Carolann is out of the office this afternoon, I will be sending the newsletter on her behalf.

Are you a creative person who loves to write? If so, Times Colonist has their 4th Annual “So you think you can write” contest taking place.  Contestants must submit a 250 word story, poem or essay that includes the words arm, feature, harbour, press, tide and type.  Contestants have until September 12th to submit their writing for a chance to win many great prizes! Good luck to all the writers out there!

There are no mistakes. The events we bring upon ourselves, no matter how unpleasant, are necessary in order to learn what we need to learn; whatever steps we take, they’re necessary to reach the places we’ve chosen to go.Richard Bach

Photos of the Day –August 21st, 2013

People ride all-terrain vehicles on the tundra as the sun sets near the Arctic community of Gjoa Haven, Nunavut. Chris Wattie/Reuters

Massive waves from approaching Tropical Storm Trami slam into breakwaters near Toucheng, north eastern Taiwan. Severe Tropical Storm Trami is bearing down on heavily populated northern Taiwan, prompting schools and offices to close. Up to 2 feet of rain is expected in some areas, and landslides could occur across the island. Wally Santana/AP

Market Closes for August 21st, 2013

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

14897.55 -105.44 

 

-0.70%

S&P 500 1642.80 -9.55 

 

-0.58%

NASDAQ 3599.790 -13.801 

 

-0.38%

TSX 12573.08 -97.03 

 

-0.77% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 13424.33 +27.95 

 

+0.21% 

 

HANG 

SENG

21817.73 -152.56 

 

-0.69% 

 

SENSEX 17905.91 -340.13 

 

-1.86% 

 

FTSE 100 6390.84 -62.62 

 

-0.97% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.754 2.681
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

3.216 3.161
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.8935 2.8142
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.9197 3.8529

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.95382 0.96202 

 

US  

$

1.04841 1.03948
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.39956 0.71451
US 

$

1.33495 0.74909

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1366.24 1369.38
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 103.81 104.96
BRENT 109.359 109.359 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

Aug. 21 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell for the second time in three days as gold producers slumped the most in two weeks after minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve’s July meeting showed policy makers support plans to slow stimulus.

Kinross Gold Corp. and Semafo Inc. sank at least 5.7 percent as the price of gold retreated. Niko Resources Ltd. Fell 8 percent after an analyst lowered his rating for the company due to concerns about its finances. Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. retreated 0.9 percent as crude declined to a two-week low.

Teck Resources Ltd. declined for a fourth day as the price of copper tumbled.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 97.03 points, or 0.8 percent, to 12,573.08 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The index has gained 1.1 percent this year. Trading volume was 2.5 percent lower than the 30-day average.

“Most investors had come to the conclusion tapering was happening one way or another, and this is just another confirmation,” Anish Chopra, a fund manager with TD Asset Management Inc., said from Toronto. His firm manages C$216 billion ($207 billion). “There’s still questions about the timeline, and the amount. Some investors may still have thought there was some division. That’s not a question anymore.”

Officials with the Federal Open Market Committee were “comfortable” with Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s plan to start reducing bond buying later this year if the economy improves, with a few saying tapering might be needed soon, minutes from their July meeting show.

Policy makers will also gather in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, this week to discuss monetary policy. About 65 percent of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News predict policy makers will taper stimulus in September.

“Our base-case assumption remains that the tapering will begin in October — with September still a possibility,” said Mark Chandler, head of Canadian fixed income strategy with RBC Capital Markets in Toronto, in a report this morning before the minutes were released.

Raw-materials producers slumped 3 percent as a group, the most since Aug. 6, declining the most in the S&P/TSX as all 10 industries retreated.

Semafo sank 7.2 percent to C$2.31 and Kinross Gold fell 5.7 percent to C$5.79 as gold for December delivery slipped 0.1 percent to settle at $1,370.80 an ounce. Gold has tumbled 19 percent this year. The S&P/TSX Gold Index lost 3.6 percent, the most since Aug. 6, after rallying to a four-month high yesterday.

Teck Resources, Canada’s largest diversified miner, fell 4.6 percent to C$26.28 for a fourth day of declines, the longest such streak since June. The stock has lost 9.6 percent since Aug. 15.

Copper prices slid 0.9 percent. A Chinese factory gauge due tomorrow from HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics will show manufacturing continued to contract in August, economists surveyed by Bloomberg said.

Niko Resources slipped 8 percent to C$5.73 for a four-month low. Darren Engels, analyst with FirstEnergy Capital Corp. in Calgary, lowered his rating for the stock to market perform, the equivalent of hold, and dropped his price target to C$8.50 from C$14.

“There is far too much uncertainty regarding the company’s finances,” Engels said in a note to clients today.

Canadian Natural Resources retreated 0.9 percent to C$30.68 as crude declined 1.2 percent in New York. The U.S. Energy Information Administration said stockpiles fell by 1.43 million barrels last week. Analysts had forecast a decline of 1.5 million barrels.

BlackBerry Ltd. sank 2.5 percent to C$10.73 after Canada’s Industry Minister James Moore said the company must revive itself without help from the government.

“It’s for them to engage the market and provide devices and services, platforms, content that the market will receive well,” Moore said.

The Waterloo, Ontario-based smartphone maker announced it was forming a special committee to consider a possible sale on Aug. 12.

US

By Lu Wang and Alex Barinka

Aug. 21 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, giving the Dow Jones Industrial Average its longest slump in 13 months, as minutes of the Federal Reserve’s July meeting showed officials support stimulus cuts this year if the economy improves.

Staples Inc. plunged 15 percent after declines in its retail and international business sparked in a reduction in its earnings forecast. Target Corp. slid 3.6 percent as profit fell 13 percent amid consumers’ caution in the face of higher taxes and unsteady employment. Lowe’s Cos. jumped 3.9 percent after the second-largest U.S. home-improvement retailer raised its full-year projection amid a housing recovery.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 0.6 percent to 1,642.80 at 4 p.m. in New York, the lowest since July 8. The Dow dropped 105.44 points, or 0.7 percent, to 14,897.55. The measure retreated for a sixth day, the longest losing streak since July 2012. About 5.6 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges today, 11 percent below the three-month average.

“The Fed minutes continue to show this clear uncertainty as to when the monetary tightening will begin,” Erik Davidson, deputy chief investment officer for Wells Fargo Private Bank in San Francisco, said in a phone interview. His firm oversees $170 billion. “It will be a seminal moment when they move from the easing they’ve been in for years toward some incremental tightening steps. The minutes are quite clear in the sense that the Fed doesn’t know that we are there yet where the process can begin.”

The S&P 500 fluctuated after the Fed released its minutes at 2 p.m. in Washington, with the gauge at one point erasing losses of as much as 0.8 percent. Growing concern that the Fed would reduce stimulus this year contributed to the index’s 3.4 percent drop from a record close on Aug. 2 through yesterday.

Fed monetary support helped propel the benchmark gauge up more than 150 percent from its bear-market low in 2009.

The Federal Open Market Committee’s minutes from the July 30-31 gathering released today showed officials were “broadly comfortable” with Chairman Ben S. Bernanke’s plan to start reducing bond buying later this year, with a few saying tapering might be needed soon. FOMC participants continued to expect economic growth to pick up in the second half of 2013 and “strengthen further.”

After the July meeting, policy makers affirmed a pledge to continue stimulus until seeing signs “the outlook for the labor market has improved substantially.” July hiring data, released after the meeting, showed the smallest jobs gain in four months and the lowest jobless rate in more than four years.

Data tomorrow is expected to show that initial jobless claims rose last week, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg. A report today indicated that sales of previously owned U.S. homes climbed more than forecast in July to the fastest pace since November 2009 as more buyers entered the market.

Speculation about the stimulus has whipsawed stocks since May, when Bernanke first indicated cuts could start this year.

The benchmark index tumbled 5.8 percent from a record high on May 21 through June 24. It then rebounded as much as 8.7 percent to the latest closing record of 1,709.67.

“Everybody is edgy right now,” Mark Lehmann, president of JMP Securities LLC in San Francisco, said in a phone interview.

“People are not convinced about what to do, so you’re susceptible” to big intraday market swings like today, he said.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX, jumped 6.9 percent to 15.94 today, the highest since July 3. The equity volatility gauge erased an earlier gain of 11 percent, falling as much as 1.6 percent before reversing.

Investors have also been keeping an eye on corporate earnings, which have helped the S&P 500 rally 16 percent this year through yesterday. Of the 474 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported results this period, 72 percent have posted profit that surpassed estimates, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

All 10 S&P 500 main industries fell today. Utility and phone stocks dropped the most, sliding 1.2 percent, as yields on 10-year Treasury notes traded near the highest level in two years, cutting demand for dividends.

Utility companies offer a dividend yield of 4.1 percent, ranking the highest among 10 industries after telephone stocks.

The two groups slumped more than 7.6 percent in the past three months, the most in the index.

Staples tumbled 15 percent, the most in more than two years, to $14.27. The world’s largest office-supplies chain, which suffers from waning consumer demand for products such as ink and toner and computer accessories, cut its outlook after second-quarter results were weaker than it expected.

Target dropped 3.6 percent to $65.50, the lowest since March 1. The second-largest U.S. discount retailer joins Wal- Mart Stores Inc. and Macy’s Inc. in reporting results that showed the bumpy economy and increased Social Security taxes are making consumers reluctant to spend beyond necessities.

PetSmart Inc. dropped 5.3 percent to $71. The pet-store chain forecast earnings of 83 cents to 87 cents a share in the third quarter. Analysts, on average, estimated 87 cents, according to a Bloomberg survey.

American Eagle Outfitters Inc. plunged 9.9 percent to $14.76. The clothing retailer’s second-quarter sales fell short of analyst estimates.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. fell 1.5 percent to $157.11. A programming error caused the firm to send unintentional stock options orders in the first minutes of trading, pushing prices on dozens of contracts to a dollar each, according to a person briefed on the matter yesterday and data compiled by Bloomberg.

Any losses for Goldman Sachs, the fifth-largest U.S. bank by assets, won’t be known until exchanges determine which contracts should be canceled, said the person, who requested anonymity because the information is private.

Lowe’s rose 4.3 percent to $45.97. The second-largest U.S. home-improvement retailer posted second-quarter profit that topped analysts’ estimates and raised its forecast for the year as the housing recovery fuels spending on remodeling.

Garmin Ltd. climbed 5.6 percent to $40.59 for the biggest gain in the S&P 500. The largest maker of navigation devices was boosted to neutral from sell at Goldman Sachs.

Incyte Corp. surged 35 percent to $36.45, the highest since November 2000. The drugmaker said a Phase 2 study indicated its Jakafi inhibitor showed a benefit for treating patients with pancreatic cancer.

 

Have  a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

By three methods we may learn wisdom: First, by reflection, which is noblest; Second, by imitation, which is easiest; and third by experience, which is the bitterest.
Confucius


As ever,

 

Amanda Bourke

Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff

Queensbury Securities Inc.

 

 

August 20, 2013 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

On this day, August 20th, 1882, Russian composer Tchaikovsky’s 1812 Overture debuted; he wrote it to commemorate Russia’s defense of Moscow against Napoleon.

The best way to keep one’s word is not to give it. -Napoleon Bonaparte, 1769-1821.

And I must be off to finish an assignment due  tomorrow for an estate planning course I am enrolled in.

Photos of the Day –August 20th, 2013

Mayflies are pictured above a river at dusk in Heihe, Heilongjiang province, August 19, 2013. The nuptial flight of mayflies takes place in evening time during spring and summer every year, as the insect mates and reproduces. China Daily/Reuters

Lightning forks over downtown San Francisco on Monday, Aug. 19, 2013. Noah Berger/AP

Market Closes for August 20th, 2013

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

15002.99 -7.75 

 

-0.05%

S&P 500 1652.35 +6.29 

 

+0.38%

NASDAQ 3613.590 +24.504 

 

+0.68%

TSX 12670.11 +82.09

 

+0.65%

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 13396.38 -361.75

 

-2.63%

 

HANG 

SENG

21970.29 -493.41

 

-2.20%

 

SENSEX 18246.04 -61.48

 

-0.34%

 

FTSE 100 6453.46 -12.27

 

-0.19%

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.681 2.745
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

3.161 3.209
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.8142 2.8804
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.8529 3.8995

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.96202 0.96672

 

US  

$

1.03948 1.03443
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.39500 0.71685
US 

$

1.34206 0.74512

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1369.38 1365.83
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 104.96 107.10
BRENT 109.359 109.359

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

Aug. 20 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, following the biggest drop since June yesterday, as gold producers advanced to a four-month high to overshadow data showing a decline in the nation’s wholesale sales.

Semafo Inc. soared 13 percent to pace gains among gold producers. Kinross Gold Corp. and B2Gold Corp. rose at least 3.9 percent. Silver Wheaton Corp. climbed 3.2 percent as silver trimmed earlier losses. Bombardier Inc. fell 1.5 percent, dropping for a second day. Paladin Energy Ltd. slumped 5.1 percent after analysts lowered their ratings for the stock.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 82.09 points, or 0.7 percent, to 12,670.11 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The index has gained 1.9 percent this year. Trading volume was 5.1 percent lower than the 30-day average.

“The gold sector is stronger and energy names are mixed, although crude at $105 a barrel isn’t what I’d call disastrous either,” said John O’Connell, chief executive officer with Davis Rea Ltd. in Toronto. The firm manages about C$600 million ($577 million). “You’re seeing some flow back into gold because it’s one of those areas that has been beaten up a lot.”

Gold gained for the fourth time in five sessions, rising 0.5 percent to $1,372.60 an ounce in New York. Gold stocks in Canada have slumped 28 percent this year as the price of the metal heads for the worst annual drop since 1997.

Semafo jumped 13 percent to C$2.49, the most since May 2012, Kinross Gold rallied 3.9 percent to C$6.14 and B2Gold jumped 6.1 percent to C$3.13 as 23 of 24 members of the S&P/TSX Gold Index increased. The index climbed 3.5 percent to the highest close since April 11.

Silver Wheaton advanced 3.2 percent to C$28.36 and Silvercorp Metals Inc. rose 4 percent to C$3.90 as the price of silver fell 0.4 percent after paring earlier losses of as much as 3.9 percent.

Canadian wholesale sales fell in June from a record the previous month with declines in every major category, adding to signs of a mid-year slowdown in the world’s 11th largest economy.

“Growth is forecast to recover over the second half of the year in tandem with a stronger outlook for the United States,” said David Tulk, Chief Canada macro strategist with TD Securities Inc. in Toronto, in a note after the report.

“Allowing net exports to take over the mantle of growth will take some of the pressure off of the fatigued domestic economy and provide comfort to the Bank of Canada that, even if sluggish by historical standards, the recovery remains on track.”

The Canadian economy is forecast to slow to 1.6 percent in the second quarter from 2.5 percent in the first before accelerating to 2.1 percent growth in each of the next two quarters, according to economists’ estimates.

Royal Bank of Canada, the nation’s largest lender, added 1 percent to C$64.67, for the highest close in three weeks. The S&P/TSX Financials Index climbed 0.7 percent.

Bombardier, based in Montreal, lost 1.5 percent to C$4.72.

The stock has lost 3.3 percent in the past two days, after National Bank analyst Cameron Doerksen said in a note yesterday the company’s CSeries jet may have its entry into service delayed to early 2015 from September 2014. The CSeries jet has yet to take its maiden flight.

Paladin Energy, which explores for uranium in Australia and Southern Africa, sank 5.1 percent to 56 Canadian cents, a record low according to data compiled by Bloomberg, after Matthew Keane, analyst with Argonaut Securities Pty Ltd. and Glyn Lawcock, analyst with UBS AG, both lowered their ratings for the stock to hold.

US

By Alex Barinka and Nikolaj Gammeltoft

Aug. 20 (Bloomberg) — Most U.S. stocks rose, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 snapping a four-day losing streak, as retailers’ results surpassed estimates and investors awaited signals on stimulus measures from the Federal Reserve.

Best Buy Co. rallied 13 percent after posting quarterly sales that exceeded projections. TJX Cos. added 6.9 percent as profit beat forecasts. Urban Outfitters Inc. jumped 8.2 percent as Wedbush Securities Inc. raised its rating on the stock.

Zillow Inc. dropped 4.8 percent after the operator of the largest U.S. real-estate website announced a share sale.

The S&P 500 rose 0.4 percent to 1,652.35 at 4 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 7.75 points, or less than 0.1 percent, to 15,002.99, erasing earlier gains of as much as 0.4 percent. Almost 5.3 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges today, 16 percent below the three-month average, as more than three stocks rose for each that fell.

“We had some pretty good retail earnings, it just shows the consumer is not dead and that things are moving in the right direction,” Frank Ingarra, head trader at Greenwich, Connecticut-based NorthCoast Asset Management LLC, said in a phone interview. His firm manages about $1.7 billion. “Everyone is still focused on Fed tapering. We remain cautiously bullish with pretty full exposure to stocks.”

The S&P 500 lost 2.9 percent in the previous four sessions, dropping each day for the longest losing streak this year, as speculation mounted that the Fed will start to taper its quantitative-easing program. The Dow extended its longest losing streak since December to five days.

The central bank will publish the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s July 30-31 meeting tomorrow. Investors will scrutinize the discussions for anything that may indicate when the Fed will reduce the pace of its monthly asset purchases. Officials meet in Jackson Hole, Wyoming this week to discuss monetary policy.

They will start to scale back bond buying next month, according to 65 percent of economists surveyed by Bloomberg from Aug. 9-13. The median estimate suggested the first move will be to reduce purchases to $75 billion a month.

The Fed has said it will weigh economic data to decide the timing and pace of any reduction. A report tomorrow will show sales of existing homes rose in July and data Aug. 22 will indicate initial jobless claims increased last week, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

Data today showed U.S. same-store sales rose 0.2 percent month over month in the Aug. 17 week. Sales at stores open at least a year rose 3.4 percent compared to a year earlier, according to the latest data released by Johnson Redbook Research.

The Fed stimulus has helped propel the S&P 500 up more than 150 percent from its bear-market low in 2009. The gauge closed at a record on Aug. 2, and dropped 3.7 percent through yesterday.

“It’s just been a pretty down couple of weeks,” Craig Goryl, a portfolio manager at Cabot Money Management Inc., which oversees $500 million in Salem, Massachusetts, said by telephone. “Sentiment just went a little bit too far in one direction, and this tends to happen that we have a bounce back.”

Investors have also been watching corporate earnings for signs of strength in the economy. Of the 467 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported results this period, 72 percent have posted earnings that surpassed estimates.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX, fell 1.3 percent to 14.91. While the gauge has advanced 22 percent since a low on Aug. 5, it remains 20 percent lower for the year.

Eight of 10 main industries in the S&P 500 advanced.

Utility stocks jumped 0.8 percent, snapping a seven-day losing streak that erased 5.8 percent from the S&P 500 Utilities Sector Index. Sempra Energy rallied 1.4 percent.

Shares in producers of consumer discretionary items jumped 0.9 percent as a group, with retailers pacing the gains.

Best Buy surged 13 percent to $34.80, the highest level in six months. The world’s largest consumer-electronics retailer posted its biggest quarterly profit since the period ended February 2011 after the company $65 million in annual costs.

Best Buy also expanded store space for Samsung Electronics Co.’s gadgets and devices running Microsoft Corp.’s Windows 8 operating system.

TJX jumped 6.9 percent to $54.24. The retailer raised its full-year profit forecast after reporting second-quarter earnings and sales that surpassed analysts’ estimates.

Urban Outfitters rallied 8.2 percent to $43.19. The retailer posted second-quarter earnings of 51 cents a share, beating the average analyst estimate by 3 cents. The Philadelphia-based company also said comparable sales during the period rose 9 percent, more than the 8.1 percent increase projected by analysts.

J.C. Penney added 6 percent to $14.01. The department-store chain posted second-quarter sales that fell more slowly than a year earlier, showing Chief Executive Officer Mike Ullman is making progress in arresting the department-store chain’s slide.

Hedge-fund manager J. Kyle Bass, the founder of Hayman Capital Management LP in Dallas, is betting on a J.C. Penney comeback, accumulating a long position in the stock over the past two weeks, according to a person, who asked not to be named because the information is private. J.C. Penney had slumped 33 percent this year through yesterday as an overhaul failed to attract new shoppers, while alienating existing customers.

Bob Evans Farms Inc. rose 10 percent to a record $52.48.

The maker of pork sausages reported first-quarter earnings that beat analysts’ estimates and boosted its dividend.

Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc. slid 7.8 percent to $46.64. The retailer posted second-quarter earnings and sales that missed analysts’ estimates as the company said it faced a “sluggish consumer environment” and cut its profit forecast for the year.

Zillow retreated 4.8 percent to $80.71. The Seattle-based company said it will sell $411.9 million in stock, with Zillow and some holders offering 5.02 million shares at $82 each. The company agreed yesterday to buy StreetEasy, a residential real- estate site with about 1.2 million monthly unique users, for $50 million in cash.

Barnes & Noble Inc. plunged 12 percent to $14.61, the lowest since Feb. 22. Founder Leonard Riggio suspended his efforts to bid for the company’s retail business, the company said in a filing today.

Riggio, who’s also the company’s chairman and largest shareholder, said in February that he planned to make an offer to buy the company’s retail assets, which include its 680 stores and website.

Medtronic Inc. fell 2.4 percent to $52.83. The world’s biggest maker of heart-rhythm devices posted fiscal first- quarter sales that missed analysts’ estimates on weaker-than- expected demand for defibrillators and the InFuse bone-growth product.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

Knowledge relieves all suffering.  Knowledge liberates.

Which knowledge?  Chemistry?  Physics?  Astronomy?  Geology?

They help a little, but only a little.  The true knowledge is the knowledge of our own nature.

Know yourself.  You must know who you are, understand your inner nature.

You must become conscious of this infinite nature in yourself.  Then you will break free of your shackles.

-Swami Vivekananda, 1863-1902


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

In three words I can sum up everything I’ve learned about life:  It Goes On.

–Robert Frost, 1874-1963

 

Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

 

August 19, 2013 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

Seattle Opera did not disappoint with its latest Ring Cycle, beginning with Das Rheingold last Monday night, followed by Die Walküre, Siegfried and the final opera we attended on Saturday evening, Götterdämmerung.  The first Ring cycle was performed in Seattle in 1975 and has been performed every four years since.  Der Ring des Nibelungen was first performed as a cycle in August 1876 at the Festspielhaus in Bayreuth, Germany.  It’s a lot of opera for a week, but it is amazing theatre.  Conductor Asher Fisch is a true genius.  He stated in his “Welcome” to the audience in the program, “It is my goal to give you an incredible sonic experience to illuminate each dramatic moment of these operas with music full of meaning and beauty.  I want you to have an experience you can’t possibly get in any digital form.  And if you are new to Wagner, it is my wish that you experience something akin to what I did 20 years ago when I first discovered Wagner.  Growing up as I did in Israel, I hadn’t heard much Wagner until I moved to Berlin to work for Daniel Barenboim at the Staatsoper.  At that point, Wagner swept me away like a tidal wave…”   Well, Asher Fisch, you swept us away like a tidal wave.

Anniversary:  On August 19th, 2004, Sergey Brin and Larry Page, took their search engine company, Google, public.  The shares closed that day at $100.34 that day.  They closed at $865.65 today.

Photos of the Day –August 19th, 2013

Enzo the dog rests after Steven Tillack and Karen Sundstrom won their division with a 1960 Alfa Romeo Superflow IV Pinin Farina Coupe during the Concours d’Elegance on the 18th fairway of the Pebble Beach Golf Links in Pebble Beach, California. The Concours tops a week-long celebration of automobiles and car culture on the Monterey Peninsula. Michael Fiala/Reuters

Members of an international religious movement called the White Brotherhood perform a ritual dance near Babreka lake, in Rila Mountain, 62 miles south of Sofia, as part of celebration of their New Year. The teaching of the movement, whose founder is Bulgarian Peter Danov, is a synthesis of Christianity and Hinduism with a heavy emphasis on brotherly love, a healthy diet and living in harmony with nature. Stoyan Nenov/Reuters

Market Closes for August 19th, 2013

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

15010.74 -70.73 

 

-0.47%

S&P 500 1646.06 -9.77 

 

-0.59%

NASDAQ 3589.086 -13.692 

 

-0.38%

TSX 12588.02 -148.90 

 

-1.17% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 13758.13 +108.02 

 

+0.79% 

 

HANG 

SENG

22463.70 -54.11 

 

-0.24% 

 

SENSEX 18307.52 -290.66 

 

-1.56% 

 

FTSE 100 6465.73 -34.26 

 

-0.53% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.745 2.706
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

3.209 3.175
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.8804 2.8251
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.8995 3.8483

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.96672 0.96735

 

 

US  

$

1.03443 1.03375
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.37958 0.72486
US 

$

1.33366 0.74981

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1365.83 1376.87
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 107.10 107.46
BRENT 109.359 109.359 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

Aug. 19 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks fell, for the biggest drop since June, as a decline in gold and silver spurred losses in metal producers and energy companies slumped the most in eight weeks.

B2Gold Corp. plunged 13 percent to pace declines among gold mining companies after announcing a $225 million note offering.

Endeavour Silver Corp. and Silvercorp Metals Inc. slipped at least 2.9 percent as the price of the metal snapped the longest winning streak since January. Penn West Petroleum Ltd. and Bonterra Energy Corp. retreated more than 1.2 percent as crude fell.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index fell 148.90 points, or 1.2 percent, to 12,588.02 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The index has gained 1.2 percent this year, the third-worst performance among developed markets ahead of Singapore and Hong Kong.

“Nothing goes up forever, the gold commodity had a good run as well as the stocks last week and they’re taking a bit of a pause today,” said John Kinsey, a fund manager with Caldwell Securities Ltd. in Toronto. The firm manages about $1 billion.

“The financials are down today, with the usual headwinds of mortgages and housing still present. It’s been a case of going up one day and then back down the next, and that’s going to continue to the end of the month when the banks report earnings.”

Financial stocks declined 0.9 percent as all 10 industries in the S&P/TSX retreated. Trading volume was 17 percent lower than the 30-day average at this time of the day.

Bank of Montreal lost 0.7 percent to C$63.96 and Bank of Nova Scotia slipped 0.2 percent to C$58.12. The two banks will report their third-quarter earnings on Aug. 27, the first of Canada’s major banks to do so for this period.

BMO is expected to report adjusted earnings of C$1.53 a share and Scotiabank C$1.31 a share, according to analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

Penn West Petroleum sank 4.5 percent to C$11.78 and Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. fell 2.6 percent to C$30.67 as 55 of 58 members of the S&P/TSX Energy Index fell. The energy index lost 1.7 percent, the biggest decline since June 20.

Crude fell for the first time in seven days as the threat of a storm in the Gulf of Mexico dissipated, removing a risk to oil and gas production. Crude for September delivery fell 0.3 percent to $107.10 a barrel in New York.

B2Gold sank 13 percent to C$2.95, the biggest loss in almost five years. The gold producer, with mines in Nicaragua, Colombia and Uruguay, said it was raising the debt for “general corporate purposes.”

Silvercorp Metals lost 5.1 percent to C$3.75 and Endeavour Silver fell 2.9 percent to C$5.28 as silver for December delivery retreated 0.7 percent to $23.22. The price of silver advanced for seven straight days before today.

Bombardier Inc. dropped 1.8 percent to C$4.79. Cameron Doerksen, analyst with National Bank Financial, said in a note to clients that the entry into service of the company’s CSeries jet may be pushed into early 2015.

Utilities stocks plunged 2.8 percent for a three-year low, as 10 of 11 companies in the group declined amid a rise in bond yields. Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. fell 4.3 percent to C$6.64 and TransAlta Corp. retreated 2.1 percent to C$13.84.

The S&P/TSX Utilities Index yielded 5 percent in dividends in the second quarter, compared with 3.2 percent for the S&P/TSX, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

U.S. Treasury yields jumped to the highest level since 2011 today amid speculation the Federal Reserve will trim its bond purchasing program next month.

US

By Alex Barinka and Nikolaj Gammeltoft

Aug. 19 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, giving the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index its first four-day decline of the year, after energy shares dropped and Treasury yields jumped to a two-year high as investors awaited signals this week on the Federal Reserve’s stimulus plans.

Apache Corp. tumbled 4.6 percent, leading energy stocks to the biggest decline among 10 groups in the S&P 500 as crude prices fell. Exxon Mobil Corp. dropped for the 18th time in 19 days. Intel Corp. gained 1.7 percent after Piper Jaffray Cos. raised its rating on the shares. Edwards Group Ltd. surged 18 percent after Atlas Copco AB agreed to buy the company for $1.2 billion.

The S&P 500 dropped 0.6 percent to 1,646.06 at 4 p.m. in New York, the lowest level since July 8. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 70.73 points, or 0.5 percent, to 15,010.74. About 5.3 billion shares exchanged hands on U.S. exchanges today, 16 percent below the three-month average. The benchmark 10-year yield jumped to 2.88 percent.

“We are still in that dead zone where there is a void of catalysts — no Fed, no earnings, summer holidays, etc.,” Jeff Saut, the St. Petersburg, Florida-based chief investment strategist at Raymond James & Associates, wrote in a note to investors today. He helps oversee about $400 billion “I think rallies are for selling on a trading basis, but remain quite bullish on the longer-term.”

The S&P 500 declined 2.1 percent last week and the Dow average lost 2.2 percent, the largest weekly drop in 14 months, amid speculation the Fed will pare its bond-purchase program as the economy recovers.

The Federal Open Market Committee will release minutes of its July 30-31 meeting on Aug. 21. Investors and analysts will be looking for clues on when central bankers plan to reduce their $85 billion in monthly asset purchases. Officials will begin to trim buying at their Sept. 17-18 meeting, according to 65 percent of economists surveyed by Bloomberg on Aug. 9-13.

Central bankers and policy makers meet in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, from Aug. 22 to Aug. 24 to discuss the global economy and monetary policy.

Fed stimulus helped propel the S&P 500 up more than 150 percent from its bear-market low in 2009. Benchmark indexes reached record highs on Aug. 2. The S&P 500 has dropped 3.7 percent since then, and is trading below its average price over the past 50 days.

Some 41 S&P 500 stocks had their 14-day relative-strength index below 30 at the end of last week, the most since Nov. 16, Bloomberg data show. RSI measures the degree to which gains and losses outpace each other and some analysts who watch charts to predict market moves consider a reading lower than 30 as indicating the stock has fallen too far too fast.

Of the 464 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings so far, 72 percent have topped analysts’ estimates, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. About 55 percent have exceeded revenue projections. About 23 S&P 500 companies are scheduled to release quarterly results this week.

“This is the difficult period of a rest area for the market, which is the time right after earnings and just before some major policy debates,” Chris Hyzy, who helps oversee about $325 billion as chief investment officer of U.S. Trust, said in a phone interview.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX, climbed 5.1 percent today to 15.10. While the gauge has advanced 28 percent since a low on Aug. 5, it remains 16 percent lower for the year.

Energy shares had the largest decline today, dropping 1.5 percent. West Texas Intermediate crude dropped for the first time in seven days as the threat of a storm in the Gulf of Mexico dissipated, removing a risk to oil and gas production in the area. Oil also slid because demand from U.S. refineries is declining as the peak gasoline-use period comes to an end. WTI capped the longest rising streak since April on Aug. 16 amid unrest in Egypt.

Apache fell 4.6 percent to $75.37, leading declines in energy stocks. The company extended a five-day tumble as Stifel Nicolaus & Co. cut its rating on the shares to a hold from buy.

Exxon Mobil lost 1.1 percent to $86.92. The biggest energy company by market value has tumbled 8.7 percent since July 23, when it reached a record high.

Marathon Oil Corp. slumped 4.3 percent to $32.61, the lowest since May. Valero Energy Corp. declined 2.7 percent to $34.47.

Cobalt International Energy Inc. fell 15 percent to $24.90 after the oil exploration company said it found no commercial hydrocarbons in its Ardennes well in the Gulf of Mexico.

Financial shares tumbled 1.3 percent. Genworth Financial Inc. fell 4.5 percent to $12.02. Invesco Ltd. lost 1.9 percent to $31.20.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. slid 2.7 percent to $51.83. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s anti-bribery unit is investigating whether the bank hired the children of Chinese officials to help its business, The New York Times reported.

Zillow Inc. lost 7.1 percent to $84.74. The operator of the largest real-estate information website agreed to acquire StreetEasy for $50 million in cash to expand its coverage of the New York housing market.

Intel gained 1.7 percent to $22.28. Piper Jaffray changed its rating on the shares to neutral from underweight and raised its price target to $22 from $20.

Apple Inc. rose 1.1 percent to $507.74. The shares have gained 12 percent in the last six trading days. Billionaire Carl Icahn said Aug. 13 that he had acquired a large position in the company. The maker of iPads and iPhone has pared its decline from an all-time high in September to 28 percent.

Health-care companies rose 0.2 percent for the only advance among 10 S&P 500 groups as a group. Intuitive Surgical Inc. gained 1.8 percent to $384.95. Gilead Sciences Inc. increased 0.8 percent to $57.34.

Edwards Group soared 18 percent to $10 after Atlas Copco, the world’s largest maker of air compressors, agreed to pay $1.2 billion for the British vacuum-pump maker. Shareholders of the Crawley, England-based company will receive as much as $10.50 a share depending on financial results for this year, Atlas Copco said in a statement today.

Dollar General Corp. gained 3.1 percent to $54.09 as JPMorgan changed its rating on the shares to the equivalent of a buy from hold. The firm increased its target price to $64 from $51.

 

Have a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

The question of whether or not there is a God or truth or reality, or whatever you like to call it,

can never be answered by books, by priests, philosophers or saviors.

Nobody and nothing can answer the question but you yourself and that is why you must know yourself.

Immaturity lies only in total ignorance of self.

To understand yourself is the beginning of wisdom.

Krishnamurti, 1895-1986


As ever,

 

Carolann

 

The best revenge is massive success.

-Frank Sinatra, 1915-1998


Carolann Steinhoff, B.Sc., CFP®, CIM, FCSI

Senior Vice-President &

Senior Investment Advisor

Queensbury Securities Inc.,

St. Andrew’s Square

Suite 340A, 730 View St.,

Victoria, B.C. V8W 3Y7

 

 

August 16, 2013 Newsletter

Dear Friends,

Tangents:

As Carolann is out of the office this afternoon, I will be sending the newsletter on her behalf.

Next weekend, Stanley Park will be marking the 125th birthday of the 400-hectar park, by hosting special events in the park.  Visitors will be able to go on walking tours, watch hummingbirds, visit the police stables, and learn all about the history of the park. There are more than 200 activities and performances scheduled to take place at five festival zones.  Did you know, Stanley Park is visited by an estimated eight million people a year and is named after the same governor general, Frederick Stanley, memorialized by the NHL’s Stanley Cup.  Also, earlier this year, Travel and Leisure magazine ranked it among the world’s most beautiful city parks, citing its skyline views and its 500,000 cedar, fir and hemlock trees.  Be sure to stop by!

Believe in yourself! Have faith in your abilities! Without a humble but reasonable confidence in your own powers you cannot be successful or happy.Norman Vincent Peale

Photos of the Day –August 16th, 2013


Zakaria Alakory (r.), 19, and Assem Al khshmy (l.), 16, practice parkour on the beach in Benghazi, Libya. Esam Omran Al-Fetori/Reuters

The MV Maersk Mc-Kinney Moller, the world’s biggest container ship, arrives at the harbour of Rotterdam, Netherlands. The 55,000 ton ship, named after the son of the founder of the oil and shipping group A.P. Moller-Maersk, has a length of 400 meters and cost $185 million. Michael Kooren/Reuters

Market Closes for August 16th, 2013

Market 

Index

Close Change
Dow 

Jones

15081.47 -30.72 

 

-0.20%

S&P 500 1655.83 -5.49 

 

-0.33%

NASDAQ 3602.778 -3.339 

 

-0.09%

TSX 12736.92 +32.40 

 

+0.26% 

 

International Markets

Market 

Index

Close Change
NIKKEI 13650.11 -102.83 

 

-0.75% 

 

HANG 

SENG

22517.81 -21.44 

 

-0.10% 

 

SENSEX 18598.18 -769.41 

 

-3.97% 

 

FTSE 100 6499.99 +16.65 

 

+0.26% 

 

Bonds

Bonds % Yield Previous % Yield
CND. 

10 Year Bond

2.706 2.677
CND.  

30 Year

Bond

3.175 3.148
U.S.  

10 Year Bond

2.8251 2.7700
U.S.  

30 Year Bond

3.8483 3.8176

Currencies

BOC Close Today Previous
Canadian $ 0.96735 0.97051 

 

US  

$

1.03375 1.03038
Euro Rate 

1 Euro=

Inverse 

Canadian  

$

1.37802 0.72568
US 

$

1.33303 0.75017

Commodities

Gold Close Previous
London Gold  

Fix

1376.87 1364.03
Oil Close Previous 

 

WTI Crude Future 107.46 107.33
BRENT 109.359 109.359 

 

Market Commentary:

Canada

By Eric Lam

Aug. 16 (Bloomberg) — Canadian stocks rose, sending the benchmark index to its biggest weekly advance since July 19, after energy producers advanced amid increased turmoil in Egypt.

Bankers Petroleum Ltd. climbed a fourth day to the highest level in a year. Endeavour Silver Corp. rose 2.1 percent as silver prices rallied for a seventh straight day, the longest streak since January. BlackBerry Ltd. fell 3.9 percent.

The Standard & Poor’s/TSX Composite Index rose 32.40 points, or 0.3 percent, to 12,736.92 at 4 p.m. in Toronto. The index gained 1.6 percent for the week.

“We have people who had been busy selling commodities, and we’re in the kind of market where that can turn on a dime and now they’re jumping back in,” said David Cockfield, fund manager with Northland Wealth Management in Toronto. The firm manages about C$200 million ($193 million). “The market is very sensitive right now and everybody is watching everybody else.”

Energy stocks gained 0.7 percent as a group as six of 10 industries advanced in the S&P/TSX. Trading volume was 7.6 percent higher than the 30-day average at this time of the day.

Bankers Petroleum jumped 5.7 percent to C$3.51, the highest close since May 2012. Suncor Energy Inc., Canada’s largest oil producer, added 1 percent to C$35.33.

Crude rose 13 cents to settle at $107.46 a barrel in New York. Oil futures have advanced for six straight sessions, the longest streak since April, as clashes in Egypt raised concern that Middle East supply will be cut. Thousands of people poured into the streets in Egypt today to protest the killing of supporters of ousted president Mohamed Mursi.

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. increased 3.7 percent to C$6.94 after Sean Steuart, analyst with TD Securities, raised his rating for the stock to buy from hold. Algonquin owns and invests in renewable power assets across North America.

Centerra Gold Inc. rose 0.3 percent to C$6.22, paring an earlier rally of 6.1 percent. The company advanced for an eighth day of gains, the longest streak since January 2008. New Gold Inc. increased 2.2 percent to C$7.97. Gold for December delivery gained 0.7 percent to settle at $1,371, the highest in two months.

Endeavour Silver added 2.1 percent to C$5.44. Silvercorp Metals Inc. increased 1.8 percent to C$3.95, rising for an eighth day.

Silver rose 1.7 percent to $23.372 an ounce in New York.

The precious metal climbed 15 percent this week.

BlackBerry dropped 3.9 percent to C$10.86. Chief Executive Officer Thorsten Heins stands to make $55.6 million if he sells the company and is ousted, according to a May proxy filing.

The smartphone maker, which has seen its market share erode against competitors including Apple Inc. and Google Inc., announced on Aug. 12 it would form a board committee to investigate a potential sale, joint venture or strategic partnerships. The stock has jumped 8.4 percent this week.

US

By Alex Barinka

Aug. 16 (Bloomberg) — U.S. stocks fell, giving the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index its biggest weekly drop in almost two months, as investors weighed data showing housing starts climbed in July while a gauge of consumer confidence fell.

Eight of 10 industries in the benchmark index retreated, led by a drop among high-yielding dividend stocks as Treasury 10-year rates rose to a two-year high. Verizon Communications Inc. lost 1.7 percent as phone stocks sank. Real-estate shares plunged 2.2 percent as a group to the lowest level since November. Nordstrom Inc. lost 4.9 percent as the retailer cut its annual sales forecast.

The S&P 500 dropped 0.3 percent to 1,655.83 at 4 p.m. in New York. The benchmark gauge lost 2.1 percent in the past five days, the most in a week since June 21. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 30.72 points, or 0.2 percent, to 15,081.47. The 30-stock index plunged 2.2 percent this week, the most since June 2012. About 5.9 billion shares exchanged hands on U.S. exchanges today, 6.6 percent below the three-month average.

“People seem to be in a mode of not being too excited about the U.S. right now,” Brian Burrell, equity research analyst for Thornburg Investment Management Inc., said in a telephone interview from Santa Fe, New Mexico. His firm oversees about $90 billion. “People are scrutinizing these data points and trying to get a read on what is going to happen and how the Fed is going to react.”

The S&P 500 lost 1.4 percent yesterday, as forecasts from Cisco Systems Inc. and Wal-Mart Stores Inc. disappointed while improving economic data pushed bond yields higher amid concern the Federal Reserve will reduce stimulus. The gauge has fallen 3.2 percent since closing at a record on Aug. 2.

Data today showed new-home construction in July climbed 5.9 percent to an 896,000 annualized rate from a revised 846,000 pace in June that was higher than previously reported. Builders started work on fewer single-family homes in July, marking a pause in the residential construction rebound that’s helping to propel the U.S. economy.

Consumer confidence in the U.S. unexpectedly dropped in August from a six-year high as Americans faced rising interest rates. The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary August index of consumer sentiment fell to 80 from 85.1 last month, which was the highest since July 2007.

A separate report from the Labor Department indicated the productivity of U.S. workers rose more than projected in the second quarter as the world’s largest economy expanded output.

Central bank policy makers have been scrutinizing economic data to determine the timing and pace of any reduction in its $85 billion in monthly bond purchases. The Fed stimulus helped propel the S&P 500 up more than 150 percent from its low in 2009.

“One can’t go a day without thinking about what the Fed’s policy is going to be because central banks are the elephant in the room,” Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Pittsburgh, which manages $58 billion, said in a phone interview. “I would not be surprised to see a little bit more slop in the equity markets here over the coming days and weeks.”

The Fed will reduce the monthly purchases at its meeting on Sept. 17-18, according to 65 percent of economists surveyed by Bloomberg from Aug. 9 to Aug. 13. In a survey last month, half of economists predicted a reduction at next month’s meeting. The first step may be small, with monthly purchases tapered by $10 billion to a $75 billion pace, the survey showed.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or VIX, fell 2.4 percent today to 14.37 after yesterday touching the highest level this month. While the gauge has advanced 21 percent since Aug. 5, it remains 20 percent lower for the year.

Investors seeking shelter from yesterday’s $100 billion stock selloff pushed volume to a two-month high in U.S. equity volatility futures, contracts that have already seen more trading in 2013 than all of last year.

About 234,000 futures contracts on the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, or the VIX, changed hands yesterday. That’s the most since June 21, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

“I expect volatility and the VIX to have a bias towards creeping higher as we approach the September FOMC meeting,” Trevor Mottl, Susquehanna Financial Group LLLP’s New York-based head of derivatives strategy, said yesterday in a phone interview. Volatility will “remain slightly elevated as investors come to grips with implications from a reduction in stimulus,” he said.

High-yielding stocks declined today on concern rising bond rates will reduce demand for equity income. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes surged six basis points to 2.83 percent, the highest since July 2011.

Telephone stocks, which have the highest yield among 10 industries, slid 1 percent. Verizon lost 1.7 to $47.71 for the biggest drop in the Dow. Utilities, ranked the second highest with a 4.1 percent yield, fell 1.1 percent.

An S&P index of real-estate stocks sank for the 14th time in 15 sessions, losing 2.2 percent today for the biggest slide in the among 24 groups in the benchmark gauge. Kimco Realty Corp. dropped 3.7 percent to $20.50 to pace losses.

Nordstrom retreated 4.9 percent to $56.43. Sterne, Agee & Leach lowered its rating the stock to neutral from buy after the Seattle-based fashion retailer cut its annual earnings forecast late yesterday.

J.C. Penney Co. fell 3.1 percent to $13.40. The slide snapped a two-day rally that pushed the stock up 9.1 percent after investor Bill Ackman resigned from the board. The company reports results Aug. 20 and analysts project a second-quarter net loss that will widen and sales that will fall 8 percent, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

An index that tracks homebuilder stocks rose 0.1 percent, retreating from an intraday high of 3.4 percent. The S&P Supercomposite Homebuilding Index has fallen 6.1 percent this year. PulteGroup Inc. added 2.3 percent to $16.28.

Aspen Technology Inc. surged 7.9 percent to $34.32. The supplier of software products reported fourth-quarter revenue of $83.3 million, topping the median analyst forecast of $78.8 million.

Pandora Media Inc. added 2.5 percent to $20.34. Goldman Sachs increased its rating on the biggest online radio service to buy from neutral.

 

Have  a wonderful evening everyone.

 

Be magnificent!

 

“Not everything that is faced can be changed, but nothing can be changed until it is faced.” – James Baldwin


As ever,

 

 

Amanda Bourke

Assistant to Carolann Steinhoff

Queensbury Securities Inc